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Archives for April 2024

Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House: Freddie Mac’s Forecast

April 2, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House: Freddie Mac's Forecast

A home purchase is a monumental financial decision that requires careful consideration. Determining the right time to buy depends on various factors, including your financial situation, interest rates, and negotiating power. To gain insight into current market conditions, Freddie Mac provides monthly economic outlooks that analyze the housing market's present state and expectations for the future.

Current Market Conditions

Home Prices:

Freddie’s Forecast predicts that home prices will experience an increase in 2024, albeit at a slower pace than the previous year. The importance of this lies in the fact that home values generally appreciate over time, making homeownership a secure investment and a means to build wealth.

In the latter half of 2023, home prices surged, driven by a persistent shortage of housing supply and existing homeowners reluctant to sell due to favorable mortgage rates. Looking ahead to 2024, Freddie Mac anticipates a slower economy with modest improvements in housing supply and mortgage rates, resulting in home prices rising at half the speed of 2023.

Mortgage Rates:

According to Freddie’s Forecast, mortgage rates are expected to witness a steady decline throughout 2024 but remain within the 6% to 7% range. Monitoring mortgage rates is crucial, as lenders determine your rate based on market conditions, and slight differences can significantly impact your monthly payments.

While mortgage rates reached a two-decade high in October 2023, there has been a consistent decline since then. The expectation for further declines in 2024 brings favorable news for potential homebuyers, providing them with a more conducive borrowing environment.

Housing Supply:

Freddie’s Forecast indicates that housing supply will continue to be a challenge until more homes are built or mortgage rates decrease further. The interplay between demand, home prices, and mortgage rates is a crucial dynamic. When demand surpasses the available homes for sale, prices tend to rise.

While the monthly supply of homes has increased, reflecting the highest levels since January 2023, the market remains tilted in favor of sellers. A supply-demand imbalance persists, emphasizing the need for more homes to enter the market, either through new construction or existing homes being listed for sale.

Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy?

The Verdict: Yes, but with potential improvements ahead.

What to Know: Current market conditions indicate a thawing of the previously frozen housing market. In 2024, the growth in home prices is expected to slow, mortgage rates are down from their recent peak and likely to stabilize. However, the overall housing supply remains a challenge. To fully overcome the freeze, a decrease in rates and increased incentives for current homeowners to sell are crucial.

How to Prepare for Homeownership

Successfully transitioning into homeownership requires careful preparation. Here are essential steps to ensure you are ready when the time is right:

  • Understand Your Affordability: Estimate how much home you can afford by considering factors such as monthly income, current interest rates, debt, and credit history. Most lenders recommend spending no more than 28% of your monthly income on your mortgage payment.
  • Set a Savings Goal: Establish a savings goal for your down payment. Contrary to the myth of a 20% down payment requirement, some loan products allow down payments as low as 3%. Keep in mind that a smaller down payment results in a larger monthly payment.
  • Build Your Homebuying Team: Assemble a team of experienced professionals, including a housing counselor, real estate agent, and lender. Each plays a vital role in guiding you through the homebuying process, ensuring informed decisions and avoiding common pitfalls.

By following these steps and staying informed about market conditions, you can position yourself for successful and sustainable homeownership.

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market

Top 10 Housing Markets Where Homes Sold Fastest

April 1, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Top 10 Housing Markets Where Homes Are Selling Faster in 2023

The U.S. housing market, despite some slowdown, remains a race for eager buyers keen on sealing property deals. A blend of soaring mortgage rates, historic lows in available homes, and determined buyers striving for homeownership has quickened homebuying across the nation.

The Rush to Beat the Competition

Nationally, the median home listing is spending 49 days on the market as of the first week of October, as per a comprehensive analysis by Realtor.com. This is only slightly less than the same period last year. However, specific regions are witnessing homes selling at a significantly accelerated pace compared to the previous year, where buyers lack the luxury of time, and sellers can expect swift transactions.

median days on market
Credits: Realtor.com

Eager Homebuyers in Diverse Markets

Realtor.com identified a mix of markets, spanning from the Northeast to the Southwest, where homes are changing hands swiftly. These include both affordable and high-priced markets, such as Buffalo, NY, and Oxnard, CA. Despite affordability challenges affecting demand, a pool of eager homebuyers is actively seeking opportunities despite the low inventory of available homes.

The Impact of Climbing Mortgage Rates

Climbing mortgage rates have stirred concerns among potential buyers and sellers. Despite this, appropriately priced homes in desirable locations continue to sell briskly. The uncertainty surrounding mortgage rates has urged buyers to act swiftly to secure homes and lock in rates before potential increases.

Top 10 Housing Markets Where Homes Were Selling Faster in 2023

1. Buffalo, NY: Leading the Speed Race

At the forefront of this trend is Buffalo, NY, where the median days on the market stand at 50. This represents a remarkable 13-day decrease from the previous year, indicating a surge in the housing market. Homebuyers in Buffalo are acting swiftly, fearing further rate hikes and aiming to secure a deal promptly.

Key Metrics for Buffalo, NY:

  • Median list price: $239,900
  • Median days on the market: 50
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 13 days faster

With home prices considerably below the national average and tight inventory, the Buffalo market is witnessing a significant rise in demand.

2. Phoenix, AZ: A Hotspot for Homebuyers

Phoenix, despite enduring scorching desert temperatures for a significant part of the year, remains a hotbed for homebuyers. The metro has witnessed accelerated home sales, with properties selling almost two weeks faster than the previous year. Factors like minimal natural disasters and a robust real estate market contribute to this demand.

Key Metrics for Phoenix, AZ:

  • Median list price: $475,000
  • Median days on the market: 78
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 13 days faster

Luxury homes are particularly in demand, selling faster than those below $1 million. Cash buyers dominate this segment, less affected by mortgage rate hikes, thereby keeping this part of the market active.

3. Oxnard, CA: Coastal Appeal and Rapid Sales

Situated along the Pacific coast, the Oxnard metro, including Thousand Oaks and Ventura, is known for its beautiful beaches and a thriving agricultural industry. Homes are selling swiftly, with a 7% increase in the median list price compared to the previous year.

Key Metrics for Oxnard, CA:

  • Median list price: $875,000
  • Median days on the market: 57
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 11 days faster

Despite the higher median prices, the appeal of this coastal region attracts buyers seeking waterfront views and a pleasant lifestyle.

4. Boise, ID: A Market Rebounding

Boise, Idaho, known for its outdoor recreation and favorable climate, saw a surge in demand during the COVID-19 pandemic as urban residents sought a change. While rising interest rates caused a temporary slowdown, the market has rebounded.

Key Metrics for Boise, ID:

  • Median list price: $519,900
  • Median days on the market: 72
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 9.5 days faster

The median home sale in this growing metro is almost 10 days faster than the previous year, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance and declining inventory, ultimately driving faster sales and rising prices.

5. Las Vegas, NV: Entertainment and Accelerated Sales

Las Vegas, a city known for its entertainment and low taxes, has long attracted retirees and individuals seeking an escape from harsh winters. Despite a history of real estate market fluctuations, Las Vegas is currently experiencing a surge in housing demand.

Key Metrics for Las Vegas, NV:

  • Median list price: $449,999
  • Median days on the market: 56
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 9 days faster

After the housing crash of 2008 and a slowdown due to rising interest rates in 2022, the market has rebounded. Homes are now selling about a week faster than the national median, reflecting renewed demand and improved market conditions.

6. Bridgeport, CT: Affluent Living and Swift Sales

The Bridgeport metro, located near New York City, is renowned for its affluent living and attractive real estate market. Despite higher median prices, homes in this area are selling over a week faster than the previous year, indicating sustained demand amidst limited supply.

Key Metrics for Bridgeport, CT:

  • Median list price: $795,000
  • Median days on the market: 74
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 8 days faster

Offering a mix of attractive properties, including four-bedroom homes, this metro remains appealing, especially with the rise of hybrid work models and increased flexibility.

7. Harrisburg, PA: Rapid Sales in Central Pennsylvania

Harrisburg, located in Central Pennsylvania, boasts the quickest average time-on-market among the listed places. The market here is fueled by limited inventory and high demand, resulting in homes being sold swiftly, attracting both buyers and sellers.

Key Metrics for Harrisburg, PA:

  • Median list price: $309,900
  • Median days on the market: 46
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 8 days faster

The record low number of homes for sale in Harrisburg has intensified competition among buyers, making it an opportune time for sellers to list their properties and facilitate quicker sales.

8. Springfield, MA: Historical Charm and Affordable Homes

Springfield, located along the Connecticut River, is a city steeped in history, known as the “Birthplace of Basketball.” With a rich industrial heritage and the influence of the Springfield Armory, this city offers attractive home prices, about 25% below the national average.

Key Metrics for Springfield, MA:

  • Median list price: $319,000
  • Median days on the market: 53
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 7 days faster

Despite rising mortgage rates, demand remains high due to these affordable home prices, making it an appealing option for potential buyers.

9. Cleveland, OH: Affordable Homes and Cultural Richness

Cleveland, situated against the southern shore of Lake Erie, is renowned for its affordability, making it the most budget-friendly metro on this list. The city offers a multitude of homes priced below $200,000, attracting a diverse range of buyers.

Key Metrics for Cleveland, OH:

  • Median list price: $199,000
  • Median days on the market: 48
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 6 days faster

The city's economic diversification and urban revitalization initiatives have bolstered demand, further fueled by the attractive pricing of properties.

10. Portland, ME: Coastal Charm and High Demand

Portland, known for its rugged coastline and vibrant food scene, attracts buyers seeking quality living in a picturesque setting. Despite prices approximately 25% higher than the national average, homes in Portland are selling faster than the previous year, indicating sustained demand.

Key Metrics for Portland, ME:

  • Median list price: $549,900
  • Median days on the market: 51
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 6 days faster

With a range of housing options, including waterfront properties, Portland offers a lifestyle that continues to entice both primary residence and vacation home buyers.

Looking Ahead

“Buyers are thinking, ‘I need to make an offer either the day a home goes on the market or soon after, so I can get my home and lock in a rate before it goes up,'” says Matthew Roland, assistant dean at the University of Buffalo’s Department of Urban and Regional Planning. He hopes for potential rate decreases to bolster inventory in the coming months.

Filed Under: Housing Market, Trending News Tagged With: Housing Market News, Real Estate News

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