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Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?

June 12, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?

Will home prices bottom out in 2025? No, while the wild price increases of the pandemic years have cooled down, experts predict continued, albeit slower, growth. We're talking about increases in the range of 1.3% to 3.5%, according to various forecasts. This means the market is stabilizing, not crashing, and we're unlikely to see a massive drop in home values.

Let's dive into why this is the case and explore what's really happening in the housing market.

Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?

The Housing Market Today: A Look at the Numbers

As we move through 2025, it's important to look at the most recent data to get a clear picture. It's easy to get caught up in headlines, but numbers tell a more grounded story. Here's a snapshot of what's happening:

  • Price Growth: The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed a 4.1% annual gain in January 2025. While not the explosive growth of previous years, it's still positive.
  • Median Home Price: The median existing home sale price hit $398,400 in February 2025, marking 20 straight months of year-over-year increases, says the National Association of Realtors.
  • Expert Predictions: Experts are forecasting continued increases. J.P. Morgan Research anticipates a 3% rise, while Fannie Mae estimates a 3.5% increase. The Mortgage Bankers Association is a bit more conservative, projecting a 1.3% rise.

Here's a quick look at those expert forecasts:

Source Prediction for 2025 Home Price Growth
J.P. Morgan Research 3%
Fannie Mae 3.5%
Mortgage Bankers Association 1.3%

Personally, I see these figures as a sign of a market that's finding its footing after a period of intense activity. The days of bidding wars and houses selling for way over asking price seem to be behind us, but that doesn't mean the market is about to collapse.

Why a 2025 Bottom Out is Unlikely

A lot of people are nervous about the housing market because they remember the crash of 2008. But the situation today is very different. Here's why:

  • Low Inventory: There simply aren't enough homes for sale. The housing supply is only around 3.5 months' worth, which is far below the 5–6 months needed for a balanced market. This lack of homes keeps prices from falling too much.
  • Mortgage Rates: While mortgage rates have been up, they aren't so high that they're completely stopping people from buying homes. Plus, with potential rate cuts on the horizon, this could ease things a bit.
  • Economic Stability: The economy, while not perfect, is generally stable. Inflation has cooled down, which means the Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates aggressively.
  • Strong Demand: There's still a lot of demand for homes, especially from Millennials and Gen Z, many of whom are entering their prime home-buying years.
  • Stricter Lending Standards: Banks are much more careful about who they lend money to than they were in the years leading up to the 2008 crash. This means fewer people are taking out loans they can't afford, which reduces the risk of foreclosures.

Learning from the Past: The 2008 Exception

It's important to remember that the 2008 housing crisis was an exception, not the rule. The crisis was caused by:

  • Subprime Lending: Banks were giving mortgages to people who couldn't afford them.
  • Overbuilding: There were too many homes being built.
  • Speculative Buying: People were buying homes hoping to quickly flip them for a profit.

These factors aren't as prevalent today. Foreclosures are down, indicating that people are generally able to keep up with their mortgage payments. This is a huge difference from 2008.

Factors Influencing Home Prices in 2025 (and Beyond)

Let's dig into some of the key factors that will continue to shape the housing market:

  1. Persistent Low Inventory:
    • The housing shortage is a big deal. Builders haven't been able to keep up with demand, especially after the pandemic.
    • There are several reasons for this shortage:
      • Labor shortages in the construction industry.
      • Rising material costs.
      • Zoning regulations that limit the construction of new homes.
    • The lack of homes means that when a good property comes on the market, it tends to attract a lot of interest, which helps to support prices.
  2. Mortgage Rates and Affordability:
    • Mortgage rates have a direct impact on how much people can afford to spend on a home. When rates go up, affordability goes down.
    • In 2025, rates are expected to hover in the mid-to-high 6% range.
    • This has definitely made it harder for some people to buy homes, but it hasn't completely stopped them.
    • The Federal Reserve's decisions about interest rates will continue to play a big role in the housing market. Any rate cuts could provide a boost to demand.
  3. Economic Stability:
    • A healthy economy is good for the housing market. When people have jobs and feel confident about the future, they're more likely to buy homes.
    • Inflation is a key factor to watch. If inflation stays under control, the Federal Reserve won't need to raise interest rates aggressively.
    • The labor market is also important. A strong job market means more people can afford to buy homes.
  4. Regional Variations:
    • The housing market isn't the same everywhere. Some cities and regions are doing better than others.
    • For example, some areas that are prone to natural disasters, like hurricanes or wildfires, may see price pressures due to rising insurance costs.
    • On the other hand, some Midwest markets are seeing strong demand and limited supply, which is driving up prices.
    • It's important to look at what's happening in your local market to get a sense of what's likely to happen to home prices.
  5. High Construction Costs:
    • The high cost of building new homes is making it harder to increase the housing supply.
    • Builders are facing challenges like:
      • High material costs (lumber, steel, etc.).
      • Labor shortages.
      • Rising land costs.
    • This is limiting the number of new homes being built, which is helping to support prices for existing homes.

What About a Recession?

Many people worry about the impact of a potential recession on the housing market. Historically, home prices haven't always fallen during recessions. In fact, in many cases, they've remained relatively stable.

The 2008 crash was an exception because it was caused by problems within the housing market itself (subprime lending, overbuilding, etc.). If we were to enter a recession now, it would likely have less of an impact on home prices because the underlying issues that caused the 2008 crisis aren't present today.

My Take: A Balanced Perspective

As someone who's followed the housing market for a long time, I think it's important to have a balanced perspective. It's easy to get caught up in the headlines and make decisions based on fear or greed. But the reality is that the housing market is complex, and there are many factors that can influence prices.

I believe that the most likely scenario for 2025 is continued, moderate price growth. I don't see a crash coming, but I also don't expect to see the same kind of rapid price increases that we saw during the pandemic.

What This Means for You

  • For Buyers: If you're thinking about buying a home, don't try to time the market. Focus on finding a home that you can afford and that meets your needs. Waiting for prices to bottom out might mean missing out on the opportunity to buy a home that you love.
  • For Sellers: If you're thinking about selling your home, now is still a good time to do it. Prices are still relatively high, and there's still demand from buyers. Just be realistic about your expectations and don't overprice your home.
  • For Investors: If you're an investor, the housing market can still offer opportunities, but it's important to do your research and understand the risks. Focus on areas with strong fundamentals, like job growth and population growth.

In Conclusion

The data suggests that home prices are unlikely to bottom out in 2025. Instead, we can expect a more stable market with modest price increases. While there are always risks and uncertainties, the fundamentals of the housing market remain solid.

Remember, it's crucial to stay informed, consult with experts, and make decisions that align with your personal circumstances and financial goals. The housing market is a big investment, and it pays to be prepared.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Recession in Real Estate: Smart Ways to Profit in a Down Market
  • Will There Be a Real Estate Recession in 2025: A Forecast
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Home Price Drop, home prices, Housing Market, real estate, Real Estate Market

Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty

June 12, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty

Is economic uncertainty giving you the jitters? While tariffs and market volatility might sound scary, believe it or not, real estate can actually thrive during tariffs-led economic uncertainty. It's all about understanding market dynamics and employing creative strategies. In this article, I'll share my insights on how you can leverage market fluctuations to your advantage and why real estate can be a safe haven when other investment options seem risky.

Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty

Understanding the Economic Anxiety

It's easy to get caught up in the headlines when news about trade wars and fluctuating interest rates floods the media. The stock market often reacts with knee-jerk dips, and suddenly, everyone's retirement accounts seem a little less secure. I know, I've been there myself, watching the numbers fluctuate and wondering if I should be making changes. However, panicking is rarely the answer. Instead, it's crucial to understand what's driving this anxiety and how it affects different sectors, particularly real estate.

When there's talk about tariffs and trade tensions, businesses start to worry about increased costs and potential disruptions to supply chains. This can lead to:

  • Reduced investments
  • Hiring freezes
  • Overall economic slowdown

The stock market, being forward-looking, reflects these anxieties almost immediately.

Why Real Estate Can Be a Safe Haven

Now, here's where the real estate market comes into play. Unlike stocks, real estate is a tangible asset. It's not just numbers on a screen; it's a physical property that provides shelter, serves as a business location, and holds intrinsic value. This inherent value makes real estate a relatively stable investment during times of uncertainty. Here's why:

  • Essential Need: Everyone needs a place to live or conduct business, regardless of economic conditions. This fundamental demand helps to keep the real estate market afloat, even when other sectors are struggling.
  • Inflation Hedge: Real estate often acts as a hedge against inflation. As prices for goods and services rise, so does the value of real estate, helping to preserve your investment's purchasing power.
  • Rental Income: Investment properties can generate rental income, providing a steady stream of cash flow that is less susceptible to market volatility.
  • Tangible Asset: Unlike stocks, real estate is a physical asset. You can see it, touch it, and improve it, making it a more secure investment in times of uncertainty.
  • Long-Term Investment: Real estate is generally a long-term investment. This means that you are less likely to be affected by short-term market fluctuations.
  • Opportunity to add value: With real estate there is the possibility of adding value to the property and thus increasing its worth.

How Economic Uncertainty Can Create Real Estate Opportunities

The fear and uncertainty caused by tariffs and market downturns can actually create unique opportunities for savvy real estate investors. Here's how:

  • Motivated Sellers: When the economy is shaky, some homeowners may feel pressured to sell quickly. They might be facing job losses, financial difficulties, or simply a desire to downsize and reduce their financial burden. This can lead to motivated sellers who are willing to negotiate on price and terms.
  • Reduced Competition: During uncertain times, many traditional buyers may become hesitant to enter the market. Rising interest rates and tighter lending standards can sideline potential homebuyers, reducing competition and giving investors an edge.
  • Distressed Properties: Economic downturns can lead to an increase in foreclosures and distressed properties. These properties often come with significant discounts, providing opportunities for investors to buy low and potentially generate substantial returns.

Specific Strategies for Thriving in a Tariff-Led Environment

So, how can you specifically leverage these opportunities to thrive in the real estate market during a tariff-led economic uncertainty? Here are some strategies that I believe are particularly effective:

  • Focus on Value-Add Properties: Look for properties that have the potential for improvement. This could involve renovations, upgrades, or even rezoning. By adding value to a property, you can increase its appeal and potential rental income, making it more resilient to market fluctuations.
  • Explore Emerging Markets: Consider investing in emerging markets or up-and-coming neighborhoods. These areas often offer lower prices and higher potential for growth compared to established markets. Thorough research and due diligence are essential when exploring emerging markets.
  • Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your real estate portfolio by investing in different types of properties (residential, commercial, etc.) and in different geographic locations. This will help to mitigate risk and protect your investments from localized economic downturns.
  • Be a Problem Solver: Many sellers facing difficulties want a quick and easy solution to their real estate problems. This is where you can step in and offer a solution that works for both of you. By being a problem solver, you can find lucrative real estate deals that others might overlook.

Example Scenario:

Imagine a homeowner who owns a small manufacturing business. Due to new tariffs on imported materials, their business is struggling. They are behind on mortgage payments and worried about foreclosure. A traditional buyer might be hesitant to purchase the property due to the uncertainty surrounding the business.

However, as a savvy real estate investor, you can offer a solution. You might propose to buy the property at a fair price, allowing the homeowner to avoid foreclosure and get back on their feet. You can then repurpose the property, rent it out, or even sell it for a profit once the economy stabilizes.

The Importance of Due Diligence

While real estate can offer opportunities during times of uncertainty, it's crucial to conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions. This includes:

  • Market Research: Understand the local market conditions, including vacancy rates, rental rates, and property values.
  • Property Inspection: Have the property inspected by a qualified professional to identify any potential issues or repairs.
  • Financial Analysis: Carefully analyze the potential cash flow, expenses, and return on investment for each property.
  • Legal Review: Consult with a real estate attorney to review all contracts and documents.

My Personal Perspective

I've seen firsthand how economic uncertainty can create both challenges and opportunities in the real estate market. While it's important to be cautious and do your research, I believe that real estate can be a valuable asset in any portfolio, especially during times of volatility. By understanding market dynamics, employing creative strategies, and conducting thorough due diligence, you can position yourself to thrive in the real estate market, regardless of what the economy throws your way.

Final Thoughts

Don't let the headlines scare you away from the real estate market. While tariffs and market downturns can create anxiety, they also present unique opportunities for those who are prepared. By understanding the fundamentals of the market, being creative, and conducting thorough due diligence, you can leverage these opportunities to build a successful real estate portfolio. Real estate offers a tangible asset that can provide stability, income, and long-term growth, making it a valuable addition to any investment strategy, especially during times of economic uncertainty.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Recession in Real Estate: Smart Ways to Profit in a Down Market
  • Will There Be a Real Estate Recession in 2025: A Forecast
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: real estate, Real Estate Investing, real estate investments, Real Estate Market, Real Estate Marketing

12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Markets Predicted to Crash by Double Digits by Q1 2026

Get ready for a possible shift in the real estate world! Zillow predicts that several housing markets are predicted to decline in double digits by March 2026. Specifically, certain regions in Mississippi, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, and South Carolina are facing potential price drops of over 10%. This news might sound alarming, but let's break down what this forecast means for you, whether you're a homeowner, potential buyer, or just curious about the market.

Have you ever felt like trying to predict the housing market is like trying to predict the weather? One minute it's sunny, the next there's a downpour. Well, recently, the forecast seems to be hinting at some storm clouds gathering over certain areas. As someone who keeps a close eye on these trends, I want to dive deep into Zillow's prediction and explore what might be causing this anticipated dip, and most importantly, what it means for you.

12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026

For a long time, the narrative surrounding the housing market has been one of rising prices and fierce competition. But Zillow's latest report suggests a potential correction. According to their data, U.S. home prices are expected to fall by 1.7% between March 2025 and March 2026. That might not sound like much nationally, but the devil is in the details.

Here’s a quick look at how Zillow’s outlook has shifted in recent months:

  • January: +2.9%
  • February: +1.1%
  • March: +0.8%
  • Now: -1.7%

This consistent downward revision isn’t just a blip; it indicates a fundamental shift in their assessment of the market.

Where Will the Impact Be Felt the Most?

Now, let’s get to the areas predicted to experience the most significant declines. Zillow's forecast specifically highlights 12 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) that are expected to see double-digit percentage drops in home values by March 2026.

Here’s the list, based on Zillow’s data:

RegionName RegionType StateName BaseDate 30-04-2025 30-06-2025 31-03-2026
Greenville, MS msa MS 31-03-2025 -0.9 -4.3 -14.6
Pecos, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -0.4 -2.8 -12.7
Cleveland, MS msa MS 31-03-2025 -0.4 -3.2 -11.9
Big Spring, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -0.5 -2.7 -11.4
Alice, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.3 -3.8 -11.3
Raymondville, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.2 -4.1 -11.2
Helena, AR msa AR 31-03-2025 -0.5 -2.8 -11
Sweetwater, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.3 -3.5 -10.6
Hobbs, NM msa NM 31-03-2025 0 -1.3 -10.5
Opelousas, LA msa LA 31-03-2025 -0.7 -3 -10.3
Houma, LA msa LA 31-03-2025 -0.8 -3 -10.1
Bennettsville, SC msa SC 31-03-2025 -1.5 -3.7 -10

These are relatively smaller markets, and it's crucial to understand why they might be facing these potential declines. Geographic diversity plays a significant role in this analysis.

Why These Areas? Potential Contributing Factors

What factors could be driving these predicted declines? Several possibilities come to mind:

  • Economic conditions: These areas may be experiencing slower economic growth, job losses, or industry downturns, impacting demand for housing.
  • Population shifts: People might be moving away from these areas in search of better opportunities elsewhere.
  • Housing affordability: Even if prices aren't skyrocketing like in major cities, affordability could still be a concern for local residents.
  • Overbuilding: If there’s a surplus of new homes on the market, it can put downward pressure on prices.
  • **Interest Rates: The elephant in the room! As rates rise, mortgages become more expensive, reducing demand, especially in areas where affordability is already strained.
  • **Remote Work: A double edged sword: If these areas did not benefit as much from the shift to remote work like larger metro areas, they may be seeing a correction as people return to offices.

It's likely a combination of these factors that's contributing to the predicted declines.

What Does This Mean for Homeowners?

If you own a home in one of these areas, this forecast might be unsettling. But before you panic, consider these points:

  • Long-term perspective: Real estate is a long-term investment. A short-term dip doesn't necessarily negate long-term gains.
  • Local market knowledge: National forecasts are just that – national. Your local market conditions could be different. Talk to a local real estate agent for a more nuanced perspective.
  • Don't make rash decisions: Selling in a panic could lead to a loss. Assess your situation carefully and make informed decisions.
  • Consider improvements: If you're not planning to sell soon, focus on home improvements that will increase its value and your enjoyment of it.

Opportunities for Buyers?

On the other hand, potential buyers might see this as an opportunity. If prices do decline, it could become more affordable to buy a home in these areas. However, it's crucial to:

  • Do your research: Understand the local market conditions and why prices are declining.
  • Factor in long-term costs: Consider property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs.
  • Don't rush: Take your time to find the right property at the right price.
  • Get pre-approved: Know how much you can afford before you start looking.

Beyond the Numbers: My Personal Take

While Zillow's forecast is a valuable data point, it's important to remember that it's just that – a forecast. No one has a crystal ball, and the housing market is influenced by a multitude of factors that are difficult to predict with certainty.

In my experience, local market knowledge is paramount. What's happening in New York City is drastically different from what's happening in rural Texas. That's why it's crucial to consult with local real estate professionals who understand the nuances of your specific market.

I also believe that fear and greed are often the biggest drivers of market fluctuations. When everyone is panicking, opportunities can arise. Conversely, when everyone is euphoric, it's often a sign that a correction is coming.

The Bigger Picture: A National Perspective

Even with these predicted declines in specific areas, the overall housing market remains complex. Factors like low inventory, rising construction costs, and demographic trends will continue to play a role in shaping the market's future.

It's also worth noting that Zillow's national forecast is not a prediction of a widespread housing market crash. A 1.7% decline is a correction, not a collapse.

Final Thoughts: Staying Informed and Making Smart Choices

The housing markets predicted to decline in double digits by March 2026 may create both challenges and opportunities. Whether you're a homeowner or a potential buyer, the key is to stay informed, do your research, and make smart choices based on your individual circumstances and local market conditions. Don't let fear or greed dictate your decisions. Instead, rely on data, expert advice, and a long-term perspective.

Remember, the real estate market is constantly evolving. What's true today might not be true tomorrow. So, keep learning, keep adapting, and keep an eye on the horizon.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Recession in Real Estate: Smart Ways to Profit in a Down Market
  • Will There Be a Real Estate Recession in 2025: A Forecast
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Home Price Drop, home prices, Housing Market, real estate, Real Estate Market

3 Big US Cities on the Brink of a Housing Bubble: Crash Alert

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

3 Big Cities Facing High Housing Bubble Risk: Crash Alert?

Are some US cities about to pop? 3 US Cities on the Brink of a Housing Bubble are a real concern, and we're going to dive deep into which ones might be in trouble. According to the UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index, the overall risk of housing bubbles is down, but some cities are still flashing warning signs. Let's take a closer look.

Are Housing Bubbles a Real Threat?

The UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index recently pointed out some potential issues. While overall global bubble risk has lessened, certain cities remain high on the danger list. What's a housing bubble, you ask? Simply put, it’s when house prices rise way faster than what's actually sustainable. This often leads to a rapid and painful correction—a housing market crash. Think of it like a balloon blown up too big; eventually, it pops.

The index looks at things like price-to-income ratios (how much a house costs compared to how much people earn), rental growth, and mortgage rates. They don't just pull numbers out of thin air; they gather data from reliable sources all over the globe.

Several cities worldwide are showing warning signs, and a few in the US are showing some concerning signs. We're going to focus on three key areas. But first, let’s look at the big picture.

Understanding the Current Housing Market

The overall US housing market has experienced some serious changes lately. Interest rates have been fluctuating, impacting affordability. While rising interest rates typically cool down a hot market, other factors are playing a significant role. The key factors to consider are:

  • Affordability: It's becoming seriously tough for many people to afford a home. Mortgage payments are a bigger chunk of people's income than during the 2006-2007 housing bubble, even if home prices aren't as high as they were back then.
  • Supply and Demand: The supply of available homes is still seriously low in many areas. This limited supply fuels demand, keeping prices high despite other economic pressures. This shortage is a major factor, even with slower sales.
  • Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates are a major driver of the market. Lower interest rates make it easier and cheaper to borrow money for a mortgage, increasing demand. Higher rates do the opposite.

The good news is that in many places, the fierce competition for homes seems to be easing. This means prices aren't skyrocketing as fast as they once were.

3 Big US Cities on the Brink of a Housing Bubble?

Now, let’s pinpoint three US cities that are showing some worryingly high signs of a potential future problem:

1. Miami: The Luxury Market's Risky Bet

Miami is a stunning city, attracting a lot of international attention. But its luxury housing market is expanding at a rapid rate. The UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index consistently ranks Miami as having high bubble risk. Real housing prices increased by almost 50% in real terms since the end of 2019. Even with recent slowdowns elsewhere, Miami shows no signs of slowing down.

While the luxury market driving much of Miami's growth is not the same as the market for average homes, it's still a key indicator. The increased investor activity and the constant stream of affluent people looking for a second or third home have driven prices exceptionally high. It's a city where affordability is already a significant problem, and if the market corrects significantly, it could cause a ripple effect.

Miami's Housing Market: Key Factors

  • High-End Demand: A huge factor is the persistent influx of wealthy buyers, many from international markets, fueling demand for luxury properties.
  • Limited Supply: There's not enough inventory of available homes to meet this high demand, further escalating prices.
  • Speculative Buying: There is significant concern that some purchases are driven by speculation, which creates vulnerability if the market cools.

2. Boston: A Historically Strong Market Faces Challenges

Boston is known for its strong economy and historical significance. Yet, housing prices in Boston are significantly above the national average. While the local economy has faced some recent difficulties, it has historically shown exceptional strength, but even it is not immune to market pressure. The housing market in Boston shows concerning signs of a potential bubble, especially in specific neighborhoods.

Boston's Housing Market: Key Factors

  • High Price-to-Income Ratio: The cost of housing compared to residents' incomes is extremely high, making it challenging for many to afford a home.
  • Strong Economic History (But Recent Slowdown): While Boston typically has a robust economy, recent slower growth could negatively impact housing demand, potentially causing prices to fall.
  • Limited Housing Supply: The persistent lack of available homes continues to constrain the market.

3. Los Angeles: A Divided Market

Los Angeles is incredibly diverse, with various housing markets within its boundaries. The luxury market is robust, but more affordable areas reflect a very different picture. While the city has experienced challenges like population decline in certain areas, other parts of the city are booming. This makes forecasting exceptionally complex.

Los Angeles's Housing Market: Key Factors

  • Uneven Growth: The housing market is extremely fragmented, with luxury markets doing better than more affordable areas. This makes it hard to make broad statements about the whole city.
  • Declining Population in Some Areas: This has led to a decrease in demand and pressure on prices in certain neighborhoods, while other areas still show strong growth.
  • High Cost of Living: The overall high cost of living in LA puts downward pressure on the overall housing market in general.

What Does the Future Hold?

Predicting the future of the housing market is tricky. However, it’s clear these three cities are facing significant affordability challenges. The continuing increase in interest rates and the overall weakening economy could significantly impact housing prices.

My Personal Opinion

My Opinion on the Housing Bubble

I've spent years studying housing markets, and my gut tells me we are not facing a repeat of 2008. That crisis had many unique factors, including widespread subprime mortgages, that aren't as prevalent today. However, the current affordability issues are serious and could lead to significant price corrections in these cities, if not a full-blown housing bubble burst. It is essential to stay informed and monitor the situation closely.

While a significant crash like 2008 may not happen, a substantial correction in some of these cities is certainly a realistic possibility.

Conclusion:

So, are we staring down the barrel of a major housing market crash in these three US cities? It's a complicated question, but the risks are certainly high in some areas within these three cities. While I don't believe we are facing a crisis as widespread as 2008, it is likely that a market correction is ahead, particularly in Miami. Paying close attention to changes in interest rates, affordability, and supply is crucial for navigating the US housing market.

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Miami, FL is the Top Housing Market for International Buyers in 2025

June 7, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Miami, FL is the Top Housing Market for International Buyers in 2025

Do you ever wonder what makes a place truly special, not just for a visit, but for laying down roots, for investing your hard-earned money, for calling it home? I often think about this when I look at the dynamic global real estate market. And if there's one city that consistently captures the world's imagination, it's Miami.

In fact, Miami tops the list of the most popular housing markets for international buyers, definitively securing its position as the premier destination for global real estate investment and lifestyle seekers in the first quarter of 2025.

According to Realtor.com, in 2025 Q1, 1.9% of their online traffic came from international home buyers, up slightly from 1.7% in 2024Q1 and 1.3% in 2020Q1, the pre-pandemic level. Miami was the most popular U.S. market for international shoppers in 2025 Q1, attracting 8.7% of international online views

This isn't just a fleeting trend; it's a testament to Miami's unique appeal, drawing in buyers from across the globe who see more than just sunshine and beaches – they see opportunity, security, and a vibrant future.

Miami, FL is the Top Housing Market for International Buyers in 2025

For anyone tracking real estate trends, especially those driven by international capital, Miami's dominance isn't a surprise. But to see it lead the pack, accounting for a significant 8.7% of all international demand in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2025, truly solidifies its standing. When I first saw these numbers, I wasn't just impressed; I felt a sense of vindication for what I've observed on the ground for years. Miami isn't just popular; it's a phenomenon.

What makes Miami such an unassailable leader? It's a blend of factors that create a powerful magnet for international buyers. Firstly, there's the obvious allure: the weather, the beaches, and the unparalleled luxury lifestyle. Who wouldn't want to wake up to turquoise waters and endless sunshine? But beyond the aesthetics, Miami offers tangible benefits. Florida's lack of state income tax is a huge draw, especially for high-net-worth individuals and those looking to relocate from higher-tax states or countries. This fiscal advantage translates directly into greater disposable income and better returns on investment.

From my perspective, Miami offers a unique blend of cosmopolitan sophistication and laid-back South Florida charm. It's a major hub for international business, finance, and trade, particularly with Latin America and Europe. This creates a robust economy and a diverse job market that attracts talent and investment. The city's infrastructure, from its modern airport to its world-class medical facilities and booming tech sector, further enhances its appeal. International buyers see Miami not just as a place to live, but as a strategic investment in a resilient and growing economy. They recognize its unique position as a gateway to the Americas.

Think about it: whether you're looking for a sprawling waterfront estate, a chic downtown condo, or a quiet family home in a gated community, Miami's diverse housing options cater to every taste and budget within the luxury spectrum. The city's cultural melting pot, with its strong Latin American and European influences, also makes it feel welcoming and familiar to many international buyers, making the transition to life in the U.S. that much smoother.

A Glimpse at the World's Favorite U.S. Destinations

While Miami proudly holds the top spot, it's just one piece of the puzzle illustrating the broader international interest in U.S. real estate. The data reveals that a significant 1.9% of Realtor.com's online traffic originated from international home shoppers in the first quarter of 2025 – a steady increase from 1.7% a year prior and 1.3% before the pandemic in 2020. This upward trend clearly shows that the U.S. continues to be viewed as a safe haven and an attractive destination for real estate investment globally.

Looking past Miami, the list of top markets for international buyers highlights a fascinating mix of established global cities and rapidly growing regional centers. Here’s a snapshot of the top 10, showing their traffic share in 2025 Q1:

Metro Traffic Share
Miami, FL 8.7%
New York, NY 4.9%
Los Angeles, CA 4.6%
Orlando, FL 2.9%
Dallas, TX 2.8%
Houston, TX 2.6%
Tampa, FL 2.5%
Phoenix, AZ 2.3%
Chicago, IL 2.0%
Riverside, CA 1.5%

It's intriguing to observe how these major metropolitan areas continue to hold sway. New York, NY, and Los Angeles, CA, remain significant draws, representing global economic and cultural powerhouses. Their consistent appeal underscores their status as perennial investment hotbeds, offering prestige, diverse opportunities, and robust rental markets.

And then there's Florida again, with Orlando and Tampa also making strong appearances. Orlando, often known for its theme parks, is also a rapidly expanding metropolitan area with a strong job market and relatively affordable housing compared to coastal Florida. Its family-friendly atmosphere and growing tech sector attract a wide range of buyers. Tampa’s appeal lies in its burgeoning urban core, beautiful waterfront, and more relaxed pace of life, often drawing those looking for a slightly less intense but still vibrant Florida experience. For international buyers, both offer compelling options for investment, potential rental income, or part-time residency.

From my standpoint, these cities offer a familiar sense of stability to international investors. They are well-known, have established infrastructure, and offer a perception of safety for investments compared to more volatile global markets.

The Lone Star State's Ascendance: Texas Captures Global Attention

One of the most notable shifts in the data is the undeniable rise of Texas as a major player in the international housing market. This is a trend I've been watching closely, and it's exhilarating to see it unfold so dramatically. In 2025 Q1, both Austin, TX, and San Antonio, TX, broke into the top 20 markets for international home shoppers, a significant leap considering neither appeared on the list in the prior year or before the pandemic. Moreover, Dallas, TX, climbed three spots, and Houston, TX, secured the sixth position globally. Texas is no longer just on the map; it's a central character in the international real estate story.

So, what's driving this immense interest in Texas? It boils down to a compelling mix of economic, social, and cultural factors:

  • Cost of Living: Compared to coastal powerhouses like California or the Northeast, Texas offers a considerably lower cost of living, from housing prices to everyday expenses. This means more home for the money, which is a powerful incentive for international buyers.
  • No State Income Tax: Similar to Florida, Texas boasts a significant financial advantage: no state income tax. For individuals and businesses, this can lead to substantial savings, making the state an attractive destination for both relocation and investment.
  • Pro-Business Environment: Texas has actively cultivated a deeply pro-business environment with favorable regulations and incentives. This has led to a massive influx of major corporations, including tech giants, manufacturing firms, and automotive companies, relocating or expanding their operations within the state. As someone who follows economic development, I've seen firsthand the aggressive efforts by Texas to attract and retain businesses, and it's clearly paying off.
  • Economic & Job Growth: The corporate migration has fueled explosive economic growth and job creation. This means a robust local economy, increasing demand for housing, and strong potential for property appreciation and rental income – all key considerations for international investors.
  • Infrastructure Development: With rapid growth comes significant investment in infrastructure, including roads, public transit, and utilities. This ongoing development makes Texas cities more livable and accessible.
  • Cultural Diversity & Universities: Texas is incredibly diverse, offering a welcoming environment for people from all backgrounds. Its strong university systems, like the University of Texas and Texas A&M, also attract international students and faculty, who often become long-term residents and homebuyers.
  • International Travel Connections: Major Texas cities like Dallas and Houston boast extensive international travel connections, with direct flights to numerous global destinations, making it easier for international buyers to commute back home or manage their properties from afar.

For me, the rise of Texas isn't just about numbers; it's about a strategic vision that has come to fruition. The state has consciously positioned itself as an economic powerhouse, and international buyers are now recognizing and capitalizing on that vision. It’s a testament to the fact that favorable fiscal policies and a supportive business ecosystem can translate directly into strong real estate demand.

The Retreat from Western Shores: A Shift in Buyer Preferences

While some states are gaining ground, others appear to be losing some of their international luster. The data highlights a significant shift away from certain Western markets. In 2020 Q1, cities like San Francisco, CA, San Diego, CA, and Las Vegas, NV, were all among the top 20 destinations for international home shoppers. However, come 2025 Q1, none of these cities remained on the list.

The most striking example is San Francisco, which was also absent from the list in 2024 Q1. As someone who's observed market dynamics for years, I believe several interconnected factors are at play here:

  • Persistent Affordability Challenges: San Francisco has long been notorious for its astronomical housing prices. For international buyers looking for strong returns and long-term value, the sheer cost of entry can be prohibitive, making other, more affordable markets far more attractive. My opinion is that at a certain point, even the most prestigious locations face a ceiling when affordability becomes unsustainable for a broad base of buyers.
  • Concerns about Long-Term Returns: High prices demand high returns, and when market conditions become uncertain, international buyers, especially those focused on investment, become wary. The perception of whether future appreciation can justify the current high prices is crucial.
  • Tech Sector Volatility: San Francisco's economy is heavily tied to the tech industry. Recent periods of tech layoffs and slowed hiring have introduced a degree of uncertainty and instability into the local economy. For international investors, who often seek environments of stability and consistent growth, this volatility can be a deterrent.
  • Broader Urban Issues: Beyond economic factors, ongoing debates about housing and zoning, coupled with highly visible homelessness challenges, have contributed to buyer caution. While San Francisco undeniably offers cultural richness and deep economic strengths in certain niches, these broader urban issues can make international buyers think twice about long-term investment, particularly if they are also considering relocating their families. They are looking for a comprehensive package of quality of life and investment security.

San Diego and Las Vegas, while different markets, also face their own challenges. For San Diego, high cost of living and, perhaps, the allure of other lower-cost coastal communities might be playing a role. Las Vegas, while popular for tourism, may be seen by some international investors as having a more speculative real estate market compared to more diversified economies. This shift underscores a broader trend: international buyers are becoming increasingly discerning, prioritizing long-term stability, affordability, and a strong foundational economy over mere brand recognition.

Unraveling the Origins: Who's Eyeing U.S. Real Estate?

Understanding where international buyers are coming from is just as important as knowing where they're going. The data provides a clear picture of the dominant sources of online interest in U.S. properties in 2025 Q1:

  • Canada: Leading the pack, Canadian home shoppers still accounted for a substantial 34.7% of all international traffic.
  • United Kingdom (UK): Following with 5.7%.
  • Mexico: A strong showing at 5.4%.
  • Germany: Contributing 3.8%.
  • Australia: Rounding out the top five with 3.2%.

Beyond these top contenders, buyers from other countries are also consistently engaging with the U.S. market, signifying the widespread appeal of American real estate as a reliable and often lucrative asset.

The Canadian Connection: A Shifting, Yet Strong Dynamic

Canadians have long been the U.S.'s most significant group of international homebuyers, and that trend continued in 2025 Q1, with them making up over a third of all international online traffic. Yet, there’s a fascinating dynamic at play: their share actually declined from 40.7% in 2024 Q1 to 34.7% in 2025 Q1. This retreat, the data suggests, coincided with a period during which the U.S. imposed a series of tariffs on Canadian goods.

From my perspective, this correlation is worth considering. Geopolitical and trade policies can absolutely have an impact on consumer confidence and investment behavior, even in areas like real estate. When there's friction or uncertainty in trade relations, it can subtly affect the perception of an investment environment. It might make potential buyers pause, reconsider, or simply become more cautious, perhaps thinking, “Is this the optimal time to move capital across the border?”

At the metro level, this decline was felt across the board. The largest drops in Canadian interest were observed in their traditional Florida strongholds and warmer climates:

  • Naples, FL: Saw the most significant drop, from 73.1% of its international online traffic being Canadian in 2024 Q1 to 59.6% in 2025 Q1 – a 13.5 percentage point decline.
  • North Port, FL: Followed with a 12.9 percentage point decrease.
  • Phoenix, AZ: Declined by 11.8 percentage points.
  • Cape Coral, FL: Down by 10.8 percentage points.
  • Tampa, FL: Dropped by 10.1 percentage points.
  • Detroit, MI: Saw a 10 percentage point decrease.

Despite this measurable dip, it's crucial to acknowledge that Canadians still dominate international views in these markets. For instance, even after the drop, almost 60% of international demand in Naples still came from Canada. This clearly shows that the underlying appeal – whether it’s for snowbirds seeking warmer winters, retirement homes, or vacation properties – remains incredibly strong. My personal take is that while political winds can cause temporary shifts, the fundamental draw of Florida’s climate and lifestyle for Canadians is an enduring force. They are likely just exercising a bit more caution or waiting for clearer signals before making their move.

Mexican Buyers: Proximity and Enduring Connections

Another compelling aspect of the international buyer data is the consistent presence of Mexican homebuyers. They constituted 5.4% of international traffic in 2025 Q1, a slight decrease from 5.8% in the previous year, despite similar tariffs being applied to imports from Mexico as seen with Canada. This slight dip suggests a remarkable resilience in demand.

What truly stands out about Mexican homebuyers is their strong preference for destinations located near the U.S.-Mexico border. Unlike the scattered coastal or sunshine-state preferences of many other international buyers, Mexican interest is largely clustered around cities like:

  • San Antonio, TX
  • Dallas, TX
  • Houston, TX
  • El Paso, TX
  • San Diego, CA

This isn't by chance. From my years of observation, these patterns are driven by deeply practical and cultural considerations:

  • Proximity: The sheer ease of cross-border travel for family visits, business operations, and personal connections is paramount.
  • Cultural and Language Connections: These border cities often share strong cultural and linguistic ties with Mexico, making the transition significantly smoother for new residents. It simply feels more familiar and welcoming.
  • Established Networks: Many families and businesses already have established networks across the border, whether it's family members, business partners, or trusted service providers. This infrastructure makes living or investing in a border city far more convenient.
  • Access to Services: Access to U.S. education, healthcare, and diverse shopping opportunities continues to be a major pull factor.

Mexican buyers play a significant role in key markets. For example, in San Antonio, TX, they account for a notable 18.8% of its international demand. They also have a substantial presence in Riverside, CA (10.5%), and Chicago, IL (8.2%).

While the overall share of Mexican international traffic saw a marginal decline, some metros experienced more pronounced shifts. Chicago, IL, notably saw its share of Mexican homebuyers drop from 10.9% in 2024 Q1 to 8.2% in 2025 Q1. Smaller declines also occurred in Philadelphia, PA, San Antonio, TX, and Phoenix, AZ. My take is that the demand from Mexico, driven by these fundamental connections, is incredibly robust and less susceptible to the same economic crosscurrents that might impact buyers from further afield. It's truly a unique segment of the international real estate market.

The Broader Appeal: What Drives All International Home Shopping?

Beyond specific countries or regions, it's worth stepping back and looking at the overarching reasons why international buyers consistently look to the U.S. real estate market. My experience tells me it boils down to a combination of enduring advantages:

  • Stability and Security: The U.S. is generally perceived as a stable political and economic environment. For international investors, especially those from less stable regions, U.S. real estate offers a tangible asset that is often seen as a safe haven for capital.
  • Investment Opportunities: The U.S. market offers a wide range of investment opportunities, from high-yield rental properties in growing cities to long-term appreciation in prestige locations. The diversity of property types and market conditions allows for tailored investment strategies.
  • Diversification: For many global investors, U.S. real estate serves as a crucial tool for diversifying their portfolios, reducing risk by spreading investments across different currencies and markets.
  • Lifestyle and Education: For those seeking to relocate, the allure of the American lifestyle, world-class educational institutions, and diverse cultural experiences are powerful draws. Many buyers are looking for homes that offer
    • Better quality of life
    • Access to top universities for their children
    • A sense of freedom and aspiration
  • Rule of Law: The strong legal framework and property rights in the U.S. provide a level of security and predictability that may not be available in other countries. This protects investments and gives buyers peace of mind.

I often think of the U.S. real estate market as a highly sophisticated, multi-layered product. It's not just about a house; it's about the economic ecosystem, the legal protections, the lifestyle, and the educational opportunities that come with it. International buyers grasp this holistic value proposition.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Cross-Border Real Estate

The international demand for U.S. real estate continues to evolve, reflecting global economic shifts, geopolitical dynamics, and changing preferences. I believe we'll continue to see certain trends solidify:

  • Sustained Demand for Safe Havens: In an increasingly uncertain world, the U.S. will likely remain a preferred destination for capital seeking stability and asset protection.
  • Continued Growth of Emerging Hotspots: While established markets will hold their own, the rise of cities like Austin and San Antonio indicates a growing appetite for markets that offer strong economic fundamentals combined with relative affordability. I anticipate other second-tier cities with strong job growth and quality of life will also start appearing higher on lists.
  • Impact of Global Events: Trade policies, currency fluctuations, and international conflicts will continue to exert influence on where and how international money flows into U.S. real estate. The Canadian example around tariffs is a clear illustration of this.
  • Technology's Role: Digital platforms and virtual reality tours will become even more crucial in facilitating cross-border transactions, making it easier for buyers to explore properties remotely.
  • Sustainability and Wellness: As global awareness grows, international buyers may increasingly prioritize properties with green features, smart home technology, and access to wellness amenities.

The U.S. real estate market is a powerful and attractive force on the global stage. Its diversity, stability, and enduring appeal continue to draw international buyers looking for homes, investments, and a piece of the American dream.

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Top 22 Housing Markets Where Prices Are Predicted to Rise the Most by 2026

June 4, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

22 Housing Markets Expected to Highest Price Gains by Early 2026

The housing market rollercoaster continues, and if you're trying to figure out where things are headed, you're not alone. It feels like just yesterday everyone was talking about prices skyrocketing everywhere, and now? Not so much, at least on a national level.

But here's the thing: real estate is local. Always has been, always will be. While the big picture forecast might show a dip, some specific spots are expected to keep climbing. According to the latest analysis from Zillow Research, released in April 2025, there are indeed 22 housing markets where home prices will rise the most over the next 12 months, defying the broader trend they predict for the rest of the country.

So, what's the big picture, according to Zillow? Their updated forecast is predicting a national drop in home values of 1.9% through 2025. That's a pretty significant shift from their earlier expectation of a small increase. They point to more homes hitting the market and mortgage rates staying elevated as the main reasons sellers are having to cut prices to attract buyers.

On the flip side, they do expect existing home sales to tick up slightly, forecasting about 4.2 million sales in 2025, a modest 3.3% bump from the year before. Essentially, they see buyers getting a bit more power and time to shop around, while sellers are adjusting expectations. Rental markets?

They see rents still rising, but at a slower pace, especially for apartments, with demand for single-family rentals holding steady as some folks wait on the sidelines for the buying market to cool off or rates to drop.

But let's get back to those specific places expected to see prices go up. This is where it gets interesting because it highlights the power of local market dynamics even when national headwinds are blowing. As someone who's spent years watching real estate trends, I know that national averages can sometimes hide fascinating stories happening in individual towns and cities.

Understanding the Forecast in Context

Before we dive into the list, let's be super clear: these are forecasts. They're based on complex models that take into account a ton of data – things like current prices, sales trends, inventory levels, rental data, economic indicators, and even search activity on Zillow's own platform. Zillow themselves mention that mortgage rates are in an “especially unpredictable period,” and unforeseen events could always change things. So, treat this list not as a crystal ball, but as a snapshot of where Zillow's models predict the strongest price growth based on the data available in April 2025.

What makes a market potentially buck the national trend of price depreciation? Based on my experience, it often comes down to a few key factors:

  1. Relative Affordability: Even if national prices are high, some smaller or less-discovered markets might still offer value, attracting buyers looking for more bang for their buck.
  2. Limited Supply: If a market simply isn't building many new homes, or has geographical constraints (like being surrounded by mountains or water), limited inventory can keep upward pressure on prices even if demand cools slightly.
  3. Specific Demand Drivers: Is there a major employer expanding? A new amenity like a park or transportation hub? Is it a desirable retirement spot, a recreational haven, or an area seeing an influx of remote workers? Local job growth and population shifts are huge drivers.
  4. Unique Market Characteristics: Some markets just have their own rhythm. Maybe it's a popular vacation spot, a college town with stable demand, or an area benefiting from specific state-level initiatives.

Looking at Zillow's national forecast of a price drop, finding markets predicted to gain value is like finding little islands of appreciation in a sea of slight decline. It tells me these specific areas likely have some combination of the factors above working strongly in their favor, strong enough to counteract the pressure from higher rates and increased national inventory levels.

22 Housing Markets Where Prices Are Predicted to Rise the Most by 2026

Now, let's get to the list everyone wants to see. The data provided ranks markets by their projected price change from March 31, 2025, to March 31, 2026. As requested, I'm grouping markets that have the same forecast percentage and including all markets from Steamboat Springs, CO down to Price, UT in the provided data. This gives us the top ranks, which includes 22 specific markets in total.

Here's the breakdown based on Zillow's April 2025 forecast:

Rank 1

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 3.8%
  • Market: Steamboat Springs, CO

My take: No huge surprise to see a high-end recreational market like Steamboat Springs at the top. Places like this often have limited supply due to geography and strong demand from both second-home buyers and those able to work remotely. Even if the broader market softens, desirability for unique lifestyle locations remains high for a segment of the population.

Rank 2

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 3.0%
  • Market: Maysville, KY

My take: Maysville is an interesting contrast to Steamboat Springs. Often, we see more affordable or smaller regional centers show up on lists like this when larger, more expensive markets cool off. Could this be related to value relative to nearby larger metros, or perhaps specific local economic factors? It highlights that appreciation isn't just confined to famous hotspots.

Rank 3

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.7%
  • Market: Edwards, CO

My take: Another Colorado mountain town ranking high. Edwards is near Vail and Beaver Creek. This reinforces the idea that desirable recreational areas with limited buildable land can often maintain or increase value even in tougher markets, driven by affluent buyers or those prioritizing lifestyle.

Rank 4

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.5%
  • Market: Augusta, ME

My take: As the capital of Maine, Augusta has a stable base of government employment. Maine's popularity as a destination, both for tourists and those seeking a different pace of life (especially after the remote work shift), might be playing a role here. It's another example of a smaller regional center showing predicted resilience.

Rank 5

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.4%
  • Markets:
    • Atlantic City, NJ
    • Alamogordo, NM
    • Berlin, NH

My take: This group is fascinating because they are so different. Atlantic City has the draw of gambling and the shore, but has faced economic challenges. Alamogordo has a military base nearby (Holloman Air Force Base), which provides economic stability. Berlin, NH is a smaller town in northern New Hampshire, an area known for its natural beauty and outdoor recreation. This diversity at the same predicted growth rate tells me different factors are likely driving the forecasts in each location – tourism/recreation in AC and Berlin, and stable employment in Alamogordo.

Rank 6

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.3%
  • Markets:
    • West Plains, MO
    • Jackson, WY

My take: Another pairing of very different markets. Jackson, WY is a world-famous high-end destination similar to Steamboat Springs and Edwards, driven by its proximity to Grand Teton and Yellowstone National Parks and its status as a playground for the wealthy. West Plains, MO, on the other hand, is a regional hub in the Ozarks, likely appealing due to affordability and a slower pace of life. This stark contrast highlights that predicted growth isn't limited to one type of market; it's about specific local supply/demand balances and economic drivers.

Rank 7

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.2%
  • Markets:
    • Mayfield, KY
    • Thomaston, GA

My take: Two more smaller regional markets. Mayfield was notably impacted by a devastating tornado in late 2021; perhaps this forecast reflects ongoing rebuilding or shifting local dynamics post-disaster. Thomaston is south of the Atlanta metro area, potentially benefiting from folks looking further out for affordability or space, though the forecast shows a slight dip in the immediate few months.

Rank 8

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.0%
  • Market: Dodge City, KS

My take: Famous for its Old West history, Dodge City is a regional center in southwest Kansas. Its economy is tied to agriculture and manufacturing. A forecast of 2.0% appreciation here suggests local economic stability is likely underpinning the housing market's resilience compared to national trends.

Rank 9

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 1.9%
  • Markets:
    • Kingston, NY
    • Statesboro, GA
    • Keene, NH
    • Cedartown, GA
    • Clewiston, FL
    • Butte, MT

My take: This is the largest group by far, showing a cluster of markets all predicted to see modest appreciation around 1.9%. We see a mix here: Kingston, NY (Hudson Valley, potentially benefiting from proximity to NYC); Statesboro and Cedartown, GA (smaller Georgia cities); Keene, NH (southwest NH); Clewiston, FL (inland Florida, near Lake Okeechobee); and Butte, MT (historic mining town, now a regional center). The common thread here might be relative affordability compared to nearby larger areas or specific local economic anchors keeping demand steady.

Rank 10

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 1.8%
  • Markets:
    • Rochester, NY
    • Laconia, NH
    • Brevard, NC
    • Price, UT

My take: This final group also shows diversity. Rochester, NY is a larger metro area than most on this list. Laconia, NH is in the Lakes Region. Brevard, NC is in the mountains near Asheville, another area popular for recreation and lifestyle. Price, UT is in a more rural part of central Utah. The presence of Rochester suggests that even some larger, more established metros might find stability and slight growth, perhaps driven by specific neighborhoods, educational institutions, or industries within the city. The others again lean towards smaller, potentially more affordable, or recreation-adjacent areas.

Here's a table summarizing these markets by their predicted appreciation rate:

Rank Predicted Price Increase (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026) Market(s)
1 3.8% Steamboat Springs, CO
2 3.0% Maysville, KY
3 2.7% Edwards, CO
4 2.5% Augusta, ME
5 2.4% Atlantic City, NJ; Alamogordo, NM; Berlin, NH
6 2.3% West Plains, MO; Jackson, WY
7 2.2% Mayfield, KY; Thomaston, GA
8 2.0% Dodge City, KS
9 1.9% Kingston, NY; Statesboro, GA; Keene, NH; Cedartown, GA; Clewiston, FL; Butte, MT
10 1.8% Rochester, NY; Laconia, NH; Brevard, NC; Price, UT

Data Source: Zillow Home Value and Home Sales Forecast, April 2025

What Can We Learn from This List?

Looking at this list, a few things jump out at me:

  • It's Not Just One Type of Market: We see a mix of high-end recreational areas (Steamboat, Edwards, Jackson), smaller regional centers (Maysville, Augusta, West Plains, Dodge City, Statesboro, Cedartown, Keene, Berlin, Butte, Price), and some unique cases like Atlantic City or markets potentially benefiting from spillover affordability (Thomaston, Kingston).
  • Affordability Matters: Many of these markets, outside of the high-end Colorado and Wyoming examples, are relatively more affordable than major coastal metros or Sunbelt boomtowns that saw massive price increases earlier in the cycle. Could this predicted growth be a function of delayed affordability corrections or continued demand for value? I think that's definitely a factor.
  • Local Anchors are Key: Stable employment sources (military bases, government jobs), recreational appeal, or simply being a necessary regional hub seem to be providing enough underlying demand to support price increases even when national conditions are softer.
  • Modest Growth is Still Growth: While 3.8% or even 1.8% might seem small compared to the double-digit appreciation we saw in 2020-2022, in a period where the national forecast is negative, any positive growth is notable. It suggests these markets have strong fundamentals relative to the current economic and interest rate environment.

My Thoughts on Navigating the Market

Based on this data and my understanding of market cycles, here's my perspective:

First, remember that a forecast is just a forecast. It's a model's best guess based on current information. Things can change. Mortgage rates could drop faster (or slower) than expected. The economy could surprise us. Local factors in any of these markets could shift.

Second, if you're looking to buy or invest, particularly in one of these markets, this data is a piece of the puzzle, not the whole picture. You still need to do your homework on the ground. What are inventory levels really like right now in that specific town or neighborhood? What are the local job prospects? What's the condition of the homes? How do the prices compare to historical averages for that specific market, not just the national trend?

Third, this reinforces the power of diversification if you're thinking about real estate investment. While national trends matter, having exposure to different types of markets – some larger, some smaller, some driven by different economic factors – can help buffer against downturns in any single area.

Finally, for most people, buying a home is about more than just appreciation potential. It's about finding a place to live, raise a family, or build a life. While potential price growth is a nice bonus, focusing too much on short-term forecasts (even ones looking out a year like this) might distract from finding the right home for your needs and budget in a community you actually want to live in. The predicted growth rates here, while positive, are relatively modest. This isn't a signal of a new boom, but rather resilience.

In conclusion, while Zillow's April 2025 forecast paints a picture of slight price declines nationally, these 22 markets (grouped into 10 ranks) from Steamboat Springs, CO, down to Price, UT, are predicted by their models to see home prices continue to climb, albeit modestly, by early 2026.

They represent a fascinating mix of recreational hotspots and smaller regional centers, each likely driven by unique local factors strong enough to counteract the national headwinds of higher rates and increased supply. It's a strong reminder that even in a complex and uncertain housing market, opportunities for appreciation exist, but they're highly localized and require careful, specific research.

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Also Read:

  • Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Housing Prices Are Set to Rise by 4.1% by the End of 2025
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

June 4, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

Are you dreaming of owning a home? You're probably wondering what the future holds. So, let's cut to the chase: The housing market in 2026 is expected to be more balanced than it has been in recent years, with moderate price growth, stabilizing interest rates, and increased sales activity. While it won't be a complete walk in the park, there's a good chance it'll be a bit easier for buyers than it has been. Let’s dive deeper into what you can expect.

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

Home Prices: Are We Finally Seeing Some Relief?

Remember those crazy bidding wars and prices going through the roof? Well, experts think things will cool down a bit.

  • The National Association of Realtors (NAR) thinks the median home price will hit $420,000 in 2026, which is about a 2% jump from 2025.
  • Fannie Mae surveyed over 100 housing experts, and they're predicting home price growth will slow to 3.6% in 2026, which is less than the 5.2% we saw in 2024.
  • Zillow economists are projecting that U.S. home prices, as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index, will fall -1.7% between March 2025 and March 2026.
  • The U.S. News Housing Market Index thinks prices will go up a total of 17% from 2024 to 2029, which means prices will go up slowly each year starting in 2026.

This means that the big price jumps we saw a few years ago are probably over. Prices will still go up, but not as fast. That's good news for buyers, but remember that in some areas with lots of demand, houses will still be expensive.

Mortgage Rates: Will They Ever Go Down?

Mortgage rates are a big deal. They decide how much it costs to borrow money to buy a house. In 2025, rates have been pretty high, around 6-7%. Let's see what the experts think will happen in 2026:

  • NAR says mortgage rates will stay around 6% through 2026.
  • Fannie Mae thinks rates will be around 6% by the end of 2026.
  • J.P. Morgan is a bit more cautious, predicting rates will only drop to 6.7% by the end of 2025.

The important thing to remember is that mortgage rates depend on things like inflation and what the Federal Reserve does. If inflation goes down, rates could go down too. But, as Bankrate points out, anything can happen with the economy and government policies, so rates could change quickly.

Home Sales: Will More People Be Buying and Selling?

High mortgage rates have made it harder for people to buy houses, so sales have been down. But, experts think things will pick up in 2026:

  • NAR‘s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, thinks sales of existing homes will go up 13% in 2026.
  • Sales of new homes are predicted to go up 8% in 2026.
  • Bankrate says sales of existing homes could go up 10-15% in 2026.

This increase in sales will happen because mortgage rates will become more stable, there will be more houses available, and the economy will hopefully be doing well. All of these things will encourage people to buy homes.

Are There Enough Houses to Buy? The Supply and Demand Puzzle

For a while now, there haven't been enough houses for sale. This has made prices go up and made it hard for buyers. Let's see if this will change in 2026:

  • The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) says builders will start building more single-family homes, about 1.05 million in 2026.
  • But, fewer apartment buildings will be built. This could make it harder to find a place to rent and could push rent prices up.
  • The U.S. News Housing Market Index estimates that there are still not enough houses, about 4.5 million short. They think this problem will slowly get better between 2025 and 2030.

So, more houses are being built, but it will take time to catch up with the demand. More houses for sale will help balance the market and make it easier to find a home.

What Else Could Affect the Housing Market?

Lots of things outside of just prices and rates can have a big impact:

  • The Economy: If the economy is doing well and people have jobs, more people will be able to buy houses.
  • Government Policies: New laws about housing and taxes can change the market.
  • Climate Change: The cost of insurance and building materials is going up because of climate change. This will make it more expensive to own a home, especially in areas that are prone to floods or fires.
  • Where People Want to Live: More people are moving to cities, which will make it harder to find housing in those areas. Also, as older people downsize, more homes could become available in some markets.

Where You Live Matters: Regional Differences

The housing market is different depending on where you are. Some areas will do better than others:

  • Areas with lots of jobs, growing populations, and not enough houses, like parts of the Midwest, might see prices go up more.
  • Expensive cities on the coasts might not grow as fast because they are already so expensive.
  • Bankrate says some areas in the South, like Texas and Florida, might not do as well because there are too many houses for sale and climate change is making it more expensive to live there.

If you're thinking of buying or selling, it's important to look at what's happening in your local market.

Opportunities for Investors

For investors, 2026 could bring some interesting chances. Some people who have adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) might see their rates go up, which could create opportunities for investors to buy properties. Also, managing properties efficiently is becoming more important as costs go up, so investors who use technology and smart management strategies could do well.

My Final Thoughts

Overall, the housing market in 2026 looks like it will be more stable than it has been in the past few years. Prices will probably go up slowly, mortgage rates will hopefully stay around 6%, and there will be more houses for sale.

If you're a buyer, 2026 could be a good year to start looking, as there will be more choices and less competition. If you're a seller, you might not get as much money as you would have a few years ago, but there will still be buyers out there.

Remember, things can change, and it's always a good idea to talk to a real estate professional in your area before making any big decisions. Good luck with your home-buying or selling journey!

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

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Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

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Also Read:

  • Housing Prices Are Set to Rise by 4.1% by the End of 2025
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Recession in Real Estate: Smart Ways to Profit in a Down Market
  • Will There Be a Real Estate Recession in 2025: A Forecast
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

What Will the Average House Price Be in 2040: Predictions

June 1, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

What Will the Average House Price Be in 2040: Predictions

For most Americans, their home is their biggest investment. So, naturally, the question of what the future holds for housing prices is a hot topic. Here's a quick look at US house price growth over the years:

  • Average YoY growth rate (Mar 1992 – Mar 2024): 5.5%
  • All-time high YoY growth: 17.8% (September 2021)
  • Record low YoY growth: -12.4% (December 2008)

With homeownership being a priority for many, will you be able to afford a house in 16 years? Let's delve into the factors that might shape the average US house price in 2040.

US House Price Growth Over the Years

Average YoY Growth

5.5%

(Mar 1992 – Mar 2024)

All-time High Growth

17.8%

(September 2021)

Record Low Growth

-12.4%

(December 2008)

Growth Timeline

1992

2008

2021

2024

 

Predicting the Average US House Price in 2040

The Winds of Change: Factors at Play

Predicting the future is no easy feat, and the housing market is no exception. Here are some key elements that will likely influence the average house price in 2040:

Inflation: This invisible hand steadily pushes prices upwards. Over the past few decades, inflation has averaged around 2-3% annually in the U.S. While the exact rate in the coming years is uncertain, it's a safe bet that inflation will cause a rise in average house price. This doesn't necessarily mean a house will cost twice as much in 2040 compared to today, but it does suggest that steadily increasing prices will erode purchasing power.

Interest Rates: The cost of borrowing to buy a house significantly impacts affordability. If interest rates remain low, it could fuel demand and potentially push prices higher. Conversely, rising interest rates would make monthly mortgage payments more expensive, potentially dampening demand and slowing price growth. The Federal Reserve plays a key role in setting interest rates, but various economic factors also influence them.

Supply and Demand: Basic economics tells us that if there's a shortage of houses compared to the number of buyers, prices will rise. Demographics play a role here – millennials, a large generation, are entering prime home-buying years. This could create high demand, especially in desirable areas where there's already limited inventory. On the other hand, if new construction keeps pace with demand, it could help stabilize prices.

Location, Location, Location: The adage holds true. Prices will likely continue to vary greatly depending on factors like proximity to job centers, amenities, and overall desirability. Coastal areas, vibrant cities, and suburbs with excellent schools tend to command a premium. However, affordability concerns may cause some buyers to look beyond traditional hot spots and consider more geographically diverse locations.

Looking at the Crystal Ball (Through Fuzzy Glasses)

Expert opinions on future house prices diverge. Some, like speakers at recent investment banker conferences, point to historical trends and project a continuation of the current upward trajectory, with the median house price exceeding $1 million by 2040 [source: YouTube video talking about investment bankers conference]. Their reasoning hinges on the assumption that low-interest rates and a growing population will continue to fuel demand, outpacing new construction.

On the other hand, some analysts foresee a more modest increase. They acknowledge the influence of inflation and demographics but also consider potential dampening factors. An economic downturn or a significant rise in interest rates could cool the market. Additionally, a shift towards more affordable housing options, or a rise in remote work opportunities leading to a decline in the importance of location, could also impact average prices.

$1 Million Homes: Can Americans Afford Them in 2040?

  • Wage Growth: If wages keep pace with inflation and rising house prices, then a $1 million median price might not be completely out of reach. However, historically, wage growth hasn't kept up with housing prices, making affordability a challenge.
  • Interest Rates: Low interest rates make monthly payments more manageable. But if rates rise significantly, even a million-dollar house could become unaffordable for many.
  • Shifting Demographics: Millennials, a large cohort, are entering prime home-buying years. This high demand could push prices even higher, especially in desirable locations.
  • Alternative Housing Options: The rise of tiny homes, multi-generational living, and co-op ownership could become more prevalent as affordability concerns mount.

Here's a breakdown of possible scenarios:

  • Scenario 1: Balanced Growth: If wages rise at an average of 3% annually, keeping pace with inflation, and interest rates stay around 4%, a $1 million median price could be achievable for some Americans, particularly those with high incomes or dual earners. For example, a couple with a combined pre-tax income of $150,000 might qualify for a mortgage on a $1 million house, assuming a 20% down payment. However, for many middle-class earners, especially those in single-income households, a $1 million median price would likely still be out of reach.

Overall, a $1 million median price in 2040 would likely create a more segmented housing market:

  • High-cost areas: Prices in desirable locations could significantly exceed the national median, further limiting affordability.
  • More affordable regions: Areas with lower overall living costs might see a surge in popularity as people prioritize affordability over location.

The future remains uncertain, but one thing is clear: affordability will be a key concern in a $1 million housing market.

The Takeaway: Be Prepared, Not Paranoid

It's important to remember that unforeseen events can dramatically impact the housing market. Economic downturns, changes in government policy, or natural disasters can all disrupt trends.

While the average price is interesting, what truly matters is affordability. Even if the average house price doesn't skyrocket, stagnant wages could make homeownership increasingly difficult for many.

While predicting the exact average house price in 2040 is impossible, understanding the influencing factors can help you make informed decisions. Focus on building a solid financial foundation, explore areas with a good balance of affordability and desirability, and consider alternative housing options if needed.

Remember, the path to homeownership isn't always linear. Stay informed, be adaptable, and don't let the uncertainty of the future hold you back from achieving your dream home.

Position Yourself for 2040—Start Investing in Real Estate Now

As average home prices are expected to rise significantly by 2040, investing in income-generating properties today can help you build massive equity and wealth over time.

Norada Real Estate connects investors with turnkey rental properties in growth markets—so you can benefit from appreciation, cash flow, and tax advantages.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Market

Why Cash Flow Alone Isn’t Enough to Get Rich?

June 1, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Cash Flow Will NOT Make You Rich

Don't get me wrong. Cash flow is good (assuming it's positive), but absolutely NO one has ever become rich from cash flow alone. Think about that for a minute.

Let’s look at a quick example. Let’s say you have a $100,000 property that generates $200 per month in positive cash flow. That’s $200 per month after all your expenses and debt service. That would give you $2,400 per year or $12,000 over five years in cash flow.

Assuming you follow our advice of maintaining a reserve account for each of your properties to cover future maintenance and repairs, you will have made $12,000 in net profit over those five years. This assumes that nothing unforeseen happens along the way such as a hot water tank or leaky roof requiring replacement, or a long-term vacancy.

If you’re going to put your investment capital, credit, and possibly your income at “risk” for $12,000, then you’ll need more than just cash flow to make it worthwhile. You need to be investing in markets that offer good appreciation potential. That is how you become rich!

Live where you want and invest only where the numbers make sense! This stresses the importance of investing in good markets and good neighborhoods.

Going back to our example above, what would happen if we averaged only 5% appreciation per year in addition to the $2,400 in cash flow? (Remember that the national average has been 6.2% going as far back as the 1940s.)

With only 5% appreciation per year you’d make over two (2) times more money in equity than cash flow alone. And with a 10% average rate of appreciation over five years you’d make over five (5) times more money in equity than cash flow alone.

Did you forget that appreciation in many markets used to be over 10% as recently as four years ago? Markets move in cycles and appreciation always happens as markets cycle off their bottoms. We are seeing it today in markets all around the country.

Of course, in addition to the positive cash flow and money made through appreciation, you also benefit from the amortization of the mortgage and the tax benefits through depreciation, tax deferred exchanges and lower capital gains when holding your property for more than a year and a day.

Now is the time to be investing with so many markets near their cyclical bottom or turning back up. Cash flow is great, and it’s the “glue” that keeps your investment together, but it’s the equity growth that will make you rich.

Why Cash Flow Alone Isn't Enough to Get Rich

  • Limited Growth Potential: Cash flow provides a steady income stream, but the amount typically increases slowly over time due to rent control or gradual market adjustments. This can make it difficult to achieve financial independence or aggressive wealth building goals solely through cash flow.
  • Inflation Risk: Inflation erodes the buying power of your cash flow over time. A $200 monthly profit today won't hold the same value in ten years. This means your cash flow won't provide the same level of financial security in the future.

Appreciation: The Engine of Wealth

  • Exponential Growth: Property value appreciation can snowball over time. Even a modest 5% annual increase can significantly boost your equity and overall wealth. Imagine a $100,000 property appreciating by 5% every year for a decade. That translates to a $50,000 increase in equity, outpacing any cash flow generated during that period.
  • Leveraging Debt: Real estate allows you to leverage debt (mortgage) to acquire assets. As property value rises, the loan amount stays fixed, increasing your return on investment (ROI). This magnifies the gains from appreciation compared to a straight cash purchase.

Beyond Cash Flow and Appreciation

  • Tax Advantages: Real estate offers various tax benefits, including depreciation deductions, which lower your taxable income. These deductions can be a significant advantage over other asset classes. Additionally, deferring capital gains taxes through strategies like 1031 exchanges allows you to reinvest profits and accelerate wealth creation. By utilizing these tax benefits, you keep more of your returns working for you.
  • Hedge Against Inflation: Unlike cash flow, which suffers from inflation, real estate can act as a hedge against inflation. Historically, property values tend to rise alongside inflation, helping to preserve your purchasing power over time.

Building a Well-Rounded Strategy

  • Market Research: Investing in “good markets” with high appreciation potential is crucial. Research local trends, job growth, and development plans. Look for areas with strong economic fundamentals that can support rising property values. But remember, appreciation isn't guaranteed. A balanced approach considers both potential appreciation and steady cash flow to generate income while you wait for the market to upswing.
  • Diversification: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your portfolio across different property types (residential, commercial), locations, and asset classes to mitigate risk. This could involve a mix of single-family homes, apartment buildings, or even investing in REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts). Consider factors like investment horizon, budget, and risk tolerance when making these decisions.
  • Professional Guidance: Consider seeking advice from experienced real estate professionals like agents, brokers, or financial advisors. They can help you navigate the complexities of the market, identify suitable investment opportunities, and develop a personalized strategy aligned with your goals. Don't hesitate to interview multiple professionals to find one who understands your investment philosophy and risk tolerance.

By focusing on appreciation alongside cash flow and incorporating tax benefits and diversification, you can develop a well-rounded real estate investment strategy with the potential for substantial wealth creation. This approach offers the potential for both steady income, long-term capital gains, and protection against inflation, all while mitigating risk through careful market research and portfolio diversification. Remember, real estate is a complex asset class, and success requires ongoing education, due diligence, and potentially the help of qualified professionals.

Build Wealth with More Than Just Cash Flow

Relying on cash flow alone isn’t enough to build real wealth. Smart investors know that long-term appreciation, tax advantages, and leverage are just as critical.

Norada helps you invest in markets with strong growth potential, solid rental income, and built-in equity—so you grow wealth from multiple angles.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

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Read More:

  • The One Percent Rule: Quick Math For Positive Cash Flow Rental Properties
  • How Does Buying a House in Cash Affect Taxes?
  • Why You Should Be Investing Your Cash in Real Estate
  • How to Profit or Get Rich From Rising Interest Rates?
  • The Rich vs Poor Mindset: Which Mindset Do You Have in 2025?

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing Tagged With: building equity, cash flow, Investment Property, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market

Best Real Estate Markets for New Investors to Watch in 2025

May 28, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Top Housing Markets for First-Time Investors in 2025

Willing to dive into the world of real estate investing, and 2025 feels like your year? You're not alone! Many folks, especially those living in pricier cities, are looking beyond their own backyards to find that perfect first investment property. The big question, the one that keeps us up at night, is: Where exactly should you put your hard-earned money?

Well, based on solid data and a good understanding of what makes a market tick, some areas are looking particularly promising. For those seeking the Best Real Estate Markets in 2025 to Buy Your First Investment Property, keep reading, because we're about to break down some key locations that deserve your attention, drawing insights from the experts at BiggerPockets.

For me, the absolute bedrock of a strong housing market is job growth. Think about it – cities thrive on commerce. When businesses move in, people follow for the jobs, creating a ripple effect of demand for housing, which in turn attracts even more businesses. It's a virtuous cycle. Of course, not every market needs explosive growth to be a good investment.

Affordability and strong cash flow can be just as appealing, especially for those prioritizing immediate returns. Sometimes, it's about playing the long game in a growth market, while other times, a “hybrid” market offering a mix of both growth potential and affordability can be the sweet spot. So, let's explore some specific markets that stand out.

Best Real Estate Markets for New Investors to Watch in 2025

1. Chasing Appreciation: Why Raleigh-Durham, NC, Could Be a Smart Move

If you're aiming for a market where your property value is likely to climb steadily, Raleigh, North Carolina, should definitely be on your radar. Why? Let's look at the numbers, courtesy of BiggerPockets‘ data.

One key indicator I always watch is median income growth. It's a pretty straightforward concept: as people earn more, they have more capacity to afford housing, which can drive up prices, assuming supply doesn't skyrocket. Raleigh has shown some impressive median income growth.

Market Metrics for Raleigh-Durham:

  • Median Price: $474,000
  • Median Rent: $2,021
  • Rent-to-Price Ratio: 0.43%
  • Five-Year Job Growth: 14.7%
  • Median Income: $62,961
  • One-Year Price Forecast (HouseCanary): 2.4%

Beyond the raw numbers, Raleigh-Durham boasts a significant advantage: the Research Triangle. This powerhouse region is home to three major universities renowned for their STEM programs, feeding a highly educated workforce into the local economy. Plus, it houses the Triangle Research Park, the largest research park in the entire United States. And here's a forward-thinking move: North Carolina is phasing out its corporate income tax entirely by 2030, which is a huge incentive for businesses to set up shop and create more jobs.

While Raleigh isn't the cheapest market out there, especially for first-timers, the strong growth fundamentals make it an attractive option if you're comfortable with a potentially lower immediate cash flow in exchange for longer-term appreciation.

2. The Hybrid Approach: Indianapolis, IN – Growth Meets Affordability

For investors seeking a balance between growth potential and a more accessible entry point, Indianapolis, Indiana, presents a compelling case. When comparing Indy to other popular Midwest markets, its job growth stands out.

You might notice a recurring dip in the job growth chart every January. This is largely due to the significant logistics sector in Indianapolis; as the holiday shipping rush ends, there's a seasonal drop in employment before things pick back up throughout the year.

Market Metrics for Indianapolis:

  • Median Price: $270,000
  • Median Rent: $1,759
  • Rent-to-Price Ratio: 0.65%
  • Five-Year Job Growth: 7.3%
  • Median Income: $58,146
  • One-Year Price Forecast: 3.6%

What I find particularly interesting about Indianapolis is the growth happening in the northeast areas like Carmel and Fishers. These suburbs are attracting businesses and residents, making them potentially lucrative spots for investment. Indianapolis offers a solid blend of a growing economy and a more affordable housing market, which can lead to decent cash flow alongside appreciation.

3. Digging Deeper: Kansas City, MO – Declining Vacancy Signals Rising Demand

While Kansas City, Missouri, shows respectable job growth and median income figures, there's another metric that really catches my eye: its declining vacancy rate over the past decade.

Think of the vacancy rate as a barometer of housing demand relative to supply. A high vacancy rate suggests there are more empty units than people looking to rent, indicating lower demand. Conversely, a falling vacancy rate, like what we're seeing in Kansas City, signifies that demand for housing is increasing faster than new construction. This is a strong indicator of a healthy and potentially appreciating market.

Market Metrics for Kansas City:

  • Median Price: $332,000
  • Median Rent: $1,963
  • Rent-to-Price Ratio: 0.59%
  • Five-Year Job Growth: 3.6%
  • Median Income: $56,902
  • One-Year Price Forecast: 5.8%

Keep an eye on suburbs surrounding Kansas City like Overland Park, Olathe, and Prairie Village. These areas often present excellent investment opportunities with strong community appeal. The combination of a tightening housing market and decent affordability makes Kansas City a market with significant potential.

4. Cash Flow is King: Memphis, TN – Strong Returns with Local Nuances

If your primary goal is generating consistent cash flow from your investment property, Memphis, Tennessee, is a market you should seriously consider. The rent-to-price ratios here are quite attractive.

However, when it comes to Memphis, it's crucial to understand the local dynamics. While overall appreciation is happening, neighborhood selection is key. Some areas might struggle with higher crime rates, while others are much safer and experiencing stronger appreciation. This is a market where having reliable, boots-on-the-ground professionals is essential. I'm talking about investor-friendly real estate agents, property managers, or even turnkey providers who specialize in acquiring and managing cash-flowing properties.

Market Metrics for Memphis:

  • Median Price: $246,600 (according to HouseCanary data)
  • Median Rent: $1,597
  • Rent-to-Price Ratio: 0.65%
  • Five-Year Job Growth: 0%
  • Median Income: $54,464
  • One-Year Price Forecast: 3.7%

Memphis's economy is also heavily reliant on logistics, being one of the largest hubs in the United States. While white-collar job growth might be slower, there's a consistent demand for blue-collar workers, which supports a stable rental market. For investors prioritizing immediate cash flow and willing to do their due diligence on specific neighborhoods, Memphis can offer compelling returns.

Taking the Leap: Your First Investment Property Journey

Investing in real estate, especially out of state, can feel like a big undertaking. Building a reliable team, finding the right neighborhoods, analyzing deals, and managing properties can seem overwhelming. But remember, you don't have to navigate this alone. Services like Rent to Retirement, as mentioned by BiggerPockets, offer turnkey investment properties that are already cash-flowing from day one. This can be a great option for those who want a more hands-off approach.

Ultimately, the “best” housing market for your first investment property in 2025 will depend on your individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Are you prioritizing long-term appreciation? Or is immediate cash flow your main focus? Perhaps a hybrid market offers the right balance for you.

By carefully analyzing market data, understanding local economic drivers, and considering your own investment strategy, you can make an informed decision and take that exciting first step into the world of real estate investing. The opportunities are out there – it's about finding the right fit for you.

“Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets”

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Best Places to Invest in Single-Family Rental Properties in 2025
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Recession in Real Estate: Smart Ways to Profit in a Down Market
  • Will There Be a Real Estate Recession in 2025: A Forecast
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: First-Time Investors, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, real estate investments, Real Estate Market

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