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If You’re Going to Buy Investment Property, Do it Now

If Youre Going to Buy Investment Property, Do it Now

It looks like the majority of U.S. housing markets have bottomed. So, if you’ve been thinking about buying , this may be the time to make your move.

When the National Association of Homebuilders released its NAHB Index for October last week, it showed a drop of one point in homebuilders’ view of the market, from 19 to 18.

The good news:  The index is at double its level from last spring – when it bottomed out at nine – meaning homebuilders see an improving market.

The bad news:  The index is based so that a reading of 50 is the “neutral market” view. That means there’s a long way to go.

30-year mortgage rates are still close to their all-time low, currently around 5.1%. But rates probably won’t remain that low for long. Building inflationary pressures and the huge U.S. budget deficit will combine to eventually push interest rates higher.

Even if house prices drop by another 10% in some markets (except in the very worst areas, I wouldn’t expect too see anymore than that), you still may end up saving more on financing costs by buying now than you would by waiting for any further declines.

Housing arithmetic may be complicated at times, but one thing is for sure: 7% of $90,000 is more than 5.1% of $100,000!

The S&P/Case-Shiller composite home price index rose nicely in July, with the 20-city index rising 1.5%, after a 1.3% bump the previous month. That’s a decent indication that the major markets have bottomed out.

In states like Florida, California and Nevada – where prices have dropped over 40% – there are likely to be a large number of foreclosures and vacant properties left over from the housing bubble.  Therefore, in those markets, the excess supply will take longer to absorb.

Similarly, even with the government "bailout" of the automobile industry, you should avoid investing in markets like Detroit, even though prices there are lower than they were in 1995. However, in cities like and , where home prices did not rise much during the bubble – and haven’t dropped that much since – investing makes a lot of sense.  These markets rest on a firm economic foundation and you can expect to see solid growth.

Any predication beyond 2009 is cloudy.  On the one hand, a slow economic recovery should seriously induce investors to buy investment property. And with inflation apparently on the upswing, the price of property can be expected to increase, as well.

On the other hand, if inflation really takes off as many predict it will, the U.S. Federal Reserve may have no choice but to raise interest rates.  And since housing is the most interest-rate-sensitive sector of consumer spending, we may see a delay or stall in any housing market recovery along with higher mortgage rates.

If you’ve got the money, .  You won’t find a better time to invest!

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  1. Comment by Ron Feaster
    November 13th, 2009 at 2:35 pm

    I agree, this is the best time to buy investment property,
    whether it be for a short term or long term investment.

    Short Term meaning buying at wholesale and flipping the property
    to an investor or buyer for a 10 to 20 thousand dollar profit and
    Long Term meaning buying at wholesale and renting or just moving
    into the property yourself for a few years until home values start
    to rise again.

    The current real estate crisis and slumping economy has created a
    great opportunity for anyone who wants to invest in real estate
    today, regardless of their experience.

  2. November 14th, 2009 at 4:29 am

    How are we sure that the market has bottomed? Could it not be a “buy hold and pray” approach? Just a thought

  3. Comment by vlad
    November 18th, 2009 at 1:29 am

    Hello! I think that nowaday foreclosure is the best for invest. And here Look Here you can learn (from prominent investors ) profesional tips how to buy & sell with huge profit. Good Luck!

  4. November 18th, 2009 at 8:12 am

    Let me say, that the current real estate crisis created a great opportunity only for people who have a permanent revenue. The vast majority of middle class Americans can’t invest in real estate until the crisis continues.

  5. Comment by Lisa Loeffler
    November 19th, 2009 at 1:25 pm

    There is a trend in luxury real estate markets where empty nesters and those who want to downsize are selling their mega estates in outlying L.A. neighborhoods and moving to luxury condominiums in central West Los Angeles.

    Candy Spelling is downsizing to hi-rise condo living from her Holmbly Hills 57k mega mansion. She wants the amenities her expansive estate had, but a bit smaller, with less management and upkeep.

    Larry King is also slated to move into The Carlyle Residences with wife Sean in the next month. (http://thevaleriefitzgeraldgroup.com/carlyle-residences).

    The Carlyle is said to be the last brand new luxury hi-rise build approved on the corridor. It will be interesting to see how it looks in 10 years.

  6. Comment by Scott Nachatilo
    December 1st, 2009 at 10:01 pm

    Investing in real estate is a good business, buying properties then sell them or have them rented at a profitable price

    Scott@Financially Free Landlord

  7. Comment by Justin
    December 16th, 2009 at 7:38 am

    The current real estate crisis created a great opportunity only for people who have a permanent revenue. Whoever has plan of investing in real estate, this is the right time.


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