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Today’s 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Drops Slightly to 7.54% – June 27, 2025

June 27, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Drops Slightly to 7.54% - June 27, 2025

Navigating the world of mortgages can feel like trying to decipher a secret code. Among the various options, the 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) stands out as a unique choice. According to Zillow, as of today, June 27, 2025, the national average 5-year ARM mortgage rate is at 7.54%. This article will help dive deep into the 5-year ARM, its implications, and whether it's the right fit for your financial journey. Let's get started!

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Drops Slightly to 7.54% – June 27, 2025

Understanding the 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM)

An Adjustable Rate Mortgage isn't as scary as it sounds. Essentially, it's a home loan with an interest rate that's fixed for a specific period (in this case, five years) and then adjusts periodically based on market conditions. This is different from a fixed-rate mortgage, where the interest rate remains the same throughout the life of the loan.

How does it work?

The 5-year ARM has two distinct phases:

  • Initial Fixed-Rate Period: For the first five years, your interest rate remains constant. This provides predictability in your monthly mortgage payments during this period.
  • Adjustment Period: After the initial five years, the interest rate adjusts at predetermined intervals (usually annually) based on a benchmark interest rate (like the Prime Rate or the LIBOR, though LIBOR will likely be replaced). The margin (a fixed percentage added to the index) is added to determine the new interest rate.
    • For instance, if the benchmark is 3% and the margin is 2.75%, the adjusted interest will be 5.75%.

The Current Mortgage Rate Environment: June 27, 2025

Before diving deeper into ARMs, let's set the stage with a snapshot of the current mortgage rates on June 27, 2025 (Zillow Data):

Loan Program Rate 1-Week Change APR 1-Week Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.74% Down 0.17% 7.20% Down 0.17%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.74% Down 0.22% 6.04% Down 0.22%
5-Year ARM 7.54% Up 0.34% 7.96% Up 0.17%

It's evident that while fixed-rate mortgages might be trending slightly down, the 5-year ARM has seen a slight increase in the past week. It is extremely important to note the rate, APR and week's change for various mortgage products before making an informed decision.

Advantages of Choosing a 5-Year ARM

Okay, so why would anyone choose an ARM over the stability of a fixed-rate mortgage? Here are some compelling reasons:

  • Lower Initial Interest Rate: Historically, ARMs often start with a lower interest rate compared to fixed-rate mortgages. This translates to lower monthly payments during the initial fixed-rate period.
  • Ideal for Short-Term Homeowners: If you plan to sell or refinance your home within five years, you can capitalize on the lower rate without experiencing any interest rate adjustments (this is the biggest reason for choosing a 5-year ARM).
  • Potential for Lower Rates During the Adjustment Period: If interest rates fall or remain stable during the adjustment period, your mortgage rate could decrease, leading to even lower monthly payments.
  • Suitable for Those Expecting Income Growth: If you anticipate a significant increase in your income in the future, you might be comfortable with the risk of a potential rate increase because you'll be better equipped to handle larger payments.

The Risks and Downsides of a 5-Year ARM

It's crucial to acknowledge the potential pitfalls associated with 5-year ARMs:

  • Interest Rate Risk: The primary risk is the possibility of your interest rate increasing during the adjustment period. If interest rates rise significantly, your monthly payments could become unaffordable.
  • Rate Caps and Floors: Most ARMs have rate caps, limiting how much the interest rate can increase at each adjustment and over the life of the loan. However, even with caps, substantial increases are possible. Floors limit how low the interest rate can go should the market crash.
  • Complexity: ARMs can be more complex to understand than fixed-rate mortgages. You need to consider the index, margin, adjustment frequency, and rate caps and floors.
  • Refinancing Costs: If rates start to rise, you might consider refinancing into a fixed-rate mortgage, but this entails additional costs like appraisal fees, origination fees, and title insurance.
    • “I've seen people gamble on ARMs, hoping rates would stay low, only to be caught off guard when they jumped. It's a risk you have to weigh carefully,” I always advised my clients”.

Who is a 5-Year ARM Right For?

Here's a breakdown of situations where a 5-year ARM might be a smart choice:

  • First-Time Homebuyers with Short-Term Plans: If you're buying your first home as a starter property and plan to upgrade within a few years, a 5-year ARM can offer lower initial payments.
  • Real Estate Investors: Investors who buy, renovate, and flip properties often use ARMs because they typically have a short investment timeline. They are betting on the property value increasing in the short term.
  • Borrowers Expecting Rising Income: As mentioned earlier, if you anticipate a significant increase in income, you may be able to handle potential rate adjustments.
  • Those Comfortable with Risk: If you have a high risk tolerance and believe that interest rates will remain stable or decrease, you might be willing to take a chance on an ARM.

Recommended Read:

5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Update for June 26, 2025?

Fixed vs. Adjustable Rate Mortgage in 2025: Which is Best for You

Who Should Avoid a 5-Year ARM?

Conversely, here are scenarios where a 5-year ARM might not be the best option:

  • Risk-Averse Borrowers: If you value stability and predictability in your mortgage payments, a fixed-rate mortgage is a safer bet. An ARM can cause sleepless nights if rates are volatile.
  • Those Planning to Stay in the Home Long-Term: If you plan to live in the home for more than five years, you'll eventually face interest rate adjustments, which could disrupt your budget.
  • Borrowers with Tight Budgets: If you have a limited budget and can barely afford the initial payments, a potential rate increase could push you into financial distress.
  • Those Unfamiliar with Financial Markets: If you don't understand how interest rates work and are uncomfortable with market fluctuations, it's best to steer clear of ARMs.

Key Factors to Consider When Evaluating a 5-Year ARM

Ready to make a decision? Here are the crucial factors to consider:

  • Interest Rate Caps: Understand the initial rate cap, the periodic rate cap (the maximum increase at each adjustment), and the lifetime rate cap (the maximum the interest rate can rise over the life of the loan).
  • The Index and Margin: Know which index the ARM is tied to (e.g., Prime Rate). The margin is the fixed percentage added to the index to determine the interest rate.
  • Recession: How would a global or country-level recession affect your ability to be able to deal with rising mortgage payments?
  • Adjustment Frequency: Determine how often the interest rate will adjust (e.g., annually, semi-annually).
  • Prepayment Penalties: Check if there are any penalties for paying off the mortgage early or refinancing.
  • Your Financial Situation: Assess your income, credit score, debt-to-income ratio, and overall financial stability.
  • Market Conditions: Research current and projected interest rate trends. Consult with a financial advisor to get expert opinions. However, remember that no one has a crystal ball.

Comparing 5-Year ARMs with Other Mortgage Options

Let's briefly compare the 5-year ARM with other popular mortgage types:

Mortgage Type Interest Rate Payment Stability Best For
5-Year ARM Lower Initial Variable Short-term homeowners, investors, risk-takers
30-Year Fixed Rate Higher Stable Long-term homeowners, risk-averse individuals
15-Year Fixed Rate Moderate Stable Those wanting to pay off their mortgage quickly

Final Thoughts: Is the 5-Year ARM Right for You?

On June 27, 2025, the 5-year ARM presents both opportunities and risks. The rate of 7.54% might be attractive if you're looking for lower initial payments, but it's important to weigh this against the potential for future rate increases.

Ultimately, the decision of whether to choose a 5-year ARM depends on your individual circumstances, financial goals, and risk tolerance. Consider your options carefully, do your research, consult with a mortgage professional (or several!), and make the choice that's best for you. After all, your home is one of the biggest investments for your life, so take calculated risks!

Capitalize on ARM Rates Before They Rise Even Higher

With fluctuating adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), savvy investors are exploring flexible financing options to maximize returns.

Norada offers a curated selection of ready-to-rent properties in top markets, helping you capitalize on current mortgage trends and build long-term wealth.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with an investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Adjustable Rate Mortgage, Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates

U.S. States With Lowest and Highest Mortgage Rates Today – June 27, 2025

June 27, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

U.S. States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – July 1, 2025

Looking to buy a home and snag the best deal on a mortgage? On June 27, 2025, the states with the cheapest 30-year new purchase mortgage rates are New York, Colorado, California, New Jersey, Washington, D.C., Connecticut, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, and Washington, where average rates hover between 6.61% and 6.71%.

On the flip side, the most expensive states for mortgages are West Virginia, Alaska, Iowa, North Dakota, and Nebraska, with rates ranging from 6.84% to 6.92%. Now, let's dive into what's shaping these numbers and how you can navigate this complex mortgage world.

States With Lowest and Highest Mortgage Rates Today – June 27, 2025

Why Do Mortgage Rates Vary So Much by State?

It's a question that pops up every time you start crunching numbers: why isn't there one single mortgage rate for the entire country? Well, the truth is, a lot of factors come into play at the state level.

  • Different Lenders, Different Territories: Not all lenders operate everywhere. Some focus on specific regions, which means less competition (or more) depending on where you're looking.
  • Credit Score Differences: States have different average credit scores. Places where folks tend to have lower credit will naturally see higher rates.
  • Loan Size Matters: The average loan size varies by state, too. In pricier markets (think California or New York), bigger loans might influence the rates offered.
  • State-Level Regulations: Each state has its own set of rules for the mortgage industry. Some regulations might add costs or complexities for lenders, which they pass on in the form of slightly higher rates.
  • Risk Management Strategies: Lenders have their own ways of assessing and managing risk. One lender might view a particular market as riskier than another, and their rates will reflect that.

Think of it like buying gas. Prices fluctuate from state to state, and even from one gas station to another, due to location, taxes, competition, and operational costs. It's the same with mortgages!

The Lowest and Highest State Mortgage Rates: A Closer Look

Here’s a snapshot of the states with the lowest and highest 30-year new purchase mortgage rates as of today, according to Investopedia's analysis and Zillow's data:

States with the Lowest Mortgage Rates:

  • New York: 6.61%
  • Colorado: 6.63%
  • California: 6.65%
  • New Jersey: 6.67%
  • Washington, D.C.: 6.68%
  • Connecticut: 6.68%
  • Massachusetts: 6.69%
  • Pennsylvania: 6.70%
  • Washington: 6.71%

States with the Highest Mortgage Rates:

  • West Virginia: 6.84%
  • Alaska: 6.87%
  • Iowa: 6.89%
  • North Dakota: 6.90%
  • Nebraska: 6.92%
  • Kansas: 6.92%
  • New Mexico: 6.92%

It’s important to remember these are averages. Your personal rate could be higher or lower depending on your financial situation.

Don't Fall for Teaser Rates: What to Watch Out For

We've all seen those super-low mortgage rates advertised online. They're tempting, but often they're “teaser rates.” What does that mean? Here's a breakdown:

  • Paying Points: To get that rock-bottom rate, you might have to pay “points” upfront (a point is 1% of the loan amount). That's extra cash out of your pocket.
  • Perfect Borrower: Those best rates are usually reserved for borrowers with near-perfect credit scores. If your credit is good but not stellar, expect a higher rate.
  • Smaller Loans: Sometimes, the lowest rates are offered on smaller-than-average loans. If you're buying a more expensive home, that teaser rate might not apply.
  • Hidden Fees and Costs: Be sure to carefully review any mortgage offer to truly understand your costs, so there are no surprises down the road.

Read More:

States With the Lowest Mortgage Rates on June 26, 2025

Are Mortgage Rates Expected to Go Down Soon: A Realistic Outlook

National Mortgage Rate Trends: Where Are We Headed?

Over the past few months, we've seen some ups and downs in national mortgage rates. Let’s break down the trends:

  • Recent Dip: Rates on 30-year new purchase mortgages have recently decreased, bringing the national average down to 6.75%. This is the lowest we’ve seen since April 2025.
  • Mid-May Peak: Back in May, the 30-year rate hit a one-year high of 7.15%, so things are looking better now than they did just a few weeks ago.
  • 2025 Low: In March 2025, we saw rates dip to 6.50%. While we're not quite there yet, the recent drop is encouraging.
  • Long-Term Perspective: If we go back to September of last year, 30-year rates were actually at a two-year low of 5.89%. This underscores how much rates can fluctuate.

National Averages by Loan Type

Here's a quick look at the national average rates for different types of mortgages from Zillow:

Loan Type New Purchase Rate
30-Year Fixed 6.75%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.55%
15-Year Fixed 5.74%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.77%
5/6 ARM 7.25%

Estimate Your Monthly Mortgage Payment

The biggest question on every homebuyer's mind is what their monthly mortgage payment will be. It's not just about the interest rate; several factors contribute to that final number.

  • Home Price: Obviously, a more expensive home means a bigger mortgage and higher payments.
  • Down Payment: The more you put down, the less you borrow, lowering your monthly bills.
  • Loan Term: A 30-year mortgage will have lower monthly payments than a 15-year mortgage, but you'll pay more interest over the long haul.
  • Property Taxes: These vary from state to state and even city to city and can significantly impact your mortgage payment.
  • Homeowners Insurance: Protects your home and is a required part of most mortgage agreements.
  • Interest Rate: As we've discussed, this is crucial and depends on your credit score, the type of loan, and the lender.

What Makes Mortgage Rates Go Up or Down?

Trying to predict mortgage rates is a bit like trying to predict the weather – experts can offer educated guesses, but it’s not an exact science. Here are the main factors I keep an eye on:

  • Bond Market: Stay informed on the 10-year Treasury yield.
  • Federal Reserve (The Fed): It determines the nation's monetary policy.
  • Competition: The mortgage market is competitive, and rate variances will arise.

The Fed's Role: A Quick History Lesson

The Federal Reserve's actions have a big impact on mortgage rates. Over the past few years, we've seen the Fed take different approaches:

  • Pandemic Response: In 2021, to combat the pandemic, the Fed bought billions in bonds, pushing mortgage rates down.
  • Fighting Inflation: Starting in late 2021, the Fed began reducing its bond purchases. Then, in 2022 and 2023, it aggressively raised the federal funds rate, leading to a sharp increase in mortgage rates.
  • Rate Cuts: In late 2024, the Fed began cutting rates, which helped bring mortgage rates down a bit.
  • Pausing Rate Cuts: As of today, June 27, 2025, the Fed is holding rates steady, and we might not see another rate cut for a while.

Final Thoughts & Recommendations

Navigating the world of mortgage rates can feel overwhelming. Always compare rates from multiple lenders and don’t be afraid to negotiate. A good mortgage broker can be an invaluable asset during this process. Stay informed, be patient, and don't rush into anything you're not comfortable with.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Investing in turnkey real estate can help you secure consistent returns with fluctuating mortgage rates.

Expand your portfolio confidently, even in a shifting interest rate environment.

Speak with our expert investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

California Housing Market Faces Major Downturn Amid Economic Concerns

June 27, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

California Housing Market Faces Major Downturn Amid Economic Concerns

Is the California dream fading? It's a question I ponder often, especially when looking at the complexities of our housing market. The California housing market continues to face headwinds in 2025, experiencing a slowdown marked by declining sales and prices in May. This dip is driven by continued economic uncertainty, lingering tariff wars, and persistently high mortgage rates, undermining buyer confidence and demand. Let's dig into why this is happening and what it means for you, whether you're a potential buyer, a current homeowner, or just curious about the Golden State's real estate scene.

California Housing Market Faces Major Downturn Amid Economic Concerns

A Rollercoaster Ride: Where Are Home Sales and Prices Heading?

Imagine you're on a rollercoaster – that's California's housing market right now. We've seen some exhilarating climbs, but lately, it feels like we're on a downward slope. The California Association of Realtors (C.A.R.) reported that in May 2025, existing single-family home sales totaled 254,190 on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. That's down 5.1 percent from April and 4.0 percent from May 2024.

Here is the summary:

  • Home Sales: Down 5.1% from April, 4.0% from May 2024.
  • Median Home Price: $900,170, down 1.1% from April, 0.9% from May 2024.
  • Year-to-Date Sales: Up only 0.3% statewide.

Statewide, the median home price in May was $900,170, reflecting a 1.1 percent decrease from April and a 0.9 percent decrease from May of the previous year. Although modest, it signals a shift in market dynamics.

Why is this happening?

From my perspective, it's a combination of factors. The initial surge in demand following the pandemic has cooled down, and the reality of higher borrowing costs is setting in. People are hesitant. Will they be able to afford the monthly payments, especially when factoring in other expenses? And the uncertainty around the overall economy doesn't help.

Interest Rates: The Elephant in the Room

Let's talk about interest rates. They play a huge role in housing affordability, and they've been anything but stable lately. While the 30-year fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 6.82 percent in May, down from 7.06 percent in May 2024, persistent economic uncertainties are keeping these rates elevated, hindering the momentum in the California Housing market. Imagine trying to buy a house and having your budget constantly squeezed by fluctuating interest rates – it’s incredibly frustrating!

Inventory: A Mixed Bag

Inventory, or the number of homes available for sale, is another piece of the puzzle. Total active listings in May rose on a year-over-year basis by nearly 50 percent. This is a pretty significant jump, and it suggests that we're moving away from the extreme seller's market we've seen in recent years. This increase gives buyers more options, but it also means sellers might need to be more flexible on price.

The Unsold Inventory Index (UII), which measures how many months it would take to sell all the homes on the market at the current sales rate, was 3.8 months in May, up from 3.5 months in April and 2.6 months in May 2024. A higher UII means it's taking longer to sell homes, giving buyers more leverage.

Check out this table summarizing inventory trends:

Metric May 2025 April 2025 May 2024
Unsold Inventory Index (UII) 3.8 3.5 2.6
Active Listings Up ~50% N/A N/A

Regional Differences: It's Not Just One California

California is a big state, and the housing market varies significantly from region to region.

Let's break down the regional performance:

  • Central Coast: Experienced the largest sales drop from last year, down 8.4 percent. However, it saw the highest price increase, up 6.2%. It is primarily due to a number of factors in cluding insurance availability or affordability.
  • San Francisco Bay Area: Sales fell 8.2 percent, and prices declined 3.8 percent.
  • Southern California: Sales decreased 7.6 percent, but prices rose slightly by 0.9 percent.
  • Central Valley: Sales dipped 5.2 percent, and prices edged up 0.6 percent.
  • Far North: The only region with a slight sales gain of 0.5 percent, but prices fell 3.8 percent.

This shows that while some areas are struggling, others are holding relatively steady. Understanding these regional differences is crucial when making real estate decisions.

Buyer Sentiment: Are People Still Optimistic?

Despite the challenges, there's a glimmer of optimism among potential homebuyers. C.A.R. reported that consumers who believed “now is a good time to buy” climbed to 26 percent in May, the highest level since February 2022. This suggests that some buyers are seeing opportunities in the current market, perhaps hoping to snag a deal as prices moderate and inventory increases.

Why the optimism?

I think it's because people recognize that the market can't stay red-hot forever. The thought is that if prices stabilize or even dip slightly, and inventory improves, it could be a good time to buy before interest rates potentially rise again. The old adage, “Buy when others are fearful” comes into play.

Looking Ahead: What Can We Expect?

Predicting the future is always tricky, but here are a few thoughts based on the current trends:

  1. Price Moderation: I expect home prices will continue to moderate, especially as we move into the second half of the year. Seasonality will play a role, with prices typically cooling off during the fall and winter months.
  2. Inventory Growth: As new listings continue to come onto the market, buyers will have more choices. However, the pace of inventory growth may slow down in the coming months.
  3. Interest Rate Sensitivity: The market will remain highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. Any significant increase could further dampen demand, while a decrease could provide a boost.
  4. Regional Variations: The performance of the housing market will continue to vary across different regions of California. Some areas will likely see greater price declines than others.

What does it all mean for you?

If you're a buyer, this could be a good time to get into the market. You'll have more options, less competition, and potentially more room to negotiate on price. Just be sure to do your homework, get pre-approved for a mortgage, and work with a knowledgeable real estate agent.

If you're a seller, you might need to adjust your expectations. It's no longer a guaranteed quick sale at top dollar. Be prepared to price your home competitively and consider making some upgrades to attract buyers.

Here's the truth: It may be a good time to seek the help of a real-estate professional who knows the intricacies of the local real estate market.

Final Thoughts: The California housing market continues to face headwinds, but it's important to remember that real estate is a long-term investment. The market will eventually rebound, and California will remain a desirable place to live.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

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  • Is the California Housing Market Heading for a Crash or Correction?
  • California Housing Market Predictions 2025
  • California Housing Market Rebounds With Highest Sales in 2 Years
  • The Great Recession and California's Housing Market Crash: A Retrospective
  • California Housing Market Cools Down: Is it a Buyer's Market Yet?
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Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: california, Housing Market

Mortgage Rates Today June 27, 2025: 15-Year & 30-Year Fixed Rates Drop Significantly

June 27, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today June 27, 2025: All Rates Drop Offering Big Relief for Buyers

As of today, June 27, 2025, mortgage rates are seeing a downward trend, making it a favorable time for both home buyers and those looking to refinance. The national average for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has decreased to 6.72%, down from 6.73% last week and significantly lower than 6.91% a week ago. Similarly, the average 15-year fixed mortgage rate has dipped to 5.73% from 5.76%. These rates present an opportunity for homeowners and prospective buyers to capitalize on lower monthly payments.

Mortgage Rates Today June 27, 2025: 15-Year & 30-Year Fixed Rates Drop Significantly

Key Takeaways

  • Current Rates: National average mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage stand at 6.72%, reflecting a decrease of 19 basis points from last week.
  • Refinance Opportunity: Average refinance rates for a 30-year fixed loan have climbed slightly to 7.12%, but are lower compared to prior weeks.
  • Market Predictions: Predictions suggest that mortgage rates may decline further in the second half of 2025.
  • Impact on Home Affordability: Lower rates improve buyer affordability, potentially boosting home sales and stimulating the housing market.

With these promising numbers, let's delve deeper into the mortgage and refinance landscape, providing insights into how these rates can affect your financial decisions.

Current Mortgage Rates Overview

Here's a summary table illustrating the recent mortgage and refinance rates:

Loan Type Current Rate 1W Change APR 1W Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.72% -0.19% 7.19% -0.19%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.03% -0.55% 6.51% -0.44%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.73% -0.24% 6.03% -0.23%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.59% -0.34% 5.96% -0.11%
7-Year ARM 6.78% -0.65% 7.65% -0.16%
5-Year ARM 7.56% +0.36% 7.99% +0.20%
30-Year Fixed Refinance 7.12% +0.09% 7.40% +0.08%
15-Year Fixed Refinance 5.94% +0.08% 6.88% +0.07%

Source: Zillow

Understanding Mortgage Payments Under Current Rates

Understanding how these rates impact your monthly mortgage payments is crucial for budgeting. Below are the estimated monthly payments for different loan amounts based on the current rates.

Monthly Payment on a $300,000 Mortgage

For a mortgage of $300,000 at a rate of 6.72% over 30 years, the approximate monthly payment would be $1,947. This calculation factors in the principal amount along with interest.

Monthly Payment on a $400,000 Mortgage

A mortgage of $400,000 at a rate of 6.72% would result in an estimated monthly payment of around $2,596. This reflects the increased financial commitment and how even minor differences in rate can result in substantial changes to monthly outlay.

Monthly Payment on a $500,000 Mortgage

Lastly, for a $500,000 mortgage at the same rate of 6.72%, the monthly payment would be approximately $3,246. Such estimates illustrate how larger loans significantly impact budget planning.

Having clear payment estimates can greatly help potential borrowers in deciding how much they can afford, providing a practical viewpoint on borrowing.

Analysis of Mortgage Trends in 2025

Are Mortgage Rates Decreasing in 2025 or Fluctuating?

Based on the recent figures, mortgage rates are indeed on a downward trend as of late June 2025. This is in stark contrast to the fluctuations seen in previous years. For instance, while the rates did experience minor increases earlier this year, their consistent decline in recent weeks indicates a shift towards increased buyer affordability. Economists believe that as supply in the market increases, some downward pressure on rates will persist.

Market Influence Factors
  1. Economic Indicators: Key economic indicators such as inflation rates, job growth, and consumer spending patterns are closely monitored. Any signals of strengthened economic activity often lead to increased interest rates. However, as inflation appears to stabilize, there is potential for further declines in mortgage rates.
  2. Housing Demand: The housing market's dynamics play a critical role, with buyer demand directly influencing mortgage rates. As housing demand rises, competition among the lenders can lead to lower rates to attract buyers.
  3. Government Policy Changes: Federal Reserve policies, particularly on interest rates and bond buying, will continue to exert influence on mortgage rates. A more accommodative monetary policy could lead to continued reductions.

How Low Will Mortgage Rates Go in 2025?

According to forecasts from the National Association of REALTORS® and Freddie Mac, it’s anticipated that mortgage rates could average around 6.4% in the latter half of 2025 and further drop to about 6.1% in 2026. These projections suggest that with improvements in the economy and housing supply, lower mortgage rates could become more prevalent.

Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of June 26, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: July-Sept 2025

Do Mortgage Rates Go Down During an Economic Recession?

Refinance Opportunities Amid Changing Rates

As mortgage rates fluctuate, refinancing presents a viable strategy for homeowners looking to optimize their loans. Many homeowners could benefit from refinancing at lower rates, improving cash flow, or accessing equity.

Current Refinance Rates Overview

Loan Type Current Rate 1W Change APR 1W Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 7.12% +0.09% 7.40% +0.08%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.03% -0.55% 6.51% -0.44%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.94% +0.08% 6.88% +0.07%

Among the refinancing options, 30-year fixed refinancing rates hover around 7.12%. However, potential borrowers should remain cautious, as current refinance rates have risen slightly compared to previous weeks.

Benefits of Refinancing
  1. Lower Monthly Payments: Homeowners may capitalize on lower interest rates to reduce their monthly mortgage payments, enabling more savings for other expenses or investments.
  2. Access to Home Equity: Refinance options can allow homeowners to take advantage of their home equity for renovations or significant expenditures.
  3. Debt Consolidation: Some homeowners opt to refinance to consolidate other debts, such as student loans or credit cards, into a single, often lower-interest payment.

Understanding the Shifting Real Estate Market

Understanding the mortgage market landscape is critical for those looking to buy or refinance. As these rates fluctuate, potential buyers need to stay informed about market trends, lending standards, and economic forecasts that could impact their decisions.

Consumer Confidence and Market Trends

According to housing enthusiasts and analysts, consumer confidence plays a pivotal role in the real estate market. Increased buyer confidence can lead to higher sales volumes, further driving prices in competitive markets. The potential rise in sales in 2025 and beyond may reinforce buyer confidence, even as rates fluctuate.

The Long-Term Outlook for Housing

Long-term forecasts suggest that while rates could dip further over the foreseeable future, they are unlikely to plummet significantly. Economic stabilization and a balanced housing supply are vital components of a healthy market. Therefore, prospective buyers should weigh the benefits of entering the market now against potential opportunities in the years ahead.

Housing Market Predictions

  1. Home Sales Growth: Data from various sources suggest significant increases in home and new construction sales in 2025. Existing home sales are expected to rise by 6%, while new home sales could see a 10% increase. This growth indicates a recovery in the housing market from previous slowdowns and challenges.
  2. Price Stabilization: Predicted modest increases in home prices signal a return to normalized pricing. With median home prices projected to rise by about 3% this year, buyers may have to act sooner rather than later to secure favorable terms before prices climb significantly.
  3. Impact on Buyer Behavior: If rates continue to trend downward or stabilize at lower levels, many potential home buyers currently on the fence may feel encouraged to proceed with their home purchasing plans. This potential influx of buyers may lead to a more competitive market.

Final Thoughts: Given the data at hand, it seems that lower mortgage rates could be an advantage for both buyers and refinancers at this stage in the market. The consistent decrease in rates signals favorable conditions for many looking to purchase a home or refinance an existing mortgage.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Should I Refinance My Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026?

June 27, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Should I Refinance My Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026?

Deciding whether to refinance your mortgage now or wait until 2026 is a big question many homeowners are grappling with. Right now, in mid-2025, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is sitting around 6.77%. Forecasts suggest we might see a slight dip by the end of 2026. So, what's the right move for you? The short answer is: it truly depends on your individual circumstances, but if your current rate is significantly higher than what's available today and you plan to stay in your home for the long haul, exploring refinancing now could be a smart move to potentially save you a good chunk of money.

Should I Refinance My Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026?

So, when should you refinance your mortgage? It's a critical question, and timing is everything. Drawing from my own experience as a homeowner and years of following mortgage market trends, I'll break down the key factors that will help you decide if refinancing is the right move for your financial future, and when to make it.

Understanding Mortgage Refinancing

First things first, let's make sure we're all on the same page. Refinancing simply means replacing your existing mortgage with a brand new one. People typically do this for a few key reasons:

  • To snag a lower interest rate: This is often the primary motivation, as a lower rate can significantly reduce your monthly payments and the total amount of interest you pay over the life of the loan.
  • To shorten the loan term: If you're in a better financial position, you might refinance from a 30-year mortgage to a 15-year one. This means higher monthly payments, but you'll own your home outright much faster and save a ton on interest in the long run.
  • To adjust loan type: For example, switching from an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) to a fixed-rate mortgage can provide more payment stability.
  • To tap into home equity: A cash-out refinance allows you to borrow against the equity you've built in your home, though this should be approached with caution.

However, it's crucial to remember that refinancing isn't free. You'll encounter closing costs, which can include appraisal fees, title insurance, and lender fees. These costs typically range from 2% to 6% of the new loan amount. This is why carefully weighing the potential savings against these upfront costs is so important.

A Look at Current Mortgage Rates (June 2025)

As we sit here in June 2025, the mortgage rate environment is interesting. Based on recent data:

  • Freddie Mac reported an average of 6.77% for the week ending June 26, 2025.
  • Bankrate noted an average of 6.75% on June 27, 2025.
  • Zillow indicated rates at 6.72% on June 27, 2025.

So, generally speaking, you're looking at around 6.75% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. To put this into perspective, we saw rates peak at over 8% in late 2023, before dropping to below 6% last fall. The current rates are definitely better than the recent high, but still not near the lows we've experienced in the past. For those considering a shorter term, the average 15-year fixed mortgage rate is hovering around 5.89%.

From my perspective, these rates, while not jaw-droppingly low, still present an opportunity for some homeowners who locked in rates much higher a few years ago.

What the Future Holds: Mortgage Rate Forecasts for 2025 and 2026

Trying to predict the future of interest rates is a bit like trying to predict the weather – the experts can give you their best guess, but things can change quickly. However, several reputable financial institutions have put out their forecasts for the coming year and beyond:

Organization 2025 Forecast 2026 Forecast Source
Fannie Mae 6.5% 6.1% Fannie Mae Forecast
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) 6.7% 6.3% MBA Forecast
National Association of Home Builders 6.66% 6.16% NAHB Outlook
National Association of Realtors 6.4% 6.1% NAR Forecast
Wells Fargo 6.29% 6.19% Wells Fargo Report
Realtor.com 6.3% Not specified Realtor.com Forecast

These forecasts generally point towards a modest decline in mortgage rates by the end of 2026, potentially landing somewhere in the range of 6.1% to 6.7% for a 30-year fixed mortgage.

The reasoning behind this expected dip often revolves around predictions of slower economic growth and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, it's crucial to understand that these are just predictions. Factors like inflation, changes in government policy (like tariffs, as mentioned by Reuters), and overall economic stability can all throw a wrench in these forecasts.

In my opinion, while a slight decrease seems plausible, I wouldn't bank on a significant drop back to the ultra-low rates we saw a few years ago. The economic environment is just too different now.

The Federal Reserve's Role and Economic Influences

Speaking of the Federal Reserve, their actions (or inactions) have a significant impact on mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to closely follow the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, and the Fed's monetary policy plays a big role in influencing those yields.

Currently, the Federal Reserve has held its federal funds rate in the 4.25%-4.5% range since December 2024. Experts have suggested that the Fed might start considering rate cuts around mid-2025, with investors anticipating a few quarter-point cuts throughout the rest of the year. If these cuts materialize, we could indeed see some downward pressure on Treasury yields and, consequently, mortgage rates.

However, as Reuters points out, things like new trade policies and tariffs could lead to higher inflation, which might make the Fed hesitant to cut rates too quickly. On the flip side, a weaker-than-expected economy could push the Fed to cut rates sooner and more aggressively.

This uncertainty is a key reason why trying to time the market perfectly is so difficult. There are so many moving parts!

Key Questions to Ask Yourself: Refinance Now or Wait?

Now, let's get down to the brass tacks. To help you decide whether to refinance your mortgage now or wait until 2026, here are some critical questions to consider:

What is your current mortgage interest rate? If your current rate is significantly higher than the 6.7% we're seeing now (say, 7.3% or higher), refinancing now could offer substantial savings. Even a seemingly small difference can add up to a lot of money over the life of a 30-year loan.

Example: On a $300,000 loan, dropping your rate from 7.3% to 6.7% could save you around $115 per month, or $1,380 per year. Over 30 years, that's over $41,400 in interest saved!

My Take: If you're in this boat, I'd seriously consider looking into refinancing now. Don't wait and potentially miss out on these savings.

How much will the refinancing closing costs be? As mentioned earlier, these costs can range from 2% to 6% of your loan amount. You need to figure out your break-even point – how long will it take for your monthly savings to cover these upfront costs?

Example: If your refinancing costs are $9,000 and you save $115 per month, your break-even point is approximately 78 months (or 6.5 years).

Consideration: If the potential rate drop in 2026 is only going to save you a small amount each month, it might take a very long time to recoup the closing costs if you refinance now. In that case, waiting might be more sensible.

How long do you plan to stay in your home? This is a crucial factor. If you only plan to live in your home for another year or two, the savings from refinancing might not outweigh the closing costs.

My Experience: I've seen people refinance only to move shortly after, essentially throwing away the money they spent on closing costs. Be realistic about your future plans.

What are your other financial goals? Could the extra cash flow from lower monthly mortgage payments help you achieve other financial goals, like paying off high-interest debt or saving for retirement?

Think About It: Sometimes, the benefits of refinancing go beyond just the interest rate. The flexibility it provides in your monthly budget can be significant.

How comfortable are you with the current economic uncertainty? As we've discussed, there's no guarantee that rates will drop in 2026. Unexpected economic events could even cause them to rise.

My Perspective: If you can secure a rate now that significantly improves your financial situation, it might be worth taking it rather than gambling on future rate movements.

Practical Scenarios to Help You Decide

Let's look at a few common situations:

  • Scenario 1: You have a high current rate (7.3% or higher) and plan to stay long-term. In this case, refinancing now to a rate around 6.7% likely makes good financial sense. The long-term savings will likely outweigh the closing costs, and you'll enjoy lower monthly payments sooner rather than later.
  • Scenario 2: Your current rate is already close to the current market (around 6.4%). Refinancing now might not provide significant savings, and you'd still incur closing costs. Waiting to see if rates drop further in 2026 (potentially to the 5.8%-6.2% range) could be a better strategy, but you need to weigh the potential savings against the risk that rates might not drop as much as predicted.
  • Scenario 3: You plan to sell your home within the next 2-3 years. Refinancing now is probably not a good idea. You're unlikely to stay in the home long enough to recoup the closing costs through lower monthly payments. Waiting or simply sticking with your current mortgage is likely the more cost-effective approach.

Recommended Read:

Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights 

Beyond Interest Rates: Other Refinancing Considerations

While the interest rate is often the primary focus, there are other reasons why you might consider refinancing:

  • Switching from a 30-year to a 15-year mortgage: This can save you a substantial amount of interest over the life of the loan and help you build equity faster. However, be prepared for higher monthly payments.
  • Changing from an ARM to a fixed-rate mortgage: If you're currently in an adjustable-rate mortgage, refinancing to a fixed-rate loan can provide more predictability in your monthly payments, especially if interest rates are expected to rise.
  • Cash-out refinance: If you have significant equity in your home, you might consider a cash-out refinance to access funds for things like home renovations or other major expenses. However, be cautious about increasing your mortgage balance.

Also, keep in mind that the rate you're offered will depend on your individual financial situation, including your credit score and loan-to-value ratio (Forbes Advisor). Even if market rates drop, you'll still need to qualify for a good rate. It's always a good idea to shop around with multiple lenders to see what kind of offers you can get.

Final Verdict: Refinance Now or Wait? My Personal Take

Given the current mortgage rate landscape in 2025 and the forecasts for a gradual, rather than dramatic, rate decline, my advice leans towards considering refinancing now if it makes financial sense for you.

If you're a homeowner with a mortgage rate significantly above these current averages, refinancing now to a rate in the high 6% range could deliver substantial monthly savings. Even a rate reduction of 1% or more can make a real difference in your budget.

Waiting until 2026 might bring slightly lower rates, but there's no guarantee. And remember, every month you wait, you're potentially missing out on savings if rates are already at a level that benefits you.

Ultimately, the best decision is a personal one based on your individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and goals. Don't just rely on averages – get personalized quotes from multiple lenders and crunch the numbers. Talk to a mortgage professional to explore your options and see if refinancing now, or perhaps in the near future, is the right move for you.

Maximize Your Mortgage Decisions in 2025

Thinking about whether to refinance now or wait until 2026? Timing is critical, and having the right strategy can save you thousands over the life of your loan.

Norada's team can guide you through current market dynamics and help you position your investments wisely—whether you're looking to reduce rates, pull out equity, or expand your portfolio.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Recommended Read:

  • When You Refinance a Mortgage Do the 30 Years Start Over?
  • Should You Refinance as Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Level in Over a Year?
  • NAR Predicts 6% Mortgage Rates in 2025 Will Boost Housing Market
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for 2025: Expert Forecast
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  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for 2025: Expert Forecast

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions

U.S. States With Lowest and Best Mortgage Rates Today – June 26, 2025

June 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

U.S. States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – July 1, 2025

Looking for the best deal on a mortgage? Today, June 26, 2025, the states boasting the lowest average 30-year mortgage rates for new purchases are New York, Colorado, Connecticut, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Florida, Idaho, Utah, and Virginia, with rates hovering between 6.69% and 6.80%. On the other hand, Alaska, Rhode Island, West Virginia, Iowa, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Maine, have the highest, ranging between 6.90% and 7.05%. But bear in mind as with everything related to money, Your Mileage May Vary!

U.S. States With Lowest Mortgage Rates Today – June 26, 2025

Okay, now that we've got the headline figures out of the way, let’s dive deeper into why these differences exist, what it means for you, and how you can snag the best possible rate, no matter where you live.

Why Do Mortgage Rates Vary From State to State?

It’s tempting to think mortgage rates should be uniform across the U.S., like the price of a Big Mac (though, even that varies!). However, several factors can influence mortgage rates from one state to another. These include:

  • Lender Presence and Competition: Not all lenders operate in every state. A state with more competition between lenders might see slightly lower rates as they jostle for your business.
  • State-Specific Regulations: Each state has its own set of regulations governing the mortgage industry, which can impact lender costs and, ultimately, the rates they offer.
  • Credit Score Averages: States with higher average credit scores might see slightly lower rates overall since lenders perceive lower risk.
  • Average Loan Size: The average loan size within a state, coupled with loan limits, might influence rates. Larger loan amounts sometimes come with slightly different pricing structures.
  • Risk Management Variation: A lender's internal appetite for risk can result in rate differences. For example, some lenders are comfortable working with loans requiring private mortgage insurance (PMI), while others seek to avoid these.

Essentially, it's a mix of local economics and lender strategy that creates these state-by-state variations. However, it shouldn't affect the rate in any way.

States Showcasing the Lowest Mortgage Rates

Let's take a closer look at the states currently enjoying some of the most competitive mortgage rates, according to Investopedia's analysis and Zillow's data:

  • New York: New York is a financial hub along with having a diverse blend of urban areas and suburban communities.
  • Colorado: Known for its outdoor lifestyle and booming tech sector, Colorado's attractive real estate market has been balanced by a healthy mortgage rate.
  • Connecticut: The charm of Connecticut lies in its good schools and easy access to New York City, and these have drawn people to move and keep the local real estate market stable.
  • California: Despite its high cost of living, California's robust economy and strong demand for housing ensures a steady flow of mortgage activity.
  • Massachusetts: Top-notch universities and access to healthcare are a selling point of Massachusetts, which keeps its housing market active.
  • New Jersey: Located near NYC and with a lot of jobs, New Jersey has a high demand for real estate.
  • Florida: The attractive climate and low tax rates of Florida are a big draw, that help sustain the constant demand for housing.
  • Idaho: The appeal of smaller town of Idaho and outdoor recreation, the increase in population has led to competition for homes.
  • Utah: Utah's tech employment opportunities and a rapidly increasing population are drawing people into the mix.
  • Virginia: Virginia gives access to government jobs and military installations, and an overall good quality of life.

These states often have a combination of strong economies, competitive lending environments, and stable real estate markets, which contribute to their lower average mortgage rates.

States with the Highest Mortgage Rates

Now, let’s turn our attention to the states with the higher end of the spectrum:

  • Alaska: Remote and with a unique economy based on natural resources, Alaska has factors that lead to higher lending costs.
  • Rhode Island: Small geographic location, Rhode Island's economy could be limiting competition, which means that there are higher rates.
  • West Virginia: West Virginia faces some economic challenges, and a more sparse housing market could contribute to higher rates.
  • Iowa: Iowa's rural setting and agricultural background might lead to less competition among lenders.
  • New Mexico: Economic factors in New Mexico may be restricting lending competition and influencing higher rates.
  • North Dakota: Limited competition and a sparse real estate market in North Dakota could lead to higher mortgage rates.
  • South Dakota: The rural setting, very similar to North Dakota can increase the mortgage rate.
  • Maine: Maine's smaller population and a more exclusive real estate market can affect mortgage rates.

National Mortgage Rate Trends – A Broader Perspective

While state-by-state variations are interesting, it’s crucial to understand the broader national trends influencing mortgage rates. According to recent data, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate for new purchases is around 6.83%. This marks a decrease of 8 basis points over the past three days, reaching the lowest level since April 4th.

However, it’s worth noting that rates have been higher this year. In mid-May, the average surged to a one-year high of 7.15%. Throughout 2025, we’ve seen fluctuations, with rates dipping to as low as 6.50% in March and even lower, reaching a two-year low of 5.89% in September of last year.

Here’s a snapshot of national averages for different loan types from Zillow:

Loan Type New Purchase Rate
30-Year Fixed 6.83%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.55%
15-Year Fixed 5.85%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.82%
5/6 ARM 7.27%

What's Driving These Fluctuations?

Mortgage rates don’t just magically appear; they’re influenced by a complex web of factors, including:

  • The Bond Market: Monitor trends in the bond market, especially 10-year Treasury yields.
  • The Federal Reserve (The Fed): The Fed's monetary policy decisions play a large role, especially anything related to bond purchasing.
  • Lender Competition: The level of competition between mortgage lenders and different loan types.
  • Inflation: Concerns around inflation drive rates up, while confidence in controlling inflation tends to bring them down.

Read More:

States With the Lowest Mortgage Rates on June 25, 2025

Are Mortgage Rates Expected to Go Down Soon: A Realistic Outlook

The Fed's Role and What To Expect

The Federal Reserve's actions have a huge impact on mortgage rates. In 2022 and 2023, the Fed aggressively raised the federal funds rate to combat high inflation, causing a dramatic increase in mortgage rates.

The Fed has maintained the federal funds rate at its peak starting in July 2023. Then they announced a first rate cut of 0.50 percentage points in September, with smaller cuts in November and December. However, at their latest meeting, they opted to hold rates steady, suggesting we might not see further cuts for several months. With eight rate-setting meetings scheduled each year, there's a chance we could see several more rate-hold announcements throughout 2025.

How to Secure the Best Rate for You

Now, let’s get to the practical part: how can you get the best possible mortgage rate? Here's my top advice:

  1. Shop Around, Shop Around, Shop Around: I can't stress this enough! Get quotes from multiple lenders. Don’t just settle for the first rate you see. Compare rates from different banks, credit unions, and online lenders.
  2. Boost Your Credit Score: A higher credit score translates to lower risk in the eyes of lenders, and a lower risk translates to better rates. Check your credit report for errors and take steps to improve your score if needed.
  3. Save for a Larger Down Payment: A larger down payment means you'll borrow less money, which can lead to a lower interest rate. Plus, putting down at least 20% can help you avoid private mortgage insurance (PMI).
  4. Consider Different Loan Types: Explore different loan types like fixed-rate mortgages, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), FHA loans, and VA loans to see which one best suits your financial situation.
  5. Be Aware of “Teaser Rates”: Be cautious of advertised rates that seem too good to be true. These “teaser rates” often require paying points upfront or are based on unrealistic scenarios (like an ultra-high credit score or a smaller-than-typical loan).
  6. Negotiate: Don't be afraid to negotiate with lenders. If you get a lower offer from one lender, see if another lender is willing to match or beat it!
  7. Understand Your All-In Costs: Don't just focus on the interest rate. Consider all costs, including closing costs, lender fees, and any points you might pay.

Buying a home is a huge, life-changing decision, and something I've gone through myself. Make sure to be fully informed and to take your time.

The Bottom Line

Mortgage rates are dynamic and influenced by a variety of factors, from state-level economic conditions to national monetary policy. While New York, Colorado, Connecticut, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Florida, Idaho, Utah, and Virginia shows the lowest rates today, remember that your individual rate will depend on your specific financial situation and creditworthiness. Do your due diligence, shop around, and don't be afraid to negotiate to secure the best possible mortgage rate for your dream home.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Investing in turnkey real estate can help you secure consistent returns with fluctuating mortgage rates.

Expand your portfolio confidently, even in a shifting interest rate environment.

Speak with our expert investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Predictions, Mortgage Rates Today

Mortgage Rates Today June 26, 2025: A Significant Drop in 30-Year Fixed Rate

June 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today June 26, 2025: A Significant Drop in 30-Year Fixed Rate

Today's average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has seen a notable decrease, dropping to 6.81% from 6.82%, which marks a decline of 1 basis point from the previous day. More importantly, this rate has reduced by 10 basis points from last week’s average of 6.91%. This change presents an exciting opportunity for potential homebuyers and those looking to refinance their mortgages.

Mortgage Rates Today June 26, 2025: A Significant Drop in 30-Year Fixed Rate

Key Takeaways

  • 30-Year Fixed Rate: Currently at 6.81%, down from 6.91% last week.
  • 15-Year Fixed Rate: Decreased slightly to 5.85%.
  • Current Refinance Rate: 30-year fixed refinance rates fell to 7.03%.
  • Economic Influences: Inflation, investor sentiment, and Federal Reserve policies heavily influence mortgage rates.

Understanding today's mortgage rates is crucial for borrowers, especially given the current state of the economy and housing market.

Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates Overview

To better understand the trends, here’s a snapshot of the current mortgage rates as of June 26, 2025:

Mortgage Type Current Rate 1 Week Change APR 1 Week Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.81% Down 0.11% 7.22% Down 0.15%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.85% Down 0.12% 6.12% Down 0.15%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.65% Up 0.07% 6.94% Down 0.01%
5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage 7.63% Up 0.43% 7.92% Up 0.13%
30-Year FHA Rate 7.17% Down 0.16% 8.20% Down 0.16%
30-Year VA Rate 6.27% Down 0.14% 6.49% Down 0.12%
30-Year Jumbo Rate 7.27% unchanged 7.73% Up 0.06%

Source: Zillow

Economic Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates

Several factors contribute to the current state of mortgage rates. Understanding them can help potential borrowers navigate their decisions.

  1. Inflation: The Federal Reserve's actions to combat inflation have a direct impact on mortgage rates. By raising interest rates, the Fed aims to control economic growth and stabilizes prices. This approach can increase mortgage rates as lenders adjust to anticipated economic conditions.
  2. Economic Uncertainty: This term encompasses current crises, ranging from geopolitical tensions to domestic economic challenges. Uncertainty often leads investors to seek safer investments, which can pressure mortgage rates upward.
  3. Investor Sentiment: The perception of economic stability influences Treasury bond yields. When confidence wanes, investors demand higher yields on bonds, which leads to increased mortgage rates.
  4. Federal Reserve Policy: Adjustments made by the Federal Reserve in monetary policy play a crucial role. Their decisions regarding interest rates and growth projections can send ripples throughout the lending market.
  5. Labor Market Conditions: The job market affects borrowing power. A tight labor market may lead to wage increases, prompting more aggressive Federal Reserve actions to control inflation, which could raise mortgage rates.
  6. Housing Supply and Demand: The balance of housing supply versus demand can also influence rates. If demand for homes continues to outpace supply, it can maintain upward pressure on both home prices and mortgage rates.
  7. Market Trends: Seasonal factors often influence the housing market. For instance, the spring and summer months commonly see increased buying activity, which can push rates up. Conversely, rates may stabilize or decrease during the winter months when demand typically dips.

Understanding Monthly Payment Calculations

Understanding how the current mortgage rates affect monthly payments can help buyers and homeowners make informed decisions. Let’s explore how the current rates influence monthly payments for different loan amounts:

Monthly Payment on a $300,000 Mortgage

With the current 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.81%, a potential borrower will have a monthly payment of approximately $1,943. This estimate includes principal and interest but does not encompass additional costs like property taxes and homeowners insurance, which can significantly affect the total monthly obligation.

Monthly Payment on a $400,000 Mortgage

For a $400,000 mortgage at the same 30-year fixed rate, the monthly payment would be around $2,591. This amount further illustrates how quickly mortgage payments can escalate as loan amounts increase, emphasizing the need for buyers to evaluate their financial situations carefully.

Monthly Payment on a $500,000 Mortgage

If you seek financing for a $500,000 mortgage, your anticipated monthly payments under the current rate would be about $3,239. Understanding this helps borrowers recognize the long-term financial commitment associated with larger loans and the importance of budgeting accordingly.

These amounts account for principal and interest alone, so it is vital to remember that property taxes, homeowners insurance, and potentially private mortgage insurance (PMI) will add to these monthly costs.

Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of June 25, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: July-Sept 2025

Do Mortgage Rates Go Down During an Economic Recession?

Current Mortgage Refinance Rates

Refinancing is an option many homeowners are considering as rates dip slightly. The current average 30-year fixed refinance rate has dropped to 7.03%, down from 7.08% just a week ago. This represents a key opportunity for homeowners who may want to capitalize on lower annual percentage rates. Here’s how current refinance rates compare:

Refinance Program Current Rate 1 Week Change
30-Year Fixed Rate Refinance 7.03% Down 0.05%
15-Year Fixed Rate Refinance 5.95% Down 0.01%
5-Year Adjustable Rate Refinance 7.87% Down 0.01%

Source: Zillow

Refinancing can serve various purposes: lowering monthly payments, consolidating debt, or tapping into home equity for significant expenses. However, it is essential to consider the costs associated with refinancing, such as closing costs, to assess whether it is a financially sound decision.

Homebuyer Sentiment and Economic Outlook

The economic outlook significantly impacts buyer sentiment, directly correlating to mortgage rates. According to the National Association of REALTORS® Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, there’s reason for cautious optimism regarding the housing market. Yun forecasts a 6% increase in existing home sales for 2025, rebutting the concerns of stagnation during economic downturns. He suggests that even amid economic uncertainty, the demand for housing will persist.

Additionally, Yun predicts an average mortgage rate of 6.4% in the latter part of 2025 and a further dip to 6.1% in 2026. These rates could be considered ideal for buyers looking to enter the housing market soon. A favorable borrowing environment would likely stimulate home purchases and provide relief to prospective investors looking for opportunities within the housing sector.

Broader Market Trends

Several reports suggest slowing but steady improvements in the housing market. The Mortgage Bankers Association expects rates to remain fluctuating in the mid-6% range throughout 2025, settling around 6.7% by year-end. This prediction offers a window for buyers who may want to time their purchases strategically.

In contrast, Freddie Mac anticipates heightened purchase and refinance volumes due to these adjustments, indicating that potential buyers and homeowners' motivations remain strong. With the ongoing volatility in market conditions, it remains critical for buyers to stay informed about future trends and evaluate their options carefully.

Summary:

As we unpack the current mortgage rates on June 26, 2025, we can identify several pivotal shifts within the housing market. The decrease in the 30-year fixed rate provides fresh opportunities for both homebuyers and those considering refinancing existing loans. While rates remain elevated, particularly around 7% in select categories, these emerging trends indicate that market conditions may improve.

With predictions of an upward trend in home sales and potential future declines in mortgage rates, those looking to enter the housing market should remain assertive in their search for ideal loan options. Borrowers must consider all aspects of their financial situations.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates Going Up in 2025: Will Rates Drop?
  • Why Are Mortgage Rates So High and Predictions for 2025
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Today’s 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Takes a Big Jump – June 26, 2025

June 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Takes a Big Jump - June 26, 2025

Are you in the market for a new home or considering refinancing? If so, keep a close eye on mortgage rates! According to Zillow, the 5-year Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) has seen a significant jump today, June 26, 2025, increasing by 15 basis points to 7.71%. This increase could impact your affordability and overall borrowing strategy; let's dive into what this means for you.

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Takes a Big Jump of 15 Basis Points – June 26, 2025

Mortgage rates are constantly in flux, influenced by a myriad of economic factors. While the 30-year fixed rate is considered the benchmark, other loan products like ARMs provide different options that can be advantageous depending on your circumstances.

Here’s a snapshot of how various mortgage rates are behaving today:

  • 30-Year Fixed Rate: Down 1 basis point to 6.81%
  • 15-Year Fixed Rate: Down 2 basis points to 5.85%
  • 5-Year ARM: Up 15 basis points to 7.71%

This mixed bag of movements suggests that while long-term borrowing costs are slightly decreasing, shorter-term adjustable rates are heading in the opposite direction, potentially raising concerns for borrowers banking on rate stability.

Why the Sudden Jump in the 5-Year ARM Rate?

Several factors could be contributing to this uptick. Here are some potential drivers:

  • Shifts in the Yield Curve: The yield curve, reflecting the difference between short-term and long-term treasury yields, influences mortgage rates. A steepening curve might signal higher inflation expectations, pushing ARM rates up.
  • Federal Reserve Actions: While the Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, its monetary policy decisions impact the broader interest rate environment. Any signals of tightening could lead to increases in ARM rates.
  • Investor Sentiment: Demand for mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which bundle mortgages together, also plays a role. If investors are less willing to buy MBS due to perceived risk, lenders may increase rates to compensate.
  • Economic Data Releases: Strong economic reports suggesting robust growth may encourage lenders to increase the rates they offer.

Comprehensive Mortgage Rate Overview (June 26, 2025)

To give you a complete picture, here's a detailed table comparing different loan types and their current rates from Zillow:

Conforming Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.81% down 0.10% 7.25% down 0.13%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.65% up 0.07% 6.94% down 0.01%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.85% down 0.11% 6.13% down 0.13%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.85% down 0.08% 6.04% down 0.03%
7-year ARM 7.44% 0.00% 8.02% up 0.20%
5-year ARM 7.71% up 0.51% 7.98% up 0.18%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%

Government Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.88% down 0.45% 7.91% down 0.46%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.29% down 0.12% 6.51% down 0.10%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.63% up 0.03% 6.59% up 0.03%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.84% down 0.08% 6.20% down 0.05%

Jumbo Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.28% up 0.01% 7.73% up 0.06%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 6.95% up 0.35% 7.27% up 0.42%
7-year ARM Jumbo 7.42% down 0.10% 8.00% down 0.06%
5-year ARM Jumbo 7.71% down 0.01% 8.02% down 0.07%
3-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

What This Means for Homebuyers and Refinancers

The rate hike on the 5-year ARM has several implications:

  • Higher Initial Payments: Borrowers opting for a 5-year ARM will face higher initial monthly payments compared to the rate environment just yesterday. The initial attraction to ARM’s comes from a lower initial interest when compared to fixed mortgages but is diminished as the rates go up in subsequent years
  • Increased Risk: ARMs come with the risk that interest rates could rise after the initial fixed-rate period, potentially leading to significant increases in monthly payments. This risk needs careful consideration.
  • Impact on Affordability: For potential homebuyers, especially those on a tight budget, the higher ARM rate could reduce the amount they can borrow or qualify for.
  • Refinancing Considerations: Homeowners considering refinancing from a fixed-rate mortgage to an ARM need to weigh the potential savings against the risk of future rate increases.

Recommended Read:

5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Update for June 25, 2025?

Fixed vs. Adjustable Rate Mortgage in 2025: Which is Best for You

Is an ARM Still the Right Choice?

Even with the rate increase, an ARM could still be a suitable option for certain borrowers:

  • Short-Term Homeowners: If you plan to move or refinance within the next five years, an ARM might offer lower rates during your ownership period.
  • Expectation of Decreasing Rates: Some borrowers might believe that interest rates will decline in the future, making an ARM a potentially beneficial bet. I would suggest not trying to time the market for that reason as there is no surety.
  • Financial Flexibility: If you have the flexibility to absorb potential rate increases, an ARM could still save you money in the short term. Flexibility here refers to that you should be ready in case the interest surges to a point you are not able to afford anymore to offset the monthly liability.

Fixed-Rate Mortgages: A Safe Haven?

While ARMs flirt with potential savings and risks, fixed-rate mortgages offer stability, especially now. With rates for 30-year and 15-year fixed mortgages showing slight decreases, they could be an attractive alternative for those seeking predictability in their monthly payments. The current 30-year fixed rate sits at 6.81%, a good option for stability in the long run.

Strategies to Navigate the Current Mortgage Rate Climate

  • Shop Around: Don't settle for the first rate you see. Get quotes from multiple lenders to find the best deal.
  • Improve Your Credit Score: A higher credit score can result in lower interest rates. Work on paying bills on time and reducing your debt.
  • Increase Your Down Payment: A larger down payment reduces the loan amount and could qualify you for a lower rate.
  • Consider Points: Paying points upfront can lower your interest rate. Calculate whether the upfront cost is worth the long-term savings.
  • Consult a Mortgage Professional: A mortgage broker can guide you through the options and help you make an informed decision.

The Bottom Line: Stay Informed and Adapt

The mortgage market is dynamic, and rates can change quickly. Staying informed about the latest trends and understanding how they impact your financial situation is crucial. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, a seasoned homeowner looking to refinance, or an investor, careful planning and a well-thought-out strategy are essential to securing the best possible mortgage terms.

I'd advise approaching any mortgage decision with caution and diligence. Understanding your risk tolerance, financial goals, and the potential impact of rate changes is key to making the right choice for your future.

Capitalize on ARM Rates Before They Rise Even Higher

With fluctuating adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), savvy investors are exploring flexible financing options to maximize returns.

Norada offers a curated selection of ready-to-rent properties in top markets, helping you capitalize on current mortgage trends and build long-term wealth.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with an investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Adjustable Rate Mortgage, Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates

Housing Market Slowdown Hits Southern California Hard as Sales Plummet

June 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Southern California Housing Market Sees Dramatic Decline in Sales

The Southern California housing market is showing signs of cooling. Recent data reveals that home sales have taken a dip, and price growth has slowed. While this might sound alarming, it's essential to understand the factors at play and what this means for buyers and sellers.

I've been watching the California real estate market for years, and I've seen these ebbs and flows before. Let’s take a closer look at what’s happening in Southern California.

Housing Market Slowdown Hits Southern California Hard as Sales Plummet

The Numbers Don't Lie: Sales are Down

According to the latest report from the California Association of Realtors® (C.A.R.), the Southern California region experienced a notable decline in home sales in May. Specifically, sales dropped by 7.6 percent compared to the same time last year. This decline places the region in line with a broader statewide trend, as most regions in California saw decreased home-buying activity.

To get a better grip on the local markets, here's a closer look at how individual Southern California counties performed:

  • Los Angeles: Sales decreased by 7.9%
  • Orange: Sales decreased by 16.0%
  • Riverside: Sales decreased by 8.2%
  • San Bernardino: Sales decreased by 3.3%
  • San Diego: Sales decreased by 4.6%
  • Ventura: Sales decreased by 1.2%

Why the Sales Decline? A Cocktail of Factors

Several factors are contributing to this cooling trend:

  • Lingering Economic Uncertainty: The overall economic climate remains uncertain, impacting consumer confidence. Folks are just a bit more hesitant to make big financial moves when the future feels a bit shaky.
  • Elevated Mortgage Interest Rates: While rates have come down from their peaks, they're still higher than what we saw in the recent past. This makes buying a home more expensive, directly impacting affordability.
  • Insurance Costs and Availability The rising cost and sometimes outright unavailability of homeowners insurance across parts of the state can really scare buyers.
  • Tariff Wars: Yes, they're still a factor, creating economic ripples that affect various industries and can impact real estate indirectly.

Home Prices are Leveling Off

The good news? We are seeing a shift in upward pressure on home prices. The median home price in Southern California saw a modest increase of 0.9 percent year-over-year, reaching $888,000 in May. While still an increase, this growth is notably slower than what we've seen in previous years, and even declined over the month of April as the data below shows.

Here’s a county-by-county breakdown of median home prices in Southern California:

County May 2025 % Change (Year-over-Year)
Los Angeles $835,480 +2.9%
Orange $1,419,500 -0.2%
Riverside $638,000 -1.0%
San Bernardino $497,940 +5.6%
San Diego $1,050,000 +2.4%
Ventura $985,000 +6.5%
Imperial $377,450 -6.8%

More Homes on the Market: Inventory is Up

One of the most significant shifts in the market is the increase in housing inventory. The Unsold Inventory Index (UII), which measures the number of months it would take to sell all homes on the market at the current sales rate, has been rising. In May, the UII for Southern California was 3.9 months, up from 2.7 months a year ago.

This means there are nearly 50% more homes available than there were last year and a great increase from the prior month! In real terms, this increased inventory gives buyers more choices and reduces the pressure on bidding wars.

What Does This Mean for Buyers?

If you're in the market to buy, this cooling trend could be good news:

  • More Negotiation Power: With fewer buyers and more homes on the market, you have more room to negotiate on price and terms.
  • Less Competition: You're less likely to find yourself in a bidding war, which means you can take your time and make a more informed decision.
  • Potential for Price Reductions: As inventory continues to grow, sellers may be more willing to lower their prices to attract buyers.
  • A Window of Opportunity: As C.A.R. President Heather Ozur very aptly says, “With home prices leveling off and more homes are coming onto the market, it's a great time for well-qualified buyers to enter the market”.

What Does This Mean for Sellers?

If you're thinking of selling, you might need to adjust your expectations:

  • Realistic Pricing: Overpricing your home is a surefire way to scare away potential buyers. It's crucial to price your home competitively based on current market conditions.
  • Highlight the Positives: Focus on showcasing your home's best features and making it as appealing as possible to potential buyers.
  • Be Patient: Homes are taking longer to sell. The median number of days it took to sell a home in California was 21 days in May, up from 16 days a year ago. Be prepared for a longer sales process.
  • Consider Making Some Improvements: A fresh coat of paint, updated landscaping, or minor repairs can go a long way in attracting buyers.

A Regional Perspective

It’s important to remember that real estate is hyper-local. What’s happening in Los Angeles might be different from what’s happening in San Diego. Here’s a brief overview of major regions in California:

  • Southern California: Sales down, prices up (modestly).
  • Central Coast: Sales down, prices up significantly.
  • San Francisco Bay Area: Sales down, prices down.
  • Central Valley: Sales down, prices up slightly.
  • Far North: Sales flat, prices down.

Looking Ahead: Will the Southern California Housing Market Rebound?

Predicting the future is always a risky game, but here's what the experts are saying:

  • Consumer Sentiment is Improving: C.A.R.'s Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine points out that consumer sentiment is showing “signs of improvment”, which could boost the housing market in the second half of the year.
  • Mortgage Rates are Key: If mortgage rates stabilize or even decline, we could see more buyers re-enter the market.
  • The Economy Matters: Overall economic growth and job creation will play a significant role in the housing market's recovery.

My Take?

I think we're entering a more balanced market, where neither buyers nor sellers have a distinct advantage. This is a good thing for the long-term health of the real estate market. While the days of rapid price appreciation may be behind us (for now), real estate remains a solid long-term investment.

As a real estate professional, I encourage everyone to keep a close eye on market trends and seek expert advice before making any decisions. Whether you're buying or selling, having the right information and guidance can make all the difference.

Key Takeaways at a Glance

To summarize, here are the key points to remember:

  • Southern California home sales are down significantly.
  • Home price growth is slowing.
  • Inventory is up, giving buyers more choices.
  • Elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty are contributing to the cooling trend.
  • Buyers have more negotiation power, while sellers need to price competitively.
  • Consumer sentiment may improve, potentially boosting the market in the second half of the year.

I hope this comprehensive overview helps you understand the current state of the Southern California housing market. If you have any questions or need personalized advice, don't hesitate to reach out.

Recommended Read:

  • Southern California Housing Market: Prices and Forecast 2025
  • 22 Cheapest Places to Live in Southern California
  • California Housing Market: Trends and Forecast 2024-2025
  • Southern California Housing Update: Record Prices Fuel Growth
  • Southern California Market Shift: Rising Rates Cool the Market
  • Southern California Housing Market Heats Up in April 2024

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market Forecast, Southern California home prices, Southern California Housing Market

Today’s 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rises to 7.39% – June 25, 2025

June 25, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Rises to 7.39% - June 25, 2025

Are you thinking about buying a home or refinancing your mortgage? It's essential to stay up-to-date on the latest mortgage rate trends. As of today, June 25, 2025, the national average 5-year Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) has risen to 7.39%. This increase of 6 basis points from 7.33% marks a notable shift in the market, and I'll break down what it means for you, whether you're a first-time buyer or a seasoned investor.

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Soars at 7.39% – June 25, 2025: What You Need to Know

With fluctuating interest rates in the market, understanding the different types of mortgages and their implications is vital. It's no secret that navigating the housing market can be confusing, and nobody wants to be swindled when making a dream purchase. So, let’s take a deep dive to gain clarity on what these numbers really mean!

Mortgage Rate Snapshot: June 25, 2025

Before going forward, it's important to understand the current mortgage market at a high level for proper context. Here's a quick look at the latest average mortgage rates from Zillow as of June 25, 2025:

  • 30-Year Fixed Rate: 6.81% (down 2 basis points from yesterday)
  • 15-Year Fixed Rate: 5.87% (stable)
  • 5-Year ARM: 7.39% (up 6 basis points)

Why the Focus on the 5-Year ARM?

You might be wondering, “Why are we focusing on the 5-year ARM in particular?”. Well, ARMs can be a strategic choice for certain homebuyers, especially when interest rates are high. But as we will soon see, they come with a distinct set of advantages and disadvantages. Understanding the nuances of ARMs can save you money and help you make a smarter financial decision when choosing a mortgage.

Understanding Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs)

What is an ARM?

An Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) is a type of home loan where the interest rate is not fixed for the entire loan term. Instead, it starts with an initial fixed-rate period, after which the interest rate can adjust periodically based on a benchmark index, like the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plus a margin.

How does a 5-Year ARM work?

A 5-year ARM has a fixed interest rate for the first five years of the loan. After that, the interest rate adjusts annually. If you get a 5-year ARM, for the initial 5 years, your interest rate will be locked. After this initial period, the rate will typically adjust once per year based on market conditions. This means your monthly mortgage payment could go up or down depending on where interest rates are at that time.

Initial Fixed Rate: As of today, June 25, 2025, the national average for a 5-year ARM is 7.39%.

Adjustment Period: After the first five years, the interest rate will adjust. The frequency of these adjustments (how often they happen) is defined in the mortgage agreement.

Index and Margin: The interest rate on an ARM is calculated by adding a margin to a specific index. The index is a benchmark rate that reflects prevailing interest rates (e.g., SOFR), and the margin is a fixed percentage point that the lender adds. The margin and index determine how much your rate adjusts.

Rate Caps: ARMs usually come with rate caps, which put a limit on how much the interest rate can increase. There are typically two types of caps:

  • Periodic Cap: Limits how much the rate can increase in a single adjustment period.
  • Lifetime Cap: Limits how much the rate can increase over the entire loan term.

These caps are designed to protect borrowers from excessively high-rate increases.

Why the Increase in 5-Year ARM Rates?

Several factors could be contributing to the rise in 5-year ARM rates. Here's my expert perspective:

  • Inflation: Persistent inflation can drive up interest rates across the board. As the cost of goods and services rises, lenders may increase rates to protect their returns. Inflation eats into money, so you can't expect them to keep lending at the same rate.
  • Economic Growth: A strong economy often leads to higher interest rates. When the economy is growing, demand for loans increases, driving up rates.
  • Federal Reserve Policy: All eyes are always on the Fed. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a direct impact on interest rates. If the Fed raises the federal funds rate, mortgage rates typically follow suit.
  • Market Expectations: Interest rates are forward-looking, and market expectations about future economic conditions can influence current rates.

ARMs vs. Fixed-Rate Mortgages: Which is Right for You?

The big question is always: Which is superior, an ARM or a fixed-rate mortgage? Let's compare ARMs to traditional fixed-rate mortgages to help you decide which one is right for you:

Feature Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) Fixed-Rate Mortgage
Interest Rate Adjustable Fixed
Initial Rate Often lower than fixed rates Higher than ARM
Rate Stability Unstable Stable
Monthly Payments Potentially fluctuating Predictable
Risk Higher Lower
Best For Short-term homeowners Long-term homeowners

When an ARM Might Be a Good Choice:

  • Short-Term Homeownership: If you only plan to stay in your home for a few years (less than 5 years), an ARM might make sense. You can take advantage of the lower initial rate and potentially sell the home before the rate adjusts.
  • Expectation of Lower Rates: If you believe interest rates will decrease in the future, an ARM could be beneficial. As rates fall, your mortgage payment could decrease.
  • Financial Flexibility: If you anticipate an increase in income in the future that will enable you to afford potentially higher mortgage payments.
  • You're comfortable with risk: You'll need to have the mental fortitude to handle market swings, be it for the better or worse.

However, I tell my friends that it may be a bad idea if they are not planning to stay in the house for a short amount of time. The danger of a higher interest rate is very real.

Recommended Read:

5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Analysis for June 24, 2025?

Fixed vs. Adjustable Rate Mortgage in 2025: Which is Best for You

When a Fixed-Rate Mortgage Might Be a Better Choice:

  • Long-Term Homeownership: If you plan to stay in your home for many years, a fixed-rate mortgage offers stability and predictability.
  • Risk Aversion: If you prefer the peace of mind of knowing your mortgage payment will not change, a fixed-rate mortgage is the way to go.
  • Rising Interest Rate Environment: If you believe interest rates will rise, locking in a fixed rate now can save you money in the long run.

Current Mortgage Rate Trends

Looking more broadly, here's how other types of mortgages are performing (based on the data from Zillow):

Loan Program Rate 1W Change APR 1W Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.82% down 0.10% 7.35% down 0.02%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.87% down 0.09% 6.24% down 0.03%
5-Year ARM 7.39% up 0.19% 7.99% up 0.19%

How to Navigate the Current Market

Navigating the mortgage market requires careful planning and consideration. Here's my advice:

  • Shop Around: Get quotes from multiple lenders to ensure you're getting the best rate and terms.
  • Understand the Terms: Read the fine print and fully understand the terms of your mortgage, including any fees or penalties.
  • Consider Your Financial Situation: Assess your financial situation, including your income, debt, and credit score, to determine what you can realistically afford.
  • Work with a Professional: Consult with a mortgage broker or financial advisor to get personalized advice tailored to your needs and circumstances.

The Bottom Line

The increase in the 5-year ARM rate to 7.39% on June 25, 2025, is a reminder of the dynamic nature of the mortgage market. While ARMs can be a strategic choice for some, it's essential to weigh the risks and benefits carefully. By staying informed and working with qualified professionals, you can make confident decisions that align with your financial goals.

Is the market still hot, you ask? Well in my experience, I would not compare current times to what we've seen in the past few years (2020-2023) where rates were extremely low and demand was extremely high. Instead, it's quite close if you use pre-pandemic times as a base.

Capitalize on ARM Rates Before They Rise Even Higher

With fluctuating adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), savvy investors are exploring flexible financing options to maximize returns.

Norada offers a curated selection of ready-to-rent properties in top markets, helping you capitalize on current mortgage trends and build long-term wealth.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with an investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2025: Morgan Stanley's Forecast
  • Expect High Mortgage Rates Until 2026: Fannie Mae's 2-Year Forecast
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions 2025 from 4 Leading Housing Experts
  • Mortgage Rates Forecast for the Next 3 Years: 2025 to 2027
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Adjustable Rate Mortgage, Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates

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