Is the Arizona Housing Market Affordable?
The quest for homeownership, a cornerstone of the American Dream, is proving to be a daunting challenge for millennials in Arizona. The state's housing crisis has escalated to a point where the gap between the supply of affordable homes and the burgeoning demand is causing significant distress among young adults striving to plant roots.
The roots of this crisis can be traced back to the Great Recession, which led to a severe downturn in the housing market and a subsequent slowdown in home construction. From 2011 to 2020, the Phoenix metro area saw the construction of only around 240,000 new housing units, despite the state attracting over 268,000 new residents from other parts of the U.S. between 2016 and 2020. This mismatch between housing availability and population growth has been the bedrock of the current predicament.
Adding fuel to the fire, the COVID-19 pandemic brought about an economic maelstrom that saw home prices in Phoenix skyrocket by 60% from April 2020 to May 2022, with median monthly rents following suit, increasing by 29% from March 2020 to March 2022. Although there was a slight softening of prices in 2023, the cost of living remains prohibitively high for many, exacerbating homelessness and housing insecurity.
The disparity between wage growth and inflation further deepens the crisis. In 2022, wages in the Phoenix area increased by a mere 5%, while the cost of essential goods rose by 8.5%, making housing affordability a distant dream for many Arizonans. The situation is aggravated by investors who, in 2021, bought up 31% of all single-family homes sold in Arizona, placing the state second highest in the nation for investor purchases. This trend not only depletes the housing stock but also prices out local residents from starter homes and inflates rents for suburban families.
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Local policies and attitudes towards development have also played a role in the crisis. In the 1980s and 1990s, Arizona faced an anti-growth movement that led to the creation of general plans and more neighborhood involvement, which, while well-intentioned, succeeded in slowing down the pace of development. Today, the state grapples with the consequences of those decisions, as job growth outpaces housing availability.
Solutions to the crisis are multifaceted and require concerted efforts from various stakeholders. The Arizona Department of Housing's Former Director, Tom Simplot, suggests that building more apartments rather than controlling rent is the answer to the shortage of affordable housing units.
Additionally, there is a need for around 270,000 housing units just to meet the current demand. Efforts such as the establishment of a Housing Supply Committee, which works with mayors and city councils to change zoning laws to allow for more affordable housing development, are steps in the right direction.
For millennials in Arizona, the housing crisis is more than a financial hurdle; it's a barrier to achieving a fundamental aspect of the American Dream. As the state and its residents navigate this crisis, it is imperative that innovative solutions and policies are implemented to ensure that the dream of homeownership remains attainable for all.
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Ref:
: https://www.fsl.org/inside-arizonas-housing-crisis-a-deep-dive-into-the-facts/
: https://azpbs.org/horizon/2022/11/how-the-housing-crisis-is-affecting-arizonans/