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Archives for June 2025

Today’s Mortgage Rates – June 10, 2025: Slight Dip in Rates is a Reassuring Sign

June 10, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates - June 10, 2025: Slight Dip in Rates is a Reassuring Sign

On June 10, 2025, mortgage rates have seen a modest decrease. According to Zillow, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now at 6.98%, down from 6.99% previously. Meanwhile, refinance rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage have dropped to 7.16%, a decline from 7.25% last week. This slight dip in rates is a reassuring sign for many potential homebuyers and those considering refinancing their existing loans.

Today’s Mortgage Rates – June 10, 2025: Slight Dip in Rates is a Reassuring Sign

Key Takeaways

  • Current 30-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.98%
  • Current refinance rate for 30-year fixed: 7.16%
  • Market factors: Bond yields have fallen as investors await key economic news.
  • Predictions: Rates are expected to remain stable, with a possibility of a downward trend in the coming months.

The Mortgage Market's Recent Trends

The mortgage market has been operating in a complex environment influenced by various economic factors. Over the past year, potential homebuyers and homeowners alike have experienced a rollercoaster ride with rates, driven by Federal Reserve policies, inflation concerns, and shifts in the housing market. As of June 10, 2025, the average rates reflect an industry striving for stability while reacting to ongoing economic signals.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate serves as a primary benchmark for home financing. Many people favor this type due to its predictability—once secured, the interest rate remains constant throughout the life of the loan. Currently, the rate stands at 6.98%, offering a semblance of relief for homebuyers after an extended period of heightened rates.

Breakdown of Current Mortgage Rates

Different mortgage options are available, and knowing the current market rates can help you determine which product best suits your needs. Below, we provide an overview of rates categorized by loan types: conforming loans, government loans, and jumbo loans.

Conforming Loans

These loans meet the underwriting guidelines set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, making them widely available and typically featuring competitive rates.

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.98% down 0.01% 7.44% down 0.01%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.80% down 0.02% 7.29% up 0.05%
15-Year Fixed Rate 6.07% up 0.01% 6.37% up 0.01%
10-Year Fixed Rate 6.16% up 0.23% 6.52% up 0.35%
7-Year ARM 8.41% up 0.60% 8.75% up 0.52%
5-Year ARM 7.38% down 0.24% 7.88% down 0.12%

Source: Zillow

Government Loans

These loans are backed by governmental entities (FHA, VA, USDA), making them more accessible for first-time buyers or those with lower credit scores.

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.92% up 0.01% 7.96% up 0.01%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.45% 0.00% 6.66% down 0.01%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.88% up 0.20% 6.87% up 0.20%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.94% down 0.04% 6.30% down 0.02%

Jumbo Loans

Jumbo loans refer to mortgages that exceed the conforming loan limits set by government-sponsored enterprises. These loans typically have higher interest rates.

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.35% down 0.07% 7.76% down 0.04%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 6.35% down 0.41% 6.67% down 0.35%
7-Year ARM Jumbo 7.53% 0.00% 8.06% 0.00%
5-Year ARM Jumbo 8.28% up 0.61% 8.40% up 0.34%

Understanding Mortgage Types and Their Implications

When evaluating mortgage options, it’s important to understand the differences between fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). Fixed-rate mortgages, as mentioned earlier, provide stability, while ARMs often start with lower rates that may increase after a predetermined period. For instance, a 7-year ARM may offer a low rate initially, but future adjustments can lead to higher payments once the adjustment period expires.

Moreover, the choice between a long-term loan and a short-term loan can significantly impact your monthly payments and the overall cost of borrowing. In general, shorter-term loans tend to come with lower interest rates but higher monthly payments. For example, a 15-year fixed mortgage carries an interest rate of 6.07%, which, though slightly higher than rates on more extended terms, allows homeowners to pay off their debt more quickly and often leads to substantial interest savings over the life of the loan.

Current Refinance Rates

For many homeowners, refinancing an existing mortgage offers a chance to obtain a lower interest rate, reduce monthly payments, or withdraw equity for other financial needs. As of June 10, 2025, refinance rates are seeing slight reductions, which may appeal to homeowners considering this path.

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed 7.16% down 0.09% 7.44% down 0.01%
20-Year Fixed 6.80% down 0.02% 7.29% up 0.05%
15-Year Fixed 6.13% up 0.06% 6.37% up 0.01%
10-Year Fixed 6.16% up 0.23% 6.52% up 0.35%
5-Year ARM 8.20% 0.00% 8.20% 0.00%

Source: Zillow

The Economic Context

Understanding mortgage rates also involves recognizing the broader economic context. Recent decreases in bond yields indicate a cautious approach among investors regarding upcoming economic data. Investors are awaiting fresh insights into inflation and trade relations, particularly with significant meetings scheduled between key players in the global economy.

A notable aspect is the 10-year Treasury yield, which influences mortgage rates directly. As this benchmark yield falls, it generally leads to lower mortgage rates. On Monday, the yield fell by 0.62%, with investors holding their positions until the release of crucial inflation data this week. Experts anticipate that inflation, while still a concern, might show signs of stabilization, which would positively impact mortgage rates.

Predictions for Future Mortgage Rates

Looking ahead, various agencies and organizations have made predictions about the trajectory of mortgage rates over the next few months based on evolving economic conditions. Here are key insights from leading experts:

  • Fannie Mae: Forecasts suggest that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate could stabilize around 6.7% in the third quarter of 2025, easing to about 6.6% by year-end. They believe that the economic fundamentals will help create a more favorable lending environment.
  • Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): Similar to Fannie Mae, the MBA projects a downward trend, with expectations that rates may reach 6.6% before 2025 concludes.
  • Economists from Various Institutions: Analysts from diverse sectors, including the National Association of Realtors and Morgan Stanley, express similar viewpoints, suggesting a gradual decline in mortgage rates as inflationary pressures ease and the housing market stabilizes.

Read More:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of June 9, 2025

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in June 2025: Expert Forecast

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

The Psychological Impact on Homebuyers

The fluctuating rates can significantly impact buyer psychology. The continual conversations about rising home prices and mortgage rates often create a sense of urgency or anxiety among potential buyers. Many feel strained to make purchases quickly, fearing that delaying decisions could result in skyrocketing costs.

One crucial insight from recent studies suggests that while higher mortgage rates may deter some buyers, they also often lead to increased competition. With fewer affordable homes available, potential buyers face challenges in negotiating purchasing prices, making it essential to stay informed and act strategically in the homebuying process.

Conclusion

As of June 10, 2025, mortgage rates are positioned at 6.98% for a 30-year fixed mortgage, reflecting a slight but notable decrease from previous weeks. Homebuyers and those contemplating refinancing should be aware of the current market conditions and the various factors at play.

The mortgage landscape constantly evolves, influenced by economic indicators, housing market dynamics, and investor sentiments. Sticking to reliable sources and staying informed about how these elements might affect rates will empower borrowers to make more informed financial choices moving forward.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – June 9, 2025

June 9, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – June 9, 2025

If you're looking for the states with the lowest mortgage rates today, June 9, 2025, you've come to the right place. Right now, New York, Massachusetts, Washington, Colorado, Virginia, California, Connecticut, and North Carolina are offering some of the cheapest 30-year new purchase mortgage rates, with averages ranging from 6.83% to 6.99%. So, if you're house hunting, you might want to start your search in those states!

States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – June 9, 2025

Buying a home is a huge decision, and I know firsthand how stressful it can be. I remember when I bought my first place – all the paperwork, the inspections, and, of course, figuring out the mortgage. One of the biggest factors that can impact your monthly payment and overall cost is the interest rate. And those rates can vary quite a bit depending on where you live.

Why Do Mortgage Rates Vary by State?

It's not just random chance that makes mortgage rates different across state lines. Several factors contribute to these variations. Here's a breakdown:

  • Lender Presence: Not all lenders operate in every part of the country. This means that certain regions might have less competition, which can drive rates up.
  • Credit Score Averages: States with higher average credit scores might see lower rates because lenders view borrowers as less risky.
  • Average Loan Size: Differences in property values and loan sizes can influence rates. Larger loans might come with slightly different terms.
  • State-Specific Regulations: Different states have different rules and regulations regarding mortgages, which can affect lenders' costs and, ultimately, the rates they offer.
  • Risk Management Strategies: Each lender has its own way of assessing and managing risk, and this can translate into variations in the rates they charge.

Mortgage rates vary by the state where they originate. Different lenders operate in different regions, and rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average loan size, and regulations. Lenders also have varying risk management strategies that influence the rates they offer.

June 9, 2025: A Snapshot of Mortgage Rates Across the US

Let's dive deeper into the data and see which states are offering the best and worst deals on 30-year mortgages right now.

The States with the Lowest Mortgage Rates:

According to Investopedia, here are the states where you'll find the most affordable 30-year new purchase mortgage rates as of today:

  • New York
  • Massachusetts
  • Washington
  • Colorado
  • Virginia
  • California
  • Connecticut
  • North Carolina

These states share average mortgage rates ranging from 6.83% to 6.99%.

The States with the Highest Mortgage Rates:

On the other end of the spectrum, these states currently have the highest 30-year mortgage rates:

  • Alaska
  • Mississippi
  • West Virginia
  • Delaware
  • Kansas
  • Oklahoma
  • Ohio
  • Wisconsin

Here, the average rates hover between 7.06% and 7.16%.

National Mortgage Rate Trends

It's helpful to keep an eye on national averages to put these state-specific rates into context:

  • Today's (June 9, 2025) rate for 30-year new purchase mortgages: jumped 9 basis points to 7.02%.

Breaking it Down (National Averages):

Here is a table showing the national average rates for various types of mortgages:

Loan Type New Purchase Rate
30-Year Fixed 7.02%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.13%
15-Year Fixed 6.08%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.97%
5/6 ARM 7.36%

Source: Zillow

Important Considerations

Keep in mind that these are average rates. The rate you'll actually qualify for depends on your individual financial situation:

  • Credit Score: A higher credit score generally means a lower rate.
  • Income: Lenders want to see that you have a stable income to repay the loan.
  • Down Payment: A larger down payment can reduce your risk and potentially lower your rate.
  • Debt-to-Income Ratio (DTI): This is the amount of your monthly income that goes toward paying debts. A lower DTI is preferable.
  • Type of Loan: Different loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA) come with varying rates and terms.

Don't Fall for Teaser Rates!

You've probably seen those super-low rates advertised online. Those are often “teaser rates,” designed to grab your attention. Here's what to watch out for:

  • Paying Points: Some teaser rates require you to pay points upfront, which are fees that effectively increase the cost of your loan.
  • Ultra-High Credit Scores: Those rates might only be available to borrowers with near-perfect credit.
  • Smaller-Than-Typical Loans: Sometimes, the advertised rate is only for smaller loan amounts.

Always shop around and compare rates from multiple lenders. Don't settle for the first offer you receive!

Understanding Factors That Shape Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates don't just appear out of thin air. They're influenced by several factors that are constantly in play:

  • Bond Market: Specifically, the 10-year Treasury yield has a big impact. When Treasury yields rise, mortgage rates tend to follow suit.
  • Federal Reserve (The Fed): The Fed's monetary policy plays a crucial role. Specifically, its actions related to buying bonds and funding government-backed mortgages can significantly affect rates.
  • Competition: Competition among lenders and across different loan types can also influence rates.

Trying to pinpoint one single cause for rate fluctuations is nearly impossible because multiple forces are often at work simultaneously.

A Quick History Lesson In 2021 mortgage rates were relatively low because the fed was buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures. However, in November 2021 The Fed began tapering its bond purchases , making sizable monthly reductions until reaching net zero in March 2022.Between that time and July 2023, the Fed aggressively raised the federal funds rate to fight decades-high inflation which has had a dramatic upward impact on mortgage rates over the last two years.

The Fed maintained the federal funds rate at its peak level for almost 14 months, beginning in July 2023. But in September, the central bank announced a first rate cut of 0.50 percentage points, and then followed that with quarter-point reductions in November and December. For its third meeting of the new year, however, the Fed opted to hold rates steady—and it’s possible the central bank may not make another rate cut for months.

Read More:

States With the Lowest Mortgage Rates on June 6, 2025

When Will Mortgage Rates Go Down from Current Highs in 2025?

How to Calculate Your Mortgage Payment

Figuring out your potential monthly mortgage payment is essential for budgeting and determining how much you can afford. Here are the key factors involved:

  • Home Price: The total cost of the property. (e.g. $440,000)
  • Down Payment: The amount you pay upfront, expressed as a percentage of the home price. (e.g. 20%= $88,000)
  • Loan Term: The length of time you have to repay the loan (e.g., 30 years).
  • Annual Percentage Rate (APR): The interest rate you'll be charged. (e.g. 6.67%)
  • Property Taxes: Annual taxes assessed on your property, typically divided into monthly payments.
  • Homeowners Insurance: The cost of insuring your home against damage or loss, also usually paid monthly.

Using sample figures shown above , the monthly payment can be calculated as follows –

Your monthly mortgage payment: $2,649.04/month for 30 years

Principal & Interest: $2,264.38

Property Taxes: $256.67

Homeowners Insurance: $128.00

Mortgage Size: $352,000.00

Mortgage Interest: $463,176.16

Total Mortgage Paid: $815,176.16

Note: It's essential to use a mortgage calculator to get an accurate estimate. Many online tools (like Zillow's mortgage calculator) can help you crunch the numbers.

My Final Two Cents

Navigating the world of mortgages can be daunting, but knowledge is power. By understanding the factors that influence rates and shopping around diligently, you can find the best possible deal for your situation. Remember to factor in all the costs associated with buying a home, not just the mortgage payment itself.

And finally, don't be afraid to ask questions! Talk to multiple lenders, real estate agents, and financial advisors to get a clear picture of your options so that you can make an informed decision that works for you in the long run.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Investing in turnkey real estate can help you secure consistent returns with fluctuating mortgage rates.

Expand your portfolio confidently, even in a shifting interest rate environment.

Speak with our expert investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Today’s Mortgage Rates – June 9, 2025: Marginal Dip in Rates Across the Board

June 9, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates - June 9, 2025: Marginal Dip Rates Across the Board

As of June 9, 2025, national mortgage rates have shown slight movement, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate decreasing to 7.00%, down from 7.03% last week. Additionally, the 15-year fixed mortgage rate has seen a minor decline to 6.11% from 6.14%. This information is crucial for anyone considering buying a home or refinancing an existing mortgage, as understanding current rates can significantly impact monthly payments and overall home affordability.

Today’s Mortgage Rates – June 9, 2025: Marginal Dip in Rates Across the Board

Key Takeaways:

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 7.00% (down 3 basis points)
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.11% (down 3 basis points)
  • 5-Year ARM Mortgage Rate: 7.78% (down 2 basis points)
  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: 7.26% (remained stable)

With the current rates slightly lowering, it's an opportune time to explore your options.

Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates

To gauge how mortgage rates are currently positioned, we can look at several key categories: conforming loans, government loans, and jumbo loans. Below is the breakdown of the current rates by loan type.

Mortgage Rates Overview (as of June 9, 2025) 

Loan Type Rate 1W Change APR 1W Change
Conforming Loans
30-Year Fixed 7.00% up 0.01% 7.48% up 0.04%
20-Year Fixed 6.80% down 0.02% 7.29% up 0.05%
15-Year Fixed 6.11% up 0.05% 6.43% up 0.07%
10-Year Fixed 5.97% up 0.04% 6.05% down 0.12%
7-Year ARM 8.41% up 0.60% 8.75% up 0.52%
5-Year ARM 7.78% up 0.16% 8.12% up 0.12%
3-Year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%
Government Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 7.09% up 0.18% 8.12% up 0.18%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.47% up 0.02% 6.66% 0.00%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.17% up 0.48% 7.14% up 0.47%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.99% up 0.02% 6.30% down 0.03%
Jumbo Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 8.07% up 0.65% 8.55% up 0.74%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 8.05% up 1.28% 8.40% up 1.39%
7-Year ARM Jumbo 7.53% 0.00% 8.06% 0.00%
5-Year ARM Jumbo 7.51% down 0.16% 8.01% down 0.04%
3-Year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

(Data source: Zillow)

The mortgage rates are essential to understanding how the market is evolving. Borrowers can see the differences based on loan type, which is vital when deciding between fixed and adjustable-rate mortgages as well as considering whether they meet standards set for government-backed loans.

Understanding Mortgage Types

When you explore your mortgage options, understanding different types of loans is critical. Each mortgage type has its own advantages and disadvantages, depending on your financial situation and how long you plan on staying in a home.

Fixed-Rate Mortgages: These loans are straightforward. The interest rate remains constant throughout the life of the loan, making budgeting easier. They are ideal for people who plan to stay in their homes long-term. With rates slightly lower now, first-time buyers might find a favorable opportunity to lock in a better rate. A fixed-rate mortgage is akin to having a stable monthly expense, making financial planning much easier.

For example, with a 30-year fixed mortgage at 7%, if you borrow $300,000, your monthly payment (excluding taxes and insurance) would be approximately $1,996. Over the life of the loan, you'd pay around $419,547 in interest alone. While this indicates a larger total cost, knowing that your payment will not fluctuate is beneficial for long-term planning.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): These loans offer a lower initial interest rate for a fixed period (like the first 5 or 7 years) after which the rate adjusts based on the market. For example, the 5-year ARM is currently priced at 7.78%, appealing to those who may plan to sell before the adjustment occurs. However, the risk lies in the rate changes that can lead to higher payments later on.

Calculating Payments with ARMs

Suppose you opt for a 7-year ARM at 8.41% after which the rate may adjust annually. If you initially borrow the same amount of $300,000, your first monthly payment would be approximately $2,405. After five years, if interest rates rise to 10%, your payment could potentially increase to around $3,221.

Choosing an ARM involves weighing the potential benefits of lower initial payments against the risk of rate increases. If you plan to sell or refinance within the initial fixed-rate period, an ARM can save you significant money upfront.

Refinancing Options

Current refinance rates are another critical component of the mortgage market. As of June 9, 2025, the average 30-year fixed refinance rate is 7.26%. This rate has stayed stable but is slightly up from 7.22% the previous week. Refinancing allows homeowners to replace their existing mortgage with a new loan, often to secure a lower interest rate or change the loan terms.

Refinance Rates Overview (as of June 9, 2025)

Refinance Loan Type Rate 1W Change APR 1W Change
Conforming Loans
30-Year Fixed Refinance 7.26% 0.00% 7.74% up 0.03%
20-Year Fixed Refinance 6.80% down 0.02% 7.29% up 0.05%
15-Year Fixed Refinance 6.10% down 0.05% 6.43% up 0.07%
10-Year Fixed Refinance 5.97% up 0.04% 6.05% down 0.12%
5-Year ARM Refinance 8.07% 0.00% 8.12% 0.00%
3-Year ARM Refinance — 0.00% — 0.00%
Government Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA Refinance 6.38% down 0.32% 7.39% down 0.33%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA Refinance 6.74% up 0.16% 6.96% up 0.18%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA Refinance 6.21% up 0.45% 7.18% up 0.44%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA Refinance 6.14% up 0.15% 6.50% up 0.20%
Jumbo Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo Refinance 7.25% down 0.61% 7.88% down 0.41%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo Refinance 6.57% 0.00% 7.01% 0.00%

(Data source: Zillow)

Refinancing options remain appealing to many homeowners, especially if they can lower their rates significantly. With current rates being relatively stable, the opportunity to refinance and save on interest can be a solid financial strategy. However, homeowners must weigh the closing costs of refinancing against potential savings to ensure that it is worthwhile.

Reasons to Refinance

Homeowners might consider refinancing for various reasons, including:

  • Lowering Monthly Payments: Securing a lower interest rate can lead to substantial savings on monthly payments.
  • Shortening Loan Terms: Switching from a 30-year loan to a 15-year loan can save on interest over the life of the loan.
  • Changing Loan Type: Switching from an adjustable-rate mortgage to a fixed-rate mortgage can provide peace of mind.
  • Cash-Out Refinancing: This option allows homeowners to tap into their home equity for expenses like home improvements or debt consolidation.

Read More:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of June 8, 2025

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in June 2025: Expert Forecast

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

Market Reactions and Predictions

Looking ahead, mortgage rate predictions indicate a potential for gradual declines. According to the National Association of REALTORS® and Fannie Mae, mortgage rates could average around 6.4% through the end of 2025. This is a slight decrease compared to previous predictions, suggesting that as we advance into the latter half of the year, homebuyers and owners may face more favorable borrowing conditions.

This prediction of declining rates may lead to a more active housing market. As rates stabilize, more buyers might enter the market, looking to capitalize on favorable terms. High demand can lead to increased home prices; however, buyers might also feel pressured to purchase before potential future increases.

However, Freddie Mac notes that while rates are expected to decline, they may remain higher for prolonged periods, significantly affecting home sales. As potential buyers adjust their expectations, we might see an active market as individuals no longer wait for better rates to proceed with their purchasing decisions.

Influence of Economic Conditions on Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates are influenced by various factors, including inflation, employment rates, and Federal Reserve policies. As economic conditions fluctuate, so do mortgage rates, making it essential for prospective buyers and homeowners to stay informed.

For instance, if inflation rates continue to rise, we might expect the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates in response. This could push mortgage rates higher, impacting affordability for future home buyers. Conversely, if inflation trends downward, rates might stabilize or decline, creating opportunities for more advantageous borrowing conditions.

Final Thoughts on Today's Mortgage Rates

Current mortgage and refinance rates show minor fluctuations, with some categories slightly improving and others remaining stable. For prospective buyers and homeowners considering refinancing, it’s crucial to monitor the trends closely. The slight drop in mortgage rates might just be what buyers need to make informed decisions in their journey toward homeownership.

Prices vary across loan types with specific factors affecting each category. Whether it’s fixed or adjustable-rate mortgages or the decision to refinance, understanding these nuances can empower borrowers to choose the best mortgage plan for their unique financial situations and future goals.

In conclusion, as the housing market experiences continuous shifts, prospective buyers, current homeowners, and investors must stay up-to-date on mortgage trends. With diligent research and an understanding of personal financial goals, navigating the landscape of mortgage rates can lead to informed and beneficial choices.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Nationwide Housing Market Correction Predicted by the End of 2025

June 9, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Nationwide Housing Market Correction Predicted by the End of 2025

If you've been eagerly watching the housing market, waiting for some relief from those sky-high prices, there might be some good news on the horizon. According to a recent forecast by Redfin, a brokerage and listings site, the seemingly unstoppable climb of the housing market is expected to take a pause, with a nationwide price decline anticipated by the end of 2025. While a significant crash isn't predicted, this shift signals a notable change from the heated market we've experienced in recent years.

Nationwide Housing Market Correction Predicted by the End of 2025

For a long time, it felt like home prices could only go up. From 2012, barring a brief dip in 2023, we saw a consistent upward trajectory, fueled by low inventory and high demand. The post-pandemic boom only amplified this, with bidding wars becoming the norm. However, the latest data suggests the tide is turning, and understanding why is crucial for both potential homebuyers and current homeowners.

The Drag of Elevated Mortgage Rates

In my opinion, the primary culprit behind this anticipated slowdown is the persistent elevation of mortgage rates. Redfin predicts these rates will hover around 7% for much of the coming year. Think about it: a higher mortgage rate directly impacts what a buyer can afford. Suddenly, that dream home comes with a much bigger monthly payment, pushing many would-be buyers to the sidelines.

This is a stark contrast to the years when historically low mortgage rates fueled the buying frenzy. Back then, even with rising prices, the cost of borrowing remained relatively manageable. Now, with rates staying high, the math simply doesn't work for as many people. As a result, the intense buyer competition we were used to is fading.

More Homes on the Market, Fewer Eager Buyers

The data from Redfin paints a clear picture of this shift. In April, the number of homes for sale jumped by a significant 16.7% compared to the previous year, reaching its highest level in five years. Simultaneously, new listings saw an increase of 8.6%. On the other side of the equation, sales of existing homes fell by 1.1% year-over-year, hitting a six-month low. Moreover, homes that did sell took longer to find a buyer, averaging around 45 days, which is five days more than the year before.

To me, this is a classic case of supply and demand adjusting. The surge in mortgage rates has cooled buyer demand, while more sellers, perhaps realizing the peak frenzy has passed, are putting their homes on the market. This increased inventory, coupled with decreased buyer interest, naturally puts downward pressure on prices.

The Mechanics of a Cooling Market

This shift doesn't necessarily mean a dramatic collapse. Instead, I anticipate a more gradual adjustment driven by a couple of key factors:

  • Increased negotiation power for buyers: With more homes available and fewer buyers competing fiercely, those who are still in the market gain leverage. They can be more selective, take their time, and even successfully negotiate prices down, particularly for homes that need some work or are in less sought-after areas. Redfin notes that nearly half of sellers are already offering concessions, just shy of a record high.
  • Sellers adjusting their expectations: As homes sit on the market longer, sellers will likely come to terms with the fact that they can't command the same prices they could a year or two ago. This will lead to more realistic list prices that better reflect the current market conditions. Some savvy sellers might even price slightly below comparable homes to attract buyers in a less competitive environment.

One piece of advice I'd offer, echoing Redfin agents, is for buyers to keep an eye on homes that have been on the market for a while. These properties often present the best opportunities for negotiation. Don't be afraid to submit offers below the asking price or ask for concessions like assistance with closing costs or funds for necessary repairs.

Not All Markets Are Created Equal

It's important to remember that real estate is inherently local. While the forecast points to a nationwide price decline of about 1% by the end of 2025, this average will mask variations across different metro areas. Redfin economists anticipate more significant price drops in some regions, while areas with more resilient demand, particularly in the Midwest and Northeast, may continue to see price increases, albeit potentially at a slower pace.

My own experience tells me that local economic factors, population trends, and the specific balance of supply and demand in a given area will play a significant role in how prices move. What happens in a booming tech hub might be very different from a more rural market.

A Silver Lining: Improved Affordability on the Horizon

While a price decline might worry some current homeowners, it offers a glimmer of hope for prospective buyers struggling with affordability. Interestingly, even a modest 1% decrease in home prices, coupled with an anticipated wage growth of around 4%, could lead to a noticeable improvement in homebuying affordability.

However, as Chen Zhao, Redfin’s head of economics research, points out, waiting until the very end of the year for that slight price dip might not be the most strategic move for everyone. The opportunity to negotiate and potentially lock in a deal now could outweigh the benefit of a small price reduction later. Plus, the sooner you buy, the sooner you start building equity in your own home.

Mortgage Rates: The Unpredictable Factor

The forecast hinges significantly on the expectation that mortgage rates will remain around 6.8% until the end of 2025. However, the reality is that mortgage rates are influenced by a complex interplay of economic factors, some of which are difficult to predict with certainty.

According to Zhao, the stubbornness of mortgage rates can be attributed to concerns like tariffs, which can drive up inflation and make the Federal Reserve hesitant to cut rates, and the rising U.S. budget deficit, which has led to credit rating downgrades. While the recent adjustments to proposed tariffs on China are a development to watch, the overall economic uncertainty continues to be a factor influencing both the Fed's decisions and consumer confidence.

In my opinion, any unexpected shifts in inflation, economic growth, or geopolitical events could potentially impact the trajectory of mortgage rates, and consequently, the housing market forecast.

What Does This Mean for You?

If you're a potential homebuyer, this forecast suggests that the intense pressure and rapid price increases of the recent past are likely behind us. You might find more options on the market, have more time to make a decision, and even have the opportunity to negotiate on price and terms.

If you're a current homeowner, especially one who purchased recently at the peak of the market, the prospect of a price decline might be concerning. However, it's important to remember that a modest price correction is different from a crash. For most homeowners with a longer-term perspective, the overall appreciation in value over time is still likely to be positive.

Final Thoughts

The anticipated slowdown in the housing market, driven primarily by persistent high mortgage rates and an increase in inventory, represents a significant shift. While a nationwide price decline is expected by the end of 2025, the impact will vary across different regions. For buyers, this could present opportunities for greater affordability and negotiating power. For sellers, adjusting expectations to the current market conditions will be key. As always, staying informed about local market trends and economic indicators will be crucial for making informed real estate decisions.

Stay Ahead of the 2025 Market Correction

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12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Markets Predicted to Crash by Double Digits by Q1 2026

Get ready for a possible shift in the real estate world! Zillow predicts that several housing markets are predicted to decline in double digits by March 2026. Specifically, certain regions in Mississippi, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, and South Carolina are facing potential price drops of over 10%. This news might sound alarming, but let's break down what this forecast means for you, whether you're a homeowner, potential buyer, or just curious about the market.

Have you ever felt like trying to predict the housing market is like trying to predict the weather? One minute it's sunny, the next there's a downpour. Well, recently, the forecast seems to be hinting at some storm clouds gathering over certain areas. As someone who keeps a close eye on these trends, I want to dive deep into Zillow's prediction and explore what might be causing this anticipated dip, and most importantly, what it means for you.

12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026

For a long time, the narrative surrounding the housing market has been one of rising prices and fierce competition. But Zillow's latest report suggests a potential correction. According to their data, U.S. home prices are expected to fall by 1.7% between March 2025 and March 2026. That might not sound like much nationally, but the devil is in the details.

Here’s a quick look at how Zillow’s outlook has shifted in recent months:

  • January: +2.9%
  • February: +1.1%
  • March: +0.8%
  • Now: -1.7%

This consistent downward revision isn’t just a blip; it indicates a fundamental shift in their assessment of the market.

Where Will the Impact Be Felt the Most?

Now, let’s get to the areas predicted to experience the most significant declines. Zillow's forecast specifically highlights 12 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) that are expected to see double-digit percentage drops in home values by March 2026.

Here’s the list, based on Zillow’s data:

RegionName RegionType StateName BaseDate 30-04-2025 30-06-2025 31-03-2026
Greenville, MS msa MS 31-03-2025 -0.9 -4.3 -14.6
Pecos, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -0.4 -2.8 -12.7
Cleveland, MS msa MS 31-03-2025 -0.4 -3.2 -11.9
Big Spring, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -0.5 -2.7 -11.4
Alice, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.3 -3.8 -11.3
Raymondville, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.2 -4.1 -11.2
Helena, AR msa AR 31-03-2025 -0.5 -2.8 -11
Sweetwater, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.3 -3.5 -10.6
Hobbs, NM msa NM 31-03-2025 0 -1.3 -10.5
Opelousas, LA msa LA 31-03-2025 -0.7 -3 -10.3
Houma, LA msa LA 31-03-2025 -0.8 -3 -10.1
Bennettsville, SC msa SC 31-03-2025 -1.5 -3.7 -10

These are relatively smaller markets, and it's crucial to understand why they might be facing these potential declines. Geographic diversity plays a significant role in this analysis.

Why These Areas? Potential Contributing Factors

What factors could be driving these predicted declines? Several possibilities come to mind:

  • Economic conditions: These areas may be experiencing slower economic growth, job losses, or industry downturns, impacting demand for housing.
  • Population shifts: People might be moving away from these areas in search of better opportunities elsewhere.
  • Housing affordability: Even if prices aren't skyrocketing like in major cities, affordability could still be a concern for local residents.
  • Overbuilding: If there’s a surplus of new homes on the market, it can put downward pressure on prices.
  • **Interest Rates: The elephant in the room! As rates rise, mortgages become more expensive, reducing demand, especially in areas where affordability is already strained.
  • **Remote Work: A double edged sword: If these areas did not benefit as much from the shift to remote work like larger metro areas, they may be seeing a correction as people return to offices.

It's likely a combination of these factors that's contributing to the predicted declines.

What Does This Mean for Homeowners?

If you own a home in one of these areas, this forecast might be unsettling. But before you panic, consider these points:

  • Long-term perspective: Real estate is a long-term investment. A short-term dip doesn't necessarily negate long-term gains.
  • Local market knowledge: National forecasts are just that – national. Your local market conditions could be different. Talk to a local real estate agent for a more nuanced perspective.
  • Don't make rash decisions: Selling in a panic could lead to a loss. Assess your situation carefully and make informed decisions.
  • Consider improvements: If you're not planning to sell soon, focus on home improvements that will increase its value and your enjoyment of it.

Opportunities for Buyers?

On the other hand, potential buyers might see this as an opportunity. If prices do decline, it could become more affordable to buy a home in these areas. However, it's crucial to:

  • Do your research: Understand the local market conditions and why prices are declining.
  • Factor in long-term costs: Consider property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs.
  • Don't rush: Take your time to find the right property at the right price.
  • Get pre-approved: Know how much you can afford before you start looking.

Beyond the Numbers: My Personal Take

While Zillow's forecast is a valuable data point, it's important to remember that it's just that – a forecast. No one has a crystal ball, and the housing market is influenced by a multitude of factors that are difficult to predict with certainty.

In my experience, local market knowledge is paramount. What's happening in New York City is drastically different from what's happening in rural Texas. That's why it's crucial to consult with local real estate professionals who understand the nuances of your specific market.

I also believe that fear and greed are often the biggest drivers of market fluctuations. When everyone is panicking, opportunities can arise. Conversely, when everyone is euphoric, it's often a sign that a correction is coming.

The Bigger Picture: A National Perspective

Even with these predicted declines in specific areas, the overall housing market remains complex. Factors like low inventory, rising construction costs, and demographic trends will continue to play a role in shaping the market's future.

It's also worth noting that Zillow's national forecast is not a prediction of a widespread housing market crash. A 1.7% decline is a correction, not a collapse.

Final Thoughts: Staying Informed and Making Smart Choices

The housing markets predicted to decline in double digits by March 2026 may create both challenges and opportunities. Whether you're a homeowner or a potential buyer, the key is to stay informed, do your research, and make smart choices based on your individual circumstances and local market conditions. Don't let fear or greed dictate your decisions. Instead, rely on data, expert advice, and a long-term perspective.

Remember, the real estate market is constantly evolving. What's true today might not be true tomorrow. So, keep learning, keep adapting, and keep an eye on the horizon.

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California Housing Market Correction: Prices Expected to Drop in 30 Cities

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

31 Major Cities in California Where Home Prices are Predicted to Fall by 2026

Thinking about the California housing market often brings images of ever-climbing prices and fierce bidding wars. But what if I told you the tide might be turning for some areas? Based on recent Zillow forecasts, it looks like 31 major cities in california where home prices are predicted to fall by April 2026.

Yes, you read that right – a potential cooling off in a state famous for its red-hot property values. This isn't just a wild guess; it's based on data trends pointing towards a shift in the coming year or two. So, let's dive into what this could mean for you, whether you're a homeowner, a hopeful buyer, or just keeping an eye on the market.

California Housing Market Correction: Prices Expected to Drop in Over 30 Cities

The Bigger Picture: What's Happening Nationally?

Before we zoom into California, it's helpful to understand the national mood. Zillow's latest crystal ball gazing suggests a couple of interesting things for the U.S. housing market overall. They're predicting that existing home sales will actually increase a bit in 2025, but home values are likely to fall by 1.4% this year (that's 2025). This is a slight adjustment from an earlier prediction of a 1.9% decrease, so things are a tad less gloomy than previously thought, but still pointing downwards for prices.

Why the potential dip? A big reason is rising inventory. We're seeing more homes for sale, partly because sales have been a bit soft this spring. When buyers have more choices, sellers can't always call all the shots on price. It gives buyers a bit more breathing room and time to make decisions.

Now, buyers haven't exactly been rushing out in droves like they typically do in the spring. There's been some hesitation, likely due to economic uncertainty. We've all felt it, right? Wondering about inflation, interest rates, and the general direction of things. The good news is, Zillow thinks this uncertainty might have peaked.

So, for 2025, they're looking at existing home sales hitting around 4.12 million. That would be a 1.4% bump from 2024. It's a little less than they thought last month, but still an increase. What's propping this up?

  • More houses on the market (supply)
  • Policy uncertainty (like what the Fed might do with rates) hopefully calming down
  • Small improvements in housing affordability

It seems like a mixed bag: more sales, but potentially lower prices. It's a market in transition, that's for sure.

California's Cooling Spell: Which Markets Are Facing a Dip?

Now, let's bring it home to California. The Golden State often marches to the beat of its own drum, but it's not immune to these broader trends. In fact, given how high prices have soared here, it makes sense that some areas might be more sensitive to shifts in affordability and buyer sentiment.

I've been watching California real estate for years, and one thing I've learned is that what goes up very, very fast can sometimes take a breather. This isn't necessarily a crash, but more of a market correction or normalization. Based on Zillow's data, here are the 31 metro areas in California, and their projected percentage price decline by April 2026, starting from a baseline of April 30, 2025:

Region Name Expected Price Decline by April 2026 (%) My Quick Thoughts
Ukiah, CA -7.6% Smaller inland market, might be more sensitive to economic shifts. Big run-up, now a correction?
Eureka, CA -6.3% Coastal, but more remote. Similar dynamics to Ukiah perhaps.
San Francisco, CA -5.2% The tech hub has seen affordability stretched to its limits. Remote work impacts still settling.
Clearlake, CA -4.9% Often an affordability play relative to pricier Bay Area spots.
Santa Rosa, CA -4.8% Wine country, popular, but also got very expensive.
Chico, CA -4.5% University town, saw growth as people sought affordability.
Napa, CA -4.1% Luxury market, but even high-end can feel the pinch.
San Jose, CA -3.8% Silicon Valley's core. Similar to SF, affordability is a huge factor.
Vallejo, CA -3.7% Another Bay Area market that offered relative affordability, now seeing a pullback.
Red Bluff, CA -3.7% Northern California, smaller market.
Sonora, CA -3.7% Sierra foothills, popular for escape, but prices rose significantly.
Susanville, CA -3.7% Remote northeastern California.
Truckee, CA -3.6% Mountain resort town, boomed with remote work. Now some cooling?
Sacramento, CA -3.0% Became a hotspot for Bay Area émigrés. That wave might be slowing.
Crescent City, CA -2.8% Far north coast, smaller economy.
Santa Cruz, CA -2.7% Beautiful, but very expensive. A slight correction isn't shocking.
Stockton, CA -2.6% Central Valley, affordability draw.
Redding, CA -2.3% Northern CA, another area that saw inflow.
Yuba City, CA -2.2% Near Sacramento, likely influenced by similar trends.
Salinas, CA -1.6% Agricultural hub, “Salad Bowl of the World.”
Oxnard, CA -1.4% Coastal, but generally more affordable than LA or Santa Barbara.
Modesto, CA -1.3% Central Valley, another affordability-driven market.
San Luis Obispo, CA -1.3% “Happiest City in America,” but happiness comes at a price.
Los Angeles, CA -1.2% Massive, diverse market. A slight dip here is still significant in dollar terms for many neighborhoods.
Merced, CA -1.0% Central Valley, near UC Merced.
San Diego, CA -0.7% Always desirable. A smaller dip suggests underlying strength, but not immune.
Fresno, CA -0.6% Major Central Valley city, affordability is key.
Hanford, CA -0.4% Smaller Central Valley community.
El Centro, CA -0.2% Imperial Valley, unique border economy.
Riverside, CA -0.1% Inland Empire, a major recipient of coastal out-migration. Almost flat, showing some stability.
Madera, CA -0.1% Central Valley, very slight dip.

Data Source: Zillow, forecast as of April 30, 2025, for declines by April 30, 2026.

Looking at this list, a few things jump out at me.

  • Northern California Dominance: Many of the areas with the steepest projected declines, like Ukiah, Eureka, and San Francisco, are in the northern part of the state. San Francisco and San Jose, despite being major economic engines, are on this list. This tells me that even in robust job markets, the sheer cost of housing has hit a ceiling for many. The work-from-home shift might also still be playing out, with some people realizing they don't need to be in the most expensive epicenters.
  • Varying Degrees of Impact: Notice the range. Ukiah is looking at a potential 7.6% drop, while Riverside and Madera are almost flat. This highlights that real estate is incredibly local. What happens in one part of California can be very different from another.
  • Major Metros Aren't Immune: Seeing Los Angeles (-1.2%) and San Diego (-0.7%) on the list, even with smaller declines, is noteworthy. These are huge, desirable markets. It suggests a broader cooling trend. For me, this isn't panic time; it's more of a “market taking a breath” moment.
  • Affordability Havens Adjusting: Places like Sacramento (-3.0%) and many Central Valley cities saw significant price jumps as people fled coastal prices. It's natural for these markets to see some recalibration as that frenzy subsides.

What's Causing This Shift in California?

From my perspective, several ingredients are mixing together to create this potential cooldown:

  1. Affordability, Affordability, Affordability: I can't say this enough. California home prices, coupled with mortgage rates that are much higher than a few years ago, have simply pushed many buyers to their limits, or out of the market altogether. When fewer people can afford to buy, demand softens, and prices can follow.
  2. Increased Inventory: As Zillow noted nationally, more homes are coming on the market. In California, I'm seeing sellers who might have held off finally deciding to list, perhaps realizing the peak frenzy is over. This gives buyers more choice and less pressure to bid up prices.
  3. Economic Winds: While the California economy has many strengths, particularly in tech and entertainment, any whiff of broader economic slowdown or uncertainty in specific sectors (like tech layoffs we saw) can make people cautious about making huge financial commitments like buying a home.
  4. The “Normalization” Factor: The past few years were, frankly, a bit wild in real estate. The super-low interest rates and pandemic-driven housing shuffle created an unusually hot market. What we might be seeing now is a return to more typical market behavior. A 3-7% decline in some of these markets after years of double-digit gains isn't a catastrophe; it's a correction.

So, What Does This Mean for You?

This is where the rubber meets the road. How does this forecast affect your plans?

If You're a Potential Buyer:

  • Opportunity Knocks (Softly): This could be good news! A price decline, even a modest one, combined with more homes to choose from, can ease some of the pressure. You might have more room to negotiate.
  • Don't Expect Fire Sales: A 5% dip in San Francisco is still a very expensive house. This isn't 2008 all over again. Lending standards are tighter, and we don't have the same level of distressed properties.
  • Mortgage Rates Still Matter: A price drop can be easily offset by high interest rates. Keep a close eye on rates and factor them heavily into your budget. My advice? Get pre-approved so you know exactly what you can afford.
  • Focus on the Long Haul: Trying to perfectly “time the market” is a bit of a fool's errand. If you find a home you love, in a neighborhood you like, and it fits your long-term financial plan, that's often more important than squeezing out an extra percentage point on the price.

If You're a Potential Seller:

  • Adjust Expectations: You might not get the peak-2022 price you were dreaming of. Be realistic about current market conditions in your specific neighborhood.
  • Price It Right: In a softening market, an overpriced home will just sit. Work with a good local agent to price your home competitively from the start. Chasing the market down with price reductions is no fun.
  • Presentation Matters More Than Ever: With more competition, your home needs to shine. Invest in staging, good photos, and address any needed repairs.
  • Patience May Be Needed: Homes might take a bit longer to sell than they did a year or two ago.

What About Rents?

Here's an interesting wrinkle from Zillow's forecast: while home values might dip, they expect rents to keep climbing. They project single-family rents to rise by 3.2% in 2025, and multifamily (apartment) rents to go up by 2.1%.

This makes sense to me. If buying remains challenging due to affordability, more people will stay in the rental market, particularly for single-family homes which offer more space. This sustained demand, even with some increase in rental listings, will likely keep upward pressure on rents. It's a reminder that the housing market has many interconnected parts.

My Personal Take: This is a Recalibration, Not a Rout

Having weathered a few California real estate cycles, I see this forecast not as a cause for alarm, but as a sign of the market seeking a new equilibrium. California's fundamental appeal – its economy, climate, and lifestyle – remains strong. There's also a chronic undersupply of housing that isn't going away overnight.

These projected declines, for the most part, are relatively modest when you consider the huge run-up in prices over the last decade. For many markets, it's a shaving off of some of the recent, more frenzied gains.

A Few Caveats to Keep in Mind:

  • Forecasts are Educated Guesses: Zillow has great data, but the future is never certain. Economic conditions, interest rate policies, or even unforeseen events can change the trajectory.
  • Hyper-Local is Key: Remember that “San Francisco MSA” or “Los Angeles MSA” covers a vast area. Conditions can vary significantly from one neighborhood to the next, even one street to the next.
  • This Isn't 2008: It's important to repeat this. The underlying conditions are different. We don't have the same risky lending practices or the sheer volume of foreclosures that fueled the last major downturn.

So, if you're in California, or looking to be, the news that 31 California housing markets are expected to see price decline by April 2026 is definitely something to pay attention to. It signals a shift towards a market that might offer a little more balance, a bit more breathing room for buyers, and a call for realistic expectations from sellers.

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3 Big US Cities on the Brink of a Housing Bubble: Crash Alert

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

3 Big Cities Facing High Housing Bubble Risk: Crash Alert?

Are some US cities about to pop? 3 US Cities on the Brink of a Housing Bubble are a real concern, and we're going to dive deep into which ones might be in trouble. According to the UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index, the overall risk of housing bubbles is down, but some cities are still flashing warning signs. Let's take a closer look.

Are Housing Bubbles a Real Threat?

The UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index recently pointed out some potential issues. While overall global bubble risk has lessened, certain cities remain high on the danger list. What's a housing bubble, you ask? Simply put, it’s when house prices rise way faster than what's actually sustainable. This often leads to a rapid and painful correction—a housing market crash. Think of it like a balloon blown up too big; eventually, it pops.

The index looks at things like price-to-income ratios (how much a house costs compared to how much people earn), rental growth, and mortgage rates. They don't just pull numbers out of thin air; they gather data from reliable sources all over the globe.

Several cities worldwide are showing warning signs, and a few in the US are showing some concerning signs. We're going to focus on three key areas. But first, let’s look at the big picture.

Understanding the Current Housing Market

The overall US housing market has experienced some serious changes lately. Interest rates have been fluctuating, impacting affordability. While rising interest rates typically cool down a hot market, other factors are playing a significant role. The key factors to consider are:

  • Affordability: It's becoming seriously tough for many people to afford a home. Mortgage payments are a bigger chunk of people's income than during the 2006-2007 housing bubble, even if home prices aren't as high as they were back then.
  • Supply and Demand: The supply of available homes is still seriously low in many areas. This limited supply fuels demand, keeping prices high despite other economic pressures. This shortage is a major factor, even with slower sales.
  • Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates are a major driver of the market. Lower interest rates make it easier and cheaper to borrow money for a mortgage, increasing demand. Higher rates do the opposite.

The good news is that in many places, the fierce competition for homes seems to be easing. This means prices aren't skyrocketing as fast as they once were.

3 Big US Cities on the Brink of a Housing Bubble?

Now, let’s pinpoint three US cities that are showing some worryingly high signs of a potential future problem:

1. Miami: The Luxury Market's Risky Bet

Miami is a stunning city, attracting a lot of international attention. But its luxury housing market is expanding at a rapid rate. The UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index consistently ranks Miami as having high bubble risk. Real housing prices increased by almost 50% in real terms since the end of 2019. Even with recent slowdowns elsewhere, Miami shows no signs of slowing down.

While the luxury market driving much of Miami's growth is not the same as the market for average homes, it's still a key indicator. The increased investor activity and the constant stream of affluent people looking for a second or third home have driven prices exceptionally high. It's a city where affordability is already a significant problem, and if the market corrects significantly, it could cause a ripple effect.

Miami's Housing Market: Key Factors

  • High-End Demand: A huge factor is the persistent influx of wealthy buyers, many from international markets, fueling demand for luxury properties.
  • Limited Supply: There's not enough inventory of available homes to meet this high demand, further escalating prices.
  • Speculative Buying: There is significant concern that some purchases are driven by speculation, which creates vulnerability if the market cools.

2. Boston: A Historically Strong Market Faces Challenges

Boston is known for its strong economy and historical significance. Yet, housing prices in Boston are significantly above the national average. While the local economy has faced some recent difficulties, it has historically shown exceptional strength, but even it is not immune to market pressure. The housing market in Boston shows concerning signs of a potential bubble, especially in specific neighborhoods.

Boston's Housing Market: Key Factors

  • High Price-to-Income Ratio: The cost of housing compared to residents' incomes is extremely high, making it challenging for many to afford a home.
  • Strong Economic History (But Recent Slowdown): While Boston typically has a robust economy, recent slower growth could negatively impact housing demand, potentially causing prices to fall.
  • Limited Housing Supply: The persistent lack of available homes continues to constrain the market.

3. Los Angeles: A Divided Market

Los Angeles is incredibly diverse, with various housing markets within its boundaries. The luxury market is robust, but more affordable areas reflect a very different picture. While the city has experienced challenges like population decline in certain areas, other parts of the city are booming. This makes forecasting exceptionally complex.

Los Angeles's Housing Market: Key Factors

  • Uneven Growth: The housing market is extremely fragmented, with luxury markets doing better than more affordable areas. This makes it hard to make broad statements about the whole city.
  • Declining Population in Some Areas: This has led to a decrease in demand and pressure on prices in certain neighborhoods, while other areas still show strong growth.
  • High Cost of Living: The overall high cost of living in LA puts downward pressure on the overall housing market in general.

What Does the Future Hold?

Predicting the future of the housing market is tricky. However, it’s clear these three cities are facing significant affordability challenges. The continuing increase in interest rates and the overall weakening economy could significantly impact housing prices.

My Personal Opinion

My Opinion on the Housing Bubble

I've spent years studying housing markets, and my gut tells me we are not facing a repeat of 2008. That crisis had many unique factors, including widespread subprime mortgages, that aren't as prevalent today. However, the current affordability issues are serious and could lead to significant price corrections in these cities, if not a full-blown housing bubble burst. It is essential to stay informed and monitor the situation closely.

While a significant crash like 2008 may not happen, a substantial correction in some of these cities is certainly a realistic possibility.

Conclusion:

So, are we staring down the barrel of a major housing market crash in these three US cities? It's a complicated question, but the risks are certainly high in some areas within these three cities. While I don't believe we are facing a crisis as widespread as 2008, it is likely that a market correction is ahead, particularly in Miami. Paying close attention to changes in interest rates, affordability, and supply is crucial for navigating the US housing market.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Bubble, Housing Market, housing market crash, Real Estate Market

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now in June 2025?

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now in June 2025 or Wait?

Thinking about your mortgage can feel like trying to predict the weather – a little bit science, a little bit guesswork. If you're like me, you're always looking for ways to save money and make your financial life a bit easier. That's why the question of whether to refinance your mortgage in June 2025 or wait is such a big one for many homeowners.

And here's the short answer right up front: for many homeowners with significantly higher interest rates right now, refinancing in June 2025 could be a smart move, offering immediate savings and potentially more financial flexibility. However, it’s not a decision to jump into without careful thought. Let's dig deeper into what's going on with mortgage rates, what the experts are saying, and how to figure out what's best for you.

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage in June 2025?

Understanding Where Mortgage Rates Stand in June 2025

As we look at the mortgage market in early June 2025, the numbers tell an interesting story. According to sources like Freddie Mac, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is hovering around 6.85% to 6.97%. Other financial news outlets, such as Bankrate and Investopedia, are reporting similar figures.

To put this into perspective, we've seen quite a bit of movement in mortgage rates recently. Remember back in late 2023 when rates peaked above 8%? The current rates are definitely better than that. And while they aren't the rock-bottom rates we saw in late 2024 (around 5.89%), they still present a potential opportunity for savings for many.

Here’s a quick look at some of the average rates you might be seeing:

  • 30-Year Fixed: 6.85% – 6.97%
  • 15-Year Fixed: 5.90% – 6.16%
  • 5/1 ARM: Around 6.17%

My take: If you're currently locked into a mortgage rate that's significantly higher than these averages – say, north of 7% – then the potential for a lower monthly payment and significant long-term interest savings by refinancing now is definitely worth exploring.

What the Future Might Hold: Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Rest of 2025

Trying to predict the future is always tricky, especially when it comes to something as influenced by so many factors as mortgage rates. We’re talking about inflation, the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates, the overall health of the economy, and even global events.

However, some experts are willing to put their predictions out there. For instance:

  • Fannie Mae is projecting that 30-year fixed rates could end 2025 around 6.1%.
  • The National Association of Realtors anticipates an average of 6.4% for 2025, with a further dip to 6.1% by 2026.
  • Realtor.com is also forecasting an average of 6.3% in 2025, with a slight decrease to 6.2% by the end of the year.

On the other hand, some analysts at places like HousingWire caution that if inflation remains stubborn or if new economic policies drive up costs, we could even see rates stay elevated or potentially climb back above 7%.

Important Factors Influencing These Predictions:

  • Inflation: If prices keep rising, the Federal Reserve might be hesitant to lower interest rates, which could keep mortgage rates higher.
  • Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed's decision in May 2025 to keep the federal funds rate steady suggests a cautious approach. Any future rate cuts (some anticipate them in July or later, according to Forbes Advisor) could lead to lower mortgage rates.
  • Economic Growth: A strong economy can sometimes put upward pressure on interest rates, while a slowing economy might lead to lower rates as a way to stimulate borrowing.

My perspective: While the forecasts generally lean towards slightly lower rates in the second half of 2025, there's no guarantee. Waiting for a potential dip comes with the risk that rates might not fall as much as predicted, or they could even go up. It's a bit of a gamble.

Key Questions to Ask Yourself Before Refinancing

Deciding whether to refinance now or wait isn't just about looking at the current and predicted rates. It's deeply personal and depends on your unique financial situation and goals. Here are some crucial questions I always advise people to consider:

  1. How Does My Current Mortgage Rate Compare?This is the most obvious starting point. If your existing interest rate is significantly higher than the current average (say, a full percentage point or more), the potential for savings is substantial.
    • Example: Let's say you have a $300,000 mortgage with a 7% interest rate (30-year term). Your monthly payment is roughly $1,995.80. Refinancing to a 6.85% rate would bring that down to around $1,965.75, saving you about $30 per month. If you could snag a 6.5% rate, your payment would be closer to $1,929.68, saving you over $66 each month.

    My advice: Don't underestimate even a seemingly small rate reduction. Over the life of a 30-year loan, even a quarter of a percent can add up to significant savings.

  2. What Will the Closing Costs Be, and What's My Break-Even Point?Refinancing isn't free. You'll encounter closing costs, which can typically range from 2% to 6% of your total loan amount, according to The Mortgage Reports. For a $300,000 loan, that could be anywhere from $6,000 to $18,000. These costs cover things like:
    • Appraisal fees
    • Title insurance
    • Lender origination fees

    To figure out if refinancing makes financial sense for you, you need to calculate your break-even point. This is the amount of time it will take for your monthly savings to offset the upfront closing costs.

    • Formula: Total Closing Costs ÷ Monthly Savings = Break-Even Point (in months)
    • Scenario 1 Revisited: If your closing costs are $9,000 and you save $30.05 per month (going from 7% to 6.85%), your break-even point is about 300 months, or 25 years. For most people, that's too long to wait to recoup the costs.
    • Scenario 2 Revisited: If your closing costs are $6,000 and you save $66.12 per month (going from 7% to 6.5%), your break-even point is roughly 91 months, or about 7.6 years. If you plan to stay in your home longer than that, refinancing could be a good move.

    My experience: I always tell people to get a detailed breakdown of all closing costs upfront and to do this calculation honestly based on how long they realistically plan to stay in the home.

  3. How Long Do I Plan to Stay in My Home?As the break-even analysis shows, your timeline is crucial. If you're planning to move in a year or two, the upfront costs of refinancing might outweigh any potential savings from a lower interest rate. Refinancing is generally most beneficial for homeowners who plan to stay in their homes for several years past the break-even point.
  4. What's My Credit Score and How Much Home Equity Do I Have?
    • Credit Score: A higher credit score typically means you'll qualify for better interest rates. Lenders generally reserve their best offers for borrowers with scores above 740.
    • Home Equity: Having at least 20% equity in your home is usually needed to avoid paying private mortgage insurance (PMI) if you have a conventional loan. If you're currently paying PMI, refinancing could be an opportunity to eliminate it if your home's value has increased or you've paid down enough of your mortgage, according to Freddie Mac. This can add significantly to your monthly savings.
  5. Are There Other Financial Goals I Could Achieve Through Refinancing?Sometimes, refinancing isn't just about getting a lower interest rate. It can be a tool to achieve other financial goals:
    • Switching from an ARM to a Fixed-Rate Mortgage: If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), refinancing to a fixed-rate loan can provide more predictable monthly payments and protect you from potential interest rate increases down the road.
    • Debt Consolidation (Cash-Out Refinance): You could potentially refinance for a larger loan amount than what you currently owe and use the extra cash to pay off high-interest debt, like credit cards or personal loans. However, this increases your mortgage balance and the total interest you'll pay over the life of the loan, so weigh this carefully.
    • Shortening Your Loan Term: Refinancing from a 30-year mortgage to a 15-year mortgage means you'll pay off your loan faster and pay less interest overall. However, your monthly payments will be higher.
  6. How Stable Are My Personal Finances?Refinancing requires going through the mortgage application process again. Lenders will want to see that you have a stable income, manageable debt, and a good credit history. Make sure your financial house is in order before you apply.

When Refinancing in June 2025 Might Be a Good Idea for You

Based on the current situation and the factors we've discussed, refinancing your mortgage in June 2025 could be a smart move if:

  • Your current interest rate is noticeably higher than the current average of around 6.85%–6.97%.
  • You plan to stay in your home long enough to recoup the closing costs through your monthly savings.
  • You have sufficient home equity to eliminate PMI or achieve other financial goals like switching to a fixed-rate loan.

When Waiting Might Be the More Prudent Choice

On the other hand, waiting might be a better strategy if:

  • Your current mortgage rate is already close to or even below the current market rates. The savings might be minimal and not worth the cost of refinancing.
  • You genuinely believe and are comfortable with the risk that mortgage rates will drop significantly in the latter half of 2025. However, remember that this is not guaranteed.
  • You are planning to sell your home in the near future. You might not stay long enough to break even on the refinancing costs.

Other Important Things to Keep in Mind

  • Tax Deductibility of Mortgage Interest: Remember that mortgage interest might be tax-deductible if you itemize deductions, but this depends on your individual tax situation. It's always a good idea to consult with a tax professional to understand any potential benefits, as NerdWallet points out.
  • “No-Cost” Refinancing: Be cautious of offers for “no-cost” refinancing. Often, the closing costs are simply rolled into a higher interest rate, which can actually cost you more in the long run. Always scrutinize the terms and compare them to offers with transparent fees. The Mortgage Reports has good resources on this.
  • Market Volatility: Keep in mind that economic conditions can change quickly. Unexpected events could cause mortgage rates to fluctuate unpredictably, making the optimal timing for refinancing a moving target.

Making the Decision That's Right for You

Ultimately, the decision of whether to refinance your mortgage in June 2025 or wait is a personal one. There's no one-size-fits-all answer. I encourage you to:

  • Use an online mortgage calculator (there are many free ones available) to estimate potential monthly payments and savings based on current rates.
  • Get personalized quotes from several different lenders to understand the closing costs involved and the interest rates you qualify for based on your credit score and financial situation.
  • Carefully calculate your break-even point.
  • Think honestly about your long-term financial goals and how refinancing might help you achieve them.
  • Don't hesitate to consult with a trusted mortgage professional who can provide personalized advice based on your specific circumstances.

By taking the time to do your research and carefully consider your options, you can make an informed decision that will put you in the best financial position moving forward.

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Recommended Read:

  • Should I Refinance My Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026?
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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions

Today’s Mortgage Rates – June 8, 2025: Slight Drop But Rates Are Still High for Borrowers

June 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates - June 8, 2025: Slight Drop But Rates Are Still High for Borrowers

As of today, June 8, 2025, mortgage rates for various home loan types show varying trends. The national average for a 30-year fixed mortgage rate slightly declined to 7.03%, marking a decrease from the previous week. The refinance rates have softened overall but still remain higher than many borrowers would prefer. Let’s take a deeper dive into the current mortgage and refinance rates, as well as the broader economic context that influences these figures.

Today’s Mortgage Rates – June 8, 2025: Slight Drop But Rates Are Still High for Borrowers

Key Takeaways

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates: 7.03%, down from 7.04% last week.
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates: 6.14%, a slight decrease from 6.16%.
  • 5-Year ARM Rates: Dropped to 7.74%, down from 7.83%.
  • Average Refinance Rate for 30-Year Fixed: Currently 7.25%, down from 7.28%.

Current Mortgage Rates Overview

Changing mortgage rates can have significant implications for homebuyers and the housing market as a whole. According to Zillow, here are the current rates for the most common loan types:

Loan Type Current Rate 1 Week Change APR 1 Week Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 7.03% +0.02% 7.49% +0.02%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.92% -0.06% 7.32% -0.07%
15-Year Fixed Rate 6.14% +0.07% 6.45% +0.08%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.97% -0.10% 6.05% -0.42%
7-Year ARM 8.41% +0.86% 8.75% +0.83%
5-Year ARM 7.74% +0.19% 8.05% +0.09%

National mortgage rates updated on June 8, 2025, sourced from Zillow.

This data reflects the trends over the last week, with the most significant changes being a slight drop in some fixed-rate options and an increase in others like the 7-year ARM. For many homebuyers, understanding these nuances can make a substantial difference in their long-term financial commitments.

Government and Jumbo Loan Rates

For those looking into government-backed loans and jumbo loans, the rates are recalibrated, as shown below:

Government Loan Rates

Loan Type Current Rate 1 Week Change APR 1 Week Change
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 7.20% +0.32% 8.23% +0.32%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.56% +0.08% 6.78% +0.09%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.97% +0.40% 6.94% +0.37%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.08% +0.06% 6.44% +0.07%

Jumbo Loan Rates

Loan Type Current Rate 1 Week Change APR 1 Week Change
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.61% +0.08% 8.00% +0.06%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.35% +0.81% 7.61% +0.80%
7-Year ARM Jumbo 7.53% -0.17% 8.06% +0.07%
5-Year ARM Jumbo 7.41% -0.84% 7.92% -0.49%

Sourced from Zillow.

The State of Refinance Rates

For homeowners looking to refinance, understanding the current rates is crucial. Here’s the current status of refinance rates as of June 8, 2025:

Loan Type Current Rate 1 Week Change APR 1 Week Change
30-Year Fixed Refinance 7.25% -0.03% 7.49% +0.02%
20-Year Fixed Refinance 6.92% -0.06% 7.32% -0.07%
15-Year Fixed Refinance 6.20% 0.00% 6.44% +0.08%
10-Year Fixed Refinance 5.97% -0.10% 6.05% -0.42%
5-Year ARM Refinance 8.06% +0.05% 8.05% +0.09%

Refinancing remains an attractive option for many homeowners looking to save money or consolidate debt. However, potential refinancers must weigh the benefits of lower rates against closing costs and any potential changes in loan terms.

Understanding Mortgage Rates

To determine the best mortgage for your situation, it’s essential to differentiate between fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs).

Fixed-Rate Mortgages

Fixed-rate mortgages offer stability and predictability in payments over the life of the loan. The most popular option is the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. With this type of loan, borrowers benefit from knowing that their interest rate and monthly payments will remain consistent throughout the life of the loan. This predictability can be advantageous, especially in a rising interest rate environment.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs)

In contrast, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) start with a lower rate but can fluctuate based on market conditions. For instance, a 5-year ARM offers lower initial payments for the first five years, after which the rate can adjust annually. This can be a good option for borrowers who anticipate moving or refinancing within a short time frame. However, the risk lies in potentially higher payments if rates increase substantially after the initial period.

In choosing between a fixed-rate mortgage and an ARM, borrowers should consider their future plans and risk tolerance. If stability is a priority, fixing rates might be the way to go. Conversely, those willing to accept some risk might benefit from lower introductory rates associated with ARMs.

Factors Influencing Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates

Several factors can influence mortgage rates, including:

  1. Economic Conditions: General economic health plays a huge role. For example, higher inflation can lead to increased interest rates as lenders seek to maintain profit margins. The labor market's strength, consumer spending, and growth forecasts are all indicators that can affect rates.
  2. Federal Reserve Policy: Actions taken by the Federal Reserve, such as adjusting the federal funds rate or purchasing government-backed securities, can impact mortgage rates. Recently, the Fed’s focus has been on combating inflation, which might lead to higher long-term borrowing costs.
  3. Market Competition: The mortgage market is competitive, and lenders regularly adjust their rates. Keeping an eye on current trends can lead to finding attractive offerings. Utilizing online mortgage comparison tools can also provide an overview of the best rates available in the market.
  4. Personal Financial Factors: A borrower’s credit score, debt-to-income ratio, and even employment stability can greatly influence the mortgage rates they are offered. Higher credit scores typically qualify for lower rates, while higher debt-to-income ratios may result in higher rates or even denied applications.
  5. Housing Market Dynamics: Supply and demand in the housing market itself can affect mortgage rates as well. A hot housing market may lead to increased loan demand, thus driving rates higher. In contrast, a buyer’s market might lead to lower rates as lenders compete for business.

Read More:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of June 7, 2025

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in June 2025: Expert Forecast

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

What Lies Ahead for Mortgage Rates in 2025?

Forecasting mortgage rates can be tricky, but there are insights based on recent data. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, rates are expected to hover around 6.6% by the end of 2025, signaling relative stability in the market after fluctuations experienced over the past few years. Economic growth, coupled with changing demographic preferences and homebuyer behavior, suggests that even with a few expected drops, rates will remain relatively high compared to historical lows seen in the past decade.

Forecasting Highlights:

  • National Association of REALTORS® predicts a +6% increase in existing home sales for 2025, indicating a rebound in buyer interest.
  • Fannie Mae revised its forecast for mortgage rates, projecting them to end at 6.1% in 2025, slightly dropping from earlier estimates.

With anticipated steady growth in the housing market, first-time buyers and refinance seekers may find favorable conditions, but they should remain aware of potential market headwinds.

The Psychological Aspect of Borrowing

It’s also essential to consider the psychological factors at play when borrowing. Homeownership is often regarded as a vital part of the American Dream. As such, interest rates and market trends can heavily influence consumer sentiment and behavior. If rates are perceived to be on the rise, potential homebuyers may rush to secure loans, further driving demand and potentially pushing prices higher. Conversely, if rates are stable or declining, it often leads to increased confidence among buyers, stimulating more activity in the market.

Closing Remarks

If you’re planning to buy or refinance, today’s mortgage rates showcase both some opportunities and challenges. It’s important to compare rates and products and keep abreast of foreseen changes in the market. Every percentage can make a difference when considering long-term payments. Therefore, staying informed and proactive can be beneficial in maximizing your financial outcomes.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

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Also Read:

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  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Mortgage Rates Rise Back to 7% Once Again in June 2025

June 7, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Rise Back to 7% Once Again in June 2025

Well, here we are again. As of June 7, 2025, the national average for a 30-year fixed mortgage rate has climbed to 7.04%. This news likely brings a wave of concern for anyone looking to buy a home or refinance their existing mortgage. I know I felt a jolt when I saw the latest figures from Zillow.

It feels like just yesterday we were talking about rates hovering a bit lower, and now, here we are with that familiar 7% mark looming large. So, what exactly is going on, and more importantly, what does this mean for you and the housing market? Let's dive in and really break this down.

Mortgage Rates Rise Back to 7% Once Again in June 2025

Understanding the Current Spike

According to the data from Zillow, this latest increase is a continuation of a trend we've been watching. The national average for the 30-year fixed mortgage edged up by 2 basis points from 7.02% the previous day, and it's up 3 basis points from the 7.01% average just a week prior. It's not just the 30-year fixed either. The 15-year fixed rate has also seen an increase, jumping to 6.15%, up from 6.12%. Interestingly, the 5-year ARM saw a slight dip to 7.78%.

The report also points to a key driver behind this upward pressure: the bond market. A robust jobs report on Friday gave a boost to the stock market, but it also caused bond market yields to rise. Specifically, the 10-year Treasury yield, which is often a good indicator of where mortgage rates are heading, saw a significant increase of over 2.5% on Friday alone. As I've learned over the years, when these Treasury yields go up, mortgage rates often follow suit. It looks like that trend is holding true this week.

Breaking Down the Different Loan Types

It's important to remember that not all mortgage rates are created equal. Here's a closer look at how different loan types are currently trending, based on the latest data:

Conforming Loans:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 7.04% up 0.03% 7.52% up 0.05%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.83% down 0.14% 7.35% down 0.04%
15-Year Fixed Rate 6.15% up 0.09% 6.47% up 0.11%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.97% down 0.10% 6.05% down 0.42%
7-year ARM 7.56% up 0.01% 8.07% up 0.15%
5-year ARM 7.78% up 0.24% 8.08% up 0.12%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%

Government Loans:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 7.75% up 0.88% 8.80% up 0.89%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.56% up 0.09% 6.76% up 0.07%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.99% up 0.42% 6.96% up 0.40%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.16% up 0.14% 6.47% up 0.10%

Jumbo Loans:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.53% 0.00% 7.81% down 0.14%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.25% up 0.71% 7.38% up 0.57%
7-year ARM Jumbo 7.53% down 0.17% 8.06% up 0.07%
5-year ARM Jumbo 7.93% down 0.32% 8.16% down 0.25%
3-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

As you can see, the increases aren't uniform across all loan types. Notably, FHA loans have seen a more significant jump in their 30-year fixed rate. This could disproportionately affect first-time homebuyers or those with lower credit scores who often rely on these types of loans.

Refinancing in This Environment

If you're a homeowner with an existing mortgage, you're likely wondering if refinancing makes sense with these higher rates. Let's take a look at the current refinance rates:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 7.31% up 0.05% 7.52% up 0.05%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.83% down 0.14% 7.35% down 0.04%
15-Year Fixed Rate 6.22% up 0.10% 6.47% up 0.11%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.97% down 0.10% 6.05% down 0.42%
7-year ARM 7.56% up 0.01% 8.07% up 0.15%
5-year ARM 8.06% up 0.02% 8.08% up 0.12%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.71% down 0.03% 7.73% down 0.02%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.47% down 0.02% 6.67% 0.00%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.06% up 0.23% 7.03% up 0.22%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.92% down 0.02% 6.24% up 0.02%
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 8.19% up 0.25% 8.76% up 0.43%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 5.93% down 0.67% 6.16% down 0.61%
7-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%
5-year ARM Jumbo 9.19% up 0.50% 8.88% up 0.31%
3-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

Interestingly, some refinance rates, particularly for certain government and jumbo loans, have seen slight decreases. However, for the most common 30-year fixed refinance, rates have also risen to 7.31%. Generally speaking, refinancing only makes sense if you can secure a significantly lower interest rate than what you currently have, or if you're looking to change your loan term. With rates on the rise, the window for advantageous refinancing is likely narrowing for many.

Looking Ahead: What the Experts Predict

So, where do we go from here? It's always helpful to look at what the experts are predicting, though it's crucial to remember that these are just forecasts and the actual market can always surprise us.

  • National Association of REALTORS®: Their forecast suggests that mortgage rates will average 6.4% in 2025 and then dip slightly to 6.1% in 2026. They also anticipate increases in both existing and new home sales.
  • Fannie Mae: Their outlook is similar, predicting mortgage rates to end 2025 at 6.1% and 2026 at 5.8%, a slight decrease from their previous forecast. They've also revised their home sales outlook for 2025 upwards.
  • Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): The MBA expects 30-year rates to remain near 6.7% through September 2025 and then end the year around 6.6%. This suggests they don't foresee any major drops in the immediate future.
  • Freddie Mac: They highlight that the prevailing sentiment in early 2025 is that rates will likely stay higher for longer than initially anticipated. They believe this might prompt some buyers and sellers who were waiting for lower rates to make a move sooner, potentially increasing home sales compared to the previous year, even if rates don't significantly decline. They also anticipate a moderation in house price appreciation but still with a positive trend.

Read More:

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in June 2025: Expert Forecast

Mortgage Rate Forecast 2025: When Will Rates Go Below 6%?

My Take on the Situation

Having followed the housing market for quite some time now, my personal feeling is that we're in a period of continued uncertainty. While some forecasts predict a gradual easing of rates, the recent climb back to 7% serves as a stark reminder that the factors influencing mortgage rates are complex and can shift quickly. The strength of the job market, inflation data, and the Federal Reserve's actions will all play a significant role in where rates ultimately head.

I agree with Freddie Mac's assessment that the anticipation of rates staying higher might actually spur some activity in the market. People who have been on the fence might decide that waiting for a significant drop is no longer a viable strategy and instead opt to move forward with their home buying or selling plans. This could lead to a more robust market than some might expect, even with these elevated rates.

However, it's also important to acknowledge the impact these rates have on affordability. A 7% mortgage means higher monthly payments, which can be a significant barrier for many potential homebuyers, especially first-timers. This could lead to some cooling in demand, particularly in more expensive housing markets.

What Should You Do?

If you're currently in the market to buy a home or refinance, here's my advice:

  • Don't Panic, but Be Prepared: Understand that rates are volatile. Work closely with a mortgage professional to explore your options and get pre-approved so you know what you can realistically afford.
  • Shop Around: Interest rates can vary between lenders, so it pays to get quotes from multiple sources. Even a small difference in rate can save you a significant amount over the life of the loan.
  • Consider Your Long-Term Goals: If you're buying a home, think about how long you plan to stay there. An adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) might offer a lower initial rate, but be sure you understand the potential for the rate to increase in the future. For most people seeking stability, a fixed-rate mortgage is still the preferred choice.
  • Refinancing Requires Careful Calculation: Before you decide to refinance, carefully calculate your breakeven point – how long will it take for your savings from a lower monthly payment to offset the closing costs of the refinance? With rates currently around where they are, refinancing might not be advantageous for everyone.
  • Stay Informed: Keep an eye on economic news and market trends. While you shouldn't make rash decisions based on daily fluctuations, understanding the broader factors at play can help you make more informed choices.

The Bottom Line

The return of mortgage rates to the 7% mark in June 2025 is a development that demands attention. While forecasts suggest some potential for rates to ease slightly later in the year and into 2026, the immediate reality is that borrowing costs for aspiring homeowners have increased. Whether you're a buyer, seller, or homeowner considering refinancing, it's crucial to stay informed, understand your options, and make decisions that align with your individual financial situation and long-term goals. This isn't the time to sit on the sidelines; it's the time to be proactive and knowledgeable.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

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Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

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