Norada Real Estate Investments

What is Trump’s Plan for Privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?

by

Donald Trump's renewed interest in privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has reignited a long-standing debate about the future of the U.S. housing market. In short, the plan to free Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac likely means increased risk and potential instability in the housing market, at least in the short term. The impact on homeowners, buyers, and the overall economy could be substantial depending on how privatization is executed. Let's dive deeper into what this could entail.

What is Trump's Plan Regarding the Privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?

Why Should You Care About Fannie and Freddie?

Before we get into the nitty-gritty, let's understand why Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are so important. Think of them as the unsung heroes (or villains, depending on your perspective) of the mortgage world. They don't directly lend money to you and me, but they buy mortgages from lenders, package them into mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and sell them to investors. This process does a few crucial things:

  • Keeps money flowing: By buying mortgages, they replenish lenders' funds, allowing them to issue more loans.
  • Makes mortgages more affordable: Their guarantee reduces the risk for investors, which translates to lower interest rates for borrowers.
  • Standardizes mortgage lending: They set guidelines for the types of mortgages they'll buy, which encourages consistent lending practices across the country.

Essentially, they make sure there's enough money available for people to buy homes and that those homes are reasonably priced. They currently back around 70% of the mortgages in the US.

A Quick History Lesson: The 2008 Crisis and Conservatorship

To really grasp what’s at stake with Trump's plan, we need to rewind to the 2008 financial crisis. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were major players in the subprime mortgage market. When the housing bubble burst, they were holding a ton of risky loans that went bad. To prevent a complete collapse of the housing market, the government stepped in and placed them into conservatorship.

This meant the government took control, injected billions of dollars to keep them afloat, and essentially guaranteed their obligations. Since then, they've been operating under government oversight, slowly rebuilding their capital reserves.

What's the Plan Now? Deeper Dive

Now, let's get to Trump's plan. While the details remain a bit hazy, the basic idea is to end government control and return Fannie and Freddie to private ownership. This could involve:

  • Releasing them from conservatorship: Letting them operate independently without government oversight.
  • Recapitalizing: Allowing them to raise capital from private investors to build up their financial strength.
  • Adjusting their business model: Potentially limiting their role in the mortgage market to focus on specific types of loans.

The motivation behind this push seems to be a desire to reduce the government's role in the housing market and promote a more competitive environment. It is aimed at removing the implicit government backing that the entities currently have. However, the mechanics of how this will work are not clear, especially since previous attempts to legislate this have failed.

What Are the Potential Impacts? The Good, the Bad, and the Uncertain

Privatizing Fannie and Freddie is a complex issue with potentially far-reaching consequences. Here's a look at some of the key areas that could be affected:

1. Mortgage Rates:

  • The Concern: Without government backing, investors may demand higher returns for investing in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). This could lead to higher mortgage rates for borrowers.
  • The Optimistic View: A more efficient, privately-run Fannie and Freddie could potentially innovate and reduce costs, which could offset some of the upward pressure on rates.
  • My Take: I think mortgage rates will likely increase, at least initially. It is very difficult for private players to replicate the same guarantees without increasing the costs, and this increased costs will likely be passed on to the homeowners.

2. Mortgage Availability:

  • The Concern: A more cautious, privately-owned Fannie and Freddie might tighten lending standards, making it harder for some people to qualify for a mortgage.
  • The Optimistic View: Private companies may be more willing to take on innovative lending products that could help more people access homeownership.
  • My Take: I think the initial reaction will be conservative, as lenders become more risk-averse.

3. Housing Prices:

  • The Concern: Higher mortgage rates and tighter lending standards could cool down the housing market, leading to slower price growth or even price declines.
  • The Optimistic View: A more stable and predictable mortgage market could lead to more sustainable home price growth in the long run.
  • My Take: While a dramatic crash seems unlikely, I expect a period of price stabilization or modest declines in some markets.

4. Taxpayer Risk:

  • The Concern: Without government backing, Fannie and Freddie could potentially fail again, requiring another taxpayer bailout.
  • The Optimistic View: Privatization could eliminate the risk of future bailouts, shifting the risk to private investors.
  • My Take: This is the biggest potential benefit. If done right, privatization could protect taxpayers from future losses. But it also means the housing market is more exposed to market forces.

5. The Role of Community Banks:

  • The Concern: Smaller community banks may find it harder to compete with larger, private institutions, potentially reducing access to credit in some areas.
  • The Optimistic View: A more diverse mortgage market could create new opportunities for community banks to specialize in specific types of loans.
  • My Take: This is a valid concern. Regulations need to ensure that smaller lenders can still participate in the market.

Here's a quick summary in table format:

Impact Area Potential Concern Potential Benefit
Mortgage Rates Higher rates due to increased risk Lower rates due to efficiency gains
Mortgage Availability Tighter lending standards More innovative lending products
Housing Prices Slower growth or price declines More sustainable price growth
Taxpayer Risk Potential for future bailouts Elimination of bailout risk
Community Banks Reduced access to credit in some areas New opportunities for specialized lending

Who Benefits, and Who Loses?

Privatization will likely create winners and losers:

  • Winners:
    • Private investors: Could profit from investing in a privatized Fannie and Freddie.
    • Taxpayers (potentially): Could be shielded from future bailouts.
  • Losers (potentially):
    • Homebuyers: Could face higher mortgage rates and tighter lending standards.
    • Homeowners: Could see slower home price appreciation.
    • Smaller lenders: Could struggle to compete with larger institutions.

The Million-Dollar Question: How Will It Be Done?

The biggest uncertainty surrounding Trump's plan is how it will be implemented. There are several key questions that need to be addressed:

  • What kind of regulatory framework will be put in place? Strong regulation is needed to prevent excessive risk-taking.
  • Will there be any form of government guarantee? A limited government backstop could help stabilize the market during times of crisis.
  • How will they be recapitalized? The method of recapitalization could affect the value of existing Fannie and Freddie shares.

The answers to these questions will ultimately determine the success or failure of the plan.

My Personal Thoughts and Concerns

Having followed the housing market for many years, I have mixed feelings about this plan. On the one hand, I agree that reducing the government's role in the housing market is a worthwhile goal. The current system creates moral hazard, where Fannie and Freddie can take on excessive risk knowing that the government will bail them out if things go wrong.

On the other hand, I'm concerned about the potential for unintended consequences. A poorly executed privatization could destabilize the housing market, making it harder for people to achieve the dream of homeownership. The risk of higher mortgage rates and reduced access to credit are real and should not be dismissed lightly. The new entities need to be very well regulated, and given the political climate, I think that the chances of effective regulation are minimal.

Ultimately, I believe that a gradual and well-planned transition to a private system is the best approach. It is important to proceed with caution and carefully consider the potential impacts on all stakeholders.

What Should You Do?

Given the uncertainty surrounding Fannie and Freddie, here's my advice:

  • Stay informed: Keep up with the latest news and developments.
  • Be prepared: If you're planning to buy a home, be prepared for potentially higher mortgage rates.
  • Don't panic: The housing market is resilient, and it will adapt to whatever changes come its way.

Build a Stronger Future with Norada in 2025

As bold economic plans shape the nation, invest in high-quality, ready-to-rent properties for reliable returns.

Whether the focus is on growth or stability, real estate remains a cornerstone of financial security.

Speak with our expert investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

‘Emergency Price Relief’ on Housing: What Does Trump’s Order Mean?

by

“Trump Orders ‘Emergency Price Relief’ on Housing!” and you're probably wondering what that actually means. Let's cut through the political buzz and get to the heart of it. In short, President Trump has directed his administration to find ways to lower housing costs and increase the supply of homes. It's a move clearly aimed at tackling the affordability crisis, but the details, well, they're a bit hazy. This article dives deep into what this order entails, what it might mean, and what it definitely doesn't include.

I'm going to be honest, I've seen a lot of these kinds of announcements over the years, and while the intention sounds promising, the actual impact often falls short. But let's not be cynical just yet. We need to understand what's on the table, and where the real challenges lie.

‘Emergency Price Relief' on Housing: What Does Trump's Order Mean?

The Executive Order: A Cry for Affordability

Just hours into his second term, President Trump issued a memo directing all executive departments and agencies to take action aimed at lowering housing costs and boosting the housing supply. The memo states that hardworking families are overwhelmed by the cost of living, and that many Americans are unable to buy homes due to historically high prices. These aren't just empty words; we all feel this squeeze on our wallets.

The crux of the problem, according to the memo, is partly due to regulatory requirements that add a significant chunk to the cost of building a new home. Specifically, it claims that these regulations account for around 25% of the cost. Now, I’ve seen similar claims before, and frankly, figuring out exactly what constitutes “regulatory cost” can be a rabbit hole. But the general sentiment, that overly complex building processes add costs, definitely rings true.

The order mandates that executive branch leaders report their progress every 30 days, which implies a sense of urgency. However, the order is notably light on specifics. This leaves a lot of room for interpretation and, quite frankly, skepticism.

Here's a quick breakdown of what the order seeks to address:

  • Lower housing costs.
  • Expand the housing supply.
  • Reduce other household expenses.
  • Boost employment.

The Devil is in the Details… Or Lack Thereof

Okay, so we have this order, but what does it actually mean? Well, that's where things get interesting, or should I say, vague.

The memo mentions a “recent analysis” suggesting that regulations account for a substantial portion of new home costs. This refers to a 2021 study conducted by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). This study found that regulations add roughly 23.8% to the price of a new single-family home, with approximately 10.4% being from regulations imposed during development and 13.2% during the construction phase.

These are not small numbers, and, I agree that we need to do better when it comes to efficiency.

But here's the kicker: most of these regulations aren't federal. They are imposed at the state and local levels. This is where the real challenge lies. The federal government has limited power over those regulations.

Here's where it gets tricky:

  • Federal Incentives, Not Mandates: The federal government can't just wave a magic wand and tell states and cities to change their rules. They can offer incentives – think grants or funding – to encourage streamlining, but they can't force the issue.
  • State and Local Control: Building codes, zoning laws, and permitting processes are primarily decided by local authorities. This means that change will be a long and complicated process.
  • Environmental Concerns: We can't just build everywhere. Environmental impact studies and concerns are legitimate and necessary. Ignoring them for the sake of construction would be shortsighted.

So, while the intention of cutting red tape is admirable, the execution will likely be difficult. There are powerful stakeholders who have vested interest in keeping rules the way they are, and often for very good reasons.

Opening Federal Land: A Possible Solution?

President Trump has also repeatedly mentioned the idea of opening up federal land for large-scale housing construction. The idea is that these would be ultralow tax and ultralow regulation zones, aiming to make building less expensive.

This idea, while intriguing, has both promise and limitations:

Potential Benefits:

  • Increased Supply: It would definitely add to the number of houses that could be built, which, in theory, would help with demand.
  • Lower Land Costs: Opening up existing government lands can reduce upfront costs for developers.

Challenges:

  • Location, Location, Location: The problem is that much of the federal land is located in the Western US, far from major population centers. It’s not much help if the houses are built in places where people do not want to live or work.
  • Infrastructure Needs: Even if we find land, these newly developed areas need roads, schools, hospitals, etc. The cost of these will add to housing costs.
  • Environmental Concerns: Opening up any land for development would need environmental studies which also take time and money.

What the Order Doesn’t Address: Direct Assistance to Buyers

Notably absent from this order is any mention of direct assistance for homebuyers. This is in stark contrast to some other proposals, such as those that included tax credits or down payment assistance.

Why? Well, most economists (including me) agree that throwing money at buyers would just inflate prices. With supply constrained, more people bidding with more cash means the prices will just keep going up.

The focus on boosting the housing supply is, in my view, the right approach in the long run. It won't be a quick fix, but it's the more effective way to make homes affordable for all in the long term.

The Reality Check: My Take on the Situation

Let’s get real here. This executive order is more a statement of intent than a concrete plan. It highlights the problems – and that’s a start. But without specific actions and a willingness to tackle the complex web of regulations and local politics, it’s difficult to see how it will drastically change anything.

I’m not saying it’s hopeless. The fact that housing is a top priority on the president's agenda is important. But the road to affordable housing is long and complicated. It requires a multi-pronged approach, one that includes:

  • Cutting regulatory red tape at all levels of government, with a focus on incentives for state and local reform.
  • Opening up land thoughtfully, balancing the need for housing with environmental concerns and infrastructure.
  • Promoting innovative building techniques that reduce costs without sacrificing quality or safety.
  • Investing in workforce development to attract more people to the construction industry.
  • Acknowledge the power of the supply and demand curves and act accordingly. We have to understand that the only way to create a fair market is to increase supply.

We also need to be realistic about timelines. These things take time and effort. We aren't going to see drastic changes overnight.

The Bottom Line

Trump’s order for “emergency price relief” is more of a starting gun than a sprint. It acknowledges the pressing need for more affordable housing, but the actual impact will depend heavily on the specific actions taken in the coming weeks, months, and years.

We need to hold our leaders accountable, and continue to push for real, meaningful solutions. Housing is a fundamental need, and it should be accessible to all.

Build a Stronger Future with Norada in 2025

As bold economic plans shape the nation, invest in high-quality, ready-to-rent properties for reliable returns.

Whether the focus is on growth or stability, real estate remains a cornerstone of financial security.

Speak with our expert investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

How to Get a Free House From the Government: Myth or Reality?

by

Ever dreamt of owning your own place, a haven to call your own? Maybe you've scrolled through endless listings online, only to be discouraged by skyrocketing prices. The question burns in your mind: can you get a free house from the government in the US?

The short answer is no, the government doesn't directly give away free houses. However, that doesn't mean the dream of affordable homeownership is out of reach entirely! This blog will explore various options available to make your dream a reality.

Dispelling the Myth: Free vs. Affordable Housing

The idea of a free house from the government is undeniably attractive. It conjures up images of skipping the mortgage grind and settling right into your dream home. However, understanding the realities of government assistance in the US housing market is key.

The good news? While the government doesn't directly hand out houses, it offers a helping hand through various programs designed to make housing significantly more affordable.

These programs fall into two main categories: subsidized housing and homeownership assistance. Subsidized housing programs target low-income families, elderly individuals, and people with disabilities. They don't give away houses, but they offer rent assistance based on your income, making quality housing a realistic possibility.

Homeownership assistance programs, on the other hand, focus on helping eligible individuals and families become homeowners. This might involve down payment assistance, reduced mortgage rates, or even programs specifically designed for veterans.

By exploring these options, you can transform the dream of owning a home from a distant wish into a tangible goal. Let's delve deeper into each category to see how they can work for you.

Exploring Your Options:

A. Rental Assistance Programs (Section 8):

Let's face it, sometimes renting is the most practical option. But what if your dream of a safe and secure place to live is threatened by ever-increasing rental costs? The Housing Choice Voucher Program, more commonly known as Section 8, can be a game-changer.

This program, overseen by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) [Insert link to HUD website on Section 8], is specifically designed to assist low-income families, seniors, and people with disabilities in affording decent housing in the private market. Here's how it works:

  • Eligibility: Income is a major factor. Your local Public Housing Authority (PHA) will determine your eligibility based on your total annual income and family size.
  • The Voucher System: If you qualify, you'll receive a housing voucher specifying the maximum amount of rent the program will cover. This amount is typically capped around 30% of your adjusted monthly income.
  • Finding Your Place: With your voucher in hand, you have the freedom to choose a suitable rental unit that meets program standards. This could be an apartment, townhouse, or even a single-family home!
  • Landlord Participation: Landlords who agree to participate in the program receive the remaining rent amount directly from the PHA. This ensures a stable income for the landlord while allowing you to find a safe and affordable place to live.

Important to Remember:

While Section 8 offers a fantastic opportunity, there can be a waitlist for vouchers due to high demand. Also, remember that you'll still be responsible for your portion of the rent and any utilities not covered by the program.

B. Homeownership Assistance Programs:

The dream of owning your own home can be incredibly powerful. The security, stability, and sense of accomplishment that comes with homeownership are unmatched. However, the hefty down payment and closing costs can often feel like insurmountable obstacles. This is where homeownership assistance programs come in. These government-backed programs offered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Department of Agriculture (USDA) can significantly ease the financial burden of buying a home.

Let's explore two popular programs:

  • FHA Loans: Backed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), FHA loans are known for their lower down payment requirements. With a credit score of 580 or higher, you can qualify for a down payment as low as 3.5%. For those with credit scores between 500 and 579, the down payment jumps to 10%. FHA loans also tend to have more lenient qualification standards compared to traditional mortgages.
  • USDA Loans: Administered by the USDA, these loans are specifically designed for rural and certain suburban areas. One of the most attractive features of USDA loans is the possibility of zero down payment. That's right, you could potentially become a homeowner without needing any upfront money for a down payment! However, there are income limits attached to this program, ensuring it reaches those who need it most.

Important Considerations:

While both FHA and USDA loans offer significant advantages, it's important to understand the specific requirements and limitations. For instance, FHA loans come with mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) that you'll need to factor into your monthly payments. USDA loans, on the other hand, may have restrictions on the location and type of property you can purchase.

Finding the Right Program:

The best program for you will depend on your individual circumstances, including your credit score, income level, and desired location. Don't hesitate to consult with a mortgage specialist or housing counselor to explore your options and determine which program best suits your needs.

C. VA Loans for Veterans:

For our brave veterans who have served our country, there's a special program offering exceptional benefits for homeownership: VA loans. Backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), VA loans come with a unique set of advantages that can make buying a home significantly more accessible.

Here's what makes VA loans stand out:

  • No Down Payment (in most cases): One of the biggest hurdles to homeownership is the down payment. VA loans eliminate this obstacle for most eligible veterans, allowing you to purchase a home with $0 down. This frees up significant savings and makes homeownership a more realistic possibility.
  • Competitive Interest Rates: VA loans typically offer very competitive interest rates compared to traditional mortgages. This translates to lower monthly payments and significant savings over the life of your loan.
  • No Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) is typically required for conventional loans with a down payment of less than 20%. VA loans eliminate this additional cost, saving you money each month.
  • Streamlined Process: The VA loan process is generally considered more streamlined compared to conventional mortgages. This can mean less paperwork and faster loan approvals.

Eligibility for VA Loans:

To be eligible for a VA loan, you must have served in the military and meet minimum service time requirements. The specific requirements vary depending on your service era and discharge status. You can find detailed information on eligibility on the VA website [Insert link to VA website on home loan programs].

A Note of Appreciation:

VA loans are a powerful way for our veterans to leverage their well-deserved benefits and achieve the dream of homeownership. These programs are a testament to the nation's commitment to those who have served.

Remember, even with the exceptional benefits of VA loans, it's still crucial to carefully consider your financial situation before making any decisions. Consulting with a mortgage professional or veterans' service organization can ensure you're making an informed choice and getting the best possible deal.

Important Considerations:

While the programs we've explored offer fantastic opportunities for affordable housing, there are some key factors to consider before diving in:

  • Eligibility Requirements: Each program has specific eligibility requirements. These may include income limits, credit score minimums, residency restrictions, and even property location limitations (for USDA loans). Carefully research the program's criteria to ensure you qualify before getting your hopes set.
  • Competition and Waitlists: Unfortunately, due to high demand, there can be waitlists for some programs, particularly Section 8 vouchers. Be prepared for the possibility of a waiting period before accessing assistance.
  • Ongoing Costs of Homeownership: Even with affordable housing programs, remember that owning a home comes with ongoing costs beyond your mortgage payment. Factor in property taxes, homeowners insurance, maintenance, and utilities when budgeting for homeownership.
  • Seeking Professional Guidance: Don't hesitate to seek help from a mortgage specialist or housing counselor. These professionals can guide you through the different programs, assess your eligibility, and help you navigate the homeownership process.

Taking the Next Step

By understanding the available programs and their limitations, you can make informed decisions about your path to affordable housing. Remember, achieving the dream of a safe and secure place to call your own might require some planning and preparation. However, with the right resources and a proactive approach, affordable housing is a realistic goal!

Conclusion:

The dream of owning a home or finding secure and affordable housing needn't be a distant wish. While the government doesn't directly give away free houses, as we addressed earlier in this blog, the programs explored here offer a much-needed helping hand. Whether it's rental assistance through Section 8, down payment assistance with FHA or USDA loans, or the exceptional benefits of VA loans for veterans, there are options to make affordable housing a reality.

Remember:

  • Research is Key: Explore the programs mentioned here and delve deeper into those that seem like a good fit for you. Government websites (https://www.hud.gov/, https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/single-family-housing-programs/single-family-housing-guaranteed-loan-program) and veterans' service organizations can provide valuable information.
  • Seek Guidance: Don't be afraid to seek professional help. Mortgage specialists and housing counselors can answer your questions, assess your eligibility for programs, and guide you through the process.
  • Take Action: Knowledge is power. Equipped with the information from this blog, start taking steps towards your housing goals. Contact your local HUD office, connect with a housing counselor, or explore VA loan options if you're a veteran.

By taking a proactive approach and utilizing the resources available, you can transform the dream of affordable housing into a lived experience. So, don't wait any longer. Start your journey towards a secure and comfortable place to call home!

ALSO READ:

Is Rental Housing Boom Set to Explode in 2024?

by

The U.S. rental housing market has been a topic of much speculation and analysis, especially as we approach 2024. After a tumultuous period of rapid growth and subsequent cooling, experts are closely watching for signs of what the next phase might bring. Here's an exploration of the current state of the rental housing market and predictions for its trajectory in 2024.

Will the Rental Housing Boom Explode?

The rental market has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent years, with significant fluctuations in demand and supply. In 2021 and early 2022, rents surged dramatically, but the trend reversed in 2023, with national year-over-year rent growth plummeting to negative figures. This shift indicates a market taking a breather after a period of intense activity.

Factors Influencing the Rental Housing Market

Several factors are contributing to the current state of the rental market:

  • Supply and Demand Dynamics: A historic multifamily construction boom is underway, which is expected to continue into 2024. This increase in supply, coupled with softening demand, has led to a stabilization of rents.
  • Economic Conditions: The broader economic landscape, including inflation rates and household formation trends, plays a crucial role in shaping the rental market. While inflation concerns persist, the market is adjusting to these economic pressures.
  • Interest Rates: Mortgage rates and their impact on the housing market are also significant. As mortgage rates slowly decline from their 2023 highs, the market is likely to see gradual changes.

Predictions for 2024

Looking ahead to 2024, here are some key predictions for the rental housing market:

  • Stabilization of Rents: Rents are expected to stabilize and more closely track inflation rates, with a mild annual decline in median asking rent projected.
  • Increased Construction: New apartment construction is anticipated to reach its strongest year in decades, providing renters with more options and potentially better negotiation power.
  • Moderate Rent Growth: Year-over-year rent growth is likely to emerge from negative territory, but it is not expected to exceed low single-digit percentages.

Implications for Renters and Investors

For renters, the potential increase in housing options and the stabilization of rents could mean more opportunities to find affordable housing and negotiate favorable lease terms. For investors and property owners, understanding these market dynamics is crucial for making informed decisions about property investments and management strategies.

What Would be the Implications for Renters?

The implications for renters in the U.S. rental housing market are multifaceted, reflecting a complex interplay of economic, demographic, and industry-specific factors. Here's an in-depth look at what renters might expect:

Affordability and Choice

With the anticipated increase in new apartment construction, renters may find themselves with more options to choose from. This could lead to a more competitive market for landlords, potentially resulting in more favorable rent prices for tenants. The increased supply may also help to alleviate some of the affordability issues that have plagued many urban areas, giving renters more leverage in negotiations.

Quality of Living

The growth in new construction is not just about quantity but also quality. As developers compete to attract tenants, we may see a rise in the standard of living with newer amenities, better designs, and more sustainable living environments becoming available.

Economic Factors

Renters will need to stay informed about broader economic conditions, such as inflation rates and employment trends, as these will directly impact their cost of living and ability to afford rent. While rents are expected to stabilize, personal incomes will need to keep pace with any changes in the cost of living.

Long-Term Planning

For those considering long-term leases, it's important to consider the potential for rent increases over time. While the market may be stabilizing, economic conditions can shift, affecting rent prices. Renters should be mindful of lease terms that allow for predictable rent increases and consider rent control regulations where applicable.

Location Flexibility

The shift in work culture towards remote and hybrid models has given many renters more flexibility in choosing where to live. This trend may continue to influence the rental market as individuals seek housing options outside of traditional urban centers, potentially leading to a redistribution of rental demand.

Tenant Rights and Advocacy

As the market adjusts, renters should be aware of their rights and any changes in tenant laws. Advocacy groups and resources can provide support and guidance, ensuring that renters are treated fairly and can make the most of the evolving market conditions.

Bottom Line: While the term “boom” may not accurately describe the expected state of the rental housing market in 2024, it is clear that the market is evolving. With new construction adding to the supply and economic factors influencing demand, the market is set for a period of adjustment and potential growth, albeit at a more moderate pace than in previous years.

Getting Paid to Borrow Money

by

It is well known that income producing real estate is one of the best investments you can make. What is less well known is that income producing real estate allows you to get paid to borrow money. At least that’s been the case historically.

The reason for this has to do with the reality of inflation. In times of inflation, your best protection against the declining value of the dollar is high quality, long-term, investment-grade, fixed-rate debt attached to a piece of income producing property. In a nutshell, the right kind of debt is good.

Here’s how it works:

Assume that you purchased a property back in 1979 and that a dollar was actually worth a full dollar ($1.00). Then, thirty years later you find that same dollar worth only $0.24 because of continued inflation (driven by the government’s absurd economic policy).

Although the overall purchasing power of the dollar has decreased over those thirty years due to inflation, the principal balance on your long-term debt is never adjusted in step with that inflation. By paying down your fixed-rate debt with continually CHEAPER DOLLARS than those you originally borrowed with, you are effectively saving yourself a lot of money each and every year.

Now, think about it another way:

Assume you purchased $1 million worth of income producing property with a combined mortgage balance of $800,000. And let’s assume that over the course of one year you didn’t pay down any principal and there was a 4 percent rate of inflation. Your loan of $800,000 would now be worth only $768,000 in terms of real dollars. That’s a reduction of $32,000 in one year!

[Read more…]

Why Housing Prices Are Essentially Meaningless

by

It took the Wall Street Journal an entire survey to prove what readers of this column have known for months: The housing recovery, as it plays out, will be a localized event, varying greatly city to city, neighborhood to neighborhood, street to street.

The Journal, god bless them, compiled housing data to compare inventory changes, months supply, price drops, unemployment, and default rates across 28 US metro areas. Unsurprisingly, bubble markets like Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Miami look particularly horrid, whereas areas like Dallas (which avoided much of the housing mania) and cities like Charlotte and Seattle (which are just now seeing price declines accelerate) appear to be holding up rather nicely.

But drilling deeper into the raw data reveals a housing market that's deeply bifurcated, even within individual cities.

As low-end markets experience a sharp increase in buying activity due to supply shortages and vastly lower prices, illiquid high end markets are experiencing violent price swings — typically in the southward direction. This much is already known, and the Journal's study simply shows what we're told ad nauseam: is, in fact, local.

What's far more applicable to home buyers and sellers around the country, however, isn't what a few broad (yet important) data points show about what's happening in a few hundred neighborhoods all lumped together. Instead, it's where individual submarkets are headed. After all, owning a home is an investment in a neighborhood, a street, a community — not necessarily a metropolitan area at large.

Housing prices, by extension — when measured as broadly as a metro area — are basically meaningless.

[Read more…]

False Housing Bottom

by

Everyone is awaiting the miracle signal of a housing bottom. False media-hyped-market-predictions are certain to play an important role in each of our lives. Listed below are a few of the recent indicators that present opportunities for newscasters to call a market improvement or decline.

  1. May annualized sales pace of home resales expected by NAR are 4.8 million, down 33% from our 2005 peak.
  2. Annualized new home sales expected for 2009 are 360,000, down 72% from our 2005 peak.
  3. Depending on your location, average mean home prices are down by 5% to 38% from the 2005/2006 peaks. May 2008 to May 2009 has the worst statistic with a decline of 14.9% on average.
  4. Commerce Department reported a sales drop of 0.6 percent in new home sales in May.
  5. Sales of existing home sales rose by 2.4 % from April to May 2009. This represents the third monthly increase this year.
  6. The number of unsold homes inventory fell 3.5% in May. This means there is a 9.6 month supply of property at the current sales pace. Normal market is 6 months or fewer, however the 3.5% improvement shows signs of market turnaround.
  7. The worst hit markets are showing inventory improvements. For instance, California has market supply of inventory for average priced homes at a 6 month level. These levels signify a market bottom.

Enough of statistics, the numbers confuse the best economists, let alone you. The bottom line is that real estate has market cycles. What goes up, has its time to go down, and then to stabilize. For those of you who enjoy analogies, we are in the 9th inning of this market downturn. Our next game is market stabilization (usually a 3 year time period). This means prices are somewhat flat while demand and supply equalize.

[Read more…]

Blog Posts

Contact

Norada Real Estate Investments 30251 Golden Lantern, Suite E-261 Laguna Niguel, CA 92677

(949) 218-6668
(800) 611-3060
BBB