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Are Existing Home Sales Falling in the US?

April 9, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Are Existing Home Sales Falling in the US?

What is the Trend in Home Sales in the US?

The current trend in the U.S. housing market, specifically regarding existing home sales, indicates a significant upturn rather than a decline. In a surprising turn of events, existing home sales soared by 9.5% to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 4.38 million units in February 2024, according to N.A.R. This growth in existing home sales marked the highest level in a year. This increase is contrary to the market forecasts, which had anticipated a decrease to 3.95 million units from the 4 million recorded in January.

Factors Contributing to the Surge in Existing Home Sales

This boost in sales can be attributed to an increase in housing supply, which has helped to meet the growing market demand. The rise in sales was particularly notable in the West, South, and Midwest regions, while the Northeast maintained steady sales figures. The total housing inventory rose to 1.07 million units, which is a 5.9% increase from January and a 10.3% increase from the previous year. Despite this growth in inventory, the unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month supply at the current sales pace, which is a slight decrease from 3.0 months in January but an increase from 2.6 months in February of the previous year.

Moreover, the median existing-home price for all housing types in February was $384,500, which is a 5.7% increase from the previous year's figure of $363,600. Price increases were consistent across all four major U.S. regions.

Market Dynamics and Influential Factors

These statistics suggest that the existing home sales market in the U.S. is currently robust, with increased sales and prices indicating a healthy demand and a competitive housing market.

The recent surge in U.S. home sales, defying earlier predictions of a slowdown, can be attributed to several key factors. One of the primary drivers is the steady rise in housing demand, fueled by population growth and robust job creation. These factors have been instrumental in setting the stage for a dynamic housing market.

Another significant factor is the prevailing mortgage rates. While they remain high, they have not deterred the timing of purchases as much as expected. Instead, buyers seem to be navigating the market with a sense of urgency, spurred by the anticipation of potential future rate increases.

Additionally, the inventory of available homes has expanded, offering buyers a wider range of choices. This increase in supply helps to meet the growing demand and supports the rise in sales. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has forecasted a 13 percent rise in sales for 2024, indicating a strong market outlook.

Moreover, changes in broker commissions, as a result of a recent class action lawsuit settlement, are expected to upend the traditional buying and selling model. This could potentially make the process more transparent and less costly for consumers, thereby encouraging more transactions.

Regionally, price fluctuations continue to vary, but overall, home prices have seen a slower rise compared to recent years. This is likely due to a combination of factors, including the level of local market supply and economic conditions specific to each region.

Bottom Line: The increase in home sales is being driven by a confluence of factors: a strong demand due to demographic and economic growth, the current state of mortgage rates, an increase in housing supply, and significant changes in the real estate transaction process. These elements combine to create a competitive and active housing market that continues to attract buyers despite the challenges of affordability and high borrowing costs.

Filed Under: Housing Market

8 Common Risks In Rental Property Investing

April 9, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Risks In Rental Property Investing

Like any other business, rental property investing also entails certain risks which you must be aware of. The major risks in rental property investing are risks of high vacancy rates, bad tenants damaging the property, and the possibility of a negative cash flow. However, all of these risks can be avoided with proper planning and working with a good turnkey rental property provider. Let us discuss.

Rental Property Investing Definition

A rather unconventional form of real estate investment, rental property investing has continued to grow. The definition of rental property investing is buying refurbished homes and then letting them out to tenants. The increasing popularity of rental property investment can be attributed to various factors. The first and foremost is its promise of immediate returns in the form of rental income.

A rental-ready project earns an investor money almost immediately after its purchase. This is a contrast to other forms of real estate investments in which you first have to spend time and resources on construction, development, marketing, and selling. The other reason why investors love turnkey rental deals is the responsibility it take off their shoulders. With rental property investing, you don't have to do all the work yourself. In fact, the rental property provider will source tenants for you and also wholly manage the property for you.

Some Benefits Before We Discuss Risks In Rental Property Investing

In relation to having a turnkey real estate company manage your rental property on your behalf, rental property investing also lets you own property in far-off locations. You can for example comfortably own a property in another state or even internationally. This too is a factor that attracts a lot of passive real estate investors to rental properties.

No matter one's reason for investing in rental property, one thing does stand true. This is the fact that rental property investing is a passive route to real estate ownership. Yes, rental property investing lets you own property without being actively involved in the process. The developer does all the renovation and the property management company manages the property on your behalf. Your job is just to pay for the rental property and begin reaping profits in the form of rental income. Hence, it is also called passive real estate investing.

8 Common Risks In Rental Property Investing

Is it risky to invest in rental property? This is something many real estate investors stop to ask themselves. In regards to this question, the answer is a simple “yes.” Why so? You may ask. Well, like with any other form of investment, something could possibly go wrong with rental property investment as well.

You must do your due diligence before stepping in, which includes property inspection, real estate comps, maintenance expenses, property taxes property protection, etc. The objective of rental property investing is to yield a significant return on investment in a relentless way, and also mitigate the risks associated with owning a rental property.

Though it's widely seen as a quick and ideal form of investment, rental property investment isn't totally a smooth sail. There are a number of risks involved in this kind of investment. Below listed are the risks or cons of rental property investing that you must know.

1. Unplanned Rental Property Investing

Investing in rental property is almost akin to gambling with one's money. This is because you cannot be entirely sure of the outcome. First and foremost, there could be a possibility that the turnkey real estate company you're investing with isn't genuine. You could end up losing your money if that is the case.

The second reason why it could be a gamble is the issue of location. Many investors buy turnkey rental properties that are far away from them. This leaves them unable to physically verify the condition of the properties. They can then only trust the property management company's descriptions and feedback. This unfortunately may not always be honest.

2. Possible Financial Losses – Negative Cash Flow

When investing in a rental property, there are chances that you could incur huge financial losses. This is especially true if you're dealing with an inept property management company. Some turnkey investment companies are just not right, they lack the capacity and capability to navigate the real estate market. Such companies may end up mismanaging your property leading to you sustaining losses in the form of negative cash flow.

It's advisable to carefully consider the company you choose to transact with. Ensure they're trustworthy and competent in matters of real estate investment.

3. Rental Property Management And Other Expenses

In some instances, rental property investing may end up being costlier than you anticipated. Turnkey companies usually slap their clients with particular charges. Clients for example pay for monthly management fees and other charges including routine refurbishment or repairs.

4. High Vacancy Rates

The fact that you have a rental-ready property doesn't guarantee that you'll have tenants to rent it to. It sometimes just happens with rental property investors that they have no tenants to occupy their property, especially if they try to manage everything on their own. Finding and screening tenants, doing paperwork, and ensuring low vacancy rates are not an easy job. This leads to losses especially if such a property was their sole investment. The losses add up more if you have bought the rental property through a mortgage.

5. Buying Rental Properties at Retail Prices Is Risky

In real estate, the price at you which you buy a property determines the profit you will earn from it. In some cases, rental property investors may end up buying properties at retail prices. This is because they may be ill-informed about property prices in a given area or region. This leaves them vulnerable to exploitation by conniving developers and turnkey providers who work in tandem.

This is one of the major risks in rental property investing and should be avoided at all costs. As a rental property investor, you should ideally purchase a property at a price beneath the retail price. This will let you make a significant profit from it. Click on the link to learn How To Buy Rental Properties With No Money Down.

6. Foreclosure by Lenders

A negative cash flow can lead to non-payment of mortgage installments, and you can put your rental property in danger of foreclosure. There are numerous elements that may contribute to a decrease in cash flow from your rental property resulting in non-payment of mortgage on time, which may hurt your odds of getting bank loan approvals later on. To prevent this you must ensure that you break down and run the numbers before purchasing the property. You must do a proper risk analysis for each deal and prepare an exit strategy in case of any eventualities.

7. Rise of Property Taxes

If taxes and insurance components rise faster than your rental income, as they have in the wake of catastrophic events, it means a decrease in the net cash flow. Insurance companies will fairly adjust the claims in case of catastrophic events. Therefore, this too can be counted as one of the cons of rental property investing.

8. Choosing the Wrong Tenants

Choosing great quality tenants is a main consideration to reduce the annual vacancy rate in rental property investment. There will be some vacancy period but it should not be too long to affect to put you in the lurch. Be extremely particular and conduct appropriate due diligence to find and screen good tenants for your rental property. If your tenant pays late, won’t turn off the water, can’t change a light bulb, is a graffiti artist, and is causing havoc on your property, then the depreciation allowance from the IRS is probably not sufficient for you. Therefore, choosing the wrong tenant means risking your rental property investing in a big way, and it can lead to the dangers of negative cash flow – a nightmare for all landlords.

Bottom Line: How to Avoid Risks In Rental Property Investing

The only way to avoid risks in rental property investing is to carefully consider before settling on one. Ascertain that you are dealing with a trusted turnkey real estate company. Also, seek information on matters such as property market prices investor preferences, and so on.

We recommend these 4 markets for profitable rental property investing:

  • Houston Housing Market
  • Atlanta Real Estate Market
  • Dallas Real Estate Market
  • Birmingham Real Estate Market

References:

  • https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/turnkey-property.asp
  • http://www.passiverealestateinvesting.com/turnkey-real-estate-investing/
  • http://www.jwbrealestatecapital.com/turnkey-property-investments-what-could-go-wrong/ 

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing

The Important Tax Benefits of Real Estate Investing

April 9, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

The Important Tax Benefits of Real Estate Investing

If you are planning on increasing your wealth, the best investment to deal with is real estate. Investing in real estate has some incredible tax benefits. Other benefits are an increase in property value due to appreciation and good cash flow in the form of rental income. It is easy to find the lists of these tax benefits of real estate investing, like the ability to deduct nearly every expense associated with the real estate or how to qualify to exclude from your income all or part of any capital gain from the sale of your main home.

However, it is equally easy for someone to inflate or conflate various tax benefits given by the IRS. Investors dealing in real estate get the maximum tax benefits in the name of deductions, which we'll discuss in detail. Deductions that are accounted for can be depreciation, property tax, repairs, or any other form of expenses. These breaks in taxes are helpful to a lot of people dealing with real estate as their full-time business. Let’s look at the top tax benefits of investing in real estate using hard numbers. This is the basic introduction to how tax benefits in real estate work.

Let's suppose the average home costs around 220,000 dollars. Yet many people don’t need a three or four-bedroom single-family home. Nor should you pay that much for an investment property. A good rule of thumb for investors is to pay no more than 70 percent of the ARV or After Repair Value of the property.

We’re going to use a property purchased for 130,000 dollars. This may be a small starter home in an average neighborhood or a full-sized home in a working-class neighborhood. The house would then be worth around 185,000 fixed up if we were going to pay cash for the repairs. You don’t want to overpay for the property.

  • Determine how much the property would rent for it after repairs.
  • Divide that by the property value.
  • You want a 1 percent rate of return at a minimum.
  • This means that if you can rent the property for 1600 dollars a month and have 300 dollars a month in expenses, your net revenue is 1300 dollars a month.
  • On a 130,000 dollar starter home, this is a 1 percent ROI and makes it a good deal.
  • If the property costs 130,000 dollars now but requires 20,000 in repairs, it probably isn’t worth it unless you’re going to sell it soon to capture the increased equity.
  • Don’t forget to factor in expenses like property management fees, property taxes, and insurance if you’re going to hold onto the property in addition to expenses like the mortgage.

Tax Benefits of Real Estate Investing

Suppose you want to buy a 130,000 dollar house with 20 percent down. That means the down payment is 26,000 dollars. This results in a mortgage of 104,000 dollars. We used a mortgage calculator assuming a 104,000 dollar mortgage at 5 percent over 30. This results in a monthly payment of 558 dollars a month. As a real estate investor, your mortgage interest becomes tax-deductible, while payments toward the principle are not. This makes nearly all of the roughly six hundred dollar house payment a business expense you can write off.

Because you put 20 percent down on the property, there is no PMI or private mortgage insurance.

However, property insurance will be tax-deductible, too. Homeowner's insurance ranges from 1 to 2 percent a year. If we assume a 1 percent homeowner's insurance policy, the premiums are 1200 to 1300 dollars a year. Property management fees are tax-deductible business expenses. If the rent on our 130,000 investment property is 1300 dollars a month, you’ll pay roughly 130 dollars a month or 1560 dollars a year for someone else to collect the rent.

All the costs associated with property acquisition can be written off. This list includes title insurance, legal fees, real estate agent commissions, transfer taxes, back taxes, and closing costs. Don’t be afraid to hire a real estate attorney if it helps you avoid major mistakes. The cost of asking a professional about the tax benefits of investing in real estate is tax-deductible, too.

Property taxes vary wildly across the country. Some states lack a property tax, while the rate may be negligible on rural properties. The average property tax rate in the US is 1.2 percent. This translates to a $1,560 property tax bill for homeowners. Unfortunately, that’s factoring in the homestead exemption property tax investors don’t get.

Assume a $2,000 to $2,400 a year property tax bill. The property taxes you pay offset the potential income taxes you would owe if your real estate properties are held by an LLC. Or they’re treated as a business expense for you as a private investor, reducing the taxable income you’ll owe on the property. Note that you’ll still enjoy the same tax benefits of real estate investing if it is held in a private LLC as held in your name.

What Are Tax Benefits of Real Estate Investing?

Everyone pays property taxes, but how much tax you pay can be reduced by utilizing certain tax breaks available in real estate. Let's now discuss each of these tax benefits in detail and how to use them to maximize your savings.

Depreciation

What is Depreciation?

One of the greatest tax deductions real estate investors enjoy is depreciation. Like any other asset residential real estate is also an asset that breaks down over time. Depreciation is a deduction taken on materials that break down. The IRS uses depreciation to acknowledge that an asset wears down over time. It is like an allowance given for exhaustion or wears and tear of the property, including a reasonable benefit for obsolescence. Depreciation is charged in different years for residential and commercial property. For residential properties, it is calculated in 27.5 years, and for commercial, the same is 39 years.

It is an incredible benefit given by the IRS to real estate investors. Even though anything that breaks down on the property can be deducted, we all know that property values generally go up over time. Therefore, depreciation on real estate is often known as a “phantom deduction” because although we deduct the cost, the actual loss never really occurs.

How is Depreciation Calculated?

Depreciation is charged by the method named (MACRS) Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery Method. In MACRS the residential rental property and structural improvements are depreciated over 27.5 years, while appliances and other fixtures are depreciated over 15 years. Whatever is the cost of your residential property (excluding the cost of the land), it will be spread out over 27.5 years and deducted every year.

Note that you can only depreciate the building, not the land.

For simplicity’s sake, we’ll say the land is worth 30,000 dollars while the house is worth 100,000 dollars, which will be spread out over 27.5 years.

This means you would divide $100,000 by 27.5 = 3636.36.  Hence, you can deduct $3636.36 every single year for the next 27.5 years on your investment property.

And that much of the profits from the property are shielded from income taxes because it is offset by the presumed losses from depreciation. This is separate from the tax-deductibility of actual repairs like replacing the roof or dead air conditioner.

If you made major improvements to the property, such as the fixer-upper scenario, those improvements are included in the depreciation. If you bought the house for 130,000 dollars and made repairs and renovations that made it worth 180,000 dollars, you have an additional 50,000 dollars of cost basis to use for depreciation purposes.

Note that minor repairs like a new hot-water heater or patched roof don’t count in depreciation.

Important Tips About Using Depreciation as a Tax Benefit in Real Estate 

  • Depreciation will start the moment the property is officially available for occupancy.
  • This means depreciation doesn’t start the day you bought the property but the day you started trying to sell it or find a renter.
  • Conversely, it means you can claim depreciation even if the property is vacant for several months.
  • Depreciation ends if you sell it, exchange it or retire it from service as a rental property.
  • For example, you can’t claim depreciation if you move into it and make it a permanent residence.
  • The catch in depreciation as a tax benefit of real estate investment is that when you sell the property, that entire deducted amount may be taxed at a 25% rate, in addition to any other capital gains taxes.
  • However, if you didn’t make money on the sale, then IRS will not tax your old depreciation amount.

Lower Capital Gains Tax

Capital gains are the profits you make when you sell a property. One of the tax benefits of real estate investing is that there are lower taxation rates on your capital gains. The gains that investors get from selling their investment property for sale are termed capital gains which are of two types as mentioned below.

Low tax rates on capital gains are an advantage if you build your long-term investment strategy around strategically selling real estate for growth or living expenses. Generally, in all tax brackets, capital gains taxes are considered better than the equivalent income tax on your ordinary income.

  • Short-Term Gains: The gains that are received from investment properties that are held for less than one year are called short-term gains. Investors have to pay tax according to the bracket under which they fall. There is no special tax benefit in real estate for short-term capital gains.
  • Long-Term Gains: The gains that are received from investment properties that are held for more than one year are termed long-term capital gains. The tax rate is lower in the long-term capital gains because of which investors prefer the latter over the former. The long-term capital gains tax is either 0%, 15%, or 20%, depending on what income tax bracket you are in.

1031 Exchange

As a real estate investor, you can use this tax code called 1031 Exchange to sell a property and use the profit to buy a new one that is of equal or greater value. In this way, you can defer paying taxes until that next property is sold or you can opt for another 1031 Exchange. When you choose to sell your property, you are required to pay taxes for your capital gains.

With the help of section 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code, you are permitted to postpone paying taxes when you reinvest those gains in another property. IRS considers that you are exchanging your old property for another real estate property. This is one such type of swap in which there is no tax paid; it is deferred legally.

Here are some of the factors which the 1031 exchange must meet.

  • The property which has been replaced and the property or properties bought in its place must have the same or greater value.
  • The IRS requires that you identify the property you plan to buy within 45 days and you also must close on that property within 180 days.
  • The properties included in the transaction must be similar. A real estate property cannot be exchanged for some other type of asset, such as a real estate investment trust (REIT).
  • The exchanged properties should be used for any productive purpose in business such as for investment.
  • Any cash or property received through the transaction that is not considered like-kind property is considered boot and is subject to taxation. Therefore, you can touch the cash. You must use an intermediary who will hold onto the cash while you wait to close on the new deal. If you do want to take out some of the profit, that amount will be taxed.

No FICA Tax

The Federal Insurance Contributions Act helps in the splitting of tax between the employee and the employer, and the rate of tax is 15.3%. If you are self-employed and have no employer, you are responsible for the full 15.3%, which is known as Self-Employment Tax. Now you might be thinking what is the tax benefit here for real estate investors?

The US Government does not currently look at rental real estate as a job or self-employed business. Therefore, a rental property income is not generally taxed as “earned income” and does come under FICA. Remember, it depends on how you earn from real estate. If you own a holding company and draw a salary, you would come under FICA.

Tax Benefits From Refinancing Your Mortgage

Refinancing is also considered one of the tax benefits of real estate investment. Exchanging your old mortgage with a new one at a new interest rate is known as Refinancing your Mortgage. Refinancing provides the borrower with fresh money at lower interest rates due to which the homeowner can lower his/her monthly payment amount.

As he/she obtains the loan at a lower rate of interest and consolidates all the debts, he/she now has to pay only one loan amount, which is obtained at a lower rate of interest and is left with some cash in hand. You don’t need to pay taxes on this. You’ll need to pay taxes when you sell the property, but you can use that money right now with no tax at all. The cash in hand after refinancing is non-taxable.

How Do You Take Advantage of These Tax Breaks?

The simplest approach is to document all of your expenses from property repairs to ongoing maintenance to insurance to taxes. Track one-time expenses like the cost of listing it for rent or sale. Your accountant will total up these expenses to determine your total business expense write-off. More importantly, what you pay your attorney or accountant to manage your business is also a tax-deductible business expense. The costs of acquiring and fixing up a property occur on a case-by-case basis.

Let’s jump to the tax calculations for the second year of ownership. We’ll use conservative estimates, though you might keep costs down.

Property taxes – $2000 a year

Depreciation – $4000 a year

Mortgage interest – $6000 a year

Property management – $1560 a year

Repairs – $2000 a year

Insurance – $1300 a year

Legal and tax preparer fees – $500 a year

That totals up to $16,860 a year in expenses. We already estimated an income of $1,300 a month every month or $15,600 a year. In this case, you’d owe no income tax on the property. If you were charging $1,500 a month in rent, you’d pay a little more in property management fees but only have to pay income taxes on $2,000 a year. In reality, you’re clearing closer to $6,000 a year, because you aren’t paying for the property’s depreciation. Know that these are rough, back-of-the-envelope calculations regarding the tax benefits of real estate investing. The costs and benefits of owning a particular property should be done on a case-by-case basis.

How Can You Lower Your Tax Bill as a Real Estate Investor?

Hold the property for more than a year to reduce capital gains taxes on the property’s appreciation. This makes a fix and rents a better strategy than flipping houses. You could even buy run-down properties, fix them up, manage them for 13 months, and then sell them to another investor. Just don’t get yourself classified as a dealer instead of an investor, because the self-employment category will double your FICA taxes.

Another option is owning the property as a legal liability corporation. You can receive the profits from the LLC, but you are personally shielded from lawsuits. You have some control over when you sell the property or pay the property taxes. Run the numbers. You might want to delay paying the property tax bill until January next year to offset the profits if you had a major repair bill this year.

If you sell the property, you’ll owe capital gains taxes. A like-kind exchange under Section 1031 of the tax code allows you to defer paying these taxes. Always work with a good real estate tax advisor to handle such a rollover. Another option is selling the property to the tenant or another investor under an installment deal. It lets you write off the value of the property with each installment, though you run the risk of only owning half a house if they default.

In theory, you can reduce your tax bill by borrowing against properties you own to buy new properties rather than selling them, too. On the other hand, you don’t want to pay more for repairs, services, or financing to get a tax write-off. For example, you’re not saving money if you pay the bank an extra 1000 dollars to get a 250 dollar tax write-off.

Set up a dedicated home office that you only use for work. Then you can deduct part of your mortgage and utilities as a business expense. Get organized. For example, you should keep track of mileage and travel costs, so you can include them as business expenses on your taxes. Document what you pay to attend real estate investing seminars or software you buy to run your business.

For simplicity’s sake, set up a bank account that is only used for managing rental properties. Rent is deposited into the account, and you only pay expenses for the rental properties out of that account. Then you don’t accidentally try to write off personal home repairs. However, this approach does make it difficult to write off a home office.

Concluding Thoughts on Tax Benefits of Real Estate Investment

Real estate investing enjoys many tax benefits. It is one of the most tax-advantaged investments compared to other investments. It depends on the investors and how they utilize these investments to the best of their advantage. It requires careful planning and effort to maximize your tax deductions while remaining in compliance with the complex regulations involved.  One can attain financial freedom by learning the right way to invest in the real estate industry. It is wise to hire a good CPA or tax expert who will save you more money than they cost. They will help you in plotting your tax strategy because the US tax code is quite complex and it is difficult to understand all the rules and regulations.

You can also click on this link to read our blog on how to be a successful real estate investor. This blog will teach you how to succeed in your first real estate investment, going with a moderate pace, learning much, and being ready to leave any enticing opportunity that comes your way. 


References

  • https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/060815/how-rental-property-depreciation-works.asp
  • https://www.fool.com/millionacres/taxes/real-estate-tax-deductions/top-5-tax-advantages-real-estate-investing
  • https://www.moneycrashers.com/lower-taxes-real-estate-investor
  • https://www.homeunion.com/how-to-claim-real-estate-taxes-and-deductions
  • https://smallbusiness.chron.com/calculate-value-investment-property-4122.html
  • https://finance.zacks.com/much-spend-investment-property-vs-potential-rental-income-10487.html
  • https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/personalfinance/2017/04/16/comparing-average-property-taxes-all-50-states-and-dc/100314754

Filed Under: 1031 Exchange, Asset Protection, General Real Estate, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investments

Will Housing Prices Hit the Bottom in 2024?

April 9, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Will Housing Prices Hit the Bottom in 2024?

As we navigate through the complexities of the current housing market, a question on many minds is whether home prices in the United States will hit bottom in 2024. The housing market is influenced by a myriad of factors, including economic trends, interest rates, supply and demand dynamics, and broader societal shifts.

In 2024, experts are forecasting a diverse range of outcomes for the housing market. The market is expected to continue grappling with high home prices and elevated interest rates, which have been a significant barrier to affordability. Fannie Mae's chief economist suggests that inflation data and strong payroll numbers could exert additional upward pressure on mortgage rates this year, potentially affecting home prices.

On the other hand, some predict a gradual thaw in the housing market, with mortgage rates slowly falling and home prices stabilizing. This forecast suggests that while buyers and sellers may become more active, the overall price levels should hold steady, avoiding any drastic bottoming out.

Bankrate's analysis indicates a modest rise in median home prices, with an expected increase of 1.4 percent to $395,100 in 2024, followed by another 2.6 percent to $405,200 in 2025. This aligns with HousingWire's forecast, which anticipates a slight rise in U.S. home prices by 2.33% in 2024.

Zillow's outlook, however, presents a slightly different picture, suggesting a 0.2% decrease in home values nationally, indicating a trend towards market stability rather than a significant drop.

These predictions highlight the uncertainty and variability inherent in the housing market. While some experts foresee a leveling off of prices, others anticipate continued growth, albeit at a slower pace. The consensus seems to be that while the market may not hit a definitive bottom in 2024, a stabilization phase is likely, with regional variations playing a crucial role in the overall picture.

Will Housing Prices Hit the Bottom in 2024?

As we delve deeper into the projections for the US housing market in 2024, it's important to understand the underlying factors that may influence these outcomes. The housing market is a reflection of broader economic conditions, and as such, it is subject to the ebbs and flows of economic cycles.

One of the key factors that could impact the housing market is the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The Fed's decisions on interest rates can significantly affect mortgage rates, influencing both homebuyers' borrowing costs and the overall demand for housing. If the Fed opts for a more aggressive rate hike to combat inflation, this could lead to higher mortgage rates, potentially cooling down the housing market and affecting home prices.

Another crucial element is the state of the job market. Employment levels and wage growth are directly tied to the ability of consumers to purchase homes. A strong job market with rising wages could bolster the housing market, supporting stable or even increasing home prices. Conversely, a downturn in employment could lead to a decrease in demand, possibly contributing to a drop in home prices.

The supply side of the equation also cannot be ignored. The availability of housing inventory, or lack thereof, has been a persistent issue in many parts of the US. An increase in new construction could help meet the demand and stabilize prices, while a continued shortage could keep prices elevated, even if other economic indicators suggest a downturn.

Demographic trends are another factor to watch. Millennials, now in their prime homebuying years, have shown different homeownership patterns compared to previous generations. Their preferences, financial situations, and lifestyle choices will play a significant role in shaping the housing market's direction.

Lastly, technological advancements and the rise of remote work could alter the traditional dynamics of the housing market. As more people have the flexibility to work from anywhere, there could be a shift in demand from urban centers to suburban or rural areas, potentially affecting home prices regionally.

The bottom line: While the predictions for the US housing market in 2024 vary, it is clear that a multitude of factors will influence its trajectory. Potential homebuyers and sellers should remain attentive to these variables and consider how they may impact their real estate decisions. The market may not hit a definitive bottom, but signs point towards a period of stabilization, with regional differences playing a significant role. As always, it is advisable to stay informed and seek professional advice when navigating the ever-changing landscape of real estate.

Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: Housing Market

The Shifting Landscape of the Housing Market

April 9, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

The Shifting Landscape of the Housing Market: NAR's 2023 Report

Every year, the National Association of REALTORS® delves into the dynamics of the real estate landscape through its comprehensive Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. The 2023 report unveils intriguing trends that spotlight the evolving nature of the housing market.

Rising Income Dynamics in the Housing Market

For those navigating the competitive realm of real estate, **household incomes** became crucial. Despite escalating home prices and interest rates, successful home buyers experienced a significant uptick in their financial capabilities. Notably, first-time buyers witnessed a staggering $25,000 increase in their household incomes, reflecting the challenges they overcame to enter the market.

Empowered Home Buyers and their Downpayments

As the housing market grapples with limited inventory and multiple offers, successful home buyers showcased their financial prowess through substantial **downpayments**. This surge is fueled by wealthier repeat buyers leveraging housing equity, enabling them to invest more in their next property. The downpayment figures reached a two-decade high, underscoring the resilience of those navigating the competitive landscape.

According to the 2022 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, the share of first-time home buyers saw an unexpected rise despite challenges such as limited inventory and eroding housing affordability. The historically low share of 26% in 2022 experienced a rebound, hinting at a potential resurgence for first-time buyers. The slight dip in market competition provided an opportunity for these buyers to cautiously re-enter the housing fray.

first-time home buyers
Source: NAR

Changing Demographics: Singles on the Rise

Marriage rates are on a decline, and this shift reverberates in the housing market. The percentage of **singles**, especially single women, has risen to 29%, while married couples have decreased to 59% from a high of 81% in the 1980s. This shift brings forth differences in the preferences of single buyers concerning home size and neighborhood amenities.

Another noteworthy demographic shift is the decreasing share of buyers with children under 18 in their homes, dropping to a historic low of 30%. This change is attributed to older repeat buyers, a decline in birth rates, and delayed family planning. Consequently, this alteration influences neighborhood preferences and the frequency of home moves, aligning with changing family dynamics.

The Surge of Multi-generational Living

A significant trend identified is the rise in **multi-generational buying**, with 14% of home buyers opting for multi-generational homes. This includes housing elderly relatives, adult children over 18, or diverse family compositions for both cost savings and the desire for more spacious living arrangements. Post-COVID-19, families are prioritizing proximity and support, with living together emerging as an effective means to achieve this.

Reversion to Pre-COVID-19 Trends: Distance Moved and Location Choices

After a spike to 50 miles in 2022, the average distance moved seems to be reverting to pre-COVID-19 patterns, settling at a still-elevated 20 miles. Homebuyers are also transitioning back to suburban areas from small towns and rural locations. This shift is attributed to CEOs favoring in-person office time, last year's buyers seeking proximity to city centers, and the increased purchasing power of buyers this year.

The Integral Role of Real Estate Professionals

The report underscores the importance of **real estate agents and brokers** in the home buying and selling process. An overwhelming 89% of both home buyers and sellers relied on professionals to navigate the complexities of the real estate market. Buyers seek agents who can guide them not only in finding the right home but also in negotiating and understanding the market. Sellers, on the other hand, value agents for their expertise in pricing, marketing, and securing qualified buyers within specified timeframes.

Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: Housing Market

Rents Continue to Rise in the United States

April 8, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Rents Continue to Rise in the United States

The rental market trends reflect the dynamic nature of the economy and the housing sector. Rents have witnessed a mix of fluctuations, with some regions experiencing a rise in rental prices while others see a stabilization or even a decrease.

Nationally:

  • Rent prices have risen steadily over the past few years, with a major spike in 2021. However, the growth rate has slowed down in 2023 and early 2024. As of February 2024, rents are around 2.25% higher than a year ago (Rent.com).

Compared to pre-pandemic:

  • Rents are still significantly higher than they were before the pandemic. Nationally, they're about 29.9% more expensive (NerdWallet).

Variation by location:

  • Rent prices vary greatly depending on the location. Some states, like Hawaii and California, have much higher rents than others, like West Virginia (Time).

On a national level, rent prices have seen an increase of 2.25 percent from February 2023 to February 2024, with the median price of an apartment reaching $1,981. This increment marks a notable change from the previous five months, where rent prices either fell or remained flat. The factors influencing this rise include the pressure from the housing market, significant annual gains in home prices, and a bump in inflation, which complicates the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates.

Zillow's rental market summary echoes this sentiment, indicating a median rent for all bedrooms and property types in the US at $2,080 as of April 2024. This figure represents a month-over-month change of +$50, although it's a year-over-year decrease of -$70. The data suggests a market that is adjusting after the unprecedented rental price spikes during the pandemic era, seeking a new equilibrium in the post-pandemic world.

Regionally, the Northeast and Midwest have been at the forefront of rental gains. The Northeast, in particular, has seen the largest regional increase of 5.3 percent year-over-year, with current rents at their highest since August of 2023. The Midwest also recorded a rise in rents, albeit offering the most affordable prices compared to other regions in the nation.

In contrast, the West has experienced a slight decline in median rents by one-tenth of a percent year-on-year, attributed to an oversupply of housing inventory in Southwest and Mountain West metros. This indicates a cooling period for a region that previously saw peak rental prices.

The rental market's temperature is gauged by renter demand compared to the national average. A hot market signifies increasing demand, which can lead to higher rents. As of now, the US rental market aligns with the national median, suggesting a balanced state between supply and demand.

Notable Rent Trends

According to Zumper, in March, the national rates for both one and two-bedrooms experienced growth on a monthly basis for the first time in 6 months. This rate increase aligns with the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, indicating that inflation is persisting longer than expected. The recent uptick shown in Zumper’s National Rent Index suggests that even more pressure will be put on the CPI in the coming months.

  • Arizona Markets: Heavily supplied markets in Arizona continue to see prices cool, with all cities in the state's report either having flat or declining annual rent rates.
  • New York City: This city had the largest annual rent price growth rate in the nation, up 25%.

National Rent Rates

Both one-bedroom and two-bedroom national rates increased on a monthly basis for the first time in 6 months. The one-bedroom rent increased 0.3% to $1,487, while two-bedrooms grew 0.5% to $1,847. Annually, Zumper’s national rates have remained relatively flat with one-bedrooms down 0.5% and two-bedrooms up 0.8%.

Inflation and Rent Rates

After a stabilization over the last 6 months, the most recent CPI data revealed that rates increased again in February, suggesting that inflation is persisting. Shelter, along with energy, was the most significant contributor to the uptick. Zumper’s National Rent Index serves as a leading indicator of shelter CPI, suggesting more pressure on the CPI in the coming months.

Regional Variances

Arizona: Heavily supplied markets in Arizona continue to see prices cool, with all 6 cities in the report either having flat or declining rents.

New York City: Rent climbed 25% annually, leading the nation in rent price growth. Other Midwest and Northeast markets also experienced significant year-over-year growth rates.

Looking ahead, experts predict that the US rental market will continue to be influenced by factors such as changing demographics, lifestyle preferences, and shifts in urbanization. These elements will likely sustain demand, especially in urban centers and metropolitan areas, potentially leading to higher demand for rentals in these locations.

In summary, the US rental market in 2024 presents a complex picture, with various factors at play influencing rental prices. While some areas see growth, others are stabilizing, indicating a market that is continually adapting to the economic and social changes of our times. For renters and investors alike, staying informed and agile will be key to navigating the rental landscape of 2024.

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate

The Resurgence of Foreign Investment in US Real Estate

April 8, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

The Resurgence of Foreign Investment in US Real Estate

The landscape of U.S. real estate is experiencing a significant shift as foreign investors return with renewed interest. After a period of decline during the height of the pandemic, the latter half of 2021 marked a turning point with a substantial increase in foreign capital inflow. This resurgence is not just a rebound but a reconfiguration of investment patterns and preferences.

In 2021, nearly $809 billion was invested into U.S. commercial properties, surpassing the previous year by over 80% and setting a new record high. This surge in investment activity reflects a growing optimism around income growth and the stable yields offered by the U.S. real estate sector. Despite broader economic concerns, the sector has regained its appeal among investors, particularly domestic ones.

However, the story for foreign investors unfolded differently. Their presence in the U.S. real estate market had dwindled to as low as 7% of total deal activity during the pandemic, a stark contrast to the pre-pandemic years where they accounted for up to 20% of the investment activity. The lifting of travel restrictions and the rollout of vaccines in the second half of 2021 saw a $53 billion increase in foreign investment, signaling a strong comeback.

The trend continued into 2022, with foreign buyers purchasing $59 billion worth of U.S. existing homes, an 8.5% increase from the previous year. This growth ended a three-year decline in foreign investment in U.S. residential real estate and highlighted the enduring attractiveness of the U.S. market.

The shift in investment patterns is also evident in the types of properties and locations being targeted. Foreign investors are now looking beyond traditional hotspots and exploring suburban areas and detached single-family homes. This change in preference could be attributed to the evolving lifestyle and work patterns post-pandemic.

Moreover, the commercial real estate market saw a 49% increase in foreign investor acquisitions in 2021, with an estimated $57.7 billion invested. This recovery has been broad-based, with apartment buildings and land attracting the strongest interest.

The growing demand for U.S. real estate by foreign investors is reshaping the market and creating new opportunities. Mortgage brokers and financial advisors are capitalizing on this trend, offering specialized services to cater to the unique needs of international clients. As the U.S. real estate market continues to evolve, it remains a pivotal arena for global investment, promising stability and growth in a world still navigating the aftermath of a global crisis.

The Growing Demand for US Real Estate by Foreign Investors

Last year, we observed a significant trend: the growing demand for U.S. real estate by foreign investors. Despite a challenging global economic climate, the United States has remained a beacon for real estate investment, offering stability and potential for appreciation.

A midyear review by CBRE highlighted a resilient economy and persistent inflation, which delayed the forecasted recession, thereby extending the recovery in commercial real estate investment volume into 2024. This resilience has been attractive to foreign investors looking for secure investment opportunities amidst global uncertainty.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston‘s research shed light on the underappreciated impacts of foreign investment, particularly from Chinese buyers in the California real estate market. The influx, tied to the loosening of China's capital controls, has had substantial local economic effects, including increased employment and property values, albeit with the displacement of lower-income residents.

Savills Impacts‘ 2023 outlook suggested that with economic forecasts for the U.S. being more optimistic than those for Europe and Asia, foreign investors are expected to become more active in the region. This aligns with the observed 6% increase in foreign purchases of U.S. real estate, indicating a growing interest in real estate investment for various purposes.

However, it's not all upward trends. The increase in U.S. interest rates, which rose significantly in 2023, has led to a decrease in the amount of money foreign nationals spent on U.S. real estate compared to 2022. This indicates that while interest remains, the cost of capital is a significant factor influencing investment decisions.

In conclusion, the U.S. real estate has been a landscape of contrasts. On one hand, there's a growing demand from foreign investors, driven by the search for stable and profitable investment opportunities. On the other, economic policies and interest rates have tempered this demand, reminding us that the real estate market is sensitive to a multitude of global and domestic factors.

As we look towards the future, it's clear that the U.S. will continue to be a key player in the global real estate market, with foreign investment playing a significant role in shaping its trajectory. For more detailed insights and the full reports, you can visit the respective sources.

Filed Under: Real Estate, Real Estate Investing

Fannie Mae’s Housing Market Forecast for 2024 and 2025

April 2, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Fannie Mae's Housing Market Forecast for 2024 and 2025

Fannie Mae has revised its forecast for 2024. In the wake of turbulent oscillations and a deviation from historical norms, the housing and mortgage markets are anticipated to revert to a more typical pattern in 2024. The volatility in mortgage rates and lingering effects of the pandemic resulted in an unusual juxtaposition in 2023: the lowest pace of existing home sales since the Great Financial Crisis, depressed mortgage originations, yet robust new home construction and solid home price growth.

Several dynamics prevalent in 2023, including stretched affordability, the “lock-in effect,” and limited supply, are expected to persist into 2024. However, the projection indicates that moderating mortgage rates, a decelerating economy, and diminishing effects from the 2020-21 period's surge in home purchase activity will lead to a thawing of the existing homes market.

This, in turn, is anticipated to prompt a shift towards a more balanced housing market. The forecast suggests a recovery in existing home sales, moderated home price growth, and a stabilized level of new home construction. Growth in mortgage originations is also expected, with a total single-family mortgage originations forecast of $1.98 trillion in 2024 and $2.44 trillion in 2025, marking an increase from $1.50 trillion in 2023.

Despite the recent easing in financial conditions, the macroeconomic backdrop still indicates below-trend growth and a heightened level of uncertainty. Notably, the expectation of a 2024 recession has been removed from the baseline forecast, reflecting a more optimistic outlook.

Forecast Shows Moderation in Home Price Growth in 2024

As per the Fannie Mae Home Price Index, home prices concluded 2023 with a 7.1 percent increase on a Q4/Q4 basis. This robust pace of growth, amid rising mortgage rates and worsening affordability conditions, is noteworthy. While the moderation in mortgage rates is anticipated to support home prices, historical challenges in affordability are expected to persist. Coupled with a cooling labor market, the ability of homebuyers to drive prices upward is foreseen to be more limited.

The anticipated unfreezing of the existing home sales market and an increase in the supply of new homes are expected to alleviate market pressures. A potential decline in multifamily rents across the country is also likely to make renting multifamily units more favorable, thereby reducing the upward pressure on single-family home prices.

Thawing of the Existing Home Sales Market

Despite expected stretched affordability and a tight supply of homes for sale, a decline in mortgage rates is predicted to initiate the thawing of the existing home sales market. This market was hindered in 2023 by strong lock-in effects. The trend of homebuyers and sellers in 2020 and 2021 advancing their moving plans to capitalize on low mortgage rates and remote working options is expected to diminish over time. As this effect wanes, coupled with existing homeowners who delayed moves in 2023 due to high mortgage rates, an increase in home sales is anticipated.

While a sluggish pace of existing home sales is still foreseen due to affordability challenges and limited supply, successive quarterly sales increases are projected in 2024. Sales are expected to conclude the year around 4.5 million annualized units in Q4, compared to the year low of around 3.8 million annualized units in Q4 2023. The annual forecast indicates a 3.1 percent rise in existing sales for 2024.

Single-Family Home Construction Strengthens, Multifamily Takes a Pause

The resilience of single-family home construction throughout much of 2023 surpassed expectations. While the unfreezing of the existing sales market is expected to bring balance to homebuyer interest in both new and existing homes, the overall housing stock remains limited compared to historical demographic trends. This limitation stems from a decade of underbuilding following the financial crisis. The peak first-time homebuying age for Millennials also continues for a few more years, contributing to sustained demand.

Recent data on residential housing construction employment indicates an expanding homebuilding industry. Consequently, the projection is for new construction to maintain its strength, with a forecast indicating that 2024 single-family housing starts will be 5.7 percent higher than those in 2023.

In contrast, the slowdown observed in multifamily construction in 2023 is anticipated to persist into 2024. Weak rent growth, influenced by a historically high influx of new supply into the market, is a key factor. Despite the overall scarcity of housing supply, 2024 is projected to be a breather following the rapid pace of starts in 2022. The forecast for the year indicates a significant decline, with multifamily housing starts expected to fall by 18.3 percent in 2024.

Insights into Homebuying Demographics and Industry Expansion

Millennials, a significant cohort in the homebuying demographic, continue to be at the peak first-time homebuying age. This demographic trend, combined with sustained underbuilding over the past decade, contributes to the persistent demand for single-family homes.

Moreover, recent data on residential housing construction employment indicates a positive trend in the homebuilding industry. The expansion in employment within this sector reinforces the expectation of a robust single-family home construction market in 2024.

Challenges in Multifamily Construction and Rent Dynamics

The multifamily housing sector faces challenges, with a slowdown in construction expected to extend into 2024. Weak rent growth, attributed to a substantial influx of new supply, is a contributing factor. Although the overall housing supply remains insufficient, the forecast suggests a temporary slowdown in multifamily housing starts during 2024.

While a breather is expected in 2024, the long-term outlook for multifamily construction remains positive over the next five years. The ongoing scarcity of housing supply is likely to drive solid multifamily construction beyond 2024.

In summary, the housing market in 2024 presents a nuanced landscape, with single-family home construction maintaining strength, driven by demographic trends and industry expansion, while multifamily construction takes a brief pause, responding to rent dynamics and the recent surge in supply.

Filed Under: Housing Market, Trending News Tagged With: Fannie Mae, Housing Market

Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House: Freddie Mac’s Forecast

April 2, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House: Freddie Mac's Forecast

A home purchase is a monumental financial decision that requires careful consideration. Determining the right time to buy depends on various factors, including your financial situation, interest rates, and negotiating power. To gain insight into current market conditions, Freddie Mac provides monthly economic outlooks that analyze the housing market's present state and expectations for the future.

Current Market Conditions

Home Prices:

Freddie’s Forecast predicts that home prices will experience an increase in 2024, albeit at a slower pace than the previous year. The importance of this lies in the fact that home values generally appreciate over time, making homeownership a secure investment and a means to build wealth.

In the latter half of 2023, home prices surged, driven by a persistent shortage of housing supply and existing homeowners reluctant to sell due to favorable mortgage rates. Looking ahead to 2024, Freddie Mac anticipates a slower economy with modest improvements in housing supply and mortgage rates, resulting in home prices rising at half the speed of 2023.

Mortgage Rates:

According to Freddie’s Forecast, mortgage rates are expected to witness a steady decline throughout 2024 but remain within the 6% to 7% range. Monitoring mortgage rates is crucial, as lenders determine your rate based on market conditions, and slight differences can significantly impact your monthly payments.

While mortgage rates reached a two-decade high in October 2023, there has been a consistent decline since then. The expectation for further declines in 2024 brings favorable news for potential homebuyers, providing them with a more conducive borrowing environment.

Housing Supply:

Freddie’s Forecast indicates that housing supply will continue to be a challenge until more homes are built or mortgage rates decrease further. The interplay between demand, home prices, and mortgage rates is a crucial dynamic. When demand surpasses the available homes for sale, prices tend to rise.

While the monthly supply of homes has increased, reflecting the highest levels since January 2023, the market remains tilted in favor of sellers. A supply-demand imbalance persists, emphasizing the need for more homes to enter the market, either through new construction or existing homes being listed for sale.

Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy?

The Verdict: Yes, but with potential improvements ahead.

What to Know: Current market conditions indicate a thawing of the previously frozen housing market. In 2024, the growth in home prices is expected to slow, mortgage rates are down from their recent peak and likely to stabilize. However, the overall housing supply remains a challenge. To fully overcome the freeze, a decrease in rates and increased incentives for current homeowners to sell are crucial.

How to Prepare for Homeownership

Successfully transitioning into homeownership requires careful preparation. Here are essential steps to ensure you are ready when the time is right:

  • Understand Your Affordability: Estimate how much home you can afford by considering factors such as monthly income, current interest rates, debt, and credit history. Most lenders recommend spending no more than 28% of your monthly income on your mortgage payment.
  • Set a Savings Goal: Establish a savings goal for your down payment. Contrary to the myth of a 20% down payment requirement, some loan products allow down payments as low as 3%. Keep in mind that a smaller down payment results in a larger monthly payment.
  • Build Your Homebuying Team: Assemble a team of experienced professionals, including a housing counselor, real estate agent, and lender. Each plays a vital role in guiding you through the homebuying process, ensuring informed decisions and avoiding common pitfalls.

By following these steps and staying informed about market conditions, you can position yourself for successful and sustainable homeownership.

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market

Top 10 Housing Markets Where Homes Sold Fastest

April 1, 2024 by Marco Santarelli

Top 10 Housing Markets Where Homes Are Selling Faster in 2023

The U.S. housing market, despite some slowdown, remains a race for eager buyers keen on sealing property deals. A blend of soaring mortgage rates, historic lows in available homes, and determined buyers striving for homeownership has quickened homebuying across the nation.

The Rush to Beat the Competition

Nationally, the median home listing is spending 49 days on the market as of the first week of October, as per a comprehensive analysis by Realtor.com. This is only slightly less than the same period last year. However, specific regions are witnessing homes selling at a significantly accelerated pace compared to the previous year, where buyers lack the luxury of time, and sellers can expect swift transactions.

median days on market
Credits: Realtor.com

Eager Homebuyers in Diverse Markets

Realtor.com identified a mix of markets, spanning from the Northeast to the Southwest, where homes are changing hands swiftly. These include both affordable and high-priced markets, such as Buffalo, NY, and Oxnard, CA. Despite affordability challenges affecting demand, a pool of eager homebuyers is actively seeking opportunities despite the low inventory of available homes.

The Impact of Climbing Mortgage Rates

Climbing mortgage rates have stirred concerns among potential buyers and sellers. Despite this, appropriately priced homes in desirable locations continue to sell briskly. The uncertainty surrounding mortgage rates has urged buyers to act swiftly to secure homes and lock in rates before potential increases.

Top 10 Housing Markets Where Homes Were Selling Faster in 2023

1. Buffalo, NY: Leading the Speed Race

At the forefront of this trend is Buffalo, NY, where the median days on the market stand at 50. This represents a remarkable 13-day decrease from the previous year, indicating a surge in the housing market. Homebuyers in Buffalo are acting swiftly, fearing further rate hikes and aiming to secure a deal promptly.

Key Metrics for Buffalo, NY:

  • Median list price: $239,900
  • Median days on the market: 50
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 13 days faster

With home prices considerably below the national average and tight inventory, the Buffalo market is witnessing a significant rise in demand.

2. Phoenix, AZ: A Hotspot for Homebuyers

Phoenix, despite enduring scorching desert temperatures for a significant part of the year, remains a hotbed for homebuyers. The metro has witnessed accelerated home sales, with properties selling almost two weeks faster than the previous year. Factors like minimal natural disasters and a robust real estate market contribute to this demand.

Key Metrics for Phoenix, AZ:

  • Median list price: $475,000
  • Median days on the market: 78
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 13 days faster

Luxury homes are particularly in demand, selling faster than those below $1 million. Cash buyers dominate this segment, less affected by mortgage rate hikes, thereby keeping this part of the market active.

3. Oxnard, CA: Coastal Appeal and Rapid Sales

Situated along the Pacific coast, the Oxnard metro, including Thousand Oaks and Ventura, is known for its beautiful beaches and a thriving agricultural industry. Homes are selling swiftly, with a 7% increase in the median list price compared to the previous year.

Key Metrics for Oxnard, CA:

  • Median list price: $875,000
  • Median days on the market: 57
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 11 days faster

Despite the higher median prices, the appeal of this coastal region attracts buyers seeking waterfront views and a pleasant lifestyle.

4. Boise, ID: A Market Rebounding

Boise, Idaho, known for its outdoor recreation and favorable climate, saw a surge in demand during the COVID-19 pandemic as urban residents sought a change. While rising interest rates caused a temporary slowdown, the market has rebounded.

Key Metrics for Boise, ID:

  • Median list price: $519,900
  • Median days on the market: 72
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 9.5 days faster

The median home sale in this growing metro is almost 10 days faster than the previous year, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance and declining inventory, ultimately driving faster sales and rising prices.

5. Las Vegas, NV: Entertainment and Accelerated Sales

Las Vegas, a city known for its entertainment and low taxes, has long attracted retirees and individuals seeking an escape from harsh winters. Despite a history of real estate market fluctuations, Las Vegas is currently experiencing a surge in housing demand.

Key Metrics for Las Vegas, NV:

  • Median list price: $449,999
  • Median days on the market: 56
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 9 days faster

After the housing crash of 2008 and a slowdown due to rising interest rates in 2022, the market has rebounded. Homes are now selling about a week faster than the national median, reflecting renewed demand and improved market conditions.

6. Bridgeport, CT: Affluent Living and Swift Sales

The Bridgeport metro, located near New York City, is renowned for its affluent living and attractive real estate market. Despite higher median prices, homes in this area are selling over a week faster than the previous year, indicating sustained demand amidst limited supply.

Key Metrics for Bridgeport, CT:

  • Median list price: $795,000
  • Median days on the market: 74
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 8 days faster

Offering a mix of attractive properties, including four-bedroom homes, this metro remains appealing, especially with the rise of hybrid work models and increased flexibility.

7. Harrisburg, PA: Rapid Sales in Central Pennsylvania

Harrisburg, located in Central Pennsylvania, boasts the quickest average time-on-market among the listed places. The market here is fueled by limited inventory and high demand, resulting in homes being sold swiftly, attracting both buyers and sellers.

Key Metrics for Harrisburg, PA:

  • Median list price: $309,900
  • Median days on the market: 46
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 8 days faster

The record low number of homes for sale in Harrisburg has intensified competition among buyers, making it an opportune time for sellers to list their properties and facilitate quicker sales.

8. Springfield, MA: Historical Charm and Affordable Homes

Springfield, located along the Connecticut River, is a city steeped in history, known as the “Birthplace of Basketball.” With a rich industrial heritage and the influence of the Springfield Armory, this city offers attractive home prices, about 25% below the national average.

Key Metrics for Springfield, MA:

  • Median list price: $319,000
  • Median days on the market: 53
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 7 days faster

Despite rising mortgage rates, demand remains high due to these affordable home prices, making it an appealing option for potential buyers.

9. Cleveland, OH: Affordable Homes and Cultural Richness

Cleveland, situated against the southern shore of Lake Erie, is renowned for its affordability, making it the most budget-friendly metro on this list. The city offers a multitude of homes priced below $200,000, attracting a diverse range of buyers.

Key Metrics for Cleveland, OH:

  • Median list price: $199,000
  • Median days on the market: 48
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 6 days faster

The city's economic diversification and urban revitalization initiatives have bolstered demand, further fueled by the attractive pricing of properties.

10. Portland, ME: Coastal Charm and High Demand

Portland, known for its rugged coastline and vibrant food scene, attracts buyers seeking quality living in a picturesque setting. Despite prices approximately 25% higher than the national average, homes in Portland are selling faster than the previous year, indicating sustained demand.

Key Metrics for Portland, ME:

  • Median list price: $549,900
  • Median days on the market: 51
  • Year-over-year change in median days: 6 days faster

With a range of housing options, including waterfront properties, Portland offers a lifestyle that continues to entice both primary residence and vacation home buyers.

Looking Ahead

“Buyers are thinking, ‘I need to make an offer either the day a home goes on the market or soon after, so I can get my home and lock in a rate before it goes up,'” says Matthew Roland, assistant dean at the University of Buffalo’s Department of Urban and Regional Planning. He hopes for potential rate decreases to bolster inventory in the coming months.

Filed Under: Housing Market, Trending News Tagged With: Housing Market News, Real Estate News

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