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Archives for May 2025

Today’s Mortgage & Refinance Rates – May 25, 2025: Rates Remain Elevated and Volatile

May 25, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's Mortgage & Refinance Rates - May 25, 2025: Rates Remain Elevated and Volatile

Today's mortgage rates as of May 25, 2025, are just under 7%, a level that illustrates the ongoing strain in the housing market influenced by political and economic developments. Specifically, the projected impact of the GOP tax bill, expected to increase the federal deficit significantly, has geopolitical implications that weigh on investor sentiment and trigger higher mortgage rates. This current scenario leaves potential homeowners and those considering refinancing in a tight spot with respect to their financial choice.

Today's Mortgage & Refinance Rates – May 25, 2025: Rates Remain Elevated and Volatile

Key Takeaways

  • Current Mortgage Rates are approaching 7%.
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.87%
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.13%
  • Refinance Rates are comparable to purchase rates.
  • Economic uncertainty stemming from political factors is a major influence.

Current Mortgage Rates Overview

As of May 25, 2025, here are the average mortgage rates by Zillow, broken down by type:

Mortgage Type Average Rate
30-Year Fixed 6.87%
20-Year Fixed 6.79%
15-Year Fixed 6.13%
7/1 ARM 6.95%
5/1 ARM 6.93%
30-Year FHA 5.95%
30-Year VA 6.47%

The 30-year fixed mortgage remains the dominant choice among new home seekers largely due to its predictability. Homebuyers favor this option as it allows them to maintain a steady monthly repayment plan over a long period, making it easier to budget. However, choosing a longer term often results in a higher interest rate compared to shorter mortgage terms.

The 15-year fixed mortgage is particularly appealing for those looking to pay off their loan quicker and save money in additional interest costs over the life of the loan. The trade-off here is that the monthly payments are higher, but for many, the savings in interest outweigh this consideration.

Current Mortgage Refinance Rates

When it comes to refinancing, today's rates are strikingly similar, allowing potential refinancers to capitalize on low costs relative to fixed-rate purchases:

Refinance Type Average Rate
30-Year Fixed Refinance 6.84%
20-Year Fixed Refinance 6.81%
15-Year Fixed Refinance 6.08%
7/1 ARM Refinance 8.13%
5/1 ARM Refinance 7.29%
30-Year FHA Refinance 5.75%
30-Year VA Refinance 6.49%

Source: Zillow

The similarity in refinance rates to purchase mortgage rates indicates that refinancing might be a valuable option for those looking to lower their monthly payments or modify their mortgage structure. Specifically, if interest rates fall significantly, homeowners could consider a refinance to take advantage of the cost reductions. This becomes important given the inherent uncertainties tied to the broader economy and legislative measures.

Key Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates

Several factors can impact mortgage rates, and understanding these helps explain the current financial landscape:

  1. Economic Conditions: The U.S. economy plays a crucial role in influencing the rates. As investors process the implications of fiscal actions, such as the GOP tax bill, perceptions shift about the long-term health of the economy. Higher deficits typically lead to higher Treasury yields, which often set the stage for increased mortgage rates. Consequently, potential homeowners need to remain vigilant about these political and economic discussions that could drastically alter their borrowing costs.
  2. Investor Sentiment: When investors are jittery due to economic or political turmoil, they become more risk-averse, leading to fluctuations in rates. The perception of higher risk will lead to greater returns being demanded by investors in bonds and mortgage-backed securities, which in turn influences rates. The ongoing issue of national debt and its management contributes directly to cost of borrowing for consumers.
  3. Credit Profiles: Individual credit scores remain a crucial consideration for determining interest rates. Those with higher scores typically receive lower rates as they are viewed as less risky by lenders. Conversely, those with lower credit may find themselves facing steeper prices for their loans. Borrowers are encouraged to maintain a healthy credit profile by reducing debt and improving payment histories, especially in an environment characterized by elevated rates.
  4. Supply and Demand: The current real estate market is packed with challenges, as a shortage of housing supply maintains upward pressure on prices. High demand, coupled with low supply, means that many prospective buyers are still looking to secure mortgages, despite the rising rates. This dynamic is expected to keep rates elevated in the near term, as lenders anticipate continued competition in a tight housing market.
  5. Federal Reserve Actions: One major influence on mortgage rates is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Recent Fed rate hikes have been enacted to combat inflation, creating a scenario where long-term mortgage rates are expected to rise as well. Although mortgage rates do not move in direct correlation to the federal funds rate, they often rise in anticipation of the Fed's moves and their potential impact on the economic landscape.

Read More:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of May 24, 2025

Dave Ramsey Predicts Mortgage Rates Will Probably Drop Soon in 2025

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

What Lies Ahead for Mortgage Rates?

Looking ahead, there are a few potential trends on the horizon for mortgage rates. While experts believe rates may slightly decline later this year, various factors could influence the exact trajectory.

Fannie Mae has forecasted that mortgage rates might end 2025 at approximately 6.1% and further decrease to around 5.8% in 2026, mainly due to anticipated adjustments in economic conditions. However, there's uncertainty, too, as ongoing discussions around tariffs and global economics could alter inflation patterns, impacting rates sharply.

If a recession were to occur, rates could drop more significantly; on the flip side, if inflation persists due to external pressures, we may see even higher rates.

On a more localized level, it’s vital to highlight that home prices may not experience significant drops, primarily because of the persistent demand in the market. Home prices increased under similar conditions in prior years, and despite speculation about a cooling market, their expectations are now moderated—risking further strain in available housing stock. While Fannie Mae anticipates price growth could slow to about 4.1% in 2025, the existing inventory challenges will likely hinder drastic price alterations.

Understanding Mortgage Types and Their Distinctions

There are various types of mortgages available to homebuyers, and selecting the right one can mean the difference between financial comfort and frustration.

  • Fixed-rate Mortgages: Fixed-rate mortgages provide stability, securing the interest rate for the entire loan term. This predictability allows borrowers to budget effectively and protect themselves against rising rates. However, these loans typically come with higher rates relative to adjustable-rate options.
  • Adjustable-rate Mortgages (ARMs): ARMs often start with lower rates for an initial fixed period (e.g., five or seven years), after which the rate adjusts periodically based on market conditions. This option can be advantageous for buyers who plan to move before the adjustment period begins, but the potential for rising payments later on necessitates careful consideration.
  • Government-Backed Mortgages: Government-funded loans like FHA, VA, and USDA loans offer specific advantages, typically catering to lower- and middle-income buyers. With lower rates and down payment requirements, this option can be attractive for first-time buyers who may not have substantial savings.

Finally, when assessing both mortgage and refinance rates, it’s essential to consider not just the rates themselves, but also the broader financial context, including personal circumstances, housing market conditions, and economic indicators.

Conclusion

In summary, today's mortgage rates stand close to 7%, informed by various economic and political factors that shape the current real estate landscape. Prospective homebuyers should enter the market informed and consider how the intricate tapestry of economic trends affects their financial goals.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years California: Crash or Boom?

May 24, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

california housing market

The real estate market in California is poised for significant changes over the next five years, driven by factors such as population growth, evolving economic conditions, and housing supply challenges.

As demand for residential properties continues to rise amidst limited inventory, experts predict a steady increase in home prices, coupled with potential shifts in buyer preferences towards suburban and rural areas.

Furthermore, the impact of remote work trends and sustainability initiatives is expected to shape the types of properties in demand. In this article, we will explore the key trends and insights that will define California's real estate landscape from 2025 to 2029.

Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years California

California's real estate market in the next five years will likely be characterized by modest price increases, a persistent inventory shortage, and continued influence from interest rates. While predicting the exact path is difficult, staying informed about these trends will empower Californians to make informed decisions, whether they're buying, selling, or staying put. The market may be unpredictable, but with a dose of realism and adaptability, Californians can navigate the ever-evolving landscape of the Golden State's housing market.

Emerging Trends in California

The California housing market isn't just about prices. Here are some additional trends to keep an eye on:

  • Rise of iBuyers: These companies offer to buy homes quickly, often below market value. While iBuyers faced struggles in 2023, they might adapt and continue to play a role in the market. They could potentially become more attractive to sellers in a softening market, impacting traditional sales.
  • Shifting Demographics: Millennial and Gen Z homebuyers will continue to shape the market. Their preferences for walkable neighborhoods, proximity to amenities, and potentially smaller homes could influence development patterns. We might see a rise in multi-generational housing arrangements as well, driven by economic factors and cultural shifts.
  • Technological Innovation: PropTech (property technology) is on the rise, offering new tools for buyers, sellers, and agents. Expect to see advancements in virtual tours, data analysis, and streamlined transaction processes. These innovations could increase transparency and efficiency in the market, potentially benefiting all parties involved.

The Evolving Regulatory Landscape

Policy changes can also influence the market. California has a history of enacting regulations aimed at consumer protection and increasing affordability. Potential areas of focus in the coming years include:

  • Rent Control: The ongoing debate surrounding rent control measures could see further developments. While rent control can stabilize housing costs for tenants, it can also discourage investment in new rental properties. Finding a balance between affordability and a healthy rental market will be crucial.
  • Short-Term Rentals: Regulations surrounding short-term rentals like Airbnb could be tightened. This could increase long-term rental inventory but might also impact the tourism industry in some areas

Recent California Real Estate Forecast for 2025

Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years California
Source: C.A.R.

According to the recently released forecast, both home sales and prices are projected to experience an upward trajectory in 2025, fueled primarily by anticipated lower interest rates and a boost in housing inventory. This outlook offers a sense of optimism for prospective buyers and sellers alike.

Projected Increase in Home Sales and Prices

C.A.R. forecasts a notable increase in housing activity, estimating that approximately 304,400 homes will change hands in 2025. This figure reflects a substantial 10.5% increase when compared to the expected sales figures for 2024.

In tandem with sales growth, the median home price in California is set to rise to $909,400 in 2025. This represents a 4.6% increase from an estimated $869,500 in 2024. Although prices are continuing to climb, the rate of growth appears to be moderating, which should be welcome news for buyers contending with affordability constraints.

Understanding the Driving Factors: Interest Rates and the “Lock-In” Effect

The so-called “lock-in” effect is pivotal in understanding the housing market's current state. Many homeowners are sitting on loans with incredibly low interest rates and are consequently hesitant to sell and repurchase homes at significantly higher rates. This phenomenon has contributed to a tight supply of homes available on the market.

However, optimistic projections indicate that interest rates are likely to decrease slightly in 2025, potentially alleviating the lock-in effect. C.A.R. anticipates the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will fall from 6.6% in 2024 to 5.9% in 2025. While these rates continue to exceed pre-pandemic levels, this downtrend could encourage more homeowners to enter the market, thus increasing available inventory. The easing of interest rates also enhances affordability for buyers, stimulating the housing market.

Assessing Affordability Amidst Rising Prices

While the prospect of more homes for sale and lower interest rates is promising, questions regarding affordability remain critical. C.A.R.'s projections suggest that the housing affordability index will stabilize around 16% for both 2024 and 2025. This statistic implies that only about 16% of California households will be in a position to afford a median-priced home, resulting in challenges for many potential buyers. While the situation is not deteriorating, it certainly underscores the ongoing struggle for affordability in the state's housing market.

A Closer Look at the Numbers: Key Metrics for the California Housing Market

For a deeper understanding of the projected trends, here is a detailed overview of key metrics as outlined in C.A.R.'s forecast:

Metric 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 (Projected) 2025 (Forecast)
Single-Family Home Sales 402.6 398 411.9 444.5 343 257.9 275.4 304.4
% Change -5.2% -1.2% 3.5% 7.9% -22.9% -24.8% 6.8% 10.5%
Median Price ($) 569.5 592.4 659.4 784.3 822.3 814.0 869.5 909.4
% Change 5.9% 4% 11.3% 18.9% 4.5% -1% 6.8% 4.6%
Housing Affordability Index 28% 31% 32% 26% 19% 17% 16% 16%
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate 4.50% 3.90% 3.10% 3.00% 5.30% 6.80% 6.60% 5.90%

This table reflects the anticipated changes in the housing market, showing a recovery from previous declines and an overall more favorable environment for buyers and sellers in 2025.

Implications for Buyers and Sellers: What This Forecast Means

For those contemplating a home purchase in California, the housing market forecast for 2025 suggests potential advantages over the previous year. With anticipated lower interest rates and an increase in inventory, there might be more opportunities to explore within the market.

Conversely, sellers may also benefit from heightened buyer activity and slightly elevated home prices. This dual optimism encourages engagement in the market, whether you are buying or selling.

However, it is essential to remain cognizant that these predictions are merely suggestions and are subject to change. Monitoring economic trends and interest rates is crucial in making informed decisions. Engaging with a local real estate professional can provide invaluable insights tailored to individual circumstances.

Final Thoughts

In summary, the outlook for the California housing market in 2025 reveals a cautious but optimistic scenario. Despite inherent uncertainties and challenges, particularly regarding affordability, the trends suggest a turnaround that could stimulate both sales and market activity in the coming year. As we navigate this evolving landscape, staying informed will be critical to making strategic real estate decisions.

Recommended Read:

  • California Housing Market Predictions 2025
  • Will Housing Prices Drop in 2025 in California?
  • California Housing Market 2024: Trends and Predictions
  • California Housing Market Sizzles: Median Home Price Tops $900,000
  • California Housing Market Booms: Investor Purchases Are Soaring
  • The Great Recession and California's Housing Market Crash: A Retrospective

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: California housing market forecast, Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years California

Today’s Mortgage & Refinance Rates – May 24, 2025: Rates Decline Giving Relief to Buyers

May 24, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's Mortgage Rates - May 24, 2025: Rates Drop Offering Big Relief to Buyers

As of May 24, 2025, mortgage rates have seen a slight drop after a brief period of increases. The national average for a 30-year fixed mortgage has decreased to 6.94% while the 15-year fixed mortgage rate is currently at 6.09%. This shift towards lower mortgage rates offers a bit of relief to potential homebuyers and those looking to refinance their existing mortgages.

Today's Mortgage & Refinance Rates – May 24, 2025: Rates Decline Giving Relief to Buyers

Key Takeaways:

  • Current mortgage rates: 30-year fixed at 6.94%, 15-year fixed at 6.09%.
  • Refinance rates: 30-year fixed refinance at 7.06%, 15-year fixed refinance at 6.15%.
  • A brief uptick in rates was observed earlier this week before this surprising dip.
  • Understanding market fluctuations is vital for both homebuyers and homeowners interested in refinancing.

Today's Mortgage Rates Overview

According to data from Zillow, the current mortgage rates are as follows:

Mortgage Type Current Rate (%)
30-year fixed 6.94
20-year fixed 6.68
15-year fixed 6.09
5/1 ARM 7.35
7/1 ARM 7.33
30-year VA 6.41
15-year VA 5.69
5/1 VA 6.33

These rates reflect the national averages, rounded to the nearest hundredth.

Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates

For homeowners considering refinancing, the following rates are available:

Refinance Type Current Rate (%)
30-year fixed 7.06
20-year fixed 6.84
15-year fixed 6.15
5/1 ARM 7.85
7/1 ARM 7.39
30-year VA 6.50
15-year VA 5.91
5/1 VA 6.26

Like mortgage rates, refinance rates are also expressed as national averages, indicating a slight difference compared to the rates for purchasing homes.

Understanding the Mortgage Rates Movement

The recent decrease in mortgage rates is somewhat surprising given the volatility observed in the bond market this week. Typically, when bond yields rise, mortgage rates tend to follow suit. However, the current trend offers a glimmer of hope as rates dip, albeit minimally. Mortgage interest rates are influenced by several factors, including the overall economic climate, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve decisions regarding interest rates.

Experts point out that while the drop in rates is not substantial, it does indicate some easing in the momentum for higher rates. It can be beneficial for both prospective homebuyers and current homeowners contemplating refinancing options, fostering a more favorable borrowing environment.

What Drives Mortgage Rates?

Several critical factors influence mortgage rates, and understanding them can equip borrowers with the knowledge to make informed decisions:

  • Economic Indicators: Inflation rates, employment data, and overall economic growth can lead to shifts in mortgage rates. For example, if inflation is higher than anticipated, investors may seek higher yields, affecting mortgage rates.
  • Bond Market Dynamics: Since mortgages are often tied to the yield on 10-year Treasury notes, fluctuations in this market directly impact mortgage rates. A rise in Treasury yields typically leads to a corresponding increase in mortgage rates.
  • Federal Reserve Policies: The Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates and quantitative easing have significant effects on lending rates. For instance, if the Fed signals a tightening of monetary policy, mortgage rates may increase.
  • Consumer Sentiment: Market perceptions can alter demand for loans, impacting overall rates. If consumers feel optimistic about the economy, they may be more inclined to take on loans, driving demand and potentially increasing rates.

Evaluating Fixed vs. Adjustable Mortgage Rates

When applying for a mortgage, borrowers often face the choice between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). Each option has its pros and cons, which can be summarized as follows:

Fixed-rate Mortgages

  • Pros: Payments remain consistent over time, allowing for predictable budgeting. Ideal for homeowners planning to stay in their homes long-term.
  • Cons: Generally, fixed rates start off higher than the initial rate of an ARM, resulting in potentially higher monthly payments. This could be a disadvantage if the borrower plans to move within a few years.

Adjustable-rate Mortgages (ARMs)

  • Pros: ARMs usually start with lower introductory rates, making initial payments lower than those of fixed-rate mortgages. This option may be suitable for those planning to move within the initial fixed period.
  • Cons: After the initial period, rates can fluctuate based on market performance, leading to unpredictable payments that can pose a risk if rates rise.

Impact of Lower Rates on Home Buying and Refinancing Decisions

Lower mortgage rates can significantly influence home buying behavior. With rates now sitting below the 7% mark, it could incentivize both first-time buyers and those looking to upgrade or downsize to take action. Furthermore, for homeowners currently locked into higher interest loans, these new rates present a favorable opportunity for refinancing, potentially resulting in considerable long-term savings on interest payments.

For instance, if a homeowner with a $300,000 mortgage refinances from a 7.5% interest rate to the current 7.06%, the savings can be quite substantial. Over 30 years, this could translate into thousands of dollars in interest saved.

Forecasting the Future: Mortgage Rate Projections for 2025

As we continue through 2025, mortgage interest rates are expected to remain relatively stable. Experts project that they might hover in the mid-6% range rather than experiencing dramatic fluctuations. For example, Fannie Mae forecasts a potential drop to around 6.1% by the end of 2025, depending on economic developments.

Forecasts are inherently uncertain and influenced by various factors, including geopolitical events, domestic policies, and global economic conditions. If a recession occurs, it might lead to further declines in mortgage rates, giving opportunities for borrowers to secure favorable terms.

Moreover, analysts point toward home prices which have been experiencing an upward trend due to limited inventory. Fannie Mae anticipates prices to increase by 3.5% throughout 2025, which puts pressure on affordability for new homebuyers. This insight is critical since, while rates may drop slightly, home prices will continue to rise, potentially negating any savings from lower rates.

Market Sentiment and its Impact on Loan Decisions

Understanding how current market sentiment affects the housing market is also crucial for potential buyers and investors. The Federal Reserve's approach, especially concerning interest rates and its stance on inflation, plays a crucial role in shaping consumer confidence. As the cost of living continues to rise due to inflation, potential homebuyers may find themselves in a precarious position, weighing the urgency of securing a home against rising costs and interest rates.

Homebuyers must consider personal circumstances, such as job stability and long-term financial goals, which are essential elements in real estate decisions. If buyers find a property that meets their needs, the current rates may provide an advantageous opportunity.

Read More:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of May 23, 2025

Dave Ramsey Predicts Mortgage Rates Will Probably Drop Soon in 2025

Future of Mortgage Rates Post-Fed Decision: Will Rates Drop?

Fed's Decision Signals Mortgage Rates Won't Go Down Significantly

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

Mortgage Rates FAQs

What are the current mortgage rates?
As of May 24, 2025, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.94%, with the 15-year fixed rate at 6.09%.

Are mortgage rates expected to decrease further?
While slight decreases have been observed, experts anticipate rates will remain fairly stable throughout the remainder of 2025.

How do I secure the best mortgage rate?
To improve chances of securing a low rate, focus on enhancing your credit score, reducing debt-to-income ratios, and exploring different loan types.

Should I refinance now or wait?
That decision hinges on your current interest rate, financial situation, and future plans. With the current rates dropping slightly, now may be an ethical moment to explore refinancing options, especially if it will lead to substantial savings.

Final Thoughts

With today’s mortgage rates exhibiting a minor downward trend, prospective buyers and existing homeowners should keep an eye on market shifts. Such changes, while sometimes minimal, can considerably impact financial decisions in the home buying and refinancing processes. While current rates offer a glimmer of relief, their movements remain influenced by broader economic factors that are complex and multifaceted.

For those looking in the housing market, the most important takeaway is to align personal circumstances with market conditions. Timing the market can be challenging, but understanding the implications of current trends can allow buyers to make empowered decisions.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Housing Market Predictions 2025 by Dave Ramsey: Will it Crash?

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Dave Ramsey's 2025 Housing Market Predictions: Will it Crash?

Everyone's been whispering about it: Will the housing market finally crash in 2025? Well, according to the financial guru Dave Ramsey, the answer is a firm no. His 2025 housing market predictions suggest we won't see a collapse. Instead, Ramsey points towards a market that's stabilizing, with prices remaining relatively high and mortgage rates unlikely to plummet back to the historic lows we once saw. This is crucial information if you're thinking of buying, selling, or just trying to understand where things are headed in the real estate world.

Housing Market Predictions 2025 by Dave Ramsey: Will it Crash?

I've been keeping a close eye on the housing market myself, and honestly, Ramsey's outlook aligns with what I'm seeing on the ground. While the frantic pace of the past few years has certainly cooled down, the fundamental factors that would lead to a major crash just don't seem to be in place. Let's dive deeper into what Ramsey and the data suggest for the year ahead.

Will Mortgage Rates Ever Go Down Significantly?

If you're holding out for mortgage rates to return to those sweet 3% days, Ramsey suggests it's time to adjust your expectations. The Mortgage Bankers Association indicated that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage peaked at around 7.79% in late 2023 and has since settled somewhat, sitting around 6.89% at the start of 2025.

Ramsey's prediction is that we'll likely see rates stabilize around the 6.5% mark, but a significant drop below that isn't anticipated. Factors like ongoing inflation and the Federal Reserve's policies will continue to play a role in keeping rates at a more moderate level.

My take on this? I agree with Ramsey. The era of ultra-cheap mortgages was largely an anomaly. While I wouldn't rule out minor fluctuations, I think a return to those rock-bottom rates is unlikely in the near future. If you're in a solid financial position to buy, waiting for a significantly lower rate could mean missing out on a home you love, especially if prices continue their upward trend, even if at a slower pace.

Recommended Read:

Dave Ramsey Predicts Mortgage Rates Will Go Down Soon in 2025 

Is Now a Good Time to Buy a House? Dave Ramsey's Perspective

Forget about trying to perfectly time the market – it's a fool's errand, as Ramsey often says. The real question isn't about the “perfect” market conditions, but rather whether you are in a good financial position to buy.

Here's Dave Ramsey's straightforward advice on when it's a good time for you to buy:

  • You are completely debt-free (excluding your mortgage).
  • You have a fully funded emergency fund that covers 3 to 6 months of your living expenses.
  • You can comfortably afford a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage with monthly payments that are no more than 25% of your take-home pay.
  • You have a solid down payment. While a 20% down payment is ideal to avoid private mortgage insurance (PMI), Ramsey acknowledges that 5-10% can be workable for first-time buyers. He generally advises against FHA and VA loans due to their additional fees.

In my experience, Ramsey's principles are spot on. Buying a home is a huge financial commitment, and going into it with a strong financial foundation is the best way to ensure long-term success and peace of mind, regardless of short-term market fluctuations.

How Will President Trump's Policies Affect the Housing Market?

With Donald Trump now back in the Oval Office, many are wondering what impact his policies might have on the housing market. Ramsey's report correctly points out that presidents don't directly control mortgage rates or housing prices – those are primarily driven by supply and demand. However, policy changes can certainly exert influence.

Here are some potential areas where President Trump's administration could nudge the housing market:

  • Zoning Laws: We might see efforts to loosen zoning restrictions at the federal level or incentives for states and localities to do so. This could potentially increase the supply of new housing over time, which could help moderate price growth.
  • Infrastructure Spending: Increased investment in infrastructure projects could make certain areas more attractive, potentially boosting home values in those regions.
  • Federal Land Use: Opening up more federal land for development could lead to an increase in available housing in some areas.

It's important to remember that these types of policy changes tend to have a gradual impact rather than causing immediate shifts. While political factors can influence the market, your personal financial situation should always be the primary driver of your home-buying decisions.

Why a Housing Market Crash in 2025 is Unlikely

For those hoping for a major housing market crash, Ramsey offers a clear perspective: it's not in the cards for 2025. This aligns with projections from entities like the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, which anticipates home prices to continue rising in the coming year, albeit likely at a more moderate pace.

The fundamental reasons why a crash like the one in 2008 is unlikely include:

  • No Over-Supply: Unlike the pre-2008 era, we don't have a massive oversupply of homes on the market. In fact, in many areas, inventory remains relatively tight.
  • Strong Buyer Demand: Despite higher mortgage rates, there's still a significant underlying demand for housing. People need places to live, and for many, homeownership remains a key financial goal.
  • Stricter Lending Practices: Lending standards are much tighter now than they were in the lead-up to the 2008 crisis. This means borrowers are generally more qualified and less likely to default on their mortgages.
  • More Home Equity: Homeowners today typically have more equity in their homes compared to the pre-2008 period, providing a buffer against potential price declines.
  • Low Foreclosure Rates: As reported by ATTOM Data, foreclosure activity actually dropped by 10% in 2024, and this trend is expected to continue. There isn't a looming wave of foreclosures that would flood the market and drive down prices.

In my opinion, focusing on increasing your income, saving diligently, and getting your financial house in order is a much more productive approach than waiting for a crash that probably won't materialize.

Understanding Average vs. Median Home Prices in 2025

When we talk about home prices, it's important to understand the difference between the average and the median. According to Federal Reserve Economic Data, the average U.S. home price at the end of 2024 was around $510,300. However, the median home price, which gives a more representative picture by excluding the impact of very high or low-priced homes, was approximately $419,200.

The reason the average is higher is that a relatively small number of very expensive homes can skew the overall average upwards. The median provides a better sense of what a typical home is selling for.

While home values have continued to rise in most areas, the dramatic price surges we saw during the 2020-2022 period have definitely calmed down. Prices aren't crashing, but they aren't skyrocketing either – they appear to be stabilizing. If you're in the market, especially in areas with limited inventory, expect to pay close to the asking price for desirable properties.

Inventory Levels: Are More Homes Becoming Available?

Housing inventory has been a significant challenge for buyers for quite some time. While there's some positive news on this front, it's important to keep it in perspective. January 2025 marked the 15th consecutive month of inventory growth. Realtor.com reported that the number of available homes was about 24.6% higher than the previous year. This is a step in the right direction, giving buyers slightly more options.

However, it's crucial to note that inventory levels are still significantly below where they were before the pandemic in 2020. This means that while the situation is improving, buyers still don't have the abundance of choices they once did, and this limited supply continues to put upward pressure on prices in many markets, especially in high-demand cities where new construction struggles to keep pace. While a healthier market is forming, don't expect a sudden surge in available homes.

Buyer Demand: Is It Still Going Strong?

Despite mortgage rates hovering above 6.5%, buyer demand hasn't disappeared. Redfin's data from January 2025 showed that 22.4% of homes sold for more than their asking price, indicating that there's still plenty of competition for desirable properties.

While demand typically follows seasonal patterns – stronger in the summer and slower in the winter – the overall trend remains relatively steady. If mortgage rates were to dip below 6.5%, we could likely see an even greater influx of buyers entering the market, further intensifying competition.

For those hoping for a significant drop-off in buyer demand, it's likely they'll be disappointed. The fundamental need for housing remains, and with inventory still constrained, demand isn't expected to wane dramatically.

2025: A Buyer's or Seller's Market? Dave Ramsey's Take

According to Dave Ramsey's analysis, the housing market is currently in a transitional phase, but sellers still generally hold the upper hand in most areas. The persistent imbalance between supply and demand means that well-priced homes in good locations are still selling relatively quickly.

That being said, the extreme bidding wars and rapid-fire offers we saw during the peak of 2021-2022 have subsided somewhat. Buyers have a little more time to consider their options and aren't always pressured into making lightning-fast decisions on overpriced properties. Sellers who try to push prices too high, expecting a frenzy, might find their homes sitting on the market longer.

The key for sellers in 2025 will be to price their homes realistically. Buyers are more discerning now and are less willing to overpay for a property that doesn't meet their expectations or budget.

Will There Be a Significant Increase in Foreclosures in 2025?

Dave Ramsey does not anticipate a surge in foreclosures in 2025. Data from ATTOM indicates that foreclosure rates actually decreased in 2024, and this trend is expected to continue.

Several factors contribute to this outlook:

  • Stricter Lending Standards: As mentioned earlier, lending practices are much more rigorous now, meaning borrowers are generally more creditworthy.
  • Greater Homeowner Equity: Many homeowners have built up significant equity in their properties, providing a financial cushion.
  • A Relatively Strong Economy: While there are always economic uncertainties, we aren't currently facing the kind of widespread economic distress that could trigger a massive wave of defaults.

For buyers hoping to find deeply discounted foreclosure deals, the pickings are likely to remain slim due to the low overall foreclosure inventory. Waiting for an economic collapse to flood the market with cheap homes is likely to be a long and ultimately unsuccessful strategy.

How to Buy a Home with Confidence in the 2025 Market

Navigating the 2025 housing market requires a focus on financial preparedness rather than trying to predict market swings. Dave Ramsey's time-tested advice for confident home buying remains relevant:

  • Get your financial house in order: This means paying off all non-mortgage debt and building a solid emergency fund.
  • Save a substantial down payment: Aim for at least 20% if possible, but understand that 5-10% might be a starting point for some first-time buyers.
  • Stick to a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: Avoid the risks associated with adjustable-rate mortgages and the extra fees often tied to government-backed loans.
  • Ensure your monthly mortgage payment (including principal, interest, property taxes, and insurance) is no more than 25% of your take-home pay.
  • Work with a knowledgeable real estate agent: A good agent who understands the local market can provide invaluable guidance.

In my own experience, focusing on these fundamentals will put you in the strongest possible position to buy a home that fits your needs and budget, regardless of the market's minor ups and downs.

How to Sell Your Home for the Best Price in 2025

While Ramsey believes sellers still have a slight advantage, simply listing your home at an inflated price and expecting a bidding war is no longer a viable strategy in most markets. Here's how to maximize your selling price in 2025:

  • Price your home strategically: Work closely with your real estate agent to determine a competitive and realistic listing price based on recent comparable sales in your area. Overpricing can lead to your home sitting on the market, eventually requiring price reductions that can make buyers wonder what's wrong with the property.
  • Prepare your home for sale: Invest in minor upgrades and repairs, such as fresh paint, fixing leaky faucets, and ensuring everything is clean and well-maintained. First impressions matter.
  • Stage your home effectively: Help buyers envision themselves living in the space by decluttering and arranging furniture in an appealing way. Consider professional staging for the best results.
  • Take high-quality photos: In today's market, most buyers start their search online. Professional, well-lit photos are crucial for attracting attention and generating showings.
  • Be prepared to be flexible: While it's still a seller's market in many areas, buyers are becoming more selective. Be open to negotiating and addressing reasonable requests.

Sellers who are realistic about pricing and presentation are the ones who will ultimately achieve the best results in the 2025 market.

The Bottom Line: Navigating the 2025 Housing Market

Dave Ramsey's 2025 housing market predictions point to a market that is stabilizing rather than crashing. While mortgage rates are higher than in recent years, they are expected to remain relatively steady. Home prices are also holding firm, with inventory showing some improvement but still remaining below pre-pandemic levels. Buyer demand continues to be resilient, giving sellers a slight edge in many areas.

The key takeaway, according to Ramsey, is that timing the market is less important than being financially prepared. Whether you're looking to buy or sell, focusing on your individual financial situation and making sound, well-informed decisions is the best approach to navigating the 2025 housing market successfully. Don't wait for a drastic market shift that may never come; instead, make a move when your personal finances are solid and the time is right for you.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Home Price Forecast, Housing Market, housing market predictions, Housing Market Trends

New Home Sales Trends and Forecast 2025

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

New Home Sales: Report, Charts, Forecast

Despite some bumps in the road, the new home sales trends for 2025 are showing surprising strength, and we're likely to see more sales this year compared to last. Let's dive into what's been happening and what I anticipate for the rest of the year.

New Home Sales Trends in 2025:

New Home Sales
Source: U.S. Census Bureau

New Home Sales Definition

New Home Sales, commonly referred to as “new residential sales,” is an economic indicator that tracks the sale of newly constructed residences. It is extensively watched by investors since it is seen as a lagging signal of real estate market demand and, thus, a factor influencing mortgage rates. Household income, unemployment, and interest rates are all variables that influence it.

The United States Census Bureau releases two versions of the New Home Sales metric: a seasonally adjusted figure and an unadjusted one. The adjusted value is shown as a yearly total, whereas the unadjusted figure is presented as a monthly total. These numbers are provided for several areas and the entire nation.

New home sales are completed when a sales contract or deposit is signed or accepted. In any stage of construction, the home might be: not yet started, in the process of being built or fully finished. About 10% of the US housing market is made up of new house sales. Preliminary numbers for new single-family home sales are subject to major changes because they are mostly based on data from construction permits.

A Spring Surprise: April's Unexpected Boost

Just when we thought we had a handle on things, the numbers for April 2025 threw us a curveball – in a good way! Across the nation, sales of new single-family homes reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 743,000. That's a significant jump of 10.9% from March. What's even more noteworthy is that new home sales are 3.3% higher than they were in April of last year. This tells me that despite the ongoing economic chatter, there's still a good amount of activity in the new construction market.

One interesting point is that this increase wasn't uniform across the country. Every region saw a rise in new home sales except for the Northeast. This regional difference could point to varying local economic conditions or specific market dynamics at play.

The Price Point Puzzle

Now, let's talk about prices. The median price of a new house sold in April was $407,200. While that's still a considerable amount of money, it's actually 2.0% lower than it was a year ago. This decrease, in my opinion, is a key factor driving the sales. With existing home sellers also adjusting their prices, new home builders seem to be recognizing the need to be competitive to attract buyers.

Inventory Insights: Finding a Better Balance

The number of new homes available for sale at the end of April was estimated to be 504,000. At the current sales pace, this represents an 8.1-month supply. This is an improvement from the 9.1-month supply we saw in March and is slightly higher than the 7.7 months in April 2024.

From my perspective, this is a positive sign. A healthier inventory level gives buyers more choices and can ease some of the pressure we've seen in recent years. It also suggests that the frantic pace of the market might be moderating, which could lead to more sustainable growth.

Why the Uptick? Digging Deeper

So, what's fueling this unexpected rise in new home sales? Several factors seem to be at play:

  • Lower Mortgage Rates: Even with some economic uncertainties, mortgage rates have been relatively stable, and at times, have dipped slightly. This makes monthly payments more manageable for potential buyers.
  • Strategic Price Cuts by Builders: The data clearly shows that more builders are reducing their prices. In April, 29% of builders reported cutting prices, compared to 22% in the same month last year. While the average price reduction remained around 5%, this willingness to adjust prices is definitely attracting buyers.
  • Increased Sales Incentives: Builders are also getting creative with incentives. Nearly 61% of builders offered some form of sales incentive in April, up from 57% a year prior. These incentives can range from help with closing costs to offering upgrades, making new homes more appealing.
  • Resilient Buyer Demand: Despite economic jitters, there's still a fundamental demand for housing. For many, owning a home remains a key financial and personal goal.

It's interesting to see how builders are adapting to the market. They understand that while there are plenty of people who want to buy, affordability is a major hurdle. By adjusting prices and offering incentives, they're finding ways to bridge that gap.

Builder Confidence: A Note of Caution

While sales are up, it's important to note that builder confidence, as measured by the National Association of Home Builders, remains somewhat low. This suggests that builders are still navigating challenges such as:

  • Cost of materials
  • Labor shortages
  • Uncertainty about future economic conditions

However, the fact that sales are increasing despite this cautious sentiment is encouraging. It indicates that even with their concerns, builders are finding ways to get deals done.

Looking Ahead: My Thoughts on the Rest of 2025

Based on what I'm seeing, I anticipate that the positive momentum in new home sales will likely continue for the remainder of 2025, barring any significant and unexpected economic shocks, like a sharp spike in mortgage rates. Here's why I'm cautiously optimistic:

  • Affordability Remains Key: As long as builders continue to be mindful of pricing and offer incentives, they will likely find buyers. The slight decrease in median new home prices is a step in the right direction.
  • Inventory Levels: The gradual increase in inventory provides more options for buyers and could lead to a more balanced market. This can prevent the kind of rapid price increases we've seen in the past.
  • Receding Recession Fears: While economic uncertainties persist, the more dire predictions of a deep recession seem to have lessened somewhat. This could provide more confidence to both buyers and sellers.

However, it's crucial to remember that the housing market is influenced by many factors, and things can change quickly. Interest rate fluctuations, inflation, and overall economic growth will continue to play a significant role.

The Bottom Line: More New Home Sales in 2025

Considering the recent data and current trends, my informed opinion is that 2025 is on track to see more new home sales than the previous year. The combination of strategic price adjustments by builders, incentives, and a still-present underlying demand for housing is creating a more active market. While challenges remain, the resilience of new home sales in the face of economic headwinds is a noteworthy development.

In summary:

  • New home sales in April 2025 saw a significant increase.
  • Median new home prices have decreased slightly year-over-year.
  • Inventory levels are improving, offering more choices for buyers.
  • Builder price cuts and incentives are attracting buyers.
  • Despite low builder confidence, sales are trending upwards.
  • I anticipate higher new home sales for the full year of 2025 compared to 2024, assuming no major economic disruptions.

New Home Sales Forecast for the Remainder of 2025: What to Expect

Two major factors always loom large in the housing market: mortgage rates and potential tariffs.

  • Mortgage Rates: When rates are low, more people can afford to buy homes. This increased demand helps builders sell their inventory. Conversely, high rates can scare away buyers. A potential sweet spot for builders seems to be around the 6% mark. Historically, when mortgage rates stabilize around this level, builder confidence tends to improve.
  • Tariffs: The possibility of new tariffs adds another layer of uncertainty. Tariffs can increase the cost of building materials, squeezing builders' profit margins. This naturally makes them more hesitant to start new projects.

What's the Forecast for the Rest of 2025?

Predicting the future is never easy, but based on the current trends, here's my take on what we can expect for the rest of 2025:

  • Stable Sales, Moderate Growth: I anticipate new home sales will remain relatively stable, with maybe some moderate growth if mortgage rates cooperate. Don't expect any boom or bust.
  • Inventory Management is Key: Builders will remain hyper-focused on managing their inventory. We might see some strategic price adjustments or incentives to move existing homes.
  • Housing Permits: Unless we see a significant drop in mortgage rates or some positive news on the tariff front, I don't foresee a major surge in housing permits.

Looking Ahead: My Opinion

Based on my knowledge, expertise, and years of closely watching the housing market, here are some key points to consider:

  • The market is in a state of flux: We aren't experiencing the highs of a few years ago, nor the lows of a major crash.
  • Builders are adapting: They are becoming more sophisticated in their approach to inventory management and risk assessment.
  • External factors play a huge role: Mortgage rates, tariffs, and the overall economic climate will continue to heavily influence the housing market.

Navigating the Housing Market in 2025

So, what does all this mean for you, whether you're a potential homebuyer, a builder, or just curious about the market?

  • For Homebuyers: If you're looking to buy, keep a close eye on mortgage rates. A slight dip could open up opportunities. Also, don't be afraid to negotiate – with the current inventory levels, builders might be willing to offer incentives.
  • For Builders: Focus on managing your existing inventory and be cautious about starting new projects until the market becomes more stable.
  • For Everyone: Stay informed! The housing market is constantly evolving. Keep track of the latest data, trends, and expert opinions to make informed decisions.

In conclusion, while new home sales in early 2025 show a slight increase, the larger picture is one of careful navigation. Builders are focused on managing inventory, and external factors like mortgage rates and tariffs will continue to play a significant role in shaping the market. Stay tuned for more updates as the year progresses.

New Home Sales Trends [Previous Months]

Here's the region-wise tabular data for new home sales from January 2024 to January 2024. The units displayed are in thousands and are the seasonally adjusted annual rate. The data estimates only include new single-family residential structures. Sales of multi-family units are excluded from these statistics.

NORTHEAST: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts New Hampshire New Jersey New York Pennsylvania Rhode Island Vermont

MIDWEST: Illinois, Iowa, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska North Dakota Wisconsin South Dakota Ohio

SOUTH: West Virginia, Virginia, Texas, Tennessee, South Carolina, Oklahoma, North Carolina, Mississippi, Maryland, Louisiana, Kentucky, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Delaware, District of Columbia, Arkansas

WEST: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming

Northeast Midwest South West Total
January 2025 28,000 70,000 392,000 167,000 657,000
Change Month over Month -20.00 % -16.67 % -14.78 % 7.74 % -10.49 %
Change Year over Year -34.88 % 0.00 % 9.50 % -12.11 % -0.61 %
Previous
December 2024 35,000 84,000 460,000 155,000 734,000
November 2024 26,000 89,000 435,000 129,000 679,000
October 2024 41,000 75,000 361,000 146,000 623,000
September 2024 28,000 77,000 477,000 156,000 738,000
August 2024 23,000 79,000 451,000 156,000 709,000
July 2024 33,000 82,000 421,000 190,000 726,000
June 2024 30,000 78,000 411,000 153,000 672,000
May 2024 23,000 84,000 416,000 149,000 672,000
April 2024 32,000 86,000 459,000 159,000 736,000
March 2024 46,000 79,000 391,000 177,000 693,000
February 2024 37,000 83,000 367,000 175,000 662,000
January 2024 43,000 70,000 358,000 190,000 661,000

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Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: home sales, New Home Sales, New Housing Sales

Worst Places to Live in the New York State (2025)

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Worst Places to Live in New York

Dreaming of New York living? Read this first! Let's dive in to reveal the worst places to live in New York you might want to skip (or research more) before moving.

New York! The land of dreams, towering skyscrapers, and…maybe not the perfect place for everyone? Whether you're a young professional seeking career opportunities, a family looking for top-rated schools, or a retiree on a fixed income, New York offers a diverse range of experiences. However, not every city or town caters to all lifestyles.

There are some locations that might not be ideal for every resident. Some areas are known for their bustling energy and cultural attractions, while others offer a more peaceful, small-town atmosphere. It all comes down to finding the perfect place that aligns with your priorities and budget.

New York is a melting pot of opportunities, but figuring out your priorities is key. While some areas boast electric nightlife and Broadway shows, others might come with a budget-busting cost of living or safety concerns.

To create this not-so-glamorous list, Money Inc. scoured through mountains of data, including crime reports, public school rankings, and even resident reviews. They focused on factors like:

  • Crime rates (not just the scary stuff, but property damage too)
  • How well the schools are doing
  • Job market muscle – unemployment rates
  • Entertainment options (exciting stuff because all work and no play…)
  • Can you afford a slice of pizza (and rent)?

There's also this video highlighting places in New York to consider avoiding. It's important to remember these might be subjective opinions. Hold on a sec! This list isn't meant to rain on your parade. Every place has its own charm, and what might be a drawback for some could be a perk for others.

Let's Explore…or Maybe Not?

Now, let's unveil the 20 places in New York that might not be ideal for everyone. We'll highlight some of the challenges, but remember, there are always two sides to the coin. Remember, “worst” is relative – what might be a drawback for some could be a perk for others! We'll highlight potential downsides, but keep in mind, there's always a flip side to the story. So use this as a jumping-off point, not a dealbreaker.

20 Worst Places to Live in New York

20. New York City:

The Big Apple for a reason! But that shiny reputation comes with a hefty price tag. Sky-high rents and a job market where everyone's hustling can make settling in tough. Plus, crime rates can be a concern in some areas.

But wait! NYC offers unmatched cultural experiences, world-class eats, and a contagious energy that's hard to resist. Plus, the subway system makes getting around a breeze.

19. Goshen:

This charming town oozes history, but job opportunities might be scarce. The cost of living, especially housing, can be high compared to local wages.

The bright side? Nature enthusiasts rejoice! Goshen boasts beautiful parks and green spaces. And for families, the highly-rated public schools are a big win.

18. Jamestown

Jamestown may not be the safest place to call home, with property crime and violent offenses plaguing the area. Job prospects are also limited.

On the other hand, Jamestown boasts affordability and a strong sense of community. Families will appreciate the highly-rated schools and abundance of kid-friendly activities.

17. Monroe

While Monroe offers a charming small-town atmosphere, its high crime rates and cost of living may be deterrents.

However, Monroe boasts excellent public schools and a variety of family-oriented attractions, like wineries and parks.

16. Albion

This quaint village faces economic challenges with a weak job market and low median home values. Crime rates are also a concern.

Despite these drawbacks, Albion offers a peaceful atmosphere with decent schools and recreational activities for residents.

15. Wappingers Falls

While crime isn't a major issue, Wappingers Falls struggles with a dwindling population and limited employment opportunities. The cost of living can be high compared to income levels.

On the positive side, Wappingers Falls offers beautiful green spaces and a peaceful environment.

14. Brockport

This village boasts a strong sense of community and above-average schools. However, a significant portion of the population lives below the poverty line, and the unemployment rate is higher than average.

Despite these economic challenges, Brockport offers a variety of entertainment options and a friendly atmosphere.

13. Endicott

Endicott has a struggling economy with limited job options and a low median household income. The median home value is also one of the lowest in the state.

A positive aspect is Endicott's proximity to beautiful natural areas and outdoor activities.

12. Poughkeepsie

Poughkeepsie's economic woes are a major concern, with a high poverty rate and unemployment. Crime rates have also risen in recent years.

However, Poughkeepsie boasts a beautiful location near the Catskill Mountains and offers some historical charm.

11. Monticello

Monticello holds the dubious distinction of having the worst unemployment rate in New York. Entertainment options are limited, and the cost of living can be high for some residents.

On the plus side, crime rates are relatively low in Monticello.

10. Binghamton

Binghamton is often cited as one of New York's most dangerous cities. Economic opportunities are also limited, with a high unemployment rate.

However, Binghamton offers some redeeming qualities, including affordable housing, above-average schools, and a vibrant nightlife scene.

9. Watertown

Watertown struggles with poor public schools, a lack of job opportunities, and a high crime rate.

Despite these challenges, Watertown offers a vibrant nightlife scene, diverse community, and affordable cost of living.

8. Utica

Utica's safety is a major concern, with a high crime rate. The job market is also weak, and the housing market reflects a lack of demand in the area.

However, Utica boasts a low cost of living and has some cultural attractions like museums and breweries.

7. Albany

Albany's crime rates are a concern, particularly in certain neighborhoods. The school district is not top-rated.

However, Albany offers the excitement of a capital city with government buildings and corporations. The cost of living is lower than the state average.

6. Newburgh

Newburgh is notorious for its crime rates, some of the highest in the state. Job opportunities are scarce, and the poverty rate is high.

A positive aspect is Newburgh's potential for development. There are ongoing revitalization efforts, and the waterfront location offers scenic beauty.

5. Schenectady

Schenectady struggles with crime rates and a weak job market. The schools are not highly rated either.

However, Schenectady boasts a lower cost of living compared to other parts of the state and has a revitalized downtown area with museums and entertainment options.

4. Niagara Falls

While the iconic falls are a major attraction, Niagara Falls struggles with a high poverty rate and limited job opportunities. Crime rates can also be a concern.

However, Niagara Falls offers a low cost of living and, of course, the awe-inspiring natural wonder of the falls themselves.

3. Syracuse

Syracuse isn't shy about its problems. Crime rates, particularly violent crime, are a major concern. The poverty rate is also high, with over 30% of residents struggling financially.

On the bright side, Syracuse boasts a growing population and a decent job market, particularly in manufacturing and service sectors. The cost of living is lower than the national average.

While excitement might be lacking, Syracuse offers some staples like farmers markets and golf courses.

2. Rochester

Crime rates, both property and violent, plague Rochester. Job opportunities are scarce, with a higher than average unemployment rate and a lower than average household income. The cost of living reflects this economic reality.

However, Rochester shines in education. Public schools are above average, and the city boasts prestigious institutions like the University of Rochester and Rochester Institute of Technology. Museums, parks, and a vibrant college scene add to the city's appeal.

1. Buffalo

Buffalo takes the unenviable top spot on our list. Violent crime, harsh winters with heavy snowfall, and a struggling public school system are major drawbacks.

Looking for a silver lining? Buffalo offers a variety of entertainment options, including The Buffalo Zoo, historical landmarks designed by Frank Lloyd Wright, and renowned art galleries. The city is also known for its delicious chicken wings and passionate sports fans (Go Bills!).

While this list highlights some challenges, remember, that every place has its unique charm. Don't be discouraged entirely – use this as a starting point for your research! New York offers a diverse range of experiences, from bustling cities to charming small towns. Consider your priorities, weigh the pros and cons, and explore further. You might be surprised by the hidden gems waiting to be discovered in the Empire State.

Recommended Read:

  • Best Places to Live in New York
  • How Much Does a House Cost in New York City?
  • NYC Housing Market: Trends and Forecast
  • Rent-to-Own Homes in NYC: A Pathway to Homeownership
  • New York Housing Market: These 3 Cities Are Hottest in the Nation

Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: New York, NYC, Worst Places to Live in New York

Worst Places to Live in Texas in 2025: Skip These Towns

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Worst Places to Live in Texas

Texas, with its sprawling landscapes and vibrant cities, beckons those seeking a dynamic place to call home. However, within this vast state, some communities face hurdles that can impact the daily lives of residents. Below are some of the worst places to live in Texas. It's crucial to remember that these challenges don't paint the entire picture of Texas.

The state boasts a strong sense of community and resilience, actively working to overcome these obstacles. We'll explore economic hardships, social issues, and the inspiring efforts underway to revitalize these communities, providing a balanced perspective on these Texas locations.

Certain communities grapple with economic challenges, but efforts are underway to address and overcome them. High unemployment and poverty rates in certain regions highlight the need for collective efforts to improve economic opportunities. Also, some of the apparently worst towns in Texas have been talked about in the video shown below.

Worst Places to Live in Texas in 2025

Hutchins

This small town near Dallas has a high poverty rate of 35%, a high unemployment rate of 8.3%, and a high crime rate of 60% above the national average. The education and housing quality are also low, making it a poor choice for living.

Robstown

The small agricultural hub of Robstown near the Corpus Christi area offers very little outside of crop harvesting jobs. Nearly 40% of the population lives below the poverty line with limited access to resources for advancement. Public schools are underfunded with extremely poor testing results. The violent crime rate is also about three times higher than average.

This town claims to be the birthplace of Texas hold 'em poker, but it also has a lot of problems. It has a high poverty rate of 32%, a high unemployment rate of 11.8%, and a low median home value of $76,300. It also ranks low on education, health, and environment.

With a crime rate of 31 per one thousand residents, Robstown has one of the highest crime rates in America compared to all communities of all sizes – from the smallest towns to the very largest cities. One's chance of becoming a victim of either violent or property crime here is one in 32. Within Texas, more than 92% of the communities have a lower crime rate than Robstown.

Livingston

This town located near Lake Livingston has a high crime rate of 90% above the national average. It has a low median income of $33,000, a low median home value of $88,900, and a low graduation rate of 77%. It also has poor health and environmental indicators.

San Benito

Near the Mexico border and the Rio Grande Valley, San Benito suffers from high poverty levels reaching 30% of households, below-average incomes, under-resourced schools, as well as crime rates that are more than double state rates. The cost of living is relatively affordable here, but economic opportunities and quality of life measures lag behind most of Texas.

The crime rate in San Benito is considerably higher than the national average across all communities in America from the largest to the smallest. According to Neighborhoodscout, based on FBI crime data, San Benito is not one of the safest communities in America. Relative to Texas, San Benito has a crime rate that is higher than 84% of the state's cities and towns of all sizes.

Balch Springs

A suburb 15 miles east of Dallas, Balch Springs tops our list as the current worst place to live in Texas. Violent crimes are 225% higher than average here while poverty and unemployment are both widespread. City infrastructure is outdated and failing while recreational opportunities are very minimal for families. The school district is also considered one of the most deficient.

This suburb of Dallas has a high crime rate of 70% above the national average, a high poverty rate of 25%, and a low median home value of $97,200. It also has low ratings on education, health, and the environment.

Port Arthur

On the Sabine Lake between Louisiana and the Gulf of Mexico sits Port Arthur, an area ravaged by crime, poverty, crumbling infrastructure, and the lasting impacts of repeated hurricanes and tropical storms. Nearly 1 in 3 residents live below the poverty line as the city suffers from a declining population and tax base.

This city on the Gulf Coast has a high poverty rate of 28%, a high unemployment rate of 10.4%, and a low median home value of $64,600. It also has poor health and environmental conditions, especially after being hit by several hurricanes.

Cleveland

This town, not related to the one in Ohio, has a high poverty rate. In 2022, the median household income of Cleveland households was $46,875. However, 10.0% of Cleveland families live in poverty. The crime rate in Cleveland, TX is also significantly higher than the national average. Violent crime in Cleveland is 47.1, nearly double the US average of 22.7.

These dual challenges of poverty and elevated crime rates necessitate a multifaceted approach to enhance the overall quality of life for Cleveland residents.

Donna

The city of Donna, TX faces significant socioeconomic challenges, as evidenced by its 2022 median household income of $34,049. While Donna households marginally surpass those in Clarksville ($33,935) and Redland ($33,689), a troubling 33.3% of Donna families grapple with the harsh realities of poverty (source: 

Compounding the community's difficulties is a considerably higher crime rate compared to the national average. The violent crime rate in Donna is a staggering 54.1, almost double the U.S. average of 22.7. This alarming statistic underscores the pressing need for targeted strategies to address and mitigate crime within the town.

The intersection of income disparities and elevated crime rates in Donna necessitates a concerted effort, including community-focused initiatives, to uplift residents and create a safer, more prosperous environment.

Killeen

The city of Killeen has one of the highest violent crime rates in the nation even though it has given birth to stars like Ne-Yo and Clayton Kershaw. 15.7% of the population in Killeen, TX, determined by poverty status, grapples with economic challenges, amounting to 23,500 individuals out of a total of 149,000 people. This figure surpasses the national average of 12.6%, indicating a higher prevalence of poverty within the community.

The town of Killeen also contends with a considerably higher crime rate than the national average. Gang violence and drug trafficking are issues that blanket the community in fear and limit economic mobility for many residents. Public school performance is also bleak here. While standing at 23 crimes per one thousand residents, Killeen doesn't rank among the communities with the very highest crime rates. However, the probability of becoming a victim of either violent or property crime in Killeen is a concerning 1 in 43.

Analysis of FBI crime data reinforces the fact that Killeen is not among the safest communities in America. In comparison to Texas, Killeen's crime rate surpasses that of 83% of the state's cities and towns, irrespective of their size. This underscores the need for targeted efforts to address both poverty and crime challenges within the community.

Freeport

Freeport occupies an ideal coastal location on the Gulf of Mexico south of Houston, but high rates of poverty, crime, and weak city services make it one of the least desirable areas to plant roots in Texas. The cost of living is low, but so is the quality of life by most measures. This city on the Brazos River has a high poverty rate of 20.9%, a high unemployment rate of 9.7%, and a low median home value of $79,900.

Neighborhoodscout paints a grim picture of safety in Freeport, revealing a crime rate significantly surpassing the national average across all American communities, regardless of size. The odds of falling victim to either violent or property crime stand at a concerning 1 in 37.

Delving into FBI crime data further reinforces the troubling narrative surrounding Freeport. Contrary to expectations, this community does not rank among the safest in America. When considering the Lone Star State, Freeport's crime rate emerges as a cause for alarm. It surpasses that of 88% of Texas' cities and towns, irrespective of their size. This places Freeport among the less secure locales within the state.

Sinton

This city in San Patricio County has a high poverty rate. Around 26.9% of Sinton families live in poverty. In 2022, the median household income of Sinton households was $46,411. The violent crime rate in Sinton is a staggering 40.3, nearly double the U.S. average of 22.7. This stark contrast underscores the heightened risk of violent incidents faced by individuals in this community.

Property crime, too, exhibits worrisome figures in Sinton. With a rate of 45.8, it surpasses the U.S. average of 35.4 by almost 30 percent. Residents grapple with an increased likelihood of property-related incidents compared to the national norm. The data underscores the imperative of heightened awareness and proactive measures to enhance safety and security in the community.

Jacksonville

This city in Cherokee County has a high poverty rate. 22.2% of the population for whom poverty status is determined in Jacksonville, TX (2.96k out of 13.4k people) live below the poverty line, a number that is higher than the national average of 12.6%.

Jacksonville, unfortunately, grapples with a crime rate that significantly surpasses the national average, spanning communities of all sizes across America. While it stands at 22 crimes per one thousand residents, it doesn't claim the dubious distinction of being among the very highest crime rate communities.

The probability of falling victim to either violent or property crime in Jacksonville is a concerning 1 in 45. This statistic highlights the elevated risk residents face in their daily lives.

Examining the FBI crime data emphasizes that Jacksonville doesn't rank among the safest communities in America. This revelation prompts a closer look at safety measures within the city.

Relatively speaking, Jacksonville's crime rate surpasses that of 81% of Texas' cities and towns, irrespective of their size. This positioning indicates a need for concerted efforts to enhance security within the community. These socioeconomic challenges call for a comprehensive approach to address the root causes and improve the overall well-being of Jacksonville residents.

Dilley

Located about an hour southwest of San Antonio, Dilley has struggled economically for years. The small town of around 4,000 residents has limited job opportunities outside of agriculture, an underfunded school system, as well as elevated rates of poverty and crime compared to state averages. Housing options are sparse and aging as well.

Orange

Situated east of Houston near Louisiana, Orange has stagnated economically with the decline of the shipbuilding and fishing industries that once drove the local economy. Today roughly one-third of residents live in poverty as crime, drugs, and gang activity run rampant. Public infrastructure is crumbling in many neighborhoods as well.

Snyder

In West Texas north of the Permian Basin, Snyder has become one of the poorest places in the state with unemployment triple the national average. City services like public transportation and recreation opportunities are extremely limited for the town’s size. Violent crime has also been on the rise in recent years.

Raymondville

The small town of Raymondville has the unfortunate distinction of being the poorest city in the entire state of Texas by a number of metrics. Located 40 miles north of the Mexico border, nearly half the population lives below the poverty line with limited access to steady employment, healthcare, or other critical services. Drug trafficking is also a major problem.

While many parts of Texas continue booming, these places represent some of the least opportune places to put down roots based on factors like crime, poverty, employment, infrastructure health, educational opportunities, and general quality of life.

They each face their mix of complex socioeconomic challenges in providing residents with basic needs and access to advancement. However, strategic investments and partnerships focused on economic development, infrastructure, policing, and education are ongoing and in the coming years would help set some of these areas on an improved track.

ALSO READ:

10 Reasons Why Texas is the Future of America


References:

  • https://datausa.io/
  • https://www.neighborhoodscout.com/
  • https://www.roadsnacks.net/worst-places-to-live-in-texas/
  • https://www.bestplaces.net/crime/

Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: Texas, Worst Places to Live in Texas

States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – May, 23 2025

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – May, 23 2025

Looking for the best mortgage rates today? On May 23, 2025, the states boasting the cheapest 30-year new purchase mortgage rates are New York, California, New Jersey, Kentucky, Indiana, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas, with average rates hovering between 7.04% and 7.12%. These states provide a slightly more affordable entry point for homebuyers compared to other regions.

States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – May, 23 2025

Buying a home is a big deal, and finding the best mortgage rate can save you thousands of dollars over the life of your loan. It's not just about the sticker price of the house; it's about the long-term cost of borrowing the money to buy it. That’s why I’m diving into the latest data on mortgage rates across the United States, specifically focusing on where you can find the lowest rates as of today.

Current Mortgage Rate Overview: A National Perspective

Before we zoom in on specific states, let's take a look at the national average. According to Zillow, as of May 23, 2025, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 7.15%. This is a slight increase from earlier in the week, rising by 4 basis points. It's also the highest we've seen since May 2024.

Here’s a quick recap of national averages across different loan types:

  • 30-Year Fixed: 7.15%
  • FHA 30-Year Fixed: 7.37%
  • 15-Year Fixed: 6.13%
  • Jumbo 30-Year Fixed: 7.16%
  • 5/6 ARM: 7.54%

It's interesting to note how much rates have fluctuated this year. Back in March, we saw 30-year rates dip to 6.50%, the lowest of the year so far. And if we rewind to September of last year, they were even lower, hitting a two-year low of 5.89%. This just goes to show how dynamic the mortgage market can be.

States Offering the Most Competitive Mortgage Rates

Okay, let's get down to the key information. Which states are offering the best deals for homebuyers right now? As of today, May 23, 2025, these states are leading the pack with the lowest 30-year mortgage rates for new purchases:

  • New York
  • California
  • New Jersey
  • Kentucky
  • Indiana
  • North Carolina
  • Tennessee
  • Texas

The average rates in these states range from 7.04% to 7.12%. While the difference may seem small, even a fraction of a percentage point can translate to significant savings over the life of a 30-year mortgage.

States With Higher Mortgage Rates

On the flip side, some states have higher average mortgage rates. As of today, these states have the most expensive 30-year rates:

  • Alaska
  • Washington, D.C.
  • West Virginia
  • Hawaii
  • Iowa
  • New Mexico
  • Maryland

In these areas, the average rates range from 7.21% to 7.30%. If you're shopping for a home in one of these states, it's especially important to compare rates from multiple lenders to ensure you're getting the best deal possible.

Why Do Mortgage Rates Vary by State?

You might be wondering why mortgage rates aren't uniform across the country. There are several factors that contribute to these state-by-state differences:

  • Lender Presence: Not all lenders operate in every state. The level of competition between lenders can influence rates. If there are fewer lenders in a particular state, they may not need to offer the most competitive rates to attract borrowers.
  • Credit Score Averages: States with higher average credit scores may see slightly lower rates. Lenders view borrowers with good credit as less risky, so they're willing to offer more favorable terms.
  • Average Loan Size: In states where the average home price is higher, the average loan size will also be larger. This can impact rates, as larger loans may be perceived as riskier by lenders.
  • State Regulations: Mortgage lending is regulated at both the federal and state levels. Different states have different rules and regulations, which can affect the cost of doing business for lenders and, consequently, the rates they offer.
  • Risk Management Strategies: Different lenders have varying approaches to risk management. Some lenders may be more conservative and charge slightly higher rates to offset potential losses, while others may be more aggressive and offer lower rates to gain market share.

The Importance of Shopping Around

One of the most crucial pieces of advice I can give you is to shop around for the best mortgage rates. Don't just settle for the first offer you receive. Get quotes from multiple lenders and compare them carefully. This includes banks, credit unions, and online mortgage companies.

Remember, the rates you see advertised online are often “teaser rates.” These are the most attractive rates a lender offers, but they may come with strings attached, such as paying points upfront or requiring an exceptionally high credit score.

Your actual mortgage rate will depend on several factors, including:

  • Your Credit Score: This is one of the most important factors. A higher credit score typically translates to a lower interest rate.
  • Your Income: Lenders want to ensure you can afford to repay the loan. They'll look at your income and debt-to-income ratio (DTI) to assess your ability to make monthly payments.
  • Your Down Payment: A larger down payment can result in a lower interest rate because it reduces the lender's risk.
  • The Loan Type: Different loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA) come with different rates and terms.
  • The Property Type: The type of property you're buying (e.g., single-family home, condo, manufactured home) can also affect your rate.

Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates are influenced by a complex interplay of economic and market factors. Understanding these factors can help you make informed decisions about when to buy a home and lock in a mortgage rate. Some of the key drivers include:

  • The Bond Market: Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond. When bond yields rise, mortgage rates typically follow suit, and vice versa.
  • The Federal Reserve (The Fed): The Fed's monetary policy decisions can have a significant impact on mortgage rates. For example, when the Fed buys bonds, it can lower rates. Conversely, when the Fed raises interest rates, mortgage rates tend to increase as well.
  • Inflation: Inflation erodes the value of money over time. Lenders want to be compensated for this risk, so higher inflation typically leads to higher mortgage rates.
  • Economic Growth: A strong economy can lead to higher demand for housing, which can push up mortgage rates.
  • Competition Among Lenders: When there's intense competition among lenders, they may lower their rates to attract borrowers.

Historically, The Fed maintained the federal funds rate at its peak level for almost 14 months, beginning in July 2023. But in September, the central bank announced a first rate cut of 0.50 percentage points, and then followed that with quarter-point reductions in November and December. For its third meeting of the new year, however, the Fed opted to hold rates steady—and it’s possible the central bank may not make another rate cut for months. With a total of eight rate-setting meetings scheduled per year, that means we could see multiple rate-hold announcements in 2025.

Read More:

States With the Lowest Mortgage Rates on May 22, 2025

Projected Mortgage Rates for the Week of May 5-11, 2025

When Will Mortgage Rates Go Down from Current Highs in 2025?

Key Takeaways for Homebuyers

  • Shop Around: Get quotes from multiple lenders and compare rates and fees.
  • Improve Your Credit Score: A higher credit score can help you qualify for a lower interest rate.
  • Save for a Larger Down Payment: A larger down payment can reduce the lender's risk and potentially lower your rate.
  • Understand the Factors That Influence Mortgage Rates: Keep an eye on economic indicators and Fed policy decisions.
  • Use a Mortgage Calculator: Estimate your monthly payments and see how different loan scenarios affect your affordability.

Final Thoughts

Navigating the mortgage market can be complex, but with the right information and resources, you can find the best possible rate for your situation. Remember, even a small difference in interest rates can save you a substantial amount of money over the life of your loan. As of May 23, 2025, keep an eye on states like New York, California, and New Jersey for potentially lower rates, but always compare multiple offers to ensure you're getting the best deal for your unique financial situation. Good luck with your home buying journey!

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Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Housing Market Trends 2025: Sales, Prices, and Supply Analysis

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

housing market trends

If you're trying to make sense of the Housing Market Trends 2025, especially when it comes to sales, prices, and inventory, you're not alone. Based on the latest data from May 2025, it appears we're navigating a market that's finding a new rhythm. While sales have slightly edged down, and prices continue their long-term climb, a notable rise in the number of homes available for sale is giving buyers something they haven't seen in a while: more choices. Let's dive deeper into what this all means for you.

Housing Market Trends of 2025: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know

A Closer Look at Home Sales in 2025

As of April 2025, the numbers show that existing-home sales have slipped slightly by 0.5% compared to the previous month, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.00 million. Looking back a year, we see a 2.0% decrease from April 2024. Now, while a slight dip might not seem like a big deal on the surface, it's important to understand the context. For the past three years, home sales have been hovering at around 75% of what we'd consider normal before the pandemic. This is despite the fact that our economy has added a significant number of jobs.

In my opinion, this sustained level of relatively lower sales points to a couple of key factors. Firstly, mortgage rates, while slightly down from the previous year, are still playing a significant role in affordability. Secondly, there's a clear pent-up demand from potential buyers who might be waiting for the right moment to jump into the market – whether that's lower rates, more favorable prices, or simply finding the perfect home. As Lawrence Yun, the Chief Economist at the National Association of REALTORS®, rightly pointed out, any substantial drop in mortgage rates could very well unleash this built-up demand.

Regionally, the picture is a bit mixed:

  • The Northeast and West saw a decrease in sales.
  • The Midwest experienced a slight increase.
  • The South remained unchanged from the previous month but is down year-over-year.

This regional variation highlights the fact that real estate is inherently local. What's happening in one part of the country might not be the same in another, influenced by local economies, job markets, and even migration patterns.

The Persistent Rise of Home Prices

One trend that seems to be stubbornly consistent is the upward trajectory of home prices. In April 2025, the median existing-home sales price reached $414,000, marking a 1.8% increase from April 2024. What's even more notable is that this is the 22nd consecutive month of year-over-year price increases and an all-time high for the month of April.

While some might see this as a sign of a booming market, I believe it reflects a continued imbalance between supply and demand, even with the recent uptick in inventory. The fact that prices are still rising, even as sales moderate, suggests that there are still enough buyers competing for the available properties.

It's interesting to note that price changes also vary by region:

  • The Northeast and Midwest saw price increases.
  • The South and West registered price decreases.

This regional divergence in price trends could signal shifts in local market dynamics and affordability levels.

Inventory Levels: A Breath of Fresh Air for Buyers?

Here's a development that has caught my attention: the inventory of unsold existing homes jumped by a significant 9.0% from March to reach 1.45 million units at the end of April 2025. Compared to a year ago, inventory is up by a substantial 20.8%. This translates to a 4.4-month supply at the current sales pace, an increase from both the previous month and April 2024.

In my opinion, this rise in inventory is a welcome sign for potential homebuyers who have been facing limited options for quite some time. For the past few years, the lack of homes for sale has created a highly competitive environment, often leading to bidding wars and frustrated buyers. With more homes on the market, buyers now have more leverage and time to make decisions. As Lawrence Yun mentioned, with the highest inventory levels in nearly five years, consumers are in a better position to negotiate for better deals. This shift could gradually lead to a more balanced market.

However, it's crucial to remember that a 4.4-month supply still leans towards a seller's market at the macro level. A truly balanced market typically has around a 6-month supply. So, while things are improving for buyers, we're not quite there yet.

Other Important Market Indicators

Beyond sales, prices, and inventory, several other indicators provide valuable insights into the health of the housing market:

  • Days on Market: Properties were on the market for an average of 29 days in April 2025, down from 36 days in March but up from 26 days in April 2024. This suggests that while homes are taking slightly longer to sell than they were a year ago, the market is still relatively active.
  • First-Time Home Buyers: This group accounted for 34% of sales in April, an increase from the previous month and the same period last year. However, it's still lower than the historical average, reflecting the ongoing challenges first-time buyers face with affordability and competition.
  • Cash Sales: The share of cash sales decreased to 25% in April, down from previous months and the prior year. This could indicate that more buyers are relying on financing as inventory increases and the urgency to make all-cash offers diminishes slightly.
  • Investor/Second-Home Buyers: This segment remained steady at 15% of purchases in April, slightly down from a year ago.
  • Distressed Sales: Foreclosures and short sales continue to represent a very small portion of the market, at just 2% of sales. This indicates that the market is not currently facing widespread financial distress among homeowners.
  • Mortgage Rates: As of mid-May 2025, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.81%. While this is down from the previous year, fluctuations in mortgage rates continue to impact buyer affordability and market activity.

My Opinion and Thoughts on the Future

Based on the current data and my understanding of market dynamics, I believe the Housing Market Trends 2025 point towards a market in transition. We're seeing a moderation in sales activity, likely influenced by ongoing affordability challenges. However, the consistent rise in prices, albeit with regional variations, suggests that demand still outweighs supply in many areas, even with the welcome increase in inventory.

I anticipate that the rest of 2025 will likely be characterized by:

  • Continued price appreciation, but potentially at a slower pace as more inventory comes onto the market and buyers gain more negotiating power.
  • Mortgage rate movements remaining a key factor influencing both buyer demand and sales volume. Any significant and sustained decrease in rates could re-ignite buyer activity.
  • Regional differences becoming more pronounced, with local economic conditions playing an even greater role in shaping housing market trends.
  • First-time homebuyers continuing to face hurdles, requiring innovative solutions and potentially more favorable financing options to improve their access to homeownership.

For potential buyers, this might be the best opportunity in recent memory to find more options and potentially negotiate a better deal. However, it's still crucial to be prepared with your financing and understand the local market conditions. For sellers, while demand remains, the increase in inventory means that pricing your home competitively and ensuring it's in top condition will be more important than ever.

Future Housing Market Trends

I believe that the housing market is heading in a positive direction, although challenges remain. We can expect to see a gradual increase in housing inventory, although supply might still remain somewhat constrained for some time.

I also believe that mortgage rates will likely remain stable in the near term, potentially supporting continued growth in sales. However, there's always uncertainty related to inflation and economic conditions that could impact mortgage rates.

Home prices are likely to continue to rise, but at a more moderate pace, as inventory increases and more new homes are built. I believe that we'll likely see a continuation of healthy price growth, albeit at a slower pace compared to previous years.

First-time homebuyers will continue to face affordability challenges, so it is crucial for policymakers and lenders to explore solutions that can help make homeownership more accessible.

Here are some factors that are contributing to this shift in the housing market to become more buyer-friendly:

  • Rising interest rates: Mortgage rates have been rising since last year, making it more expensive for buyers to finance a home. If it continues next year, this is expected to slow down demand and give buyers more leverage in negotiations.
  • Rising inflation: Inflation is also on the rise, which is making it more expensive for everyone to live, including homeowners. This could lead to some sellers being more willing to sell their homes at a lower price.
  • Increasing inventory: The supply of homes for sale is slowly starting to increase, which is also giving buyers more options.

The cooling of the housing market could be terrible news for sellers, but for buyers, it's great. Yet there is still the problem of sky-high mortgage rates. The bright side is that if buyers hold off, the supply of homes will increase, putting further pressure on sellers to decrease prices. This would constitute a long-overdue course correction for the housing market. Mortgage rates are skyrocketing. Home sales are declining. Supply is improving. We are witnessing a sharp slowdown in the housing market due to higher mortgage rates.

Housing Market Trend #1: Increasing Demand for Affordable Housing

The demand for affordable housing is one of the most pressing issues in the housing market. The rise in housing prices, combined with stagnant wages, has made it difficult for many individuals and families to find safe and secure housing. In 2023, it is expected that access to affordable housing will continue to be a challenge. Innovative solutions will be necessary to address this issue and provide affordable housing options for those in need.

Housing Market Trend #2: Shift toward Suburban and Rural Areas

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused many people to reevaluate their living arrangements, with larger homes and more space becoming increasingly important. This shift in priorities could result in a greater demand for housing in suburban and rural areas, leading to higher prices. This trend is expected to continue in 2023, especially as remote work becomes more prevalent.

Housing Market Trend #3: Rising Home Prices

Despite the economic impact of the pandemic, housing prices have continued to rise due to limited supply and high demand. While this is good news for homeowners, it could make it more difficult for some individuals to enter the housing market. The trend toward rising home prices is expected to persist in 2023, particularly in urban areas where the supply is limited.

Housing Market Trend #4: Stricter Mortgage Standards

As the economy recovers and interest rates rise, mortgage lenders may become more cautious about who they lend to. This could make it more difficult for some individuals to qualify for a mortgage and realize their dream of homeownership. Stricter mortgage standards are a potential barrier for those seeking to enter the housing market.

Trend #5: Increased Investment in Technology

The pandemic has accelerated the adoption of technology in the real estate industry, with virtual home tours and digital transactions becoming more common. This trend is expected to continue in 2023, with technological investments helping to streamline the home buying and selling process. Technology could also play a role in addressing the challenge of affordable housing, with innovations such as modular homes and 3D printing.

Hence, the housing market in 2023 will be shaped by economic, social, and technological factors. While predicting the future is never easy, understanding these trends can help individuals and policymakers make informed decisions about the housing market. It is important to address the challenge of affordable housing, as well as the potential barriers to homeownership such as rising home prices and stricter mortgage standards. Technological innovations are also likely to play a critical role in shaping the housing market in the coming years. By keeping these trends in mind, stakeholders can work towards creating a housing market that is equitable, accessible, and sustainable for all.

Benefits for Homebuyers in 2025's Housing Market

There are a few potential benefits for homebuyers in the current real estate housing market:

  • More choices: While the supply of homes on the market is still relatively low, it has increased slightly in recent months. This means that potential homebuyers may have more options to choose from when looking for a home. The number of new homes available on the market also increased in February, which means that potential homebuyers have more options to choose from.
  • Slower price growth: Although home prices are still rising, the pace of growth has slowed down in some areas. This could make it easier for homebuyers to afford a home in certain markets.
  • Easier negotiations: In a slower housing market, sellers may be more willing to negotiate on the price of their home or other terms of the sale. This could give homebuyers more bargaining power and help them get a better deal on a home.
  • Lower prices: While the median price of a new home rose slightly from a year ago, the increased inventory could lead to greater competition among sellers, potentially driving down prices.
  • Leading indicator: New home sales are considered a leading indicator for the housing market, meaning that an increase in new home sales could signal a positive trend for the housing market overall. This could be good news for potential homebuyers who may be hesitant to enter the market during a downturn.

Looking ahead to 2025, the US housing market, key trends and factors will shape the real estate landscape. These include the influence of interest and mortgage rates on buyer demand, the persistent challenge of limited housing inventory, steady growth in home prices, and concerns over affordability for potential buyers.

Generational shifts and the impact of remote work will also shape housing preferences, while government policies and regional variations will contribute to market dynamics. Overall, staying informed and adaptable will be crucial for navigating the evolving housing landscape in the coming months.

One key factor to watch is the potential impact of policy considerations, such as a temporary reduction in capital gains tax on investment property sales. If implemented, this measure could stimulate the market by increasing housing inventory, sales, and overall economic growth. Policymakers will need to carefully evaluate and balance the potential benefits of such measures against any unintended consequences.

Addressing the challenges of housing inventory and supply levels will be critical moving forward. Collaborative efforts among policymakers, industry professionals, and stakeholders will be necessary to find sustainable solutions. Encouraging an increase in housing inventory will help meet the demand from prospective buyers and potentially stabilize prices.

Localized data and insights will continue to be essential for making informed decisions. Consulting with local associations of REALTORS® and utilizing data from local multiple listing services (MLS) can provide accurate and detailed information specific to particular areas. This will help individuals and businesses navigate market conditions effectively and make strategic choices.

Monitoring forthcoming releases of key indicators, such as the Pending Home Sales Index and Existing-Home Sales data, will offer valuable insights into the evolving trends and dynamics of the real estate market. Staying informed and adaptable to changing conditions will be crucial for making well-informed decisions and seizing opportunities in this dynamic landscape.

While challenges persist, the real estate market also presents opportunities for growth and investment. With careful analysis of market conditions, consideration of policy measures, and collaboration among industry stakeholders, the real estate sector can strive toward a more balanced and sustainable future.

Recommended Read:

  • Housing Market Predictions for 2025 by Bank of America
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2028
  • Housing Market Forecast for the Next 2 Years: 2024-2026
  • Housing Market Forecast Shows Affordability Crisis to Continue in 2025
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next Year: Prices to Rise by 4.4%
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • Is the Housing Market on the Brink: Crash or Boom?
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years (2024-2028)

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market

Today’s Mortgage Rates – May 23, 2025: Rates Climb Higher as Tax Bill Moves Forward

May 23, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's Mortgage Rates - May 23, 2025: Rates Climb Higher as Tax Bill Moves Forward

Mortgage rates on May 23, 2025, have seen a notable increase compared to previous weeks, marking the third consecutive week of rising interest rates. According to Freddie Mac, the weekly national average for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently at 6.86%, while the average for a 15-year fixed mortgage stands at 6.01%. While these rates represent a slight uptick, they remain lower than they were a year ago, providing some relief to potential buyers amid an otherwise challenging market.

However, mortgage rates have also climbed to their highest point in over a month as investors react to concerns about U.S. credit risk and the potential for a widening budget deficit. Contributing factors include the recent downgrade to the U.S. credit rating and anticipated increases to the deficit stemming from tax policy. These concerns are driving demand for higher yields on the 10-year Treasury, which in turn impacts mortgage rates. Significant improvement in mortgage rates this year likely hinges on signs of a softening labor market.

Today's Mortgage Rates – May 23, 2025: Rates Climb Higher as Tax Bill Moves Forward

Key Takeaways

  • Today's Rates: 30-year fixed at 6.96%, 15-year fixed at 6.12%.
  • Trend: Rates have increased for three weeks straight.
  • Comparison to Previous Year: Both types of loans are lower than this time last year.
  • Market Context: Investor concerns about U.S. credit risks are influencing these rates.
  • Future Outlook: Predictions suggest rates may stabilize but not drop significantly this year.

Current Mortgage Rates Overview

According to Zillow, as of May 23, 2025, the mortgage and refinance rates in the U.S. are as follows:

  • 30-year fixed: 6.96%
  • 20-year fixed: 6.79%
  • 15-year fixed: 6.12%
  • 5/1 ARM: 7.61%
  • 7/1 ARM: 7.58%
  • 30-year VA: 6.49%
  • 15-year VA: 5.79%
  • 5/1 VA: 6.35%

Additionally, for those considering refinancing, here are the current national averages:

Refinance Type Rate (%)
30-year Fixed 7.07
20-year Fixed 6.58
15-year Fixed 6.08
5/1 ARM 7.91
7/1 ARM 7.68
30-year VA 6.53
15-year VA 6.13
5/1 VA 6.31

It’s worth noting how fluctuations in rates can impact different borrowers. Traditionally, refinancing rates tend to be slightly higher than those for purchasing new homes, but this can vary based on individual circumstances, like loan-to-value ratios and credit scores. Higher refinance rates may deter some homeowners from opting for a refinance, especially if they secured a lower rate previously.

How Mortgage Interest Rates Work

Understanding how mortgage interest rates work is fundamental for anyone considering buying or refinancing a home. Mortgage rates are essentially the costs associated with borrowing money to finance a home, expressed as a percentage.

  1. Fixed-Rate Mortgages:
    • A fixed-rate mortgage locks in a consistent interest rate for the entire duration of the loan. For example, if you secure a 30-year mortgage at 6%, that rate remains constant for the full term unless you choose to refinance.
  2. Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs):
    • ARMs offer an initial lower interest rate, which can then change at specified intervals based on market conditions. For instance, with a 7/1 ARM, you enjoy a fixed rate for the first seven years, with subsequent adjustments happening annually thereafter. This can be advantageous if you plan to sell or refinance before the rate adjusts.

A unique aspect of mortgages is how payments are structured. In the early years of the loan, your payments mainly cover interest rather than the principal amount borrowed. Over time, however, a greater portion of your monthly payment goes towards the principal, building equity in your home.

What’s Driving Mortgage Rates Up?

The recent increase in mortgage rates can be attributed to various economic factors, which broadly influence both borrower costs and investor behavior.

  • Investor Sentiment: Investors are closely monitoring the U.S. credit rating and the potential for budget deficits. Concerns surrounding economic growth can lead investors to seek higher returns on Treasury bonds, directly affecting mortgage rates.
  • Federal Reserve Policies: The Federal Reserve plays a crucial role in influencing interest rates by adjusting monetary policy in response to economic conditions. If economic indicators show inflation or growth concerns, the Fed may decide to maintain or increase interest rates, which impacts mortgage rates directly.
  • Labor Market Dynamics: A robust labor market typically exerts upward pressure on mortgage rates. Strong employment figures can lead to wage growth, sparking inflation fears. Conversely, if the labor market shows signs of cooling (for instance, rising unemployment rates), this could prompt a decrease in mortgage rates as investors flock to safer assets.

Read More:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of May 22, 2025

Dave Ramsey Predicts Mortgage Rates Will Probably Drop Soon in 2025

Future of Mortgage Rates Post-Fed Decision: Will Rates Drop?

Fed's Decision Signals Mortgage Rates Won't Go Down Significantly

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

Assessing Future Outlooks

Looking ahead, a multitude of factors could influence mortgage rates throughout 2025. According to forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association, both groups expect mortgage rates to settle around 6.5% to 6.8% for the remainder of the year.

Here’s a closer look at the projected quarterly rates for the common 30-year fixed-rate mortgages:

Forecaster Q2/25 Q3/25 Q4/25 Q1/26
Fannie Mae 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.1%
MBA 7.0% 6.8% 6.7% 6.6%

Fannie Mae’s outlook indicates a more cautious approach, anticipating gradual improvements. In contrast, the MBA’s slightly higher expectations reflect optimism that market conditions will stabilize in favor of prospective buyers.

Understanding the Broader Economic Impacts

The implications of rising mortgage rates extend beyond individual borrowing costs. Firstly, if fewer individuals can afford to buy homes due to increasing mortgage rates, there could be a slowdown in housing market activity. This reduction in homebuying may lead to lower demand for housing, affecting related sectors like construction, real estate, and home goods.

Furthermore, if home sales decline, new construction may slow, which can lead to job losses in the construction sector and affect suppliers of building materials. As fewer homes are sold, fewer consumers will purchase related goods—everything from appliances to landscaping services—causing further ripple effects throughout the local economy.

Conversely, a stabilizing housing market can yield advantages for prospective buyers. With inventory levels improving, homebuyers may find a broader selection of properties, potentially improving their negotiating power. In addition, the “lock-in effect” may begin to cool as more homeowners opt to list their properties despite earlier low mortgage rates, contributing to a healthier market equilibrium.

Conclusion

Today's housing market, characterized by shifting mortgage rates, demands informed and adaptable strategies for homebuyers and those considering refinancing. While the relationship between economic factors, market sentiment, and mortgage rates can be complex, understanding these dynamics empowers you to make sound financial decisions.

Despite the challenges, current conditions also present opportunities. While rates are higher than recent lows, they remain competitive compared to last year, potentially making homeownership more attainable than you might think.

In a market where timing and rates significantly impact your financial well-being, knowledge is key. Whether you're buying or refinancing, being well-informed is crucial for securing the best possible outcome.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

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Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

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