Archive for the 'Economy' Category
According to the VIX index — which is known as the “Fear Gauge” — investors are feeling calmer about the stock market than they have in 25 years.
This “Fear Gauge” is at it’s lowest since 1993.
And professional traders are scared out of their mind.
Why would that be?
The combination of inflation and low mortgage rates usually leads to much higher compounded rates of home appreciation. For owners of property, high rates of inflation and appreciation are welcomed and appreciated. For buyers or tenants, however, the skyrocketing purchase and rental prices are not liked much at all.
Sweeping changes in the nation’s demographic makeup will have profound effects on the nation’s housing industry, according to “Big Shifts Ahead: Demographic Clarity for Businesses,” a new book by authors John Burns and Chris Porter.
They argue that broad demographic shifts will reshape housing in America in the next decade, creating new opportunities for businesses of all kinds. Rising numbers of female executives, affluent immigrants, growing numbers of younger and older workers and a ballooning retiree population will have a profound influence on residential real estate in the U.S. over the next 10 years, according to Burns and Porter.
Small is Big!
If you own one investment property you are a significant investor and contributor to the American economy. The engaged (as opposed to “aspiring,”) real estate investor population is estimated to be at 11.1 million individuals and companies. Together this tier of investors owns $3.1 trillion in single-family residential (SFR) asset value representing 13.3 million homes.
How will the real estate market be impacted by Donald Trump’s victory and Republicans controlling both chambers of Congress?
Though Mr. Trump is a real estate man, his policy platform has been largely vague on real estate proposals. Here are my thoughts on how certain real estate issues may play out under President Trump and of their potential impact to consumers.
Trump has a 10-point lead on Clinton when Americans are asked about which candidate will spur higher home prices. Primary results also suggest candidates weren’t popular in places where housing prices had a strong recovery.
So of the two presumptive major-party nominees for U.S. presidency, whom do you think will be best for housing prices? The self-described successful real estate executive Donald Trump? Or the former U.S. Senator, first lady and U.S. Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton?
Look, I’m going to level with you. I think we’re screwed.
We all saw what happened last week because of “Brexit” (British Exit). The markets are in uncertain territory.
Add inflation and the potential for recession – this situation becomes even more complex.
People are tightening their belts.
You do not need a degree in economics to become market-literate, just an understanding of how local real estate economies work, fluency with the terminology and good sources for local data on sales, prices, values, and inventories. Add your professional expertise and your skilled observations of the latest trends in the charts and numbers and you have a winning formula.
Home-buyers rejoice when interest rates drop, but rising interest rates can actually be a good thing for investors. Because high rates make homes less affordable, the rental market improves, giving real estate investors a chance to improve cash flow and increase their return on investment.
How does the economy really work?
This simple but not simplistic video by Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, shows the basic driving forces behind the economy, and explains why economic cycles occur by breaking down concepts such as credit, interest rates, leveraging and deleveraging.
U-Haul moving truck price disparities usually indicate domestic migration trends long before official migration does. In light of that, we compared the costs of renting a truck each direction to and from 16 cities and learned that:
- People are leaving New York, Chicago, Boston, and Philadelphia in droves (and are being partially replaced by foreign immigrants).
- People are flocking to Portland, Seattle, and many more affordable southern markets.
The 2016 housing market is expected to be a picture of moderate but solid growth, with increasing interest rates a minimal concern. Rental investors will particularly benefit as property appreciates, rents rise to record heights and vacancy rates fall.
The housing market is looking more and more attractive for predictable yields as equities continue on their wild ride. “Extreme volatility in the stock market may drive more investors to invest in relatively stable assets like housing,” said Anthony Cazazian, senior VP of national sales and business development at B2R Finance.
Here are four macro trends generally agreed upon by leading housing authorities to take place in 2016. Taken together, they make a solid case for investing in rental housing.
Read more »
After peaking in 2006, the median U.S. house price fell about 30%, finally hitting bottom in late 2011. Since then, house prices have rebounded strongly and are nearly back to the pre-recession peak.
However, conditions in the latest boom appear far less precarious than those in the previous episode. The current run-up exhibits a less-pronounced increase in the house price-to-rent ratio and an outright decline in the household mortgage debt-to-income ratio—a pattern that is not suggestive of a credit-fueled bubble.
Families are facing much bigger rent checks this year — especially those living in cities in the South and West.
Rent prices have been rising across the country, but rents for single-family homes in these two parts of the country increased the most in the last year, according to a report from RentRange.
“The biggest increases were in the areas where the [housing] market was most depressed,” said CEO Wally Charnoff.
As you have probably heard, China seems to be on the edge of a significant crash. This has prompted questions of how to predict and prepare for the next real estate market crash in the US. We’ve had a couple of suggestions that tracking NODs (Notice of Default – the first step in the foreclosure process) would be a good indication. We have no crystal balls but here are our thoughts.
There is probably no single, reliable technique for predicting the next real estate market crash because each crash has a different cause. More than once we’ve been asked if tracking NODs would be a good predictor of a coming crash. I believe tracking NODs will tell you what has already happened as opposed to what is going to happen.