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In an effort to revive the economy the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate today but a half-point (0.5%). This lowers the rate to 1 percent – the lowest rate since 2003-2004. The last time the federal funds rate was lower than 1 percent was during the Eisenhower administration in 1958.

Today’s interest rate cut was the second half-point cut this month. The last one on October 8, 2008 was in a coordinated move with foreign central banks.

This year’s economic weakness has created huge declines in the price of oil and other commodities. While many economists believe the country is in a recession, they also believe the recent rate cuts and other aggressive actions by the Fed will help prevent a prolonged downturn and help unfreeze the credit markets.

If these aggressive moves by the federal government are successful in thawing the credit markets, it will be great news for real estate investors who are having difficulty financing their real estate investments.

The Future of the Housing MarketIn some of the worst housing markets in the country, deflation has reached double-digit proportions.  While housing woes have spread around the country, California appears to be poised to rank among the worse.  One of the primary reasons for this is the fact that in the last few quarters California has experienced the largest rate of deflating home prices.  In fact, home prices in California have fallen to levels that have been unprecedented.

Miami, Florida has also proven to be a difficult market at the moment.  The weak mortgage market and record high rates of foreclosures have led to declining home values as well.  In fact, Miami has been among the worst home markets in the country for two years running. The condo boom in Miami just a few years ago has further fueled the problems that have now spiraled into a massive real estate bust.

Continue reading »

How to Get Your Investment Down PaymentReal estate has always been the fastest and safest investment vehicle to acquire wealth and reach millionaire status.  But without a down payment your real estate investment goals will be difficult to achieve.

Every year that you don’t invest will cost you money in lost opportunity.  So where do you get your down payment?  How do you do it?    Continue reading »

The bill designed to rescue the nation’s troubled financial system was voted down today in a stunning vote of 228 to 205.

The rejected bailout shocked the capital and worldwide markets even after warnings from President Bush and congressional leaders that the economy could continue to suffer and possibly nosedive if not passed soon.

The stock market plunged even before the vote to reject the bill was officially announced on the House floor.  The decline for the day surpassed the 721-point previous record on the day after the September 11, 2001 terror attacks.  In percentage terms it was well short of the drops on Black Monday in October 1987 and at the start of the Great Depression.

Although we as a country will work our way out of this financial mess, credit will continue to stay tight in the meantime.  Conventional and “A” paper loans are still available to borrowers with good credit, but don’t expect to find many options if you are looking for a sub-prime loan or have poor credit.

Let’s continue to stay glued to our TV’s and radios and watch the drama unfold…

History Repeats ItselfBack in 1999, Fannie Mae introduced a pilot program that lowered the credit requirements on loans that it would purchase from banks and lending institutions.  The program was is intended, in part, to increase the number of minority and low income home owners who tend to have lower credit ratings than non-Hispanic whites.

The pilot program started with 24 banks in 15 markets and expanded nationwide in less than one year.  However, even back in September 1999 there was concern that Fannie Mae, a government-subsidized corporation, could run into trouble in an economic downturn.  And if that happened it would prompt a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980’s.

With the recent problems in the financial markets and the government’s proposed $700 Billion bailout package, it looks like history may be repeating itself like it did with the savings and loan crisis of the 80’s.

What can you do as a real estate investor today?  Well, if you have good credit and the funds to invest, now is a good time to find all kinds of great real estate deals coupled with low interest rate financing.  If you’ve been sitting on the fence then take action today.

If you stop and think about it, it was the housing market collapse that pulled these large financial institutions down over the last several weeks.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac owned or guaranteed one-half of the $12 Trillion mortgage market.  Lehman Brothers had over $60 Billion in mortgage related assets on its books.

This has all led to a credit bubble burst in the shadow of the housing “bubble”.  So what happens if credit tightens even more because money isn’t available to the financial system?  Simply put, we may see house prices fall even further in most parts of the country because those who want to buy won’t be able to.

If the housing market doesn’t stabilize, then the financial market won’t either.  Are we talking a year or two from now?  There is strong evidence that the worst hasn’t even happened yet – particularly in states like California and Florida.  You can expect to see banks taking back and unloading a lot of inventory over the next twelve months or more.

In the meantime, focus your real estate investing in markets that have strong economic fundamentals to maximize your short and long term appreciation and overall return on investment.

Your Next Mortgage May Be Risk AdjustedYour next mortgage may be risk adjusted!

Up until now your mortgage rate was based on the type of mortgage you chose and your credit profile.  But lenders have already started to assess up-front fees based on an individual’s credit score, and in the future this change may begin to resemble pricing similar to homeowners insurance factoring in many more variables.

If your credit score is under 720, you may be paying anywhere from a half point (0.5%) to as much as 2.75% in extra fees as your score gets lower according to Freddie Mac.  While some lenders assess a higher interest rate on your mortgage instead of charging you upfront fees.

The good news for those with exceptional credit may be lower than average rates and better loan terms.  The bad news is that those with below average credit score will be paying more for their loans than previously before.

In addition, shopping for a loan may become more time consuming because these risk adjusting fees may vary widely among lenders and mortgage brokers.

In the future, spending more time shopping for your mortgage loan will be time well spent.

The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that April 2008 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, the housing market is bottoming right now.

How can this be? For starters, a bottom does not mean that prices are about to return to the heady days of 2005. That probably won’t happen for another 15 years. It just means that the trend is no longer getting worse, which is the critical factor. Most people forget that the current housing bust is nearly three years old. Home sales peaked in July 2005. New home sales are down a staggering 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million. Continue reading »

Reports of suspected mortgage fraud rose 42 percent last year as banks became more leery of lies on loan applications.

The Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network said Thursday that there were 52,868 reports for mortgage fraud in 2007, up from 37,313 a year earlier. Mortgage fraud reports were the third-most common type of suspicious activity.

The most common type of mortgage fraud was misrepresentation of income or assets, followed by forged documents, misrepresentation of a borrowers’ intent to occupy a property as a primary residence occupancy fraud and inflated appraisals.

The Mortgage Bankers Association has called for more than $31 million over the next five years in new funding for the FBI and Justice Department to fight mortgage fraud, money that would go to new investigators and prosecutors.

This is just one of the reasons why most lenders today have pulled their stated-income loan programs, while others have raised the credit requirements to qualify for such loans.

Subprime loans were initially aimed at people with weak credit. But by 2005 and 2006, lenders encouraged many types of better-off borrowers to take such loans, including people with large incomes who chose to speculate on the real estate market.

But many subprime loans were made to refinance lower income borrowers who already owned homes, which often loaded them up with more mortgage debt than they realistically could manage and creating a risk of foreclosure.

Mortgage-Backed-Securities

Today there are very few lenders with loan products aimed at the subprime borrower, but they do exist and the lending criteria required by those lenders are far stricter than in years past.  I’m sure we’ll see the day over the next few years where many lenders announce subprime loan products, but for now we’ll have to wait for the market dust to settle and confidence to rise once again.

 

  
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