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Real Estate Cycles: Where Are We Now?

June 12, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Real estate prices, as with most financial markets, tend to follow a pattern. For the purpose of this article, we'll call this pattern “The Real Estate Cycle.” There are many theories out there about The Real Estate Cycle, but the one I like best is called “The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle.”

Back in the 1930's a real estate economist named Homer Hoyt discovered that real estate prices seemed to ebb and flow on an almost perfect 18 year schedule. Hoyt's theory was later used and refined by now famed economist Fred E. Foldvary to predict the real estate crash of 2008. I'll get into more depth about “The Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle” shortly, but to me the important part isn't necessarily the 18 year time frame, it is understanding that the real estate market operates in a fairly predictable cycle that can be seen and taken advantage of by smart investors.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Cycles, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

5 Tips for New Landlords

June 4, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

The constant fluctuations of the housing market can mean many things in terms of property investment, rental rates and the life of a landlord. We know, for instance, that there is a higher percentage of renters in the United States than there has been in quite sometime. But what we haven’t addressed is that there are also more landlords.

Whether you have found yourself in a property investment deal that didn’t go quite as planned or you’ve moved to another house while your old property has sat on the market for far too long, you yourself may have already become a landlord due to a lack of options. The life of a landlord can be financially rewarding, but it can also be complex and draining with many rules, laws and advice to wade through. In this article we want to distill a few of the more important tips that will lead to a better life for both you and your tenants.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Property Management, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Property Management, Real Estate Investing

National Economic Outlook (June 2012)

June 4, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

The Wall Street Journal this week said, Grim Job Report Sinks Markets. The bold headline suggests an economy in retreat. After all, it's an election year. But the May job numbers look like more of the same moderate growth we've been getting in recent months.

Overall, jobs were up 1.4 percent in the past year, right in line with the growth rates of previous months. Manufacturing jobs were up 2 percent, including an 8 percent increase in cars. Retail jobs were up just 1 percent but, significantly, jobs at furniture stores were up 2.4 percent. Jobs at restaurants and bars were up 3 percent. Conclusion: consumers are buying big-ticket items and are treating themselves to small luxuries, important signs of optimism.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market Tagged With: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Market, US economy

Why are Billionaires Buffett and Trump Bullish on Real Estate Right Now?  (Part 2)

May 21, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

In Why are Billionaires Buffett and Trump Bullish on Real Estate Right Now? part 1, we stated that the Federal Reserve is committed to stable, steady long-term inflation.

But what about all this talk of hyper-inflation?

There are some doom-and-gloomers out there heralding hyper-inflation.  Hyper-inflation means you wake up in the morning and a pound of coffee is $5, but when you go back that afternoon, it’s $7 and by the following morning it’s $10.  In other words, the dollar is in free fall and it takes more and more dollars to buy the same goods and services.  It’s happened many times in other countries in just the last 50 years.  It’s ugly, especially for those who don’t know how to see it coming, how to prepare and what to do when it happens.

Now we understand the argument for hyper-inflation and it’s a good one.  So let’s take a look at why real estate right now makes so much sense.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Donald Trump, Economy, Foreclosures, Housing Market, Inflation Hedge, Investment Properties, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market, Rental Properties, Warren Buffett

Why are Billionaires Buffett and Trump Bullish on Real Estate Right Now?

May 15, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

When we interviewed Donald Trump a couple of weeks ago, he told us that NOW is a great time to get into real estate – and he specifically pointed to houses.

Fellow billionaire, Warren Buffett, appeared on CNBC a couple of months ago and essentially said the same thing.  In fact, he said if there was an efficient way to do it, he'd like to buy 200,000 single family homes!

You may or may not agree with them at first blush, but when two billionaires (neither of whom are trying to sell you houses) both say the same thing, it's probably worth taking a closer look, don't you think?

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Donald Trump, Economy, Foreclosures, Housing Market, Inflation Hedge, Investment Properties, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market, Rental Properties, Warren Buffett

Could This Be the Best Real Estate Market in 5 Years?

April 23, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

I've spoken many times on my radio show about how fear is used to move us. Well, recently I spotted a great example. Just last week I wrote about how a mortgage “expert” was predicting a “death spiral” in the housing market. That was last week. This week, the National Association of Realtors is saying that the housing market in 2012 will be the strongest in five years. February was actually a 9.2 percent increase in home sales from last year.

For most people those two things wouldn't compute, especially since the “expert” I quoted last week was predicting a 6 percent reduction in housing prices in 2012. This just all goes to show you something I've said for a long time: don't believe the doom and gloom.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Appreciating Markets, Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, US economy

Investing in Real Estate Using a Self Directed IRA

April 10, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

A growing number of real estate investors are using a self-directed IRA to finance their property purchases nowadays. That’s because a self-directed IRA can provide them with the opportunity to buy real estate and earn rental income without paying early distribution fees.

The Investment Company Institute – the national association of U.S. investment companies, estimates that about $4.7 trillion in IRAs were held in the U.S. last year. Of this, an estimated $94 billion (only 2 percent) are in Self-directed IRAs.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Asset Protection, Financing, Real Estate Investing, Taxes Tagged With: ERISA, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate IRA, self-directed IRA, Self-Directed Retirement Account

Single-Family Homes and Their Potential

April 2, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

As we continue to go through Morgan Stanley's “Housing 2.0: The New Rental Paradigm” we're more confident that 2012 will be a big year for real estate investors.  For one, the financial services company boldly concludes, “…gross rents are historically attractive relative to current distressed prices. Adding to this attractiveness is the fact that multifamily data shows rents continuing to rise.”

This is a good indicator for real estate investments. Anyone who’s been active in the market clearly knows why rental properties have become precious assets among investors. And for the newbie, it isn’t that difficult to discover the logic here. A depressed housing market with very affordable properties means that demand for homes are down. This indicates that buyers opt to rent properties instead of buying a home. With this surge in rental demand, real estate investors are just as excited as everyone else who are poised to earn positive cash flows from their rental properties.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Appreciating Markets, Distressed Homes, New Rental Paradigm, real estate investments, Rental Rates, Single-Family Homes

The Law of Now

March 26, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

Optimism can only be rewarding if one takes action. Without it, it’s like driving a car that runs out of fuel; you’ll never arrive at your goal. Your past mistakes or apprehension about the future has nothing to do with what you can do today or what you should act upon. Decision-making may be risky but there are great results if it is coupled with a conscious effort to do what is right.

People are generally reluctant to kick start their plans right away because they are either afraid to commit mistakes or they can make foolish decisions. They dread of becoming listless, indifferent to taking a step to realize their potential.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Personal Development, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Personal Development, Real Estate Investing

Median Rent Prices on the Rise as Home Values Drop

March 19, 2012 by Marco Santarelli

While homes prices continue to be on the decline, rent prices are actually on the rise and showed a 3 percent increase from January 2011 to January 2012, as opposed to home values, which dropped 4.6 percent during that same period, according to a recent Zillow Real Estate Market Report.

“While it seems that rents are rising at the expense of home values, the opposite is true. A thriving rental market will stimulate home sales as investors snap up low-priced inventory to convert to rentals,” said chief economist for Zillow Dr. Stan Humphries in a release.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, rental market

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