Norada Real Estate Investments

The Real Crash is Coming!

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Well, well, well… what an interesting year 2013 is shaping up to be!

The U.S. is still, at least according to the U.S., the world's largest economy. Super!

Of course, U.S. gross national production includes the value of goods and services Americans produce regardless of their location – even overseas!  But where do those employees live, rent homes, and spend money with local businesses (who rent homes and office space locally)?

Real estate investors typically care where the people are because people and their income is what gives real estate its value.  After all, there's lots of land on the moon, but it isn't worth much because there aren't any people there… at least not yet!

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The Real Estate Indicator Screaming "Buy"

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Buy Real Estate NowI just locked down a 2.875% interest rate, fixed for the 15-year term of the mortgage. No points. With rates like these, I find myself rethinking the idea that I want to pay off my mortgage.

I can do a lot better than 2.875% investing the money. If I just sock it away in gold, I bet I’ll come out way ahead. Finding investments that clear such a low hurdle is not that difficult.

Right now is a great time to do this, if looked at from a historical perspective. The 10-year Treasury rate is 1.64% as I write. That is what investors are willing to accept to lend money to the US Treasury for a 10-year term. It seems absolutely crazy. But the Treasury rate we see is something of a forced smile.

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What Can Foreign Investors Teach Us About Our Own Country?

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You’ve seen the headlines. The combination of lower prices, increased rents and a weak dollar are drawing investor capital from all around the globe and funneling it into American housing.  According to NAR, foreign investment is US real estate has increased by 20% in the 12 months ending march 2011, totaling $82 billion in just one year. What’s missing in most of these stories is why.

Why are overseas real estate investors, who are standing thousands of miles away with little if any personal experience in US real estate, pouncing on this opportunity? Low prices and great exchange rates don’t explain it. If you hear of a stock that has plummeted, would you buy it based on that fact alone? Or would you want to understand the fundamentals of the company behind the stock. What do they produce? Who are their customers? Why should you believe this investment will pay off, as opposed to seeing the new low price as an accurate reflection of the value of the company? In other words, if it’s a piece of junk, you wouldn’t care how cheap it is.

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2012 Housing Market Forecast

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The question most real estate investors often ask is, “Where do I invest now?”

As always, there are local housing markets around the country where homes are affordable, the underlying economy is strong, and appreciation is imminent.  These are markets you should consider for your next long-term real estate investment.

Norada Real Estate Investments tracks the economic conditions and real estate trends of nearly 400 markets across the country.  Because of the dynamic nature of real estate market conditions, we continually monitor and rank the top markets to make it easier for you, as an investor, to concentrate on the areas that will give you the greatest opportunity for success.

While you might be inclined to look for bargains in areas that have seen the largest price corrections in the past, watch out – there is no guarantee that home prices in areas of high speculation will ever rebound to boom levels.

Unlike the stock market, local real estate markets usually move in slow, predictable cycles. Appreciation is not luck or magic. It correlates closely with economic development and population growth in a local market.

If you missed out on Phoenix, Vegas and Florida (or if you rode those waves and know what it's about), download the current issue of our free report.

Download your free copy of the 2012 Housing Market Forecast Today!

The New Real Estate Boom

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Home prices and sales may be flat, but the rental industry is booming. The percentage of renters is on the rise, the number of households is increasing, and more Americans are downsizing, all of which point in a single direction: rents are on the rise.

At the peak of the housing boom, home ownership in America reached an all-time high at 69.2%. Today that number has plummeted to fewer than 67%, which may not sound like a huge drop, but that represents roughly 3 million households that were owner-occupied and are now tenant-occupied.

The high foreclosure rate has accelerated the transition toward leasing, but there are a myriad of other trends coalescing to boost demand for rental housing.

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Best US Real Estate Markets For 2009

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The hottest buyers housing markets are places you may find comfort in the worst housing crash since at least the Great Depression. The top 10 buyers markets listed by Housing Predictor at mid-year are markets that aren't necessarily big arts and entertainment centers, mostly found in smaller communities.

Amarillo, Texas takes the first position as the nation's top buyers market in 2009 with the highest likelihood of housing inflation over the next few years. Austin, Texas and Tucson, Arizona are the largest metro areas to be named to the list possessing the highest probability of growing through the recessionary economy over the next few years. As a high-tech hub, Austin will have what it takes to not only sustain the downturn but see home values inflate.

All 10 markets hold the promise of prosperity in the near future. In the current economic environment there are few areas of the country that will see appreciation this year. The markets named here represent cities that are the most likely to experience housing inflation over the next few years, despite the downward economy and are the best places forecast to buy real estate to make a profit.

The financial crisis dealt a severe blow to the national economy that will take many years to overcome. Unlike any other downturn in real estate since the Great Depression, markets have seen home values decline at record levels. Times have changed as a result, and real estate inflation will take years to return in most areas. Investing for the long term, considered to be 10 years or longer is the best protection for those who choose to take the risk.

The following list of high potential real estate markets may not appreciate in the short term, but have the highest likelihood of long term appreciation making them ideal for purchasing .

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Fed Slashes Key Interest Rate to 1 Percent

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In an effort to revive the economy the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate today but a half-point (0.5%). This lowers the rate to 1 percent – the lowest rate since 2003-2004. The last time the federal funds rate was lower than 1 percent was during the Eisenhower administration in 1958.

Today’s interest rate cut was the second half-point cut this month. The last one on October 8, 2008 was in a coordinated move with foreign central banks.

This year’s economic weakness has created huge declines in the price of oil and other commodities. While many economists believe the country is in a recession, they also believe the recent rate cuts and other aggressive actions by the Fed will help prevent a prolonged downturn and help unfreeze the credit markets.

If these aggressive moves by the federal government are successful in thawing the credit markets, it will be great news for real estate investors who are having difficulty financing their real estate investments.

Bailout Voted Down – Money Stays Tight

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The bill designed to rescue the nation's troubled financial system was voted down today in a stunning vote of 228 to 205.

The rejected bailout shocked the capital and worldwide markets even after warnings from President Bush and congressional leaders that the economy could continue to suffer and possibly nosedive if not passed soon.

The stock market plunged even before the vote to reject the bill was officially announced on the House floor.  The decline for the day surpassed the 721-point previous record on the day after the September 11, 2001 terror attacks.  In percentage terms it was well short of the drops on Black Monday in October 1987 and at the start of the Great Depression.

Although we as a country will work our way out of this financial mess, credit will continue to stay tight in the meantime.  Conventional and “A” paper loans are still available to borrowers with good credit, but don’t expect to find many options if you are looking for a sub-prime loan or have poor credit.

Let’s continue to stay glued to our TV’s and radios and watch the drama unfold…

Will We Survive These Tough Economic Times?

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In just the past week the US experienced the largest bankruptcy filing in history, the stock market fell over 500 points, the largest drop since the markets reopened after September 11, 2001, and recovered almost as much with the government’s announcement for a federal bailout.

Lehman Brothers, a company that has been around for over 100 years and survived the Great Depression, is one of the latest in a series of unprecedented implosions in the financial sector.  The magnitude of the Lehman Brothers collapse dwarfs the combined failure of WorldCom and Enron by several times.

Other casualties include IndyMac, Bear Stearns, the Freddie Mac & Fannie Mae bail out by the federal government, CountryWide’s likely buyout by Bank of America, and now Merrill Lynch which may layoff up to half of its 60,000 employees. [Read more…]

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