Norada Real Estate Investments

Archives for September 2008

Your Next Mortgage May Be Risk Adjusted

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Your next mortgage may be risk adjusted!

Up until now your mortgage rate was based on the type of mortgage you chose and your credit profile.  But lenders have already started to assess up-front fees based on an individual’s credit score, and in the future this change may begin to resemble pricing similar to homeowners insurance factoring in many more variables.

If your credit score is under 720, you may be paying anywhere from a half point (0.5%) to as much as 2.75% in extra fees as your score gets lower according to Freddie Mac.  While some lenders assess a higher interest rate on your mortgage instead of charging you upfront fees.

The good news for those with exceptional credit may be lower than average rates and better loan terms.  The bad news is that those with below average credit score will be paying more for their loans than previously before.

In addition, shopping for a loan may become more time consuming because these risk adjusting fees may vary widely among lenders and mortgage brokers.

In the future, spending more time shopping for your mortgage loan will be time well spent.

Do Higher Gas Prices Mean Lower Consumer Spending?

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The short answer is “extremely unlikely”.  The reason is that a small increase in some costs (like gas) only creates a marginal shift towards other costs (not a decrease in those costs).

One of the most important commodities in a first world economy such as ours is gas and other energy sources.  If there is a rapid rise in energy costs, it could lead to a significant increase in overall prices – this is known as inflation.

The question now becomes: Is the rise in gasoline prices strong enough to create an inflationary trend that will stall growth in consumer spending?

While millions of households feel the pinch of decreasing discretionary income due to higher gas prices, the fact of the matter is that this will only be a hiccup in the U.S. economy.  Overall spending and consumption will continue at a similar pace.

At the end of the day, if we walk away with long term gains in energy efficiency then the next generation of households will benefit from their own increase in discretionary income.

2007 Top 20 U.S. Tourism Destinations

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The 2007 annual ranking of the nation's leading tourism destinations compares domestic and international tourism spending, tourism job creation, and the degree to which each city's economic vitality is dependent upon visitors. The results show that a significant gain in international visitors propelled New York City to the top spot in 2007.

Rank City Rank change from 2006
1 New York City +2
2 Orlando -1
3 Las Vegas -1
4 Los Angeles 0
5 Chicago 0
6 San Francisco 0
7 Washington, D.C. +1
8 San Diego -1
9 Miami +3
10 Atlanta -1
11 Phoenix 0
12 Tampa -2
13 Dallas 0
14 Honolulu +1
15 Houston -1
16 Santa Ana +1
17 Boston -1
18 Seattle +2
19 Philadelphia -1
20 Virginia Beach +5

The U.S. City Tourism Impact, recently released by Global Insight, combines domestic and international travel volumes and spending data from D.K. Shifflet & Associates, as well as the U.S. Department of Commerce's Office of Travel and Tourism Industries with metropolitan area economic data and models from Global Insight to rank the most popular tourist destinations in the U.S.

Another Sign of a Market Turnaround?

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Last month resales jumped 3.1% to the highest level in half a year.  Additionally, new home sales jumped 2.1% according to the Commerce Department.  This came as a mild surprise to Wall Street.

Resales were up all around with the West leading the country with a  solid 9.7% increase.  Following that was the Northeast with a 6% gain, the Midwest with a 1% gain and the south with a minor drop of 0.5%.

New home sales showed a similar pattern with the Northeast gaining a 39% increase, the West with a 10% increase and the Midwest with an 8.2% jump.  The south had a drop in new home sales with a 2.5% drop.

Can this be another sign of a market turnaround?  Although this is very good news, we must keep some facts in perspective.  A large number of these sales come from first time home buyers and real estate investors sitting on the fence waiting for a clear signal that prices may have bottomed.

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