The Tampa housing market is an essential part of the Florida housing market, with a relatively high population density and close economic ties throughout the region. Tampa Real Estate is one of the most affordable in the state of Florida. It is also one of the hottest real estate markets for rental homes in the nation.
The Tampa housing market is an ever-changing landscape, influenced by various factors such as supply and demand, investor activity, and pricing trends. In this blog post, we will delve into the recent market statistics provided by the Greater Tampa REALTORS®, shedding light on the performance of the Tampa housing market. From sales trends to pricing dynamics and supply metrics, let's explore the key insights that paint a vivid picture of the current market scenario.
Tampa Housing Sales – Assessing the Landscape
Closed Sales Decrease Amidst Fluctuations
The year-over-year comparison of Closed Sales in the Tampa housing market reveals a notable decrease of -7.8%. This decline reflects the ongoing fluctuations that the market is navigating. Additionally, Year-to-Date sales show a significant dip of -15.7% year-over-year, hinting at the challenges faced by both buyers and sellers.
Investor Activity: All-Cash Sales
An intriguing measure of investor activity is the number of all-cash sales. The data presents a substantial -30.2% drop in the number of cash sales year-over-year. The percentage of Closed Sales that were Cash Sales during the month stands at 24%, indicating the level of investor engagement within the Tampa housing market.
Trends in Total Dollar Volume and Pending Sales
The Total Dollar Volume reflects a -6.1% decrease, bringing it to $2.1 Billion. Simultaneously, New Pending Sales are down by 5.9%, further contributing to the intricate dynamics of the market.
Tampa Housing Demand & Prices – Unveiling Insights
Median and Average Sale Prices
The Median Sale Price, a pivotal indicator of the market's health, has experienced a slight decrease of 0.7%, settling at $415,000. On the other hand, the Average Sale Price demonstrates a 1.8% increase, reaching $529,429. These pricing trends offer valuable insights into the affordability and preferences of buyers and sellers.
Analyzing Time Metrics
The Median Time to Contract has undergone a substantial year-over-year increase of 157.1%, standing at 18 days. This metric quantifies the duration between listing initiation and the contract signing, providing a glimpse into the pace of transactions. Additionally, the Median Time to Sale has risen by 38.6%, reaching 61 days. These figures offer perspective on the length of time a property remains on the market before being sold.
Tampa Housing Supply – A Closer Look
New Listings and Active Inventory
An essential aspect of the market is the number of new listings. The Tampa housing market has witnessed a significant decline of 31.9% in New Listings year-over-year, reflecting a reluctance among sellers to put their houses on the market.
Months Supply of Inventory
The Months Supply of Inventory, a metric that gauges the pace of supply and demand, has increased by 20% to 1.8 months. This statistic quantifies the time it would take to exhaust the current inventory based on the current sales rate. Historically, a six-month supply is linked to moderate price appreciation, whereas a lower supply accelerates price growth.
Tampa Housing Sales (Single-Family Homes)
- Closed Sales decreased by -7.8% year-over-year.
- Year-to-Date sales are also down -15.7% year-over-year.
- One common measure of tracking investor activity is all-cash sales.
- No. of cash sales was down -30.2% year-over-year.
- The percentage of Closed Sales during the month which were Cash Sales was 24%.
- It shows how active investors are in the Tampa housing market.
- Total Dollar Volume is down -6.1% to $2.1 Billion.
- New Pending Sales are down 5.9%.
Tampa Housing Demand & Prices (Single-Family Homes)
- The Median Sale Price decreased by 0.7% to $415,000.
- The Average Sale Price increased by 1.8% to $529,429.
- Median Time to Contract is 18 days, up 157.1% year-over-year.
- It quantifies the time between the initial listing and the signing of the contract that leads to the sale.
- Median Time to Sale is 61 Days, up 38.6%.
Tampa Housing Supply (Single-Family Homes)
- Less sellers are putting their houses on the market in Tampa.
- New Listings are down 31.9% year-over-year.
- Inventory (Active Listings) is down by 4.3%.
- Months Supply of Inventory is 1.8 months, an increase of 20%.
- It refers to the number of months it would take for the current inventory of homes on the market to sell given the current sales pace.
- Six months of supply has historically been associated with moderate price appreciation, while a lower level of months' supply tends to accelerate price increases.
Tampa Housing Market Forecast 2023-2024
What are the Tampa real estate market predictions? Let us look at the price trends recorded by Zillow over the past few years. The Tampa housing market has been a topic of interest for both potential homebuyers and real estate enthusiasts. As of June 30, 2023, the average home value in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater area stands at $375,313. This figure reflects a slight decline of 0.7% over the past year, indicating a nuanced shift in the market's dynamics.
Recent Trends
The market data for the past year presents a relatively stable but slightly softened housing landscape. Despite the minor decrease in average home values, it's crucial to consider that real estate markets often experience cyclical fluctuations due to various factors such as economic conditions, interest rates, and local demographics.
Market Activity
One key aspect of the Tampa housing market is the speed at which homes are selling. With a median time of 12 days to go pending as of June 30, 2023, it's evident that properties are moving swiftly. This could suggest a high level of demand for housing in the region, potentially driven by factors such as job opportunities, lifestyle amenities, and overall appeal.
Forecasted Outlook
Looking ahead, a market forecast is projecting an 8.0% increase in home values over the next year, ending on June 30, 2024. While forecasts provide valuable insights, they are subject to change based on a variety of external factors, including economic trends, regulatory changes, and unexpected events.
Seller-Buyer Dynamics
The median sale-to-list ratio as of May 31, 2023, stands at 0.986, indicating that, on average, homes are selling very close to their listed prices. This suggests a balanced negotiation process between sellers and buyers, contributing to the overall stability of the market.
Moreover, the percentages of sales over and under list price (as of May 31, 2023) provide additional insights into the market's competitiveness. The fact that 20.7% of sales are above the list price while 59.4% are under the list price demonstrates a diversity of buying experiences. Some buyers are willing to pay a premium for properties, potentially due to high demand for specific neighborhoods or desirable features.
Time to Pending
The median days to pending, which was 12 days as of June 30, 2023, highlights the market's brisk pace. Properties are spending a relatively short time on the market before receiving offers, further emphasizing the current demand for housing in the Tampa area.
Tampa Real Estate Investment Overview
Now that you know where Tampa is, you probably want to know why we’re recommending it to real estate investors. Should you consider Tampa real estate investment? Many real estate investors have asked themselves if buying a property in Tampa is a good investment. You need to drill deeper into local trends if you want to know what the market holds for real estate investors and buyers.
Let’s talk a bit about Tampa before we discuss what lies ahead for investors and homebuyers. Tampa is a minimally walkable city in Hillsborough County with a population of approximately 335,749 people. With a population of more than 4 million, the Greater Tampa Bay area includes the Tampa and Sarasota metro areas. It is not only an attractive metropolitan area but is also one of the most frequently visited tourist destinations. One of the goals of investing in real estate is to get a positive return on the investment when the investor decides to sell the property in the future.
If the appreciation rate is high enough, the extra value of the house in a few years will offset the upfront costs of buying. If the appreciation rate is too low then it won’t. Tampa properties have a track record of being one of the best long-term real estate investments in the U.S. owing to the growth in employment opportunities. This has led to a persistent imbalance between demand and supply. There is a continuing housing shortage leading to a surge in home prices in this region.
Tampa is gaining popularity owing to its hot housing market where several investors have been putting in their stakes. The rental market is very strong in Tampa Bay. It is one of the top locations for buying rental property in Florida. There are several economic and development prospects attached to this market and Tampa, FL is of the hottest real estate markets in the U.S. in 2020.
If you are looking to make a profit, you don’t want to buy the most expensive property on the Tampa real estate market and expect to make a good profit on rents. Perhaps you are looking for a slightly different hold-over, an investment property in Tampa that you might move into or sell at retirement in the future. Either way, knowing your profit potential and purpose is the first thing to consider.
Let’s take a look at the number of positive things going on in the Tampa real estate market which can help investors who are keen to buy an investment property in this city.
Growing Tampa Bay Metro Area
Tampa, Florida is one of the fastest-growing metropolitan areas of the country with a busy downtown area, a range of eateries, and tourist attractions. Investors who choose this market will experience high growth in their investments as it is currently one of the hottest grounds for residential and commercial properties. It also offers a great overall quality of life making it a popular residential for many family units. It is not only a growing real estate market, but it is also one of the most popular recreational hubs of the city.
People choose to reside here because of the great prospects of life that it offers, and this directly impacts the Tampa real estate market. The healthcare, education, and transportation facilities in Tampa are also impeccable which is why families with young children and many retirees prefer Tampa and are choosing to reside in Tampa since it offers them an upgraded quality of life. Not only that, but Tampa also hosts several entertainment activities for people of all age groups depending on their tastes.
Rising Home Prices & Rents
The prices of residential properties in Tampa are growing at a fast pace, though they are still affordable compared to other real estate markets in the country. This is the time for investors to get hold of properties and keep them for some time before selling them at a higher price since Tampa real estate will appreciate them over the next year. Investors can buy properties at lower rates right now and rent them out to new residents of the city to improve their cash flows.
Later on, when the selling price of homes increases then they can sell out to better prospects. This means that the Tampa real estate market is promising for short-term leases at this point, including rental homes and tourist accommodations. If you only have 10% to put down, a single-family home would be a better option for buying an investment property. It just makes sense when you consider it will be easier to get a loan, and there are no restrictions on rentals.
The Zumper Tampa Metro Area Report analyzed active listings last month across the metro cities to show the most and least expensive cities and cities with the fastest growing rents. The Florida one bedroom median rent was $1,674 last month. Venice was the most expensive city with one bedrooms priced at $2,260 while Winter Haven ranked as the most affordable city with rent at $1,250.
The best place to buy rental property is about finding growing markets. Cities like Sarasota & Largo are good for investors looking to get started with rental property ownership at an affordable price. These cities look good for rental property investment this year as rents are growing over there. These trends provide a macro look at the growing rental demand. Each real estate market has its own unique supply-demand dynamics with unique neighborhoods that present their own opportunities for investors.
Here are the best areas to invest in a rental property in the Tampa Metro Area. Most of these places have the same things in common, including rising rents and increasing property values.
The Fastest Growing Rental Markets in the Tampa Metro Area (Year-over-Year)
- Venice had the fastest growing rent, up 29.1% since this time last year.
- Winter Haven saw rent climb 27.6%, making it second.
- Lakeland was third with rent jumping 19.1%.
The Fastest Growing Rental Markets in the Tampa Metro Area (Month-over-Month)
- Winter Haven had the largest monthly growth rate, up 1.6%.
- Largo rent climbed 1.3%, making it second.
- Dunedin & Tampa were tied for third with rents both increasing 1.2%.
Tampa's Booming Economy
Job growth in an area is a sure way of boosting its real estate market for both residential and commercial properties. Tampa's real estate market has also experienced similar growth in requirements for single and family homes since more people are moving to this flourishing metropolitan area for jobs. The influx of people into Tampa is especially occasioned by the fact that it is one of the fastest-growing job hubs in the country. Tampa has the headquarters of four Fortune 500 companies which makes it a moderately attractive city for work and economic growth.
In addition to this, many entrepreneurs and small businesses are also making their way to Tampa in the search for better prospects and lesser expenses for running their start-ups. Acquiring residential spaces is one of the earliest priorities for such professionals when they move here. Tampa has a very diverse economy with financial services, STEM, health care, research, education, tourism, beaches, and military bases all making significant contributions to jobs and growth.
Tampa Bay's Tourist Attraction
There are several nature parks, landmarks, museums, and eateries for tourists to visit in Tampa. Tourist influx also means an increase in short-term residential contracts, which is a selling point of the Tampa real estate market in 2020. Main tourist attractions include Big Cat Rescue, Busch Gardens Florida, Eureka Springs Park, and Tampa-Bay History Center among many others. Growing tourism has a tremendously positive effect on the real estate in Tampa, FL.
The vibrant living environment of the city owes a great deal to its comfortable temperature. The average temperature is 99 F which is extremely moderate and allows for better productivity in human lives. The weather conditions are also an important factor when it comes to motivating people to move here.
Cost of Living in Tampa
Since there is prospective growth in the Tampa real estate market, people from all over the country are considering a move here. One of the most important reasons is the affordable cost of living in Tampa compared to other cities. This has made it a top choice for retirees and small families that are looking for residence and to generally improve the quality of their life.
- Tampa, Florida's cost of living is 5% lower than the national average
- Tampa's housing expenses are 23% lower than the national average and the utility prices are 16% higher than the national average.
- Transportation expenses like bus fares and gas prices are 6% higher than the national average.
- Healthcare in Tampa is 2% lower than the national average.
Tampa Investment Properties: Real Estate Investment
Maybe you have done a bit of real estate investing in Tampa but want to take things further and make it into more than a hobby on the side. It’s only wise to think about how you can and should be investing your money. In any property investment, cash flow is gold. Compared to markets in Atlanta, Nashville, and Cleveland, Tampa has higher prospects when it comes to residential and commercial property investments. The Tampa real estate market has been projected to grow steadily during 2020. Investors are recommended to buy Tampa investment properties now and hold on to them until good price appreciation for maximum return on investment.
The Tampa housing market has been seeing constant development for the last two years, a trend that does not seem to be stopping any time soon. Realtor.com had rated the top 100 markets according to factors including employment growth, household growth, and unemployment. In all categories, the Tampa real estate market fares considerably better than the national average. The one category in which Tampa FL real estate market especially shines is new-home starts, predicted to soar by more than 20 percent next year. That would ease one of the biggest constraints on the local real estate market – a shortage of homes for sale.
The biggest demand will continue to be for “moderately priced homes” — those under $300,000 in most places but the $500,000 to $800,000 range inexpensive South Tampa. Good cash flow from Tampa investment properties means the investment is, needless to say, profitable. A bad cash flow, on the other hand, means you won’t have money on hand to repay your debt. Therefore, finding a good Tampa real estate investment opportunity would be key to your success. If you invest wisely in Tampa real estate, you could secure your future.
The three most important factors when buying real estate anywhere are location, location, and location. The location creates desirability. Desirability brings demand. There should be a natural and upcoming high demand for rental properties. Demand would raise the price of your Tampa investment real estate and you should be able to flip it for a lump sum profit.
The neighborhoods in Tampa must be safe to live in and should have a low crime rate. The neighborhoods should be close to basic amenities, public services, schools, and shopping malls. Some of the best neighborhoods in Tampa, Florida are Old Seminole Heights, Sun Bay South, Tampa Palms, Spring Hill, Tampa Heights, Oldsmar, Grand Hampton, Davis Islands, Palma Ceia, Ybor City Historic District, Parrish, South Tampa, Hyde Park, Tampa Palms, Westchase, Temple Terrace, Riverside Heights, and New Tampa.
Apart from the Tampa real estate market, you can also invest in another hot market in Ocala, Florida. Ocala is an affordable real estate market for investors who can still reap a decent return on investment. The area has recovered from the Great Recession, and several factors will insulate it from a future downturn. The Ocala housing market is buoyed by several nearly recession-proof industries. It is quite affordable for investors compared to the rest of Florida markets like Tampa where the median home value is $221,500. The median home price in Ocala is $163,179. You can buy several homes in the Ocala FL real estate market for the price you would of one mid-market condo in Miami.
Also, given that this is Florida, it shouldn’t be surprising that retirees are a disproportionately large source of demand for Ocala rental houses. A large number of retirees here creates significant demand for medical professionals and caregivers. The horse-centered community offers several good-paying jobs to trainers, veterinarians, and animal caregivers. There are several manufacturers in the area such as mobile home manufacturers and EMS vehicle makers.
Another market that we suggest is the housing market in Lakeland, Florida. The Lakeland FL real estate market presents the perfect balance of currently affordable real estate for buyers and future growth. We can expect the population of the area to grow rapidly, and the renting population will grow even faster. The time to buy real estate in Lakeland is now. While the Lakeland FL real estate market is cheaper than Orlando and Tampa, it is not a good overall value given the lower average wages of its residents.
That explains why U.S. News and World Report gave the city an index score of 5.5 out of ten. This is due to the average resident earning around $23,000 a year, several thousand less than the U.S. average. Median household incomes are no better. The median household income in Lakeland, Florida is around $40,000, more than ten thousand dollars below the national average. This creates a strong demand for Lakeland rental homes, especially those that low-income residents can afford.
Buying or selling real estate, for a majority of investors, is one of the most important decisions they will make. Choosing a real estate professional/counselor continues to be a vital part of this process. They are well-informed about critical factors that affect your specific market areas, such as changes in market conditions, market forecasts, consumer attitudes, best locations, timing, and interest rates.
NORADA REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS has extensive experience investing in turnkey real estate and cash-flow properties. We strive to set the standard for our industry and inspire others by raising the bar on providing exceptional real estate investment opportunities in many other growth markets in the United States. We can help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing the profitability of your investment property in Tampa, Florida.
Consult with one of the investment counselors who can help build you a custom portfolio of Tampa turnkey properties. These are “Cash-Flow Rental Properties” located in some of the best neighborhoods of Tampa.
Not just limited to Tampa or Florida but you can also invest in some of the best real estate markets in the United States. All you have to do is fill up this form and schedule a consultation at your convenience. We’re standing by to help you take the guesswork out of real estate investing. By researching and structuring complete Tampa turnkey real estate investments, we help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing profitability.
Let us know which real estate markets in the United States you consider best for real estate investing!
Remember, caveat emptor still applies when buying a property anywhere. Some of the information contained in this article was pulled from third-party sites mentioned under references. Although the information is believed to be reliable, Norada Real Estate Investments makes no representations, warranties, or guarantees, either express or implied, as to whether the information presented is accurate, reliable, or current. All information presented should be independently verified through the references given below. As a general policy, Norada Real Estate Investments makes no claims or assertions about the future housing market conditions across the US.
References
Latest Market Data, Trends, and Statistics
https://tamparealtors.org/
https://www.floridarealtors.org/
https://www.zillow.com/tampa-fl/home-values
https://www.tampabay.com/news/real-estate
https://www.neighborhoodscout.com/fl/tampa/real-estate
https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-search/Tampa_FL/overview
https://tamparealtors.org/resources/market-stats/
10 Reasons to live in Tampa
https://www.bestplaces.net/economy/city/florida/tampa
https://www.touristmaker.com/blog/10-reasons-live-tampa-bay-florida
Top Rental Property Markets
http://lakerlutznews.com/lln/?p=54818
https://www.mashvisor.com/blog/top-10-market-buying-rental-property
