investing in real estate Archives

False Housing Bottom

July 7, 2009 by Marco Santarelli

Everyone is awaiting the miracle signal of a housing bottom. False media-hyped-market-predictions are certain to play an important role in each of our lives. Listed below are a few of the recent indicators that present opportunities for newscasters to call a market improvement or decline.

May annualized sales pace of home resales expected by NAR are 4.8 million, down 33% from our 2005 peak.
Annualized new home sales expected for 2009 are 360,000, down 72% from our 2005 peak.
Depending on your location, average mean home prices are down by 5% to 38% from the 2005/2006 peaks. May 2008 to May 2009 has the worst statistic with a decline of 14.9% on average.
Commerce Department reported a sales drop of 0.6 percent in new home sales in May.
Sales of existing home sales rose by 2.4 % from April to May 2009. This represents the third monthly increase this year.
The number of unsold homes inventory fell 3.5% in May. This means there is a 9.6 month supply of property at the current sales pace. Normal market is 6 months or fewer, however the 3.5% improvement shows signs of market turnaround.
The worst hit markets are showing inventory improvements. For instance, California has market supply of inventory for average priced homes at a 6 month level. These levels signify a market bottom.

Enough of statistics, the numbers confuse the best economists, let alone you. The bottom line is that real estate has market cycles. What goes up, has its time to go down, and then to stabilize. For those of you who enjoy analogies, we are in the 9^th inning of this market downturn. Our next game is market stabilization (usually a 3 year time period). This means prices are somewhat flat while demand and supply equalize.

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Grow Your Real Estate Business With Independent Contractors

May 28, 2009 by Marco Santarelli

Seven Reasons You Want to Use Independent Contractors To Grow Your Business

There are dozens, maybe hundreds, of strategies that we've used successfully over the years to save our clients taxes. One such strategy is to use Independent Contractors to build your business. I'm going to cut right to chase here and just jump into this.

Reason #1: It's easier to ramp up your business

You can contract with Independent Contractors (ICs) for short term, month-to-month work or just by project. You don't have to worry about training them or providing tools for them to work with.

There is an assumption that they can hit the ground running. If they can't, the worst case is you've tried it out for only 30 days. You didn't have to invest time in training them and providing salary & benefits during this time. They either can perform, or not. If they don't, they're gone.

Reason #2: It's easier to change the business model if you need to change quickly

If your real estate investing business goes down, it's a lot easier to stop using an IC than it is letting an employee go. Besides the emotional issues of letting go an employee who depends on you completely for their income, there are also legal and benefit issues. You might be forced to cover the employees under the new COBRA laws. Your unemployment rates will go up. [Read more…]

How to Keep a Positive Perspective in a Negative Market

May 26, 2009 by Marco Santarelli

I am sure you've heard the expression, “Attitude is everything.” This is very true. Right now, it's simply your attitude and mentality that will give you the edge over others who are trying to invest in real estate in this highly volatile market.

You've undoubtedly heard the importance of thinking positive and having the right attitude. Most people are intelligent enough to know that this statement is true. Some people reading this will argue that a positive attitude doesn't always work. Well, maybe not, but I know one thing for sure – negative thinking and a negative attitude NEVER works! So your only choice and your only chance for success in this market are to pick the positive things in life and maintain a positive attitude at all times.

I once read a fortune cookie that said, “An optimist is someone who tells you to cheer up when things are going his way”. I know that if you are reading this article, times may be difficult and you need serious answers to your burning questions such as, “How do I profit in a slow market?” There are many answers to this question, but first I need to impart to you some relative perspective.

A History Lesson on Real Estate Cycles

About every ten to twelve years, as an average, real estate values tend to double in most major metropolitan areas. For example, in the 1920's, the original colonial homes sold for just under $2,500 in Long Island, New York. Since then, real estate prices have doubled almost eight times over the last 80 years. That averages out to a 100% increase approximately every ten years. An interesting note to this is that about every ten to twelve years, real estate values must correct before they enter their next “doubling cycle”. [Read more…]