About Marco Santarelli

The standout news for today's mortgage rates is that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has dipped to 6.06%, hitting a yearly low according to Zillow. This rate hasn't been this low all year, with the last time being in late October. For many, this could be the perfect moment to lock in a favorable rate before the year wraps up, potentially saving you a significant amount over the life of your loan.

It’s not daily that you see the 30-year fixed mortgage rate drop to such a compelling level, especially this late in the year. It’s a genuine opportunity, and one that many buyers have been waiting for. While we can't predict the future with 100% certainty, a rate around 6.06% for a 30-year fixed loan presents a strong case for moving forward with a purchase or refinancing.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 25: Rates Drop to Their Lowest Point This Year

Breaking Down Today's Mortgage Rates

It's always helpful to see the numbers laid out clearly. Here’s a look at the national average mortgage rates as of November 25, 2025, based on data from Zillow:

Please remember, these are national averages. Your actual rate might be a bit different based on your credit score, down payment, and lender.

Why the 30-Year Fixed Rate Hitting a Yearly Low Matters

The fact that the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has returned to its yearly low of 6.06% is a big deal. Earlier in 2025, we saw these rates consistently hovering above 6.5% and even creeping higher at times. For a significant loan amount, that difference of even half a percent can add up to tens of thousands of dollars over 30 years.

When someone asks me if it's a good time to buy, I often look at these benchmark rates. A 30-year fixed loan offers stability and predictable monthly payments, making budgeting much easier. For first-time homebuyers, this stability is gold. It means you can plan your finances with a good degree of certainty for decades to come. Seeing this rate at its lowest point means more purchasing power for buyers, or a chance to get a better deal than they might have expected just a few months ago.

Exploring Your Fixed-Term Options

While the 30-year fixed is the most popular for a reason, it’s not the only game in town. Let's look at the other fixed-term options:

• 20-Year Fixed: Interestingly, the 20-year fixed rate is also currently at 6.06%, the same as the 30-year fixed. This is a bit unusual. Typically, a shorter loan term would have a slightly lower rate. In this scenario, you get the benefit of paying off your mortgage 10 years sooner without a rate penalty! This could be an excellent option for those who can comfortably afford the higher monthly payments. You'd pay significantly less interest over time.
• 15-Year Fixed: The 15-year fixed rate is lower still, at 5.53%. This is the traditional route for getting the absolute lowest interest rate and paying off your home much faster. However, the monthly payments will be considerably higher than a 30-year loan. This option is best for borrowers who have strong financial footing and want to be mortgage-free sooner, or those who plan to build substantial equity quickly.

Who benefits most?
Generally, a 15-year fixed is great for those who want to save the most on interest and can manage the higher monthly payments. The 20-year fixed offers a good middle ground, allowing you to pay it off faster than a 30-year but with potentially more manageable payments than a 15-year. The 30-year fixed, especially at this 6.06% rate, is ideal for those prioritizing lower monthly payments for budgeting flexibility or for maximizing their purchasing power to afford a slightly more expensive home.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): A Different Kind of Calculation

Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, can be attractive because they often start with a lower interest rate. However, they come with a trade-off: that rate can change over time.

• 5/1 ARM: Today, the average 5/1 ARM rate is 6.16%. This means the initial rate is fixed for the first five years, and then it can adjust annually.
• 7/1 ARM: The 7/1 ARM rate is at 6.02%. This offers a longer initial fixed period of seven years before annual adjustments begin.

In the current environment, with the 30-year fixed rate at a yearly low, ARMs might not be as compelling for everyone. When the initial rate on an ARM is barely lower than, or even higher than, a long-term fixed rate (like the 5/1 ARM at 6.16% versus the 30-year fixed at 6.06%), it’s a sign to be extra cautious. You’re essentially taking on the risk of future rate increases for little to no upfront savings. ARMs can make sense if you plan to sell the home or refinance before the fixed period ends and believe interest rates will remain stable or fall. However, it’s a gamble.

The VA Loan Advantage for Our Heroes

As always, VA loans continue to be a fantastic benefit for eligible veterans, active-duty military personnel, and surviving spouses. These loans, backed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, consistently offer some of the most competitive rates.

Here’s how they stack up today:

• 30-year VA: 5.55%
• 15-year VA: 5.28%
• 5/1 VA: 5.09%

Look at that! The 30-year VA loan rate at 5.55% is significantly lower than the conventional 30-year fixed rate of 6.06%. That’s a difference of over half a percent! And the shorter-term VA loans are even more attractive. If you're eligible for a VA loan, it's almost always worth exploring, as it can lead to substantial savings and often comes with no down payment requirement and no private mortgage insurance.

Refinance Market Snapshot: Is It Time to Refi?

Refinancing is another area where mortgage rates play a huge role. People refinance for various reasons, most commonly to lower their monthly payments, reduce their interest rate, or cash out equity for other needs.

Here are the current refinance rates from Zillow:

Comparing Purchase vs. Refinance Rates:

Notice that, for the most part, refinance rates are slightly higher than purchase rates. For example, the 30-year fixed refinance rate is 6.20%, compared to the 30-year fixed purchase rate of 6.06%. This is quite common. Lenders may price refinances differently than new purchases, sometimes factoring in the existing relationship or perceived risk.

What does this mean for homeowners?
Even with slightly higher refinance rates, a difference of a percentage point or more between your current mortgage rate and the available refinance rate can still make it worthwhile. If you have a rate significantly higher than 6.20% on your current 30-year mortgage, exploring a refinance could still lead to savings. The 15-year fixed refinance rate at 5.64% is also quite competitive, especially when compared to rates we saw even a year or two ago.

What’s Influencing Today's Rates?

Mortgage rates are like a sensitive chameleon, changing colors based on a variety of economic factors. Here’s what I’m keeping an eye on:

• Economic Reports: This week's economic news, including reports on inflation, retail sales, and consumer confidence, will be crucial. If these numbers come in weaker than expected, showing a slowdown in the economy, it typically pushes mortgage rates down. Lenders see less economic activity as a signal to make borrowing cheaper. Conversely, strong economic data can lead to higher rates.
• Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve holds a lot of sway. Their next major announcement is scheduled for December 10, 2025. The market is divided on whether they will cut interest rates again or keep them steady. Any change in the Fed’s overnight lending rate can ripple through to mortgage rates. I, for one, am watching very closely to see if they signal a more dovish (rate-cutting) or hawkish (rate-holding/raising) stance.
• Market Sentiment: Beyond the hard data, there’s overall market mood. If investors feel uncertain about the economy, they often move their money into safer assets like government bonds, which can indirectly lower mortgage rates. If confidence is high, money flows out, and rates can rise.

Looking Ahead: What to Expect

Right now, the market seems to be in a holding pattern of sorts, with rates at a yearly low but not plummeting. My take is that we're likely to see continued modest easing through the rest of November. However, don't expect a dramatic freefall.

The real inflection point, the moment that could truly shift things, will likely come in early December. This will be heavily dependent on the Federal Reserve’s decision and how financial markets interpret the incoming economic data leading up to and immediately following that announcement.

For now, while these 6.06% rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage are fantastic, it’s always wise to have your finances in order. Getting pre-approved, understanding your credit score, and comparing offers from multiple lenders are still the best steps you can take, regardless of where rates ultimately land. This dip is a gift, so take advantage of it wisely!

The question on everyone’s mind, especially if you're dreaming of homeownership or looking to refinance: what will mortgage rates do by 2026? Based on current economic indicators and expert analysis, mortgage rates in 2026 are expected to see a modest decline, likely hovering between 5.9% and 6.5% for a 30-year fixed loan. While a significant drop below 6% isn't a certainty, this anticipated easing offers a glimmer of hope for a more accessible housing market.

Mortgage Rates Predictions 2026: Will We See Sub-6% Rate Again?

As I look at the data and speak with folks who follow this stuff closely, it feels like we're moving from a period of significant upward pressure on rates to a more stable, slowly descending path. It’s not a freefall, mind you, but it’s definitely a move in the right direction after the highs we’ve seen. This isn't just about numbers; it's about how people can afford their homes, build equity, and participate in the American dream.

The Road Behind Us: From Pandemic Perks to Pricey Mortgages

To understand where we're headed, we have to look back at how we got here. Remember those unbelievably low mortgage rates around 2021? A 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged a stunning 3.15%. It was a golden age for home buyers and refinancers!

Then, as we all know, the economy started to heat up fast. Inflation, which had been pretty quiet, suddenly surged. To try and tame it, the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates pretty aggressively. This “interest rate hike” cycle meant mortgage rates shot up, hitting a peak near 7% in 2023. Ouch. For anyone trying to buy a house, that meant much higher monthly payments. It also created a “lock-in effect” where homeowners with super-low rates weren't selling their homes, leading to less inventory.

Now, as we stand in late 2025, rates have stabilized a bit, mostly hovering in the 6.2% to 6.7% range. This is still high compared to a few years ago, but it’s a welcome pause after the rapid increases.

Here's a quick look at how rates have moved:

This table shows just how much rates can swing based on what the economy is doing.

What's Driving the 2026 Forecasts? It's All About Balance

The predictions for 2026 mortgage rates aren't pulled out of thin air. They're based on careful analysis of what drives these costs. Think of it like a delicate balancing act between a few key economic forces:

• Fighting Inflation: The Federal Reserve's main goal has been to get inflation back down to their target of around 2%. If they succeed, and inflation stays down, it gives the Fed room to lower its own key interest rates. Lower short-term rates from the Fed generally lead to lower long-term rates, including mortgage rates.
• The Economy's Health: Is the economy humming along nicely without overheating? Or is it slowing down too much, perhaps heading towards a recession? Forecasters are hoping for a “soft landing”—where the economy cools down just enough to curb inflation without crashing. If the economy weakens significantly, the Fed might cut rates more, pushing mortgage rates down faster. But if it stays surprisingly strong and inflation proves stubborn, rates might stay higher for longer.
• Treasury Yields: Mortgage rates are closely tied to the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly the 10-year Treasury. When investors demand higher yields on these safe investments (meaning they can get more for their money), mortgage lenders also have to charge more. Factors like government spending, international demand for U.S. debt, and general economic sentiment all influence Treasury yields.
• Job Market Stability: A strong job market usually means people have money to spend and borrow, which can sometimes fuel inflation. If job growth slows down considerably, it might signal a weaker economy, which again could lead to lower interest rates.

My take on this? From what I’ve seen, the Fed has made real progress on inflation. Core inflation (which strips out volatile food and energy prices) is still a bit sticky, but I'm optimistic it will continue its downward trend. This should give the Fed the confidence to continue cutting rates, which should translate to lower mortgage rates in 2026. However, I don't see us returning to the sub-4% rates of the early 2020s anytime soon. Those were truly extraordinary times.

What the Experts Are Saying: A Range of Views

You'll find a spectrum of opinions when you look at mortgage rate predictions for 2026. This isn't a bad thing; it actually highlights the uncertainties involved.

• Fannie Mae, a big player in the mortgage market, expects rates to end 2026 around 5.9%. They're betting on the Fed making a couple more moves to lower rates.
• The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), on the other hand, sees things as a bit more stable. They predict rates to be around 6.4% for the year. They seem to think things like wage growth might keep some pressure on yields.
• The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has a slightly more optimistic outlook, anticipating an average rate around 6.0%. They believe better affordability will boost home sales.
• Other institutions like Wells Fargo and the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) are looking at rates in the 6.2% to 6.25% range. They often point to ongoing costs in building homes and labor market tightness as factors that could keep rates from falling too much.

Here's a visual of those different predictions:

While the exact numbers vary, the general trend points towards lower rates than we have right now, but likely not dramatically lower.

How Will This Affect You? Breaking Down the Impact

So, what does a potential drop in mortgage rates mean for different people?

• For Homebuyers: Even a half-percentage-point drop can make a big difference. On a $400,000 mortgage, a rate of 6.0% instead of 6.5% could save you roughly $120 per month and nearly $43,000 over the life of the loan. For first-time buyers struggling with affordability, this easing can be crucial. However, home prices are also expected to continue rising, albeit at a slower pace (around 1.3%–2.5%). So, while rates might improve, the overall cost of buying could still be a challenge.
• For Refinancers: If you have a mortgage with a rate above 6.5% or 7%, a move down towards 6% could finally make refinancing worthwhile. Many homeowners have been stuck with their existing low-rate mortgages (the “lock-in effect”). A decrease could prompt a wave of refinancing, allowing people to lower their monthly payments by a couple of hundred dollars.
• For Sellers: With potentially more buyers able to afford homes, the housing market could become more active. This could lead to quicker home sales and a modest increase in prices. However, more inventory might also mean less intense bidding wars compared to the frenzied market of a few years ago.
• For the Economy: Increased home sales and refinancing activity generally give the economy a boost. More construction means more jobs, and people who can lower their monthly payments have more money to spend elsewhere.

Here's a simple table summarizing the potential benefits:

The Wildcards: What Could Throw a Wrench in the Works?

No prediction is foolproof. There are always risks that could push mortgage rates in unexpected directions:

• Stubborn Inflation: What if inflation doesn't cool down as expected? If it stays stubbornly above 2%, the Fed might have to hold off on rate cuts for longer, or even consider raising them again. This would likely keep mortgage rates higher than predicted, possibly edging back towards 6.8% or 7%.
• Economic Shocks: A sudden recession, a major geopolitical event (like a new conflict impacting oil prices), or unexpected supply chain issues could send shockwaves through the economy. A severe downturn might force the Fed to cut rates aggressively, dropping mortgage rates significantly, perhaps to the 5.5% range. On the flip side, surprisingly strong economic growth could keep rates elevated.
• Government Spending/Debt: High levels of government borrowing can sometimes put upward pressure on interest rates as the government competes for funds in the bond market.

Given these uncertainties, I always advise people to prepare for a range of possibilities. Don't bet your entire financial plan on rates dropping dramatically. Consider your own timeline and financial situation when making housing decisions.

My Own Thoughts: Patience and Preparedness

From my perspective, the 2026 mortgage rate predictions suggest a market that is gradually becoming more accessible. The days of 3% rates are likely behind us for the foreseeable future, but the peak of 7%+ seems to be receding. This middle ground, the mid-6% range, offers a more balanced environment.

For those looking to buy, my advice is to focus on what you can control:

1. Improve your credit score: A higher score gets you better rates.
2. Save for a solid down payment: This reduces your loan amount and can sometimes open up better loan options.
3. Get pre-approved for a mortgage: This gives you a clear picture of what you can afford and shows sellers you're a serious buyer.
4. Shop around for lenders: Don't just go with the first one you talk to. Rates and fees can vary.

For those looking to refinance, keep a close eye on rates. If we see a sustained drop of 0.5% or more from your current rate, it might be time to explore your options.

The housing market is a complex beast, influenced by so many factors. While we can analyze trends and listen to expert opinions, life often throws curveballs. The key is to stay informed, be prepared, and make decisions that align with your personal financial goals, not just chase the latest rate prediction.

In essence, 2026 looks set to be a year of cautious optimism for the housing market, driven by a slow and steady easing of mortgage rates. It won't be a return to the wild lows of the pandemic era, but it should be a welcome improvement for many aiming to achieve homeownership or financial flexibility through refinancing.

As of November 25, 2025, if you're in the market for a home or considering refinancing, you'll want to pay very close attention: the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has just hit a significant milestone, reaching a yearly low of 6.06% according to Zillow. This isn't just a minor blip; this rate matches the lowest point we've seen all of 2025, last occurring in late October. For prospective homeowners, this dip represents a truly golden opportunity to lock in a steady, predictable payment on what is typically the largest purchase of their lives.

30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Hits a New Yearly Low at 6.06%, Offering Golden Opportunity to Buyers

Hitting a yearly low on the most popular loan type, the 30-year fixed, is a substantial piece of news. It signals a more favorable borrowing environment for consumers and potentially opens doors for buyers who may have been on the fence due to higher rates earlier in the year. If you're looking to buy a home and want predictable monthly payments for the next three decades, this is absolutely an opportunity to explore seriously.

Understanding Today's Mortgage Rates: A Closer Look

It's always best to see the whole picture, so let's break down the national average mortgage rates as of November 25, 2025, based on the latest Zillow data:

Keep in mind, these are national averages. Your specific rate will depend on factors like your credit score, down payment amount, and chosen lender.

The Significance of the 30-Year Fixed Rate’s Yearly Low

Why is the 30-year fixed mortgage rate hitting 6.06% so important? Well, let’s look back. For much of 2025, we saw these rates consistently above 6.5%, and at times even a bit higher. For a significant loan amount, that difference – even just half a percentage point – can translate to thousands upon thousands of dollars in interest paid over 30 years.

This current rate is a welcome reprieve. It means more people who were priced out earlier in the year might now find a home purchase more affordable. For those who can afford it, locking in at 6.06% means peace of mind knowing their principal and interest payment won't change, no matter what happens in the broader economy or with interest rate trends. In my experience, predictability in mortgage payments is invaluable for long-term financial planning.

Navigating Fixed-Term Choices Beyond the 30-Year

While the 30-year fixed is the star today, let's not forget other fixed-rate options available:

• 20-Year Fixed: It's quite interesting that the 20-year fixed rate is also sitting at 6.06% today. Usually, you'd expect a rate reduction for choosing a shorter term. In this specific instance, you get the benefit of paying off your mortgage a decade sooner without an increased interest rate, which is a fantastic scenario if you can manage the higher monthly payments.
• 15-Year Fixed: For those seeking the lowest interest rate and the fastest path to homeownership, the 15-year fixed rate is even lower, at 5.53%. This loan term comes with higher monthly payments but saves you a substantial amount on interest over the life of the loan. It’s a powerful tool for aggressive debt reduction and building equity rapidly.

Who is each loan term best for?
The 15-year fixed is ideal for financially solid individuals or families who want to be mortgage-free sooner and can comfortably handle the larger payments. The 20-year fixed, at today's rates, offers a compelling balance – a faster payoff than the 30-year without necessarily a huge jump in monthly cost compared to a 15-year. And of course, the 30-year fixed at this 6.06% low is perfect for those who prioritize lower monthly payments, offering maximum affordability and flexibility in household budgeting.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): Weighing the Risks

ARMs often boast lower initial rates, but it's crucial to understand they come with potential future rate increases.

• 5/1 ARM: Today's rate is 6.16%. This means your rate is fixed for five years, then adjusts annually.
• 7/1 ARM: The rate here is 6.02%, offering a seven-year initial fixed period before annual adjustments commence.

When you compare these to the 30-year fixed rate of 6.06%, the attractiveness of ARMs diminishes significantly for many buyers. Paying 6.16% for a 5/1 ARM when a 30-year fixed is available at 6.06% means you’re potentially paying more and taking on future rate risk for little to no immediate savings. ARMs are best considered if you have a clear exit strategy, like selling the home or refinancing before the fixed period ends, and you're comfortable with the unpredictable nature of future payments.

VA Loan Advantage: A Gratitude for Service

For our nation's veterans and eligible military families, VA loans continue to provide an exceptional advantage. These government-backed loans consistently offer lower interest rates and often come with benefits like no down payment requirement.

Let's look at the VA loan rates today:

• 30-year VA: 5.55%
• 15-year VA: 5.28%
• 5/1 VA: 5.09%

The 30-year VA loan rate at 5.55% is remarkably lower than the conventional 30-year fixed rate of 6.06%. That's a substantial saving for those who have served. If you're eligible, exploring VA loan options should be a top priority.

Refinancing: What the Rates Mean for Current Homeowners

For those who already own a home, today's rates present a key question: Is it time to refinance?

Here are the national average refinance rates for November 25, 2025:

You'll notice that refinance rates are generally a touch higher than purchase rates. For example, the 30-year fixed refinance rate is 6.20% versus the purchase rate of 6.06%. This is typically due to how lenders assess risk and manage their portfolios.

However, the key is the difference between your current mortgage rate and these new rates. If you have an older mortgage with a rate significantly higher than 6.20%, refinancing into a 30-year fixed could still offer considerable monthly savings and reduce the total interest paid over the life of your loan. The 15-year fixed refinance rate at 5.64% is also a strong option for homeowners looking to pay down their mortgage faster and save on interest.

Factors Shaping Mortgage Rate Trends

Mortgage rates don't move in a vacuum. They are influenced by a delicate interplay of economic signals. Here’s what’s currently important:

• Economic Data Releases: This week's economic reports (inflation, retail sales, consumer sentiment) are critical. Weak numbers suggesting the economy is slowing down tend to push mortgage rates down, as investors seek safer havens like bonds. Stronger data can have the opposite effect.
• Federal Reserve's Stance: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is always a major driver. Their next scheduled announcement is on December 10, 2025. The market is split on whether they will lower interest rates again or hold steady. Any shift in their policy or forward guidance can significantly impact borrowing costs.
• Market Sentiment: Beyond the hard numbers, general investor confidence plays a role. Economic uncertainty often leads money to flow into bonds, pushing yields (and thus mortgage rates) down. Confidence can lead to money flowing out of bonds, increasing rates.

What's Next for Mortgage Rates?

From my perspective, this yearly low in the 30-year fixed rate is a welcome sign. I anticipate we'll see continued modest easing through the end of November. However, I don't foresee a drastic drop.

The real watershed moment will likely be in early December. The Fed's decision and how the market interprets the economic data around that time will be paramount.

For now, buyers should recognize that 6.06% on a 30-year fixed mortgage is an excellent rate and a significant opportunity. My advice remains consistent: no matter the rate, always get pre-approved, understand your creditworthiness, and shop around with multiple lenders. This current dip, however, makes that advice even more potent. It's a prime chance to secure a fantastic rate and make your homeownership dreams a reality.

As of November 24, 2025, today's mortgage rates are showing a remarkable degree of stability, hovering around the 6.11% mark for a 30-year fixed loan, according to Zillow. This isn't a thrilling development, I know, but for many looking to buy a home or refinance, this predictability can actually be a good thing. We're not seeing wild swings, which means you can feel more confident in making a decision without the nagging fear that rates will dramatically shift overnight.

It feels like just yesterday we were talking about rates being considerably higher, and then the anticipation of Fed cuts brought them down. Now, it seems we've settled into a holding pattern. It's like the market is taking a deep breath, waiting to see what happens next before making any big moves. This steady environment allows us to really dig into the numbers and make informed choices.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 24: 30-Year FRM Drops to 6.11%, Rates Are Largely Stable

What Are the Numbers for Today?

It’s always helpful to see the exact figures, so here's a breakdown of the current mortgage rates, as reported by Zillow for November 24, 2025:

Now, if you're thinking about refinancing your current home loan, the rates can look a little different. Often, refinance rates are slightly higher than purchase rates because lenders see them as a bit more of a risk. Here's what Zillow is showing for mortgage refinance rates today:

Fixed Rate vs. Adjustable Rate: Which Makes Sense Now?

This is a question I get asked all the time, and honestly, there’s no single right answer. It really depends on your personal situation and your outlook on the economy.

• Fixed-Rate Mortgages: These are the heroes of predictability. Your interest rate stays the same for the entire life of the loan, meaning your monthly principal and interest payment never changes. With today’s rates sitting in the low 6% range for a 30-year fixed, it offers a lot of comfort. If you plan to stay in your home for a long time and prefer a budget that’s easy to manage, a fixed rate is usually the way to go.
• Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): ARMs typically start with a lower introductory interest rate for a set period (like 5 or 7 years) before adjusting based on market conditions. The 5/1 ARM at 6.17% and the 7/1 ARM at 6.08% are currently offering rates that are competitive with, or even slightly lower than, some of the fixed options. This can be a smart move if:
  • You plan to sell your home or refinance before the introductory period ends.
  • You're comfortable with the possibility of your payments increasing after the fixed period.
  • You believe interest rates might go down in the future, allowing you to refinance into a better fixed rate later.

My personal take? Right now, with rates as stable as they are, locking in a 30-year fixed rate at 6.11% feels like a very solid decision for most homeowners looking for long-term peace of mind. If you were thinking of an ARM, the spread between the ARM fixed period and the 30-year fixed isn't as dramatic as it sometimes can be.

Refinance Rates vs. Purchase Rates: What's the Story?

You might have noticed that refinance rates are generally a little higher than purchase rates. Why? It’s a bit of a nuanced issue for lenders. When you're buying a new home, the lender is financing a new asset. When you refinance, they're essentially taking on an existing debt. There can be more perceived risk, hence the slightly higher rates. Also, the economic factors that influence these rates can sometimes have a slightly different impact on purchase versus refinance markets. Lenders are constantly evaluating the current market value and risk associated with each scenario.

The VA Loan Advantage

For eligible veterans and active-duty military personnel, the VA loan continues to be a fantastic option. As you can see, the VA loan rates are consistently lower than conventional loan rates.

• 30-year VA fixed: 5.58% (compared to 6.11% for conventional)
• 15-year VA fixed: 5.33% (compared to 5.62% for conventional)

This significant difference can translate into tens of thousands of dollars saved over the life of the loan. If you qualify for a VA loan, it’s almost always worth exploring.

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down This Month (or Soon)?

This is the million-dollar question, isn't it? Based on the chatter I'm hearing and the data available, a significant drop in mortgage rates this month looks unlikely.

A Bankrate poll for the week of November 20-26, 2025, showed that the majority of experts (58%) expected rates to stay pretty flat. The remaining experts were split, with some predicting a slight increase and others a decrease.

The general consensus is that rates will likely stay in the low-to-mid 6% range through November. Any significant improvement would probably need to be triggered by further cooling in the labor market or other strong signs of economic slowdown.

What's Influencing These November Rates?

Several forces are at play, creating this current environment of rate stability:

• The Federal Reserve's Actions (and Inactions): The Fed has been actively managing interest rates. They've already made a couple of quarter-point cuts to their benchmark rate in 2025. However, recent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have suggested that further cuts aren't a foregone conclusion. This has created some upward pressure on mortgage rates, as lenders aren't entirely confident about future rate drops. The Fed's ongoing reduction of its balance sheet also tends to contribute to higher borrowing costs.
• Economic Data Delays and Uncertainty: You might recall that a government shutdown caused some key economic data, like the crucial jobs report, to be delayed. This creates uncertainty for policymakers and investors. If future economic data consistently shows a cooling labor market, it could give the Fed more room to cut rates, potentially bringing mortgage rates down. Conversely, if inflation remains stubbornly high or the job market stays strong, it could pressure rates to stay put or even tick up.
• Investor Sentiment and the 10-Year Treasury: The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond is a big benchmark for mortgage rates. Right now, it's been nudged up slightly due to market jitters and that lingering inflation. With inflation still hovering around 3%, it keeps yields, and therefore mortgage rates, at these slightly elevated levels. It’s a delicate balancing act for investors and the market.

My Take: Patience and Plan

From my perspective, this period of stability is a good time to be strategic. If you've been on the fence about buying or refinancing, the predictable rates allow you to shop around more effectively and negotiate better terms with lenders. Don't just take the first offer; get quotes from multiple sources.

Consider your long-term financial goals. If you’re buying your forever home, locking in a 30-year fixed rate in the low 6% range feels like a sound and safe move. If you’re more of a short-term player or a real estate investor, an ARM might still make sense, but weigh that potential for lower initial payments against the risk of future increases.

The housing market is always dynamic, and while today’s mortgage rates aren't making headlines for dramatic moves, they are offering a clear path for many to achieve their homeownership dreams. Let's keep an eye on that economic data – that’s where the real clues will be for what happens next.