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Real Estate Market Report

October 1, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

After nine consecutive months of appreciation, August was the first month where home values decreased by 0.1% to $152,100, according to Zillow.

2012 has seen a turnaround in the housing market with sustained appreciation that, at times, has been very strong.  As we progress through the latter half of this year, we expect home values to see more volatility characterized by months of home value declines mixed with months of appreciation.

Overall, the positive trend will hold as evidenced by home values being up by 1.7% in August 2012 on a year-over-year basis.  Rents continued to rise in August, appreciating by 0.2% from July to August.  On an annual basis, rents across the nation are up by 5.9%, indicating that demand, fueled by elevated foreclosure levels, is still outpacing investor-driven increases in rental property supply.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Foreclosures, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Appreciation, Foreclosures, Home Values, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market, rental market, US economy

Is the Fed’s QE3 Good for the Housing Market?

September 25, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Last week, the Federal Reserve announced a new round of “quantitative easing,” or QE3, meaning the Federal Reserve will  fire up the printing presses to buy $40 billion worth of  mortgage-backed securities (MBS) every month on an open-ended basis in an effort to further drive down historically low interest rates.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said QE3 should put downward pressure on mortgage rates, helping the housing market.  By lowering borrowing costs and spurring  banks to lend more, the Fed hopes to induce more spending and eventually set  the stage for more hiring.  The Fed tied its bond-purchase program explicitly to jobs, saying it will keep buying bonds until it sees a substantial improvement  in the labor market.

Who benefits from QE3?

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Financing, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Economy, Federal Reserve, Financing, Housing Market, Mortgage-Backed Securities, QE3, Real Estate Investing, rental property

The Delaware Series LLC for Real Estate Investors

September 16, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Following up to our previous article titled, “3 Reasons a Series LLC Should be a Real Estate Investor’s Best Friend“, we now focus on benefits of a Delaware Series LLC.

The Delaware series LLC is a form of a limited liability company that provides liability protection across multiple “series”, each of which is theoretically protected from liabilities arising from the other series.  It is similar to a parent/subsidiary structure, such as GM and it’s various brands.  For example, you could have a master LLC that owns different subsidiaries which in turn own small groups of real estate.  The subsidiaries would shield both the master and other subsidiaries from liability.  Thus, a real estate investor can reduce the exposure to the assets that any one subsidiary owns.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Asset Protection, Real Estate Investing, Taxes Tagged With: Asset Protection, Delaware Series LLC, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Taxes, series llc

Just How Cheap is US Housing?

September 5, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Consider Minneapolis, Minn.  You could’ve bought, out of foreclosure, a three-bedroom, two-bath house of 1,356 square feet on a quarter acre lot for about $29,000. It needed a lot of work, but houses in the neighborhood recently sold for $75,000.

Your mortgage would be under $100 per month and about the same in taxes. You could’ve got $1,000 in rent. Even if you had to put $40,000 in the house, your gross yield (cap rate) would’ve been 17.4% on the property.

This is one example sleuthed by my friend Gary Gibson. “The house had mold damage and needed a lot of work,” he wrote. “Beautiful yard, however.”

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Cheap Housing, Economy, Housing Affordability, Housing Market, National Housing, Real Estate Investing, Rental Housing, rental property, US Housing, USA Housing Market

An Investor-Driven Recovery

August 27, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

An Investor-Driven Home RecoveryInvestors are buying homes at a more rapid pace than ever before, and this time their investments actually make sense.  Most are buying homes below replacement cost, or at prices that allow for a reasonable rental return.

Across the 167 metro areas we analyzed, investor activity rose to 29.6% of all transactions in the first quarter of this year, up from the trough of 23.6% in Q4 2009.  Our research leads us to believe Q2 activity exceeds Q1, and since last quarter, investor activity has already spiked 2%!

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Economic Recovery, Growth Markets, Housing Market, housing recovery, Investor Home Sales, Real Estate Investing

Bottom Dwellers Waiting to Pounce

August 7, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times both published articles in the past six weeks stating that the housing market has reached a bottom.  But hold on for just a minute… It seems that not everyone believes it.

Even Yale professor Robert Shiller, co-founder of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, admits to being a little bit skeptical.  In fact, he even told Fox Business last week that he's not entirely convinced that a bottom has been reached yet.

“It’s possible, but I’m not confident. This is partly seasonal,” Shiller said regarding the recent rise in home prices that have been documented over the past few months.

Only one thing is certain when it comes to economics: there is no certainty as to when an economic cycle has bottomed out until it’s already past.  This is especially true in real estate — one of the biggest driving forces behind our national economy.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Foreclosures, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Housing Market, Market Bottom, Real Estate Investing, Robert Shiller, Turnkey Investment Property

Analyze Your Market Using the MAD Method

July 30, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

There are many complicated ways to analyze the market conditions in your local area, enough to confuse and boggle the novice investor’s mind.  However, you can keep things simple by using our “MAD” method.  This means paying attention to three important factors and noting whether they’re going up or down:

M — Median housing prices

A — Active listings on the market

D — Days on the market

By paying attention to these three simple factors, you’ll get a good snapshot of the state of your local market.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Buyer's Market, Growth Markets, Housing Market, Market Analysis, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market, Seller's Market

On the Trail of the Housing Recovery

June 25, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

One crisp fall Sunday afternoon under bright blue skies, my wife and I visited five homes up for sale. We remembered them by their street names: Big Acre, Blue Silo, Pontiac, Prairie Rose and Lamont. The lineup has a poetic ring to it, but the real music is the potential rates of return from owning them and renting them out.

This was the second weekend we went hunting. It’s been a fascinating experience so far, and what I’ve found tells me the housing recovery is not too far off, despite all the dire talk to the contrary. The investment implications are many and varied.

Being bullish on housing is a contrarian view. In a recent national survey, 37% of homeowners say they think buying a house is a “risky investment.” And 86% think prices will either stay flat or fall.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, housing recovery, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

How to Invest with a Declining US Dollar

June 20, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

The Federal Reserve was supposed to protect the value of the U.S. dollar – at least that’s how it was originally sold to the public. We still don’t know why the dollar needed “protection”. It was solid for the longest time, except for the time when President Lincoln printed too many of them to pay for the War between the States, but those dollars came and went.

When the Federal Reserve was set up in 1913, the dollar was worth as much on that day as it was when Napoleon Bonaparte set off for Russia.

Instead what the Fed has successfully done is allow the dollar to slip and decline through the 20th century and is now worth only about 3 cents! The likelihood of a continuing decline is strong.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Declining US Dollar, Great Correction, Inflation Hedge, Real Estate Investing

Real Estate Cycles: Where Are We Now?

June 12, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Real estate prices, as with most financial markets, tend to follow a pattern. For the purpose of this article, we'll call this pattern “The Real Estate Cycle.” There are many theories out there about The Real Estate Cycle, but the one I like best is called “The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle.”

Back in the 1930's a real estate economist named Homer Hoyt discovered that real estate prices seemed to ebb and flow on an almost perfect 18 year schedule. Hoyt's theory was later used and refined by now famed economist Fred E. Foldvary to predict the real estate crash of 2008. I'll get into more depth about “The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle” shortly, but to me the important part isn't necessarily the 18 year time frame, it is understanding that the real estate market operates in a fairly predictable cycle that can be seen and taken advantage of by smart investors.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Cycles, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

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