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About Marco Santarelli

Marco Santarelli is an investor, author, Inc. 5000 entrepreneur, and the founder of Norada Real Estate Investments – a nationwide provider of turnkey cash-flow investment property.  His mission is to help 1 million people create wealth and passive income and put them on the path to financial freedom with real estate.  He’s also the host of the top-rated podcast – Passive Real Estate Investing.

Today’s Mortgage Rates, November 20: 15-Year FRM Drops Slightly, Settles at 5.58%

November 20, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 20, 2025

Today's mortgage rates for November 20, 2025, are holding pretty steady, offering a bit of breathing room for potential homebuyers and those looking to refinance. As of this moment, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has nudged up just a hair to 6.18%, while the 15-year fixed rate has dipped slightly to 5.58%, according to the latest insights from Zillow.

Now, this might not sound like huge news, but understanding the subtle shifts and what's truly driving them can make all the difference in your homebuying journey. We're seeing a bit of a tug-of-war. On one side, the 10-year Treasury yield, a key indicator that often leads the way for mortgage rates, has seen a significant climb of over 0.75% in the past week.

Typically, when that Treasury yield goes up, so do mortgage rates. However, mortgage rates haven't quite kept pace. This suggests that lenders are being cautious. They're not immediately passing on those higher borrowing costs fully, likely due to broader economic uncertainties and a desire to gauge where things are headed. It’s a clear sign that while big economic indicators are important, the actual rates you see are also influenced by lender strategy and market sentiment.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 20: 15-Year FRM Drops Slightly, Settles at 5.58%

What the Numbers Tell Us: Today's Average Mortgage Rates

Let's get down to the nitty-gritty. Here's a snapshot of the average mortgage rates you might be seeing right now, based on Zillow's data:

Loan Type Average Rate (Purchase) Average Rate (Refinance)
30-year fixed 6.18% 6.30%
20-year fixed 6.04% 6.43%
15-year fixed 5.58% 5.73%
5/1 ARM 6.32% 6.48%
7/1 ARM 6.30% 6.61%
30-year VA 5.65% 5.74%
15-year VA 5.20% 5.49%
5/1 VA 5.17% 5.25%

It's crucial to remember that these are national averages, and the rates you'll actually be offered can vary based on your credit score, the loan amount, your down payment, and the specific lender you choose. Think of these as a solid starting point for your comparisons.

Refinancing: Is Now the Right Time?

For those of you who already own a home and are thinking about refinancing, the picture is similarly stable, with rates hovering near purchase prices. The table above shows those slightly higher refinance rates. This is pretty standard, as lenders often price in a bit more risk for refinances. However, if you secured a mortgage when rates were considerably higher, there's still a good chance that refinancing could lead to significant savings.

My take on this is that while rates aren't at rock-bottom levels, they are in a zone where refinancing can still make a lot of sense for many homeowners. It’s not always about shaving off fractional percentages; it can be about consolidating debt, switching from an adjustable-rate mortgage to a fixed one for more predictable payments, or shortening your loan term. Always run the numbers with your specific situation in mind.

Fixed vs. Adjustable-Rate Mortgages: A Quick Refresher

When you're looking at mortgage options, one of the first big decisions is between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).

  • Fixed-Rate Mortgage: With a fixed-rate loan, your interest rate will never change for the entire life of the loan. This means your monthly principal and interest payment stays the same, making it easy to budget. The 30-year fixed is the most popular because it offers lower monthly payments, though you'll pay more interest over the life of the loan. The 15-year fixed has a higher monthly payment but saves you a lot of money on interest and you'll own your home free and clear in half the time.
  • Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM): An ARM starts with a lower interest rate than a fixed-rate mortgage for a set period (the “introductory period”). After that, the rate can adjust periodically (usually annually) based on market conditions. For example, a 5/1 ARM has a fixed rate for the first five years, then adjusts once per year after that. ARMs can be attractive if you plan to sell or refinance before the introductory period ends, or if you anticipate interest rates falling. However, they come with the risk that your payments could increase significantly if rates rise.

Looking at today's mortgage rates, November 20, you see that the ARMs (5/1 and 7/1) are currently priced slightly higher than the 15-year and even the 30-year fixed rates. This is a bit unusual and reinforces the lenders' current caution. Typically, ARMs are offered at a lower initial rate. This current pricing might make fixed-rate loans more appealing for many borrowers right now, especially if they're planning to stay in their homes for a while.


Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of November 19, 2025

Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 30 Days: Nov 10 to Dec 10, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for the Next 12 Months: Nov 2025 to Nov 2026

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: October to December 2025

Decoding the Recent Trends: Why the Steadiness?

So, why aren't rates jumping higher when that 10-year Treasury yield is climbing? It's a nuanced situation. Zillow's data points out that just last week, the interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage with conforming loan balances did tick up to 6.37% from 6.34%, reaching its highest point in four weeks. This slight uptick did lead to a decrease in loan applications, down by 5%.

We've seen some positive movement recently, with the Federal Reserve making rate cuts that have helped bring rates down from the approximate 7% range we saw not too long ago. This is a welcome relief for many. However, for rates to continue their downward trend, we'll likely need to see inflation keep cooling and more supportive economic data.

Industry veterans, myself included, are advising caution regarding expectations of a return to the ultra-low rates (think sub-3%) we experienced in 2020 and 2021. Those were extraordinary times, and the economic conditions that allowed for them are not currently present.

However, as I see it, rates are still near some of the lowest points we've seen in a while for today's mortgage rates. This suggests it could be a strategic time for prospective buyers to make a move or for homeowners to explore refinancing. The key advice always remains the same: shop around and compare offers from multiple lenders. Even a small difference in interest rate can translate into thousands of dollars saved over the life of your loan.

The Crystal Ball: What's Next for Mortgage Rates?

Predicting mortgage rates is never an exact science, but we can look at the contributing factors. The general expectation is that mortgage rates will likely stay within a relatively tight range for the next few months.

A couple of things are making the market a bit murky. The ongoing government shutdown and delays in economic reports mean that financial markets are operating with incomplete information. This uncertainty contributes to the sideways movement we're observing in rates.

If upcoming data shows the labor market continuing to cool down, we might see rates drift a bit lower. On the flip side, if there's any renewed economic turbulence or unexpected data releases, we could see more volatility.

Forecasting for the end of next year and beyond varies. Some experts believe rates will stay in the mid-6% range, while others are optimistic about a potential decrease. Personally, I lean towards a period of stabilization, with gradual shifts rather than dramatic swings, unless a major economic event causes a significant disruption. The market is still digesting the impact of past rate hikes and looking for clear signals on inflation and economic growth.

My two cents? Don't wait for perfect conditions. If you're ready to buy, understand the current rates, lock in what works for you, and focus on finding the home you love. If you're looking to refinance, do your homework, get quotes, and see if the savings add up for your financial goals. Current mortgage rates offer a stable, if not thrilling, opportunity to make smart decisions about your housing finances.

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Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 20: 30-Year Refinance Rate Plunges by 36 Basis Points

November 20, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 20, 2025

If you've been tracking mortgage rates, today’s news is likely to bring a smile to your face. The national average 30-year fixed refinance rate has taken a significant tumble, dropping to 6.47% as of Thursday, November 20, 2025. This is a substantial decrease of 36 basis points from the previous week's average of 6.83%, according to data from Zillow. This steep drop means refinancing your mortgage could be more appealing right now than it has been recently, potentially saving homeowners a good chunk of money each month.

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov. 20: 30-Year Refinance Rate Plunges by 36 Basis Points

Let's break down what this means. When you refinance, you're essentially getting a new mortgage to replace your old one. If you can secure a lower interest rate, your monthly payments will decrease. Over the life of a 30-year loan, even a seemingly small reduction in the interest rate can save you thousands of dollars. It's not just about shaving a few dollars off your monthly bill; it's about re-evaluating your financial strategy and taking advantage of favorable market conditions.

What a 36 Basis Point Drop Really Means for Your Wallet

To give you a clearer picture, let’s consider a hypothetical scenario. Imagine you have a $300,000 mortgage balance.

  • At a rate of 6.83% (previous week's average): Your estimated monthly principal and interest payment would be around $1,976.
  • At a rate of 6.47% (today's average): Your estimated monthly principal and interest payment drops to around $1,885.

That’s a saving of about $91 per month, or over $1,090 per year. Over the full 30-year term of the loan, this could amount to nearly $32,700 in savings. Of course, this is a simplified example, and closing costs for a refinance will factor in, but the principle remains: a lower rate means lower borrowing costs.

Beyond the 30-Year Fixed: Other Rates Inch Down Too

It’s not just the popular 30-year fixed refinance rate that’s seen movement. Zillow’s data also shows:

  • The national average 15-year fixed refinance rate has fallen by 37 basis points, now sitting at 5.40% (down from 5.77%). This is excellent news for those looking to pay off their mortgage faster or tap into equity with a shorter loan term.
  • Even the 5-year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) refinance rate has seen a slight decrease of 5 basis points, moving to 7.26% from 7.31%. While ARMs can be attractive for their initial lower rates, it’s crucial to understand their future rate adjustments.

These wider shifts suggest a general trend of lenders offering more competitive rates across different mortgage products.

My Take: Why This Drop Matters to You

As someone who’s followed the housing market and mortgage trends for a while, I see this plunge in refinance rates as a significant signal. It’s not just about the numbers; it indicates a shift in how lenders are pricing risk and their outlook on the economy. After a period of elevated rates, this kind of movement can breathe new life into the refinancing market.

It’s a good reminder that mortgage rates aren’t static. They fluctuate based on a complex interplay of economic factors. For homeowners, staying informed and understanding these dynamics can lead to smart financial decisions. If you’ve been on the fence about refinancing, this might be the perfect time to explore your options. It's always worth checking if you can get a better deal than your current mortgage.

What Influences These Rate Movements? Deeper Insights

It’s easy to just see a number and say, “rates went down.” But what's actually behind these shifts? Understanding the “why” can help you anticipate future trends. Here are some of the key drivers:

  • Inflation's Grip Loosens (Slightly): Inflation is a big player in mortgage rates. When prices for goods and services go up rapidly (high inflation), lenders want to make sure the money they get back from you will still have good buying power. So, they’ll charge higher interest rates. When inflation starts to cool down, as we hope it will, it can signal to lenders that they can afford to lower rates. This recent dip likely reflects some positive signs on the inflation front.
  • The Federal Reserve's Balancing Act: The Federal Reserve doesn't directly set mortgage rates, but its actions send ripples throughout the economy. When the Fed adjusts its key interest rates (like the federal funds rate) or influences how much money is in circulation, it affects how much banks and other lenders have to pay to borrow money themselves. If the Fed has been signaling a potential pause or even cuts in interest rates in the future, that expectation can start to push mortgage rates down before the Fed even makes its move. Conversely, things like the Fed reducing its balance sheet (known as quantitative tightening) can put upward pressure on rates. The recent Fed rate cuts mentioned in the data probably played a role in creating expectations for lower rates.
  • The Bond Market's Mood: Mortgage rates are closely tied to what’s happening with U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly the 10-year Treasury note. Think of it this way: investors have choices about where to put their money. If they feel safe putting it into government bonds (which are seen as very secure), they might accept a lower return (yield). When interest in these safe bonds goes up, their yields tend to go down. Since mortgage lenders often bundle mortgages into securities that compete with bonds for investor money, when bond yields fall, mortgage rates tend to follow suit.
  • Supply and Demand in Housing: The number of homes available versus the number of people wanting to buy them also matters. If there are too many houses for sale and not enough buyers, prices can fall, and lenders might offer lower rates to encourage borrowing. The flip side is a shortage of homes, which drives up prices and can lead to higher rates. Right now, we're seeing a bit of a stalemate: high home prices and high mortgage rates have made it tough for many people to buy. This reduced demand can put some downward pressure on rates as the market tries to find a balance.
  • Economic Growth and Jobs: When the economy is booming and unemployment is low, people generally feel more confident to borrow money and spend. This increased demand for loans can push interest rates up. When the economy is sluggish and jobs are scarce, the opposite happens. To encourage borrowing and spending, interest rates are often lowered. So, the current economic growth picture and employment figures are also factored into the rate calculations.

Recommended Read:

30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – November 19, 2025

Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026? 

Key Factors for Refinance Eligibility: It's Not Just the Rate!

While a great rate is exciting, it's not the only thing lenders look at when you want to refinance. Here are some crucial elements they'll consider:

  • Credit Score: This is a big one. Lenders use your credit score to gauge how risky it is to lend you money. A higher credit score (generally 740 and above) usually means you'll get the best rates. If your score has improved since you last got your mortgage, you're in a stronger position to refinance.
  • Loan-to-Value (LTV) Ratio: This compares how much you owe on your mortgage to the current market value of your home. Lenders prefer lower LTV ratios, meaning you have more equity in your home. A lower LTV ratio can also lead to better refinance rates.
  • Income and Employment Stability: Lenders want to see that you have a steady and sufficient income to comfortably make your mortgage payments. They’ll look at your debt-to-income ratio (DTI), which is the percentage of your gross monthly income that goes toward paying your monthly debt obligations.
  • Property Type and Condition: The type of property (e.g., single-family home, condo) and its condition can influence refinance eligibility and rates.

In Summary: Is Now the Time to Refinance?

The drop in the 30-year fixed refinance rate to 6.47% on November 20, 2025, is a noteworthy development. Combined with decreases in 15-year and ARM rates, it suggests a favorable moment for homeowners to explore refinancing. My personal view is that while market conditions can change quickly, these new rates offer a tangible opportunity to potentially lower monthly payments and save money over the long term.

However, always remember to do your homework. Get quotes from multiple lenders, understand all the fees involved, and compare them to your current mortgage. What’s right for one person might not be right for another, so assess your individual financial situation carefully. This is a great time to be proactive and see if you can take advantage of these improved rates!

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q1: What exactly is a basis point?
A basis point is a unit of measure used in finance to describe the smallest change in a fixed income instrument's yield or interest rate. One basis point is equal to 1/100 of a percentage point. So, a 36 basis point drop means interest rates fell by 0.36%.

Q2: Does this drop in refinance rates mean purchase mortgage rates are also falling?
While refinance and purchase mortgage rates often move in the same direction, they aren't always identical. Lenders price them differently based on various factors. However, a general easing of rates in the market often benefits both. It’s always best to check current purchase mortgage rates specifically.

Q3: Are there any costs associated with refinancing?
Yes, refinancing typically involves closing costs, similar to when you first bought your home. These can include appraisal fees, title insurance, origination fees, and more. It’s important to calculate your “break-even point” – how long it will take for your monthly savings to offset these costs.

Q4: How long will these lower rates last?
Predicting exact rate movements is impossible. They are influenced by many ongoing economic factors. My advice is to act when you see favorable conditions that align with your financial goals, rather than waiting indefinitely.

Q5: I have a lower credit score than I did when I got my current mortgage. Can I still refinance?
While a higher credit score generally secures the best rates, it doesn't mean you can't refinance with a lower score. You might qualify for a rate that's better than your current rate, but it might not be the absolute lowest rate available on the market. It's worth exploring your options to see what lenders offer.

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Norada's team can guide you through current market dynamics and help you position your investments wisely—whether you're looking to reduce rates, pull out equity, or expand your portfolio.

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Recommended Read:

  • When You Refinance a Mortgage Do the 30 Years Start Over?
  • Should You Refinance as Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Level in Over a Year?
  • NAR Predicts 6% Mortgage Rates in 2025 Will Boost Housing Market
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for 2025: Expert Forecast
  • Half of Recent Home Buyers Got Mortgage Rates Below 5%
  • Mortgage Rates Need to Drop by 2% Before Buying Spree Begins
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again: Future Outlook
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for 2025: Expert Forecast

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage, mortgage rates, Mortgage Refinance Rates

Mortgage Rates Predictions for 2026: A Gradual Thaw in a Cooling Economy

November 20, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Predictions for 2026: A Gradual Thaw in a Cooling Economy

The question on everyone’s mind, especially if you're dreaming of homeownership or looking to refinance: what will mortgage rates do by 2026? Based on current economic indicators and expert analysis, mortgage rates in 2026 are expected to see a modest decline, likely hovering between 5.9% and 6.5% for a 30-year fixed loan. While a significant drop below 6% isn't a certainty, this anticipated easing offers a glimmer of hope for a more accessible housing market.

Mortgage Rate Predictions for 2026: A Gradual Thaw in a Cooling Economy

As I look at the data and speak with folks who follow this stuff closely, it feels like we're moving from a period of significant upward pressure on rates to a more stable, slowly descending path. It’s not a freefall, mind you, but it’s definitely a move in the right direction after the highs we’ve seen. This isn't just about numbers; it's about how people can afford their homes, build equity, and participate in the American dream.

The Road Behind Us: From Pandemic Perks to Pricey Mortgages

To understand where we're headed, we have to look back at how we got here. Remember those unbelievably low mortgage rates around 2021? A 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged a stunning 3.15%. It was a golden age for home buyers and refinancers!

Then, as we all know, the economy started to heat up fast. Inflation, which had been pretty quiet, suddenly surged. To try and tame it, the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates pretty aggressively. This “interest rate hike” cycle meant mortgage rates shot up, hitting a peak near 7% in 2023. Ouch. For anyone trying to buy a house, that meant much higher monthly payments. It also created a “lock-in effect” where homeowners with super-low rates weren't selling their homes, leading to less inventory.

Now, as we stand in late 2025, rates have stabilized a bit, mostly hovering in the 6.2% to 6.7% range. This is still high compared to a few years ago, but it’s a welcome pause after the rapid increases.

Here's a quick look at how rates have moved:

Year Average 30-Year Fixed Rate (%) Key Reason
2020 3.38 Pandemic stimulus, low inflation
2021 3.15 Continued Fed support, record-low yields
2022 5.53 Inflation starts to rise, Fed hikes begin
2023 7.00 Aggressive Fed action to curb inflation
2024 (Estimate) 6.90 Inflation slows, Fed begins cuts
2025 (Estimate) 6.73 More rate cuts, mortgage rates stabilize
2026 (Projection) ~5.9% – 6.5% Further easing, economic moderation

This table shows just how much rates can swing based on what the economy is doing.

chart showing mortgage rate predictions for 2026

What's Driving the 2026 Forecasts? It's All About Balance

The predictions for 2026 mortgage rates aren't pulled out of thin air. They're based on careful analysis of what drives these costs. Think of it like a delicate balancing act between a few key economic forces:

  • Fighting Inflation: The Federal Reserve's main goal has been to get inflation back down to their target of around 2%. If they succeed, and inflation stays down, it gives the Fed room to lower its own key interest rates. Lower short-term rates from the Fed generally lead to lower long-term rates, including mortgage rates.
  • The Economy's Health: Is the economy humming along nicely without overheating? Or is it slowing down too much, perhaps heading towards a recession? Forecasters are hoping for a “soft landing”—where the economy cools down just enough to curb inflation without crashing. If the economy weakens significantly, the Fed might cut rates more, pushing mortgage rates down faster. But if it stays surprisingly strong and inflation proves stubborn, rates might stay higher for longer.
  • Treasury Yields: Mortgage rates are closely tied to the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly the 10-year Treasury. When investors demand higher yields on these safe investments (meaning they can get more for their money), mortgage lenders also have to charge more. Factors like government spending, international demand for U.S. debt, and general economic sentiment all influence Treasury yields.
  • Job Market Stability: A strong job market usually means people have money to spend and borrow, which can sometimes fuel inflation. If job growth slows down considerably, it might signal a weaker economy, which again could lead to lower interest rates.

My take on this? From what I’ve seen, the Fed has made real progress on inflation. Core inflation (which strips out volatile food and energy prices) is still a bit sticky, but I'm optimistic it will continue its downward trend. This should give the Fed the confidence to continue cutting rates, which should translate to lower mortgage rates in 2026. However, I don't see us returning to the sub-4% rates of the early 2020s anytime soon. Those were truly extraordinary times.

What the Experts Are Saying: A Range of Views

You'll find a spectrum of opinions when you look at mortgage rate predictions for 2026. This isn't a bad thing; it actually highlights the uncertainties involved.

  • Fannie Mae, a big player in the mortgage market, expects rates to end 2026 around 5.9%. They're betting on the Fed making a couple more moves to lower rates.
  • The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), on the other hand, sees things as a bit more stable. They predict rates to be around 6.4% for the year. They seem to think things like wage growth might keep some pressure on yields.
  • The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has a slightly more optimistic outlook, anticipating an average rate around 6.0%. They believe better affordability will boost home sales.
  • Other institutions like Wells Fargo and the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) are looking at rates in the 6.2% to 6.25% range. They often point to ongoing costs in building homes and labor market tightness as factors that could keep rates from falling too much.

Here's a visual of those different predictions:

Mortgage Rate Predictions for 2026

While the exact numbers vary, the general trend points towards lower rates than we have right now, but likely not dramatically lower.

How Will This Affect You? Breaking Down the Impact

So, what does a potential drop in mortgage rates mean for different people?

  • For Homebuyers: Even a half-percentage-point drop can make a big difference. On a $400,000 mortgage, a rate of 6.0% instead of 6.5% could save you roughly $120 per month and nearly $43,000 over the life of the loan. For first-time buyers struggling with affordability, this easing can be crucial. However, home prices are also expected to continue rising, albeit at a slower pace (around 1.3%–2.5%). So, while rates might improve, the overall cost of buying could still be a challenge.
  • For Refinancers: If you have a mortgage with a rate above 6.5% or 7%, a move down towards 6% could finally make refinancing worthwhile. Many homeowners have been stuck with their existing low-rate mortgages (the “lock-in effect”). A decrease could prompt a wave of refinancing, allowing people to lower their monthly payments by a couple of hundred dollars.
  • For Sellers: With potentially more buyers able to afford homes, the housing market could become more active. This could lead to quicker home sales and a modest increase in prices. However, more inventory might also mean less intense bidding wars compared to the frenzied market of a few years ago.
  • For the Economy: Increased home sales and refinancing activity generally give the economy a boost. More construction means more jobs, and people who can lower their monthly payments have more money to spend elsewhere.

Here's a simple table summarizing the potential benefits:

Group Benefit of ~0.5% Rate Drop Potential Hurdle
Homebuyers Lower monthly payments, improved affordability Still-rising home prices, down payment challenges
Refinancers Reduced mortgage payments, cash savings Need to qualify for new loan, appraisal values
Sellers Faster sales, potentially higher prices Increased competition, property taxes
Overall Economy Stimulus via construction and consumer spending Inflation risks, global economic shifts

The Wildcards: What Could Throw a Wrench in the Works?

No prediction is foolproof. There are always risks that could push mortgage rates in unexpected directions:

  • Stubborn Inflation: What if inflation doesn't cool down as expected? If it stays stubbornly above 2%, the Fed might have to hold off on rate cuts for longer, or even consider raising them again. This would likely keep mortgage rates higher than predicted, possibly edging back towards 6.8% or 7%.
  • Economic Shocks: A sudden recession, a major geopolitical event (like a new conflict impacting oil prices), or unexpected supply chain issues could send shockwaves through the economy. A severe downturn might force the Fed to cut rates aggressively, dropping mortgage rates significantly, perhaps to the 5.5% range. On the flip side, surprisingly strong economic growth could keep rates elevated.
  • Government Spending/Debt: High levels of government borrowing can sometimes put upward pressure on interest rates as the government competes for funds in the bond market.

Given these uncertainties, I always advise people to prepare for a range of possibilities. Don't bet your entire financial plan on rates dropping dramatically. Consider your own timeline and financial situation when making housing decisions.

My Own Thoughts: Patience and Preparedness

From my perspective, the 2026 mortgage rate predictions suggest a market that is gradually becoming more accessible. The days of 3% rates are likely behind us for the foreseeable future, but the peak of 7%+ seems to be receding. This middle ground, the mid-6% range, offers a more balanced environment.

For those looking to buy, my advice is to focus on what you can control:

  1. Improve your credit score: A higher score gets you better rates.
  2. Save for a solid down payment: This reduces your loan amount and can sometimes open up better loan options.
  3. Get pre-approved for a mortgage: This gives you a clear picture of what you can afford and shows sellers you're a serious buyer.
  4. Shop around for lenders: Don't just go with the first one you talk to. Rates and fees can vary.

For those looking to refinance, keep a close eye on rates. If we see a sustained drop of 0.5% or more from your current rate, it might be time to explore your options.

The housing market is a complex beast, influenced by so many factors. While we can analyze trends and listen to expert opinions, life often throws curveballs. The key is to stay informed, be prepared, and make decisions that align with your personal financial goals, not just chase the latest rate prediction.

In essence, 2026 looks set to be a year of cautious optimism for the housing market, driven by a slow and steady easing of mortgage rates. It won't be a return to the wild lows of the pandemic era, but it should be a welcome improvement for many aiming to achieve homeownership or financial flexibility through refinancing.

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Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down Below 6% in the Next 60 Days?
  • Who Benefits Most from Today's Lower Mortgage Rates?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down Below 6% in the Next 60 Days?

November 20, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down Below 6% in the Next Two Months?

Based on what I'm seeing and hearing from the experts, combined with the latest economic figures and recent rate trends, it's highly unlikely that average 30-year fixed mortgage rates will drop below 6% within the next two months. While I know that's probably not the news some of you were hoping for, it’s important to have a realistic picture of where things stand.

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down Below 6% in the Next 60 Days?

Predicting these things precisely is more of an art than a science. There are a lot of moving parts, and even the most respected analysts often have differing opinions. However, the consensus among major players like Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) suggests that we’ll likely see rates stay above that 6% mark through the end of 2025.

Some forecasts even suggest a possibility of dipping below 6% by late 2026. While a short-term forecast from HSH.com (ending January 2, 2026) places average rates in the 5.98% to 6.38% range, this still hints at staying right around or just above the 6% threshold in the immediate future.

So, What’s Really Driving Mortgage Rates Right Now?

It's easy to look at mortgage rates and think they’re just plucked out of thin air. But in reality, they're deeply connected to the economy and the decisions made by big players like the Federal Reserve. Think of it like a complex machine with many gears.

The Federal Reserve's Balancing Act

You’ve probably heard a lot about the Federal Reserve (often called the “Fed”). They are the central bank of the United States, and one of their main jobs is to manage the economy by influencing interest rates. Back in September and October of 2025, the Fed made two rate cuts, each of 25 basis points. This was a move designed to help out a labor market that was showing signs of weakness.

Now, a common question I get is: “Will these cuts automatically make my mortgage cheaper?” Not directly, and not overnight. The Fed’s cuts directly impact the federal funds rate, which is a short-term borrowing rate between banks. While this influences everything else in the financial system, mortgage rates are more closely tied to longer-term trends.

The big unknown is whether the Fed will decide to cut rates again in December. Officials are looking at a lot of data, and honestly, they're getting some mixed signals. Some see the economy improving, while others are still concerned about inflation. This uncertainty is a huge reason why mortgage rates aren't dropping rapidly. Traders are essentially split on whether another December cut will happen.

Inflation's Persistent Glow

Let’s look at the numbers. As of mid-November 2025, the latest figures show a Core CPI of around 2.95% year-over-year, with the overall headline CPI at roughly 2.99%. This means inflation has been rebounding slightly, largely thanks to higher energy and shelter costs, but it’s still hanging below the critical 3% mark.

  • October 2025 Inflation Recap: Monthly data for October showed CPI increasing by 0.31% and Core CPI by 0.25%.

While these numbers are concerning enough to make the Fed cautious, they aren't so high that they necessarily demand immediate, aggressive action to raise rates. This persistent, but not runaway, inflation is a key factor keeping the Fed from aggressively lowering rates, which in turn keeps mortgage rates from dropping sharply.

The Job Market: Still Resilient, But Showing Cracks

The labor market is another crucial piece of the puzzle for the Fed. According to ADP, US companies have been shedding jobs at an average of about 2,500 per week in the four weeks leading up to November 1, 2025. Now, that might sound alarming, but it's a relatively small number in the grand scheme of the US economy.

We’re still awaiting updated government reports for October due to recent delays, but the September 2025 employment data gave us a picture of around 50,000 new jobs added, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%.

So, what does this tell us? The job market isn't roaring back to life, but it also isn't collapsing. This “middle ground” is what gives the Fed room to consider rate cuts, but the slight softening we're seeing in job additions might be enough to encourage them to pause and assess further before December.

Treasury Yields: A Modest Downward Trend

When we talk about mortgage rates, it's impossible to ignore the 10-year Treasury yield. As of November 18, 2025, this important benchmark is sitting at 4.12%.

What’s interesting is that this yield has declined modestly from earlier highs. It's actually about 0.29 percentage points lower than it was at the same time last year. This downward movement is a direct reaction to investors anticipating further Fed action and responding to the softer economic data we've been seeing, such as the jobs figures and the sticky-but-not-exploding inflation. Lower Treasury yields generally translate to lower mortgage rates, but as you can see, 4.12% on the 10-year yield doesn't typically translate to a 30-year fixed mortgage rate much below 6%.

Where Are Mortgage Rates Actually Sitting?

Looking at the Primary Mortgage Market Survey® data from November 13, 2025, provides a very current snapshot. The average 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (FRM) is currently at 6.24%.

It's worth noting that this is a slight increase of 0.02% from the week prior. However, when we look back a year, it's a significant improvement, down -0.54% from the same time last year. The monthly average is sitting just below at 6.21%, and the 52-week average is higher at 6.67%. The 52-week range has seen rates as low as 6.17% and as high as 7.04%.

Even the 15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (FRM), which typically offers a lower rate, is at 5.49%. This is down just a hair by -0.01% from the previous week and down -0.50% year-over-year.

These figures from the survey reinforce the idea that we're hovering right around that 6% mark, and the very slight uptick within the last week suggests that any immediate downward pressure is being countered by other market forces.


Related Topics:

Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 30 Days: Nov 10 to Dec 10, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for the Next 12 Months: Nov 2025 to Nov 2026

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: October to December 2025

What Does This Mean for You as a Homebuyer?

Seeing a target like “sub-6% mortgage rates” can make anyone want to hit the pause button on their homebuying plans. I understand that temptation. However, from my experience, waiting for the “perfect” rate is often a gamble that doesn’t pay off. Here’s why:

  • Predicting the Future is Hard (Really Hard!): As we've discussed, there are so many economic forces at play. Even experts get it wrong. You could wait for rates to drop, only to find they actually go up, or stay the same. The slight week-over-week increase in the 30-year FRM shows just how sensitive these numbers are.
  • Home Prices Can Keep Rising: While higher mortgage rates can cool down buyer demand slightly, in many areas, low inventory continues to be a major issue. If rates do drop significantly in the future and more buyers flood the market, home prices could easily tick back up. You might end up paying more for the house in price, even if your monthly payment is similar due to a lower rate.
  • You Can Improve Your Odds: Instead of just waiting, I always advise my clients to focus on what they can control.

  • Boost Your Credit Score: Even a small improvement can make a difference. Pay bills on time, reduce credit card balances.
  • Save for a Bigger Down Payment: More money down means borrowing less and potentially getting a better rate.
  • Shop Around: This is HUGE! Don't just go with the first lender you talk to. Get quotes from at least 3-5 different lenders – banks, credit unions, mortgage brokers. You might be surprised at the differences.
  • Explore Different Loan Options: Have you talked about an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)? While they come with their own risks, the introductory rates can be lower than fixed rates. Or consider a shorter loan term if your budget allows for the higher monthly payment; you'll pay significantly less interest over the life of the loan and potentially can get a lower fixed rate.

My Personal Take: Don't Be Paralyzed by Rate Fear

I’ve seen buyers hold off for months, even years, waiting for rates to hit a certain number. Sometimes it works out, but more often than not, they either miss out on a home they loved or end up paying more overall because of rising prices.

My advice is to figure out what monthly payment you are comfortable with and what you can afford today. Get your finances in order, get pre-approved, and start your home search. You can always refinance down the line if rates do drop significantly. Many homeowners who bought homes in recent years when rates were also elevated have since refinanced to lower rates. It's a strategy that has worked for many, and it could work for you too.

The market is dynamic, and while it looks improbable that we'll see average mortgage rates plummet below 6% in the next 60 days, that doesn't mean buying a home isn't a smart move for you right now. Focus on your financial health, do your homework, and make a decision that feels right for your personal circumstances.

Want Stronger Returns? Invest Where the Housing Market’s Growing

Turnkey rental properties in fast-growing housing markets offer a powerful way to generate passive income with minimal hassle.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find stable, cash-flowing markets beyond the bubble zones—so you can build wealth without the risks of ultra-competitive areas.

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Also Read:

  • Who Benefits Most from Today's Lower Mortgage Rates?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Utah Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years: 2025 to 2027

November 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Utah Housing Market Forecast for the Next 2 Years

Let's talk about what's happening and what might happen in the Utah housing market over the next couple of years. If you're wondering if home prices will drop in Utah or if it could crash, the short answer for the next two years is likely no, especially not a significant crash. The Utah housing market in 2025 is showing signs of steady, albeit slower, growth and a more balanced environment compared to the frenzy of recent years.

Utah Housing Market Trends

Before we peek into the future, it's super important to understand where we are right now. Think of it like checking the weather before you pack for a trip. We need to know the current conditions to make sense of the forecast.

What's Happening with Utah Homes Right Now?

According to Zillow, here's the scoop on Utah's housing market as of late 2025:

  • Average Home Value: The average home in Utah is valued at $530,173. This is a good sign, showing a 2.2% increase over the last year. It means your home is likely worth more than it was, and for buyers, it means prices are still appreciating, just at a more sensible pace.
  • How Fast Homes Are Selling: Homes are spending about 36 days on the market before going into contract (pending). This is a noticeable difference from the lightning-fast sales we saw not too long ago. It suggests buyers have a bit more time to make decisions, and sellers might not get 20 offers on day one.
  • How Many Homes Are for Sale: As of October 31, 2025, there are 16,138 homes for sale. This is the housing inventory, or the supply of homes. Having more homes available is great for buyers because it means more choices and less intense competition.
  • New Homes Hitting the Market: In October 2025, there were 3,819 new listings. This number tells us how many fresh opportunities are coming up for buyers.
  • What Homes Are Selling For: The median sale price (what half the homes sold for more than, and half sold for less) was $522,102 in September 2025. This is slightly less than the median list price of $568,883 in October 2025. This difference between list and sale price is something to watch.
  • Are Homes Selling Above Asking Price? This is where things get interesting. Only 21.9% of sales were over the list price, while a significant 56.9% were under the list price. This is a strong indicator that the intense bidding wars are largely over, and we're moving towards a more balanced market. This data from Zillow really paints a picture of a market that's cooling down from its peak but is far from crashing.

The Buyer vs. Seller Market: Where Do We Stand?

Based on these numbers, Utah is leaning more towards a buyer's market, or at least a balanced market.

  • For Sellers: While homes are still appreciating, you might not get the astronomical offers you saw a year or two ago. You'll likely need to price your home realistically and be prepared for negotiations. Homes are taking longer to sell, so patience is key.
  • For Buyers: This is a much better time to buy! You have more homes to choose from, you have more time to make a decision without feeling rushed, and you're less likely to get into a bidding war where you have to offer way over asking. You might even be able to negotiate a bit on price or ask for seller concessions.

Utah Housing Market Predictions for the Next 2 Years: 2025 to 2027

Now, let's look ahead. What do the experts think will happen with the Utah housing market over the next two years, roughly from late 2025 through 2026 and into early 2027?

Utah's Major Cities: A Closer Look

Zillow's forecast for different areas within Utah gives us a good idea of regional differences. Let's focus on some key areas and their projected home value changes:

Projected Home Value Changes (in percentage)

Region Name Base Date Oct 2025 Dec 2025 Sep 2026
Salt Lake City, UT 30-09-2025 0.4% 0.3% 1.6%
Ogden, UT 30-09-2025 0.5% 0.7% 2.5%
Provo, UT 30-09-2025 0.4% 0.5% 1.7%
St. George, UT 30-09-2025 0.0% -0.3% 1.4%
Logan, UT 30-09-2025 0.5% 0.8% 2.6%
Heber, UT 30-09-2025 0.2% 0.3% 3.4%
Cedar City, UT 30-09-2025 0.1% 0.3% 2.5%
Vernal, UT 30-09-2025 0.5% 1.2% 4.3%
Price, UT 30-09-2025 0.3% 0.9% 5.4%

(Data Source: Zillow)

What does this table tell us?

  • Near-Term (Late 2025): For October and December 2025, the projections show very small positive or slightly negative changes. For instance, Salt Lake City is expected to see just a 0.4% increase in October and a 0.3% increase in December. St. George even shows a slight dip of -0.3% by December. This indicates a period of stability rather than rapid growth. It’s like the market is treading water before deciding on its next move.
  • Medium-Term (Through September 2026): Looking out to September 2026, the picture brightens considerably for most areas. We see positive growth projected across the board.
    • Stronger Growth Areas: Places like Vernal and Price are forecasted to see the highest growth (4.3% and 5.4% respectively by September 2026). Heber also shows strong potential at 3.4%. These might be areas experiencing increased demand or having more affordable entry points that are attracting buyers.
    • Steady Growth Areas: Cities like Ogden, Logan, and Cedar City are looking at solid growth of around 2.5% to 2.6%.
    • Moderate Growth Areas: Salt Lake City and Provo are projected to see more moderate gains of 1.6% and 1.7%.
    • St. George: This area, which showed a slight dip late in 2025, is forecast to recover and see a 1.4% increase by September 2026.

My Take: Overall, the Zillow forecast suggests a slow and steady approach for the Utah housing market over the next two years. We're not looking at massive jumps in home prices, but more importantly, we're not seeing signs of a crash. The market is expected to gradually gain momentum throughout 2026.

Comparing Utah to the Nation: What's Happening Elsewhere?

It’s always helpful to see how Utah stacks up against the rest of the country. Zillow and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) have some interesting predictions for the U.S. housing market.

Key Predictions from Zillow (Nationwide):

  • Home Value Growth: Zillow predicts that home value growth will be flat in 2025 and then start to recover in 2026. They expect annual growth to peak at nearly 1.9% by August 2026. This aligns with the idea of a gradual recovery after a period of cooling.
  • Home Sales: The number of home sales is expected to be around 4.07 million by the end of 2025, which is a slight increase from 2024. More sales mean more activity, which is generally a good sign for the market.
  • Rents: Rental growth is expected to continue cooling, meaning rent increases might not be as steep as they have been.

Key Predictions from NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun (Nationwide):

Lawrence Yun, a well-respected economist, shares an optimistic outlook. He sees “brighter days” ahead.

  • Existing Home Sales: He forecasts a 6% rise in 2025 and an even bigger 11% jump in 2026. This is a pretty significant increase, suggesting more people will be buying and selling homes.
  • New Home Sales: New construction is also expected to do well, with a 10% increase in 2025 and another 5% in 2026. This is great news for housing inventory, as it helps to build more homes to meet demand.
  • Median Home Prices: Yun predicts modest increases in median home prices, with a 3% rise in 2025 and 4% in 2026. This is a healthy, sustainable pace of appreciation.
  • Mortgage Rates: This is a big one! Yun expects mortgage rates to average 6.4% in the latter half of 2025 and then dip to 6.1% in 2026. He calls them a “magic bullet” because lower rates make buying a home more affordable, which can boost demand.

My Thoughts on the National Picture: The national forecast suggests a market that is also recovering. The key takeaway is that mortgage rates are expected to become more favorable, which is fantastic news for affordability. More home sales and modest price growth across the U.S. indicate a market that's moving towards a healthier balance.

Will Home Prices Drop in Utah? Can it Crash?

So, back to the big question: Will Utah home prices crash? Based on all the data and forecasts from Zillow and NAR, the answer for the next two years is highly unlikely.

Here’s why:

  1. Steady Appreciation: Both Utah-specific forecasts and national outlooks point to continued, albeit modest, home price appreciation in 2025 and 2026. We're not seeing predictions of significant drops.
  2. Improving Affordability (Potentially): While prices are still high, the combination of slightly more homes on the market and potentially stabilizing or slightly decreasing mortgage rates (as predicted nationally) can improve buyer affordability over time. This demand helps keep prices from plummeting.
  3. Housing Supply Issues: Even with new construction, Utah has faced challenges with keeping up with demand for housing for years. This underlying housing inventory shortage is a strong factor preventing major price drops.
  4. Utah's Economic Growth: Utah has a generally strong economy. While economic downturns can affect housing, the current outlook for Utah is still quite positive.

A “crash” usually implies a rapid and steep decline in prices, often driven by major economic shocks or an oversupply of homes. The current trends and forecasts don't support this scenario for Utah in the near future.

A Peek Ahead: Late 2026 and Early 2027

Extrapolating from the current forecasts, here's what we might expect as we move towards the end of 2026 and into early 2027:

  • Continued Gentle Growth: The momentum from 2026 is likely to carry into early 2027. We should see home values continue to appreciate at a sustainable pace, similar to the 3-4% range predicted nationally for 2026.
  • Mortgage Rates: If mortgage rates continue to trend downwards as predicted, this will keep buyer demand strong and support price growth.
  • Inventory Levels: We might see a slight improvement in housing inventory as more new homes come online and as some homeowners who were hesitant to sell might feel more confident listing their properties. However, it's unlikely to swing dramatically to a severe seller's market again.
  • More Balanced Market: The trend towards a more balanced market is expected to continue. This means buyers will have more options and negotiation power than in the recent past, while sellers will still likely see good returns on their homes.

In essence, the Utah housing market forecast for the next 2 years points towards a period of stabilization followed by gradual, healthy growth. It's a market that's becoming more accessible for buyers and still rewarding for sellers, but without the extreme volatility of previous years.

I hope this deep dive helps you feel more confident about navigating the Utah housing market! It's always a good idea to keep an eye on local news and talk to real estate professionals for the most up-to-date information. Happy house hunting or selling!

Want Stronger Returns? Invest Where the Housing Market’s Growing

Turnkey rental properties in fast-growing housing markets offer a powerful way to generate passive income with minimal hassle.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find stable, cash-flowing markets beyond the bubble zones—so you can build wealth without the risks of ultra-competitive areas.

🔥 HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Utah Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast
  • Utah Clinches Top Spot for America's Best State
  • Ogden Housing Market 2024: Trends and Forecast
  • Salt Lake City Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast
  • Should You Invest In The Salt Lake City Housing Market?

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Utah

Today’s Mortgage Rates, November 19: Rates Tick Up, 30-Year FRM Rises to 6.15%

November 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 20, 2025

If you're looking to buy a home or refinance your current mortgage, you're probably wondering what's happening with today's mortgage rates on November 19. According to Zillow, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has inched up a bit, now sitting at 6.15%. The 15-year fixed rate also saw a similar bump, reaching 5.60%.

While these might seem like small shifts, they’re pretty much where we were just a couple of weeks ago, and really, about where they've been for a good chunk of November. It’s a bit of a mixed bag out there, but definitely not the wild rollercoaster we've seen at other times.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 19: Rates Tick Up, 30-Year FRM Rises to 6.15%

What the Numbers Say: Today's Mortgage Rates

Let's break down the specifics from Zillow for November 19, 2025. These are the national averages, so your actual rate might be a little different based on your credit score, down payment, and other factors.

Loan Type Average Rate
30-year fixed 6.15%
20-year fixed 5.97%
15-year fixed 5.60%
5/1 ARM 6.28%
7/1 ARM 6.03%
30-year VA 5.60%
15-year VA 5.26%
5/1 VA 5.25%

Note: VA rates are often lower for eligible veterans and service members.

Considering a Refinance? Here’s the Data

If you’re thinking about refinancing your current mortgage, the rates are slightly different. Generally, refinance rates can be a little higher than purchase rates. This is because lenders often see refinancing as a slightly different risk.

Loan Type Average Refinance Rate
30-year fixed 6.28%
20-year fixed 6.08%
15-year fixed 5.74%
5/1 ARM 6.48%
7/1 ARM 6.49%
30-year VA 5.75%
15-year VA 5.47%
5/1 VA 5.48%

What's Driving These Rates? More Than Just a Coin Toss

It’s easy to just look at the numbers and feel like they’re arbitrary. But there are some big economic forces at play that push mortgage rates up and down. Understanding these can give you a much better picture of why rates behave the way they do.

  • The Federal Reserve's Moves: The Federal Reserve is like the captain of a ship, trying to steer the economy. They’ve tinkered with their key interest rate – the federal funds rate – by cutting it twice this year (in September and October). This usually makes borrowing cheaper. Mortgage rates did dip a bit in anticipation of these cuts, but now they’ve flattened out. The big question is whether they’ll cut rates again in December. Uncertainty around this can make the market a bit hesitant.
  • The 10-Year Treasury Yield: This is a super important one for mortgages. Think of mortgage lenders like they’re borrowing money themselves to lend it to you. They often borrow based on the 10-year Treasury note. Right now, that yield is lower than it was last year. On top of that, lenders aren’t adding as big a “spread” (their profit margin) as they used to. Both of these factors are helping to keep mortgage rates from climbing too high.
  • Inflation and the Economy: Inflation is that sneaky little thing that makes prices go up. Even though there are signs that inflation might be cooling down in certain areas, like rent, it’s still a concern. Persistent inflation makes it hard for rates to drop significantly because the Fed might hold off on cutting rates to keep it in check. Also, how the job market is doing and if the economy might slow down play a big role. If people stop spending as much, businesses might lower prices, and that can influence interest rates.
  • Homebuyers and Homeowners: Let’s be honest, high home prices combined with higher mortgage rates have made it tough for many people to buy a home. On the flip side, many homeowners who locked in super low rates during the pandemic years are hesitant to move or refinance. They don't want to trade their 3% or 4% mortgage for a 6% one. This “rate lock-in” effect means fewer homes are for sale and fewer people are refinancing. However, this could eventually change as more people decide they need to move or as more homes become available.


Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of November 18, 2025

Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 30 Days: Nov 10 to Dec 10, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for the Next 12 Months: Nov 2025 to Nov 2026

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: October to December 2025

30-Year vs. 15-Year Mortgages: A Quick Look

When you’re looking at today's mortgage rates, you’ll see options for different loan terms. The two most common are the 30-year fixed and the 15-year fixed. Each has its own trade-offs, and picking the right one is a big decision.

How Loan Term Affects Total Interest Paid Over Time

This is the most crucial difference.

  • 30-Year Fixed: You’ll have lower monthly payments, which makes it easier to afford a more expensive home or just have more breathing room in your budget. However, over the full 30 years, you’ll pay significantly more in interest.
  • 15-Year Fixed: Your monthly payments will be higher, meaning you need to qualify for a larger payment. But, you’ll pay off your mortgage much faster and save a ton of money on interest over the life of the loan.

Monthly Payment Breakdown: 30-Year vs. 15-Year Fixed Loans

Let’s say you’re looking at a $300,000 mortgage.

  • At 6.15% (30-year fixed): Your estimated monthly payment (principal and interest) would be around $1,825.
  • At 5.60% (15-year fixed): Your estimated monthly payment (principal and interest) would be around $2,248.

See the difference? You pay about $423 more each month with the 15-year term, but you save hundreds of thousands of dollars in interest over the loan's life.

Which Mortgage Term Is Better for First-Time Buyers?

For many first-time homebuyers, the 30-year fixed is the way to go. Their priority is often getting into a home, and the lower monthly payment of a 30-year loan makes that more achievable. They might also want that extra cash flow for other expenses or to build up savings.

However, if a first-time buyer has a really solid income and knows they can comfortably afford the higher monthly payment of a 15-year mortgage, it can be a fantastic option to build equity faster and save money long-term.

Refinancing: Should You Switch from a 30-Year to a 15-Year Mortgage?

This is a common question. If you’ve been in your home for a while and your income has increased, you might be able to switch from a 30-year mortgage to a 15-year. You’d need to get a new loan for the remaining balance. The new 15-year rate might be a bit higher than your current 30-year rate if rates have gone up since you first got your mortgage, but the shorter term and the potential for a lower interest rate on a refinance could still make it a financially smart move to pay it off faster and save on total interest. It’s definitely worth running the numbers!

My Take on Today's Market

From my experience, what we’re seeing now is a market that's trying to find its footing after a period of rapid changes. The fact that rates are hovering around the same mark for a couple of weeks gives people a little more predictability.

For buyers, it reinforces the idea that while rates aren’t at pandemic lows, they're also not sky-high and have held steady. This might be the time to re-evaluate your budget and see if you can still find a home that fits your needs without stretching yourself too thin. Don't forget to factor in closing costs and property taxes – those are big parts of the total housing expense.

For homeowners thinking about refinancing, it really depends on your specific situation. If you got your mortgage when rates were 7% or higher, and you're seeing refinance rates in the low 6% range, it might be worth exploring. But if your current rate is already quite low, refinancing might not make sense right now unless you plan to stay in your home for a long time and can pay off the loan quickly. Always weigh the costs of refinancing against the savings.

Ultimately, today's mortgage rates on November 19 present a nuanced picture. It’s not a market that screams “buy now!” or “run away!”, but rather one that rewards careful planning and informed decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

  • Are mortgage rates expected to go up or down soon?
    With the Fed's next move uncertain and inflation still a factor, predictions are tough. Some economists think rates will slowly decrease over the next year, while others see them staying relatively stable.
  • How much does my credit score affect my mortgage rate?
    A lot! A higher credit score (generally 740 and above) qualifies you for the best rates. Lower scores mean higher rates, and in some cases, you might not qualify for a loan.
  • What is an ARM and is it a good option?
    An Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) has an initial fixed interest rate for a set period (like 5 or 7 years), after which the rate changes annually based on market conditions. ARMs can offer lower initial payments but come with the risk of higher payments later.
  • Should I lock in my mortgage rate today?
    If you have a purchase agreement or are ready to refinance and are comfortable with the current rates, locking it in can protect you if rates go up. However, if you think rates might drop, you might wait. It’s a personal decision based on your risk tolerance.
  • Where can I find the most accurate mortgage rates?
    While Zillow provides national averages, it’s best to get quotes from multiple lenders (banks, credit unions, mortgage brokers) directly. They can give you personalized rates based on your specific financial profile.

Growth Markets, Stronger Returns: Invest Where Demand Is Rising

Turnkey rental properties in fast-growing housing markets offer a powerful way to generate passive income with minimal hassle.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find stable, cash-flowing markets beyond the bubble zones—so you can build wealth without the risks of ultra-competitive areas.

🔥 HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 19: 30-Year Refinance Rate Drops by 7 Basis Points

November 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 20, 2025

As of November 19, 2025, mortgage refinance rates today have seen a welcome dip. Zillow reports that the national average for a 30-year fixed refinance rate has dropped by 7 basis points, settling at 6.76%. This might sound like a small change, but I'm here to tell you that even a fraction of a percent can make a significant difference in your long-term financial picture. If you've been on the fence about refinancing, this might just be the sign you've been waiting for to explore your options and potentially lock in a better deal.

Mortgage Refinance Rates Today Drop by 7 Basis Points – November 19, 2025

The 7 Basis Point Drop: More Than Just a Number

So, what exactly does a 7 basis point drop translate to in real dollars and cents? Let's break it down. A basis point is simply one-hundredth of a percentage point. So, 7 basis points is equal to 0.07%. While this might seem tiny, when you consider the massive amount borrowed in a mortgage, it really adds up.

For example, imagine you have a $300,000 mortgage.

  • At 6.83% (last week's rate): Your estimated monthly principal and interest payment would be around $1,979.
  • At 6.76% (today's rate): Your estimated monthly principal and interest payment drops to about $1,956.

That's a savings of $23 per month. Now, $23 might not seem like a fortune, but over the life of a 30-year loan, that accumulates to nearly $8,280 in savings! And if your loan balance is higher, or if you're considering a 15-year refinance, those savings can be even more substantial. It’s these kinds of numbers that make me always keep an eye on the refinance market.

Beyond the 30-Year Fixed: Other Rates Shifting

It's not just the 30-year fixed rate that's making waves. Zillow also shared some insights into other popular refinance options:

  • The national average 15-year fixed refinance rate has remained steady at 5.75%. This is still a fantastic rate for those looking to pay off their mortgage faster and save on interest over time.
  • However, the 5-year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) refinance rate has moved in the opposite direction, ticking up by 8 basis points to 7.52% from 7.44%. This is an important distinction for homeowners considering ARMs. While they often start with lower rates, the possibility of them increasing is a key factor to weigh.

Why Should You Care About Refinance Rates Today?

As someone who's followed the housing market closely for years, I’ve seen how much fluctuating interest rates can impact homeowners. Refinancing isn't just about chasing the lowest rate; it’s a strategic financial move. Here's why these current mortgage refinance rates are particularly interesting for you right now:

  • Lowering Your Monthly Payment: This is the most obvious benefit. A lower interest rate means a smaller portion of your payment goes towards interest, freeing up cash for other financial goals like saving, investing, or even just enjoying life a little more.
  • Reducing Your Total Interest Paid: Over the life of your loan, even a small rate reduction can save you tens of thousands of dollars. This is a powerful way to build wealth and reduce debt.
  • Shortening Your Loan Term: If you want to become mortgage-free sooner, you can refinance into a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) and still potentially benefit from a lower rate than you originally had.
  • Accessing Equity with a Cash-Out Refinance: If you've built up equity in your home, a cash-out refinance allows you to borrow more than you owe and receive the difference in cash. This can be used for home renovations, debt consolidation, or other major expenses.

Key Factors to Consider Before You Refinance

While the falling rates are enticing, it's crucial remember that refinancing isn't a one-size-fits-all solution. Several personal factors will determine if it's the right move for you. My advice is always to look at your individual situation.

Key Factors Influencing Refinance Eligibility:

  • Your Credit Score: Lenders use your credit score to assess your risk. A higher score generally means you'll qualify for the best rates.
  • Your Income and Employment Stability: Lenders want to see that you have a consistent and reliable income source to make your mortgage payments.
  • Your Debt-to-Income Ratio (DTI): This compares your monthly debt payments to your gross monthly income. A lower DTI shows you have more disposable income.
  • Your Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV): This is the ratio of your mortgage balance to the appraised value of your home. A lower LTV generally indicates less risk for the lender.
  • Your Home's Equity: How much have you paid down your principal, and has your home appreciated in value?

The Role of Credit Scores in Refinancing:

I can't stress this enough – your credit score is king when it comes to getting approved for a refinance and securing the best rates. Generally, you'll need:

  • Excellent Credit (740+): For the absolute lowest rates.
  • Good Credit (670-739): You'll likely still get competitive rates.
  • Fair Credit (580-669): Refinancing might be possible, but with higher rates.
  • Poor Credit (below 580): It might be difficult to qualify for a refinance.

If your credit score isn't where you'd like it to be, take some time to improve it before you apply. Paying down credit card balances and ensuring you make all your payments on time can make a big difference.

Considering Different Refinance Options

The mortgage refinance rates today are just one piece of the puzzle. You also need to consider which type of refinance makes sense for your goals:

  • Rate-and-Term Refinance: This is the most common type. You're essentially replacing your current mortgage with a new one that has a lower interest rate or a different term length. This is ideal if your primary goal is to lower your monthly payments or pay off your loan faster.
  • Cash-Out Refinance: As mentioned earlier, this allows you to tap into your home's equity. You take out a new mortgage for more than you currently owe, and the difference is given to you in cash. My personal experience has shown this to be a great tool for funding significant life events, but it also increases your loan balance and interest paid, so it requires careful consideration.
  • Streamline Refinance: This is often an option for government-backed loans (like FHA or VA loans) and typically involves less paperwork and fewer requirements, making the process quicker and simpler.

Recommended Read:

30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – November 18, 2025

Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026? 

The Impact of Interest Rate Fluctuations

Watching interest rates can feel like watching a roller coaster sometimes. How do these ups and downs affect your decision?

  • When Rates Drop: This is when the opportunity to save significant money arises. The 7 basis point drop we're seeing today is a prime example. It makes refinancing more attractive.
  • When Rates Rise: If rates are climbing, the appeal of refinancing diminishes. You might be better off sticking with your current mortgage unless you have a compelling reason to change.

My general rule of thumb is that if you can lower your interest rate by at least 1%, it's usually worth exploring refinancing further. However, this can vary depending on your individual situation and the costs involved.

Costs and Fees to Keep in Mind

Refinancing isn't free. There are closing costs associated with getting a new mortgage. These can include:

  • Appraisal fees
  • Title insurance
  • Origination fees
  • Recording fees
  • Attorney fees

Typically, these costs can range from 2% to 6% of the loan amount. It's essential to factor these costs into your calculations to determine your break-even point – how long it will take for your monthly savings to recoup the closing costs. If you plan to sell your home before you reach that break-even point, refinancing might not be financially beneficial. Some lenders offer “no-cost” refinances, but be aware that these costs are usually rolled into the loan balance or result in a slightly higher interest rate.

Final Thoughts on Refinancing Today

The mortgage refinance rates today on November 19, 2025, offering a 7 basis point drop for the 30-year fixed, presents a genuine opportunity for many homeowners. While it’s a welcome change, remember to do your homework. Look at your personal financial situation, understand your credit score, and compare offers from multiple lenders. Refinancing can be a powerful tool to improve your financial health, but it requires careful planning.

“Invest Smart — Build Long-Term Wealth Through Real Estate”

Norada's team can guide you through current market dynamics and help you position your investments wisely—whether you're looking to reduce rates, pull out equity, or expand your portfolio.

Work with us to identify proven, cash-flowing markets and diversify your portfolio while borrowing costs remain favorable.

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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage, mortgage rates, Mortgage Refinance Rates

Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Has the Stronger Housing Market for Investors?

November 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Has the Stronger Housing Market for Investors?

For years, investors chasing tech money have looked at two Sun Belt superstars: Austin, Texas, and Raleigh, North Carolina. Both cities have rocketed up the rankings for population growth, job creation, and overall “cool factor.” But if you’re putting your hard-earned capital into property, you need to know which city gives you the better investment.

Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Has the Stronger Housing Market for Investors?

We aren't looking for the better place to live—we are looking for the strongest financial returns. So, let’s answer the million-dollar question right upfront: Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Offers Stronger Real Estate Returns?

The short answer, based on current affordability and market maturity, is that Raleigh, NC, currently offers a more sustainable and less volatile path to long-term returns, while Austin, TX, remains the higher-risk, higher-reward play that requires far more precise timing.

I’ve been tracking the incredible shifts in these competitive markets for over a decade, and what I’ve seen recently suggests that the rules have changed. Austin’s massive run-up has created hurdles, while Raleigh’s measured, diversified growth keeps making it an investor darling. Let’s dive deep into the specific dynamics that make these two cities fundamentally different when it comes to stacking up profit.

The Tale of Two Texas Towns (and the Other One in NC)

When we look at both metros, we are analyzing two distinct styles of economic development. Austin is the flashy newcomer; Raleigh is the quiet anchor.

Feature Austin, TX (The Rocket) Raleigh, NC (The Anchor)
Primary Growth Driver Corporate relocations (Tesla, Samsung, Oracle), Venture Capital (VC) funding. Research Triangle Park (RTP), Universities (UNC, Duke, NC State), Biotech/Pharma.
Market Maturity Highly mature, high prices, rapidly compressed yields. Maturing rapidly, but still maintains a significant affordability gap advantage over Austin.
Population Growth Rate Explosive (Historically among the fastest in the US). Very strong and steady.
State Tax Structure No state income tax. High property taxes. State income tax. Lower property taxes (generally).
Investment Profile Appreciation heavy (Capital Gains). Balanced (Appreciation + Cash Flow potential).

The Beast Under the Bridge: The Austin Model

When I think about investing in Austin, I think about momentum. For a long time, Austin couldn't lose. The city became the premier destination for tech workers fleeing California, driving prices up at an absolutely staggering rate.

The Volatility Factor

In real estate, growth often comes with a bill, and for Austin, that bill is volatility. We saw median prices soar by 40% in a single year during the peak pandemic boom. This level of rapid appreciation is thrilling, but it dramatically increases the risk of market correction—which is exactly what we saw when interest rates climbed.

My personal analysis of Austin's growth trajectory is that it mirrors markets that rely heavily on a constant injection of VC money and “big fish” corporate moves. When the tech sector hiccups or national interest rates rise, the brakes slam harder here than almost anywhere else.

The Property Tax Headache

One major fundamental difference that impacts long-term investment returns in Austin is the property tax situation. Texas prides itself on having no state income tax, but they make up for it aggressively at the local level.

If you are a buy-and-hold investor aiming for cash flow, those constantly rising property valuations mean your tax burden rises annually, often eating away at your net operating income (NOI). In markets like Dallas or Houston, you have higher rent-to-value ratios to absorb this, but in prime Austin, yield compression is severe. Many investors are simply betting on massive appreciation, effectively turning their rental property into an asset where the income is just enough to cover the massive operating costs. That is a dangerous, appreciation-only strategy.

The Steady Hand: The Raleigh/Research Triangle Model

Now let’s look east to Raleigh, the anchor of the Research Triangle Park (RTP), which includes Durham and Chapel Hill. Raleigh is not a new contender, but it didn't get the same blinding media spotlight as Austin, and that’s a good thing for investors.

The Power of Diversification

The key to Raleigh’s resilience is its foundation. Where Austin relies heavily on IT and venture-backed startups, Raleigh’s economy is built upon three pillars:

  1. Academia: The triangle is anchored by three major research universities (UNC, Duke, NC State) that generate a constant, highly educated talent pipeline.
  2. Government: As the state capital, Raleigh has a stable base of state and federal jobs that act as a buffer during recessions.
  3. Biotech and Pharma: The RTP is one of the world's leading centers for life sciences. These companies—think major, stable employers like Pfizer and Merck—are less susceptible to the immediate cyclical downturns that plague the pure tech sector.

When the 2022 market slowdown hit, Raleigh felt the cooling effects, but its descent was far more gentle and controlled than Austin’s sharp drop. Why? Because the job market didn't panic. The pharmaceutical companies still needed scientists, and the universities still needed staff. This translates directly into more stable housing demand.

The Affordability Advantage for Investors

This is the big one. Even after years of growth, Raleigh remains significantly more affordable than Austin, particularly when you look at median home price versus median rent.

In my professional opinion, the stronger the rent-to-value ratio, the stronger the long-term investment.

While Austin’s median prices pushed into the mid-six figures long ago, Raleigh has maintained better entry points. This means:

  • Lower initial capital outlay.
  • Better potential for positive cash flow from day one (or at least much sooner).
  • A wider tenant pool, as housing remains accessible to mid-level income earners, not just highly paid tech execs.

The Critical Factors: Where Investors Need to Look Beyond Price

To truly decide which market offers stronger returns, we have to look past the superficial trends and examine the regulatory and construction environment. This is where real expertise comes in.

1. The Inventory Battle (Permitting and Supply)

When a city has incredible demand, the smart response is to build, build, build. But Austin has had a massive supply problem, worsened by local permitting delays that made it difficult for housing supply to catch up with demand. Developers, driven by high prices, eventually rushed in.

Expert Insight: Austin has experienced a significant surge in multi-family and single-family permitting. While this is necessary, rapid, large-scale supply hitting the market during a slowdown leads to oversupply issues and potential pressure on rental rates. It’s a boom-and-bust cycle.

Raleigh, while also experiencing a construction boom, has maintained a more balanced development pace. This slower pace, while sometimes frustrating for renters, is beneficial for property owners because it prevents catastrophic supply gluts that kill rental price growth.

2. Taxation and Regulation: The State Matters

A common mistake new investors make is ignoring the regulatory differences between states.

Factor Texas (Austin) North Carolina (Raleigh) Impact on Returns
Income Tax 0% State Income Tax Progressive State Income Tax TX sounds better, but NC's slightly higher state taxes often fund better infrastructure, lowering city operational costs.
Property Tax High Rates (Often 2%+) Moderate Rates (Generally below 1.2%) NC wins here for cash flow investors. Lower annual operating expenses directly boost NOI.
Landlord/Tenant Law Generally Landlord-friendly Moderate, Moving toward balance Both states are relatively fair, but local ordinances (like short-term rental rules) must be watched closely.

My opinion is clear: for the long-term rental investor prioritizing cash flow stability, North Carolina’s lower property tax burden provides a foundational competitive advantage over Austin’s structure.

3. Demographic Flow and Wage Divergence

Both cities attract highly skilled workers, but Raleigh is becoming increasingly attractive to companies due to wage arbitrage. Tech companies realize they can hire excellent engineers in Raleigh for 15-20% less than they would pay in Austin (or 30-40% less than in Silicon Valley). This allows businesses to expand aggressively without crippling payroll costs, ensuring the job machine keeps churning out new residents needing housing. This constant, slightly less expensive talent flow creates a highly stable rental demand base.

The Rubber Meets the Road: A Cash Flow Comparison

To make this tangible, let’s run a simple side-by-side calculation focusing on the cost of ownership, assuming two similar properties purchased as rentals in desirable sub-markets of each metro area. This example highlights the massive impact of property taxes on your Net Operating Income (NOI).

We will focus purely on the property tax and price differences, which are the main differentiators in annual cash flow for buy-and-hold investors.

Investment Metric Austin, TX (Approximate) Raleigh, NC (Approximate) Key Result for Investors
Purchase Price $550,000 $425,000 Raleigh requires $125k less capital.
Estimated Rent $2,800 / month $2,400 / month Austin rent is higher, but so is the price.
Effective Property Tax Rate 2.1% 1.1% This is the crucial difference.
Annual Property Tax Burden $11,550 $4,675 The silent killer of cash flow in Austin.
Annual Tax Difference N/A Saves $6,875 Raleigh investor pockets nearly $7k more annually before factoring in mortgage.
Monthly Tax Cost $962.50 $389.58 The Raleigh tax is nearly $600/month less.

Note: These figures are approximations used for comparative illustration and do not include mortgage, insurance, or maintenance costs.

What this calculation tells me, as an expert investor, is critical: Even though the Austin property rents for $400 more per month, the Raleigh investor’s annual property tax savings ($6,875) virtually wipes out that rental premium. The Raleigh property starts off with a vastly superior operational cost structure, making positive cash flow much easier to achieve and maintain, especially in the first few years.

The Rental Income Reality Check

The strongest returns are not just about sale price appreciation; they are about the total return—combining cash flow (rental income) and appreciation.

Austin's Compressed Yields

Due to the aggressive price increase, Austin’s cap rates (the ratio of Net Operating Income to property value) have plummeted. If you buy an expensive property but your rent barely covers the mortgage, insurance, and those heavy Texas property taxes, your yield is compressed, maybe even negative. You are effectively betting your entire return on the hope that someone will buy the property for even more money in five years.

Raleigh’s Cash Flow Potential

While Raleigh’s cap rates have also tightened, they are generally healthier than Austin’s, especially in secondary markets around RTP like Cary, Apex, or Durham. An investor in Raleigh has a much higher likelihood of achieving a small but reliable positive cash flow, providing a critical safety net against market dips.

I always advise investors to look for markets where you can be right two ways: through appreciation AND through cash flow. Raleigh provides a better opportunity to execute this dual strategy.

Investment Strategies for Each Market

Because these cities operate on different risk levels, your strategy needs to adapt:

Austin Strategy (High-Risk/High-Reward)

  • Target: Highly specialized niche properties (e.g., luxury rentals near Tesla Giga Factory, short-term rentals near downtown).
  • Focus: Capital preservation and appreciation, not immediate cash flow.
  • Best Play: Land speculation and new development in rapidly expanding submarkets (e.g., Leander, Georgetown) before they fully mature. Requires deep pockets and high risk tolerance.
  • Keywords to Track: Austin luxury housing supply, Central Texas commercial permitting, VC funding rounds.

Raleigh Strategy (Sustainable Growth)

  • Target: Single-family homes in established commuter corridors (e.g., close to I-40 access points) or townhomes near university campuses.
  • Focus: Balanced strategy—steady appreciation supplemented by reliable cash flow.
  • Best Play: Buying properties that appeal to the stable, highly educated workforce employed by RTP. This is the ultimate defensive position for real estate investing.
  • Keywords to Track: Raleigh-Durham biotech job growth, Wake County property tax rates, RTP employee headcount.

My Final Verdict on Returns

When comparing Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Offers Stronger Real Estate Returns, we must recognize that “stronger” doesn't just mean “highest peak.” It means the most consistent, resilient, and repeatable return profile.

Austin is like buying volatile tech stock; the gains can be huge, but the drops are sharp, and your entry point has to be perfect. Raleigh is like a blue-chip stock—steady, reliable, paying a decent dividend (cash flow) while slowly and surely increasing in value.

For the investor who values predictable cash flow, lower operating expenses, and resilient demand driven by diversified institutional anchors, Raleigh, NC, provides the stronger, more secure foundation for long-term real estate returns. Austin still has momentum, but its affordability crisis and tax structure mean the margin for error is razor-thin. Raleigh wins on fundamentals.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Austin, Housing Market, Raleigh, Real Estate Investing

Why Turnkey Real Estate Still Beats Today’s High Mortgage Rate Climate

November 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Why Turnkey Real Estate Still Beats Today's High Mortgage Rate Climate

The financial news is a chorus of caution. “Mortgage Rates Soar,” “Housing Market Cools,” “Investor Activity Slows.” For many, these headlines are a stop sign, a clear signal to retreat from the real estate market and wait for calmer seas.

The average investor is sitting on the sidelines, paralyzed by uncertainty. But sophisticated investors understand a fundamental truth: market shifts don't eliminate opportunity; they redefine it.

While the casual house-flipper and over-leveraged amateur are forced into hibernation, a unique window opens for those with a clear strategy. A high-interest-rate environment isn't a barrier; it's a filter. It weeds out the competition and rewards those who focus on sound fundamentals and smart systems.

This is precisely the market where the turnkey rental property model doesn't just survive—it thrives. If you're an investor looking for truly passive income without the typical landlord headaches, this guide will explain why the current climate is your signal to lean in, not back away.

Why Turnkey Real Estate Still Beats Today's High Mortgage Rate Climate

“Marry the House, Date the Rate” – The Core Philosophy for 2024 and Beyond

Before we dive into the “how,” we must align on the “why.” The single most important concept to grasp is this: You marry the property, but you only date the interest rate.

  • The Marriage (The Property): When you buy a rental property, you are making a long-term commitment to a tangible asset. The purchase price you negotiate, the quality of the neighborhood, the condition of the home—these are the permanent foundations of your investment. You are acquiring a piece of real estate that provides shelter, generates income, and historically appreciates in value.
  • The Date (The Rate): The interest rate on your loan is a reflection of the economic climate at one specific moment in time. It is a temporary condition. While it certainly impacts your monthly payment today, it is not a life sentence. Economic cycles are inevitable. Rates rise, and eventually, they fall. When they do, you have the power to refinance and lock in a lower payment for the remainder of your “marriage” to the property.

The mistake most people make is fixating on the temporary rate while ignoring the permanent opportunity to acquire a great asset. In today's market, high rates have scared off the competition, giving you more negotiating power on the purchase price.

Your mission is to lock in a permanent discount on the asset price while accepting a temporary increase in financing cost. A 5% discount on a $250,000 property is $12,500 in instant equity. This is a permanent win that can far outweigh the temporary pain of a higher interest payment.

The DIY Dilemma vs. The Turnkey Advantage

So, how do you find and secure these deals? An individual investor faces a steep uphill battle in this market.

The DIY Investor's Challenges

  1. Finding the Deal: You're competing for listings on the MLS or trying to learn the complex art of finding off-market deals (driving for dollars, direct mail, etc.). It's a time-consuming, often fruitless endeavor.
  2. The Renovation Nightmare: You find a distressed property. Now you have to find, vet, and manage contractors—a notorious source of budget overruns, missed deadlines, and immense stress.
  3. Analysis Paralysis: The numbers are tight. How do you accurately project repair costs, property taxes, insurance, and realistic rent? A small miscalculation can turn a promising deal into a monthly financial drain.
  4. The Management Burden: The rehab is finally done. Now you're a landlord. You have to market the property, screen tenants, handle 2 AM maintenance calls, and chase down late rent.

This is where the turnkey model emerges as the elegant solution, a system perfectly engineered to overcome these challenges.

The Turnkey Solution: A System Built for This Market

A true turnkey provider isn't just selling you a house; they are providing a comprehensive investment system that de-risks the entire process.

  • Expert Deal Sourcing: Turnkey companies have professional acquisition teams on the ground in carefully selected markets. They build relationships with wholesalers, agents, and sellers to source properties—often off-market—that meet strict investment criteria. They do the hunting so you don't have to.
  • Standardized, Professional Renovations: We take the guesswork and risk out of the rehab. Our experienced construction teams renovate every property to a specific, high-quality standard designed to attract great tenants and minimize future maintenance. You get a fully updated, rent-ready asset from day one, with no contractor headaches.
  • Predictable, Underwritten Numbers: The biggest fear in a high-rate market is negative cash flow. Our team provides you with a detailed pro-forma financial analysis for every property. We don't use rosy projections. Our numbers are based on real-world data from the hundreds or thousands of properties we already manage in that area, including conservative estimates for:
    • Vacancy (typically 5-8%)
    • Maintenance (5-8%)
    • Capital Expenditures (funds for future big-ticket items like a roof or HVAC, 5-8%)
    • Professional Property Management (8-10%)

    This provides you with the clarity and confidence to make an informed decision, knowing the property is designed to cash flow even with today's higher financing costs.

  • Immediate Cash Flow with In-Place Management: This is the pinnacle of the turnkey advantage. You close on a property that already has a qualified, rent-paying tenant in place. Our vetted property management team is also in place, handling everything from rent collection to maintenance. Your investment is truly passive and generating income from the very first day you own it.

Financial Strategy: Making the Numbers Work for You

With the turnkey system handling the operational heavy lifting, you can focus on the financial strategy.

Step 1: Analyze for Today's Cash Flow

Even with high rates, a well-chosen turnkey property in a strong market can and should produce positive cash flow. It may not be the gusher you'd see with 3% interest rates, but the goal right now isn't to get rich overnight. The goal is to acquire a high-quality asset that pays for itself.

Your tenant's rent covers the mortgage (principal and interest), taxes, insurance, and all professional management and maintenance costs. You might only see $150-$250 in positive cash flow per month. This is not the final prize; this is the proof of concept. That positive buffer is your margin of safety, confirming you have a stable, self-sustaining asset while the real magic happens behind the scenes:

  • Your tenant is paying down your loan, building your equity every month.
  • Your asset is appreciating in a carefully selected growth market.
  • You are positioned for the most powerful step of all…

Step 2: Model the Refinance – The “Cash Flow Catapult”

This is how you visualize the long-term payoff of buying today. Let's run a simple, hypothetical scenario on a $250,000 turnkey property with a 20% down payment ($50,000).

Scenario A: Buying Today

  • Loan Amount: $200,000
  • Interest Rate: 7.5%
  • Principal & Interest (P&I) Payment: $1,398/month
  • Total PITI + Expenses (estimated): $1,950/month
  • Rent: $2,100/month
  • Monthly Cash Flow: +$150

Not bad. The property pays for itself and gives you a small profit. But now, let's look ahead 2-4 years. The market has cycled, and interest rates have dropped. You refinance your remaining loan balance.

Scenario B: The Refinance

  • Remaining Loan Balance (approx.): $192,000
  • New Interest Rate: 5.5%
  • New Principal & Interest (P&I) Payment: $1,090/month
  • Total PITI + Expenses (now with lower P&I): $1,642/month
  • Rent (with modest increases): $2,250/month
  • NEW Monthly Cash Flow: +$608

By simply making one strategic move—a refinance—you have quadrupled your monthly cash flow. You didn't do another renovation. You didn't find a new tenant. You simply optimized the financing on the high-quality asset you had the foresight to acquire when others were afraid. The investors waiting on the sidelines for 5.5% rates will be competing in a frenzy, likely paying $280,000 for the same house you bought for $250,000. You locked in the asset; they are chasing the rate.

Conclusion: The Time for Decisive Action is Now

The current real estate market is a test of vision. It asks investors to look past today's temporary challenges and see the long-term, wealth-building power of owning tangible assets.

Trying to navigate this landscape alone is daunting. It's a full-time job fraught with risk. The turnkey model removes these barriers, offering a streamlined, professional, and predictable path to real estate ownership. It allows you to leverage the expertise of an entire team dedicated to your success.

Don't let high interest rates be your stop sign. Let them be the reason you choose a smarter, more resilient strategy. By investing in a turnkey rental property today, you are not just buying a house. You are:

  • Acquiring a cash-flowing asset in a competitive void.
  • Hedging against inflation as your rent and property value rise.
  • Building equity with every rent check your tenant pays.
  • Positioning yourself for a massive cash flow increase with a future refinance.

Fortune favors the bold—and the prepared. While others wait for the perfect conditions that may never arrive, you can take decisive action. The opportunities are real, the system is proven, and the time to build your portfolio is now.

Invest in Turnkey Real Estate to Build Cash Flow—Even in a High-Rate Market

Even with mortgage rates remaining elevated, smart investors are turning to turnkey real estate for steady income and appreciation potential. These ready-to-rent properties generate cash flow from day one—no waiting, no guesswork.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find fully managed, income-producing homes in landlord-friendly markets and grow your portfolio without the stress of high-rate financing cycles.

NEW TURNKEY DEALS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

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Recommended Read:

  • Best Places to Invest in Single-Family Rental Properties in 2025
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
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  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
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Filed Under: Real Estate, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Real Estate Investing, Rental Properties, Turnkey Real Estate

FHA Mortgage Rates Today, Nov. 19, 2025: Key Figures for Aspiring Homeowners

November 19, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

FHA Mortgage Rates Today, Nov. 19, 2025: Key Figures for Aspiring Homeowners

As of November 19, 2025, the benchmark 30-year fixed FHA mortgage rate is hovering in the ballpark of 5.875% to over 6%. This provides promising news for many aspiring homeowners looking to get into their dream homes, especially those who might not have a perfect credit score. FHA loans continue to be a fantastic pathway to homeownership, offering more accessible terms for a wider range of buyers. For those who’ve been dreaming of planting roots, understanding these numbers is your first big step toward making that dream a reality. Let’s dive in!

FHA Mortgage Rates Today, Nov. 19, 2025: Key Figures for Aspiring Homeowners

Understanding the Numbers for FHA Loans This November

When we talk about current FHA mortgage rates November 19, 2025, it’s important to look at the specifics. Based on the latest information I've seen, the national average for a 30-year fixed FHA loan is approximately 5.93% to 6.12%. For instance, Zillow Home Loans is quoting a 30-Year FHA Rate of 5.875% with an APR of 6.563%, which includes points costing around 1.741% or $4,787.75. This gives you a concrete example of what one lender might offer.

It’s not just about buying; if you're looking to refinance your existing FHA loan, the average rate sits a bit higher, around 6.66%. This variation is pretty standard, as refinancing often involves different risk assessments by lenders.

Table: Snapshot of FHA Mortgage Rates (November 19, 2025)

Loan Type Estimated National Average Rate Example Lender Rate (Zillow)
30-Year Fixed FHA 5.93% – 6.12% 5.875%
30-Year FHA Refinance ~6.66% N/A

Remember, these are averages and examples. Your actual rate will depend on a few key factors we’ll discuss next.

What Actually Shapes Your FHA Mortgage Rate?

It’s easy to get caught up in just the headline rate, but a lot more goes into determining what you’ll pay. Think of it like ordering a custom meal – the basic ingredients are there, but the chef (lender) adds their own flair and adjusts based on your preferences and what’s available.

Here are the big players that influence your FHA mortgage rate:

  • Your Credit Score: The VIP Pass: This is probably the biggest factor. As a general rule, the better your credit score, the lower your interest rate will be. For FHA loans, lenders look for scores that are typically above 580 to qualify for the lowest down payment of 3.5%. If your score is a bit lower, you might still qualify, but expect your rate to be higher, and you'll likely need a larger down payment.
  • The Amount of Your Down Payment: More Skin in the Game: While FHA loans are famous for their low down payment options (as little as 3.5% for those with a credit score of 580 or higher), putting down more cash can positively impact your rate. A larger down payment signals less risk to the lender.
  • The Economic Pulse: Market Conditions: The overall health of the economy and decisions made by the Federal Reserve play a huge role. When the economy is humming and interest rates are generally low, mortgage rates tend to follow suit. Conversely, when things get tight, rates can climb.
  • The Lender's Business: Different Banks, Different Rates: Every lender is a business, and they have their own pricing structures, operational costs, and risk appetites. That’s why it is absolutely crucial to shop around. Getting quotes from multiple lenders can save you thousands of dollars over the life of your loan. Don't just go with the first place you talk to!

Beyond the Rate: Important Considerations for FHA Loans

I've been in this space long enough to know that the advertised interest rate isn't the whole story, especially with FHA loans. There are a couple of significant points you need to be aware of that can affect the overall cost of your home loan.

  • Mortgage Insurance Premiums (MIP): The FHA's Safety Net: This is a big one. FHA loans require you to pay for mortgage insurance. This protects the lender if you were to default on the loan. There are two parts to this:
    • Upfront Mortgage Insurance Premium (UFMIP): You pay this once, at closing. It's typically 1.75% of the loan amount.
    • Annual Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP): This is paid monthly. The amount varies based on your loan term and loan-to-value ratio, but it's an ongoing cost.
    • Why this matters: These premiums are added costs that you don't typically see with conventional loans (unless you put down less than 20%).
  • Comparing Apples to Apples: FHA vs. Conventional: For borrowers with strong credit scores and decent down payments, it’s always wise to compare FHA loans with conventional mortgages. Sometimes, even with a lower interest rate, the added cost of FHA mortgage insurance can make a conventional loan a more affordable option in the long run. I always advise my clients to look at the total cost – including interest, fees, and insurance – before making a decision.

My Take: Is an FHA Loan Right for You This November?

From my perspective, the current FHA mortgage rates November 19, 2025, present a compelling opportunity for a specific group of homebuyers. If your credit score is in the range of, say, 500 to 650, or if you're finding it challenging to save up a large down payment, an FHA loan is a clear frontrunner. They are specifically designed to open the door to homeownership for people who might otherwise be shut out of the market.

However, if you have a strong credit score (think 700+) and a down payment of 10% or more, it’s worth your time to do the detailed math. You might find that a conventional loan, even with a slightly higher interest rate initially, could be cheaper over time due to the absence of those mandatory mortgage insurance premiums.

Ultimately, the best path forward is always done with careful consideration. Get pre-approved, talk to experienced loan officers, and understand all the costs involved. Your homeownership journey is significant, and being well-informed is the first step to a successful and financially sound purchase.


Meta Description Options:

  • Curious about FHA mortgage rates on Nov 19, 2025? I break down national averages, lender specs, and key factors for buyers.
  • Buying a home? Explore FHA mortgage rates for Nov 19, 2025. Learn about rates, insurance, and if it's the right choice for you.

Meta Title Options (Google News Friendly):

  • FHA Mortgage Rates Today, Nov. 19, 2025: Key Figures for Aspiring Homeowners
  • November 2025 FHA Rates: What Buyers Need to Know as Rates Hold Steady
  • Navigating FHA Mortgage Rates: Insights for November 19, 2025 Buyers
  • Current FHA Mortgage Rates: November 19, 2025 Outlook and Buyer Guide

Getting the best FHA mortgage rates in 2025 is all about being prepared, doing your homework, and shopping around. Focus on improving your credit score and lowering your debt-to-income ratio. Don’t be afraid to negotiate with lenders!

Recommended Read:

  • How to Get the Best FHA Mortgage Rates in 2025?
  • FHA Credit Score Requirements for Homeownership in 2025
  • FHA Mortgage Rates by Credit Score: 620, 700, 580, 640
  • What Credit Score Do You Need to Buy House With No Money Down?
  • How Long Does It Take to Get a 700-800 Credit Score?
  • How To Improve Your FICO Credit Score: A Guide
  • Surefire Methods for Building Your Credit Score

Filed Under: Economy, Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: FHA Interest Rates, FHA Mortgage Rates

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