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More Evidence That Home Prices Have Hit Bottom

September 11, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

In each of the last three years, home prices have increased in the spring and summer, when more people are buying homes, before giving back all of those gains and then some in the fall and winter, when activity cools.

But it is beginning to look like that might not happen this year, absent a major stumble for the economy.

Home prices in July were up by 3.8% from one year ago, the largest year-over-year jump in six years. Moreover, prices have shot up by 9.6% from February, when they registered their lowest levels of the housing downturn, according to CoreLogic data released Tuesday.

This adds evidence to the case that U.S. home prices may have hit bottom earlier this year. Even though prices will soften in the autumn, “we have a much better supply and demand dynamic” than in previous years, says Mark Fleming, chief economist at CoreLogic.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Economy, Housing Bottom, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, rental property, Shadow Inventory

Just How Cheap is US Housing?

September 5, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Consider Minneapolis, Minn.  You could’ve bought, out of foreclosure, a three-bedroom, two-bath house of 1,356 square feet on a quarter acre lot for about $29,000. It needed a lot of work, but houses in the neighborhood recently sold for $75,000.

Your mortgage would be under $100 per month and about the same in taxes. You could’ve got $1,000 in rent. Even if you had to put $40,000 in the house, your gross yield (cap rate) would’ve been 17.4% on the property.

This is one example sleuthed by my friend Gary Gibson. “The house had mold damage and needed a lot of work,” he wrote. “Beautiful yard, however.”

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Cheap Housing, Economy, Housing Affordability, Housing Market, National Housing, Real Estate Investing, Rental Housing, rental property, US Housing, USA Housing Market

An Investor-Driven Recovery

August 27, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

An Investor-Driven Home RecoveryInvestors are buying homes at a more rapid pace than ever before, and this time their investments actually make sense.  Most are buying homes below replacement cost, or at prices that allow for a reasonable rental return.

Across the 167 metro areas we analyzed, investor activity rose to 29.6% of all transactions in the first quarter of this year, up from the trough of 23.6% in Q4 2009.  Our research leads us to believe Q2 activity exceeds Q1, and since last quarter, investor activity has already spiked 2%!

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Economic Recovery, Growth Markets, Housing Market, housing recovery, Investor Home Sales, Real Estate Investing

Are Rental Homes the New Asset Class for Wall Street?

August 20, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

The wizards of wall street are back with a new twist.

Certain venture capital companies are promoting a “new” asset class to be sold as securities… single family rental homes!

Remember the last time Wall Street created a new asset class? That’s right, they packaged up single family mortgages and sold them as securities. And, we all know what happens when bad government policy and Wall Street financial experts conspire to take advantage of Main Street… don’t we?

Yes, you’re reading this correctly. Instead of packaging up and selling the underlying mortgage as a security, which led to the 2008 economic collapse, Wall Street is packaging up the rental home itself as a publicly traded REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust). Like a mutual fund, a REIT is a so-called “professionally managed” collective investment scheme that pools money from many investors to purchase securities.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investments Tagged With: Asset Class, Real Estate Investing, Rental Homes, rental property, Wall Street

Bottom Dwellers Waiting to Pounce

August 7, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times both published articles in the past six weeks stating that the housing market has reached a bottom.  But hold on for just a minute… It seems that not everyone believes it.

Even Yale professor Robert Shiller, co-founder of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, admits to being a little bit skeptical.  In fact, he even told Fox Business last week that he's not entirely convinced that a bottom has been reached yet.

“It’s possible, but I’m not confident. This is partly seasonal,” Shiller said regarding the recent rise in home prices that have been documented over the past few months.

Only one thing is certain when it comes to economics: there is no certainty as to when an economic cycle has bottomed out until it’s already past.  This is especially true in real estate — one of the biggest driving forces behind our national economy.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Foreclosures, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Housing Market, Market Bottom, Real Estate Investing, Robert Shiller, Turnkey Investment Property

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