Norada Real Estate Investments

San Diego Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2025

by

If you're wondering about the current San Diego housing market trends, here's the bottom line: It's a mixed bag, with sales slightly down but prices holding relatively steady. While home sales in San Diego are down slightly, home prices have seen a modest increase, suggesting a market that's still competitive but perhaps cooling off a bit.

So, let's dive into what's really going on in the San Diego real estate world. I'll break down the numbers, talk about what's driving these trends, and give you my take on what it all means for buyers and sellers.

San Diego Housing Market Trends: What's Happening Right Now?

Home Sales

Across California, we're seeing some interesting shifts in home sales. According to the California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.) report from April 17, 2025, statewide home sales in March totaled 277,030 on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. That's down 2.3 percent from February, but up 4.9 percent from March 2024. In San Diego county specifically, home sales were down by 4.0% from March of last year.

What does this mean? It suggests that while the market isn't in freefall, it's not exactly booming either. The slight dip from February indicates that potential buyers might be hesitant, possibly due to economic worries or interest rates (more on that later).

Home Prices

Now, let's talk about the money. The statewide median home price in California hit $884,350 in March 2025. That's a 6.7 percent jump from February and a 3.5 percent increase from March 2024.

Looking specifically at Southern California, the median home price is $877,750, which is a 3.3% increase from last year. But what about San Diego? According to the same report, the median sold price of an existing single-family home in San Diego County in March 2025 was $1,040,000. This is 2% higher than the median price of $1,020,000 in March 2024, but the same as Feb 2025, indicating a potential plateau.

Are Home Prices Dropping?

While the statewide numbers show an increase, the San Diego numbers suggests a plateau. Some regions in California are seeing price drops, but overall, prices are holding steady or experiencing modest growth. The fact that San Diego is trending flat indicates that prices are not dropping for now.

Keep in mind that real estate is local. What's happening in Los Angeles or San Francisco isn't necessarily what's happening in San Diego.

Comparison with Current National Median Price

It's always good to put things in perspective. The current national median home price is $398,400 (as of February 2025), up 3.8% year-over-year. San Diego's median price of $1,040,000 is significantly higher than the national average. This highlights how expensive San Diego is compared to the rest of the country. This can be attributed to many factors like location advantages, employment opportunities etc

Housing Supply

One factor influencing prices is housing supply. The Unsold Inventory Index (UII), which measures how many months it would take to sell all the homes on the market at the current sales rate, was 3.5 months in California in March 2025. That's up from 2.6 months a year ago.

In San Diego, the UII was 3.2 months in March 2025, up from 2.2 months in March 2024. This indicates a slightly larger inventory of homes available, but not by a significant margin.

A balanced market typically has a UII of around 5-6 months. So, we're still leaning towards a seller's market, but the increase in inventory could be giving buyers a little more breathing room.

Is San Diego a Buyer's or Seller's Housing Market?

Based on the data, San Diego is still leaning toward a seller's market, but it's not as strong as it was a year ago. With a UII of 3.2 months, homes are still selling relatively quickly. However, the increased inventory and slower sales pace suggest that buyers have slightly more negotiating power than before.

Market Trends

So, what are the major trends shaping the San Diego housing market?

  • Rising Inventory: The number of homes for sale is slowly increasing, giving buyers more choices.
  • Stable prices: The year-over-year increases are mild, showing a gentle upward trend.
  • Slower Sales: Homes are taking slightly longer to sell compared to last year.
  • High Prices: San Diego remains one of the most expensive housing markets in the country.

Impact of High Mortgage Rates

Let's address the elephant in the room: mortgage rates. As of April 2025, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is around 6.83%, and the 15-year FRM is about 6.03% (according to Freddie Mac).

High mortgage rates have a significant impact on both buyers and sellers. For buyers, higher rates mean higher monthly payments, which can make homes less affordable. This can lead to fewer people being able to qualify for a mortgage, which can cool down demand.

For sellers, higher rates can mean fewer offers and longer time on the market. This can put downward pressure on prices, especially if inventory continues to rise.

Unlike last year when many were anticipating that mortgage rates would decline, in 2025 the prevailing sentiment is that rates will stay higher for longer. This may impact prospective buyers and sellers as we get into spring. While last year, prospective buyers and sellers anticipating rate declines may have stayed on the sidelines waiting for lower rates, this year, they may make a move earlier as they are not expecting rates to move lower.

Here's a quick recap of the key data points:

Metric San Diego (March 2025) California (March 2025) National (Feb 2025)
Median Home Price $1,040,000 $884,350 $398,400
Year-over-Year Price Change 2.0% 3.5% 3.8%
Unsold Inventory Index 3.2 months 3.5 months N/A

My Two Cents

As a real estate professional, here's my take on what's happening in San Diego. The market is definitely shifting. The days of homes selling for way over asking price in a bidding war are becoming less common.

Buyers have a little more power now, but it's still a competitive market. If you're looking to buy, it's important to be patient, do your research, and work with a knowledgeable agent who can help you negotiate.

If you're a seller, it's important to price your home realistically and make sure it's in top condition. Don't expect to get the same prices that homes were fetching a year or two ago.

Looking Ahead

Predicting the future is always tough, but here's what I expect to see in the San Diego housing market in the coming months:

  • Inventory will continue to rise, giving buyers more choices.
  • Prices will likely remain stable, with maybe some minor fluctuations.
  • Mortgage rates will remain the biggest wild card. If rates start to fall, we could see a surge in demand.

Ultimately, the San Diego housing market is still a good long-term investment. The city is a desirable place to live, and demand for housing will likely remain strong. But it's important to be informed and realistic about the current market conditions.

San Diego Housing Market Forecast 2025: What's Next for Home Prices?

Thinking about buying or selling in San Diego? You're probably wondering about the San Diego housing market forecast. While prices are currently high, forecasts suggest a period of relative stability with modest gains, indicating no major crash is expected in the near term. Let's dive into the details and what I think it all means for you.

 

San Diego-Carlsbad Housing Forecast

February 2025
🏠
Median List Price
$918,000

Reflects current market demand as of February 2025.

⏱️
Median Days to Pending
23 Days

Homes are selling in around 23 days on average.

📊
For Sale Inventory
5,585

Active listings available as of February 2025.

📥
New Listings
1,873

New listings added in February 2025.

💰
Median Sale Price
$918,000

Sales price data as of February 2025.

📈
1-Year Market Forecast
+1.7%

Expected growth from February 2024 to February 2025.

“The San Diego-Carlsbad housing market remains strong, with increasing home values and steady demand as we look ahead.”

First, let's get a sense of where we are right now. As of today, the average home value in San Diego-Carlsbad is around $948,441. That's a 3.5% increase over the past year (Zillow Data). The market is still moving relatively quickly, with homes going to pending status in approximately 23 days. That shows there's still demand, although perhaps not the frenzy we saw a few years ago.

What the Experts are Saying: The Forecast

Okay, so what about the future? I've been keeping a close eye on forecasts, and Zillow is a credible source I often turn to. Here's a breakdown of their latest predictions for the San Diego area, released in February 2025. I've renamed the columns for better clarity:

Region State Forecast for March 2025 Forecast for May 2025 One-Year Forecast (Feb 2025 – Feb 2026)
San Diego, CA CA -0.1% 0.2% 1.7%
Los Angeles, CA CA -0.2% -0.1% 0.4%
San Francisco, CA CA 0% 0.1% -2.1%
Riverside, CA CA 0% 0.5% 1.7%
Sacramento, CA CA -0.1% 0.1% -0.7%
San Jose, CA CA -0.8% -2.7% -2.9%
Fresno, CA CA 0.1% 0.5% 1%
Bakersfield, CA CA 0.2% 0.9% 2.3%
  • Short-Term (March & May 2025): These numbers suggest a very slight dip followed by a minor rebound. We're talking fractions of a percent, so don't expect any huge shifts.
  • One-Year (Feb 2025 – Feb 2026): Zillow predicts a modest 1.7% increase in home values over the next year. This is a slower pace than we've seen in recent years, indicating a cooling but still appreciating market.

San Diego Compared to Other California Cities

Looking at the table above, you can see that San Diego's forecasted growth of 1.7% is pretty much in the middle of the pack for major California cities. Places like San Jose and San Francisco are expected to see declines, while Bakersfield is predicted to have stronger growth. This suggests that San Diego's housing market is relatively stable compared to some other parts of the state.

Will Home Prices Drop in San Diego? Will it Crash?

Based on these forecasts and my own experience, I don't foresee a major price drop or a housing market crash in San Diego in the near future. The data suggests a gradual and manageable growth trajectory. Of course, unforeseen economic events could always change the picture, but as of now, the signs point to a stable market.

My Thoughts and Predictions for 2026

Predicting beyond a year is always tricky, but here's my take on what might happen in 2026:

  • Continued Moderate Growth: Assuming interest rates stabilize or even decrease slightly, I expect the San Diego housing market to continue its slow and steady appreciation. We might see growth in the low single digits, perhaps around 2-3%.
  • Inventory Will Be Important: The biggest factor influencing prices will be inventory. If more homes come onto the market, it could temper price increases. If inventory remains low, prices could climb a bit faster.
  • Location, Location, Location: As always, some neighborhoods will perform better than others. Desirable areas with good schools and amenities will likely see stronger demand and price appreciation.

Why is Housing So Expensive in San Diego?

San Diego's allure is undeniable. Pristine beaches, perfect weather, and a vibrant city life make it a dream destination for many. But this paradise comes at a price, particularly when it comes to real estate. Let's delve into the factors driving San Diego's expensive housing market:

Limited Supply, High Demand

  • Geography: Nestled between the Pacific Ocean and mountains, San Diego has limited developable land. This scarcity creates a competitive seller's market, pushing prices upwards.
  • Desirable Location: San Diego's climate, job opportunities, and outdoor activities attract residents and retirees alike, placing constant pressure on a finite housing stock.

Economic Factors

  • Strong Local Economy: San Diego boasts a diverse and thriving economy, fueled by a strong tourism industry, a growing tech sector, and a robust military presence. The economy grew in 2021, adding over $11 billion to its gross regional product (GRP) compared to pre-pandemic levels. In 2022, the San Diego metro area's real gross domestic product (GDP) was $257.34 billion, a significant increase from the previous year's $250.06 billion. According to the UCLA Anderson March Economic Outlook, San Diego County is expected to grow 2.7% in 2023. This economic strength translates to job growth and attracts professionals with higher salaries who can afford premium housing.
  • Low Interest Rates (Historically): Over the past decade, interest rates have hovered near historic lows. This has significantly reduced the monthly mortgage payment for a fixed-rate loan, making homeownership more affordable for many buyers. For example, in 2016, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was around 3.5%. By 2 2021, that number had dipped below 3%, making it significantly cheaper to finance a home purchase. This easy access to cheap credit fueled a surge in buyer demand, which in turn drove up housing prices. While interest rates have risen in 2024, they remain historically affordable compared to long-term averages. However, even with slightly higher rates, the overall impact on affordability is mitigated by wage growth and a strong local economy.

Regulations and Taxes

  • Development Restrictions: San Diego, like many coastal cities in California, faces challenges in balancing growth with environmental protection. Strict zoning regulations, lengthy permitting processes, and environmental impact reviews can significantly slow down or even halt new housing developments. This can stifle the ability to increase housing supply to meet the growing demand, putting upward pressure on prices. Additionally, citizen groups and environmental concerns can further complicate the development process. While these regulations are important for safeguarding the natural beauty and character of San Diego, they can also contribute to the limited housing inventory and high costs.
  • Property Taxes: California has relatively high property taxes, with an average effective rate of 0.73% in 2023 according to the California Tax Foundation. This means that for a home valued at $1 million, the annual property tax bill would be around $7,300. High property taxes can impact affordability, particularly for first-time homebuyers or those on fixed incomes. However, these taxes also contribute to the overall perceived value of San Diego real estate. Property taxes are a major source of revenue for local governments, which use these funds to finance essential services like schools, roads, and public safety. Additionally, high property taxes can discourage speculation and absentee ownership, potentially leading to a more stable housing market.

National Trends

Nationwide Housing Market: While San Diego stands out, it's part of a larger national trend of rising housing costs. Investor activity and a national shortage of affordable housing contribute to the overall market dynamic.

The “Sunshine Tax”

San Diegans often jokingly refer to the high cost of living as the “sunshine tax.” While it might be a sardonic term, it reflects the reality that many people are willing to pay a premium to live in such a desirable location with a high quality of life.

How is the Rental Housing Market Doing in San Diego?

The San Diego real estate market has been ranked among the ten most expensive real estate markets in the country, though it ranks below several other West Coast cities. This creates massive demand for San Diego rental properties by those who simply cannot afford to buy homes.

The rental market will continue to grow as the city grows an estimated 500,000 population by 2050, adding tens of thousands each year. The median rent in San Diego is $2700. The rent you’d receive on single-family San Diego rental properties would, of course, be much higher.

Renters vs. Owners in San Diego

San Diego's property rental market is influenced by several factors, including the local economy, job opportunities, and the overall demand for housing. It's a city known for its mix of urban and suburban neighborhoods, each with its own rental and ownership dynamics.

San Diego had a diverse housing landscape with a mix of renters and property owners.

  • Renters: San Diego has a significant population of renters, comprising individuals and families who lease residential properties. This includes apartments, condominiums, townhouses, and single-family homes. The exact percentage of renters relative to property owners can vary by neighborhood and demographic factors.
  • Owners: San Diego also has a substantial number of property owners. These are individuals or entities who own residential properties and may either live in their properties or lease them out to renters. Property owners contribute to the diversity of the city's housing options.

Size of the Rental Market

The size of the San Diego property rental market is substantial, with a wide range of rental properties available to residents. This market includes apartments, houses, and various types of housing units. The exact size of the rental market can fluctuate based on factors like population growth, economic conditions, and housing development trends.

Real estate agencies, rental platforms, and government agencies often track and report on the status of the rental market, offering detailed insights into its size and dynamics.

For the most up-to-date and specific information regarding the current state of the San Diego property rental market, including the number of renters and property owners, it's recommended to refer to the latest reports and data from sources like local real estate associations, government housing agencies, and real estate websites.

San Diego's property rental market is an essential component of the city's real estate landscape, offering a wide range of housing options to its diverse population.

San Diego Apartment Rent Prices

As of December 2024, the median rent for all bedroom counts and property types in San Diego, CA is $2,900. This is +53% higher than the national average.

The monthly rent for an apartment in San Diego, CA is $2,695. A 1-bedroom apartment in San Diego, CA costs about $2,460 on average, while a 2-bedroom apartment is $3,321. Houses for rent in San Diego, CA are more expensive, with an average monthly cost of $4,000.

Rent prices for all bedroom counts and property types in San Diego, CA have decreased by 3% in the last month and have increased by 2% in the last year.

Housing Units and Occupancy

In terms of occupied housing units, San Diego has the following distribution:

  • Renter-occupied Households: Renter-occupied households make up 53% of the housing units in San Diego, indicating a significant presence of renters in the city.
  • Owner-occupied Households: Owner-occupied households account for 48% of the housing units, highlighting a balanced mix of homeowners in the area.

Affordable and Expensive Neighborhoods

San Diego's neighborhoods offer a range of rental prices, making it accessible for various budgets:

The Most Affordable Neighborhoods:

  • Bay Park: The average rent in Bay Park is $2,135 per month.
  • University Heights: In University Heights, the average rent is around $2,200 per month.
  • North Park: North Park offers an average rent of approximately $2,273 per month.

The Most Expensive Neighborhoods:

  • Carmel Valley: Carmel Valley is one of the more expensive neighborhoods, with an average rent of $2,942 per month.
  • Mission Valley East: In Mission Valley East, the average rent can go for $2,894 per month.
  • Mission Beach: Mission Beach has an average rent of $2,850 per month.

Popular Neighborhoods

Some neighborhoods in San Diego are particularly popular among renters:

  • Mission Beach: Mission Beach tops the list with 1,115 listings, making it a sought-after area for renters.
  • Pacific Beach: Pacific Beach is also a popular choice, offering 760 listings for prospective renters.
  • Ocean Beach: Ocean Beach features 295 places for rent, making it a vibrant neighborhood for renters.

These insights provide a snapshot of the current rental market in San Diego. Rental prices have seen some fluctuations in recent months, with variations in different apartment types. The city offers a range of neighborhoods to suit different budgets and preferences, with a balanced mix of renters and homeowners.

San Diego Housing Market is Expected to Heat Up in 2025

by

Thinking of buying or selling a home in San Diego? You might want to buckle up! San Diego is indeed expected to be a competitive real estate market in 2025, landing in the top 20 hottest markets according to a recent Zillow report. This means increased competition among buyers, which could potentially drive up prices. Let's dive into why this is happening and what it means for you.

San Diego is Predicted to be One of 2025's Hottest Real Estate Markets

Why San Diego? The Perfect Storm

As someone who's been following the San Diego real estate scene for a while, I can tell you this isn't entirely surprising, but it is a significant shift. What's driving this prediction? It all boils down to a few key factors that make San Diego so desirable.

  • Limited Housing Inventory: This is the big one. San Diego has been grappling with a housing shortage for years. We simply haven't built enough homes to keep up with demand. Zillow’s report highlights that the “hottest markets” are generally “starved for housing inventory.”
  • Desirable Location and Lifestyle: Let's be honest, who doesn't want to live in San Diego? With its amazing weather, beautiful beaches, thriving job market, and laid-back lifestyle, it's a magnet for people from all over the country.
  • Strong Job Market: San Diego boasts a diverse and robust economy, with strong sectors in technology, biotech, defense, and tourism. A growing job market naturally attracts more residents.
  • Delayed Home Building: For years, home building has been slow compared to the growth in jobs. This has exacerbated the housing shortage, putting even more pressure on the market.

Zillow's Methodology: How They Predict the Heat

Their “hottest market” ranking isn't just a guess; it's based on a sophisticated index that takes several factors into account:

  • Forecasted Home Value Appreciation: This looks at how much Zillow expects home values to increase over the coming year.
  • Rate of Increase Over the Previous Year: How quickly are home values rising compared to the year before? A faster rate of increase indicates a hotter market.
  • Days on Market: How long do homes typically stay on the market before being sold? Shorter times suggest high demand.
  • Projected Change in Owner-Occupied Housing: This indicates whether more people are buying homes to live in, rather than as investments.
  • Jobs vs. Building Permits: This is a crucial factor. The index looks at the difference between the number of jobs added over the last two years and the number of building permits issued for new homes during the same period. A significant gap indicates a potential housing shortage.

San Diego's Rise in the Ranks: A Closer Look

San Diego jumped ten spots, landing at number 19 on Zillow's list of hottest markets for 2025. That's a pretty significant jump! But what does it really mean for those of us living here, or hoping to move here?

Here's what I think this means for San Diego:

  • Increased Competition: Expect bidding wars, especially for desirable properties in popular neighborhoods.
  • Potentially Rising Prices: While the market has cooled somewhat recently, increased demand could put upward pressure on prices again.
  • Faster Sales: Homes may sell more quickly, so be prepared to act fast if you find a property you like.

The Ripple Effect: Riverside's Role

The report also mentions Riverside, predicting it to be the 22nd hottest market. Riverside often acts as a “release valve” for San Diego's affordability issues. People who are priced out of San Diego are increasingly willing to commute longer distances for more affordable homes in Riverside County.

What About Affordability?

While being a “hottest market” might sound like a good thing, it's not necessarily great news for everyone. It can exacerbate affordability issues.

Consider this:

  • Decades of sluggish homebuilding have created a severe housing shortage in San Diego.
  • This shortage makes it difficult for many people to find affordable housing.
  • A competitive market can push prices even higher, making it even harder for first-time buyers and those on a budget.

I believe, and I have seen, that we need more innovative solutions, such as increasing density in transit-oriented areas and streamlining the permitting process for new construction, to address the affordability crisis effectively.

San Francisco's Slide: A Tale of Two Cities

It's interesting to compare San Diego's trajectory with that of San Francisco, which fell 19 positions in Zillow's rankings. According to Zillow's chief economist, home values in San Francisco are expected to continue to decline. This is due to several factors:

  • High Cost of Living: San Francisco's exorbitant cost of living is driving some residents to seek more affordable alternatives.
  • Tech Industry Shifts: Changes in the tech industry, including remote work options and companies relocating, are impacting San Francisco's housing market.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers in San Diego

Okay, so you know the prediction and the factors behind it. But what should you actually do with this information? Here's my take on how this might impact buyers and sellers in San Diego:

For Buyers:

  • Be Prepared: Get pre-approved for a mortgage, have your finances in order, and be ready to make a competitive offer.
  • Work With an Experienced Agent: A local real estate agent can provide valuable insights into the market and help you navigate the buying process.
  • Consider Different Neighborhoods: Be open to exploring different neighborhoods and communities, especially those that might be slightly further from the beach or downtown.
  • Don't Overpay: While it's important to be competitive, don't get caught up in a bidding war and overpay for a property. Set a budget and stick to it.

For Sellers:

  • Consider Timing: If you're thinking of selling, now might be a good time to take advantage of increased demand.
  • Price Strategically: Work with your agent to price your home competitively, based on market conditions and comparable sales.
  • Make Necessary Repairs and Improvements: To attract buyers, make sure your home is in good condition and consider making some minor updates or improvements.
  • Stage Your Home: Staging your home can help potential buyers visualize themselves living there and increase its appeal.

My Final Thoughts: San Diego's Enduring Appeal

While the prediction is certainly noteworthy, it's important to remember that real estate is a complex and dynamic market. Many factors can influence home prices and demand, including interest rates, economic conditions, and local policies.

In my experience, making investment decisions based on one report may not be ideal. Here are some points that will give you a more nuanced view:

  • Interest Rates: Interest rates play a significant role in housing affordability. If rates rise, it could dampen demand and cool the market.
  • Economic Conditions: A strong economy can boost demand for housing, while an economic downturn can have the opposite effect.
  • Local Policies: Local policies regarding zoning, land use, and housing development can also impact the supply of housing and affordability.

Even with the potential for increased competition and rising prices, I remain optimistic about San Diego's real estate market in the long term. Its desirable location, strong economy, and high quality of life will continue to attract people from all over the world.

However, it's crucial that we address the housing shortage and work towards creating more affordable housing options for everyone. This will require a collaborative effort from policymakers, developers, and community members.

Zillow's prediction underscores the importance of affordability and inventory in the housing market. Regions with limited housing supply and relatively affordable prices are likely to see increased demand and competition. San Diego fits this description, which is why it's expected to be one of the hottest real estate markets in 2025.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for Investment

in the Top Housing Markets of the U.S.

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

San Diego Housing Market Forecast for the Next 2 Years: 2025-2026

by

Thinking about buying or selling a home in San Diego? You’re not alone! The San Diego housing market forecast is a hot topic for anyone looking to make a move in this beautiful corner of California. So, here’s the short answer: while we aren't expecting a massive crash, it's likely the San Diego housing market will continue to see moderate growth through 2025, with prices likely to continue to rise. Let's dive into the details, shall we?

San Diego Housing Market Forecast for the Next 2 Years: Will Prices Rise or Fall?

Key Takeaways

🏠💰
Current Home Value: The average home value in San Diego-Carlsbad is $935,237, reflecting a 4.3% increase over the past year. Homes typically go to pending in 27 days.

📅⚡
Market Activity: Homes are averaging 27 days on the market before going pending, showing steady market conditions as of December 2024.

📊🏆
Sales Trends: Approximately 37.4% of homes sold in November 2024 were above their list price, while 47.7% were below, showcasing a balanced market with opportunities for both buyers and sellers.

🔮📈
Future Projections: Market forecasts predict a 3.6% increase in home values by November 2025, driven by ongoing demand and limited inventory in the region.

Why is the San Diego-Carlsbad Housing Market So Important?

First, let's acknowledge why the San Diego-Carlsbad housing market is so significant within California. San Diego isn't just another city; it's a major economic hub with a diverse population, beautiful weather, and a strong job market, particularly in tech and the military. This makes it a highly desirable place to live, which of course fuels demand for housing.

As a lifelong Californian, I've seen firsthand how the San Diego market can influence the real estate trends across the state. What happens here often sets a tone for other areas. This city’s attractiveness and economic stability mean that even small shifts in the market can have a ripple effect across the region.

Current San Diego Market Snapshot

Okay, let's get down to the numbers. Right now, the average home value in the San Diego-Carlsbad area is sitting at a hefty $935,237. That's a pretty significant jump of 4.3% over the past year. Homes are moving relatively quickly, going to pending in about 27 days, which indicates a solid demand and is a sign that even though the prices are high, buyers are still eager to buy.

Here’s a breakdown of other key data as of late December 2024:

  • For Sale Inventory: 5,973 homes
  • New Listings: 1,622 homes
  • Median Sale to List Ratio: 0.999 (meaning homes are selling very close to their asking price)
  • Median Sale Price: $878,333
  • Median List Price: $927,667
  • Percent of Sales Over List Price: 37.4%
  • Percent of Sales Under List Price: 47.7%

What these numbers tell me is that the market isn't exactly red-hot, but it’s certainly not cold either. There's still a good amount of competition, with a significant percentage of homes selling above their asking price, but at the same time, a large chunk sells below the asking price which signifies that there are both price pressure and sellers willing to negotiate.

San Diego Housing Forecast: 2025 in Detail

Now for the predictions. Zillow, a credible real estate data source, has provided a forecast for the San Diego market, and it’s crucial to understand what it means for you. Here's a look at their home value predictions, presented in a slightly easier format:

Forecast Date Expected Change in Home Value from Dec 2024
January 31, 2025 0.1%
March 31, 2025 0.6%
December 31, 2025 3.6%

Essentially, this forecast indicates that San Diego home values are expected to see steady, incremental growth throughout 2025. We're not talking about a boom or bust, but rather a consistent upward trend. What this means to me is that you should not expect to see any major dip in the market.

How Does San Diego Compare to Other California Markets?

It's helpful to look at how San Diego's predictions stack up against other major California markets. Here's the predicted growth from Zillow through December 2025 for some of these key areas:

Region Expected Change in Home Value by Dec 2025
San Diego 3.6%
Los Angeles 1.8%
San Francisco 0%
Riverside 3.2%
Sacramento 1.1%
San Jose 0.2%

As you can see, San Diego's forecast is on the higher end compared to other cities like Los Angeles and San Francisco. In fact, San Francisco is predicted to stagnate and have a flat growth. This tells me that the San Diego area continues to be a more attractive option for buyers as compared to these areas. Sacramento also seems to be weaker as compared to San Diego and Riverside. What's interesting though is that Riverside is forecasted to grow almost the same rate as San Diego which means both areas might be having some kind of similarities in demand.

Will Home Prices Drop in San Diego? Will There Be a Crash?

This is the million-dollar question, isn't it? Based on the data and my understanding of the market, a significant drop or crash in San Diego home prices seems unlikely in 2025. The forecasts from credible sources like Zillow do not point to any major correction in the market.

Here’s why:

  • Strong Demand: San Diego continues to be a desirable place to live. The economic prospects combined with quality of life will always have demand for housing.
  • Limited Inventory: While we have a few thousand homes on the market, the supply isn’t enough to significantly undercut prices. It's not that the supply is very low, but it is not enough to satisfy the demand that exists in this market.
  • Incremental Growth: The predicted growth for San Diego is measured and not explosive, meaning the market is less likely to be overvalued and then have a correction.

Of course, I can't predict the future with 100% certainty. Economic shifts and unforeseen circumstances can always change things. I've seen how quickly things can turn around, but as of now, the data suggests that this market will stay fairly stable with some upward trend in value.

A Possible Look Into Forecast for 2026

While there is no specific credible data for the 2026 forecast, here’s my take. I believe that we'll likely see a continued moderate growth trend in San Diego housing prices into 2026, but probably at a similar or even a slightly slower pace. The market will probably continue to be healthy, especially if demand for homes stays high and interest rates eventually stabilize or even come down. I don't see any factors that suggest a significant change in trajectory at this point. It will all depend on a host of factors, like job growth, economic climate and more.

What’s Driving the Growth of the San Diego Housing Market?

The San Diego housing market has several key drivers that facilitate its robust performance:

  1. Thriving Economy: San Diego's diverse economy, rooted in technology, defense, tourism, and healthcare, continues to draw new residents. The area boasts a low unemployment rate, which feeds directly into the demand for housing.
  2. Job Growth and Stability: Continuous job creation in sectors like biotechnology and telecommunications contributes to a strong labor market, where employees often seek permanent housing solutions close to employment hubs.
  3. Desirable Lifestyle: San Diego is renowned not just for its beautiful beaches but also for its natural parks, cultural attractions, and excellent schools. These factors enhance its appeal as a prime location, attracting families and professionals alike.
  4. Low Housing Inventory: The fundamental supply-demand imbalance persists, with many would-be sellers hesitant to list their homes due to current market volatility. This limited inventory in San Diego further exacerbates competition among buyers, pushing home prices upward.
  5. Population: Population growth and shifts in demographics can also impact the housing market. The San Diego area has been a desirable location for many years due to its weather, lifestyle, and job opportunities. A large population and new residents moving into the area can create a higher demand for homes, leading to an increase in housing prices.

What Does This All Mean for You?

If you are looking to buy, this market will likely be competitive, but with careful research and some patience you should be able to get a place at the price you want. It’s important to be prepared with pre-approval, have good financials, and work with a knowledgeable real estate agent. I believe that for long term buyers, it's still a good time to buy.

If you're thinking of selling, the data shows that the market favors you. Homes are still selling relatively quickly and at prices close to the asking price or even above it. I would advise you to consider whether it makes sense for you to sell and where you intend to move to.

In either scenario, it would be great to get advice from professionals such as agents, mortgage brokers, or financial planners.

My Final Thoughts

The San Diego housing market forecast points towards steady, moderate growth, rather than a boom or bust. While I do not expect any significant drop in the housing market prices, it’s essential to stay informed, work with professionals, and make sound financial decisions. This is a great area to live and will continue to be so for the foreseeable future.

San Diego Housing Market Graph 50 Years: Analysis and Trends

by

The San Diego housing market graph over the past 50 years tells a captivating tale of booms, busts, and everything in between. As someone who has closely watched this market, I've seen firsthand how it can leave you amazed and bewildered at the same time. Today, we'll break down this rollercoaster ride and try to understand the forces that have shaped San Diego real estate.

San Diego Housing Market Graph: A 50-Year Journey

Here's the graph showing the All-Transactions House Price Index for San Diego MSA.

San Diego Housing Market Graph 50 Years: Analysis and Trends
Source: FRED

The Early Decades: Steady Growth and Shifting Sands (1970s-1980s)

Peeking back at the San Diego housing market graph from 1975, we see the House Price Index hovering around 25.29. This period was marked by relatively steady growth, fueled by a developing economy and a growing population.

Key takeaways from this era:

  • Interest rates played a major role. The 1970s saw high inflation, leading to fluctuating interest rates that sometimes made it tough for buyers to jump into the market.
  • The '80s brought about change. Interest rates started to cool down, making homes more affordable and leading to increased demand. This period saw a significant upward swing in the San Diego housing market graph.

The Boom Years: Riding the Wave (1990s-2000s)

Fast forward to the 1990s, and the San Diego housing market graph takes a dramatic turn upwards. The dot-com boom brought an influx of wealth and jobs to the area, making San Diego a hotbed for real estate investment.

Here's what shaped this period:

  • The rise of the tech industry. San Diego, with its pleasant weather and attractive lifestyle, became a magnet for tech professionals, further driving up demand for housing.
  • Low interest rates made borrowing cheaper. This fueled the fire, making it easier for people to qualify for larger mortgages, further escalating home prices.

By the early 2000s, the San Diego housing market graph was on an unprecedented upward trajectory, with the House Price Index soaring above 300. The market was hot, with properties often receiving multiple offers and selling for well above asking price.

The Correction and Recovery: Weathering the Storm (2007-2012)

The San Diego housing market graph took a sharp downturn in the late 2000s with the onset of the global financial crisis.

Here's what happened:

  • The subprime mortgage crisis. This crisis, triggered by risky lending practices, led to a wave of foreclosures nationwide, including in San Diego.
  • The housing bubble burst. Prices that had risen at an unsustainable pace finally corrected, leading to a steep decline in the San Diego housing market graph.

The recovery in San Diego was relatively swift compared to other parts of the country. By the early 2010s, the San Diego housing market graph began to show signs of life.

The Current Chapter: A New Era of Growth? (2013-Present)

The San Diego housing market graph from 2013 onwards has been characterized by consistent, albeit more measured, growth. The House Price Index, while not reaching the dizzying heights of the early 2000s, has been steadily climbing.

Here's what's shaping the market today:

  • Limited housing supply. San Diego faces a chronic shortage of housing inventory, with demand consistently outstripping supply. This is a key driver of the upward pressure on prices.
  • Strong economic fundamentals. San Diego boasts a diverse and robust economy, with strong job growth in sectors like technology, healthcare, and tourism.

Looking at the Data: A Closer Examination

The data from the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency paints a clear picture of the San Diego housing market's journey over the past 50 years.

Let's take a look at some key data points from the All-Transactions House Price Index for San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA (MSA):

Year House Price Index Key Trend
1975 25.29 Steady growth
1985 66.11 Significant upward swing
2000 150.05 Unprecedented upward trajectory
2005 323.78 Peak before the correction
2010 222.72 Beginning of recovery
2020 374.44 Consistent, measured growth
2023 537.85 Continued growth despite rising interest rates

Looking Ahead: What's Next for the San Diego Housing Market?

Predicting the future of any real estate market is like trying to predict the weather – there are a lot of factors at play! However, by studying historical trends, analyzing current market indicators, and considering broader economic factors, we can make some educated guesses.

Here are some key things to watch out for:

  • Interest rates: Rising interest rates can impact affordability and potentially slow down price growth.
  • Inventory levels: A significant increase in housing supply could help moderate price increases.
  • Economic conditions: A strong local economy will likely continue to support demand in the housing market.

Final Thoughts: Navigating Your Path in the San Diego Market

The San Diego housing market has certainly had its share of ups and downs over the past 50 years. But one thing remains constant: San Diego's desirable location, strong economy, and high quality of life continue to make it an attractive place to live. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a first-time homebuyer, understanding the cyclical nature of the market and doing your due diligence is key. Remember, every market cycle presents opportunities, and with careful planning and a long-term perspective, you can navigate the San Diego housing market with confidence.

San Diego Housing Market Predictions: Soaring and Expensive!

by

San Diego, with its endless sunshine, pristine beaches, and laid-back charm, consistently ranks as one of the most desirable places to live in the United States. But this allure comes with a hefty price tag, particularly when it comes to housing. San Diego's housing market is scorching! Understanding why San Diego's housing market is so expensive requires examining a confluence of factors.

Is San Diego's Housing Getting More Expensive?

Limited Land, Limitless Desire: A Supply Squeeze

Basic economics teaches us that prices rise when there's more demand than supply. San Diego faces a classic case of this. Unlike sprawling metropolises, San Diego is geographically constrained by the Pacific Ocean, Mexico, and military bases, limiting the amount of land available for development. This limited space creates a bottleneck, making it difficult to build enough housing to keep pace with a growing population.

San Diego's idyllic weather and strong job market, particularly in sectors like biotech and tourism, attract a steady stream of newcomers. Many Californians priced out of pricier coastal cities further north set their sights on San Diego, further intensifying the competition for available homes. This influx of residents, coupled with limited new construction, pushes housing prices ever higher.

Bidding Wars and Soaring Prices in San Diego

Low inventory and high demand create a feeding frenzy. Bidding wars for properties are commonplace, with buyers often going above the asking price to secure their dream home. In April 2024, the median sold price of existing single-family homes in San Diego County hit a staggering $1,047,500 (C.A.R.), a 2.7% increase from the previous month and a significant 12.6% increase year-over-year [Data Source: California Association of Realtors]. This relentless price surge makes it increasingly difficult for middle-income earners and first-time buyers to enter the market.

The Rental Ripple Effect: A Double-Edged Sword

The high cost of buying pushes many residents towards renting. This strong demand in the rental market also translates to rising rents, putting a strain on renters' budgets. Additionally, some single-family homes are being converted into Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) to cater to the rental market. While ADUs can provide additional housing options, they further limit the availability of single-family homes for purchase. This creates a ripple effect, impacting both renters and buyers.

A Look Towards the Horizon: Potential Solutions

San Diego is grappling with this complex housing issue. Efforts are underway to increase density through zoning changes and incentivize construction of new housing units, including multi-family developments. However, these solutions take time to implement and their impact may not be immediate. Additionally, some residents push back on increased density, fearing it will alter the character of their neighborhoods. Finding a balance between accommodating growth and preserving the city's unique charm will be crucial.

Strategies for Navigating this Expensive Market

For those looking to call San Diego home, the road to homeownership may require extra planning and strategizing. Carefully considering your budget is crucial. Exploring different neighborhoods is essential. While trendy areas closest to the coast may command premium prices, areas further inland may offer more affordable options, potentially with good schools and amenities.

The trade-off might involve a longer commute, but for some, this can be worthwhile compromise. Additionally, working with a qualified real estate agent can be invaluable in navigating this competitive market. An experienced agent can help you identify suitable properties within your budget, understand market trends, and guide you through the complex buying process.

Buyer's Guide to San Diego Housing Market

In March 2024, the current interest rate stood at 6.82%. This marked a slight increase from the 6.78% rate seen last year and the 6.54% rate recorded just last month.

The housing inventory in San Diego County varies across different bedroom configurations. Here's a breakdown:

  • 1 Bedroom: According to C.A.R., 198 homes are listed for sale with a median price of $532,000. For buyers considering a 20% down payment, the monthly payment is approximately $3,391, with a down payment of $106,000. If opting for a 3% down payment, the monthly payment increases to $4,349, requiring a down payment of only $15,960.
  • 2 Bedroom: There are 584 homes available, with a median price of $699,000. With a 20% down payment, the monthly payment amounts to $4,457, requiring a down payment of $140,000. Those with a smaller down payment of 3% would face a monthly payment of $5,542 and a down payment of $20,970.
  • 3 Bedroom: San Diego offers 801 homes for sale in this category, with a median price of $929,000. Buyers opting for a 20% down payment will have a monthly payment of $5,923 and a down payment of $186,000. For those with a 3% down payment, the challenge is steeper, with a monthly payment of $7,231 and a down payment of $27,870.
  • 4+ Bedroom: The largest inventory is in this segment, with 1,120 homes listed at a median price of $1.65 million. For those putting down 20%, the monthly payment is approximately $10,521, with a down payment of $330,000. A smaller down payment of 3% brings the monthly payment to a significant $12,896, requiring a down payment of $49,500.

Understanding the Down Payment Impact

This data highlights the significant impact of the down payment on monthly mortgage payments. While a 20% down payment offers a lower monthly payment, it requires a substantial upfront investment. For many buyers, particularly first-time homebuyers, this can be a significant hurdle. The option of a lower down payment, while tempting, translates to a higher monthly payment. Carefully considering your budget and long-term financial goals is crucial when deciding on the down payment amount.

It's important to remember that these figures only represent a portion of the overall financial picture. Additional costs associated with homeownership, such as property taxes, homeowners insurance, and potential homeowners association (HOA) fees, should be factored into your budget. Understanding these ongoing expenses will help you determine a realistic housing affordability range.

The Final Word: Persistence and Planning are Key

San Diego's housing market presents challenges, but with careful planning and a strategic approach, achieving homeownership can be a reality. By understanding current market trends, exploring financing options, and potentially working with a qualified real estate agent, you can increase your chances of navigating this competitive market and finding your place in America's Finest City.

ALSO READ:

San Diego Housing Market Booms With 9.4% Growth: Expert Predictions

San Diego Housing Market 2024: Trends and Predictions

Most Expensive Housing Markets in California

San Diego Housing Market Booms With 9.4% Growth: Expert Predictions

by

Amidst the ebb and flow of the national housing market, San Diego stands as a beacon of stability and growth. San Diego's housing market, characterized by diversity and resilience, continues to capture the attention of analysts and homebuyers alike.

In March, the CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI) painted a vivid picture of the housing market in San Diego, revealing an impressive 9.4% increase in home prices year over year. This significant gain propelled San Diego to the forefront of large U.S. metros, underscoring its resilience in the face of economic fluctuations and market dynamics.

Regional Dynamics and San Diego's Unique Appeal

While northeastern states command attention with their soaring home price growth, San Diego carves its niche with a distinct blend of urban sophistication and coastal charm. The allure of major cities and burgeoning job markets, coupled with a higher standard of living, positions San Diego as a magnet for home buyers seeking both opportunity and lifestyle. The city's proximity to pristine beaches, world-class amenities, and a thriving cultural scene adds to its allure, making it a sought-after destination for residents and investors alike.

Dr. Selma Hepp, Chief Economist for CoreLogic, offers insights into the underlying factors driving San Diego's housing market dynamics. Despite challenges such as rising mortgage rates and affordability concerns, San Diego remains resilient, buoyed by a diverse economy and strong job market. The influx of households with higher disposable incomes further strengthens the demand for housing, fueling continued price appreciation and market activity.

Moreover, the gradual increase in for-sale inventory, though long-awaited, has not dampened the enthusiasm for homeownership in San Diego. Dr. Hepp notes that while supply constraints persist, the city's robust demand and constrained inventory contribute to sustained price growth, albeit at a moderated pace.

Forecast and Long-Term Prospects

Looking ahead, the outlook for the San Diego housing market remains positive. Th forecasts anticipate continued growth and stability, with home prices projected to rise steadily over the next 12 months. This forecast underscores the city's enduring appeal and resilience in the face of evolving market conditions. However, stakeholders must remain vigilant, as external factors such as interest rate fluctuations and economic uncertainty can impact market dynamics.

In summary, San Diego's housing market undeniably exhibits strength and resilience. However, a truly balanced perspective acknowledges potential risks alongside the sunshine and opportunity. Market volatility, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events can introduce uncertainty. Proactive risk management strategies are crucial for both buyers and investors to navigate these potential challenges.

Despite the inherent risks, San Diego remains a beacon of opportunity. Its diverse economy, vibrant culture, and idyllic lifestyle continue to attract a global audience. By leveraging these strengths and addressing challenges head-on, San Diego can solidify its position as a model for resilient urban housing markets. This forward-thinking approach will ensure San Diego's continued growth and prosperity.

San Diego Housing Market Predictions: Prices Skyrocket 11.4% – What’s Next?

by

San Diego's housing market continues to sizzle, leading the nation in home price growth among 20 major U.S. cities according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US Home Price Index. February 2024 data revealed a staggering 11.4% increase in home prices compared to February 2023, solidifying San Diego's position as a top performer in the real estate market.

This growth significantly outpaced the national average of 6.4% and even the gains seen in other hot markets like Chicago and Detroit, which both saw increases of 8.9%. While all 20 cities tracked in the index reported year-over-year growth, San Diego stood out as the clear frontrunner.

Possible Reasons for San Diego's Surge

Several factors may be fueling San Diego's exceptional home price growth. Here are a few potential explanations:

  • Thriving Job Market: San Diego boasts a robust economy with a diverse range of industries, from bioscience and technology to tourism and international trade. This strong job market likely attracts a steady stream of new residents seeking employment opportunities, boosting demand for housing. The growth in high-tech sectors like biotechnology and software development is particularly enticing to young professionals.
  • Desirable Climate: San Diego's sunny skies and mild temperatures are a major draw for many homebuyers. The chance to live near the beach and enjoy a comfortable year-round climate is a significant advantage, especially for those relocating from colder regions. This consistent sunshine translates to lower energy costs for residents and the opportunity to enjoy outdoor activities year-round.
  • Increased Appeal for Young Professionals and Families: San Diego offers an attractive lifestyle for young professionals and families. The city provides a blend of urban amenities, cultural attractions, and outdoor activities, making it a desirable place to live, raise a family, and pursue a career. Top-rated schools and a growing focus on family-friendly communities further solidify San Diego's appeal to this demographic.
  • Limited Inventory: Beyond these factors, basic laws of supply and demand are also at play. San Diego has historically had a relatively low inventory of homes available, which can further drive up prices. This trend is likely to continue as demand remains high, with no significant increase in housing construction on the horizon.

San Diego Housing Market Predictions: What's Next?

San Diego's impressive growth is a sign of its enduring appeal as a place to live. The combination of economic opportunity, a fantastic climate, and a high quality of life continues to make San Diego a top destination for homebuyers. With its promising future, San Diego is likely to remain a frontrunner in the national housing market for years to come. While affordability remains a concern, San Diego's overall value proposition is undeniable.

Based on the information we have about San Diego's housing market growth of 11.4% (as of February 2024), here are some possibilities for the rest of 2024:

Continued Growth, But at a Slower Pace:

  • Experts might predict a continuation of the upward trend, but with a slower growth rate compared to the recent surge. This could be due to factors like:
    • Rising mortgage rates potentially dampening buyer enthusiasm.
    • More inventory entering the market, leading to a slight price stabilization.

Stagnant or Slightly Increased Prices:

  • Some predictions might suggest a period of relative stability in housing prices. This could occur if:
    • Demand and supply reach a more balanced equilibrium.
    • Economic factors like job growth plateau or cool down slightly.

Limited Downward Movement:

  • While a significant price decrease is unlikely, some forecasts might predict a slight dip if:
    • National housing market trends shift towards a correction.
    • Local economic factors like job losses impact buyer confidence.

Here are some additional points to consider:

  • Predictions can vary depending on the source and their methodology.
  • Local market specifics within San Diego (coastal vs. inland areas) might see different trends.
  • Unforeseen economic or social events can significantly impact the market.

It's important to remember that these are just predictions. For the most up-to-date and specific information on the San Diego housing market, it's best to consult with a local real estate professional.

Is San Diego Real Estate a Good Investment?

by

San Diego Real Estate Investment Outlook

Should you consider San Diego real estate investment? You need to drill deeper into local trends if you want to know what the market holds for real estate investors and buyers in 2022 and 2023. Although this article alone is not a comprehensive source to make a final investment decision for San Diego, let’s look at the state of the San Diego real estate market and the factors driving the property market short and long-term.

Affordability has become an issue for many homebuyers in the San Diego area. This is another housing market trend that is affecting many major cities across the country but particularly in the western coastal markets. How big is the San Diego housing market? San Diego is a moderately walkable city in San Diego County with a population of approximately 1,305,700 people.

It is the second biggest California city and one of the ten biggest cities in the country. San Diego is one of the fastest-growing cities in the U.S, and its economy is strong. San Diego is often overlooked in favor of hotter real estate markets like San Francisco and Los Angeles. However, that’s one of the reasons why you should consider investing in the San Diego real estate market. The city of San Diego continues to outpace California's job recovery, which is good news for San Diego’s housing industry.

The San Diego metropolitan area is known as the birthplace of naval aviation, serving as a major employment center in the nation for defense and in the Southern California region for scientific research, health care, education, trade, and tourism. The significant military presence supports hundreds of thousands of jobs, pays billions of dollars in wages, and has an overall annual economic impact on the San Diego metropolitan area of billions of dollars.

San Diego's housing market remains one of the hottest in the nation (ranked 10th by Zillow). Since home building takes time, especially in a heavily regulated environment, there’s little chance of diminished demand. San Diego has been one of the hottest real estate markets in the country for many years. During the 20 years from 1998 to 2018, the median home value in San Diego rose by a whopping 217%. But the median household income only rose by around 77% during that same 20-year time frame.

San Diego has a mixture of owner-occupied and renter-occupied housing. As per Neigborhoodscout.com, a real estate data provider, one and two-bedroom single-family detached are the most common housing units in San Diego. Other housing types prevalent in San Diego include large apartment complexes, duplexes, rowhouses, and homes converted to apartments.

There were 4,100 single-family homes and 6,400 multi-family homes built in 2017, compared to 2,200 single-family homes and 7,800 multi-family units in 2016. Today, the general trend for SFR construction in San Diego County is still far below the 2002-2004 numbers. The next peak in single-family residential construction will likely begin around 2021, but it is doubtful to return to the frenzied mortgage-driven numbers seen during the Millennium Boom.

San Diego Real Estate Appreciation Rates

San Diego is in the top 20% nationally for real estate appreciation. NeighborhoodScout.com's data also shows that in the past ten years, San Diego real estate appreciated by 115.52%. This amounts to an annual real estate appreciation of 7.98%. During the latest twelve months, San Diego's appreciation rate has been around 16.35%.

In the latest quarter, the appreciation rate has been 2.79%, which annualizes to a rate of 11.64%. Overall, there exists a limited supply of homes in San Diego, and buyers are forced to compete often resulting in higher prices and/or quicker sales that tend to benefit sellers.

The San Diego Housing Market Is a Relative Bargain

California is known for its insane real estate prices. San Diego stands out as a relatively affordable real estate market. The median home price is around $550,000. This sounds bad if you compare it to the national average of $300,000, but it is a bargain in California. You could snap up several San Diego rental properties for the price of one home in San Francisco.

The San Diego housing market is cooling. Home price appreciation fell below 5%, and home prices in some areas are declining due to decreasing demand. This is an improvement over the 6 to 8% appreciation San Diego had been seeing. The expanding inventory of houses on the market makes this a great time to invest in the San Diego housing market.

San Diego's Housing Supply Is Constrained As New Construction of Homes is Quite Slow

San Diego is a growing housing market. By 2050, the population of San Diego County is expected to grow to 4.5 million, approximately a 50% increase from the population in early 2007 of 3,098,269 people. Population trends have connections with housing trends as it increases the demand for housing supply. However, construction in San Diego has stalled. Single-family residential construction is well below the demand for such homes in the San Diego housing market.

There has been faster growth in the construction of multi-family housing in the San Diego real estate market, but that is also below historic rates. Currently, both single-family and multi-family housing construction is increasing in San Diego. Even though there are more multi-family starts over single-family homes in terms of raw numbers, the percentage of single-family homes being constructed outpaces that of multi-family units.

San Diego also shares several geographic constraints that other California coastal cities do. You can’t build on water. The Cowles Mountains limit how much the city can expand inland, constraining the housing supply. Regulations limit high-density construction, preventing the area from meeting demand with too many tall condo towers. So, do the wilderness areas off-limits to construction like Cuyamaca Rancho State Park and Cleveland National Forest.

The Diverse Student Market Feeds the San Diego Rental Market

San Diego is a major metropolitan area, and it is home to several colleges and universities. The University of California at San Diego is one of the largest. It is sometimes confused with San Diego State University, a different campus, and the University of San Diego. Point Loma Nazarene University is a Christian school in San Diego. National University is located in nearby La Jolla.

Smaller schools like the Art Institute, Alliant International University, Azusa Pacific University, Brandman University, Miramar College, Mesa College, and California College of San Diego fill out the San Diego real estate market.

A side benefit of the diversified student market is that you can buy multiple properties across the San Diego housing market and enjoy a “diverse” investment portfolio. You won’t see demand for the property rise and fall based on the popularity of a flagship school, and the strong San Diego housing market allows you to rent it to newcomers to the area or military officers if you can’t fill the unit with students.

San Diego’s economy isn’t as reliant on tourism as other coastal towns. Instead, defense and the military are a larger part of the local economy. This dumps tens of thousands of renters into the San Diego real estate market who will never buy because they could be deployed elsewhere in a year or two. The military also gives generous allowances for those who rent San Diego rental properties, keeping rents near the military base strong regardless of the state of the economy.

The San Diego real estate market has been ranked among the ten most expensive real estate markets in the country, though it ranks below several other West Coast cities. This creates massive demand for San Diego rental properties by those who simply cannot afford to buy homes. The rental market will continue to grow as the city grows an estimated 500,000 population by 2050, adding tens of thousands each year. The median rent in San Diego is $2700. The rent you’d receive on single-family San Diego rental properties would, of course, be much higher.

If you find a good bargain and make it family-friendly, you could charge well over $3000 a month. If you can convert San Diego rental properties into smaller units, you’d receive around $2200 a month for a one or two-bedroom apartment. The cash on cash returns for properties in the San Diego housing market is around 2.5% for traditional rental properties and nearly 2% if you rent on Airbnb. The fact that the city isn’t too dependent on tourism means you could rent properties on the beach to newcomers, locals, and students if tourism is slow.

Before the pandemic, the average rent for an apartment in San Diego had been growing at 4% year-over-year (source: RentCafe). About 40% of the apartments can be rented for less than $2000, and 60% of the apartments can be rented for more than $2,000 per month. This shows that rent prices are very high in San Diego.

Homeowners vs Renters Statistics: According to the most recent 2020 American Community Survey census data, San Diego County has a renter percentage of 46.7% which is the second most renter percentage of all the counties in the greater San Diego County region. The homeowner percentage is 53.3%. The monthly cost of ownership for property owners in San Deigo is around $2,073.

The median gross rent is $1,658, which is the third most expensive among all other counties in the greater San Diego County region. Comparing rental rates to the United States average of $1,062, San Diego County is 56.1% larger. Also, compared to the state of California ($1,503), San Diego County is 10.3% larger.

San Diego Rent Prices 2022

As of October 3, 2022, the average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment in San Diego, CA is $2,545. This is a 21% increase compared to the previous year. Over the past month, the average rent for a studio apartment in San Diego remained flat. The average rent for a 1-bedroom apartment decreased by -5% to $2,545, and the average rent for a 2-bedroom apartment decreased by -5% to $3,295.

  • Two-bedroom apartment rents average $3,295 which is an 18% increase from last year.
  • Three-bedroom apartment rents average $4,070 which is a 13% increase from last year.
  • Four-bedroom apartment rents average $4,900 which is a 9% increase from last year.

San Diego Housing Market Is More Landlord Friendly For Short Term Rentals

We can’t say that California is landlord-friendly. However, specific cities are better for landlords and real estate investors than others. One reason to invest in the San Diego housing market over San Francisco or Los Angeles is the fact that San Diego is one of the few big cities that doesn’t have rent control. The city has groups fighting proposals to apply rent control to San Diego rental properties in addition to apartments.

San Diego has many tourist attractions. Balboa Park is home to the San Diego Zoo, the Air and Space Museum, the Natural History Museum, the Desert Garden, the local youth Symphony, a Japanese garden, and a golf complex. There’s a SeaWorld in San Diego, an MLB stadium, the USS Midway Museum, and the San Diego zoo safari park. On top of this is the mild weather and proximity to the beach. Any San Diego rental properties in easy reach of these attractions command a premium on rental sites like Airbnb.

Demand for rentals in the San Diego real estate market soars during Comic-Con, one of the biggest comic conventions in the country. The only limit on San Diego rental properties has been the fluctuating rules by the city council, such as a measure passed limiting rentals to primary residences that were rescinded a few months later in 2018. Yet permission for rentals is limited in many master-planned communities and condo developments, keeping rents for Airbnb and other short-term rentals strong.

San Diego Is A Great Place Place To Live In

San Diego is a great place to live which makes real estate investment a lucrative opportunity. It has nice sunny weather and impressive beaches. It has more than 300 parks, including Mission Trails Regional Park, and 40,000 acres of undeveloped open space. Balboa Park has the world-famous San Diego Zoo, Old Globe Theatre, and museums. San Diego Zoo is also one of the prettiest zoos in the world to walk around. U.S. News analyzed 125 metro areas in the United States to find the best places to live based on the quality of life and the job market in each metro area, as well as the value of living there and people's desire to live there.

San Diego, California was ranked:

  • #36 in Best Places to Live
  • #51 in Best Places to Retire
  • #3 in Best Places to Live in California
  • #5 in Most Expensive Places to Live
  • #9 in Best Places to Live for Quality of Life
  • #12 in Safest Places to Live

San Diego is home attracts millennials with its higher education opportunities and big-city amenities such as excellent restaurants, dive bars or clubs, and great nightlife. The craft beer scene in San Diego is one of the best in the world. North County is desirable for young families whereas millennials are moving downtown and to communities to the northeast as a result of gentrification and the diverse entertainment options centralized in those areas.

Best Places to Invest in Real Estate in San Diego

Are you looking for an investment property in the San Diego real estate market? In any property investment, cash flow is gold. San Diego offers an ideal mix of limited supply, high demand, and excellent income potential. San Diego's mild climate, miles of beaches, fun attractions, and great schools make the city one of America's best places to live.

If you’re going to invest in California, it needs to be in San Diego. Good cash flow from San Diego investment properties means the investment is, needless to say, profitable. On the other hand, a bad cash flow means you won’t have money on hand to repay your debt.

Therefore, finding the best investment property in San Diego in a growing neighborhood would be key to your success. The three most important factors when buying real estate anywhere are location, location, and location. The location creates desirability. Desirability brings demand. You should focus on neighborhoods with relatively high population density and employment growth.

Both of them translate into high demand for housing. There should be a natural and upcoming high demand for rental properties. Demand would raise the price of your San Diego rental property and you should be able to get a good return on your investment over the long term.

The neighborhoods in San Diego must be safe to live in and should have a low crime rate. The neighborhoods should be close to basic amenities, public services, schools, and shopping malls. A cheaper neighborhood in San Diego might not be the best place to live in.

A cheaper neighborhood should be determined by these factors – Overall Cost Of Living, Rent To Income Ratio, and Median Home Value To Income Ratio. It depends on how much you are looking to spend and if you are wanting smaller investment properties or larger deals in Class A neighborhoods. The inventory is low, but opportunities are there.

Some of the popular neighborhoods in or around San Diego are Carmel Valley, Rancho Bernardo, Point Loma, Pacific Beach, Mission Valley, Mira Mesa, Rancho Penasquitos, Bonita, Del Cerro, North Park, La Jolla, 4s Ranch, Mission Hills, Otay Ranch and Rancho Santa Fe.

As we write this, the asking price of single-family homes for sale in San Diego (on Realtor.com) starts from $132,000 for a 3-bedroom house and can go up to $37M for a luxury 10-bedroom house located in the Northern San Diego neighborhood.

You can get a beautiful 3-bedroom new construction single-family house for around $379,000 in the Southern San Diego neighborhood — which is quite an affordable entry price as San Deigo home prices are some of the most expensive in all of the United States.

Here are some of the best neighborhoods in San Diego where you can buy an investment property.

Encanto is one of San Diego’s most affordable neighborhoods if you want to buy an investment property. According to Neighborhood Scout Encanto’s median real estate price is $469,345, which is cheaper than 71.3% of California neighborhoods and 21.5% of all U.S. neighborhoods. Encanto is a hilly neighborhood located in the southeastern part of San Diego, California. The neighborhood of Encanto is split into two sections, North Encanto (which lies north of Broadway), and South Encanto (which lies south of Broadway).

The name Encanto usually refers to the neighborhood of Encanto, but it can also refer collectively to the neighborhoods of the Chollas Valley planning area, which consists of Chollas View, O'Farrell, Lincoln Park, Emerald Hills, Valencia Park, Broadway Heights, Alta Vista, Rosemont, as well as Encanto. The citizens' community planning group that represents these eight neighborhoods in accordance with the City of San Diego Council Policy 600-24 is named the Chollas Valley Community Planning Group.

The Encanto Neighborhoods Community Plan is designed to expand the existing retail, commercial and light industrial areas along the main transportation corridors and the villages surrounding the trolley stops at 47th and Market streets, and Euclid Avenue and Market Street. Its cultural heart is the Market Street Village, situated along Chollas Creek, and the trolley stop at the intersection of Euclid Avenue and Market Street.

With its proximity to San Diego Bay just 2 1/2 to 5 miles away, temperatures tend to be mild. The area offers excellent opportunities for infill development, including commercial, transit-oriented mixed-use along the main corridors, and view lots for single-family residential in the surrounding hills.

Nestor is another relatively affordable neighborhood in San Deigo having a median real estate price of $579,106, which is more expensive than 42.9% of the neighborhoods in California and 84.6% of the neighborhoods in the U.S. The average rental price in Nestor is currently $1,881, based on NeighborhoodScout's exclusive analysis. Rents here are currently lower in price than 77.6% of California neighborhoods. Nestor is a residential neighborhood in the southern section of San Diego, and part of the Otay Mesa-Nestor community planning area. According to Zillow, Nestor's home values have gone up 29.4% over the past year.

It neighbors Palm City and Otay Mesa West to the east, Egger Highlands to the north, San Ysidro to the southeast, and the Tijuana River Valley to the south. Major thoroughfares include Coronado Avenue, Saturn Boulevard, Hollister Street, and Tocayo Avenue. According to Areavibes.com, the cost of living in Nestor is 19% lower than the San Diego average and 13% higher than the national average. On their livability index, it ranks better than 42% of areas in San Diego.

The Otay Mesa-Nestor community planning area is located in the southern region of the City and is bounded on the north by Chula Vista, on the east by the community of Otay Mesa, on the south by the Tijuana River Valley and the San Ysidro community, and on the west by Imperial Beach. Twenty percent of the planning area consists of schools, parks, transit, and other public facilities, while vacant, undeveloped, agricultural, and mineral extraction and processing uses comprise the remaining 15 percent.

Emerald Hills is a fairly good neighborhood in San Diego to invest in real estate. It is a calm neighborhood with many green spaces nearby for residents to visit. Most areas in this neighborhood are quiet, as noise from the streets and other parts of the city is rarely an issue. It is bordered by Oak Park and California State Route 94 on the north, Chollas View and Euclid Avenue on the west, Encanto on the east, and Valencia Park and Market Street on the south. Major thoroughfares include Kelton Road and Roswell Street.

Most houses for sale in this neighborhood are located in places that are not very suitable for walking since carrying out daily needs is sometimes difficult. The typical home value in Emerald Hills is $659,983, up 33.0% over the past year.

Another urban area that is great for investment is the Downtown/City Center. It is one of the best places to live in California. It offers residents a dense urban feel and more than 70% of the residents rent their homes. So it is a great neighborhood to buy rental properties due to high demand. Downtown's public schools are above average. It offers good nightlife with restaurants, bars, and entertainment venues. Niche.com ranks it #25 among the best neighborhoods to live in San Diego.

Highest Growing San Diego Neighborhoods Since 2000 (List by Neighborhoodscout.com)

  1. Mountain View Southeast
  2. Logan Heights West
  3. Logan Heights
  4. Barrio Logan
  5. Golden Hill South
  6. Grant Hill West
  7. East Village
  8. Sherman Heights
  9. Mountain View East
  10. Barrio Logan East

The cheapest or most affordable neighborhoods to rent in San Diego are Alta Vista, where the average rent goes for $1100/month, Broadway Heights, where renters pay $1100/mo on average, and Emerald Hills, where the average rent goes for $1100/mo, Encanto, where renters pay $1100/mo on average $1,383, Jamacha Lomita with an average rent of $1100, and Skyline, where the average rent price is 1100. In all of these areas, the asking prices are below the average San Diego rent.

San Diego Rental Market
Graph Credits: RentCafe.com

Apart from San Deigo, you can also invest in several other real estate markets in California. California has the 6th largest economy in the entire world. This is largely driven by its innovative production, the heavy tech sectors in the state, and more. Apart from the San Diego real estate market, you can also invest in another hot market in San Jose. San Jose is part of Silicon Valley, a place where $100,000 a year or higher salaries from competing tech firms have driven up the cost of real estate.

But what about the San Jose housing market itself? San Jose is the third-largest city in California, home to roughly a million people. It has the highest cost of living in any area in the U.S., and it is one of the most expensive housing markets in the country. If you want to invest in San Jose real estate, you may not need to buy and renovate. Instead, if you know of industrial or commercial properties near major employers they may need to convert to employee housing, which you could buy now and hold until it sells.

If that doesn’t happen, you could still turn it into a co-working space. In January 2018, Redfin ranked the ten hottest neighborhoods in the United States. Nine of the ten were in San Jose. When single home prices fall from 1.2 million to 1 million, homes now sit on the market for several days instead of being snapped up immediately.

The other good place for real estate investment in California is Sacramento. Sacramento is an island of sanity in an overpriced, over-regulated, and overheated West Coast housing market. It reflects the California ideal that most of the state has lost, and that’s we recommend it to investors over the “hotter” California metro areas. These are the same factors causing many Californians themselves to vote with their feet and move here instead of moving out of the state altogether.

If you’re considering Sacramento real estate investment, the diverse rental market is a definite plus. Being a state capital, it is home to several universities. This allows you to rent to the relatively large student market in addition to the local population. There is, of course, the University of California campus in Sacramento, but you could own investment properties by American River College and other, smaller schools in the area, too.

Buying or selling real estate, for a majority of investors, is one of the most important decisions they will make. Choosing a real estate professional/counselor continues to be a vital part of this process. They are well-informed about critical factors that affect your specific market areas, such as changes in market conditions, market forecasts, consumer attitudes, best locations, timing, and interest rates.

NORADA REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS has extensive experience investing in turnkey real estate and cash-flow properties. We strive to set the standard for our industry and inspire others by raising the bar on providing exceptional real estate investment opportunities in many other growth markets in the United States. We can help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing the profitability of your investment properties.

Not just limited to San Diego or California but you can also invest in some of the best real estate markets in the United States. All you have to do is fill up this form and schedule a consultation at your convenience with our team to see if San Diego makes sense as a place to invest today.

We can help build you a custom portfolio of turnkey properties located in some of the best markets in the United States. By researching and structuring complete turnkey real estate investments, we can help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing profitability.

Sources:

  • https://car.sharefile.com/share/view/s2a8899fc081428a8
  • https://journal.firsttuesday.us/san-diego-housing-indicators-2/29246
  • https://www.rentcafe.com/average-rent-market-trends/us/ca/san-diego
  • http://worldpopulationreview.com/us-cities/san-diego-population
  • https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/business/real-estate/sd-fi-rent-control-20180703-story.html
  • https://www.mashvisor.com/blog/airbnb-san-diego
  • https://www.sandiegoreader.com/news/2018/mar/07/city-lights-airbnb-forcing-you-out
    https://www.niche.com/colleges/search/best-colleges/m/san-diego-metro-area
  • http://worldpopulationreview.com/us-cities/san-diego-population
  • https://www.sandiego.org/articles/east-county/san-diego-east-mountains.aspx
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/27/spring-housing-market-could-be-coolest-in-recent-years-realtorcom.html
  • https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/business/real-estate/sd-fi-corelogic-home-20180724-story.html
  • https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/business/tourism/sd-fi-airbnb-regulations-council-20181022-story.html
  • https://www.10news.com/news/making-it-in-san-diego/making-it-in-san-diego-slowing-housing-market-could-create-buying-opportunity

Blog Posts

Contact

Norada Real Estate Investments 30251 Golden Lantern, Suite E-261 Laguna Niguel, CA 92677

(949) 218-6668
(800) 611-3060
BBB