Today’s Mortgage Rates Rise to Highest Point Since June 2024

Mortgage rates are a critical consideration for anyone looking to borrow money for a home. As of December 22, 2024, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has increased to 6.67%, marking its highest point since June 2024. Understanding these rates is important for making informed decisions in the housing market, whether you're buying a home or refinancing your current mortgage.

Today's Mortgage Rates Rise to Highest Point Since June 2024

Key Takeaways

• Current Rates: 30-year fixed mortgage at 6.67%, 15-year fixed at 6.03%.
• Future Predictions: Experts predict slight decreases in rates throughout 2025, reaching 6.60% in early 2025 and 6.20% by late 2025.
• Refinance Rates: The average 30-year refinance rate stands at 6.71%.
• Fixed vs. Adjustable Rates: Fixed rates provide stability, while adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) may offer lower initial rates but can fluctuate later.
• Monthly Payment Example: A $300,000 mortgage at 30 years and 6.67% costs about $1,930 monthly, while a 15-year term at 6.03% costs approximately $2,536 monthly.

Current Mortgage Rates

According to Zillow, as of December 22, 2024, here are the national average mortgage rates for various loan types:

• 30-year fixed: 6.67%
• 20-year fixed: 6.52%
• 15-year fixed: 6.03%
• 5/1 ARM: 6.71%
• 7/1 ARM: 6.60%
• 30-year VA loan: 6.07%
• 15-year VA loan: 5.57%
• 5/1 VA loan: 6.32%

For refinancing, the average rates are slightly different:

• 30-year fixed refinance: 6.71%
• 20-year fixed refinance: 6.33%
• 15-year fixed refinance: 5.95%
• 5/1 ARM refinance: 5.93%
• 7/1 ARM refinance: 6.65%
• 30-year VA refinance: 6.08%
• 15-year VA refinance: 5.84%
• 5/1 VA refinance: 5.67%

It's important to note that these figures are national averages and can vary based on location, lender, and individual borrower circumstances (Zillow).

What's Influencing Today's Mortgage Rates?

The recent increase in mortgage rates can be attributed to several economic factors:

1. Federal Reserve Policies: The Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates heavily influence mortgage rates. With fewer anticipated cuts to the federal funds rate, borrowing costs are likely to remain elevated for a while. The Fed’s stance on inflation, which remains a concern, dictates its approach to adjusting interest rates. When inflation is high, the Fed typically raises rates to cool off the economy, which leads to higher mortgage rates. This creates a cycle that can make borrowing less attractive, especially for first-time homebuyers.
2. Economic Conditions: Factors such as the overall health of the economy, inflation rates, and the employment market all play crucial roles. A robust job market can increase competition for housing, driving up prices and, consequently, mortgage rates. On the contrary, signs of an economic slowdown can lead to lower demand for homes, which could stabilize or even decrease rates.
3. Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield is a significant benchmark for mortgage rates. When yields rise, so do mortgage rates, and vice versa. Currently, as yields have been on the rise, mortgage rates have followed suit. Investors often turn to Treasuries as a safer asset during times of uncertainty, and when they demand higher returns, mortgage rates increase correspondingly.

Future Predictions for Mortgage Rates

Looking ahead, speculation about whether mortgage rates will drop significantly in 2025 remains a hot topic among economists and homebuyers alike. A few months ago, predictions from analysts suggested a more optimistic outlook for lower rates. However, current assessments have become more cautious.

According to a December Housing Forecast by Fannie Mae, mortgage rates are expected to settle at 6.60% in the first quarter of 2025 before dipping to about 6.20% by the end of the year. While these projections indicate a slight reprieve from the current rates, it may not be enough to motivate buyers who are already feeling the strain of high home prices and elevated mortgage costs.

Understanding Mortgage Types: Fixed vs. Adjustable Rates

When considering the right mortgage type, borrowers frequently weigh fixed-rate mortgages against adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). Understanding the differences can help you choose the right option based on your financial situation.

• Fixed-Rate Mortgages: These loans offer stability by locking in the interest rate for the entire duration of the mortgage (typically 15-30 years). This can be valuable if interest rates rise in the future. As of today, the average 30-year fixed rate is 6.67%. Fixed-rate mortgages are often preferred by buyers who plan to stay in their homes long-term, as it allows for predictable monthly payments.
• Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): These mortgages feature variable rates that can change over time. Typically, ARMs start with lower initial rates. For example, the 7/1 ARM locks in a lower rate for the first seven years before adjusting annually. Currently, the average 7/1 ARM rate is 6.60%. ARMs can be a good choice for buyers who plan to move or refinance before the adjustment period begins. However, there is a risk that rates could rise significantly, leading to higher monthly payments.

Monthly Payment Calculations

To illustrate how these rates affect actual payments, consider a 30-year fixed mortgage of $300,000 at a rate of 6.67%. The monthly payment, including principal and interest, would be approximately $1,930. Over the life of the loan, you would pay about $394,752 in interest—just for borrowing the money!

Now let’s compare this with a 15-year fixed mortgage at a rate of 6.03%. For the same amount of $300,000, the monthly payment would jump to around $2,536. While you pay off the loan in half the time, the total interest paid over the life of the loan would be approximately $156,558. This comparison highlights the trade-off between lower monthly payments over a longer period versus higher monthly payments with significantly less interest paid over time.

How To Secure the Best Mortgage Rate

To secure a lower mortgage rate, consider these factors:

• Credit Score: Lenders typically offer better rates to borrowers with higher credit scores (700 or above). Improving your score can make a notable difference in the rate you’re offered. This might involve paying off outstanding debts, avoiding late payments, and ensuring that you don't hit your credit cards' limits.
• Down Payment: Larger down payments often lead to lower interest rates. A down payment of 20% or more not only decreases the loan amount but also eliminates private mortgage insurance (PMI), making your overall payments more affordable.
• Debt-to-Income Ratio: Lenders prefer lower debt-to-income (DTI) ratios. This ratio compares your monthly debt payments to your gross monthly income. The lower your DTI, the more favorable your application will look. If possible, aim for a ratio below 36%.

While it might be tempting to wait for rates to drop significantly, focusing on improving your financial position tends to be the more effective strategy for obtaining a favorable rate.

Choosing the Right Lender

When looking for a mortgage lender, it’s advisable to apply for pre-approval with multiple companies. Make sure to do this within a short time frame—doing so within a 30-day window is typically best to minimize the impact on your credit score.

When choosing a lender, don’t just focus on interest rates. Look closely at the annual percentage rate (APR), which includes both the interest rate and any associated fees, giving you a clearer picture of the overall cost of borrowing. Comparing APRs can sometimes reveal that a lender offering a slightly higher interest rate may still be less expensive overall when fees are considered (Bankrate).

Current Mortgage Rates: FAQs

1. What is the current mortgage interest rate?
   • As of today, the average 30-year mortgage rate is 6.67%, and the 15-year rate is 6.03% (Zillow).
2. What’s considered a good mortgage rate right now?
   • A mortgage rate of 6.67% is the national average for 30-year fixed loans, but those with excellent credit and low DTI ratios may secure even better rates. Shopping around is essential.
3. Are mortgage rates expected to drop?
   • While mortgage rates may decline slightly in the future, significant drops are not anticipated shortly. Adjustments will likely be gradual, so it's critical to monitor market trends and economic indicators (Fannie Mae).
4. How do mortgage rates vary by location?
   • Mortgage rates can differ significantly based on where you live due to local economic conditions, housing demand, and the availability of lenders. It’s wise to check regional averages and speak to local lenders for the most accurate rates.

Mortgage Rate Trends: What to Watch For

As 2024 wraps up, it’s worth keeping an eye on certain trends in the mortgage market. Key indicators to watch include:

• Inflation Rates: Keep an eye on consumer price indexes (CPI) as these will influence the Fed’s decisions. If inflation continues to rise, the Fed may adjust rates further, which could heighten mortgage rates.
• Employment Data: Employment levels can influence housing demand. A robust job market tends to encourage home purchases, which could lead to higher rates. Conversely, job losses or stagnation could temper demand.
• Geopolitical Events and Market Sentiment: Economic sentiment can be affected by global events, trade relations, and other international factors. Staying informed about these can help you anticipate shifts in mortgage rate trends.

In Summary

Understanding today's mortgage rates is vital for making informed decisions in the housing market. With current rates high and predictions for slight decreases in 2025, prospective homebuyers and those looking to refinance must carefully evaluate their options and financial situations. As rates continue to fluctuate and economic conditions evolve, staying informed will be key to making strategic choices regarding home buying and refinancing.