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Las Vegas Housing Market: Trends and Forecast 2025-2026

October 7, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Las Vegas Housing Market

It’s no secret that the Las Vegas housing market has been a hot topic, and as we look at the current housing market trends in 2025, the most definitive answer I can give you right now is that it's a more balanced, yet still opportunity-rich, environment compared to the frenzy of recent years. While we're not seeing the record-breaking price jumps of the past, there are definitely shifts happening that buyers and sellers alike need to understand.

Current Las Vegas Housing Market Trends in 2025: A Realistic Look

As I review the August 2025 data for Southern Nevada, what strikes me most is how this period feels eerily similar to August 2022. We’re seeing a slight dip in the median home price, with August 2025 settling at $480,000, a $5,000 drop from the previous month. This might sound like a big change, but in the grand scheme of the Las Vegas market, it's a minor adjustment.

What's more telling are the fewer homes sitting on the market without offers this selling season, even though we actually have fewer homes available today (7,206) compared to August 2022 (7,997). This suggests a more measured pace, where buyers are more deliberate due to lingering high interest rates, which are indeed keeping many folks on the sidelines. But for those who are ready, this presents a golden opportunity to negotiate better prices and closing costs, and take advantage of some pretty compelling builder incentives.

August 2025 Snapshot: What the Numbers Tell Us

Let's dive a little deeper into the numbers from August 2025 (Neighborhoodsinlasvegas.com). This is where I really start to see the story unfold.

Single-Family Homes:

  • Sales Volume: We saw 1,835 single-family homes close in August. This is a dip from July (down 9.2%) and also down from this time last year (down 14.2%). For comparison:
    • August 2025: 1,835 closings
    • August 2024: 2,138 closings
    • August 2023: 2,009 closings
    • August 2022: 2,002 closings This consistent decline in sales volume compared to previous years is a clear indicator that demand, while still present, isn't at the fever pitch we witnessed a few years ago.
  • Median Price: The median price for previously owned single-family homes hovered around $480,000. This is a slight decrease of 1% from July's $485,000 but, importantly, it’s up 0.7% year-over-year compared to August 2024 ($476,875). This modest yearly increase is what I find particularly interesting. While we’ve seen a $5,000 dip from the peak, it’s a far cry from the significant $32,000 drop we saw between May and August 2022. It tells me the market is much more stable now.
  • Average Price: It's also worth noting the average price, which was $582,582 in August. This is a decrease from July's $608,208 ($25,626 less month-over-month), and this is often a sign that larger, more expensive homes are selling at a slightly slower pace than more moderately priced ones.

Condos and Townhomes:

The story is a bit different for condos and townhomes.

  • Median Price: The median sales price for condos and townhomes actually rose in August to $298,000. This is a solid 2.8% increase from July and a 2.1% jump year-over-year compared to August 2024 ($292,000). This upward trend shows resilience in this segment of the market.Here's how the median prices stack up over the years:
    • August 2025: $298,000
    • August 2024: $292,000
    • August 2023: $287,000
    • August 2022: $264,900 This segment has shown consistent growth.

Luxury Market:

The high-end segment also saw some movement.

  • Sales Volume: There were 120 homes sold for $1 million and over in August, a decrease from July's 152. This is typical for the luxury market, which can fluctuate more significantly month-to-month.
  • Median Price: The median sales price in the luxury market in August was $1,420,000, a slight increase from July's $1,418,500. This indicates continued strength at the top end, even if the number of transactions dipped slightly.

Is Las Vegas Now a Buyer's Housing Market?

With interest rates still a significant factor, we're definitely in a buyer's market right now. This isn't a bad thing for buyers; it means you have more leverage. Here’s what I’m seeing as potential advantages for those looking to purchase:

  • Score Lower Prices: As the data shows, prices are stabilizing and even seeing minor dips. This is your chance to buy without the pressure of intense bidding wars.
  • Negotiate Closing Costs: Sellers are more willing to contribute to closing costs to get deals done. This can save you a significant chunk of change upfront.
  • Strong Builder Incentives: Builders are eager to meet year-end sales targets. This translate to fantastic deals, and I’ll be diving into those specific September 2025 incentives soon.

New Construction: Builders Push for Year-End Goals

Speaking of builders, this is an area where I see immense opportunity as we head further into 2025. Builders are facing their own pressures to deliver results, and it’s translating into incentives for buyers.

While new construction sales in July were down 23% year-over-year, the median closing price was actually up 7% at $519,975. This might seem contradictory, but it reflects the underlying costs of construction. As Home Builders Research President Andrew Smith pointed out, “The cost of constructing homes is not going down, and therefore, it tracks that the cost of buying a home is also not going to go down.” Land, regulations, labor – it all adds up.

However, builders are motivated. Expect to see attractive financing options, price concessions on certain inventory, and potentially even upgrades thrown in. If you're looking for a brand-new home, now is the time to be talking to builders and seeing what deals materialize as they aim to close out the year strong.

Inventory and Days on Market: A Calmer Pace

Let's look at the availability of homes and how long they're taking to sell.

  • New Listings: We saw 3,192 new listings in August, a slight dip of 1.5% from July but actually up 1.2% from the prior year. This increase in new listings, even if small, contributes to the overall inventory.
  • Homes Without Offers: This is a key indicator. In August, there were 7,206 single-family homes listed without offers. This is up 0.8% from July and a substantial 36.8% from last year. This means homes are sitting longer, giving buyers more time to consider their options and make offers without the extreme urgency of a multiple-offer situation.
  • Inventory Levels: All of this leads to a housing supply of 3.9 months in August. This is up 11.6% from July and a significant 59.4% increase from August of last year. For context:
    • August 2025: 3.9 months of supply
    • August 2024: 2.5 months of supply
    • August 2023: 1.9 months of supply
    • August 2022: 4.0 months of supply A supply between 3 to 6 months is generally considered balanced. We're now firmly in that territory, which is a healthy sign after years of much lower inventory.
  • Days on Market: 54.1% of closings in August were on homes that were on the market for 30 days or less. While this is still the majority, it’s down from 56% in July and significantly down from last year’s 66.8%. This further confirms that homes aren't flying off the shelves quite as fast.

Where is the Las Vegas Market Heading Next?

Predicting real estate is always a bit like reading tea leaves, but based on current trends, I don't anticipate a dramatic crash in median prices like we saw in 2022. The year-over-year increases in the median price for single-family homes (0.7%) and condos (2.1%) suggest a market that's finding its footing.

My outlook for the rest of 2025 and into early 2026 is one of continued moderation. High interest rates will likely keep sales volumes somewhat subdued compared to historical peaks. However, the increasing inventory and longer days on market mean bargaining power for buyers. We should see continued opportunities for negotiations, and an increase in the number of resale homes being absorbed. The demand for housing in Las Vegas hasn't disappeared; it's just become more thoughtful and price-sensitive.

For sellers, it means pricing your home competitively and being open to offers is crucial. For buyers, patience and strategic offers will be rewarded. The current Las Vegas housing market trends in 2025 are showing a market that is maturing, offering a more sustainable path forward after a period of rapid appreciation.

Las Vegas Housing Market Forecast 2025-2026

You're probably wondering, “Where will the Las Vegas housing market head in the next year or two?” The quick answer is, according to the latest forecast, a slight dip is expected in the short term, but not a dramatic crash, followed by a possible surge in demand in 2026. Let's dive into the details.

First, let's see where we are now. As of today, the average home value in Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise is $440,327. Which is up 2.6% over the past year. It is important to consider that the “Las Vegas housing market” comprises Single Family Homes, Condo and Townhouses.

Las Vegas Housing Market Prediction

Zillow's predictions offer insights into the near future. Here's what you might expect for the Las Vegas area related to this “housing market forecast.”

Region Area Type State Forecast Date Price Change by June 30, 2025 Price Change by August 31, 2025 Price Change from May 2025 to May 2026
Las Vegas, NV MSA NV May 31, 2025 -0.1% -0.3% -0.4%

So, what does this mean?

  • Short-Term Dip (June & August 2025): Zillow forecasts a slight decrease in home values in Las Vegas, with a 0.1% dip by the end of June 2025 and an additional 0.3% decrease by the end of August 2025. This suggests a cooling-off period in the summer.
  • Slight Decline Over the Year (May 2025 – May 2026): Looking at the longer view, Zillow predicts a 0.4% drop in home values from May 2025 to May 2026. This isn't catastrophic, but it signals that prices are unlikely to skyrocket in the coming year.

How Does Vegas Compare to Other Nevada Markets?

It's always good to compare regional trends within a state. Here's how Las Vegas stacks up against other Nevada metro areas:

Region Area Type State Forecast Date Price Change by June 30, 2025 Price Change by August 31, 2025 Price Change from May 2025 to May 2026
Reno, NV MSA NV May 31, 2025 -0.3% -0.9% -1.6%
Fernley, NV MSA NV May 31, 2025 -0.2% -0.7% -1.9%
Carson City, NV MSA NV May 31, 2025 0% -0.4% -1.1%
Elko, NV MSA NV May 31, 2025 0.2% 0% -1.3%

As you can see, many Nevada markets are expecting similar or even larger declines. Elko stands out as a spot where prices are either stable or even growing slightly.

What About the National Picture?

To get a broader perspective, let's look at what's happening nationally. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), expects a somewhat brighter picture nationwide:

  • Existing Home Sales: Expected to increase 6% in 2025 and a significant 11% in 2026.
  • New Home Sales: Predicted to rise 10% in 2025 and another 5% in 2026.
  • Median Home Prices: Forecast to increase 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026.
  • Mortgage Rates: Anticipated to average 6.4% in the second half of 2025 and drop to 6.1% in 2026.

This positive national outlook contrasts slightly with Zillow's more subdued forecast for Las Vegas, where prices are expected to either dip slightly or stay flat.

So, Will Home Prices Drop or Crash in Las Vegas? 

Based on the data, a housing market crash in Las Vegas seems unlikely for 2025. The forecasts point toward a moderate adjustment rather than a sharp downturn. However, it all comes down to how much more supply is injected in the market.

What Happens in 2026?

Looking ahead to 2026, if the national trends hold true for Las Vegas, we might see a rise in home sales and moderate price increases. What the forecast from major financial institutions has shown is that mortgage rates are expected to decline, which will increase buyer affordability and demand. But until then, it is all in speculation, until new data emerges.

My Thoughts as a Real Estate Professional

In my experience, the Las Vegas market is unique. It's heavily influenced by tourism, entertainment, and overall economic activity in the region. While national trends are important, local factors heavily sway Las Vegas's market. Keep in mind that these are predictions, not guarantees. The housing market can be impacted by many things such as interest rates, migration patterns to the area, or even unforeseen economic shifts.

Should You Invest in the Las Vegas Real Estate Market in 2025?

Las Vegas, known for its glitz and glamour, also offers intriguing possibilities for real estate investors. This section explores the current Las Vegas housing market to help you decide if it aligns with your investment goals.

The Las Vegas real estate market has seen significant movement. While sales activity slowed last year, new listings also declined, creating a more balanced market compared to prior periods. This doesn't necessarily signify a downturn; it suggests a shift from a seller's market to a more neutral environment.

While some price moderation might have occurred, affordability remains a challenge due to limited inventory. So, competition can be intense, particularly for desirable properties.

Reasons to Invest in Las Vegas Real Estate

Las Vegas offers potential advantages for long-term investors:

1. Steady Growth

The Las Vegas metro area boasts impressive growth, attracting new residents thanks to its diversified economy. Tourism, entertainment, gaming, along with technology, healthcare, and education contribute to a stable income base for the population.

2. Rental Market Strength

Las Vegas enjoys a robust rental market, with many residents choosing to rent. This presents opportunities for investors to generate consistent rental income, especially in popular neighborhoods and areas near employment hubs.

3. Proven Resilience

Las Vegas has a history of bouncing back from economic downturns, as evidenced by its recovery from the 2008 recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. The city continues to see revitalization efforts through new projects and initiatives.

4. Strong Economy and Population Growth

Las Vegas has been experiencing consistent population growth due to its economic opportunities, affordable cost of living, and desirable lifestyle. A growing population creates sustained demand for housing, making it an attractive option for long-term investors.

Las Vegas is a shining beacon in the desert for those fleeing California or simply hoping to make it big. Many others simply come to earn a living serving the many tourists who visit here each year or work at the firms relocating to this tax haven. All of this gives the Las Vegas real estate market a bright future.

The Las Vegas Valley was the 30th fastest-growing metro in the country last year, according to new data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Last year the valley added 14,038 new residents, a 0.6 percent increase over 2022, according to the census, and has added 71,098 residents since 2020.

5. Infrastructure Development

Las Vegas has ongoing infrastructure development projects, including new roads, public transportation, and community amenities. These investments can enhance the quality of life and property values, making it an appealing choice for long-term real estate investors.

Several significant projects are shaping Las Vegas's future:

  • The Resorts World Las Vegas: A $4.3 billion mega-resort opened in June 2023, offering over 3,500 rooms, a casino, a theater, and more.
  • The MSG Sphere at The Venetian: A $1.8 billion entertainment venue expected to open in late 2023 or early 2024, featuring a spherical shape and state-of-the-art technology.
  • The Las Vegas Convention Center Expansion: A $980 million project added 1.4 million square feet of space, enhancing the city's event capabilities.
  • The Allegiant Stadium: A $1.9 billion stadium that opened in July 2020 as the home of the NFL's Las Vegas Raiders and host for events and concerts.
  • The Boring Company's Loop System: A $52 million underground transportation system connects various locations in Las Vegas using autonomous electric vehicles.

6. Economic Diversification

Las Vegas has diversified its economy beyond the entertainment and tourism sectors. The city now boasts thriving industries in technology, healthcare, and manufacturing. Economic diversification contributes to stability and long-term growth potential in the real estate market.

7. Appreciation Potential

The Las Vegas real estate market has historically shown the potential for property appreciation. As the city continues to grow and evolve, property values may increase over time, providing long-term investors with capital gains opportunities.

8. Low Property Taxes

Nevada is known for its favorable tax climate. The state has no personal income tax, and property taxes are relatively low. This can translate into better returns for real estate investors, making long-term ownership more attractive.

9. Tourism and Hospitality

Las Vegas remains a global tourist destination, and the hospitality industry continues to thrive. This ensures a steady flow of short-term rental and vacation rental opportunities, which can be a lucrative segment for long-term investors, especially in the right locations.

10. Education and Workforce

The city has been making investments in education and workforce development. A well-educated and skilled workforce can attract businesses and professionals, leading to increased demand for housing and real estate investment potential in the long term.

11. Wealth of Investment Options

Las Vegas offers a wide range of real estate investment options, from single-family homes to multi-unit properties and commercial real estate. Diversifying your portfolio with different types of properties can provide a solid foundation for long-term financial growth.

Before investing in Las Vegas real estate for the long term, it's crucial to conduct thorough research, understand market conditions, and consult with local real estate experts to make well-informed investment decisions. Long-term real estate investment can be a promising path to building wealth and financial security in this dynamic and growing city.

Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions 2025: What to Expect
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Is It a Bubble? Is It Falling?
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Las Vegas

Will Las Vegas Tourism Drop Impact the Real Estate and Housing Market?

August 30, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Las Vegas Tourism Decline 2025: Is Housing and Real Estate at Risk?

Let me start by saying this: yes, the current Las Vegas tourism decline is definitely casting a shadow, and it's very likely to have a noticeable impact on the city's real estate and housing market. It's not a simple cause-and-effect, though; it's a complex web of why people are visiting less and what that means for everything from buying a house to renting an apartment.

Las Vegas Tourism Drop: Will It Impact the Real Estate or Housing Market?

It feels like just yesterday Las Vegas was the undisputed queen of entertainment, drawing millions of people year after year. I remember hearing stories from friends who worked in hospitality, always buzzing with activity, never a dull moment. But the reports coming out now in 2025 paint a different picture. Visitor numbers are down, and not just by a little bit. We're talking about a significant drop that makes you wonder what's really going on behind the glitz and glamour. And when Vegas sneezes, the rest of its economy, especially its real estate, often catches a cold.

Where Are All the Tourists Going? The 2025 Slump Explained

Looking at the numbers from the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority (LVCVA), it’s clear that 2025 has been a tough year for Vegas tourism. Imagine this: in June 2025, there were about 3.094 million visitors. That might sound like a lot, but compare it to June 2024, when 3.49 million people flocked to the city, and you see an 11.3% drop. When you zoom out to the first half of 2025, the picture gets even clearer – about 1.5 million fewer visitors compared to the same period last year.

This isn't just about fewer people strolling down the Strip. It means hotel rooms are sitting empty. Occupancy rates in April 2025 dipped to around 82.9%, down from a healthier 85.3% the year before. And when hotels aren't full, they often have to lower prices to attract guests. This is reflected in the revenue per available room (RevPAR), which has reportedly fallen by as much as 28.7% on busy holiday weekends.

Even the lifeblood of Vegas, gaming revenue, has taken a hit, failing to grow for five straight months to start 2025. What's really concerning is the slump in international tourism. Some markets have seen drops of anywhere from 10% to a staggering 63%. For a city that relies heavily on visitors from abroad, this is a major blow. We're seeing the consequences: fewer people tipping, meaning service workers are earning less, and unfortunately, even some layoffs in the hotel and casino industry.

Why the Big Drop? Digging Deeper Than Just “Fewer Visitors”

So, what’s causing this dip? It’s not just one thing; it’s a perfect storm of different factors.

  • The Wallet Feels Lighter: After the pandemic boom, Las Vegas seemed to think it could charge pretty much anything. Hotels, shows, food, even parking – prices went up. While people were eager to travel post-pandemic, now, with inflation and general economic worries, many folks are watching every dollar. They’re thinking twice about paying premium prices when other destinations might offer more bang for their buck. Places like Nashville are drawing crowds that might have once considered Vegas.
  • Policy Puzzles and Political Headwinds: Some experts and industry insiders are pointing fingers at the government's actions and policies. Things like tariffs and trade wars can make international travel more complicated and expensive. There's also a sense that stricter immigration policies and global tensions have made some travelers, especially from allied countries, hesitant to visit the U.S. For example, Canadian visitors, who are often a significant chunk of the Vegas visitor pie, have reportedly dropped off significantly. This idea of a “Trump slump” in tourism from certain countries is a theory worth considering.
  • Just Another Hot Summer (Literally) and Fewer Big Events: Let's face it, summers in Vegas can be brutal. This year, with record heat waves (think over 100°F in June), it likely made outdoor activities less appealing. On top of that, there seem to be fewer major conventions and big-name events scheduled for 2025 compared to previous years, leading to lower hotel occupancy during the week.

It’s important to note that this isn’t just a Vegas problem. Many other popular U.S. tourist spots in states like New York, Florida, and California are also seeing a slowdown in visitors.

A Look Back: Vegas Has Seen Bounces Before, But Is This Time Different?

Las Vegas has always been remarkably good at bouncing back. Remember the 2008 financial crisis? Or the COVID-19 pandemic that practically shut the city down in 2020? Vegas bounced back. In 2019, they hit a record of 42.52 million visitors. After the pandemic lows, they were back to 32.2 million in 2021, 38.8 million in 2022, and a fantastic 40.83 million in 2023. Even the big Formula One Grand Prix in 2023 brought in a massive $1.2 billion boost.

However, this current decline in 2025 feels a bit different. Past recoveries were often fueled by Vegas offering incredible value – great deals on hotels and experiences. This time, with those higher prices, the value proposition might be weaker. If the city doesn't adjust its pricing strategy, this slump could last longer than usual.

What's Happening with Homes in Vegas?

While tourism is dipping, the Las Vegas real estate market has been a bit of a rollercoaster itself. As of mid-2025, things are definitely starting to cool down. Redfin even called it the fastest-cooling market in the U.S.

The median home price is hovering around $440,000 to $466,000 as of July 2025. That’s actually down a bit, about 2.2% compared to last year. Homes are also sticking around on the market longer – the average is now 56 days.

What's interesting is that the number of homes for sale (inventory) has shot up considerably. By December 2024, active listings were up 42% from the year before. Now, this is still less than what we saw before the pandemic, but it's a significant increase more recently. Home sales overall have dropped too. In 2023, there were about 43,050 sales, a 22% decrease from 2022.

The rental market is also feeling a bit softer, with vacancy rates around 9.0% and average rents at about $1,384. Even big new developments, like the massive Fontainebleau Las Vegas, which brought jobs, are now facing the challenge of filling their rooms.

Home Price Trends: A Snapshot

To give you a clearer idea, here’s a look at how median home prices have been moving. Keep in mind, these are general figures for single-family homes:

Month/Year Median Price ($)
January 2024 475,000
June 2024 479,900
January 2025 (Figures vary, condo/townhomes lower, single-family higher)
June 2025 485,000
July 2025 440,000 – 466,000

Sources: Based on data from Redfin, Realtor.com, and local reports.

If you look at broader price indexes, like the All-Transactions House Price Index, it showed steady, modest growth through late 2024 and into early 2025. However, the latest reports suggest this growth might be leveling off or even starting to decline.

How Does Tourism Affect Vegas Real Estate? It's a Two-Way Street

Here's where it gets really interesting. Tourism and the real estate market in Las Vegas are like peanut butter and jelly – they just go together. The leisure and hospitality sector is huge for Vegas, employing about 26% of all jobs in the city. That's a massive number of people, roughly 358,900 workers in 2022, contributing billions to the local economy.

When tourism is strong, it creates jobs. More jobs mean more people need places to live. This drives up demand for both buying homes and renting apartments. Think about it: more hotel staff, restaurant workers, casino dealers, performers – they all need housing. This is why Vegas has a decent homeownership rate (around 55.7%) and why short-term rentals like Airbnbs are popular.

On the commercial side, hotels, casinos, restaurants, and shops all depend on those tourist dollars. And when the economy is generating a lot of money from tourism, it attracts investors, both big companies and individual buyers, who see Vegas as a place where property values can increase.

But when tourism slows down, that whole chain reaction gets disrupted. Fewer visitors mean fewer jobs in hospitality. We're already seeing a drop in hospitality employment, from 305,179 in May 2024 to 298,384 by February 2025. This can lead to fewer people looking to buy or rent homes, putting downward pressure on prices and increasing vacancies.

So, What's the Damage? Potential Impacts on Vegas Real Estate

Given the sharp drop in tourism in 2025, the real estate market is likely to feel the effects.

  • Short-Term Shakes: With fewer tourists spending money, businesses might cut back. This could mean more layoffs in the hospitality industry. When people lose jobs or worry about losing them, they tend to put off big purchases like houses. Buyer demand, which was already down from its pandemic highs, might decrease even further. This can lead to more homes sitting on the market longer and potentially some price drops. The uncertainty caused by things like tariffs could also make investors pull back.
  • Longer-Term Worries: If international travel doesn't pick up soon, certain parts of the market, like luxury condos or properties that rely heavily on short-term rentals, could really struggle. However, it's not all doom and gloom. Even with the current dip, the long-term outlook for Las Vegas real estate isn't entirely negative. Developers are still planning for new homes and rental units, anticipating future demand. The key will be how the market adjusts.
  • Silver Linings and Opportunities: On the flip side, when prices start to come down, it can actually attract new buyers who were previously priced out. If Vegas can successfully shift its image to be more about value and different types of experiences rather than just luxury, it could help stabilize the market.

Visitor Numbers: A Quick Comparison (in Millions)

Here’s a simplified look at how visitor numbers have changed over the years. This helps visualize the trend:

Year Visitors (Millions)
2019 42.52
2020 19.00
2021 32.20
2022 38.80
2023 40.83
2024 ~41.00 (estimate)
2025 ~38.00 (projected YTD decline)

Note: The 2025 figure is an estimate based on the reported year-to-date slowdown.

What are the Experts Saying?

Even big players like Goldman Sachs are issuing warnings that reduced international tourism could cost U.S. businesses billions in 2025. Locally, analysts who know Vegas inside and out acknowledge the city's ability to rebound but caution against pricing themselves out of the market. Some housing forecasts still predict job growth, thanks to new attractions, but higher interest rates could continue to make it harder for people to afford homes.

There are certainly those who believe this decline is just a temporary blip and that Vegas will bounce back strongly. They point to potential policy changes or future major events. But it’s wise to listen to the more cautious voices too, who highlight the risks that come with global political issues and a slowing economy.

The Bottom Line: What Does This Mean for Vegas Homes?

The downturn in Las Vegas tourism in 2025, driven by a mix of expensive prices, policy decisions, and broader economic issues, does pose a real threat to the city’s real estate market. We could see this leading to more unsold homes and prices that aren't growing as fast, or even falling in some areas.

Historically, Vegas has been very dependent on tourism, which makes its real estate market vulnerable when visitor numbers drop. However, the city is also trying to diversify its economy and attract different types of visitors. If they can focus on offering better value and appealing experiences, they might be able to lessen the long-term damage. It’s a situation worth watching closely, because what happens in Las Vegas can sometimes be a sign of what’s to come for the broader U.S. economy.

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Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Becomes the Fastest-Cooling Housing Market in 2025
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions Next 2 Years: Crash or Correction?
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Gets a Major Inventory Boost in 2025
  • Where to Buy Las Vegas Investment Properties in 2025: Top Neighborhoods
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Trends and Forecast 2025-2026
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years
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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, housing market predictions, Las Vegas, Nevada

Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions Next 2 Years: Crash or Correction?

August 18, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions Next 2 Years: Crash or Correction?

Thinking about buying or selling a house in Las Vegas? You're probably wondering what the future holds for the Las Vegas housing market in the next 2 years or so. The short answer? According to recent data, some modest declines are expected. Zillow's forecast projects a decrease of 1.2% in home values over the next year (June 2025 to June 2026). But before you panic or celebrate, let's dive deep into the numbers, the trends, and what it all really means for you. Forget the get-rich-quick schemes, we're talking real talk about the Las Vegas real estate scene.

Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years: Will Prices Drop?

🏠
Las Vegas Housing: Quick Insights (Mid-2025)
  • 📈
    Current Home Value: Approximately $438,432, a slight *increase* of 0.9% year-over-year.
  • 📉
    Near-Term Forecast (Next 3 Months): Expect a modest *decline* of -1.2% by September 2025.
  • 📅
    1-Year Outlook (Mid-2026): Projecting a further *decrease* of -1.2% from June 2025 levels.
  • 💡
    Key Factors to Watch: Monitor unemployment, job growth, and especially *mortgage rate* fluctuations. Inventory is also up.

Updated: July 31, 2025. Forecasts based on current data & trends.

The Current Temperature of the Las Vegas Housing Market

Okay, so let's look at where we are right now (as of late July 2025). Here's a snapshot of the Las Vegas housing market:

  • Average Home Value: $438,432
  • Year-over-Year Change: Up 0.9%
  • Homes for Sale: 12,936
  • New Listings (July 2025): 3,290
  • Median Sale to List Price Ratio (June 2025): 0.991
  • Median Sale Price (June 2025): $431,917
  • Median List Price (July 2025): $467,933
  • Sales Over List Price (June 2025): 20.1%
  • Sales Under List Price (June 2025): 55.8%
  • Median Days to Pending (July 2025): 31 days

What does this all mean? Well, prices are still slightly up compared to last year. Basically, it's a more balanced market than we've seen in recent years.

One thing that stands out to me is the median days to pending. Homes are going under contract in about a month. That's not super speedy, suggesting that buyers are being more cautious, and there is less competition.

Forecasts for the Next 2 Years: What the Experts Predict

Okay, let's get to the heart of the matter: what's going to happen with home prices in Las Vegas over the next two years? The data suggests some softening in the market.

Here's a look at Zillow's forecasts:

Timeframe Predicted Change
July 31, 2025 -0.4%
September 30, 2025 -1.2%
June 30, 2026 -1.2%

As you can see, Zillow is forecasting a slight decline in home values in the short term, extending into 2026. It's a modest drop, but it's a drop nonetheless.

How Does Las Vegas Compare to Other Nevada Markets?

It's important to put these forecasts into context. How is Las Vegas expected to perform compared to other cities in Nevada? Here's a comparison:

City July 31, 2025 June 30, 2026
Reno -0.4% -2.1%
Fernley -0.3% -2.3%
Carson City -0.1% -1.4%
Elko -0.2% -2.4%
Pahrump -0.3% -1.6%
Gardnerville Ranchos -0.1% -2.4%
Fallon -0.2% -0.9%
Winnemucca 0.1% 0.2%
Las Vegas -0.4% -1.2%

Compared to other regions in Nevada, Las Vegas is neither the worst nor the best. Several areas are expected to see bigger declines, while Winnemucca is supposed to increase slightly.

National Trends and Expert Opinions

It's not just about what's happening in Las Vegas; we need to look at the bigger picture. What's going on nationally?

According to Lawrence Yun, the Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), things are looking up overall. He expects:

  • Existing Home Sales: Up 6% in 2025 and 11% in 2026
  • New Home Sales: Up 10% in 2025 and 5% in 2026
  • Median Home Prices: Up 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026
  • Mortgage Rates: Averaging 6.4% in the second half of 2025 and 6.1% in 2026

So, nationally, the outlook is more optimistic than what Zillow is predicting for Las Vegas. Yun believes that lower mortgage rates will be the “magic bullet” to boost the real estate market.

Why the Discrepancy?

You might be wondering why there's a difference between the national forecast and the Las Vegas forecast. Here's my take:

  • Local Market Conditions: Las Vegas is unique. Its economy relies heavily on tourism, and population growth has been a major driver of housing demand for years. If either of those factors changes, it can have a big impact.
  • Affordability: Home prices in Las Vegas have risen significantly in recent years, making it harder for people to afford to buy. This could be contributing to the expected slowdown.

Will Home Prices Crash in Las Vegas?

That's the question on everyone's mind, right? Will we see a repeat of 2008?

Based on the data and expert analysis, I don't think so. A crash is unlikely. While prices might soften a bit, the factors that led to the previous crash (like predatory lending and overbuilding) aren't present today.

A Possible Forecast for 2026

While Zillow hasn't released its detailed projections for 2026, we can use the available info to make an educated guess. Given the expected trends, I'd say it's reasonable to expect the Las Vegas housing market to be:

  • Relatively Stable: Slight price appreciations in the second half of the year.
  • Slightly Below 2025 Prices: A small dip from 2025 values.
  • Driven by Economic Factors: The health of the Las Vegas economy, unemployment rates, and interest rates will be crucial.

How Will Economic Trends Impact the Housing Market?

Speaking of the economy, let's dig deeper into how economic factors could affect the Las Vegas housing market.

  • Unemployment: The unemployment rate in the Las Vegas area was 5.8% in June 2025 (not seasonally adjusted). That's higher than the national average. However, Nevada's unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) was 5.4% in July 2025. A consistently high unemployment rate could hurt the housing market by reducing the number of people who can afford to buy a home. It can also lead to more foreclosures.
  • Job Growth: Las Vegas MSA saw an increase of 4,200 jobs (0.4%) from June to July 2025. However, the private sector lost 1,200 jobs in July 2025, continuing a trend of job losses. If job growth slows significantly, it could put downward pressure on home prices.
  • Population Growth: The Las Vegas Valley has seen tremendous population growth over the past few decades. However, the rate of growth has started to slow. Slower population growth could mean less demand for housing.

Population Statistics (Metro Area):

  • 2023 Population: 2,293,764
  • Foreign-Born Residents (2023): Approx. 21.7%

Who Should Buy In The Next Two Years?

If you're prepared to make a purchase, it might be an excellent time for a first-time buyer to get into the market. The rates may be high, but not as high as they could peak. Inventory is also up, helping the people buying a home and the people selling, too.

My Personal Thoughts

Look, predicting the future is always tricky. But from what I can see, the Las Vegas housing market is unlikely to give us anything too exciting in the next couple of years. Don't expect a boom, but don't expect a crash either. If you're a buyer, have patience and keep your eyes open. If you're a seller, price your home competitively and be prepared to negotiate.

Ultimately, buying or selling a home is a personal decision that depends on your individual circumstances. Do your homework, talk to a real estate professional and make the best choice for you and your family.

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Recommended Read:

  • Where to Buy Las Vegas Investment Properties in 2025: Top Neighborhoods
  • Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast
  • Las Vegas Housing Market 2024: Is It a Bubble? Is It Falling?
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, housing market predictions, Las Vegas, Nevada

Las Vegas Becomes the Fastest-Cooling Housing Market in 2025

August 15, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Las Vegas Becomes the Fastest-Cooling Housing Market in 2025

Is the Las Vegas housing market losing its sparkle? As of June 2025, the answer is a resounding yes. According to a recent Redfin analysis, Las Vegas is the fastest-cooling housing market in the U.S., marked by a significant drop in home sales and a surge in inventory.

It's a stark contrast to the boomtown days of the pandemic. What happened? Let's dive in and take a closer look at the factors contributing to this dramatic shift.

Las Vegas Becomes the Fastest-Cooling Housing Market in 2025

The Sun Belt Slowdown: A Broader Trend

It's important to understand that Las Vegas isn't alone. Many Sun Belt cities that experienced explosive growth during the pandemic are now seeing a slowdown. These are places that benefited from the initial rush of people leaving major urban centers in search of more space and (initially) lower costs. But that trend seems to be reversing.

What these metros have in common:

  • Sun Belt Location: The housing slowdown is concentrated in Sun Belt states.
  • Pandemic Boom: These cities saw a massive influx of new residents and homebuilding during the pandemic.
  • Rising Inventory: The number of homes for sale is increasing, while fewer people can afford them.
  • Declining Prices: In some cases, home prices are actually decreasing year-over-year.

Las Vegas: A Perfect Storm of Cooling Factors

While the broader Sun Belt slowdown is a factor, Las Vegas has some unique circumstances contributing to its rapid cooling.

  • Plummeting Sales: Sales are down 10.2% year-over-year. This indicates a significant drop in buyer demand.
  • Soaring Inventory: Inventory has skyrocketed by 44.8%, the largest increase among the metros analyzed. This gives buyers more options and weakens sellers' positions.
  • Stagnant Prices: While prices haven't dropped, they've remained flat. This means that inflation-adjusted prices are actually down.
  • Slower Sales: Homes are taking 51 days to sell, 15 days longer than last year. This increases carrying costs for sellers and puts downward pressure on prices.

Why the Sudden Shift in Las Vegas?

Several factors are at play:

  • Affordability Crunch: Las Vegas, despite its initial affordability advantage, has seen prices rise dramatically in recent years. Combined with higher mortgage rates, this has priced many potential buyers out of the market.
  • Overbuilding: The pandemic-era construction boom led to a surge of new homes hitting the market. Now, there's more supply than demand.
  • Mortgage Rates: High mortgage rates are impacting the entire housing market, but they disproportionately affect markets like Las Vegas, where many buyers are more sensitive to interest rate changes.
  • Economic Uncertainty: General economic uncertainty and fear of a recession are making people hesitant to make major purchases like homes.

What Are Buyers and Sellers Doing?

Redfin Premier real estate agent Cherra Bergman offered valuable insights into the ground reality in Las Vegas.

Buyers behavior as of now

  • *Patience: Buyers feel like they can take more time when buying homes.
  • Cost Conscious: High mortgage rates are top of mind for the buyers.
  • New Construction: Buyers are considering new construction because builders provide rate buydowns and closing cost assistance.

The Ripple Effect: What This Means for the Las Vegas Economy

The cooling housing market has implications beyond just buyers and sellers. The housing market is a significant driver of the Las Vegas economy, supporting construction jobs, real estate agents, mortgage brokers, and related industries. A slowdown in housing can ripple through the economy, leading to:

  • Job Losses: Construction and real estate-related jobs could be at risk.
  • Reduced Consumer Spending: As people feel less confident about the housing market, they may cut back on spending.
  • Slower Economic Growth: A weaker housing market can drag down overall economic growth.

Is This a Housing Crash in Las Vegas?

It's important to distinguish between a cooling market and a crash. While Las Vegas is experiencing a significant slowdown, it's not necessarily heading for a full-blown crash. Here's why:

  • No Over-Leveraging: Unlike the mid-2000s housing bubble, today's buyers are generally more qualified and have larger down payments. This reduces the risk of widespread foreclosures.
  • Strong Employment: The overall U.S. economy, while facing challenges, still has a relatively strong labor market.
  • Demographic Trends: Long-term demographic trends still favor homeownership.

However, there's no guarantee that the market won't decline further. The Las Vegas housing market will depend on factors such as:

  • Mortgage Rates: If mortgage rates continue to rise, the market will likely cool further. If they fall, it could provide a boost.
  • Economic Growth: A strong economy is essential for supporting housing demand.
  • Inventory Levels: If inventory continues to climb, it will put more downward pressure on prices.

Navigating the Cooling Market: Advice for Buyers

If you're a buyer in Las Vegas, this cooling market presents opportunities. Here's some advice:

  • Take Your Time: Don't feel rushed to make a decision. You have more options than you did a year ago.
  • Negotiate: Sellers are more willing to negotiate on price and terms. Don't be afraid to make offers below the asking price.
  • Shop Around for Mortgages: Compare rates and terms from multiple lenders to get the best deal.
  • Consider New Construction: Builders are offering incentives such as rate buydowns and closing cost assistance.

Navigating the Cooling Market: Advice for Sellers

For sellers, the cooling market requires a different approach:

  • Price Realistically: Don't overprice your home. Look at comparable sales and price competitively.
  • Consider Making Improvements: If your home needs repairs or upgrades, consider making them before listing.
  • Work with an Experienced Agent: An experienced agent can help you navigate the changing market and develop a winning strategy.
  • Be Patient: It may take longer to sell your home than it did a year ago. Be prepared to be patient and consider lowering your price if necessary.

Looking Ahead: What's Next for the Las Vegas Housing Market?

The future of the Las Vegas housing market is uncertain. A lot depends on broader economic conditions and interest rate trends. It's likely that the market will remain cooler than it was during the height of the pandemic.

However, Las Vegas still possesses several advantages:

  • Tourism: The entertainment and tourism industry in Las Vegas continues to grow at a good pace.
  • Relatively Lower Cost of Living: Though it's less affordable than it used to be, Las Vegas is still cheaper than many other major cities.
  • Favorable Tax Climate: Nevada has no state income tax, which can be attractive to businesses and individuals.

Ultimately, the Las Vegas housing market is likely to find a new equilibrium. It may not be as hot as it was during the pandemic, but it's unlikely to crash. It is expected to morph into a stable, more balanced market that offers opportunities for both buyers and sellers.

Milwaukee bucking the trend

Milwaukee remains a hot market. People there are getting into bidding wars with offers above the asking price. The housing markets located in the Rust Belt are seeing an increase in home sales and prices. Also the Rust Belt has less out-migration compared to the South. Houses in Milwaukee are being snapped up quickly because of the inventory shortage.

Bottom Line:

The cooling of the Las Vegas housing market is a significant development, reflecting broader trends in the Sun Belt and the impact of rising interest rates. While it presents challenges for sellers, it also creates opportunities for buyers. By understanding the factors driving the market and taking a strategic approach, both buyers and sellers can successfully navigate this changing environment.

Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Housing Market Gets a Major Inventory Boost in 2025
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Trends and Forecast 2025-2026
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years
  • Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions 2025: What to Expect
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Is It a Bubble? Is It Falling?
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Las Vegas

Las Vegas Housing Market Gets a Major Inventory Boost in 2025

July 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Las Vegas Housing Market Gets a Major Inventory Boost in 2025

The Las Vegas housing market is currently experiencing a surge in available homes, offering buyers more options than in previous years. This increased inventory, driven by retirees relocating, investors cashing out, and higher interest rates impacting affordability, presents both opportunities and challenges for those looking to buy or sell in the “Entertainment Capital of the World.”

The real estate market is one of the most watched indicators of the economy. To be honest, keeping up with housing trends can feel like watching a high-stakes poker game. Nowhere is this more true than in a city like Las Vegas, where fortunes can be won or lost in the blink of an eye. As someone who follows the real estate industry closely, I'm diving deep into what's happening in the Las Vegas housing market right now. What I'm seeing is a fascinating, and frankly, a somewhat contradictory picture.

Las Vegas Housing Market Gets a Major Inventory Boost in 2025

A Flood of Homes: What's Driving the Inventory Boost?

Here's what's happening: Las Vegas is seeing a significant increase in the number of homes listed for sale. In fact, according to Realtor.com data, Las Vegas experienced the sharpest increase in housing inventory, with a whopping 77.6% increase year-over-year. This is in stark contrast to the previous years when inventory was tight and bidding wars were common.

So, what's behind this sudden influx of homes hitting the market? There are a few key factors at play:

  • Retirees Relocating: A substantial number of retirees are choosing to sell their homes in Las Vegas to move closer to family, seek cooler climates (Vegas summers are brutal for some!), or transition into assisted living communities. Some are even moving in with relatives for support.
  • Investors Cashing Out: Many investors who purchased properties at lower prices during previous years are now taking advantage of the market to sell their holdings and reinvest their capital elsewhere. Essentially, they're looking to capitalize on their gains.
  • Higher Interest Rates: Rising interest rates have cooled buyer demand. This makes it more expensive to finance a home, pushing some potential buyers to the sidelines. As Robert Little, a local real estate expert, pointed out, people relocating to Las Vegas are struggling to sell homes in other markets, further slowing down activity.

What Does This Mean for Buyers?

For buyers, this increase in inventory is generally good news. It means:

  • More Choices: With more homes on the market, buyers have a wider selection to choose from, increasing the chances of finding a property that meets their needs and budget.
  • Less Competition: The cooled demand translates to fewer bidding wars and less pressure to make hasty decisions. Buyers have more time to explore their options negotiate terms, and conduct thorough inspections.
  • Negotiating Power: Savvy buyers can capitalize on the shifting market dynamics by negotiating price reductions, requesting concessions, or asking for closing cost assistance. This is where having a skilled real estate agent becomes invaluable.

However, it's not all sunshine and roses for buyers. Interest rates are still significantly higher than they were a few years ago, which can impact affordability. It's crucial to carefully assess your financial situation and determine what you can comfortably afford before jumping into the market.

What Does This Mean for Sellers?

For sellers, the increased inventory presents a more challenging landscape. Here's what they need to consider:

  • Increased Competition: With more homes for sale, sellers need to stand out from the crowd. This means ensuring your property is well-maintained, properly staged, and competitively priced.
  • Realistic Expectations: Sellers may need to adjust their expectations regarding sale prices. The days of easy profits and bidding wars may be over, at least for now.
  • Negotiation is Key: Be prepared to negotiate with buyers. Offering concessions, providing closing cost assistance, or simply being open to price reductions can help attract potential buyers and seal the deal.

Robert Little noted that some of his clients are “altering expectations, offering concessions like closing cost assistance, or being open to price negotiations,” while others “are holding firm on price, anticipating market conditions to improve.” The best approach depends on your individual circumstances and goals.

Las Vegas Housing Market: Key Trends and Data

Let's take a look at some key data points shaping the Las Vegas housing market:

  • Inventory Increase: Las Vegas leads the nation with a 77.6% increase in housing inventory year-over-year.
  • Median List Price: The median list price for the Las Vegas-Henderson-North Vegas metro area is $479,988 (June, Realtor.com data).
  • Months of Inventory: While inventory has increased, the region still has a 3.6-month supply—technically still classified as a seller's market.
  • Gaming Revenue: While overall gaming revenue in Nevada is up, profits on the Las Vegas Strip have declined. However, experts believe this is not a primary driver of the real estate market changes.

Here's a table summarizing inventory changes in other cities:

City Inventory Growth (Year-over-Year)
Washington, D.C. +63.6%
Raleigh, NC +56.4%

Factors Still Supporting Las Vegas Real Estate

Despite the change in market dynamics, there are still factors that are supporting the Las Vegas real estate market for the long term. Namely,

  • Favorable tax structures help attract new people and businesses to the city.
  • Desirable climate and access to an array of strong lifestyle amenities such as world class dining, entertainment and outdoor activities.

The Long Game: Is Las Vegas Still a Good Investment?

I believe the Las Vegas housing market is well-positioned for long-term growth. As Robert Little said, “Las Vegas continues to attract buyers thanks to its favorable tax structure, desirable climate, and strong lifestyle amenities.” He also suggests that “When national conditions improve, particularly interest rates, Las Vegas is well-positioned to see another surge in appreciation.”

Las Vegas is a city of constant evolution. It has weathered economic storms before and emerged stronger. While the current market may present challenges for some sellers, it also offers opportunities for buyers.

The key is to approach the market strategically, with a clear understanding of your needs, financial capabilities, and the current market dynamics. Whether you're buying or selling, working with a knowledgeable and experienced real estate professional who understands the nuances of the Las Vegas market is essential.

Final Thoughts: A Balanced Market Emerges

I think what we're seeing in the Las Vegas housing market is a shift towards a more balanced market. The days of extreme seller dominance appear to be waning, and buyers are gaining more leverage. While challenges exist, the underlying fundamentals of the Las Vegas market remain strong.

If you're considering buying or selling in Las Vegas, now is the time to do your research, gather your resources and decide what is best for your family! This market can be beneficial for the right person!

Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Trends and Forecast 2025-2026
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years
  • Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions 2025: What to Expect
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Is It a Bubble? Is It Falling?
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Las Vegas

Where to Buy Las Vegas Investment Properties in 2025: Top Neighborhoods

December 17, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

invest in Las Vegas real estate

If you're looking to invest in Las Vegas real estate in 2025, you'll want to focus on areas that offer solid growth potential and a good return on investment. Neighborhoods like Summerlin, The Lakes, and Centennial Hills stand out, given their strong median home values and desirable amenities. These areas have shown consistent growth and continue to attract buyers, making them prime spots for investors.

I've been following the Las Vegas real estate market for a while now, and let me tell you, it's a dynamic place. The city's always buzzing, with new developments and opportunities popping up. It’s not just about the Strip anymore; there’s a whole lot more to Vegas than just casinos and shows. As an investor myself, I know how important it is to pick the right neighborhood, and I’m here to share what I've learned to help you make smart decisions.

Understanding the Las Vegas Market Right Now

Before we dive into specific neighborhoods, let's look at the current state of the Las Vegas housing market. As of November 2024, the average home value in Las Vegas is $423,942, according to Zillow. This is a 5.9% increase over the past year, which shows you that the market is still moving upwards, albeit at a slower pace than during the pandemic boom. Homes are going pending in around 29 days, which indicates a reasonably active market with decent demand.

Here's a quick rundown of some key market stats that I've compiled:

  • Average Home Value: $423,942
  • 1-Year Value Change: +5.9%
  • Median Days to Pending: 29 days
  • Median Sale Price: $412,833
  • Median List Price: $456,333

These numbers are important because they give you an overview of what's happening in the market. A 5.9% year-over-year increase is still substantial and not something to be ignored. It means values are not only going up, but also that people are interested in buying here. You'll also notice a difference between the median list and sale price. That means that sellers are often asking for a bit more but ultimately many houses sell below the asking price. Keep that in mind when negotiating your offer.

Why Las Vegas is Still a Good Investment Choice

So why invest in Las Vegas now? Well, despite some natural fluctuations, there are a number of reasons why I think it's still a promising market.

  • Population Growth: Las Vegas has consistently attracted new residents over the years. People move here for the weather, the job opportunities, and the overall lifestyle. This growing population drives demand for housing, making it beneficial for landlords or sellers in the future.
  • Job Market: The local job market is pretty diverse, with strong sectors in hospitality, tourism, healthcare, and technology. That diversity helps make the region more resilient to economic downturns, which is a big plus for investors.
  • Affordable Compared to Other Major Cities: While the home prices have gone up, Las Vegas is still more affordable compared to other major metropolitan areas on the west coast. This makes it appealing to a wider range of buyers and renters.
  • Tourist Hub: As a major tourist destination, the rental market in Las Vegas is quite robust, especially for short-term rentals. However, you always need to check the local regulations on short-term rentals in each neighborhood as they can vary across the city and its county.
  • Continuous Development: The city is constantly evolving, with new communities, infrastructure projects, and entertainment options being added all the time. This constant progress makes it an exciting place to be and contributes to the long-term growth of the real estate market.

Okay, with that said, let’s jump into the neighborhoods that I believe are worth your attention in 2025.

Where to Buy Las Vegas Investment Properties in 2025: Top Neighborhoods

Based on my observations, here are some of the neighborhoods you should consider when looking for investment properties in Las Vegas:

Summerlin: The Upscale Choice

Summerlin is often at the top of people's lists when it comes to quality of life in Las Vegas. It’s a master-planned community that is known for its beautiful landscaping, numerous parks, walking trails, and top-rated schools.

  • Median Home Value: Summerlin is a large area so I'll give you a breakdown:
    • Summerlin North: $628,863
    • Sun City Summerlin: $459,005
  • What Makes it a Good Investment:
    • High Demand: Summerlin’s appeal to families and individuals looking for a more luxurious lifestyle keeps demand high. That means you are more likely to find tenants or buyers.
    • Strong Appreciation: The neighborhood has seen consistent appreciation in home values, and that trend is likely to continue.
    • Excellent Schools: The presence of top-rated schools makes it extremely desirable for families, and this drives up demand and rental rates.
    • Amenities: You'll find golf courses, shopping centers, and community events happening regularly. It's a family-friendly place with a great quality of life.
  • My Thoughts: If you're looking for a higher-end investment that’s generally safe and always appealing, Summerlin is an excellent bet. I feel the premium here is justified by the strong market and solid appreciation rates. It's a neighborhood where I would feel confident placing my investment dollars. The diverse range of sub-neighborhoods here also offers something for different tastes and price points.

The Lakes: A Waterfront Community

The Lakes is another great area in Las Vegas known for its beautiful man-made lake and waterside living. It's a bit more mature than some of the newer areas, but that gives it a certain charm and established character.

  • Median Home Value: $491,934
  • What Makes it a Good Investment:
    • Unique Lifestyle: The lake is a major draw for many and adds a touch of serenity to life here. It attracts a good mix of families and professionals.
    • Established Community: The Lakes has a long history, so it's filled with mature trees and well-kept properties. That gives it a different feel from some of the new builds in other areas.
    • Good Rental Potential: The unique lifestyle appeals to both renters and buyers, ensuring a steady flow of tenants and future potential for resale.
    • Convenient Location: It's close to major highways and has easy access to shopping and dining.
  • My Thoughts: I really like The Lakes as an investment option because it has a unique selling point with its lake. The area has a stable, established feeling and the housing options are pretty varied. The area will always attract people looking for something a bit different than the typical Las Vegas experience, so you can expect consistent demand for properties here. It has a character that is hard to find in the newer neighborhoods.

Centennial Hills: A Growing Suburb

Centennial Hills is an up-and-coming suburb in the northwest part of Las Vegas. It offers a good mix of affordability and amenities, making it attractive to a wide range of buyers and renters.

  • Median Home Value: $447,640
  • What Makes it a Good Investment:
    • Affordability: Compared to Summerlin and The Lakes, Centennial Hills offers a more accessible entry point for investors, and for first time home buyers.
    • Rapid Growth: This area has been growing quickly, with new developments and businesses appearing all the time. I see a ton of potential for future value appreciation here.
    • Family-Friendly: There are lots of parks, schools, and family-oriented activities in this area, making it popular with families. That demographic can be a great target for your rental properties.
    • Good Commute: It's well-connected to the rest of Las Vegas, making it convenient for work and leisure.
  • My Thoughts: I am particularly drawn to Centennial Hills because of its growth potential and affordability. I’ve seen this area transform over the last few years and I think it is a very promising spot for investors who want in at a slightly lower price point. This is a community that I think you'll see grow even more in the next 5 to 10 years, so getting in now could be a good idea.

Other Neighborhoods Worth Considering

While the above three are my top picks, there are a few other neighborhoods in Las Vegas that are worth a look, especially if you are exploring different price ranges:

  • Desert Shores: This lakeside community offers stunning views and a resort-like feel with a median home value of $463,592. I’d say it's similar to the Lakes, but with a slightly more relaxed vibe.
  • Lone Mountain: Known for its beautiful desert landscapes, Lone Mountain offers a blend of suburban living and outdoor recreation. The median home value here is $446,158. A good choice for people who like hiking and nature.
  • Angel Park Lindell: This established area offers a good mix of housing options, and at a median price of $365,503, it's one of the more affordable options on this list. I think this is a great area for those who are a little more budget-conscious.
  • Pioneer Park: A slightly cheaper area, with a median home value of $336,479, it can be a decent choice if you are looking for a bargain. Keep in mind though that you may need to do some renovations to make it rentable.
  • Queensridge: Located near Summerlin, this luxurious area has a median home value of $1,003,197. I am listing this one for those with extremely high budgets.

Here is a summary table that I created to make comparisons easy:

Neighborhood Median Home Value (ZHVI) Key Features
Summerlin North $628,863 Upscale, top-rated schools, master-planned community, strong amenities, high demand.
Sun City Summerlin $459,005 Active adult living, golf courses, community activities.
The Lakes $491,934 Waterfront community, established neighborhood, unique lifestyle, convenient location.
Centennial Hills $447,640 Growing suburb, affordable entry point, family-friendly, good commute, lots of new construction.
Desert Shores $463,592 Lakeside community, resort-like feel, stunning views.
Lone Mountain $446,158 Desert landscapes, outdoor recreation, suburban living.
Angel Park Lindell $365,503 Good mix of housing options, more affordable.
Pioneer Park $336,479 More affordable, can require renovations.
Queensridge $1,003,197 Luxurious community, high end location.

Tips for Investing in Las Vegas Real Estate

Before you make any decisions, here are a few tips that I've learned from my own experiences:

  • Do Your Research: Don't just rely on my advice (or anyone else's for that matter). Investigate the different neighborhoods, understand the local market, and know what you want.
  • Get Pre-Approved: Before you even start looking at properties, make sure you are pre-approved for a mortgage. This shows sellers that you are a serious buyer.
  • Work with a Local Agent: Find a real estate agent who knows the Las Vegas market well. They can provide valuable insights and guide you through the process.
  • Consider Your Investment Goals: Are you looking for cash flow or long-term appreciation? Your investment goals will influence the type of property and location you choose.
  • Be Patient: Finding the right property takes time and patience. Don't rush into anything, and be prepared to walk away if something doesn't feel right.
  • Due Diligence: As always, make sure to do a thorough home inspection of the house before you commit.

My Final Thoughts

The Las Vegas real estate market has a lot of potential for investors. While I’ve listed my personal choices and recommendations above, it's essential to do your own research, consider your own investment goals and explore the many areas of this great city. Whether you’re looking for upscale properties in Summerlin, lakefront living in The Lakes, or a growing community in Centennial Hills, there is something for everyone. With the right strategy and patience, you can definitely find good opportunities in the Las Vegas housing market in 2025.

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Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast
  • Las Vegas Housing Market 2024: Is It a Bubble? Is It Falling?
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2024 to 2028
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investments, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Investment Properties, Las Vegas, Real Estate Investment, Top Neighborhoods

Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: 2025-2029

December 17, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years

Las Vegas real estate is a dynamic market that attracts both investors and homeowners looking for opportunities in the sun. The Las Vegas real estate forecast for the next five years promises a mix of challenges and opportunities, shaped by various economic factors, housing supply dynamics, and evolving buyer preferences. Understanding these trends can guide potential buyers, sellers, and investors in making informed decisions in this vibrant market.

The Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years

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Key Takeaways for Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast:
  • 📇 2024: Stabilization expected, driven by relatively low interest rates.
  • 📉 2025: Increasing housing supply will lead to moderated price hikes.
  • 💸 2026: Economic growth to drive home value appreciation despite rising interest rates.
  • 🏠 2027: Continuous growth in supply, offering more options for buyers and fostering diverse housing types.
  • 📆 2028-2029: Market consolidation, with stable prices and evolving buyer demographics.

The Current State of the Las Vegas Real Estate Market

Before diving into the forecast, it’s essential to understand the current state of the Las Vegas real estate market. Over the past few years, Las Vegas has emerged as a hotspot for real estate investments due to its relatively low cost of living, booming jobs market, and a steady influx of new residents. According to the latest reports, the median home price in Las Vegas has seen considerable growth, reflecting the high demand outpacing supply.

  • Current Median Home Price: Approximately $420,000 , which is indicative of a strong recovery from the economic disruptions caused by the pandemic.
  • Market Activity: Homes are selling faster, with many listings receiving multiple offers, showcasing an active buying environment.
  • Rental Market Trends: The rental market continues to thrive, with strong demand for both short-term and long-term rentals, further supported by tourism and the gig economy.

Forecast for 2024: A Market Stabilizing Post-Pandemic

As we look at 2024, the Las Vegas real estate market is predicted to experience a balancing act. After the tumultuous effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the market is stabilizing. According to Bankrate, interest rates are expected to remain relatively low compared to historical standards, encouraging buyers to enter the market. However, housing supply may be limited, maintaining pressure on home prices.

  • Median Home Price: Expected to hover around $430,000, a slight increase from previous years but showing signs of stabilization.
  • Market Activity: Increased interest from out-of-state buyers is anticipated, particularly from California, due to high prices and tax burdens in their home state.
  • Construction and Development: The ongoing construction of luxury condominiums and single-family homes is expected to result in more premium listings entering the market, further diversifying home options.
  • Rental Market: Demand for rentals remains strong, particularly for multi-family units, driven by an influx of new residents seeking affordable housing options.
  • Buyer Demographics: Millennial and Gen Z homebuyers are expected to make up a significant proportion of the market, influenced by their preferences for technology integration in homes and sustainable building practices.

Forecast for 2025: Supply Increases and Price Adjustments

In 2025, forecasts indicate a gradual increase in housing supply. Analysts speculate that new constructions will rise by about 5%, helping to ease the tight inventory that has characterized previous years.

  • Price Shifts: Home prices might increase at a slower rate of approximately 3%, reflecting a more balanced relationship between supply and demand. This moderation will be crucial as potential buyers look for affordability in a competitive market.
  • Investment Opportunities: With more properties entering the market, investors may find emerging opportunities in both single-family homes and rental properties.
  • Economic Influences: The local economy’s growth, driven by tourism, entertainment, and tech industries, is likely to bolster real estate investments and economic confidence among buyers.
  • First-Time Homebuyers: This group is expected to be particularly active in 2025, as slightly more affordable homes become available due to the predicted supply increases.

Forecast for 2026: Continued Growth and Market Correction

The year 2026 is expected to be pivotal for the Las Vegas real estate market. The anticipated 7% increase in housing supply could lead to a more competitive market for buyers.

  • Economic Factors: If economic conditions remain favorable, including stable job growth and population increases, we can expect home values to continue appreciating, albeit at a moderated pace. A potential rise in interest rates will also test the resilience of the buyers’ market.
  • Greater Variety in Home Types: The market may see a diversification in available property types, including more suburban developments and mixed-use communities, attracting a variety of buyers ranging from families to retirees.
  • Affordability Issues: While prices will still rise, affordability may become a concern for many potential buyers, especially first-time homeowners. Strategies such as federal loan programs or state-level incentives might gain traction to support these buyers.
  • Shift to Sustainable Homes: Increasingly, buyers may seek environmentally friendly homes, which could create niches for developers focusing on energy-efficient building practices.

Forecast for 2027: Maturing Market Dynamics

By 2027, the Las Vegas real estate market is projected to mature further, as new residential developments come to fruition. An 8% increase in available housing may provide a much-needed buffer against the previously high prices, allowing new buyers easier access to the market.

  • Rising Rent Costs: As more sales infiltrate the market, rental prices are also expected to rise, leading to potential implications for affordability in the rental sector. Increased rental demand may drive developers to focus on building more multi-family units.
  • Long-Term Investments: By this time, numerous developments will have had time to stabilize, so long-term investors may have clearer insights into the performance of luxury versus affordable segments.
  • Market Feedback Loop: Any downturn in the economy could quickly be reflected in the housing market, requiring investors and homeowners to remain vigilant regarding external economic pressures.

Forecast for 2028-2029: Market Consolidation and Economic Shifts

Looking ahead to 2028 and beyond, the Las Vegas real estate market may see a consolidation phase, with trends normalizing following the supply surges of previous years. The housing prices might stabilize further, reflecting the market's maturation.

  • Long-Term Projections: By 2028, home prices may reach a plateau, with forecasts suggesting that the average price could stabilize around $475,000.
  • Changing Buyer Preferences: As demographic shifts continue, newer generations will have different homeownership aspirations, potentially leading to lifestyle-oriented communities that prioritize amenities and accessibility.
  • Investment and Development Trends: Investors may shift their focus towards emerging neighborhoods that show signs of future appreciation or revitalization, capitalizing on the trends of young buyers moving to urban areas.
  • Technological Integration in Homes: Smart home technology will likely play an essential role in attracting buyers, pushing developers to include these features as standard practice.

The Future of Las Vegas: Key Considerations for Buyers and Investors

As we analyze what lies ahead in Las Vegas real estate, several critical factors will help shape the market landscape.

  • Demographic Shifts: Analyzing migration trends will reveal the best opportunities for investment. As professionals continue to relocate due to remote work flexibility and a desire for lifestyle upgrades, areas that provide community comforts will likely see an increase in demand.
  • Economic Development: Tracking advancements in local industries, such as technology and entertainment, will be essential for understanding economic health and potential real estate appreciation.
  • Legislative Changes: Future housing policies and regulations could impact the market significantly. Staying abreast of new laws about home buying and rental regulations can provide valuable insight into future investment potentials.

Conclusion: Preparing for Your Real Estate Journey

In conclusion, the Las Vegas real estate forecast for the next five years anticipates a robust recovery and gradual stabilization of the market. Those interested in buying, selling, or investing in Las Vegas real estate should consider the emerging trends and economic indicators outlined above. Engaging with local real estate experts and staying updated on market conditions will help you navigate this evolving marketplace effectively.

Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2024
  • Las Vegas Housing Market 2024: Is It a Bubble? Is It Falling?
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando
  • Housing Market Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?
  • Housing Market in 10 Years: Game-Changing Predictions for 2034

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Las Vegas

Will Las Vegas Home Prices Reach New Highs in 2024?

October 3, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Will Las Vegas Housing Prices Reach New Highs in 2024?

The Las Vegas housing market has been a topic of much discussion and speculation about home price declines. As we look towards the rest of 2024, potential buyers and sellers are keen to understand the trajectory of housing prices.

Will Las Vegas Home Prices Reach New Highs in 2024?

As of late 2024, the median sale price for homes in Las Vegas is approximately $434,000 (Redfin), which marks a 3.3% increase compared to the previous year. The average home value has risen to about $428,770, showing a robust year-over-year increase of 7.1%. This price growth indicates that while the market is experiencing fluctuations, there is still significant demand driving prices upward.

The housing supply in Las Vegas remains tight, with only about 1.6 months of inventory available in early 2024, which is down from the previous year. However, by mid-2024, the number of homes for sale has increased significantly, up by 36.7% compared to the previous year, indicating a shift towards a more balanced market. Homes are now spending an average of 38 days on the market, slightly longer than in previous months.

Despite the increase in inventory, the market remains competitive. Homes are receiving an average of 2 offers, and many are selling close to their listing prices. The luxury segment continues to perform well, with properties priced at $1 million and above seeing strong sales activity.

Las Vegas Real Estate Predictions

Looking ahead, forecasts suggest that home prices may continue to rise modestly. Predictions indicate an increase of approximately 2.8% by the end of 2024, with some estimates suggesting a further rise of 1.5% into 2025. However, there are also concerns about potential price drops due to rising interest rates and inflationary pressures affecting buyer affordability.

Mortgage rates have stabilized around 6.34%, which could influence buyer behavior positively as they seek to capitalize on current rates before any potential increases. The overall economic conditions in Las Vegas remain strong, supported by job growth and population increases, which help mitigate the risks of a market crash.

In summary, while the Las Vegas housing market is currently leaning towards a seller's advantage due to high demand and limited inventory, it is transitioning into a more balanced environment as inventory levels rise. Buyers may find better opportunities as the year progresses, but competition for well-priced homes will likely remain intense.

Top Neighborhoods for Buyers in Las Vegas Real Estate

Las Vegas, known for its dazzling lights and vibrant lifestyle, is also a city with a diverse and dynamic real estate market. Based on recent data and trends, here are some of the top neighborhoods in Las Vegas that stand out for real estate investment.

Summerlin: A Master-Planned Community

Summerlin is one of the most sought-after master-planned communities in Las Vegas. It offers a variety of housing options, from luxury estates to more affordable single-family homes. With over 250 parks, numerous golf courses, and a strong sense of community, Summerlin continues to attract families and professionals alike. The area has seen consistent growth in property values, making it a solid choice for long-term investment.

Henderson: Suburban Living with City Amenities

Henderson, located on the southeastern edge of Las Vegas, combines suburban tranquility with city amenities. It's known for its excellent schools, parks, and recreational facilities. The area has a high demand for housing, driven by its quality of life and proximity to the Las Vegas Strip. Henderson‘s real estate market has been robust, with a healthy appreciation rate that appeals to investors.

Skye Canyon: The Newcomer with Potential

Skye Canyon is a newer development in the northwest part of Las Vegas. It's quickly gaining popularity due to its outdoor-focused lifestyle, offering hiking and biking trails, as well as community parks. As a growing neighborhood, Skye Canyon presents an opportunity for investors to get in early and benefit from the area's development and appreciation.

Boulder City: A Historic Town with Charm

Boulder City, known for its historic charm and proximity to the Hoover Dam, offers a unique investment opportunity. It's one of the few places in Nevada without gaming, which attracts residents looking for a quieter lifestyle. The real estate market in Boulder City is stable, with a steady demand for homes that retain their value over time.

Lake Las Vegas: Resort-Style Living

Lake Las Vegas is a resort-style community centered around a man-made lake. It offers luxury homes and condominiums with amenities such as golf courses, spas, and dining options. The area caters to those seeking a vacation-like lifestyle and has a mix of primary residences and second homes. The exclusivity and unique setting of Lake Las Vegas make it an attractive niche market for investors.

Southern Highlands: An Upscale Enclave

Southern Highlands is an upscale community located in the southern part of Las Vegas. It features high-end homes, a prestigious golf club, and top-rated schools. The neighborhood is well-maintained and offers a luxurious lifestyle, which keeps the demand for homes high. Southern Highlands is a prime location for investors looking for premium properties with the potential for significant returns.

Las Vegas is a city with a real estate market as diverse as its entertainment options. From the family-friendly atmosphere of Summerlin to the luxury of Southern Highlands, there's a neighborhood to fit various investment strategies and goals. With careful research and consideration of market trends, investing in Las Vegas can be a fruitful endeavor.

The Las Vegas housing market in 2024 is dynamic and evolving. While current trends suggest a seller's market with rising prices, the future holds various possibilities influenced by economic factors and market dynamics.  As always, working with a knowledgeable real estate professional can provide valuable insights and guidance in making the right investment choices. Happy investing!

Recommended Read:

  • Las Vegas Housing Market Predictions 2025-2026
  • Las Vegas Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2024-2025
  • Las Vegas Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Homebuyers Are Moving to Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando

Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Las Vegas

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