The Colorado housing market has been in a state of flux over the past few years due to the surge in demand for homes. This has led to an increase in home prices across most regions of the state, making it difficult for buyers to find their dream homes. On the other hand, it has been a seller's market, with more buyers than houses, resulting in prices being driven up.
The Colorado housing market has seen some notable changes in April 2023. From shifts in median and average prices to changes in sales and inventory, the market is experiencing fluctuations that can have a significant impact on buyers and sellers. Let's delve into the details and explore the key findings from the latest housing report released by the Colorado Association of Realtors.
The median single-family home price in Colorado reached $600k for the first time in April of last year and has now dropped to $565,000. In April 2023, the median price in the Colorado housing market (statewide) was $565,000, down -5.8% year-over-year. This is good news for buyers who may have been priced out of the market in the past. Here's the data for all properties including SFH and Condos.
- InĀ April 2023, the median price in the Colorado housing market (statewide) was $530,000, down -4.5% year-over-year.
- The Average Sales Price in Colorado was $663,991, down 4.4% year-over-year.
- Percent of List Price Received has dropped to 99.6%.
- Average Days on Market Until Sale = 46, up 100% year-over-year.
- Closed sales were down by almost 27.5% from last year.
- Pending sales were down by 15.9% from last year.
- Months supply was up by almost 54.5% to 1.7 months, which is a sign that Colorado is a seller's real estate market.
- New Listings decreased by 27.5% year-over-year, which either shows a decrease in seller optimism.
The April 2023 housing report for Colorado reveals a changing landscape in the real estate market. While median and average prices experienced a decline, the increase in average days on market and months supply of inventory indicates a market that is shifting in favor of buyers. Closed and pending sales also saw significant decreases, suggesting a decrease in market activity.
As new listings decreased, sellers may be adjusting their strategies in response to market conditions. Closed sales experienced a decline of nearly 27.5% from the previous year, indicating a decrease in the number of successfully completed transactions. Additionally, pending sales were down by 15.9% compared to April 2022, suggesting a slowdown in the market's activity and a possible decrease in buyer demand.
Colorado Housing Market Predictions 2023-2024
The Colorado housing market has experienced notable shifts in April 2023, as reflected in the recent housing report. Now, let's delve into the forecast for the future, considering the data and trends observed, to provide insights for buyers and sellers in Colorado.
Price Expectations:
Based on the data from April 2023, where the median price in Colorado decreased by -4.5% year-over-year, and the average sales price declined by 4.4%, it indicates a potential opportunity for buyers to enter the market at more favorable price points. However, it's important to note that real estate prices can be influenced by various factors, including economic conditions and market trends.
Supply and Demand Dynamics:
The months supply of inventory increased by approximately 54.5% to 1.7 months in April 2023. This suggests a market that favors buyers, as the supply of homes exceeds current demand. However, it's essential to monitor supply and demand dynamics closely, as market conditions can change over time.
Sales and New Listings:
The housing report indicated a decline in closed sales by nearly 27.5% and a decrease in new listings by 27.5% year-over-year. This suggests a potential slowdown in market activity. While sellers may adjust their strategies and expectations, buyers may have fewer options to choose from. Monitoring the market for any shifts in sales and new listings is crucial for understanding future trends.
Based on the data and trends observed in April 2023, the Colorado housing market forecast suggests a market that presents opportunities for buyers. The decline in median and average prices, along with increased days on market and inventory supply, may provide favorable conditions for those looking to enter the market. However, it's essential to remain vigilant and adapt to changing market dynamics.
Colorado MSAs Housing Market Forecast: A Closer Look at Regional Outlooks
As we explore the housing market forecast for Colorado, it's crucial to understand how different Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) within the state may perform. The following data by Zillow provides insights into the forecasted trends for various Colorado MSAs, offering a glimpse into potential opportunities and challenges within each region.
Denver, CO MSA:
In the Denver MSA, the forecast indicates a relatively stable market, with minor fluctuations in prices. While there is no significant change projected for May 2023, a slight decrease of -0.1% is anticipated by July 2023. However, the market is expected to rebound, showing growth of 1.8% by April 2024.
Colorado Springs, CO MSA:
The forecast for the Colorado Springs MSA demonstrates consistent growth. Prices are expected to remain steady in May 2023, followed by a modest increase of 0.1% by July 2023. The market is projected to experience substantial growth, with a forecasted rise of 3.1% by April 2024.
Fort Collins, CO MSA:
The Fort Collins MSA is poised for a positive market performance. A modest increase of 0.5% is anticipated by May 2023, followed by continued growth of 0.8% by July 2023 and 2.9% by April 2024. These figures suggest a favorable market for both buyers and sellers.
Boulder, CO MSA:
The Boulder MSA is projected to experience minor fluctuations in prices. No significant change is expected in May 2023, with a slight decrease of -0.3% by July 2023. However, the market is forecasted to rebound with a 1.1% increase by April 2024.
Greeley, CO MSA:
In the Greeley MSA, a steady upward trend is expected. Prices are forecasted to increase by 0.5% in May 2023, followed by additional growth of 0.8% by July 2023 and 3.5% by April 2024. These positive trends suggest a robust market for the region.
Will the Colorado Housing Market Crash?
The Colorado housing market has experienced a significant surge in demand and price appreciation during the past two years, making it a challenging environment for buyers to find affordable homes. However, there are signs that the market may be slowing down, with decreased sales, increased inventory, and longer time on the market. The forecast for the next year predicts a continued slowdown in price appreciation and sales volume, but it is still expected to remain a seller's market.
One significant factor that could impact the Colorado housing market's future is the state's economy. Colorado's economy has been robust, with low unemployment rates and a thriving tech industry, attracting a large number of people to the state. However, if the economy were to take a downturn, it could lead to a decrease in demand for homes and a subsequent drop in prices. Additionally, rising interest rates could also affect the housing market, making it more expensive for buyers to obtain mortgages and leading to a decrease in demand.
While there is always a risk of a market crash, it is unlikely to happen in the current scenario. The Colorado housing market has shown resilience to economic fluctuations in the past, and its diverse economy and job growth make it less vulnerable to sudden changes. Furthermore, the state's population growth is expected to continue, which will keep the demand for homes high.
In conclusion, the Colorado housing market has been a challenging environment for buyers in recent years, with high prices and limited inventory. While the market may be slowing down, it is still a seller's market, and prices are expected to continue appreciating, albeit at a slower pace.
Factors such as the state's robust economy and population growth suggest that the housing market is unlikely to crash in the current scenario, but rising interest rates could lead to a decrease in demand and a subsequent drop in prices. Therefore, it is essential to keep an eye on economic indicators and market trends while making any real estate decisions in Colorado.
References:
- https://www.zillow.com/co/home-values/
- https://www.recolorado.com/buy-sell/market-trends/
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ACTLISCOUCO#
- https://coloradorealtors.com/market-trends/regional-and-statewide-statistics/
