Looking to buy a home or refinance your mortgage? The mortgage rates today are a crucial piece of the puzzle. As of July 3, 2025, the national average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is hovering around 6.79%. But did you know rates can vary quite a bit from state to state? Right now, you'll find some of the lowest rates in New York, California, Massachusetts, Colorado, Connecticut, New Jersey, Utah, and Florida, where rates float between 6.50% and 6.75%. Here's what you need to know.
Mortgage Rates Today: The States Offering Lowest Rates – July 3, 2025
Which States Offer the Sweetest Mortgage Deals Right Now?
Okay, let's dive into where you might find the best rates. As of today, July 3, 2025, here’s a quick rundown of the states with the lowest and highest 30-year new purchase mortgage rates, according to Investopedia's analysis and Zillow's data. These states are offering some of the most favorable mortgage rates in the nation.
- New York: Often a competitive market for lenders, potentially leading to better rates.
- California: High home values can attract lenders, but affordability can be a hurdle.
- Massachusetts: A strong economy often translates to stable lending environments.
- Colorado: Growing population and housing demand can lead to varied rate offerings.
- Connecticut: Similar to Massachusetts, a stable economy can keep rates competitive.
- New Jersey: Proximity to major financial centers may influence rates.
- Utah: Rapid growth and development may present unique lending opportunities.
- Florida: Popular destination with a diverse housing market.
These states are currently showing average 30-year fixed mortgage rates between 6.50% and 6.75%.
Where Are Mortgage Rates on the Higher End?
Unfortunately, not everywhere has the lowest rates. Here are the states where you will find higher mortgage rates:
- Alaska
- West Virginia
- Nebraska
- Iowa
- Rhode Island
- Wyoming
- North Dakota
Homebuyers in these states face averages between 6.86% and 6.94%.
Why the Big Difference?
You might wonder, why the difference from state to state? Several factors are at play:
- Lender Competition: Some states have more lenders vying for your business, which can drive down rates.
- Credit Score Averages: States with higher average credit scores might see slightly better rates overall.
- Loan Size: The average loan size in a state can influence rates, as larger loans might carry different risk profiles.
- State Regulations: Different regulations can impact how lenders operate and what rates they offer.
Don't Fall for the “Teaser Rate” Trap
You've probably seen ads boasting crazy-low mortgage rates. Be careful! These are often “teaser rates” designed to lure you in. They come with catches, like needing to pay points upfront (extra fees) or having a near-perfect credit score. The rates I'm sharing are averages, offering a more realistic picture.
National Mortgage Rate Trends: A Bird's Eye View
Looking at the country as a whole, here's what's happening with mortgage rates:
- Slight Uptick: 30-year rates have nudged up a bit recently, but not by much.
- Still Lower Than May: Things are better than in mid-May when rates hit a high of 7.15%.
- Not as Good as Earlier This Year: Back in March, rates dipped to around 6.50%, and last September, they reached a two-year low of 5.89%.
Mortgage Rate Averages
Loan Type | Rate |
---|---|
30-Year Fixed | 6.79% |
FHA 30-Year Fixed | 7.55% |
15-Year Fixed | 5.77% |
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed | 6.79% |
5/6 ARM | 7.37% |
What's Driving These Fluctuations?
Mortgage rates don't just magically appear. Several key factors influence them:
- The Federal Reserve: The Fed plays a huge role! They control interest rates to manage inflation. When the Fed lowers rates, mortgage rates tend to follow.
- 10-Year Treasury Yield: This is a big one. Mortgage rates often track the 10-year Treasury yield closely. Investors drive these yields up or down based on their outlook on the economy.
- Inflation: If inflation is high, rates tend to rise to compensate.
- The Labor Market: A strong job market can put upward pressure on rates.
- Global Events: Uncertainty in the world economy can also affect rates.
Read More:
States With the Lowest Mortgage Rates on July 2, 2025
Are Mortgage Rates Expected to Go Down Soon: A Realistic Outlook
Peering into the Crystal Ball: What's Ahead for July 2025?
So, what can you expect for the rest of July 2025? Here's what the experts are saying:
- Stable or Gradually Decreasing: Most predict rates will stay relatively steady or maybe decrease a little.
- Above 6.5%: Don't expect rates to plummet. Most analysts believe they'll stay above 6.5% for now.
- No Big Surprises: A dramatic drop is unlikely this month.
- Minor Ups and Downs: Expect some small fluctuations based on economic news.
Mortgage rates in July 2025 are likely to hang around the mid-to-high 6% range. Things are definitely better compared to what we were seeing the past few months. As someone working in this field, this is welcome news!
Take Control: Compare Rates and Crunch the Numbers
Even though rates can be daunting, the best thing you can do is shop around and use online calculators to estimate monthly payments for different loan scenarios. In doing so please consider the following factors to give you a more accurate estimate:
- Home price
- Down payment
- Loan term
- Property taxes
- Homeowners insurance
- Interest rate on the loan (which is highly dependent on your credit score)
Understanding How Macroeconomic Factors Affect You
Mortgage rates are driven by the bond market, the Federal Reserve's (The Fed) monetary policy, and Lender Competition. The Fed's policy is influenced by unemployment rate, inflation and government debt. Because any number of these can cause fluctuations simultaneously, it's generally difficult to attribute any change to any one factor.
As stated above, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is a major influencer of mortgage rates. Since November 2021, the Fed is agressively raising interest rates to fight decades-high inflation. Although the fed funds rate does not directly influence mortgage rates given the magnitude of these rate increases its' impact on mortgage rates has been dramatic over the last two years.
Final Thoughts: For me, understanding mortgage rates wasn't easy at first. It took time to learn the ins and outs of these economic factors! The best advice I can give you is to do your homework, and consider working with a financial advisor.
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Also Read:
- Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
- Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
- Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
- Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
- 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
- 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
- Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
- Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
- Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
- Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
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- Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
- How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
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- Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?