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Today’s Mortgage Rates, November 26: 30-Year Fixed Rate Goes Down to 6.04%

November 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates, Nov 30: 30-Year Fixed Rate Poised to Break Into the 5% Range

The big news today, November 26th, is that today's mortgage rates are hovering so close to the 6% mark for a 30-year fixed loan that it feels like we're holding our breath. According to Zillow, the average rate has dipped to 6.04%, its lowest point this year. This is significant because breaking below that 6% barrier could really shake things up, encouraging more people to buy homes or refinance their existing mortgages.

For a while now, mortgage rates have been a bit of a rollercoaster, and seeing them consistently above 6.5% through much of 2025 had many potential buyers on the sidelines. But this recent downward trend, especially the noticeable drop in the 15-year fixed rate to 5.47%, is a welcome sign.

It suggests that the market is becoming more favorable, and opportunities are popping up for both those looking to purchase their first home and for homeowners wanting to lower their monthly payments. This subtle shift feels like a turning point we've been anticipating.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 26: 30-Year Fixed Rate Goes Down to 6.04%

Understanding the Numbers: Today's Mortgage Rates Snapshot

To give you a clear picture, here's what the average mortgage rates look like today for those looking to buy a home, based on Zillow's data. Remember, these are national averages and can vary based on your specific situation, credit score, and lender.

Loan Type Average Rate
30-Year Fixed 6.04%
20-Year Fixed 5.84%
15-Year Fixed 5.47%
5/1 ARM 6.16%
7/1 ARM 6.12%
30-Year VA 5.36%
15-Year VA 4.96%
5/1 VA 4.91%

Why the Sub-6% Mark Matters So Much

Think of mortgage rates like the price tag on one of the biggest purchases most people will ever make – a home. When that price tag comes down, even by a little, it makes the whole prospect much more appealing. For years, we've seen rates fluctuate, and for a long stretch, they felt stubbornly high. A dip to 6.04% on the 30-year fixed is not just a number; it's a psychological threshold.

When rates are hovering just above 6%, people tend to wait and see if they'll go lower. But once they officially dip below 6%, it often triggers a “now or never” feeling. This is because a lower rate can significantly reduce your monthly payment over the life of the loan. For folks considering buying, that translates to a more affordable monthly housing cost, potentially allowing them to qualify for a larger loan or simply save money each month. For those looking to refinance, it's an opportunity to either lower their monthly payment, shorten their loan term, or even cash out some equity. My experience tells me that when a rate like this appears, the phones start ringing for lenders, and open houses see more foot traffic.

The 15-Year Fixed: A Smart Choice for Many

While the 30-year fixed gets a lot of attention, I always tell people to consider the 15-year fixed option. Today, it's looking particularly attractive with an average rate of 5.47%. While the monthly payments on a 15-year loan are typically higher than on a 30-year loan, you pay significantly less interest over the life of the loan and own your home free and clear much sooner.

  • Faster Equity Building: You build equity in your home at a much quicker pace.
  • Substantial Interest Savings: The total interest paid can be tens or even hundreds of thousands of dollars less.
  • Financial Freedom: Being mortgage-free sooner provides immense financial flexibility for retirement or other life goals.

This lower rate on the 15-year, coupled with the inherent savings, makes it a powerful option for anyone who can comfortably manage the higher monthly payments. It’s a path to owning your home outright in half the time, which is a pretty compelling carrot to dangle.

VA Loans: Exceptional Value for Eligible Veterans

One of the consistently bright spots in the mortgage market are VA loans, designed for eligible veterans and active-duty military personnel. The rates for VA loans today are notably lower than conventional loans, showcasing the continued value they offer.

  • 30-Year VA: 5.36%
  • 15-Year VA: 4.96%
  • 5/1 VA: 4.91%

These rates, particularly the 30-year at 5.36%, are well below the conventional 30-year fixed rate. This program is a testament to our nation's commitment to its service members, providing them with more affordable access to homeownership. If you're a veteran or active-duty military member, exploring a VA loan is almost always a must-do.


Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of November 25, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for the Next 12 Months: Nov 2025 to Nov 2026

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: October to December 2025

Refinance Rates: Opportunities and Considerations

Now, let's talk about refinancing. The mortgage market data shows a slight difference between rates for purchasing a home and rates for refinancing. For instance, the 30-year fixed refinance rate is at 6.18%, compared to the 6.04% for purchases. This isn't unusual; lenders often price these differently.

So, what does this mean for homeowners considering a refinance?

  • The Gap is Small: The difference of 0.14% for a 30-year fixed is not massive. If you're looking to lower your monthly payment or tap into equity, now might still be a good time.
  • Assess Your Goals: Are you looking to simply lower your payment and keep the same loan term? Or do you want to shorten your loan term and pay less interest overall (which might mean a similar or slightly higher payment if you go from a 30-year to a 15-year)? Understanding your goal is key.
  • Don't Wait Too Long: While rates might drop further, they could also go up. If you see a rate that meets your financial objectives and provides tangible savings, it's worth acting on. Waiting for the absolute lowest possible rate can sometimes mean missing out on a good opportunity altogether. I've seen clients who waited too long and saw rates climb back up, regretting not refinancing when they had the chance.

Here are the refinance rates, also from Zillow:

Loan Type Average Rate
30-Year Fixed 6.18%
20-Year Fixed 6.11%
15-Year Fixed 5.66%
5/1 ARM 6.47%
7/1 ARM 6.64%
30-Year VA 5.49%
15-Year VA 5.15%
5/1 VA 5.02%

What's Driving These Rate Movements?

Several factors are influencing these mortgage rate dips. For a while, there's been a lot of buzz about the Federal Reserve potentially cutting its benchmark interest rate. While not a done deal for December, the anticipation alone is enough to nudge mortgage rates downward because investors often react to these signals. When investors expect rates to fall, they tend to buy more long-term bonds, which can drive down yields—and mortgage rates tend to follow bond yields.

On the housing front, despite ongoing concerns about high home prices, government loan programs like FHA, VA, and USDA are seeing consistent application volumes. These programs offer more flexible qualification requirements and often lower down payment options, making them incredibly appealing to a wider range of buyers, especially those who might be priced out of conventional markets.

Looking back, it's important to remember where we've come from. While today's rates are a welcome relief compared to earlier in 2025 or even the peak of 2023 and 2024, they are still higher than the historic lows we saw during the pandemic. This disconnect is a big reason why so many homeowners are feeling “golden handcuffed”—they have a fantastic, low-interest rate on their current mortgage and are hesitant to move and take on a new, higher rate. This has, in turn, impacted the inventory of homes for sale.

The Bottom Line

Today, November 26th, the mortgage market is offering a glimmer of hope for many looking to buy or refinance. With the 30-year fixed rate teetering on the edge of 6%, a significant psychological and practical barrier could soon fall. The 15-year fixed is particularly appealing for its long-term savings, and VA loans continue to provide excellent value for those eligible. While external economic factors are at play, the current trend is generally moving in a direction that makes homeownership and refinancing more accessible. My advice? If you've been waiting, now is a good time to start seriously evaluating your options and talking to a lender.

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Turnkey real estate offers powerful tax benefits, monthly cash flow, and long-term equity growth—ideal for early retirement planning.

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Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

30-Year Mortgage Rate Hits Lowest Level of the Year — Here’s What’s Behind the Drop

November 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Buyer Hope Rises as 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Dips to Lowest Since October

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has just hit a significant milestone, reaching a yearly low of 6.06% according to Zillow. This isn't just a minor blip; this rate matches the lowest point we've seen all of 2025, last occurring in late October. For prospective homeowners, this dip represents a truly golden opportunity to lock in a steady, predictable payment on what is typically the largest purchase of their lives.

30-Year Mortgage Rate Hits Lowest Level of the Year — Here’s What’s Behind the Drop

Hitting a yearly low on the most popular loan type, the 30-year fixed, is a substantial piece of news. It signals a more favorable borrowing environment for consumers and potentially opens doors for buyers who may have been on the fence due to higher rates earlier in the year. If you're looking to buy a home and want predictable monthly payments for the next three decades, this is absolutely an opportunity to explore seriously.

Understanding Today's Mortgage Rates: A Closer Look

It's always best to see the whole picture, so let's break down the national average mortgage rates as of November 25, 2025, based on the latest Zillow data:

Loan Term Rate
30-year fixed 6.06%
20-year fixed 6.06%
15-year fixed 5.53%
5/1 ARM 6.16%
7/1 ARM 6.02%
30-year VA 5.55%
15-year VA 5.28%
5/1 VA 5.09%

Keep in mind, these are national averages. Your specific rate will depend on factors like your credit score, down payment amount, and chosen lender.

The Significance of the 30-Year Fixed Rate’s Yearly Low

Why is the 30-year fixed mortgage rate hitting 6.06% so important? Well, let’s look back. For much of 2025, we saw these rates consistently above 6.5%, and at times even a bit higher. For a significant loan amount, that difference – even just half a percentage point – can translate to thousands upon thousands of dollars in interest paid over 30 years.

This current rate is a welcome reprieve. It means more people who were priced out earlier in the year might now find a home purchase more affordable. For those who can afford it, locking in at 6.06% means peace of mind knowing their principal and interest payment won't change, no matter what happens in the broader economy or with interest rate trends. In my experience, predictability in mortgage payments is invaluable for long-term financial planning.

Navigating Fixed-Term Choices Beyond the 30-Year

While the 30-year fixed is the star today, let's not forget other fixed-rate options available:

  • 20-Year Fixed: It's quite interesting that the 20-year fixed rate is also sitting at 6.06% today. Usually, you'd expect a rate reduction for choosing a shorter term. In this specific instance, you get the benefit of paying off your mortgage a decade sooner without an increased interest rate, which is a fantastic scenario if you can manage the higher monthly payments.
  • 15-Year Fixed: For those seeking the lowest interest rate and the fastest path to homeownership, the 15-year fixed rate is even lower, at 5.53%. This loan term comes with higher monthly payments but saves you a substantial amount on interest over the life of the loan. It’s a powerful tool for aggressive debt reduction and building equity rapidly.

Who is each loan term best for?
The 15-year fixed is ideal for financially solid individuals or families who want to be mortgage-free sooner and can comfortably handle the larger payments. The 20-year fixed, at today's rates, offers a compelling balance – a faster payoff than the 30-year without necessarily a huge jump in monthly cost compared to a 15-year. And of course, the 30-year fixed at this 6.06% low is perfect for those who prioritize lower monthly payments, offering maximum affordability and flexibility in household budgeting.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): Weighing the Risks

ARMs often boast lower initial rates, but it's crucial to understand they come with potential future rate increases.

  • 5/1 ARM: Today's rate is 6.16%. This means your rate is fixed for five years, then adjusts annually.
  • 7/1 ARM: The rate here is 6.02%, offering a seven-year initial fixed period before annual adjustments commence.

When you compare these to the 30-year fixed rate of 6.06%, the attractiveness of ARMs diminishes significantly for many buyers. Paying 6.16% for a 5/1 ARM when a 30-year fixed is available at 6.06% means you’re potentially paying more and taking on future rate risk for little to no immediate savings. ARMs are best considered if you have a clear exit strategy, like selling the home or refinancing before the fixed period ends, and you're comfortable with the unpredictable nature of future payments.

VA Loan Advantage: A Gratitude for Service

For our nation's veterans and eligible military families, VA loans continue to provide an exceptional advantage. These government-backed loans consistently offer lower interest rates and often come with benefits like no down payment requirement.

Let's look at the VA loan rates today:

  • 30-year VA: 5.55%
  • 15-year VA: 5.28%
  • 5/1 VA: 5.09%

The 30-year VA loan rate at 5.55% is remarkably lower than the conventional 30-year fixed rate of 6.06%. That's a substantial saving for those who have served. If you're eligible, exploring VA loan options should be a top priority.

Refinancing: What the Rates Mean for Current Homeowners

For those who already own a home, today's rates present a key question: Is it time to refinance?

Here are the national average refinance rates for November 25, 2025:

Loan Term Rate
30-year fixed 6.20%
20-year fixed 6.05%
15-year fixed 5.64%
5/1 ARM 6.35%
7/1 ARM 6.80%
30-year VA 5.64%
15-year VA 5.30%
5/1 VA 5.20%

You'll notice that refinance rates are generally a touch higher than purchase rates. For example, the 30-year fixed refinance rate is 6.20% versus the purchase rate of 6.06%. This is typically due to how lenders assess risk and manage their portfolios.

However, the key is the difference between your current mortgage rate and these new rates. If you have an older mortgage with a rate significantly higher than 6.20%, refinancing into a 30-year fixed could still offer considerable monthly savings and reduce the total interest paid over the life of your loan. The 15-year fixed refinance rate at 5.64% is also a strong option for homeowners looking to pay down their mortgage faster and save on interest.

Factors Shaping Mortgage Rate Trends

Mortgage rates don't move in a vacuum. They are influenced by a delicate interplay of economic signals. Here’s what’s currently important:

  • Economic Data Releases: This week's economic reports (inflation, retail sales, consumer sentiment) are critical. Weak numbers suggesting the economy is slowing down tend to push mortgage rates down, as investors seek safer havens like bonds. Stronger data can have the opposite effect.
  • Federal Reserve's Stance: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is always a major driver. Their next scheduled announcement is on December 10, 2025. The market is split on whether they will lower interest rates again or hold steady. Any shift in their policy or forward guidance can significantly impact borrowing costs.
  • Market Sentiment: Beyond the hard numbers, general investor confidence plays a role. Economic uncertainty often leads money to flow into bonds, pushing yields (and thus mortgage rates) down. Confidence can lead to money flowing out of bonds, increasing rates.

What's Next for Mortgage Rates?

From my perspective, this yearly low in the 30-year fixed rate is a welcome sign. I anticipate we'll see continued modest easing through the end of November. However, I don't foresee a drastic drop.

The real watershed moment will likely be in early December. The Fed's decision and how the market interprets the economic data around that time will be paramount.

For now, buyers should recognize that 6.06% on a 30-year fixed mortgage is an excellent rate and a significant opportunity. My advice remains consistent: no matter the rate, always get pre-approved, understand your creditworthiness, and shop around with multiple lenders. This current dip, however, makes that advice even more potent. It's a prime chance to secure a fantastic rate and make your homeownership dreams a reality.

Beat Inflation & Retire Early with Turnkey Rentals

Turnkey real estate offers powerful tax benefits, monthly cash flow, and long-term equity growth—ideal for early retirement planning.

Norada Real Estate helps you invest in inflation-resistant markets with strong rental demand and built-in tax advantages like depreciation and 1031 exchanges.

🔥 HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

What New Forecasts Say About the Utah Housing Market From 2025 to 2027

November 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

What New Forecasts Say About the Utah Housing Market From 2025 to 2027

Let's talk about what's happening and what might happen in the Utah housing market over the next couple of years. If you're wondering if home prices will drop in Utah or if it could crash, the short answer for the next two years is likely no, especially not a significant crash. The Utah housing market in 2025 is showing signs of steady, albeit slower, growth and a more balanced environment compared to the frenzy of recent years.

Utah Housing Market Trends

Before we peek into the future, it's super important to understand where we are right now. Think of it like checking the weather before you pack for a trip. We need to know the current conditions to make sense of the forecast.

What's Happening with Utah Homes Right Now?

According to Zillow, here's the scoop on Utah's housing market as of late 2025:

  • Average Home Value: The average home in Utah is valued at $530,173. This is a good sign, showing a 2.2% increase over the last year. It means your home is likely worth more than it was, and for buyers, it means prices are still appreciating, just at a more sensible pace.
  • How Fast Homes Are Selling: Homes are spending about 36 days on the market before going into contract (pending). This is a noticeable difference from the lightning-fast sales we saw not too long ago. It suggests buyers have a bit more time to make decisions, and sellers might not get 20 offers on day one.
  • How Many Homes Are for Sale: As of October 31, 2025, there are 16,138 homes for sale. This is the housing inventory, or the supply of homes. Having more homes available is great for buyers because it means more choices and less intense competition.
  • New Homes Hitting the Market: In October 2025, there were 3,819 new listings. This number tells us how many fresh opportunities are coming up for buyers.
  • What Homes Are Selling For: The median sale price (what half the homes sold for more than, and half sold for less) was $522,102 in September 2025. This is slightly less than the median list price of $568,883 in October 2025. This difference between list and sale price is something to watch.
  • Are Homes Selling Above Asking Price? This is where things get interesting. Only 21.9% of sales were over the list price, while a significant 56.9% were under the list price. This is a strong indicator that the intense bidding wars are largely over, and we're moving towards a more balanced market. This data from Zillow really paints a picture of a market that's cooling down from its peak but is far from crashing.

The Buyer vs. Seller Market: Where Do We Stand?

Based on these numbers, Utah is leaning more towards a buyer's market, or at least a balanced market.

  • For Sellers: While homes are still appreciating, you might not get the astronomical offers you saw a year or two ago. You'll likely need to price your home realistically and be prepared for negotiations. Homes are taking longer to sell, so patience is key.
  • For Buyers: This is a much better time to buy! You have more homes to choose from, you have more time to make a decision without feeling rushed, and you're less likely to get into a bidding war where you have to offer way over asking. You might even be able to negotiate a bit on price or ask for seller concessions.

What New Forecasts Say About the Utah Housing Market From 2025 to 2027

Now, let's look ahead. What do the experts think will happen with the Utah housing market over the next two years, roughly from late 2025 through 2026 and into early 2027?

Utah's Major Cities: A Closer Look

Zillow's forecast for different areas within Utah gives us a good idea of regional differences. Let's focus on some key areas and their projected home value changes:

Projected Home Value Changes (in percentage)

Region Name Base Date Oct 2025 Dec 2025 Sep 2026
Salt Lake City, UT 30-09-2025 0.4% 0.3% 1.6%
Ogden, UT 30-09-2025 0.5% 0.7% 2.5%
Provo, UT 30-09-2025 0.4% 0.5% 1.7%
St. George, UT 30-09-2025 0.0% -0.3% 1.4%
Logan, UT 30-09-2025 0.5% 0.8% 2.6%
Heber, UT 30-09-2025 0.2% 0.3% 3.4%
Cedar City, UT 30-09-2025 0.1% 0.3% 2.5%
Vernal, UT 30-09-2025 0.5% 1.2% 4.3%
Price, UT 30-09-2025 0.3% 0.9% 5.4%

(Data Source: Zillow)

What does this table tell us?

  • Near-Term (Late 2025): For October and December 2025, the projections show very small positive or slightly negative changes. For instance, Salt Lake City is expected to see just a 0.4% increase in October and a 0.3% increase in December. St. George even shows a slight dip of -0.3% by December. This indicates a period of stability rather than rapid growth. It’s like the market is treading water before deciding on its next move.
  • Medium-Term (Through September 2026): Looking out to September 2026, the picture brightens considerably for most areas. We see positive growth projected across the board.
    • Stronger Growth Areas: Places like Vernal and Price are forecasted to see the highest growth (4.3% and 5.4% respectively by September 2026). Heber also shows strong potential at 3.4%. These might be areas experiencing increased demand or having more affordable entry points that are attracting buyers.
    • Steady Growth Areas: Cities like Ogden, Logan, and Cedar City are looking at solid growth of around 2.5% to 2.6%.
    • Moderate Growth Areas: Salt Lake City and Provo are projected to see more moderate gains of 1.6% and 1.7%.
    • St. George: This area, which showed a slight dip late in 2025, is forecast to recover and see a 1.4% increase by September 2026.

My Take: Overall, the Zillow forecast suggests a slow and steady approach for the Utah housing market over the next two years. We're not looking at massive jumps in home prices, but more importantly, we're not seeing signs of a crash. The market is expected to gradually gain momentum throughout 2026.

Comparing Utah to the Nation: What's Happening Elsewhere?

It’s always helpful to see how Utah stacks up against the rest of the country. Zillow and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) have some interesting predictions for the U.S. housing market.

Key Predictions from Zillow (Nationwide):

  • Home Value Growth: Zillow predicts that home value growth will be flat in 2025 and then start to recover in 2026. They expect annual growth to peak at nearly 1.9% by August 2026. This aligns with the idea of a gradual recovery after a period of cooling.
  • Home Sales: The number of home sales is expected to be around 4.07 million by the end of 2025, which is a slight increase from 2024. More sales mean more activity, which is generally a good sign for the market.
  • Rents: Rental growth is expected to continue cooling, meaning rent increases might not be as steep as they have been.

Key Predictions from NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun (Nationwide):

Lawrence Yun, a well-respected economist, shares an optimistic outlook. He sees “brighter days” ahead.

  • Existing Home Sales: He forecasts a 6% rise in 2025 and an even bigger 11% jump in 2026. This is a pretty significant increase, suggesting more people will be buying and selling homes.
  • New Home Sales: New construction is also expected to do well, with a 10% increase in 2025 and another 5% in 2026. This is great news for housing inventory, as it helps to build more homes to meet demand.
  • Median Home Prices: Yun predicts modest increases in median home prices, with a 3% rise in 2025 and 4% in 2026. This is a healthy, sustainable pace of appreciation.
  • Mortgage Rates: This is a big one! Yun expects mortgage rates to average 6.4% in the latter half of 2025 and then dip to 6.1% in 2026. He calls them a “magic bullet” because lower rates make buying a home more affordable, which can boost demand.

My Thoughts on the National Picture: The national forecast suggests a market that is also recovering. The key takeaway is that mortgage rates are expected to become more favorable, which is fantastic news for affordability. More home sales and modest price growth across the U.S. indicate a market that's moving towards a healthier balance.

Will Home Prices Drop in Utah? Can it Crash?

So, back to the big question: Will Utah home prices crash? Based on all the data and forecasts from Zillow and NAR, the answer for the next two years is highly unlikely.

Here’s why:

  1. Steady Appreciation: Both Utah-specific forecasts and national outlooks point to continued, albeit modest, home price appreciation in 2025 and 2026. We're not seeing predictions of significant drops.
  2. Improving Affordability (Potentially): While prices are still high, the combination of slightly more homes on the market and potentially stabilizing or slightly decreasing mortgage rates (as predicted nationally) can improve buyer affordability over time. This demand helps keep prices from plummeting.
  3. Housing Supply Issues: Even with new construction, Utah has faced challenges with keeping up with demand for housing for years. This underlying housing inventory shortage is a strong factor preventing major price drops.
  4. Utah's Economic Growth: Utah has a generally strong economy. While economic downturns can affect housing, the current outlook for Utah is still quite positive.

A “crash” usually implies a rapid and steep decline in prices, often driven by major economic shocks or an oversupply of homes. The current trends and forecasts don't support this scenario for Utah in the near future.

A Peek Ahead: Late 2026 and Early 2027

Extrapolating from the current forecasts, here's what we might expect as we move towards the end of 2026 and into early 2027:

  • Continued Gentle Growth: The momentum from 2026 is likely to carry into early 2027. We should see home values continue to appreciate at a sustainable pace, similar to the 3-4% range predicted nationally for 2026.
  • Mortgage Rates: If mortgage rates continue to trend downwards as predicted, this will keep buyer demand strong and support price growth.
  • Inventory Levels: We might see a slight improvement in housing inventory as more new homes come online and as some homeowners who were hesitant to sell might feel more confident listing their properties. However, it's unlikely to swing dramatically to a severe seller's market again.
  • More Balanced Market: The trend towards a more balanced market is expected to continue. This means buyers will have more options and negotiation power than in the recent past, while sellers will still likely see good returns on their homes.

In essence, the Utah housing market forecast for the next 2 years points towards a period of stabilization followed by gradual, healthy growth. It's a market that's becoming more accessible for buyers and still rewarding for sellers, but without the extreme volatility of previous years.

I hope this deep dive helps you feel more confident about navigating the Utah housing market! It's always a good idea to keep an eye on local news and talk to real estate professionals for the most up-to-date information. Happy house hunting or selling!

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Also Read:

  • Utah Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast
  • Utah Clinches Top Spot for America's Best State
  • Ogden Housing Market 2024: Trends and Forecast
  • Salt Lake City Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast
  • Should You Invest In The Salt Lake City Housing Market?

Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Utah

10 Texas Housing Markets That Analysts Say Could See Price Declines in 2026

November 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

10 Texas Housing Markets That Analysts Say Could See Price Declines in 2026

If you're a homeowner or looking to buy in Texas, you'll want to pay close attention to this. According to the latest forecast from Zillow, some Texas housing markets are staring down the barrel of significant home price drops in 2026. While the national picture suggests modest growth, a specific set of Texas metros are projected to see the sharpest declines over the 12 months from October 2025 to October 2026. This isn't just about a little dip; some areas are bracing for double-digit percentage drops.

10 Texas Housing Markets That Analysts Say Could See Price Declines in 2026

I've seen cycles of boom and bust, but this forecast from Zillow definitely raises an eyebrow. It’s a stark reminder that real estate isn't monolithic – what happens in one city can be vastly different from another, even within the same state. Let's dive into which parts of the Lone Star State might see their home values take a hit and why.

Understanding the Forecast: What's Driving the Declines?

Before we get to the list, it's crucial to understand why Zillow is predicting these declines. Several factors are usually at play in a softening market. High mortgage rates, while showing signs of potentially easing, have already had a significant impact on affordability. When buying a home becomes more expensive due to rising interest rates, demand naturally cools. This can lead to properties sitting on the market longer, and sellers may eventually have to lower their asking prices to attract buyers.

Another piece of the puzzle is housing inventory. While the national picture suggests new listings are outpacing demand, leading to a leveling off of price appreciation nationwide, certain local markets might experience a different dynamic. If a region built up a lot of new housing during a boom period, and then demand suddenly slows, that extra supply can put downward pressure on prices. Conversely, some areas might be experiencing issues specific to their local economy, like job losses or a downturn in a key industry, which would directly impact housing demand.

Zillow's forecast specifically mentions that sustained elevated mortgage rates are keeping more would-be buyers renting, which affects both home sales and rental prices. For areas projected to decline, this suggests that the issues are localized rather than a broad national trend.

The Top 10 Texas Housing Markets Facing Steepest Price Corrections 

Zillow's data points to a cluster of smaller metropolitan areas, particularly in West Texas and South Texas, as being most vulnerable. These are often communities with economies that are more heavily reliant on specific industries, like oil and gas, which can be quite volatile.

Here are the Texas housing markets Zillow forecasts to see the most significant price declines between October 2025 and October 2026:

Region Name Projected Price Change (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026)
Pecos, TX -11.8%
Alice, TX -9.9%
Zapata, TX -9.6%
Big Spring, TX -8.5%
Beeville, TX -8.0%
Sweetwater, TX -7.8%
Rio Grande City, TX -7.5%
Raymondville, TX -7.1%
Vernon, TX -6.0%
Lamesa, TX -5.8%

As you can see, Pecos, in West Texas, is projected to lead the pack with an 11.8% drop in home prices. This area has historically been tied to the oil and gas industry, and the cyclical nature of that sector can significantly impact local housing markets. When oil prices are high and exploration is active, demand surges. When they fall, the opposite happens.

Looking at this list, I notice a pattern. Many of these are smaller cities. Smaller markets can sometimes be more susceptible to rapid price swings because they have fewer diverse economic drivers. A downturn in a major local employer or industry can have a more pronounced effect compared to a large, diversified metropolitan area.

Deeper Dive into Affected Regions

Let's take a closer look at a couple of these areas to understand the potential nuances:

  • Pecos, TX: Situated in the heart of the Permian Basin, Pecos's economy is heavily influenced by oil and gas activity. Increased exploration and production can lead to rapid population growth and housing demand, driving prices up quickly. However, when the industry experiences a downturn, the reverse can happen just as fast. Zillow's projection suggests that the current economic winds are not favorable for sustained price growth here, and a correction is anticipated.
  • Alice, TX: Located in South Texas, Alice's economy has also seen influences from the energy sector, as well as agriculture. Shifts in commodity prices or changes in industrial output can directly affect job availability and, consequently, housing demand. A projected decline of nearly 10% indicates that market forces in Alice are expected to push prices down significantly.

These are not just abstract numbers; for the people living in these communities, these forecasts can represent real changes in their home equity and their ability to afford housing moving forward. It’s a tough outlook for sellers in these specific markets.

Contrast: Texas Markets Expected to See Modest Growth

It's not all doom and gloom across the entire state. To provide a more complete picture, Zillow also forecasts modest growth in other Texas housing markets. This contrast is important, as it highlights the localized nature of real estate trends.

Here are some Texas regions Zillow expects to see modest home price appreciation:

Region Name Projected Price Change (Oct 2025 – Oct 2026)
El Paso, TX 2.4%
Stephenville, TX 2.2%
Corsicana, TX 1.9%
Brownsville, TX 1.8%
McAllen, TX 1.6%
Tyler, TX 1.3%
Wichita Falls, TX 1.2%
Amarillo, TX 1.2%

These markets, generally showing projected growth of around 1-2%, are likely benefiting from more diversified economies, sustained population growth, or perhaps more stable demand drivers. For instance, El Paso, a major border city, has a robust economy with diverse sectors. Tyler, in East Texas, has seen growth in healthcare and technology. These markets are better positioned to weather economic shifts than those heavily reliant on a single industry.

The National Picture: A Gentle Headwind

It’s helpful to zoom out and look at Zillow’s national forecast. Across the United States, home values are expected to rise by about 1.2% over the next 12 months. Home sales are projected to increase slightly. This points to a market that isn’t in freefall but rather experiencing a period of rebalancing.

Key national trends cited by Zillow include:

  • Modest Home Value Growth: A projected 1.2% increase nationally, a far cry from the rapid appreciation seen in previous years.
  • Inventory and Demand Balance: New listings are keeping pace with demand, which helps to ease price pressures.
  • Affordability Challenges: Elevated mortgage rates continue to make buying a home difficult for many.
  • Improving Sales Projections: Home sales are expected to improve in 2026 as mortgage rates potentially ease and pent-up demand returns.

The national forecast of muted growth is largely driven by affordability constraints due to higher interest rates. However, where Texas differs is in the stark decline projected for specific micro-markets. This isn't a uniform cooling; it's a localized recalibration based on regional economic health and supply-demand dynamics.

Navigating the Texas Housing Market in 2026

For buyers in the markets projected for declines, this could present an opportunity. If Zillow's forecast holds true, those looking to purchase in areas like Pecos or Alice might find more negotiation power and lower prices than they would have a year or two ago. However, it's critical to understand the underlying economic reasons for the decline. Is it a temporary dip in a cyclical industry, or a more fundamental shift?

For homeowners in these areas, it’s a signal to manage expectations. If you were planning to sell, you might need to adjust your asking price to align with market realities. It also highlights the importance of local market research when making real estate decisions.

My personal take? Real estate forecasts are educated guesses based on current data and trends. They are not guarantees. However, Zillow is a leading voice in this space, and their data is worth paying attention to. The deep disparities between the projected declines in some Texas markets and the modest growth in others underscore the importance of looking beyond just the state-level trends. Texas is a big, diverse state, and its housing markets reflect that diversity.

It’s wise for anyone involved in the Texas real estate market – whether as a buyer, seller, or investor – to stay informed, understand local economic drivers, and consult with knowledgeable real estate professionals. The next couple of years promise to be interesting, with some areas cooling off significantly while others continue to see steady, albeit modest, growth.

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Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 26: 30-Year Refinance Rate Drops But ARMs Climb

November 26, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Dec 10: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 7 Basis Points

Mortgage rates today, Nov 26, show a promising dip for those considering a 30-year refinance, with the average rate dropping by 6 basis points. This change brings the national average for a 30-year fixed refinance to 6.72%, a move that could make a real difference for many homeowners looking to save on their monthly payments. Based on the latest data from Zillow, this recent adjustment is a welcome piece of news, especially when we consider the broader economic forces at play.

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 26: 30-Year Refinance Rate Drops But ARMs Climb

Decoding the Day's Mortgage Rate Movements

Let's break down what's happening with refinance rates today, November 26, 2025. The market is a dynamic place, and different loan types are reacting in their own ways. Understanding these nuances is key to making an informed decision about your mortgage.

1. The 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: A Welcome Dip

Today's headline stat is the decrease in the 30-year fixed refinance rate. According to Zillow, this rate has moved from 6.66% to 6.72%. While it might seem like a small adjustment, a 6 basis point drop today, when compared to last week's average of 6.78%, paints a picture of a broader trend downwards. This signifies that, despite any minor daily fluctuations, the cost of refinancing a 30-year mortgage is becoming more favorable.

For many homeowners, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the go-to option. Its popularity stems from the predictable monthly payments and the long repayment period, which makes managing household budgets easier. A 6 basis point reduction might translate into saving tens or even hundreds of dollars over the life of the loan, depending on the loan amount. It suggests that now could be a good time to explore refinancing if you've been on the fence.

2. The 15-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: A Steady Decline

The news isn't just for longer-term borrowers. The 15-year fixed refinance rate has also seen a slight decrease, moving from 5.68% to 5.65%. This is a reduction of 3 basis points. While smaller than the move in the 30-year rate, it’s another positive sign for borrowers.

Shorter-term loans like the 15-year mortgage typically come with lower interest rates than their 30-year counterparts. This is because lenders perceive less risk over a shorter period. Borrowers who opt for a 15-year term usually do so because they want to pay off their mortgage faster and build equity more quickly. The lower rate on top of the shorter term can lead to significant savings in interest paid over time. If your goal is aggressive debt reduction, watching the 15-year rate is just as important.

3. The 5-Year ARM Rate: A Sharp Increase

Not all refinance rates are moving in the same direction, though. The 5-year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) refinance rate has experienced a noticeable surge, climbing 22 basis points from 7.31% to 7.53%. This is a substantial jump and highlights the inherent risks associated with ARMs, especially in a fluctuating economic environment.

ARMs start with a fixed interest rate for an initial period (in this case, five years), after which the rate adjusts periodically based on market conditions. While they can offer a lower initial rate compared to fixed-rate mortgages, the potential for significant increases later can be a major concern. This recent spike in the 5-year ARM rate serves as a strong reminder for borrowers to carefully consider their risk tolerance and future financial stability before committing to this type of loan. In times of economic uncertainty, fixed-rate mortgages often provide a more secure path.

Recommended Read:

30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – November 25, 2025

Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026? 

What This Means for You

These mixed movements across different loan types—a slight drop in the 30-year, a small decrease in the 15-year, and a significant rise in the 5-year ARM—reflect the complex reality of today's financial markets. Several factors influence these rates, including inflation expectations, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and the overall health of the economy.

For Homeowners Considering Refinancing:

We're seeing a trend that could benefit homeowners looking for stability and long-term savings. The decrease in the 30-year rate, in particular, makes it an attractive option for those who want to lower their monthly payments without drastically changing their repayment timeline.

  • Evaluate Your Current Mortgage: How does your current rate compare to these new refinance rates? Even a small improvement can add up.
  • Consider Your Financial Goals: Are you focused on reducing monthly payments, paying off your home faster, or taking cash out? Your goals will dictate which type of loan is best for you.
  • Assess Your Risk Tolerance: If you're thinking about an ARM, understand the potential for future rate increases. The current rise in the 5-year ARM rate is a clear indicator of this risk.
  • Shop Around: It’s always wise to get quotes from multiple lenders to ensure you’re securing the best possible rate and terms. Each lender might have slightly different pricing.

My Two Cents:

From my perspective, the current environment is one where caution and strategic thinking are rewarded. The downward movement in the 30-year fixed refinance rate is a positive signal, suggesting that opportunities to lock in lower borrowing costs are present. However, the sharp uptick in ARM rates underscores the importance of prioritizing stability if your financial future is less certain or if you prefer predictable expenses.

I always advise people to look beyond just the advertised rate. Consider the closing costs, any fees associated with the refinance, and how long you plan to stay in the home. These elements can significantly affect the true cost of refinancing and whether it makes financial sense for your specific situation. The numbers from Zillow provide a valuable snapshot, but personalized analysis is crucial.

It's essential to remember that these are national averages. Actual rates offered to you will depend on your credit score, loan-to-value ratio, the type of loan you choose, and the specific lender.

As of November 26, 2025, the mortgage market presents a mixed bag of opportunities and warnings. The 6 basis point drop in the 30-year fixed refinance rate is encouraging for many homeowners looking to trim their monthly obligations or secure a lower overall interest cost. Meanwhile, the 15-year fixed rate's modest decrease offers good news for those aiming for quicker equity building.

However, the significant rise in the 5-year ARM rate serves as a stark reminder of the volatility inherent in adjustable loans, urging a more conservative approach for many. Navigating these changes requires careful consideration of personal financial goals and risk appetite.

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Today’s Mortgage Rates, November 25: 30-Year FRM Drops to Lowest Level of 2025

November 25, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates, Nov 30: 30-Year Fixed Rate Poised to Break Into the 5% Range

The standout news for today's mortgage rates is that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has dipped to 6.06%, hitting a yearly low according to Zillow. This rate hasn't been this low all year, with the last time being in late October. For many, this could be the perfect moment to lock in a favorable rate before the year wraps up, potentially saving you a significant amount over the life of your loan.

It’s not daily that you see the 30-year fixed mortgage rate drop to such a compelling level, especially this late in the year. It’s a genuine opportunity, and one that many buyers have been waiting for. While we can't predict the future with 100% certainty, a rate around 6.06% for a 30-year fixed loan presents a strong case for moving forward with a purchase or refinancing.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 25: 30-Year FRM Drops to Lowest Level of 2025

Breaking Down Today's Mortgage Rates

It's always helpful to see the numbers laid out clearly. Here’s a look at the national average mortgage rates as of November 25, 2025, based on data from Zillow:

Loan Term Rate
30-year fixed 6.06%
20-year fixed 6.06%
15-year fixed 5.53%
5/1 ARM 6.16%
7/1 ARM 6.02%
30-year VA 5.55%
15-year VA 5.28%
5/1 VA 5.09%

Please remember, these are national averages. Your actual rate might be a bit different based on your credit score, down payment, and lender.

Why the 30-Year Fixed Rate Hitting a Yearly Low Matters

The fact that the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has returned to its yearly low of 6.06% is a big deal. Earlier in 2025, we saw these rates consistently hovering above 6.5% and even creeping higher at times. For a significant loan amount, that difference of even half a percent can add up to tens of thousands of dollars over 30 years.

When someone asks me if it's a good time to buy, I often look at these benchmark rates. A 30-year fixed loan offers stability and predictable monthly payments, making budgeting much easier. For first-time homebuyers, this stability is gold. It means you can plan your finances with a good degree of certainty for decades to come. Seeing this rate at its lowest point means more purchasing power for buyers, or a chance to get a better deal than they might have expected just a few months ago.

Exploring Your Fixed-Term Options

While the 30-year fixed is the most popular for a reason, it’s not the only game in town. Let's look at the other fixed-term options:

  • 20-Year Fixed: Interestingly, the 20-year fixed rate is also currently at 6.06%, the same as the 30-year fixed. This is a bit unusual. Typically, a shorter loan term would have a slightly lower rate. In this scenario, you get the benefit of paying off your mortgage 10 years sooner without a rate penalty! This could be an excellent option for those who can comfortably afford the higher monthly payments. You'd pay significantly less interest over time.
  • 15-Year Fixed: The 15-year fixed rate is lower still, at 5.53%. This is the traditional route for getting the absolute lowest interest rate and paying off your home much faster. However, the monthly payments will be considerably higher than a 30-year loan. This option is best for borrowers who have strong financial footing and want to be mortgage-free sooner, or those who plan to build substantial equity quickly.

Who benefits most?
Generally, a 15-year fixed is great for those who want to save the most on interest and can manage the higher monthly payments. The 20-year fixed offers a good middle ground, allowing you to pay it off faster than a 30-year but with potentially more manageable payments than a 15-year. The 30-year fixed, especially at this 6.06% rate, is ideal for those prioritizing lower monthly payments for budgeting flexibility or for maximizing their purchasing power to afford a slightly more expensive home.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): A Different Kind of Calculation

Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, can be attractive because they often start with a lower interest rate. However, they come with a trade-off: that rate can change over time.

  • 5/1 ARM: Today, the average 5/1 ARM rate is 6.16%. This means the initial rate is fixed for the first five years, and then it can adjust annually.
  • 7/1 ARM: The 7/1 ARM rate is at 6.02%. This offers a longer initial fixed period of seven years before annual adjustments begin.

In the current environment, with the 30-year fixed rate at a yearly low, ARMs might not be as compelling for everyone. When the initial rate on an ARM is barely lower than, or even higher than, a long-term fixed rate (like the 5/1 ARM at 6.16% versus the 30-year fixed at 6.06%), it’s a sign to be extra cautious. You’re essentially taking on the risk of future rate increases for little to no upfront savings. ARMs can make sense if you plan to sell the home or refinance before the fixed period ends and believe interest rates will remain stable or fall. However, it’s a gamble.

The VA Loan Advantage for Our Heroes

As always, VA loans continue to be a fantastic benefit for eligible veterans, active-duty military personnel, and surviving spouses. These loans, backed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, consistently offer some of the most competitive rates.

Here’s how they stack up today:

  • 30-year VA: 5.55%
  • 15-year VA: 5.28%
  • 5/1 VA: 5.09%

Look at that! The 30-year VA loan rate at 5.55% is significantly lower than the conventional 30-year fixed rate of 6.06%. That’s a difference of over half a percent! And the shorter-term VA loans are even more attractive. If you're eligible for a VA loan, it's almost always worth exploring, as it can lead to substantial savings and often comes with no down payment requirement and no private mortgage insurance.

Refinance Market Snapshot: Is It Time to Refi?

Refinancing is another area where mortgage rates play a huge role. People refinance for various reasons, most commonly to lower their monthly payments, reduce their interest rate, or cash out equity for other needs.

Here are the current refinance rates from Zillow:

Loan Term Rate
30-year fixed 6.20%
20-year fixed 6.05%
15-year fixed 5.64%
5/1 ARM 6.35%
7/1 ARM 6.80%
30-year VA 5.64%
15-year VA 5.30%
5/1 VA 5.20%

Comparing Purchase vs. Refinance Rates:

Notice that, for the most part, refinance rates are slightly higher than purchase rates. For example, the 30-year fixed refinance rate is 6.20%, compared to the 30-year fixed purchase rate of 6.06%. This is quite common. Lenders may price refinances differently than new purchases, sometimes factoring in the existing relationship or perceived risk.

What does this mean for homeowners?
Even with slightly higher refinance rates, a difference of a percentage point or more between your current mortgage rate and the available refinance rate can still make it worthwhile. If you have a rate significantly higher than 6.20% on your current 30-year mortgage, exploring a refinance could still lead to savings. The 15-year fixed refinance rate at 5.64% is also quite competitive, especially when compared to rates we saw even a year or two ago.


Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of November 24, 2025

Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 30 Days: Nov 10 to Dec 10, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for the Next 12 Months: Nov 2025 to Nov 2026

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: October to December 2025

What’s Influencing Today's Rates?

Mortgage rates are like a sensitive chameleon, changing colors based on a variety of economic factors. Here’s what I’m keeping an eye on:

  • Economic Reports: This week's economic news, including reports on inflation, retail sales, and consumer confidence, will be crucial. If these numbers come in weaker than expected, showing a slowdown in the economy, it typically pushes mortgage rates down. Lenders see less economic activity as a signal to make borrowing cheaper. Conversely, strong economic data can lead to higher rates.
  • Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve holds a lot of sway. Their next major announcement is scheduled for December 10, 2025. The market is divided on whether they will cut interest rates again or keep them steady. Any change in the Fed’s overnight lending rate can ripple through to mortgage rates. I, for one, am watching very closely to see if they signal a more dovish (rate-cutting) or hawkish (rate-holding/raising) stance.
  • Market Sentiment: Beyond the hard data, there’s overall market mood. If investors feel uncertain about the economy, they often move their money into safer assets like government bonds, which can indirectly lower mortgage rates. If confidence is high, money flows out, and rates can rise.

Looking Ahead: What to Expect

Right now, the market seems to be in a holding pattern of sorts, with rates at a yearly low but not plummeting. My take is that we're likely to see continued modest easing through the rest of November. However, don't expect a dramatic freefall.

The real inflection point, the moment that could truly shift things, will likely come in early December. This will be heavily dependent on the Federal Reserve’s decision and how financial markets interpret the incoming economic data leading up to and immediately following that announcement.

For now, while these 6.06% rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage are fantastic, it’s always wise to have your finances in order. Getting pre-approved, understanding your credit score, and comparing offers from multiple lenders are still the best steps you can take, regardless of where rates ultimately land. This dip is a gift, so take advantage of it wisely!

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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 25: 30-Year Refinance Rate Drops by 16 Basis Points

November 25, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Dec 10: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 7 Basis Points

Thinking about refinancing your mortgage? Good news! Today, November 25, the average rate for a 30-year fixed refinance has dipped to 6.62%, a welcome drop of 16 basis points from the previous week. This means if you've been watching for a better deal to adjust your home loan, now might be a prime time to explore your options.

This recent dip, while not a seismic event, signals a positive trend for many homeowners looking to lower their monthly payments or shorten their loan term. It’s a subtle but important step in a market that's been a bit of a rollercoaster lately.

Mortgage Rates Today, Nov 25: 30-Year Refinance Rate Drops by 16 Basis Points

The Big Picture: What’s Happening with Refinance Rates?

Let's break down what these numbers, as reported by Zillow, tell us. The headline grabber is, of course, the 30-year fixed refinance rate falling from last week's average of 6.78% down to 6.62%. That's a tangible decrease that can add up over the life of a loan.

But it's not just the 30-year loans seeing movement.

  • 15-Year Fixed Refinance: This shorter-term option also saw a slight improvement, dropping 5 basis points from 5.71% to 5.66%.
  • 5-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM): In contrast, the 5-year ARM refinance rate is holding steady at 7.14%. This highlights the different dynamics at play in the mortgage market.

Diving Deeper into the 30-Year Fixed Drop

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the workhorse of home financing for a reason. It offers stability and predictable monthly payments, making budgeting easier. A drop of 16 basis points might not sound huge on paper, but let's consider what it means.

For a borrower looking to refinance a $300,000 loan, that 0.16% difference can translate to saving over $50 per month. Over the course of 30 years, that’s substantial cash back in your pocket – enough for a nice vacation or to boost your savings. This particular rate drop is a good sign for those who prefer the security of a fixed payment for the long haul. It suggests that the market is becoming slightly more accommodating for borrowers looking to secure long-term, affordable financing.

The Appeal of the 15-Year Fixed

While the 30-year loan is popular for its monthly payment affordability, the 15-year fixed mortgage has always been a favorite among those who want to pay off their homes faster and save a significant amount on interest. The recent dip in its rate to 5.66% makes it even more attractive.

Why do shorter-term loans generally have lower rates? It comes down to risk for the lender. With a 15-year loan, the lender gets their money back much sooner, reducing the risk of economic changes or borrower default impacting their investment over a longer period. For borrowers, this means a higher monthly payment than a 30-year loan, but a drastically lower interest rate and the satisfaction of being mortgage-free much earlier. If you have the financial flexibility to handle a higher monthly payment, refinancing into a 15-year loan right now could be a very smart financial move.

Understanding the Steady 5-Year ARM

The fact that the 5-year ARM rate remains at 7.14% while fixed rates are inching down is telling. Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, typically start with a lower interest rate than fixed-rate mortgages. They offer a period of fixed payments (in this case, five years) before the rate begins to adjust based on market conditions.

In the current environment, lenders might be hesitant to lower ARM rates significantly because they anticipate potential future rate increases. For borrowers, an ARM can be a good option if you plan to sell your home or refinance again before the fixed period ends. However, it comes with the risk that your payments could increase after those introductory five years. Given that fixed rates are moving in a favorable direction, it makes the stability of the 30-year and 15-year options more appealing for many homeowners right now.

What’s Driving These Rate Movements?

Mortgage rates aren't just pulled out of thin air. They're influenced by a complex interplay of economic factors and lender decisions. Here’s what I’m keeping my eye on:

  • Economic Signals: This week, we’re seeing important economic reports released, including inflation, retail sales, and consumer confidence data. Generally, if these reports signal a slowing economy (for instance, weaker retail sales or lower consumer confidence), it can push mortgage rates down. This is because a weaker economy often leads the Federal Reserve to consider stimulus measures, which can include lowering interest rates. Conversely, strong economic data can cause rates to tick up.
  • Federal Reserve's Stance: The Federal Reserve plays a crucial role. Their next policy announcement is coming up on December 10th. Markets are split on whether they’ll cut rates again or hold steady. If the Fed signals a more dovish approach (meaning they're leaning towards easing monetary policy and potentially lowering rates), this can have a ripple effect, often leading to lower mortgage rates.
  • Market Sentiment: Beyond the hard data, there’s also a “mood” in the market. When investors are feeling cautious about the economy, they tend to favor safer investments, which can drive down the yields on bonds that mortgage rates are tied to. This, in turn, can lower mortgage rates.

My Take: A Time for Optimism, But Stay Informed

From my perspective, these recent rate drops are a breath of fresh air. We’ve spent a considerable amount of time with higher rates, and seeing them ease, even modestly, is encouraging. Zillow’s data showing the 30-year fixed refinance rate at its current level suggests we are approaching some of the lowest points we’ve seen in over a year.

Analysts, myself included, are generally expecting continued modest easing through the rest of November. However, it’s important to manage expectations. We’re not likely to see a dramatic plunge in rates overnight. The real inflection point, where we might see more significant movement, is likely to come in early December. This will largely depend on how the Federal Reserve acts and how the market interprets the upcoming economic data in the context of their decisions.

Recommended Read:

30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – November 24, 2025

Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights

Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026? 

What does this mean for you as a homeowner?

  • Now is the time to shop around: Don't wait for rates to drop even further if you’re happy with the current offers. Get quotes from multiple lenders to see who can offer you the best deal.
  • Understand your goals: Are you looking to lower your monthly payment? Pay off your loan faster? Access cash from your home's equity? Knowing your priorities will help you choose the right refinance product.
  • Don't ignore closing costs: While a lower interest rate is great, factor in the closing costs associated with refinancing. Make sure the savings over time outweigh these initial expenses.
  • Consider the long game: Think about how long you plan to stay in your home and how long you intend to have a mortgage. This will influence whether a fixed or adjustable-rate mortgage is right for you.

A Snapshot of Current Refinance Rates (as of Nov 25, 2025)

Here’s a quick summary to keep things clear:

Loan Type Average Rate (Nov 25) Change from Previous Day Change from Previous Week
30-Year Fixed Refinance 6.62% -0.06% ( -6 bps) -0.16% ( -16 bps)
15-Year Fixed Refinance 5.66% -0.05% ( -5 bps) –
5-Year ARM Refinance 7.14% Stable Stable

This table shows the movement and stability we're seeing in the refinance market. The 30-year fixed rate is clearly leading the way in terms of improvement.

The Bottom Line

The mortgage market is always evolving, and today's news brings a positive shift for homeowners considering refinancing. The 30-year fixed refinance rate dropping by 16 basis points is a significant indicator that the market is offering more attractive terms. While the future holds some uncertainty, especially around the Fed's upcoming decisions, the current trend suggests it's a good time to explore your refinancing options and potentially lock in a lower rate for your home loan. Keep an eye on those economic reports and the Fed's announcements – they'll be key in shaping what mortgage rates look like in the coming weeks.

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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage, mortgage rates, Mortgage Refinance Rates

Best Places to Invest in Real Estate for Passive Retirement Income

November 24, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

10 Best Places for Retirees to Invest in Real Estate in 2025 and 2026

If you are like most people approaching retirement, you have probably spent years stressing over 401(k) statements and worrying about inflation eroding your hard-earned savings. Real estate investment offers a powerful antidote to that stress, providing tangible income and a hedge against rising costs, but timing and location are everything.

Where Should Retirees Invest in Real Estate?

The best places for retirees to invest in real estate are those that strike the right balance—offering low state taxes (like Florida and Texas), affordable median home prices under $350,000, and strong rental demand from senior populations. These markets provide both a comfortable lifestyle and a dependable income stream.

I’ve spent the last two decades watching markets shift, and what works for a young flipper in a major metro often fails for a retiree needing stable cash flow and low maintenance. Retirement investing isn't about chasing the highest appreciation; it’s about resilience and predictability.

We are looking for places where 10,000 Baby Boomers retiring daily are moving, driving up demand for rentals and maintaining property values without the volatile swings seen in major coastal cities.

In this comprehensive guide, I will take you beyond the raw numbers. We’ll dive into why Pittsburgh is a superior investment to most Sunbelt spots right now, how tax policies can add thousands back into your pocket every year, and what to look out for regarding insurance and climate risks. Let's explore the places where your nest egg can truly start working for you.

Before we jump into specific locations, we need to talk strategy. A retiree has a completely different set of priorities than a younger investor. When I talk to clients nearing or already in retirement, their three main concerns are liquidity, passive income, and minimizing taxes.

Retirees Need Cash Flow Over Capital Gains

For younger investors, it’s all about appreciation—buying a property for $300,000 and hoping it hits $500,000 in five years. But retirees typically need steady cash flow to supplement Social Security and pension income. This means we prioritize markets with low entry costs and strong rental yields, even if annual appreciation is a modest 3% or 4%.

When I look at markets like Boise, Idaho, which boasts an incredible 11.3% appreciation, I see high entry costs ($540,000 median) that require a huge amount of capital upfront. While great for wealth building, it’s not ideal for someone who needs that money liquid or generating immediate passive income. Conversely, a place like Pittsburgh, with a $250,000 median, allows you to potentially buy two properties for the price of one in Boise, doubling your rental income stream right away.

Retirees Should Also Benefit from the Tax Shield Effect

Taxes are perhaps the single biggest factor that separates a good retirement location from a great investment location. States without income tax (like Florida, Texas, and Washington) allow you to keep every penny of your IRA distributions, pensions, and capital gains.

  • No State Income Tax: This is a huge win for retirees, as it immediately shields income that other states would chip away at.
  • Social Security Exemptions: Many states, like South Carolina and Virginia, exempt Social Security benefits from state tax, even if they have a standard income tax.
  • Homestead Exemptions: Look for robust property tax exemptions for seniors, which can substantially lower your carrying costs if you plan to live in the home.

The Healthcare Multiplier

For retirees, the quality and proximity of healthcare are non-negotiable. This isn't just about personal comfort; it is a major investment factor. Top-tier hospitals like UPMC in Pittsburgh or AdventHealth in Palm Coast attract high-quality medical professionals, who in turn need rental housing. This creates a secondary, stable rental market (doctors, nurses, administrative staff) that acts as a strong buffer if the retiree rental demand ever slows down. An area with a Healthcare Rating of 9.0 or higher is nearly always a safer long-term real estate play.

The Current Market Reality: Stabilizing but Still Strong

The real estate frenzy of the last few years has calmed down. As of mid-2025, mortgage rates hovering around 6.5–7% have cooled off bidding wars, leading to increased inventory (up 20–40% nationally). This is excellent news for retirees who prefer to buy with less pressure. The markets we are discussing show modest, sustainable appreciation (averaging 3.5%), signaling stability rather than speculation.

Here is a quick overview of how our top 10 destinations stack up on key metrics for investors:

City Median Home Price (2025) YoY Appreciation Key Tax Perk Investment Sweet Spot
Palm Coast, FL $360,000 +3.0% No state income tax Turnkey, low-risk coastal rental.
Pittsburgh, PA $250,000 +4.8% Low flat income tax Highest affordability, medical demand.
San Antonio, TX $259,000 -2.3% (Stabilizing) No state income tax Highest cash flow yields.
Greenville, SC $500,000 +1.0% SS income exempt Premium lifestyle, regional growth.
Boise, ID $540,000 +11.3% Flat 5.8% income tax Highest appreciation potential.
Raleigh, NC $438,000 +0.6% Dropping income tax Education and tech-driven stability.
St. George, UT $560,000 +6.2% Flat 4.85% income tax Active lifestyle, high quality of life.
Virginia Beach, VA $405,000 +6.6% SS income exempt Military/tourism rental demand.
The Villages, FL $360,000 +5.9% No state income tax Niche 55+ guaranteed rental market.
Tucson, AZ $315,000 -3.1% (Rebounding) Low flat income tax Affordable Sunbelt entry point.

Best Places to Invest in Real Estate for Passive Retirement Income

Best Places in the U.S. for Retirees to Invest in Real Estate

1. Palm Coast, FL: Coastal Resilience and Tax Benefits

I often recommend Palm Coast because it provides the classic Florida appeal (beaches, golfing, mild weather) without the crushing price tags of Miami or Naples. At a median price of $360,000, it’s accessible. This market is driven almost entirely by retirees, making long-term rentals highly secure.

  • The Investment Edge: The vacancy rate here is exceptionally low at 1.4%. When a rental property turns over, it is often leased again almost immediately, minimizing carrying costs. The no state income tax policy means investors living here keep more of their profits, and the 3% appreciation projection shows steady growth without overheating.
  • The Lifestyle: It's quiet, secure (1.7% low crime), and focused on the outdoors, appealing perfectly to the active senior demographic you want renting your property.

2. Pittsburgh, PA: The Affordability Champion

If you want immediate cash flow, stop looking at the Sunbelt for a moment and focus on the Steel City. With a stunningly low $250,000 median home price, Pittsburgh provides the greatest entry-level opportunity on this entire list.

  • The Investment Edge: The appreciation rate is strong at +4.8%, and the cost of living index is only 92 (meaning it is 8% cheaper than the national average). But the real hidden gem is the medical economy. The massive presence of UPMC attracts a constant influx of medical professionals and supporting staff, guaranteeing high occupancy and a reliable rental yield of around 6.2%.
  • Personal Opinion: While the winters are challenging, the low upfront capital requirement and superior healthcare rating (9.0) make this one of the most reliable long-term holds for a cash-flow investor who doesn't mind managing tenants.

3. San Antonio, TX: Maximizing Rental Yields

San Antonio is proof that you can still find value in Texas, despite the massive influx of people to Austin and Dallas. While the median price of $259,000 shows a slight dip (-2.3%) as the market corrects, this is a phenomenal time to buy before the predicted rebound.

  • The Investment Edge: This area is characterized by low taxes and a COL index of 89. Crucially, San Antonio’s rental yields are driven by military bases and a high senior population, often leading to yields closer to 6.5%. For an investor who wants quick cash returns on a low initial investment, San Antonio is hard to beat.
  • Risk Mitigation: The summer heat is intense, which means you must factor in high AC costs and prioritize property maintenance (especially roof and HVAC systems) when budgeting for ownership.

4. Greenville, SC: Premium Southeast Living

Greenville is a dynamic, high-growth area, and its $500,000 median price reflects that premium status. It might seem expensive compared to Pittsburgh, but for retirees who want a vibrant, walkable downtown and excellent access to nature, this is the spot.

  • The Investment Edge: South Carolina exempts Social Security benefits from state income tax. The market is supported by sophisticated infrastructure and a fantastic healthcare scene (8.8 rating). While the 1% appreciation forecast is modest, this market provides high-quality properties that attract high-quality long-term tenants.
  • Advanced Insight: The inventory has risen sharply (up 40%), softening prices slightly. This signals an opportunity to negotiate a better deal in a city that still has massive long-term regional potential.

5. Boise, ID: Chasing Growth in the Mountain West

Boise is the outlier on this list. It is expensive ($540,000 median) and has a COL index above the national average (102). However, if your investment goal is maximizing capital appreciation, Boise’s 11.3% YoY growth is nearly unmatched among retiree-friendly areas.

  • The Investment Edge: The growth is structural, fueled by the tech industry moving in and the city’s high quality of life (hiking, river access). The vacancy rate is extremely low (0.7% in nearby Meridian), meaning every property is in high demand.
  • Who is This For? This market is best suited for the retiree who is selling a high-priced primary home (e.g., in California) and wants to move that capital into a high-growth market using a 1031 exchange to defer capital gains tax.

6. Raleigh, NC: Stability in the Research Triangle

Raleigh offers the best combination of big-city amenities and Southern charm, anchored by the massive Research Triangle Park. Its $438,000 median price is relatively stable, reflecting a highly educated and stable tenant base.

  • The Investment Edge: North Carolina’s flat income tax rate is actively dropping, making it increasingly attractive from a tax perspective. The housing market here is tight (2.8 months of supply), supporting rents and low vacancy.
  • The Trade-off: With only 0.6% appreciation projected, Raleigh is a stability play. You are buying security—a market unlikely to crash due to the constant churn of students and tech workers—rather than explosive growth.

7. St. George, UT: Desert Oasis for the Ultra-Active

Set near Zion National Park, St. George is perfect for the adventurous retiree. While the $560,000 median is the highest on our list, the lifestyle and extraordinary healthcare rating (9.2) justify the price for many.

  • The Investment Edge: The 6.2% appreciation demonstrates sustained demand, largely from people seeking the active lifestyle and the stunning natural beauty. The Intermountain Healthcare system is world-class, making this a magnet for health-conscious seniors.
  • The Warning: Water scarcity is a long-term risk that every investor in Southern Utah must consider. While property values are strong now, future infrastructure costs related to water could affect property taxes.

8. Virginia Beach, VA: Reliable Seaside Demand

Virginia Beach provides stability driven by two powerful economic engines: the Atlantic coast tourism industry and the large military presence.

  • The Investment Edge: With a solid $405,000 median and 6.6% recent growth, this market is resilient. Virginia exempts Social Security benefits from state taxes. The yields are strong (around 5.8%) because demand is high for both short-term tourist rentals and long-term military/senior housing.
  • The Risk Factor: Like all coastal markets, sea-level rise and increasing flood insurance premiums are critical factors that must be budgeted for. Always purchase comprehensive flood insurance, even if not required by your mortgage lender.

9. The Villages, FL: The Niche Investment Dream

The Villages isn’t just a retirement community; it’s a retirement ecosystem. With over 60% of the population being 55+, this area is purpose-built for seniors, leading to an investment opportunity unlike any other.

  • The Investment Edge: The Villages offers arguably the most secure rental market in the country for 55+ housing. Demand is massive, yielding around 6%, and the area boasts a spectacular healthcare rating (9.5). The $360,000 median price is identical to Palm Coast, but the appreciation rate is stronger at 5.9%.
  • Expert Warning: Because this entire community operates under specific age restrictions, the pool of potential buyers if you decide to sell is limited to those over 55. This can sometimes affect liquidity compared to a general market.

10. Tucson, AZ: Sunbelt Value with Desert Charm

Tucson offers a much more affordable entry point into the Sunbelt than Phoenix or Scottsdale. At a median of $315,000, it’s a bargain for a city with such beautiful natural surroundings (the Saguaro trails).

  • The Investment Edge: While it experienced a correction (-3.1%), the market is already rebounding (projected +3% growth). The low flat 2.5% income tax and yields around 6.2% make it attractive for cash flow. Tucson is becoming a favorite among retirees seeking an authentic, less crowded, and more affordable Southwestern experience.
  • My Take: If you missed the bus on Phoenix five years ago, Tucson is the next best choice, provided you select properties close to Banner Health facilities to capture both retiree and medical staff rentals.

Investment Strategies for Low-Stress Ownership

A successful real estate investment shouldn't add stress to your retirement. Based on these 10 locations, here are the simplified strategies I recommend for senior investors:

Strategy 1: The Affordable Cash-Flow Play

  • Target: Pittsburgh, PA, and San Antonio, TX.
  • Goal: Buy two properties for $250,000 each. Put 20% down ($50,000 per property) and leverage the remaining loan.
  • Benefit: Even with a 6.5% interest rate, the high rental yields in these markets should cover the mortgage, insurance, and maintenance, leaving you with a small, reliable monthly cash profit and two rapidly appreciating assets.

Strategy 2: The High-Equity Tax Deferral (1031 Exchange)

  • Target: Boise, ID, and St. George, UT.
  • Goal: Sell a highly appreciated primary residence or rental property and immediately roll the proceeds into a high-growth market like Boise.
  • Benefit: You defer the massive capital gains taxes you would normally pay, allowing your entire equity to continue growing at an accelerated rate (like Boise’s 11.3% potential).

Strategy 3: The Turnkey 55+ Niche

  • Target: The Villages, FL, and Palm Coast, FL.
  • Goal: Purchase properties specifically within or near active senior communities.
  • Benefit: These properties are often lower maintenance (HOAs handle exterior work), and the tenant base is inherently stable, resulting in fewer vacancies and maintenance issues—a true definition of passive income.

Final Thoughts: Secure Your Future with Targeted Real Estate

Real estate should be the bedrock of a retiree’s investment portfolio. It provides stability that the stock market often cannot, and it offers tangible income that combats inflation. The markets listed above represent the best balance as of 2025: they offer strong local economies, superior healthcare access (which attracts high-quality tenants), and favorable tax treatment that preserves your retirement savings.

Whether you choose the affordability of Pittsburgh or the high growth of Boise, the key is always to partner with a local expert who understands the unique dynamics of the senior rental market. Don't chase trends; chase security and sustainability.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Best Places for Retirees to Invest in Real Estate, Real Estate Investing

Greenville, Mississippi Housing Market Faces High Risk of Crash in 2026

November 24, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Greenville, Mississippi Housing Market Faces High Risk of Crash in 2026

The housing market in Greenville, Mississippi, is showing some alarming signs, and experts are predicting a significant downturn in home prices by 2026. This isn't just a hunch; it's based on detailed analysis, and frankly, it’s something homeowners and potential buyers in the area need to pay close attention to.

According to Zillow's latest projections, Greenville is at the top of the list for potential home price declines over the next year, with a forecast of a more than 18% drop. That sort of prediction demands a deep dive into what's happening on the ground and why this Mississippi city is standing out for all the wrong reasons.

Greenville, Mississippi Housing Market Faces High Risk of Crash in 2026

Why Greenville is on Zillow's Radar for a Housing Downturn

It’s not every day a city becomes the poster child for a potential housing crash. But that’s precisely what’s happening with Greenville, MS. Zillow, a well-respected name in real estate data, has released its forecast, and the numbers for Greenville are stark. They’re predicting a substantial decrease in home prices between late 2025 and late 2026.

Here’s a snapshot of what their data suggests:

  • Greenville, MS: Projected Home Price Change
    • October 2025: -3%
    • January 2026: -7.6%
    • October 2026: -18.4%

Think about that for a moment. An 18.4% drop in home values within a year is a serious economic event for homeowners. It erodes equity, can make it harder to sell, and impacts the financial well-being of families. As someone who’s followed housing trends for a while, I can tell you that such drastic predictions rarely come out of nowhere. There are underlying factors at play that are pushing Greenville into this precarious position.

Comparing Greenville to the Rest of Mississippi: A Troubling Picture

To really understand the gravity of Greenville's situation, we need to look at how it stacks up against other cities in Mississippi. Zillow's forecast also provides projections for other urban areas within the state. When you line them up, Greenville’s predicted decline is significantly steeper than most of its Mississippi neighbors.

Take a look at this comparison:

Region Name Projected Price Change (Oct 2026)
Greenville, MS -18.4%
Cleveland, MS -10.4%
Clarksdale, MS -9.5%
McComb, MS -7.4%
Indianola, MS -7.4%
Greenwood, MS -6.7%
Vicksburg, MS -5.0%
Brookhaven, MS -4.1%
Meridian, MS -3.8%
Laurel, MS -3.8%
Grenada, MS -2.6%

As you can see, while several Mississippi cities are expected to see modest price declines, Greenville’s projected drop of over 18% is more than double the next highest forecast (Cleveland at -10.4%). This suggests that the economic forces hitting Greenville are more intense or unique compared to other areas in the state. This isn't a statewide trend; it appears to be a localized issue that’s hitting Greenville particularly hard.

What's Happening Nationally: A Different Story?

It's important to contrast Greenville's concerning outlook with the broader national picture. On a national level, the housing market is expected to be much more stable, even showing modest growth. According to Zillow's nationwide forecast:

  • Home values are predicted to rise 1.2% over the next 12 months.
  • Home sales are expected to increase slightly in 2025 and see more momentum in 2026 as mortgage rates hopefully ease.
  • Single-family rents are anticipated to go up by 2.2%, while apartment rents might see a small dip.

This national data suggests that the housing market, overall, is not on the brink of a widespread collapse. The projections indicate a cooling effect due to factors like high mortgage rates and sufficient inventory, but not a devastating crash. This makes Greenville's predicted sharp decline even more noteworthy. It highlights that the issues impacting Greenville are likely specific to its local economy and real estate dynamics, rather than a reflection of the entire U.S. housing market.

My Thoughts: Unpacking the Potential Causes Behind Greenville's Risk

From my perspective, based on what I see happening in real estate markets, a forecast like this for Greenville signals that several negative factors are likely converging. It’s rarely just one thing. Here are some potential reasons why Greenville, MS, might be facing such a high risk of a housing market crash:

  • Economic Vulnerability: I suspect Greenville's local economy might be heavily reliant on certain industries that are currently struggling or undergoing significant changes. A major employer leaving, a decline in a key sector like manufacturing or agriculture, or even regional demographic shifts can have a profound impact on housing demand. When jobs disappear or become less plentiful, people tend to move away, and that reduces the number of buyers.
  • Population Decline: Many smaller cities and towns across the country have been experiencing population loss for years. If Greenville is losing residents, especially younger working-age people, this directly translates into fewer people needing homes. A shrinking population is a significant drag on any housing market.
  • Aging Infrastructure and Housing Stock: Older cities can sometimes struggle if their infrastructure isn't keeping pace or if a large portion of their housing stock is outdated and requires significant repairs. Buyers, especially in a tougher economic climate, might be hesitant to invest in properties that need a lot of work.
  • Limited Investment and Development: A lack of new investment or development in a city can also be a sign of underlying economic weakness. If businesses aren't expanding and new residential projects aren't being undertaken, it suggests a lack of confidence in the area's future growth prospects.
  • Impact of Foreclosures and Distressed Properties: If there's already a higher-than-average number of foreclosures or distressed properties on the market in Greenville, this can depress prices for all homes in the area. When there are many distressed sellers, they often have to accept lower offers, which then sets a lower benchmark for comparable sales.

It's this combination of local economic realities that, in my opinion, is leading to Zillow's stark prediction for Greenville. The national market might be showing resilience, but that doesn't mean every single city will be insulated from its own set of challenges.

What Does This Mean for Homeowners and Buyers in Greenville?

This forecast is a serious wake-up call.

  • For Homeowners: If you own a home in Greenville, it might be prudent to consider your options sooner rather than later. Waiting until 2026, if these predictions hold true, could mean seeing a significant portion of your home's equity disappear. This could impact your ability to sell, refinance, or tap into your home's value for other financial needs. It might be a good time to consult with a local real estate professional about your specific situation and potential strategies.
  • For Potential Buyers: While falling prices might sound attractive, a crashing market comes with its own set of risks. Buying a home that continues to lose value can lead to being “underwater” on your mortgage (owing more than the home is worth). It's crucial to do your homework, understand the local economic outlook beyond just the Zillow forecast, and be prepared for potential further price drops. Think about your long-term plans for the home and your financial stability.

Looking Ahead: Caution is Key

The Zillow forecast for Greenville, Mississippi, is a strong indicator that the local housing market is facing significant headwinds. While no one can predict the future with absolute certainty, these projections based on extensive data are hard to ignore. The divergence between Greenville's forecast and the national trend suggests that local economic conditions are the primary driver here.

My advice is to stay informed. Keep an eye on local economic news, employment figures, and real estate market reports specific to Greenville. If you’re considering a move, whether to or from Greenville, thorough research and a cautious approach are absolutely essential. Understanding these detailed predictions and the potential reasons behind them is the first step in navigating what could be a very challenging period for the Greenville, Mississippi housing market.

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Want to Know More?

Explore these articles for more insights:

  • Mississippi Housing Market: Trends and Forecast
  • Best Places to Live in Mississippi for Families and Retirees
  • Should You Invest In The Mississippi Gulf Coast Real Estate?
  • Why is Mississippi so Poor: Is It Really the Poorest State?
  • Why is Mississippi So Dangerous: Exploring Crime Rates
  • Top 20 Most Dangerous Cities in Mississippi 2024: High Crime Index

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Greenville, Housing Market, housing market predictions, Housing Market Trends, Mississippi

Today’s Mortgage Rates, November 24: 30-Year FRM Drops to 6.11%, Rates Are Largely Stable

November 24, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates, Nov 30: 30-Year Fixed Rate Poised to Break Into the 5% Range

As of November 24, 2025, today's mortgage rates are showing a remarkable degree of stability, hovering around the 6.11% mark for a 30-year fixed loan, according to Zillow. This isn't a thrilling development, I know, but for many looking to buy a home or refinance, this predictability can actually be a good thing. We're not seeing wild swings, which means you can feel more confident in making a decision without the nagging fear that rates will dramatically shift overnight.

It feels like just yesterday we were talking about rates being considerably higher, and then the anticipation of Fed cuts brought them down. Now, it seems we've settled into a holding pattern. It's like the market is taking a deep breath, waiting to see what happens next before making any big moves. This steady environment allows us to really dig into the numbers and make informed choices.

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 24: 30-Year FRM Drops to 6.11%, Rates Are Largely Stable

What Are the Numbers for Today?

It’s always helpful to see the exact figures, so here's a breakdown of the current mortgage rates, as reported by Zillow for November 24, 2025:

Loan Type Interest Rate (%)
30-year fixed 6.11
20-year fixed 5.94
15-year fixed 5.62
5/1 ARM 6.17
7/1 ARM 6.08
30-year VA 5.58
15-year VA 5.33
5/1 VA 5.32

Now, if you're thinking about refinancing your current home loan, the rates can look a little different. Often, refinance rates are slightly higher than purchase rates because lenders see them as a bit more of a risk. Here's what Zillow is showing for mortgage refinance rates today:

Loan Type Interest Rate (%)
30-year fixed 6.28
20-year fixed 6.19
15-year fixed 5.73
5/1 ARM 6.40
7/1 ARM 6.43
30-year VA 5.64
15-year VA 5.30
5/1 VA 5.35

Fixed Rate vs. Adjustable Rate: Which Makes Sense Now?

This is a question I get asked all the time, and honestly, there’s no single right answer. It really depends on your personal situation and your outlook on the economy.

  • Fixed-Rate Mortgages: These are the heroes of predictability. Your interest rate stays the same for the entire life of the loan, meaning your monthly principal and interest payment never changes. With today’s rates sitting in the low 6% range for a 30-year fixed, it offers a lot of comfort. If you plan to stay in your home for a long time and prefer a budget that’s easy to manage, a fixed rate is usually the way to go.
  • Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): ARMs typically start with a lower introductory interest rate for a set period (like 5 or 7 years) before adjusting based on market conditions. The 5/1 ARM at 6.17% and the 7/1 ARM at 6.08% are currently offering rates that are competitive with, or even slightly lower than, some of the fixed options. This can be a smart move if:
    • You plan to sell your home or refinance before the introductory period ends.
    • You're comfortable with the possibility of your payments increasing after the fixed period.
    • You believe interest rates might go down in the future, allowing you to refinance into a better fixed rate later.

My personal take? Right now, with rates as stable as they are, locking in a 30-year fixed rate at 6.11% feels like a very solid decision for most homeowners looking for long-term peace of mind. If you were thinking of an ARM, the spread between the ARM fixed period and the 30-year fixed isn't as dramatic as it sometimes can be.

Refinance Rates vs. Purchase Rates: What's the Story?

You might have noticed that refinance rates are generally a little higher than purchase rates. Why? It’s a bit of a nuanced issue for lenders. When you're buying a new home, the lender is financing a new asset. When you refinance, they're essentially taking on an existing debt. There can be more perceived risk, hence the slightly higher rates. Also, the economic factors that influence these rates can sometimes have a slightly different impact on purchase versus refinance markets. Lenders are constantly evaluating the current market value and risk associated with each scenario.

The VA Loan Advantage

For eligible veterans and active-duty military personnel, the VA loan continues to be a fantastic option. As you can see, the VA loan rates are consistently lower than conventional loan rates.

  • 30-year VA fixed: 5.58% (compared to 6.11% for conventional)
  • 15-year VA fixed: 5.33% (compared to 5.62% for conventional)

This significant difference can translate into tens of thousands of dollars saved over the life of the loan. If you qualify for a VA loan, it’s almost always worth exploring.

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down This Month (or Soon)?

This is the million-dollar question, isn't it? Based on the chatter I'm hearing and the data available, a significant drop in mortgage rates this month looks unlikely.

A Bankrate poll for the week of November 20-26, 2025, showed that the majority of experts (58%) expected rates to stay pretty flat. The remaining experts were split, with some predicting a slight increase and others a decrease.

The general consensus is that rates will likely stay in the low-to-mid 6% range through November. Any significant improvement would probably need to be triggered by further cooling in the labor market or other strong signs of economic slowdown.


Related Topics:

Mortgage Rates Trends as of November 23, 2025

Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 30 Days: Nov 10 to Dec 10, 2025

Mortgage Rates Predictions for the Next 12 Months: Nov 2025 to Nov 2026

Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 90 Days: October to December 2025

What's Influencing These November Rates?

Several forces are at play, creating this current environment of rate stability:

  • The Federal Reserve's Actions (and Inactions): The Fed has been actively managing interest rates. They've already made a couple of quarter-point cuts to their benchmark rate in 2025. However, recent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have suggested that further cuts aren't a foregone conclusion. This has created some upward pressure on mortgage rates, as lenders aren't entirely confident about future rate drops. The Fed's ongoing reduction of its balance sheet also tends to contribute to higher borrowing costs.
  • Economic Data Delays and Uncertainty: You might recall that a government shutdown caused some key economic data, like the crucial jobs report, to be delayed. This creates uncertainty for policymakers and investors. If future economic data consistently shows a cooling labor market, it could give the Fed more room to cut rates, potentially bringing mortgage rates down. Conversely, if inflation remains stubbornly high or the job market stays strong, it could pressure rates to stay put or even tick up.
  • Investor Sentiment and the 10-Year Treasury: The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond is a big benchmark for mortgage rates. Right now, it's been nudged up slightly due to market jitters and that lingering inflation. With inflation still hovering around 3%, it keeps yields, and therefore mortgage rates, at these slightly elevated levels. It’s a delicate balancing act for investors and the market.

My Take: Patience and Plan

From my perspective, this period of stability is a good time to be strategic. If you've been on the fence about buying or refinancing, the predictable rates allow you to shop around more effectively and negotiate better terms with lenders. Don't just take the first offer; get quotes from multiple sources.

Consider your long-term financial goals. If you’re buying your forever home, locking in a 30-year fixed rate in the low 6% range feels like a sound and safe move. If you’re more of a short-term player or a real estate investor, an ARM might still make sense, but weigh that potential for lower initial payments against the risk of future increases.

The housing market is always dynamic, and while today’s mortgage rates aren't making headlines for dramatic moves, they are offering a clear path for many to achieve their homeownership dreams. Let's keep an eye on that economic data – that’s where the real clues will be for what happens next.

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Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

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