Archives for April 2024

Red-Hot Housing Market: Record Prices and Low Inventory

April 30, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

While major housing markets grab headlines, hidden havens across America offer a thriving, under-the-radar housing scene. One such diamond in the rough is Rockford, Illinois. While not a name that immediately springs to mind when discussing real estate powerhouses, Rockford has stealthily ascended to claim the coveted title of America's top housing market to watch, as revealed by the annual Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com Housing Market Ranking.

The Rise of Rockford: America's Surprising No. 1 Housing Market

Nestled in the northern reaches of Illinois, Rockford's emergence as a real estate force to be reckoned with is a testament to its resilience and potential. Led by a robust economy and a myriad of recreational offerings, Rockford has captivated the attention of industry analysts and prospective homeowners alike.

The accolade bestowed upon Rockford stems from a meticulous examination of various metrics encompassing real estate demand, inventory dynamics, market velocity, and economic indicators. These criteria, ranging from median days on the market to regional price parities, collectively paint a portrait of a market brimming with promise and opportunity.

What sets Rockford apart is not merely its affordability, although this certainly plays a pivotal role. A staggering three-quarters of the top 20 markets identified boasted price tags below the national median list price, providing an enticing proposition for prospective buyers seeking value without compromise.

Rockford's ascent to preeminence underscores the Midwest's resurgence as a real estate powerhouse. With over half of the top-ranked cities hailing from the heartland, Rockford stands as a beacon of prosperity amidst a landscape teeming with potential. This regional dominance is a testament to the Midwest's enduring allure and its capacity to deliver unparalleled value to homeowners.

So, what sets Rockford apart from its counterparts? The answer lies in its unique blend of affordability, economic vitality, and strategic location. Boasting one of the lowest median home prices among its peers, Rockford beckons with an irresistible proposition for savvy buyers.

Despite its proximity to major metropolitan areas such as Chicago and Milwaukee, Rockford remains refreshingly accessible, offering a respite from the frenetic pace of urban living. This accessibility, coupled with a diverse array of employment opportunities spanning the aerospace and manufacturing sectors, underscores Rockford's appeal as a destination of choice for homebuyers seeking the best of both worlds.

However, Rockford's meteoric rise is not without its challenges. The specter of low inventory looms large, fueling heightened competition and placing upward pressure on prices. In a market where homes priced below a certain threshold elicit a flurry of offers, buyers must navigate a landscape characterized by fervent demand and limited supply.

For local real estate agents like David Dale Johnson, the surge in demand from buyers transitioning from neighboring metropolitan areas underscores Rockford's growing appeal as a haven for affordability without compromise. Despite the hurdles posed by an uptick in competition, Rockford remains steadfast in its allure, offering a sanctuary for those seeking respite from the urban sprawl.

The Top 20 Housing Markets Poised for Growth in 2024

1. Rockford, IL – Median Home List Price: $235,000

Leading the pack is Rockford, IL, a city that defies conventional expectations with its affordability and potential for growth. With a median home list price of $235,000, Rockford beckons buyers with an enticing array of properties, including a charming three-bedroom, two-bathroom house listed for just under $190,000 on Realtor.com

2. Canton, OH – Median Home List Price: $248,000

Next on the list is Canton, OH, where the median home list price stands at $248,000. This city offers a blend of affordability and opportunity, catering to a diverse range of homebuyers seeking value without compromise.

3. Ann Arbor, MI – Median Home List Price: $525,000

Ann Arbor, MI, emerges as a beacon of sophistication and style, with a median home list price of $525,000. Despite its higher price point, Ann Arbor's allure lies in its distinctive charm and diverse housing options, including a striking midcentury modern home listed for $720,000.

4. Akron, OH – Median Home List Price: $212,500

Akron, OH, offers an attractive proposition for budget-conscious buyers, with a median home list price of $212,500. This city's affordability is complemented by a robust housing market, making it an ideal destination for those seeking value and opportunity.

5. Springfield, MO – Median Home List Price: $340,000

Springfield, MO, captivates buyers with its quaint charm and affordability, boasting a median home list price of $340,000. A charming three-bedroom, two-bathroom house listed for just under $300,000 exemplifies the city's appeal to a diverse array of homebuyers.

6. Fort Wayne, IN – Median Home List Price: $325,000

Fort Wayne, IN, emerges as a hidden gem in the Midwest, with a median home list price of $325,000. Despite stiff competition for homes priced below $300,000, Fort Wayne's affordability and potential for growth make it a desirable destination for savvy homebuyers.

7. Manchester, NH – Median Home List Price: $550,000

Manchester, NH, stands as a testament to New England's enduring appeal, with a median home list price of $550,000. This city's blend of historic charm and modern amenities is epitomized by a three-bedroom, two-bathroom house listed for $375,000.

8. Columbus, OH – Median Home List Price: $380,000

Columbus, OH, offers a dynamic real estate landscape characterized by a median home list price of $380,000. This city's robust economy and diverse array of housing options make it an attractive destination for buyers seeking value and opportunity.

9. Kingsport, TN – Median Home List Price: $315,000

Kingsport, TN, captures the essence of Southern hospitality and charm, with a median home list price of $315,000. Offering a blend of affordability and scenic beauty, Kingsport beckons buyers with a four-bedroom home nestled on 2 acres.

10. Portland, ME – Median Home List Price: $623,000

Portland, ME, epitomizes coastal living at its finest, with a median home list price of $623,000. Despite its higher price point, Portland's vibrant culture and scenic vistas make it a sought-after destination for discerning homebuyers.

11. Springfield, MA – Median Home List Price: $350,000

Springfield, MA, offers a blend of affordability and charm, with a median home list price of $350,000. A cute Cape Cod listed for $325,000 exemplifies the city's appeal to buyers seeking value without compromise.

12. Burlington, VT – Median Home List Price: $499,000

Burlington, VT, captivates buyers with its picturesque landscapes and vibrant community, boasting a median home list price of $499,000. This city's blend of natural beauty and cultural attractions is underscored by a diverse housing market catering to a range of preferences.

13. Dayton, OH – Median Home List Price: $230,000

Dayton, OH, offers an attractive proposition for budget-conscious buyers, with a median home list price of $230,000. A three-bedroom brick ranch listed for $192,500 exemplifies the city's affordability and potential for growth.

14. Worcester, MA – Median Home List Price: $500,000

Worcester, MA, stands as a testament to New England's enduring appeal, with a median home list price of $500,000. This city's blend of historic charm and modern amenities is exemplified by a diverse housing market catering to a range of preferences.

15. Lancaster, PA – Median Home List Price: $420,000

Lancaster, PA, offers a picturesque backdrop for buyers seeking tranquility and charm, with a median home list price of $420,000. A four-bedroom townhouse listed for $250,000 exemplifies the city's affordability and diverse housing options.

16. Appleton, WI – Median Home List Price: $400,000

Appleton, WI, emerges as a hidden gem in the heart of Wisconsin, with a median home list price of $400,000. This city's affordability and vibrant community make it an attractive destination for buyers seeking value and opportunity.

17. Hickory, NC – Median Home List Price: $360,000

Hickory, NC, offers a blend of Southern charm and affordability, with a median home list price of $360,000. A stately home listed for $699,000 exemplifies the city's appeal to buyers seeking elegance and sophistication.

18. Toledo, OH – Median Home List Price: $230,000

Toledo, OH, captures the essence of the Midwest's affordability and charm, with a median home list price of $230,000. This city's diverse housing market and vibrant community make it an attractive destination for buyers seeking value without compromise.

19. Louisville, KY – Median Home List Price: $315,000

Louisville, KY, epitomizes Southern hospitality and charm, with a median home list price of $

315,000. A four-bedroom brick home listed for $575,000 exemplifies the city's appeal to buyers seeking elegance and sophistication.

20. Lansing, MI – Median Home List Price: $225,000

Lansing, MI, offers a blend of affordability and opportunity, with a median home list price of $225,000. This city's diverse housing market and vibrant community make it an attractive destination for buyers seeking value without compromise.

Summary: As Rockford basks in the spotlight as America's premier housing market, its ascent serves as a testament to the enduring allure of the Midwest. With affordability, economic vibrancy, and a rich tapestry of amenities at its core, Rockford stands poised to redefine the real estate landscape for years to come. For those with an eye towards the future, Rockford beckons with open arms, inviting them to partake in the journey towards homeownership in a city brimming with promise and potential.

Prediction: 684 Housing Markets Poised for Growth by 2025

April 30, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Good news for homebuyers! Zillow released a report predicting price increases in many US housing markets. Their analysis is based on tons of data, so you can trust it gives a good picture of where the market is headed. In this article, we'll take a look at some of the markets expected to see the biggest jumps in home prices over the next year.

The national housing market is expected to see a 1.4% increase in home prices by March 31, 2025. Out of 894 markets, roughly 22% (around 200) are expected to see home price declines over the next year. Prices are projected to hold steady in about 1% of markets, while the remaining 77% (roughly 684) can anticipate some level of price growth.

Let's dive into the hottest markets across different states, where homes are expected to see the biggest price gains over the next year (by March 2025). Get ready to see which metropolitan areas are predicted to be the top performers!

Market Forecast Analysis by States

Georgia (GA):

Thomaston: The housing market in Thomaston, GA, is projected to experience significant growth in home prices, with an anticipated increase of 8.5% by March 2025.
Toccoa: Similarly, Toccoa, GA, is expected to see a notable rise in home prices, with a forecasted increase of 6%.
Cedartown: Cedartown, GA, is projected to see a significant 5.7% increase in home prices, reflecting a positive trend in the local real estate market.
Cornelia: Similarly, Cornelia, GA, is forecasted to experience growth, with a predicted 5.4% rise in property values.
Calhoun: Calhoun, GA, is projected to experience growth, with a predicted 4.9% increase in property values.
Fitzgerald: Fitzgerald, GA, is forecasted to experience a 4.7% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Statesboro: Similarly, Statesboro, GA, is anticipated to see a 4.5% rise in home prices.
Athens: Athens, GA, is forecasted to see a 4.2% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Gainesville: Similarly, Gainesville, GA, is anticipated to experience a 4.2% increase in home prices.
Americus: Americus, GA, is anticipated to experience a 3.9% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.

Montana (MT):

Kalispell: Home prices in Kalispell, MT, are forecasted to rise by 8.4%, indicating a robust housing market in the region.
Butte: The housing market in Butte, MT, is expected to demonstrate growth, with a forecasted 5.4% increase in property values.

Colorado (CO):

Steamboat Springs: The picturesque town of Steamboat Springs, CO, is expected to witness a substantial 7.7% increase in home prices, reflecting the area's desirability.
Edwards: Similarly, Edwards, CO, is forecasted to experience a notable 6.1% growth in property values.
Glenwood Springs: Glenwood Springs, CO, is forecasted to experience a 4.3% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.

Tennessee (TN):

Murray: The housing market in Murray, KY, is projected to demonstrate robust growth, with a forecasted increase of 7.1%.
Crossville: Crossville, TN, is also poised for growth, with a predicted 6.5% rise in home prices.
Knoxville: Knoxville, TN, is expected to see a significant 6.1% increase in property values.
Greeneville: The housing market in Greeneville, TN, is forecasted to experience growth, with a predicted 5.3% increase in property values.
Sevierville: Sevierville, TN, is forecasted to see a 4.7% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Tullahoma: Tullahoma, TN, is projected to see a 4.3% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Jackson: Jackson, TN, is projected to see a 4.2% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.
Cleveland: Cleveland, TN, is forecasted to experience a 4.2% increase in home prices.
Johnson City: Similarly, Johnson City, TN, is anticipated to see a 4.1% rise in home prices.
McMinnville: McMinnville, TN, is anticipated to experience a 4.1% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Shelbyville: Shelbyville, TN, is anticipated to see a 3.9% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Union City: Union City, TN, is projected to experience a 3.9% increase in home prices.

Idaho (ID):

Mountain Home: Home prices in Mountain Home, ID, are anticipated to appreciate by 6.3%, reflecting the attractiveness of the region's real estate market.
Hailey: Similarly, Hailey, ID, is forecasted to experience a 5.9% growth in property values.
Blackfoot: Blackfoot, ID, is forecasted to experience growth, with a predicted 5% rise in property values.
Coeur d'Alene: Similarly, Coeur d'Alene, ID, is anticipated to see a 4.7% increase in home prices.
Sandpoint: Sandpoint, ID, is projected to experience a 4.6% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Burley: Burley, ID, is projected to experience a 4.5% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Twin Falls: Twin Falls, ID, is forecasted to experience a 4% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.

Maine (ME):

Augusta: The capital city of Augusta, ME, is expected to see a 6.1% increase in home prices, indicating a positive outlook for the housing market.
Lewiston: Lewiston, ME, is also forecasted to experience growth, with a predicted 5.8% rise in property values.
Bangor: Bangor, ME, is forecasted to experience a 4.2% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Portland: Similarly, Portland, ME, is anticipated to see a 4.1% rise in home prices.

North Carolina (NC):

Laurinburg: Home prices in Laurinburg, NC, are anticipated to appreciate by 5.7%, indicating a favorable market outlook for the region.
Boone: Boone, NC, is also poised for growth, with a projected 5.3% increase in property values.
Brevard: Brevard, NC, is projected to experience a 5.2% increase in home prices, reflecting positive momentum in the local real estate market.
Pinehurst: Pinehurst, NC, is projected to experience a 4.7% increase in home prices, reflecting positive momentum in the local real estate market.
Kinston: Similarly, Kinston, NC, is forecasted to see a 4.6% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the housing market.
Rocky Mount: Rocky Mount, NC, is anticipated to see a 4.5% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Wilson: Wilson, NC, is forecasted to experience a 4.4% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Albemarle: Similarly, Albemarle, NC, is anticipated to see a 4.4% rise in home prices.
Lumberton: Lumberton, NC, is forecasted to see a 4.1% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Charlotte: Charlotte, NC, is anticipated to experience a 4% increase in home prices.
Hickory: Similarly, Hickory, NC, is projected to see a 4% rise in home prices.
Fayetteville: Fayetteville, NC, is anticipated to experience a 3.9% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.

Florida (FL):

Okeechobee: Okeechobee, FL, is expected to see a 5.5% increase in home prices, reflecting positive momentum in the local housing market.
Wauchula: Similarly, Wauchula, FL, is forecasted to experience growth, with a predicted 5.3% rise in property values.
Sebring: Sebring, FL, is projected to witness a 5% rise in home prices, indicating a favorable outlook for the local housing market.
Lake City: Lake City, FL, is anticipated to experience a 4.7% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Palatka: Palatka, FL, is forecasted to see a 4.2% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Key West: Key West, FL, is anticipated to see a 4.1% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.
Arcadia: Arcadia, FL, is projected to experience a 4.1% increase in home prices.

New York (NY):

Kingston: Kingston, NY, is projected to witness a 5.4% increase in home prices, indicating a positive trend in the local real estate market.
Rochester: Rochester, NY, is anticipated to see a 5% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Syracuse: Syracuse, NY, is anticipated to see a 4.5% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Jamestown: Jamestown, NY, is anticipated to experience a 4.4% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Hudson: Hudson, NY, is forecasted to see a 4.1% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.

Arizona (AZ):

Flagstaff: Flagstaff, AZ, is anticipated to see a 5.3% rise in home prices, reflecting the area's attractiveness to homebuyers and investors.
Show Low: Show Low, AZ, is anticipated to experience a 4.3% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

New Hampshire (NH):

Berlin: Berlin, NH, is expected to see a 5.3% increase in home prices, indicating positive market dynamics in the region.
Keene: Similarly, Keene, NH, is forecasted to experience growth, with a predicted 5.2% rise in property values.
Laconia: Laconia, NH, is anticipated to see a 4.8% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Concord: Concord, NH, is anticipated to see a 4.5% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Manchester: Manchester, NH, is projected to see a 4.1% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.

Massachusetts (MA):

Vineyard Haven: Vineyard Haven, MA, is expected to see a 5.2% rise in home prices, indicating favorable market dynamics in the area.
Barnstable Town: Barnstable Town, MA, is projected to see a 3.8% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Utah (UT):

Price: The housing market in Price, UT, is forecasted to demonstrate growth, with a projected 5.2% increase in property values.
Heber: Heber, UT, is also poised for growth, with a predicted 5.1% rise in home prices.
Vernal: Vernal, UT, is forecasted to see a 3.9% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.

Oregon (OR):

Ontario: Ontario, OR, is expected to see a 5% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.

New Jersey (NJ):

Atlantic City: Atlantic City, NJ, is expected to see a 4.9% rise in home prices, indicating positive market trends in the area.

Kentucky (KY):

Mayfield: The housing market in Mayfield, KY, is forecasted to demonstrate growth, with a projected 4.8% increase in home prices.

Missouri (MO):

West Plains: West Plains, MO, is projected to see a 4.7% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.

Connecticut (CT):

Torrington: Torrington, CT, is forecasted to experience a 4.5% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.
Hartford: Hartford, CT, is projected to see a 4% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
New Haven: Similarly, New Haven, CT, is anticipated to see a 4% increase in home prices.

Virginia (VA):

Danville: Danville, VA, is projected to experience a 4.5% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Pennsylvania (PA):

East Stroudsburg: East Stroudsburg, PA, is forecasted to see a 4.4% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Pottsville: Pottsville, PA, is projected to experience a 4.1% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Wisconsin (WI):

Manitowoc: Manitowoc, WI, is projected to see a 4.4% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Shawano: Shawano, WI, is also poised for growth, with a predicted 4.3% increase in home prices.

Oklahoma (OK):

Shawnee: Shawnee, OK, is projected to experience a 4.4% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.
Tahlequah: Tahlequah, OK, is anticipated to see a 4% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.

Kansas (KS):

Atchison: Atchison, KS, is forecasted to see a 4.4% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Dodge City: Dodge City, KS, is projected to experience a 4% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Arkansas (AR):

Fayetteville: Fayetteville, AR, is projected to experience a 4.2% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.
Hot Springs: Hot Springs, AR, is forecasted to see a 3.9% rise in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.

Michigan (MI):

Battle Creek: Battle Creek, MI, is projected to experience a 4.2% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Indiana (IN):

Frankfort: Frankfort, IN, is anticipated to experience a 4.2% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local housing market.
Muncie: Muncie, IN, is anticipated to see a 3.9% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.
Connersville: Similarly, Connersville, IN, is projected to experience a 3.9% increase in home prices.

New Jersey (NJ):

Ocean City: Ocean City, NJ, is forecasted to experience a 4.1% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.
Vineland: Vineland, NJ, is forecasted to experience a 3.9% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Texas (TX):

McAllen: McAllen, TX, is forecasted to see a 3.9% rise in home prices, reflecting positive market dynamics in the area.

California (CA):

Santa Maria: Santa Maria, CA, is projected to see a 3.9% increase in home prices, reflecting positive market trends in the region.

South Carolina (SC):

Seneca: Seneca, SC, is projected to experience a 3.9% increase in home prices, indicating growth in the local real estate market.

Note that we have covered only some of the 684 housing markets that have a positive home price forecast until March 2025. These projections by Zillow underscore the dynamic nature of the housing market, with various regions across the United States poised for growth in home prices. As prospective homeowners and investors consider their options, these insights provide valuable information for making informed decisions in the real estate market. Stay tuned for further analysis as we continue to monitor and assess housing market trends.

Good News for Investors? Stock Market Forecast Hints at Growth

April 30, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

US Stocks: Reason for Optimism? While the future is always uncertain, there are signs pointing towards a positive direction for the US stock market in April 2024. Analysts are cautiously optimistic, citing several key indicators that suggest a potential upswing. The S&P 500, a benchmark index for the US stock market, has shown remarkable resilience and growth.

After reaching new all-time highs in March, the index finished its best first quarter since 2019. The total return of 3.2% in March was propelled by relatively positive economic data, and the index is now ahead by 10.6% year-to-date. This performance comes as concerns over a U.S. economic recession have subsided, and investors have shifted their attention to the timing of a Federal Reserve pivot from monetary policy tightening to policy easing.

Sector Performance and Notable Companies

The rally in the stock market has been broad-based, with significant gains across various sectors. Notably, artificial intelligence-related stocks have seen an ongoing rally, with companies like Super Micro Computer and Nvidia experiencing substantial gains. Nvidia, an AI chipmaker, has seen its shares rise by 82% year-to-date and 321% since the beginning of last year, pushing the company’s market capitalization to a staggering $2.29 trillion

However, it's not all smooth sailing. The electric vehicle maker Tesla has faced challenges, with its stock performance lagging due to increased competition and slower revenue growth. Similarly, Boeing has encountered difficulties, with its stock price affected by ongoing quality control issues

Future Stock Market Outlook and Predictions

Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve's actions will play a crucial role in the stock market's direction. The central bank has made progress in bringing down inflation, but it still has work to do. The consumer price index gained 3.2% year-over-year in February, indicating that inflation levels are still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% long-term target

Analysts have varying predictions for the future of the stock market. While some are optimistic about the potential for continued growth, others caution that there could be volatility ahead, especially with the upcoming 2024 U.S. presidential election. A report by JP Morgan suggests that the stock market could see a dip of around 20 to 30 percent after hitting a significant peak in 2024.

Geopolitical tensions are another factor that could significantly impact the market. Ongoing conflicts or trade disputes can disrupt supply chains, cause energy price fluctuations, and dampen investor confidence. For example, an escalating conflict in a major oil-producing region could lead to a surge in energy stock prices, while a trade war between major economies could disrupt entire sectors. Investors should stay informed about geopolitical developments and how they might affect specific sectors.

In summary, the US stock market looks cautiously optimistic for the near future. It's not all sunshine and rainbows though – investors should stay informed about the bigger economic picture and how policy decisions might shake things up. Remember, diversification and a solid investment plan based on your risk tolerance are still your best weapons for navigating the market.

Turnkey Homes for Sale Are Selling Fast in 2024

April 28, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Since last, despite a cooling housing market and high mortgage rates, turnkey homes are in demand and selling fast. While fixer-uppers, homes with less curb appeal, and those located in less desirable areas are sitting on the market for longer, turnkey homes in good school districts remain hot commodities. In this article, we'll examine a report published by Realtor.com on why turnkey homes for sale are still in demand and explore the reasons why some homes sell quickly while others sit unsold.

Why Turnkey Homes for Sale are Selling Fast?

During the pandemic, homebuyers had limited choices, and everything sold for more money than ever before. Buyers who couldn't afford to buy a fixer-upper were left with few choices but to buy a well-appointed, well-situated turnkey home. This trend has continued into 2023, with homebuyers still seeking out these properties.

A good home in the resale market is selling quickly, and buyers today are not the same as those who bought 12 months ago. With prices still much higher than they were pre-pandemic, buyers don't have much room in their budgets for costly repairs, and they want a home that is move-in ready.

Competition for Turnkey Homes Remains Fierce

Competition for turnkey homes in good school districts remains fierce. If the house is perfect, the odds of someone else wanting it are high, too. In a market where costs are still high and buyers can be a little choosier, it makes sense that they're going to zero in on the homes that are the most appealing. Turnkey homes are especially popular with families looking for a home in a good school district. They want a home that is move-in ready and won't require any work or upgrades.

Why Fixer-Uppers Are Less Appealing to Buyers

While fixer-uppers have traditionally been popular with investors who could get these homes at a discount and resell them at a profit, this trend has slowed down since last year. With home prices falling from their peaks over the summer, many investors are now pausing their purchases.

Fixer-uppers are staying on the market longer, and sellers are having to drop the price on these homes or accept lowball offers. Buyers want these homes only when there is no other inventory out there. Anything that is staying on the market for more than 48 hours without a booked showing is in a less desirable location and definitely not in tip-top, showable condition. Buyers are always looking for improvements that have already been done.

Location Matters

While properties that need major renovation and updates, like a new kitchen or bathroom and major systems, are not selling well, these problems can be overlooked if the home is in a great location. Homes located near a train station or in a community with top-rated schools are still desirable, and buyers could get a discount on these properties.

Price Matters

Even the ugliest, run-down, abandoned homes with the worst smells, located in the most undesirable areas, such as on a busy highway, will still sell if the price is right. Price will always overcome any objections buyers may have about the property.

How Should First-Time Homebuyers Buy/Bid for Turnkey Homes?

In today's housing market, first-time homebuyers are facing tough competition, especially those seeking a move-in ready home in a desirable community with high mortgage rates. The market has changed since the COVID-19 pandemic era, but turnkey homes in great locations continue to receive multiple offers and sell for a premium. According to Realtor.com, you need to have some strategies that can help you be competitive in the current housing market and secure your dream home.

Strategy 1: Know Your Local Market

To be successful in buying your dream home, you need to focus on your local market rather than what's happening in the national housing market. It's essential to research how long homes, including turnkey ones, are staying on the market in the specific community you're interested in. Analyzing the comps of comparable homes that have sold can also help you make an informed decision. Your real estate agent can advise you on whether you need to waive contingencies and kick in a high down payment to have your offer accepted.

Strategy 2: Get Pre-Approved for a Mortgage

Getting pre-approved for a mortgage can give you a competitive edge in the housing market. It helps you narrow down your price range and avoid losing your dream home to another pre-approved buyer.

Strategy 3: Find a Trustworthy Real Estate Agent

Your real estate agent will guide you through the home-buying process, so it's essential to find someone you trust to help you make the largest purchase of your life. Ask for recommendations from friends, check online reviews, and ensure they have experience working with buyers in a similar price range and the areas you're interested in.

Strategy 4: Make a Larger Down Payment

Sellers favor buyers who can make larger down payments as they believe they are more financially stable and more likely to complete the sale. Putting down at least 20% can increase your chances of winning a bidding war and eliminate the need to pay private mortgage insurance every month.

Strategy 5: Offer Compelling Terms

Bidding wars aren't only won on price; terms also matter. By offering a flexible closing timeline and allowing the sellers to rent back the home or vacate the property at their pace, you may have a better chance of winning the bid. You could also waive a traditional home inspection and opt for an evaluation of the structural and engineering components of the home, showing the seller that you don't plan to back out unless there are significant issues with the property.

Should You Investors Buy Turnkey Homes in 2024?

Investing in turnkey homes can be profitable in 2024 due to high demand and low inventory. Buyers seek move-in-ready properties, especially in good school districts. Fixer-uppers are less appealing, and location and price remain crucial factors. Consider investing in turnkey homes for a potentially lucrative return on investment.

When considering investing in turnkey homes, it's important to keep in mind that these properties can be a profitable investment for the right buyer. Turnkey homes can provide a reliable source of rental income, as they are often in desirable areas and require little to no renovation or repair work.

Additionally, turnkey homes tend to attract long-term tenants, as renters are often looking for a property that is move-in ready and requires little upkeep. However, investing in turnkey homes also comes with some risks. Buyers should thoroughly research the market and the specific property before making a purchase.

They should also be prepared for unexpected expenses, such as maintenance and repairs, that may arise over time. In the end, whether or not to invest in turnkey homes depends on the individual buyer's financial situation, investment goals, and risk tolerance. With careful research and planning, investing in turnkey homes can be a profitable venture in 2024.

Conclusion

Turnkey homes for sale are still in demand in 2024, despite a cooling housing market and high mortgage rates. While fixer-uppers and homes with less curb appeal are sitting on the market longer, turnkey homes in good school districts are selling quickly. Buyers want a home that is move-in ready and won't require any work or upgrades.

Location and price still matter, and homes in great locations and those that are priced right will always be in demand. Buying a move-in ready home in a desirable community in the current housing market requires first-time homebuyers to be competitive. By following the above strategies, you can increase your chances of securing your dream turnkey home.

If you're ready to start your search for a hot turnkey home in a great community, we can help. Our team specializes in finding the perfect home for every buyer, and we're here to guide you through the home-buying process. Contact us today to learn more about our current listings and start your journey toward homeownership or real estate investment.

Source:

https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/a-tale-of-2-housing-markets-why-some-homes-still-cause-heated-bidding-wars-while-others-sit-unsold/
https://www.realtor.com/advice/buy/on-the-house-if-the-housing-market-is-down-why-do-bidding-wars-and-offers-over-the-list-price-abound/

Cost of Buying a Home Reaches New High: Monthly Payment Soars 13%

April 26, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

The U.S. housing market has always been dynamic, but recent reports indicate a significant surge in home prices, hitting an all-time high, alongside a rise in mortgage rates. This combination is creating a challenging environment for potential homebuyers.

According to a recent report from Redfin, the median U.S. home-sale price reached a record $383,725 during the four weeks ending April 21, marking a 5.2% increase from the previous year. This is one of the most substantial jumps since October 2022, reflecting a robust and competitive market. Concurrently, the average weekly mortgage rate has climbed to 7.1%, the highest level since November 2023. This increase is partly due to the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain higher interest rates longer than initially expected.

The rise in both home prices and mortgage rates has driven the median monthly housing payment up to a record $2,843, a 13% increase year over year. Despite the increase in inventory, with new listings up by 10.2% compared to last year, the growth in listings may be losing momentum as high rates solidify the lock-in effect, where homeowners are disincentivized to move due to the higher costs of a new mortgage.

This situation is buoyed by the fact that, although there is more inventory than last year, overall inventory levels remain low. Demand is still relatively strong in the face of rates exceeding 7%, but some indicators suggest a potential slowdown. Redfin's Homebuyer Demand Index, which measures requests for tours and other buying services, is near its highest level in about eight months. However, mortgage-purchase applications have seen a slight decrease week over week.

For sellers, the current market conditions mean that pricing homes competitively is crucial. While sellers may receive top dollar now, setting a fair initial price can attract buyers quickly and avoid the need for price reductions later, especially as high mortgage rates impact buyers' budgets.

For buyers, especially those who are serious and can afford the current costs, the advice is to search for their dream home while accepting that finding a dream deal may not be possible this year. Price growth may cool slightly if mortgage rates remain high, but overall housing costs are likely to stay elevated for the foreseeable future.

The current financial landscape is impacting mortgage rates and the housing market in complex ways. In summary, navigating today's housing market requires a strategic approach, both for buyers and sellers. Understanding the factors at play, such as the Federal Reserve's policies, inventory levels, and demand indicators, can help all stakeholders make informed decisions.

Key Housing-Market Data

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision.

Four Weeks Ending April 21, 2024

Key Metrics:

Median Sale Price: $383,725 (5.2% year-over-year change) – All-time high; biggest increase since Oct. 2022, with the exception of the 4 weeks ending Feb. 11, 2024 and the 4 weeks ending Feb. 18, 2024 (5.3% increases)
Median Asking Price: $415,925 (6.7% year-over-year change) – All-time high; biggest increase since Sept. 2022
Median Monthly Mortgage Payment: $2,843 at a 7.1% mortgage rate (12.6% year-over-year change) – All-time high
Pending Sales: 86,786 (-3.8% year-over-year change) – Biggest decline in 6 weeks
New Listings: 95,580 (10.2% year-over-year change)
Active Listings: 840,411 (10.1% year-over-year change)
Months of Supply: 3.2 months (+0.4 pts.) – 4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions
Share of Homes off Market in Two Weeks: 43.3% (Down from 46%)
Median Days on Market: 35 (Unchanged)
Share of Homes Sold Above List Price: 29.8% (Essentially unchanged)
Share of Homes with a Price Drop: 6% (+1.7 pts.)
Average Sale-to-List Price Ratio: 99.2% (+0.1 pt.)

What is a Promissory Note in Real Estate?

April 26, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Promissory Note in Real Estate

In real estate transactions, a promissory note is an essential document that helps formalize the terms of a loan between a borrower and a lender for the purchase of the property. The note outlines the specific amount of money that the borrower promises to pay back to the lender, including interest, over a set period of time.

A real estate promissory note provides greater flexibility in financing, allowing both parties to negotiate terms that are more suitable for their needs than traditional mortgage loans. It also includes details about the property being purchased and any conditions or contingencies related to the sale.

The use of a promissory note in a real estate transaction helps to protect the interests of both the borrower and the lender. Clauses or provisions can be included in the note, such as a lien on the property or an insurance coverage requirement, to safeguard the lender's investment in the property and ensure that the borrower meets their obligations under the loan agreement.

In addition to providing flexibility and protection, the promissory note serves as an enforceable record of the loan agreement that can be used as evidence in court in case of a dispute or disagreement.

It is crucial for both the borrower and the lender to have a clear understanding of the terms and conditions of the promissory note before signing. Borrowers should carefully review the repayment schedule, interest rates, and any fees or penalties associated with the loan, to ensure that they are able to meet their obligations. Lenders should also assess the creditworthiness of the borrower and any risks associated with the property being purchased.

One additional aspect to consider when using a promissory note in a real estate transaction is the potential tax implications. Both the borrower and the lender should be aware of any tax implications related to the loan agreement, such as the deduction of interest payments or the treatment of any fees or penalties.

It is also important to note that a promissory note can become invalid if certain legal requirements are not met. For example, if the note is not signed by both parties, if the terms are unclear or incomplete, or if the loan is usurious (charging an unlawfully high rate of interest), it may be considered invalid and unenforceable.

Another common issue that can arise with promissory notes is the default. If the borrower fails to make payments according to the terms of the note, the lender may be entitled to take legal action to recover the debt, including foreclosure on the property. It is important for both parties to understand the consequences of default and to have a plan in place for addressing any potential issues.

Promissory Note Vs Mortgage: The Difference?

When it comes to buying a property, financing is a significant aspect that requires careful consideration. Two common financing options are promissory notes and mortgages. While both are used to secure a loan, they differ in terms of structure and function.

A promissory note is a written agreement between a borrower and a lender that outlines the terms of the loan. It is essentially an IOU that promises to pay a specified amount of money to the lender on a specific date, with or without interest. A promissory note does not necessarily require collateral, although it can be secured by assets like property or vehicles.

On the other hand, a mortgage is a legal agreement that secures a loan with real estate property as collateral. It grants the lender the right to take possession of the property if the borrower fails to make payments as agreed. A mortgage is typically used for larger loans, such as those for purchasing a home, and usually has a longer repayment period than a promissory note.

One significant difference between a promissory note and a mortgage is that a promissory note is an unsecured loan, while a mortgage is a secured loan. This means that a promissory note does not require collateral, whereas a mortgage requires the property to be purchased as collateral. Another difference is that a promissory note is typically used for short-term loans, while a mortgage is used for long-term loans.

It is crucial to understand the differences between a promissory note and a mortgage before choosing a financing option. Each option has its advantages and disadvantages, depending on the borrower's financial situation and needs.

In summary, here are the key differences between a promissory note and a mortgage:

A promissory note is a legal document that outlines the terms of a loan agreement between a borrower and a lender, while a mortgage is a loan used specifically to purchase real estate.
The promissory note specifies the amount of money that the borrower promises to repay to the lender, including interest, while a mortgage is a loan that is secured by a property.
The promissory note is signed by both the borrower and the lender as a record of the loan agreement, while a mortgage is signed by the borrower as a pledge to repay the loan and by the lender as a legal claim on the property.
The promissory note is typically unrecorded and not filed with the county, while a mortgage is recorded with the county and becomes a public record.
If the borrower defaults on the loan, the lender can sue the borrower to collect on the promissory note, while a mortgage allows the lender to foreclose on the property to recoup their investment.

Overall, a promissory note and a mortgage serve different purposes in a real estate transaction, with the promissory note detailing the loan agreement between the borrower and the lender, and the mortgage serving as a legal claim on the property used to secure the loan.

Advantages of a Promissory Note

Promissory notes have been gaining popularity in recent years as an alternative to traditional mortgage loans. While they offer several advantages, they also have some drawbacks that borrowers need to consider before choosing this option.

Greater flexibility in financing: Unlike traditional mortgages, promissory notes provide more flexibility in terms of interest rates, repayment terms, and other loan conditions. Borrowers can negotiate with the lender to create a loan agreement that is tailored to their specific needs.
Lower closing costs: Promissory notes generally have lower closing costs than traditional mortgages. This is because promissory notes do not require extensive underwriting or title searches, which can result in significant savings for the borrower.
Fewer restrictions: With a promissory note, borrowers have more control over the loan terms and conditions. They can choose to include clauses that are not typically found in a mortgage, such as the right to prepay the loan without penalty.

Disadvantages of a Promissory Note

Need for a large down payment: Lenders often require a large down payment for promissory notes, as they are considered riskier than traditional mortgages. This can make it difficult for some borrowers to secure financing for their real estate purchase.
Higher interest rates: Promissory notes generally come with higher interest rates than traditional mortgages. This is because they are riskier for the lender, who is taking on a higher degree of risk by financing the purchase of the property.
Shorter repayment term: Promissory notes typically have shorter repayment terms than traditional mortgages. This means that borrowers may need to make larger monthly payments to pay off the loan in a shorter period of time.

In conclusion, while a promissory note offers several advantages over traditional mortgages, it also has some drawbacks that borrowers need to consider. It is important for borrowers to carefully weigh the pros and cons of both options before choosing the financing option that is right for their individual needs and circumstances.

FAQs About Promissory Notes in Real Estate?

A promissory note is a legal document that outlines the terms of a loan agreement, including repayment schedule, interest rates, and any fees or penalties. A mortgage, on the other hand, is a security instrument that gives the lender a legal claim to the property if the borrower defaults on the loan.

The promissory note is typically prepared by the lender or their legal representative.

Yes, a promissory note can be sold or transferred to another party, provided that the terms of the note allow for it.

Yes, a promissory note can be modified or amended if both parties agree to the changes and sign a written agreement.

If the borrower fails to make payments according to the terms of the note, the lender may be entitled to take legal action to recover the debt, including foreclosure on the property.

Yes, promissory notes can be used in both residential and commercial real estate transactions.

No, an IOU (I Owe You) is a more informal agreement that acknowledges a debt, whereas a promissory note is a legally binding document that outlines the specific terms of a loan agreement.

Yes, promissory notes can be used for loans between family members, friends, or any two parties involved in a loan agreement.

A promissory note is required when a borrower receives a loan from a lender. It is a legal document that outlines the terms of the loan, including the repayment schedule, interest rate, and other terms and conditions.

Yes, a promissory note is a legally binding document that can be enforced in court if necessary. It outlines the terms and conditions of the loan agreement and is enforceable in a court of law.

No, a deed of trust is a security instrument that is used in some states instead of a mortgage to give the lender a legal claim to the property if the borrower defaults on the loan.

A promissory note does not necessarily need to be recorded, but it can be recorded as a public record to provide notice to third parties. It is important to check state laws and regulations regarding the recording of promissory notes.

Recording a promissory note is not required by law in most cases, but it can serve as proof of the debt and provide a public record of the obligation. Recording a promissory note can also protect the lender's interest in case the borrower sells the property or takes out another loan against it.

A promissory note can be recorded at any time, but it is generally recommended to record it as soon as possible after it is signed by the parties involved. This can help avoid any potential disputes or issues that may arise later on.

The process for recording a promissory note may vary depending on the state or jurisdiction where the property is located. In most cases, the note should be recorded with the local county clerk or recorder's office.

Recording a promissory note generally does not affect the terms of the loan, as the terms are already agreed upon by the parties involved. However, if the promissory note is modified or amended after it is recorded, the changes should also be recorded.

Recording a promissory note is not mandatory in most cases, but it is generally recommended as it can provide a public record of the obligation and protect the lender's interest in the property. Some states may require the recording of certain types of promissory notes, such as those secured by real estate.

References:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/promissorynote.asp
https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/promissory-note/
https://www.rocketmortgage.com/learn/promissory-note/

These Housing Markets Are on FIRE: Is Your City on the List?

April 26, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

The spring housing market might have had a rough start, but buyers should not relax if they aim to secure a home. From bustling metropolises like San Jose to charming locales like Manchester, below are the 10 housing markets where homes are selling the fastest. Let's explore which areas are experiencing the most fervent buying activity and what factors contribute to their rapid pace.

According to recent data from Realtor.com®, while the median time homes spend on the market nationwide is 50 days in March, in some areas, homes are selling in less than half of that time.

These rapid-selling markets are scattered across the nation, excluding the South. Among them are cities like Rochester, NY, and Silicon Valley's San Jose, CA. Interestingly, these cities represent both affordable and expensive housing markets. For instance, Rochester offers homes at a median price of $279,900, whereas San Jose boasts a median home cost of $1.48 million.

Realtor.com's Chief Economist Danielle Hale notes that many of these markets have lower unemployment rates and strong tech industries, factors contributing to their fast-paced real estate scenes. In high-priced markets, there's a strong incentive to keep properties moving rather than letting them linger on the market.

Four of these brisk real estate markets are located in the Boston area. Manchester, NH, leads the pack as the No. 1 metro on the list, having been named America’s hottest housing market 22 times in the past three years. The proximity to major cities like Boston adds to the allure of these markets.

Manchester, situated about an hour northwest of Boston, stands out as a fiercely competitive market. Local real estate broker Pamela Young describes the intense competition, where agents strategically delay showings until open houses, drawing crowds of up to 70 people. A significant portion of home seekers in Manchester are from other states, with a substantial number hailing from Boston and Manhattan.

The allure of Manchester lies in its relatively lower home prices compared to Boston. With a median list price of $549,000, homes in Manchester are approximately 37% cheaper than those in the Boston area.

In the San Francisco Bay Area, the soaring stock market has prompted increased activity in the housing market. Patrick Carlisle, chief market analyst for the Bay Area for Compass, notes the heightened competition for homes in the region, particularly in pricey markets like San Jose and San Francisco. The presence of tech giants like Nvidia, Google, and Apple further fuels the demand for housing in the area.

These Housing Markets Have the SHOCKINGLY Fastest Selling Homes in 2024

1. Manchester, NH

Median days on the market in March: 19
Median home list price in March: $549,900

Manchester, New Hampshire, is a city known for its rich history and vibrant community. Situated along the banks of the Merrimack River, Manchester offers a blend of urban amenities and natural beauty. With a diverse economy and a strong focus on education, it's no wonder that homes in Manchester are in high demand.

2. Rochester, NY

Median days on the market: 22 (tie)
Median home list price: $279,900

Rochester, New York, is a city with a rich cultural heritage and a thriving arts scene. Located on the southern shore of Lake Ontario, Rochester offers residents a mix of urban excitement and natural beauty. With its affordable housing market and strong sense of community, Rochester is an attractive destination for homebuyers.

3. San Jose, CA

Median days on the market: 22 (tie)
Median home list price: $1,481,397

San Jose, California, is the heart of Silicon Valley and a hub for innovation and technology. Known for its high-tech industry and booming economy, San Jose attracts professionals from around the world. With its Mediterranean climate and proximity to beaches and mountains, San Jose offers a high quality of life for its residents.

4. Worcester, MA

Median days on the market: 23
Median home list price: $499,999

Worcester, Massachusetts, is a historic city with a rich cultural heritage. Located in central Massachusetts, Worcester is known for its world-class museums, vibrant arts scene, and diverse culinary offerings. With its affordable housing market and strong sense of community, Worcester is an attractive place to call home.

5. Boston, MA

Median days on the market: 24
Median home list price: $879,950

Boston, Massachusetts, is one of America's oldest cities, with a rich history and a vibrant culture. From its iconic landmarks like Fenway Park and the Freedom Trail to its world-class universities and thriving economy, Boston offers residents a mix of old-world charm and modern amenities. With its diverse neighborhoods and strong job market, Boston remains a popular destination for homebuyers.

6. San Francisco, CA

Median days on the market: 27 (tie)
Median home list price: $999,000

San Francisco, California, is a vibrant and dynamic city known for its iconic landmarks, diverse culture, and booming tech industry. With its stunning views, mild climate, and eclectic neighborhoods, San Francisco offers residents a unique and exciting lifestyle. Despite its high cost of living, San Francisco continues to attract homebuyers who are drawn to its energy and opportunities.

7. Springfield, MA

Median days on the market: 27 (tie)
Median home list price: $350,000

Springfield, Massachusetts, is a city with a rich history and a diverse population. Located in the Pioneer Valley, Springfield offers residents access to cultural attractions, outdoor recreation, and affordable housing. With its strong sense of community and convenient location, Springfield is an appealing choice for homebuyers.

8. Columbus, OH

Median days on the market: 29 (tie)
Median home list price: $379,900

Columbus, Ohio, is the state capital and a vibrant city with a thriving economy and a strong sense of community. With its affordable cost of living, diverse neighborhoods, and top-ranked schools, Columbus offers residents a high quality of life. Whether you're interested in arts and culture, outdoor recreation, or culinary delights, Columbus has something for everyone.

9. Milwaukee, WI

Median days on the market: 29 (tie)
Median home list price: $365,000

Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a city with a rich brewing heritage and a vibrant cultural scene. Located on the shores of Lake Michigan, Milwaukee offers residents access to world-class museums, music festivals, and outdoor recreation. With its affordable housing market and strong sense of community, Milwaukee is an attractive destination for homebuyers.

10. Seattle, WA

Median days on the market: 29 (tie)
Median home list price: $767,875

Seattle, Washington, is a dynamic city known for its stunning natural beauty, thriving tech industry, and diverse neighborhoods. From the iconic Space Needle to the bustling Pike Place Market, Seattle offers residents a unique blend of urban excitement and outdoor adventure. With its strong job market and high quality of life, Seattle remains a popular choice for homebuyers.

Summary: As the U.S. housing market continues to evolve in 2024, certain cities stand out for the speed at which homes are bought and sold. This fast pace is often driven by factors like job opportunities, proximity to major urban centers, and unique market dynamics. Whether you're a budget-conscious buyer or drawn to a prestigious location, understanding these markets is crucial for success in today's real estate market and securing your dream home.

Housing Market Crash Alert: Mortgage Demand Dips, Will Prices Crash?

April 26, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Homebuyers hoping for a dramatic drop in housing prices might be disappointed by recent data. While mortgage demand has indeed been on a downward slope, a housing market crash seems like a distant prospect at this point. Let's dissect the current situation in the housing market and what it means for aspiring homeowners.

Interest Rates on the Rise, Demand on the Decline

The primary culprit behind the current market jitters is the rise in interest rates. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has climbed to 7.24%, the highest level since late 2023. This increase has significantly impacted the willingness of people to take out mortgages. Overall mortgage application demand has dipped 2.7% compared to the previous week, with applications specifically for home purchases experiencing a steeper decline of 15% year-over-year.

The Affordability Squeeze: A Double Whammy for Buyers

The combination of rising interest rates and increasing home prices is creating a perfect storm for affordability. Potential buyers are feeling the pinch on both ends – their purchasing power is shrinking due to higher borrowing costs, and the homes themselves are becoming more expensive. This affordability squeeze is reflected in the decline of purchase applications, as many hopeful homeowners are delaying their dreams of ownership due to stretched budgets and a lack of available properties.

Applications to refinance a home loan, which are most sensitive to weekly moves in interest rates, fell 6% for the week and were 3% higher than the same week one year ago. Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home fell 1% for the week and were 15% lower than the same week one year ago. As home prices rise along with interest rates, potential buyers’ purchasing power are suffering a double whammy.

“Purchase applications declined, as home buyers delayed their purchase decisions due to strained affordability and low supply,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s deputy chief economist.

Beyond Fixed Rates: The Calculated Risk of ARMs

As affordability wanes, there's been a slight shift towards adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). These mortgages offer a lower initial interest rate compared to fixed-rate mortgages, but come with the inherent risk of adjustments in the future. The share of ARM applications rose to 7.6% last week, indicating that some buyers are willing to take on this risk for a lower upfront cost.

However, it's crucial to remember that ARMs can be risky, especially for long-term financial planning. For first-time homebuyers or those on a tight budget, an ARM might introduce unwelcome uncertainty into their monthly payments. Additionally, if interest rates continue to rise in the coming years, borrowers with ARMs could see their monthly payments increase significantly, potentially straining their finances.

Limited Inventory: The Price Propeller

Despite the dip in demand, home prices continue their upward trajectory. This seems counterintuitive, but it's largely due to a lack of available homes for sale. Zillow's Home Value Index shows a robust 4.6% increase in U.S. home prices from March 2023 to March 2024. With limited inventory, sellers still hold the upper hand, keeping prices high. Essentially, even though there are fewer buyers in the market, the competition for a smaller pool of houses is keeping prices afloat.

Crash or Correction? A Look at the Horizon

The current situation doesn't necessarily signal a housing market crash, where home prices plummet rapidly. While falling mortgage applications raise concerns about a potential slowdown, the limited inventory is acting as a counterweight, preventing a significant price drop.

A more likely scenario is a correction – a period of slower price growth, where the breakneck pace of appreciation seen in recent years levels off. This could provide some relief for potential buyers, but it's important to remember that a correction doesn't necessarily translate into bargain-basement prices. Prices might stabilize or grow at a slower rate, but they likely won't see a drastic decline.

The Road Ahead: Staying Informed in a Changing Housing Market

The next few weeks and months will be crucial for the housing market. The release of the monthly employment report could influence mortgage rates, potentially impacting demand further. It's important for hopeful homebuyers to stay updated on market trends as the situation continues to unfold. Here are some steps you can take to navigate this shifting market:

Stay informed: Regularly monitor interest rates, inventory levels, and market forecasts. Reliable sources include industry publications, housing market data websites, and reputable real estate agents.
Work with a qualified lender: A good lender can help you understand your borrowing power and explore different loan options, including ARMs if you're considering them. They can also help you determine what type of mortgage best suits your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Be patient and adaptable: The housing market is constantly evolving. Be prepared to adjust your search criteria or timeline if necessary. If you're priced out of your dream neighborhood right now, consider expanding your search to more affordable areas. You might also need to be flexible on the features you're looking for in a home.
Don't rush into a decision: With the current market dynamics, taking the time to find the right house at the right price is more important than ever. Don't get pressured into making an offer on a house that doesn't meet your needs or budget. By staying informed, working with a qualified real estate agent can help you navigate the complexities of the market, ensuring you make a sound investment in your future.

Florida & Texas Housing Market Slowdown: Prices Stall as Inventory Piles Up

April 25, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Once-booming housing markets in Florida & Texas hit a snag. Is this the end of the surge? Homebuyers across the country are facing a familiar foe: a lack of listings. Many homeowners, locked in with historically low mortgage rates, are reluctant to sell. But in the Sunshine State and the Lone Star State, a different story is unfolding.

A recent report by Redfin, a real estate brokerage, reveals a surge in housing supply in several Florida metros. This March saw a 50% jump in listings compared to the previous year. This trend is attributed to a combination of factors: increased construction and shifting affordability dynamics.

Redfin's report, encompassing 85 major U.S. metropolitan areas with populations exceeding 750,000, paints a contrasting picture for Florida and Texas. While the nationwide trend leans towards limited inventory, these Sun Belt states are experiencing a glut. The good news for homebuyers struggling with rising mortgage rates and skyrocketing prices is a potential easing of the affordability squeeze.

According to Daryl Fairweather, Redfin's chief economist, the Sun Belt's construction boom is a response to the recent surge in migration. However, the report also highlights a downside: many of these new listings are lingering on the market, leading to stagnant prices.

Housing supply has increased the most in the following five metro areas, on a year-over-year basis, according to Redfin:

Cape Coral leads the pack with a whopping 51% year-over-year increase in listings, followed closely by North Port-Sarasota (48%), Fort Lauderdale (30%), and Tampa (29%). Even Texas' McAllen market saw a jump of 25%.

Metro	Year-over-year increase in supply
Cape Coral, Fla.	51%
North Port-Sarasota, Fla.	48%
Fort Lauderdale, Fla.	30%
Tampa, Fla.	29%
McAllen, Texas	25%

This surge in supply comes amidst a noticeable decline in buyer demand. Local real estate agents paint a picture of a dramatic shift from the competitive frenzy of just two years ago. Eric Auciello, a Tampa-based Redfin sales manager, highlights North Port as a prime example. “It was a dream location for remote workers seeking affordability,” he says, “but the shortage of homes has vanished, and so has the intense competition.”

Auciello goes on to suggest a potential correction in overheated markets, particularly Sarasota. “Years of inflated prices seem to be catching up,” he remarks, implying a return to a more balanced market.

“Just two short years ago,” he says, “North Port was a red-hot market – a haven for remote workers seeking affordability. Now, with a glut of homes on the market, the competition has vanished.” Auciello even suggests a potential correction in previously overvalued markets like Sarasota, hinting at a return to a more balanced market.

This surge in supply is coupled with a rise in price cuts. Metro areas like North Port-Sarasota (48%) and Tampa (44%) are seeing a significant portion of listings drop their asking price. This trend suggests a shift in power dynamics, with buyers potentially gaining some negotiating leverage.

Metro	Share of listings with a price cut
North Port-Sarasota, Fla.	48%
Tampa, Fla.	44%
Indianapolis, Ind.	43%
Cape Coral, Fla.	41%
Denver, Colo.	37%

Beyond the national lock-in effect of low mortgage rates, Florida faces unique challenges that are pushing some homeowners to reconsider ownership. According to Redfin's chief economist, Daryl Fairweather, rising homeowner association fees, maintenance costs, and particularly, soaring insurance premiums are putting a strain on affordability.

“Florida homeowners pay the most for insurance in the country,” Fairweather explains, citing a projected average annual rate of over $11,000 – a stark contrast to the national average of $2,500. These rising costs are forcing some homeowners to confront the math, and for some, selling their property becomes a more attractive option.”

So, is a price crash imminent? Not necessarily. While Florida sees the most price drops, Fairweather suggests a market correction rather than a complete collapse. Additionally, lower mortgage rates could entice new buyers despite the cost burdens. However, the long-term impact of these rising ownership costs remains to be seen.

Nationally, the situation is a mirror image. New listings are down, and existing homeowners, locked into historically low rates, are reluctant to sell. This dynamic has pushed the median home sale price up 5% year-over-year, creating a scenario where buyers face limited options and potentially higher prices.

March Market Movers: National Trends with Local Flavor

This data in the came from a list of 85 U.S. metro areas with populations of at least 750,000. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

New Listings: Looking to buy? Head to California's golden triangle! Sacramento, San Jose, and Las Vegas saw the biggest jumps in new listings compared to last year, with increases of 20%, 18%, and 15% respectively. On the other hand, if you're selling, some cities might offer a tougher market. Boston, Rochester, and Atlanta saw the biggest drops in new listings year-over-year.

Closed Sales: While overall sales dipped slightly, a few cities bucked the trend. San Jose, Milwaukee, and Tulsa all saw a slight uptick in closed sales compared to March 2023. Meanwhile, Tacoma, West Palm Beach, and Grand Rapids experienced the biggest decline.

Competition: Bidding wars may still be a reality in some areas! San Jose takes the crown for the most homes selling above list price at a whopping 72%. Rochester and Oakland also saw a high percentage of homes exceeding asking price. However, for buyers looking for a more balanced market, North Port, West Palm Beach, and Cape Coral might be interesting options, with a much lower share of homes selling above list price.

Speed of Sale: Hoping for a quick sale? Rochester takes the cake! An impressive 82% of homes under contract went off the market within two weeks. Seattle and Grand Rapids also boast speedy sales, with a high percentage of homes going under contract within two weeks. If a leisurely browsing experience is more your style, Honolulu, Tucson, and McAllen might be better choices, with a lower percentage of homes selling quickly.

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30-Year Mortgage Rates on the Rise: Will It Affect Your Dream Home?

April 25, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

As of April 2024, the housing market finds itself in a state of flux. While hopes for a return to historically low mortgage rates have dimmed, experts still predict a decline from the current highs. But what exactly does 2024 hold for borrowers seeking a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage? Let's dive into the data and insights from leading authorities.

The Current Landscape: Rates on the Rise

As of this writing, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage sits at a stubborn 7.1%, according to Freddie Mac. This is a significant jump from rates below 7% at the beginning of the year, and even further from the lows of 2023. The culprit? Stubbornly high inflation has forced the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

Expert Predictions: A Gradual Decline is Expected

Despite the recent rise, most experts predict a gradual decrease in mortgage rates throughout the remainder of 2024. Here's a breakdown of some key predictions from housing giants and industry leaders:

Fannie Mae: After revising their initial forecast upwards, Fannie Mae now expects the 30-year rate to settle at 6.4% by year-end.
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): The MBA's baseline forecast is more optimistic, with rates dipping to 6.1% by the end of 2024 and reaching 5.5% in 2025.
National Association of Realtors (NAR): Chief Economist Lawrence Yun predicts rates to remain in the 6% to 7% range for most of 2024.

What This Means for Homebuyers:

Prospective homebuyers should be prepared for a mortgage rate environment that's higher than what they might have expected a year ago. However, there's still a chance for rates to fall throughout the year. Here are some tips:

Stay Informed: Keep an eye on economic data and Federal Reserve pronouncements to understand how they might affect mortgage rates.
Shop Around: Compare rates from different lenders to secure the best deal.
Consider Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): If you plan to sell your home within the fixed-rate period of an ARM, it might offer a lower initial rate. However, understand the risks involved as rates can adjust after the initial period.
Focus on Affordability: Don't overextend yourself financially. Focus on finding a home that fits comfortably within your budget, even with higher mortgage rates.

Factors Influencing Rise or Fall of 30-Year Mortgage Rates

If you are planning to buy a house and need a loan, you might be interested in knowing what are the factors that affect 30-year mortgage rates. Mortgage rates are the interest rates that lenders charge borrowers for lending them money to buy a property.

The longer the term of the loan, the higher the interest rate, because lenders face more risk and uncertainty. There are many factors that influence 30-year mortgage rates, but some of the most important ones are:

1. The Federal Reserve:

The Fed is the central bank of the United States, and it sets the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate that banks charge each other for overnight loans. The federal funds rate affects the prime rate, which is the interest rate that banks charge their most creditworthy customers. The prime rate, in turn, affects the mortgage rates that lenders offer to borrowers.

When the Fed lowers the federal funds rate, it stimulates the economy by making borrowing cheaper. This can lead to lower mortgage rates, as lenders compete for customers. Conversely, when the Fed raises the federal funds rate, it slows down the economy by making borrowing more expensive. This can lead to higher mortgage rates, as lenders try to protect their profit margins.

2. The Economy

The state of the economy also affects 30-year mortgage rates, as it reflects the supply and demand for credit. When the economy is strong, more people have jobs and income, and they are more likely to buy houses and apply for mortgages.

This increases the demand for credit, which pushes up the mortgage rates, as lenders have more bargaining power. On the other hand, when the economy is weak, fewer people have jobs and income, and they are less likely to buy houses and apply for mortgages. This decreases the demand for credit, which pulls down the mortgage rates, as lenders have less bargaining power.

3. The Inflation

Inflation is the general increase in the prices of goods and services over time. It erodes the purchasing power of money, which means that a dollar today can buy less than a dollar tomorrow.

Lenders are aware of this, and they adjust their mortgage rates accordingly. When inflation is high, lenders charge higher mortgage rates, because they want to compensate for the loss of value of their money over time.

When inflation is low, lenders charge lower mortgage rates, because they expect their money to retain its value over time.

4. The Credit Score

The credit score is a numerical representation of a borrower's creditworthiness, based on their past payment history, debt level, income, and other factors. It ranges from 300 to 850, with higher scores indicating lower risk.

Lenders use credit scores to assess how likely a borrower is to repay their loan on time and in full. Borrowers with higher credit scores are more likely to qualify for lower mortgage rates because they pose less risk to lenders. Borrowers with lower credit scores are more likely to qualify for higher mortgage rates because they pose more risk to lenders.