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Where's the Bottom of the Housing Market?

December 9, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

Speaking in general terms, we may be far from a bottom in the national real estate housing market. Perhaps the government bailout plans and lower interest rates will help, but I remain skeptical that we will reach a bottom by the second quarter of 2009 – today's general consensus.  Why?

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that 10% of American homeowners are either behind on payments or in foreclosure. This data has been tracked for over 29 years, and we are at an all-time high, as you might have guessed.

These high numbers suggest that loans to sub-prime borrowers, who perhaps shouldn't have gained approval, are only part of the problem. The sub-prime market got the ball rolling, but now unemployment is making that ball accelerate at a frightening speed.

The U.S. economy lost 1.55 million jobs in the last 6 months. That's the biggest loss of jobs in 30 years. To put this in a little more perspective, 1.55 million is nearly the number of jobs that were lost in the 2001 recession including the months following September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks.

Unfortunately it gets worse.

637,000 people were not counted in the official jobless numbers because they've stopped looking for work, effectively removing themselves from the employment pool.

Another 621,000 people have apparently settled for part-time work because they can't find full-time work. These people count as employed, but it's pretty obvious they will not be contributing much to the GDP by way of spending.

Where's the bottom?

We will reach a bottom of the housing market once we have Stabilization.

Stabilization means the end is in sight. The day will come when the rate of layoffs will slow down and corporate cost-cutting has been done.  However, the latest employment numbers suggest we are a long ways off.

What should you do?

As mentioned in our blog post, “Is it a Good Time to Invest in Real Estate?“, there is an abundance of good real estate deals all over the country today. With real estate values and mortgage rates at historic lows, finding property with neutral or positive cash flow is not difficult to do.

Again, be sure to do your research and buy in markets with the strongest economic fundamentals, then hold on for the long term in order to gain the highest returns.

Filed Under: Economy, Foreclosures, Real Estate Investing

Is it a Good Time to Invest in Real Estate?

December 6, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

As we watch the U.S. economy head for its deepest and longest recession since World War II, we ask ourselves if this is a good time to invest in real estate? Especially now as mounting job losses take their toll on consumer confidence and spending.

Last month, U.S. employers cut payrolls at the fastest pace in 34 years as the unemployment rate rose to 6.7%, the highest level since 1993. The 533,000 drop brought cumulative job losses to 1.91 million this year according to the Labor Department in Washington.

Keep in mind that the actual U.S. unemployment rate may be as high as 11% to 13% since the rate published by the Labor Department excludes people who have been unemployed longer than 12 consecutive months.

Additionally, U.S. stocks fell for the fourth time in five weeks as the worsening job market added to concern the recession is deepening.

John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia Corp. in Charlotte, North Carolina, said the jobs report suggests that the economy shrank at annual rate of 5 percent in the final three months of the year. That would be the biggest contraction since the first quarter of 1982.

So, with all the negative news about our economy is this a good time to invest in real estate?

The short answer is an absolute YES!  Why?

The answer was clearly stated by Sir John Templeton, the legendary investor and mutual fund pioneer.  He said, “The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.”

There is an abundance of good real estate deals all over the country today. With real estate values and mortgage rates at historic lows, finding property with neutral or positive cash flow is not difficult to do.

Be sure to do your research and buy in markets with the strongest economic fundamentals, then hold for the long term in order to gain maximum returns.

Remember that people will always need a place to live!

Filed Under: Economy, Real Estate Investing

Investing in San Antonio, Texas

December 3, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

Founded by Spanish missionaries in the early 1700s, San Antonio, Texas is now the seventh largest city in the United States and the fastest growing region of the state. It is located halfway between the nation's east and west coasts and near other major Texan cities such as Austin, Houston and Corpus Christi.

Considered a gateway of foreign trade, San Antonio is recognized by Business Facilities magazine as one of the five major logistical locations in the country for warehousing and distribution. It benefits from its proximity to Mexico and has reaped the economic rewards of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Over half of the goods moving in and out of Mexico pass through the city of San Antonio and this trade is expected to grow. Plus, thirty percent of the city's retail market demand comes from shoppers living in Mexico.

San Antonio was the nation's second fastest growing major city from 1990 to 2000 according to the US Census Bureau. During that decade, the city grew 14.5 percent to a population of 1,144,646. The reported 2007 population estimate is 1,259,735 indicating a growth rate of 1.4 percent per year over the past seven years.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Real Estate Investing

What You Should Know About HUD Properties

November 18, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

imageHUD properties are available all over the United States, and make great investments for anybody that is interested. These homes often get a bad rap for being in bad condition, but in all actuality they are not any worse than other foreclosed homes that are available. Just like anything else, there are some HUD properties that are in good condition, and some that are in need of repairs. It is simply a matter of how well the past owner cared for the home.

HUD properties are homes that had loans which were insured by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). But when the owner fails to live up to the financial obligations that are expected, the bank then takes over the home and it becomes an HUD property. At this point, the Department of Housing and Urban Development is in charge of repaying the lender any money that they lost on the deal. So as you can see, the Department of Housing and Urban Development sticks their neck on the line when they insure the loans on these homes; if the owner doesn’t pay, they are stuck with owing money to the lender.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Foreclosures, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: HUD Properties, Investment Properties, Investment Property, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investment

New Ocean Springs Duplexes: $73,000 Equity

November 13, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

We just announced our latest real estate investment opportunity located in Ocean Springs, Mississippi.  (Ocean Springs Investment Duplexes)

This one happens to be very unique because of the Small Rental Assistance Program (SRAP).  The SRAP program can provide you $73,000 of free government money to purchase your real estate investment.  With this investment you end up gaining over $73,000 of instant equity!  What better way to quickly increase your net worth.

Visit our website and download the free Research Report for complete details, or just click here:  Ocean Springs Investment Duplexes.

Filed Under: Real Estate Investments Tagged With: Mississippi Investment Properties, Mississippi Investment Property, Mississippi Real Estate Investing, Mississippi Real Estate Investment, SRAP

Fed Slashes Key Interest Rate to 1 Percent

October 29, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

In an effort to revive the economy the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate today but a half-point (0.5%). This lowers the rate to 1 percent – the lowest rate since 2003-2004. The last time the federal funds rate was lower than 1 percent was during the Eisenhower administration in 1958.

Today’s interest rate cut was the second half-point cut this month. The last one on October 8, 2008 was in a coordinated move with foreign central banks.

This year’s economic weakness has created huge declines in the price of oil and other commodities. While many economists believe the country is in a recession, they also believe the recent rate cuts and other aggressive actions by the Fed will help prevent a prolonged downturn and help unfreeze the credit markets.

If these aggressive moves by the federal government are successful in thawing the credit markets, it will be great news for real estate investors who are having difficulty financing their real estate investments.

Filed Under: Economy, Financing Tagged With: Economy, Mortgage Loans, Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Finance, Real Estate Financing, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Markets

National Real Estate Market Analysis

October 15, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

eppraisal.com released their National Market Analysis Report for the three months ending August 2008. Of the 188 market areas tracked across the U.S., 43.6 percent show a decline in median home values, which is up from 32.4 percent from the previous three months. This ends the upward trend from the last three reports where the number of markets showing an increase in median home values was on the rise.

Most markets in the report are showing signs of leveling out or increasing values, with California being an exception. California again tops the bottom of the list with 27 of the 28 markets tracked by eppraisal.com showing declining median home values. Chico, CA is the only market that is showing signs of rebounding (see figure below). For this report Chico, CA, saw an increase of 1.70 percent to a median sales price of $245,000.

Six California markets saw double digit declines: Madera down 10 percent, Bakersfield down 10.7 percent, Riverside-San Bernardino down 11.1 percent, Modesto down 11.3 percent, Salinas down 14.3 percent, and Merced down 11.5 percent.

Markets in North Carolina, South Carolina, Ohio, and Oregon continue to gain in value and continue to show signs of a changing market. For example, the Raleigh-Cary, NC, Florence, SC, and the Dayton, OH, markets all saw median home value increases of over five percent. Raleigh-Cary, NC, increased by 8.1 percent to $200,000, Florence, SC, increased by 8.7 percent to $106,000, and Dayton, OH, increased by 10.6 percent to $110,000.

Texas continues to hold on to the postitive trend while Florida starts to dip back into negative waters. In the last report 11 of the 20 areas tracked in Florida by eppraisal.com showed positive increases in median values. This month the number of Florida markets showing increases in home values is down to six: Fort Walton Beach-Destin up 9.7 percent to $203,000, Palm Coast up 8 percent to $175,000, Panama City up 6.7 percent to $176,000, Palm Bay-Melbourne up 5.7 percent to $156,000, West Palm-Boca Raton up 5.6 percent to $285,000 and Jacksonville up 1.7 percent to $183,900. Texas shows the opposite with seven of the 11 areas tracked by eppraisal.com showing increases in median values. At the top of the list sits McAllen-Edinburg with an increase of 7 percent to $115,875, Waco with an increase of 6 percent to 119,621, and Midland with an increase of 4 percent to $172,500.

See the complete list »

Filed Under: Economy, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

Riding Out the Real Estate Market Crash

October 13, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

Riding Out the Real Estate Market CrashReal estate has been regarded as one of the safest investments for quite some time.  However, despite the relative safety of real estate investments, there is always the possibility that the real estate market can fall just like any other investment.

Over the long term, real estate remains relatively safe simply due to the fact that the population of the world continues to increase while land is a limited resource.  When there is an occasional downturn in the real estate market, it is important to recognize certain strategies which can be used in order to keep a real estate investment from becoming a complete loss.

The first thought many people have when they realize the market has turned down is to attempt to sell the property as quickly as possible before the market gets worse.  In reality, most investors have found that it is often better if they can hold onto the property and ride out the market downturn.  While it is possible the market might dip lower before it rebounds, historically real estate markets always come back.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investments Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

The Future of the Housing Market

October 8, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

The Future of the Housing MarketIn some of the worst housing markets in the country, deflation has reached double-digit proportions.  While housing woes have spread around the country, California appears to be poised to rank among the worse.  One of the primary reasons for this is the fact that in the last few quarters California has experienced the largest rate of deflating home prices.  In fact, home prices in California have fallen to levels that have been unprecedented.

Miami, Florida has also proven to be a difficult market at the moment.  The weak mortgage market and record high rates of foreclosures have led to declining home values as well.  In fact, Miami has been among the worst home markets in the country for two years running. The condo boom in Miami just a few years ago has further fueled the problems that have now spiraled into a massive real estate bust.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Financing, Foreclosures, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

The Perfect Storm to Buy Real Estate

October 6, 2008 by Marco Santarelli

This may be the most amazing buyer’s market in decades!

Think about it.  Interest rates are at historic lows.  Housing inventories are at 20-year highs.  Nationally, housing prices have dropped 16.3% since last year.  Sellers of every kinds (home owners, investors, builders, and developers) are motivated to sell their property to liquidate or stay liquid in these tough economic times.

I’m sure most of you have heard these stats before:  Only 2% of retirees will be financially independent by age 65, while the other 98% rely on family, the government or a job to get by financially.

If you want to make a fortune in real estate, and I’m talking about millions of dollars, then now is the time to buy!  Forget about the uncertainties of the stock market and worrying about a recession.  Now is the time to position yourself for real wealth simply by buying real estate in growth markets around the country.

If you’re not sure how to get started then call me.  I will help point you in the right direction.

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Investment Properties, Investment Property, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investment

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