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Housing Market Boom Predictions for 2025 and 2026 by NAR

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Are you keeping a close eye on the housing market? The National Association of Realtors (NAR) recently shared their forecast, and it looks like they're predicting a 3% growth in national median home prices in 2025. In short, while the market has seen some ups and downs lately, experts at NAR believe home prices will see a modest increase next year.

Housing Market Boom Predictions for 2025 and 2026 by NAR

Now, I know what you might be thinking. We've seen some pretty wild swings in the housing market over the past few years. Interest rates have gone up, and for a bit, it felt like things might really cool down. But according to NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, a “nuclear crash” in home prices isn't on the horizon. Speaking at a recent Realtors Legislative Meetings event, Yun pointed to a few key reasons why he expects this moderate growth.

Why the Optimism? Digging Deeper into the NAR Forecast

It's never enough to just hear a number, right? We want to know the “why” behind it. Yun's forecast for this 3% median home price increase in 2025 isn't pulled out of thin air. It's based on a combination of factors that he anticipates will shape the market in the coming year. Let's break down some of the key elements of his prediction:

  • Anticipated Rebound in Home Sales: Despite a slower start to 2025 than initially expected, Yun believes that both existing-home sales and new-home sales will pick up steam. His forecast suggests a 6% increase in existing-home sales and a significant 10% jump in new-home sales compared to 2024. This increase in activity can naturally put some upward pressure on prices.
  • Easing Mortgage Rates: This is a big one. For many potential homebuyers, mortgage rates are the make-or-break factor. Yun is predicting that mortgage rates will ease to around 6.4% by the end of 2025. This slight decrease from the higher rates we've seen could make buying a home more affordable for some, drawing more buyers into the market. As someone who remembers the impact of fluctuating interest rates firsthand, even a small dip can make a real difference in monthly payments.
  • Continued Job Growth: A healthy economy often translates to a healthy housing market. NAR's forecast also includes an expectation of 1.6 million new jobs being added to the economy in 2025. More people with jobs generally means more people with the financial stability to consider buying a home.
  • Low Levels of Distressed Sales: One of the biggest fears after a housing downturn is a flood of foreclosures driving down prices. However, Yun highlights that serious mortgage delinquencies remain low. This suggests that most homeowners are in a good position to continue paying their mortgages, reducing the likelihood of a large number of distressed properties hitting the market and significantly impacting prices negatively.

The Missing Piece: The Mortgage Rate Puzzle

As Yun himself pointed out, “The mortgage rate is the magic bullet, and we are just waiting and waiting as to when that could come down.” This really resonates with me. We've seen that even though other economic factors might be in place, higher mortgage rates can act as a significant barrier for potential buyers. The pace and extent to which these rates actually decrease will be crucial in determining if NAR's sales forecast, and consequently the price growth, materializes.

Inventory Still a Key Factor

While the NAR forecast focuses on price growth, it's impossible to ignore the ongoing issue of housing inventory. Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale, speaking at the same event, highlighted that the nation faces a housing shortage of nearly 4 million homes. In my opinion, this persistent undersupply is a fundamental factor supporting price stability and even modest growth in many markets. If there aren't enough homes to meet demand, prices are less likely to plummet.

Hale also brought up an interesting point about newly built homes often having slightly lower interest rates due to builder incentives. This is something potential buyers should definitely keep in mind. Sometimes exploring new construction can offer a bit of an edge when it comes to financing.

My Two Cents: A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook

Based on the NAR data and my own observations of the market, a 3% price growth in 2025 seems like a reasonable and cautiously optimistic prediction. The anticipated easing of mortgage rates and continued job growth are definitely positive indicators. However, the actual trajectory of mortgage rates remains the biggest uncertainty. If rates stay stubbornly high, the predicted rebound in sales might not be as strong, which could temper price growth.

Furthermore, the housing market is hyper-local. What's happening nationally might not perfectly reflect what's going on in your specific city or town. Local economic conditions, inventory levels, and buyer demand will all play a significant role in determining price movements at the local level.

What Does This Mean for You?

  • For Potential Buyers: Don't panic about a sudden price surge, but also don't necessarily expect significant price drops. Keep a close eye on mortgage rate trends. If rates do start to come down, it could be a good time to jump into the market, but be prepared for potential increased competition. Explore all your options, including new constructions that might offer rate incentives. And as Danielle Hale wisely advised, shop around for a mortgage – it can really save you money in the long run.
  • For Current Homeowners: A modest price increase is generally good news for your home equity. However, remember that real estate is a long-term investment. Don't make rash decisions based on short-term forecasts.
  • For Sellers: If you're planning to sell in 2025, the forecast suggests a potentially more active market with modest price growth. However, it's still crucial to price your home competitively based on local market conditions.

Final Thoughts

Predicting the future of the housing market is never an exact science. There are so many interconnected factors at play. However, the latest forecast from the National Association of Realtors provides a valuable insight into what the experts are expecting. While a 3% price growth in 2025 might not be earth-shattering, it suggests a degree of stability and continued moderate appreciation in the housing market. As always, staying informed about your local market and understanding the broader economic trends will be key to making informed decisions.

Plan Ahead with 2025-2026 Housing Market Insights

The housing market is shifting—some regions are cooling while others remain resilient. Stay ahead of national trends by focusing on stable investment areas with long-term growth potential.

Norada helps investors like you discover turnkey real estate opportunities in cities forecasted for strong performance in both 2025 and 2026.

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Today’s Mortgage Rates: 5-Year ARM Jumps to 7.59% on June 29, 2025

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Buying a home is a huge decision! When interest rates start moving, especially on adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), it can feel like navigating a maze. So, let's cut to the chase: According to Zillow, as of June 29, 2025, the average national rate for a 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage has increased from 7.54% to 7.59%.

Today's Mortgage Rates: 5-Year ARM Jumps to 7.59% on June 29, 2025

Mortgage rates are constantly changing. It feels like you need a crystal ball to predict where they're headed next! These fluctuations are based on various economic factors, including inflation, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and overall market sentiment. It is important to keep an eye out for the changes so as to reap the benefits.

What's Happening with Mortgage Rates on June 29, 2025?

Let's take a look at the mortgage rates from Zillow as of today.

Loan Program Rate 1 Week Change APR 1 Week Change
Conforming Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.76% Down 0.16% 7.19% Down 0.18%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.32% Down 0.26% 6.67% Down 0.29%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.75% Down 0.21% 6.04% Down 0.22%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.78% Down 0.15% 6.04% Down 0.03%
7-Year ARM 7.29% Down 0.15% 7.80% Down 0.01%
5-Year ARM 7.59% Up 0.39% 7.96% Up 0.17%
3-Year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%
Government Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 7.25% Down 0.07% 8.30% Down 0.06%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.26% Down 0.15% 6.44% Down 0.16%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.58% Down 0.01% 6.55% Down 0.02%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.73% Down 0.19% 6.02% Down 0.22%
Jumbo Loans
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.09% Down 0.18% 7.50% Down 0.17%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 6.46% Down 0.14% 6.71% Down 0.14%
7-Year ARM Jumbo 7.42% Down 0.10% 8.00% Down 0.06%
5-Year ARM Jumbo 7.55% Down 0.17% 7.94% Down 0.15%
3-Year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

Key Takeaways from Today's Mortgage Rate Update:

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates: The most popular 30-year fixed mortgage rate saw a slight increase of 1 basis point, climbing to 6.76%. This is still lower than the previous week’s average of 6.91%.
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates: The 15-year fixed mortgage rate remained stable at 5.75%.
  • 5-Year ARM: This is the focus! The rate increased by 5 basis points, moving from 7.54% to 7.59%.

Diving Deeper: What is an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)?

An ARM is a type of mortgage where the interest rate is fixed for an initial period, then adjusts periodically based on a benchmark index. The 5-year ARM has a fixed rate for the first five years. After that, the rate can change, typically annually, based on the market's performance, usually tied to indexes like the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, SOFR.

Why Are ARMs Attractive?

  • Lower Initial Interest Rates: ARMs often start with lower interest rates than fixed-rate mortgages. This can result in lower monthly payments during the initial fixed-rate period.
  • Ideal for Short-Term Homeownership: If you plan to move or refinance within the first five years, an ARM can be a smart choice. Since you're in the fixed-rate period, you benefit from the lower rate without worrying about adjustments.
  • Potential Savings: If interest rates stay low or decrease after the fixed-rate period, you could save money over the life of the loan.

The Risks of ARMs

  • Interest Rate Risk: The biggest risk is that interest rates could rise after the fixed-rate period. This would increase your monthly payments, potentially straining your budget.
  • Payment Shock: If rates rise significantly, you could face a “payment shock” when your mortgage payment jumps substantially.
  • Complexity: ARMs can be more complex than fixed-rate mortgages, making it harder to understand the terms and conditions.

Why Did the 5-Year ARM Rate Go Up?

Several factors could contribute to this increase:

  • Economic Conditions: Positive economic data such as strong employment numbers or rising consumer confidence can indicate inflationary pressures, causing interest rates to rise.
  • Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates greatly influence mortgage rates. Any signals of tightening monetary policy usually lead to higher mortgage rates.
  • Market Sentiment: Investor confidence and expectations about future economic conditions play a role. If investors anticipate higher inflation, they may demand higher yields on mortgage-backed securities, pushing mortgage rates up.

My Take: Weighing the Pros and Cons

I've seen many people benefit from ARMs over the years, but it's essential to be realistic about your financial situation and risk tolerance. A 5-year ARM can be a good option if the initial rate is substantially lower than a comparable fixed-rate mortgage and if you don't plan to stay in the home for more than five years.

However, I always advise people to consider the worst-case scenario. Can you afford higher monthly payments if interest rates go up significantly? Do you have a plan to refinance or sell the home before the rate adjusts? If you're unsure or uncomfortable with these risks, a fixed-rate mortgage might be a better choice.

Fixed vs. Adjustable: Choosing What's Right for You

Here is a comparison between Fixed Rate Mortgages and ARM

Feature Fixed-Rate Mortgage Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)
Interest Rate Remains constant throughout the loan term. Fixed for an initial period, then adjusts periodically.
Payment Stability Predictable, consistent monthly payments. Payments can change after the initial fixed-rate period.
Risk Level Lower risk due to stable payments. Higher risk due to potential rate increases.
Ideal For Long-term homeowners who value stability and predictability. Short-term homeowners or those expecting income growth.
Initial Rate Can be higher than ARM's initial rate. Often starts with a lower rate compared to fixed-rate mortgages.
Complexity Simpler to understand. More complex due to variable interest rates.

Other Mortgage Rate Trends

While the 5-year ARM saw an increase, it's worth noting that most other mortgage rates experienced slight decreases over the past week:

  • 30-Year Fixed Rate: Decreased to 6.76%.
  • 15-Year Fixed Rate: Remained steady at 5.75%.

This mixed bag of movements underscores the complexity of the current mortgage market.

The Bottom Line:

The slight increase in the 5-year ARM rate on June 29, 2025, is a snapshot of the ever-changing mortgage market. Stay informed, consider your personal circumstances, and seek expert advice to make smart choices whether you already have a mortgage or are looking to have one. Although the economy may feel like a game of chess, with careful planning and research you can strategically checkmate the perfect deal for you.

Capitalize on ARM Rates Before They Rise Even Higher

With fluctuating adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), savvy investors are exploring flexible financing options to maximize returns.

Norada offers a curated selection of ready-to-rent properties in top markets, helping you capitalize on current mortgage trends and build long-term wealth.

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Connect with an investment counselor today (No Obligation):

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Fed Projects Two Interest Rate Cuts Later in 2025

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Today's news from the Federal Reserve (also known as the Fed) might sound a little complicated, but let's break it down. On June 18, 2025, the Fed did not cut interest rates. They left them where they were, in the range of 4.25% to 4.5%. However, the central bank's updated forecast, or their projections, is the real headline-grabber. They're expecting to cut rates twice by the end of 2025. This means that while things seem status quo right now, the Fed is hinting strongly that relief for consumers and businesses is on the horizon.

As someone who's been following economic trends for quite some time now, I can tell you that this is a delicate balancing act. The Fed wants to keep inflation under control while also encouraging economic growth. This is always a tightrope walk, and these projections show they're trying to find the right balance.

Fed Projects Two Interest Rate Cuts Later in 2025

A Steady Hand Today, A Cautious Hope for Tomorrow

The decision to hold rates steady wasn't exactly a surprise. It's the fourth meeting in a row they've kept things the same, following a series of cuts in late 2024 that knocked rates down by 1%. The Fed is all about following the data, and this time, it's telling them to hold steady. The big news, though, is what they think will happen later. They're estimating the benchmark rate could drop to about 3.75%–4% by the end of 2025, which pencils out to two quarter-point cuts.

Now, it's not like everyone on the Fed board is singing the same tune. Here's a quick look at how the Fed's policymakers are leaning:

  • 7 officials: Think there won't be any cuts in 2025.
  • 2 officials: Expect only one cut.
  • 8 officials: Are looking for two cuts.
  • 2 officials: Envision three cuts.

As you can see, there's some disagreement. This shows the complexity of the situation and how the Fed is trying to gauge the future. The majority are playing it safe, signaling they'll ease up gradually in 2025.

What's Driving These Projections? The Economic Outlook

The Fed's forecasts give us some clues as to why they're leaning towards rate cuts. Here’s a brief rundown:

  • Core PCE Inflation: The Fed thinks this will hit 3.1% by the end of 2025 (up from 2.8% in March) before cooling to 2.4% in 2026. This means inflation is still a worry.
  • GDP Growth: They're forecasting 1.4% growth for 2025, slightly lower than their previous prediction of 1.7%. The economy might be slowing down a bit.
  • Unemployment Rate: The Fed projects that it will rise to 4.5% by the end of 2025, from the current 4.2%. This suggests that the labor market might cool off.

These numbers paint a picture. The Fed sees inflation sticking around for a while, which means holding rates steady now. However, with slower growth and a slight uptick in unemployment, they think they can afford to lower rates later without letting inflation get out of control.

Why the Wait? Unpacking the Fed's Reasoning

Why the delay in cutting rates? Several factors are influencing the Fed's patience:

  1. Persistent Inflation: There are ongoing price pressures. Tariffs, especially from measures such as the ones implemented by President Trump on goods from China, drive up the cost of things like electronics. Although the Fed expects this to peak over the summer, additional pressure is possible as a tariff pause expires.
  2. Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing tensions in the Middle East, and the war between Russia and Ukraine, continue to impact commodities markets, especially oil. They push up prices and complicate the situation regarding inflation regulation.
  3. Balanced Labor Market: According to Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the labor market generally is stable. It isn’t particularly adding to inflation at the moment, which reduces the urgent need to lower rates.

Essentially, the Fed is trying to be proactive. By projecting cuts for later in 2025, they acknowledge that the underlying inflationary pressures are likely to ease, allowing them to shift to a more accommodating stance without triggering a fresh wave of inflation.

When Might the Cuts Actually Happen?

The Fed didn't give specific dates, but markets are offering some predictions. Experts believe a cut is unlikely at the late-July meeting, with a better chance at the September meeting, around September 17. A second cut could arrive in November or December.

The fact that the Fed is being so cautious is crucial. They’re showing they want to be sure before making any major moves.

Two Cuts: What It Means for You

The expectation of two interest rate cuts is a big deal for people like you and me. Here's what it could mean:

  • Borrowers: High borrowing costs mean more pain for now. Credit cards might still have APRs around 20%, new car loans about 7.3%, and 30-year mortgages around 6.91%. If cuts happen, these figures may drop by 0.5% or more.
  • Savers: High-yield savings accounts are still looking good. If you’re getting over 4% on your savings, it’ll stay attractive for a while.
  • Businesses: If businesses are dealing with high loan costs and uncertainty over tariffs, they might hold off on investing. Lower rates could be just what they need.

In other words, if you are currently struggling with costs, two anticipated cuts mean you can be hopeful.

Market Reactions and Broader Context

The markets' reaction to the Fed's combined message of “no cut now, two later” was more or less neutral. Stocks saw some interesting changes: the S&P 500 increased, while the Dow dipped slightly, and so did the Nasdaq.

The broader context includes factors like the potential impact of the tariff policies and political pressures on the Fed. The Middle East situation is also an important factor that can potentially upset energy markets.

Looking Ahead

The Federal Reserve's projections give us a cautious sense of hope after today's decision. The focus remains on keeping inflation under control while keeping an eye on risks. As the Fed navigates these challenges, keep in mind that any real shift will probably occur later in 2025.

So, what's my take? As someone in the business of keeping tabs on the market, I think the Fed is doing what it needs to do. They're signaling that they're aware of the challenges facing both consumers and businesses. It’s a balancing act, but the potential for two rate cuts later this year shows they're thinking long-term. It’s a matter of being patient until we see the economy improving.

Position Your Portfolio Ahead of the Fed’s Next Move

The Federal Reserve’s next rate decision could shape real estate returns through the rest of 2025. Whether or not a rate cut happens tomorrow, smart investors are acting now.

Norada Real Estate helps you secure cash-flowing properties in stable markets—shielding your investments from volatility and interest rate swings.

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Mortgage Rates Today June 29, 2025: Rates Dip Slightly But Remain Elevated

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Are you curious about the prevailing mortgage rates today? As of June 29, 2025, the national average for a 30-year fixed mortgage is holding steady at 6.75%, according to Zillow. While there's a slight decrease in mortgage rates from last week, rates remain relatively high. Here's a breakdown of everything you need to know.

Mortgage Rates Today, June 29, 2025: Rates Dip Slightly But Remain Elevated

Key Takeaways:

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: Averaging 6.75%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points from last week.
  • Refinance Rates: 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates also dipped, going down to 6.99%.
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: Holding at 5.75%.
  • 5-Year ARM: Increased slightly to 7.58%.

It's important to keep a close eye on the current mortgage rates as you make your financial decisions, whether you're buying a home or refinancing.

Mortgage Rates on June 29, 2025: A Closer Look

As of today, June 29, 2025, mortgage rates show a slight downward trend compared to last week. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.75%. This is a decrease of 16 basis points (0.16%) from the previous week's average of 6.91%.

The 15-year fixed mortgage rate remains steady at 5.75%. Meanwhile, the 5-year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) saw a slight increase, going up 4 basis points to 7.58%. It will be interesting to see any mortgage rate predictions for the rest of the year. I think a lot of people are hoping for rates to go down.

Here's a summary of the current national average mortgage rates according to Zillow:

  • 30-Year Fixed: 6.75%
  • 15-Year Fixed: 5.75%
  • 5-Year ARM: 7.58%

Current Mortgage Rates by Loan Type

To provide a more detailed picture, here's a table comparing current mortgage rates for various loan types. This data is updated daily, so you can stay informed about week-over-week changes.

Conforming Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.75% down 0.17% 7.20% down 0.17%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.32% down 0.26% 6.67% down 0.29%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.75% down 0.22% 6.04% down 0.22%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.78% down 0.15% 6.04% down 0.03%
7-year ARM 7.29% down 0.15% 7.80% down 0.01%
5-year ARM 7.58% up 0.38% 7.97% up 0.18%
3-year ARM – 0.00% – 0.00%

Government Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.96% down 0.37% 7.99% down 0.37%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.23% down 0.17% 6.45% down 0.16%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.50% down 0.09% 6.46% down 0.10%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.64% down 0.28% 5.99% down 0.25%

Understanding APR

You'll notice both mortgage rates and APR (Annual Percentage Rate) are listed. The APR is more than just the interest rate; it includes other costs like lender fees, points, and other charges. The APR gives you a better overall picture of the cost of the loan. I think paying close attention to that number is important!

Current Refinance Rates on June 29, 2025: Is Now a Good Time to Refinance?

If you're considering refinancing your home, it's crucial to stay informed about current refinance rates. As of June 29, 2025, the national average 30-year fixed refinance rate is 6.99%, a decrease of 6 basis points from 7.05% on Sunday.

The 30-year fixed refinance rate is down 17 basis points from the previous week's average of 7.16%. The 15-year fixed refinance rate decreased slightly, going from 5.84% to 5.83%. However, the 5-year ARM refinance rate increased by 8 basis points, from 7.74% to 7.82%.

Here's a table comparing refinance mortgage rates for different loan types, including week-over-week changes.

Conforming Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.75% down 0.17% 7.20% down 0.17%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.32% down 0.26% 6.67% down 0.29%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.75% down 0.22% 6.04% down 0.22%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.78% down 0.15% 6.04% down 0.03%
7-year ARM 7.29% down 0.15% 7.80% down 0.01%
5-year ARM 7.58% up 0.38% 7.97% up 0.18%
3-year ARM – 0.00% – 0.00%

Is Refinancing Right for You?

Refinancing can be a smart move if you can lower your interest rate, shorten your loan term, or switch from an adjustable-rate mortgage to a fixed-rate mortgage. However, it's important to consider closing costs and other fees. Always do the math to see if the long-term savings outweigh the upfront expenses. Everyone's situation is different.

Why Are Mortgage Rates So High in 2025?

Even though we're seeing slight decreases this week, many people are wondering, “Why are today's mortgage rates so stubbornly high in 2025?” It's a complex question with several factors at play. Here are a few key reasons:

  • Lingering Inflation and Federal Reserve Caution: Inflation continues to be a concern, and the Federal Reserve is being very careful about cutting interest rates too quickly. They don't want to risk inflation spiking again! This cautious approach means we're likely in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment. Higher interest rates translate to higher mortgage rates.
  • Bond Market Dynamics: Mortgage rates are closely tied to the yields on 10-year Treasury bonds. When those yields go up, so do mortgage rates.
  • Economic and Political Factors: Global events, like geopolitical tensions, and uncertainty around economic policies can also influence mortgage rates. Investors may demand higher returns on bonds due to economic uncertainty, which can push rates higher.
  • Housing Market Headwinds: Many homeowners are “locked in” to low mortgage rates from previous years, making them reluctant to sell. This reduces the available housing inventory, which can keep prices high. High prices and high mortgage interest rates create affordability challenges for many potential buyers.

Will Mortgage Rates Drop in 2025?

  • No Ultra-Low Rates Reappearing: Those super-low rates we saw during the pandemic? Don't expect them to come back. We're talking about the historical rates like 2% to 3%, so it's unlikely to happen anytime soon.
  • “Higher-for-Longer” is the Name of the Game: Experts are saying we're in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate situation. This means rates will probably stay higher for a while.
  • Expect Gradual Drops: The Federal Reserve (the Fed) might make some cuts to interest rates, but these will likely happen slowly.
  • Mortgage Rates Follow the Fed's Lead: Mortgage Rates tend to mirror the Federal Reserve's actions, so if the Fed cuts its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are likely to follow suit. That's just how it goes.
  • Bond Market Matters: Mortgage rates are also heavily influenced by the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds. Currently, those bonds are showing a slight upward trend, which can impact mortgage rates.

In a nutshell, there's a chance mortgage rates could go down a bit in 2025, but it's not a sure thing. Whether they drop and how much they drop depends on what happens with the economy, the Fed's decisions, and what's going on around the world. It's a waiting game!

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

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Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

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Today’s 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Drops from 7.56% to 7.54% – June 28, 2025

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Are you thinking about buying a home or refinancing your mortgage? Keeping an eye on mortgage rates is crucial! As of today, June 28, 2025, the national average 5-year Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) has seen a slight decrease, settling at 7.54%. This article will dive into the details of today's mortgage rates, particularly focusing on the significance of this dip in the 5-year ARM, and what it could mean for you.

Today's 5-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgage Drops – June 28, 2025

Mortgage Rate Snapshot:

Let's take a look at where different mortgage rates stand today, according to Zillow's latest update:

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.75%
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 5.75%
  • 5-Year ARM Mortgage Rate: 7.54%

While the 30-year and 15-year fixed rates remain relatively stable, the slight drop in the 5-year ARM is something to pay attention to. It's a small change, down 2 basis points but in the world of mortgages, every little bit counts! Now, let's explore the bigger picture and dive deeper into ARMs.

Understanding Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs)

Before we get too far ahead, let's quickly review what an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) actually is. Unlike fixed-rate mortgages, where your interest rate stays the same for the life of the loan, ARMs have an interest rate that can change periodically.

The 5-year ARM is the most common and usually works like this: you get a set interest rate for the initial 5-year period. After those five years are up, the interest rate adjusts, typically once a year, based on a specific index (like the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)) plus a margin.

Why the Drop in the 5-Year ARM Matters

While a decrease of 2 basis points might seem insignificant, it can still be meaningful for potential homebuyers.

  • Potentially Lower Initial Payments: A lower rate, even slightly lower, can translate to smaller monthly mortgage payments during the initial 5-year period. This can free up cash flow for other expenses or investments.
  • Opportunity for Refinancing: Some people take out an ARM hoping that rates will drop in the future, allowing them to refinance into a more stable, long-term fixed-rate mortgage. While it's impossible to predict the future, a lower initial rate gives you some breathing room to wait for the right refinancing opportunity.

However, it's crucial to remember that ARMs come with risk. If interest rates rise after the initial fixed-rate period, your monthly payments could increase significantly.

Who Should Consider a 5-Year ARM?

ARMs aren't for everyone. They are most suitable for borrowers who:

  • Plan to Move Soon: If you only plan to stay in the home for a few years before moving, an ARM can be a good option. You'll benefit from the lower initial rate without being exposed to the risk of long-term rate adjustments.
  • Expect Their Income to Increase: If you anticipate a significant increase in income in the future, you might be comfortable taking on the risk of potentially higher mortgage payments down the road.
  • Are Comfortable with Market Fluctuations: If you understand how interest rates work and are comfortable with the possibility of your mortgage payment changing, an ARM might be a reasonable choice.
  • Looking for Lower Interest Rates: When compared to the 30 year fixed interest rate, the interest rate offered by a 5-year ARM is comparatively lower.

It's also very important to remember that if you consider an ARM, you must be disciplined and watch rates very closely so that if the rates start to creep upward, you have ample time to refinance.

A Deeper Dive into Today's Mortgage Rate Trends

Beyond the 5-year ARM, let's examine the broader mortgage rate trends as of June 28, 2025:

Conforming Loans:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.75% down 0.17% 7.20% down 0.17%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.37% down 0.21% 6.81% down 0.14%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.75% down 0.22% 6.05% down 0.22%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.78% down 0.15% 6.04% down 0.03%
7-year ARM 7.29% down 0.15% 7.80% down 0.01%
5-year ARM 7.54% up 0.33% 7.97% up 0.17%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%

Government Loans:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 7.04% down 0.28% 8.07% down 0.29%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.26% down 0.15% 6.47% down 0.13%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.91% up 0.32% 6.88% up 0.31%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.74% down 0.18% 6.09% down 0.16%

Jumbo Loans:

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.13% down 0.14% 7.50% down 0.18%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 6.60% 0.00% 6.83% down 0.02%
7-year ARM Jumbo 7.42% down 0.10% 8.00% down 0.06%
5-year ARM Jumbo 7.33% down 0.39% 7.85% down 0.24%
3-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

Here are a few key observations:

The change in rates vary by program. In comparing those that are fixed to those that are adjustable only underscore the nature of risk and reward to making such a decision.

  • Slight Downward Trend: Overall, we're seeing a generally downward trend in mortgage rates across different loan types. This could be influenced by various economic factors, such as inflation, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and overall economic growth.
  • Government Loans Remain Competitive: VA loans continue to offer attractive rates, especially for eligible veterans. FHA loans also provide an option for borrowers with lower credit scores or smaller down payments.
  • Jumbo Loans Still Higher: Jumbo loans, which are for larger loan amounts, typically have higher interest rates than conforming loans.

Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates

Understanding the factors that influence mortgage rates can help you make informed decisions about when to buy or refinance. Here are some of the key drivers:

  • The Economy: The overall health of the economy plays a significant role. Strong economic growth can lead to higher interest rates, while a weaker economy may result in lower rates.
    • Inflation: Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money, so lenders demand higher interest rates to compensate for this risk.
    • The Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve (also known as the Fed) sets monetary policy, which directly impacts interest rates. The Fed can raise or lower the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates, including mortgage rates.
  • The Bond Market: Mortgage rates are often tied to the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds. When bond yields rise, mortgage rates tend to follow suit.
  • Investor Sentiment: Investor confidence and risk appetite can also affect mortgage rates. During times of uncertainty, investors may flock to safer assets like Treasury bonds, which can push yields down and lower mortgage rates.
    • Global Events: Major global events, such as geopolitical tensions or economic crises, can also have an impact on mortgage rates.
    • Housing Market Conditions: The forces of supply and demand affecting available homes affects interest rates and affordability.

My Take on the Current Market

Personally, as someone who's followed the housing market for a while, I believe we're in a period of moderate opportunity. While rates aren't at historic lows, the recent dip is a welcome sign for potential homebuyers. However, it's essential to do your homework, compare rates from multiple lenders, and carefully consider your own financial situation before making a decision. Also, be sure to consult with a trusted financial adviser.

Remember, buying a home is a significant financial commitment. Don't rush into it. Take your time, do your research, and make a decision that aligns with your long-term financial goals.

The Bottom Line

Today's slight decrease in the 5-year ARM rate offers a small window of opportunity for some borrowers. However, it's crucial to understand the risks associated with ARMs and carefully weigh your options before making a decision. Stay informed, consult with professionals, and make the choice that's right for you.

Capitalize on ARM Rates Before They Rise Even Higher

With fluctuating adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), savvy investors are exploring flexible financing options to maximize returns.

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Mortgage Refinance Rates Today Jump by 7 Basis Points – June 28, 2025

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Are you thinking about refinancing your mortgage? It's a big decision, and keeping up with rate changes is critical. As of today, June 28, 2025, the national average for a 30-year fixed refinance rate has edged up. According to the latest data, we're seeing an increase of 7 basis points, bringing the average rate to 7.07%. While this figure may seem small, even minor fluctuations can impact your monthly payments and overall savings.

Mortgage Refinance Rates Today Jump by 7 Basis Points

Current Refinance Rate Overview – June 28, 2025

Okay, so what exactly do these numbers mean for you? Let's break down the current refinance rate scenario to see exactly how these changes impact homeowners like yourself.

According to the most recent data from Zillow, here's a quick snapshot of where refinance rates stand today:

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: 7.07% (Up 7 basis points from 7.00%)
  • 15-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: 5.87% (Up 3 basis points from 5.84%)
  • 5-Year ARM Refinance Rate: 7.74% (Down 2 basis points from 7.76%)

This week's movement shows a mixed bag. While the popular 30-year fixed rate has increased slightly, other terms like the 5-year ARM have seen a dip. This highlights the importance of considering your specific circumstances and risk tolerance when deciding on a refinance strategy.

Why Did Refinance Rates Go Up?

Understanding why rates move is crucial for making informed decisions. Several factors influence mortgage refinance rates, including:

  • Economic conditions: The overall health of the economy, including inflation, employment, and GDP growth, plays a big role. Strong economic data can sometimes push rates higher.
  • Federal Reserve policy: The Fed's decisions on interest rates directly affect mortgage rates. Any hints about future rate hikes or cuts can send ripples through the market.
  • Bond market activity: Mortgage rates are closely tied to the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond. When bond yields rise, mortgage rates typically follow suit.
  • Investor sentiment: Uncertainty and volatility in the market can also affect rates. When investors are nervous, they tend to flock to safer assets like bonds, which can push yields lower and, consequently, mortgage rates.

Comparing Refinance Rates by Loan Type

It's not just about the 30-year fixed rate. Different loan types have their own dynamics. Here's a look at how various refinance options are trending. These rates are conforming and may also depend on your existing loan program as well.

Conforming Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.75% Down 0.17% 7.21% Down 0.17%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.37% Down 0.21% 6.81% Down 0.14%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.75% Down 0.22% 6.05% Down 0.21%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.78% Down 0.15% 6.04% Down 0.03%
7-year ARM 7.29% Down 0.15% 7.80% Down 0.01%
5-year ARM 7.53% Up 0.33% 7.97% Up 0.17%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%

Government Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 6.13% Down 0.68% 7.14% Down 0.69%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.36% Down 0.25% 6.58% Down 0.24%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.63% Down 0.30% 6.59% Down 0.30%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.83% Down 0.22% 6.18% Down 0.20%

Jumbo Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.67% Up 0.30% 8.05% Up 0.37%
15-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo 7.50% Up 0.74% 7.58% Up 0.62%
7-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%
5-year ARM Jumbo 8.63% Down 0.36% 8.51% Down 0.26%
3-year ARM Jumbo — 0.00% — 0.00%

Is Refinancing Right for You?

Even with these rate fluctuations, refinancing can still be a smart move for many homeowners. Here are a few scenarios where it might make sense:

  • Lowering your interest rate: This is the most obvious benefit. Even a small reduction in your rate can save you thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
  • Shortening your loan term: Switching from a 30-year to a 15-year mortgage can help you pay off your home faster and save on interest.
  • Switching from an ARM to a fixed-rate mortgage: If you're concerned about rising interest rates, refinancing to a fixed-rate loan can provide stability and peace of mind.
  • Consolidating debt: You can roll other high-interest debts, like credit card balances, into your mortgage, potentially saving you money on interest payments.
  • Taking out cash: A cash-out refinance allows you to borrow against your home equity to fund major expenses like home renovations or education.

Factors to Consider Before Refinancing

Before you jump into refinancing, consider these crucial factors:

  • Closing costs: Refinancing involves costs similar to those you paid when you originally bought your home, such as appraisal fees, title insurance, and origination fees.
  • Break-even point: Calculate how long it will take you to recoup the closing costs through your monthly savings. If you don't plan to stay in your home long enough to reach the break-even point, refinancing might not be worth it.
  • Credit score: A good credit score is essential for securing the best refinance rates. Check your credit report and address any issues before applying.
  • Loan-to-value ratio (LTV): Your LTV is the amount of your mortgage divided by the appraised value of your home. A lower LTV (meaning you have more equity) typically qualifies you for better rates.
  • Personal Circumstances: Don't look at just the numbers. Consider your personal and financial situations. As an example, I wouldn't take an adjustable-rate mortgage loan if my income stream wasn't also floating with it as that'd create a mismatch that could increase the risk of default in the future.

Why This Increase Matters in the Bigger Picture

Okay, so rates went up by a few basis points. Big deal, right? Well, yes and no. While a single day's movement might seem insignificant, it's essential to look at the broader trend. Are rates generally rising, falling, or staying stable? This helps you gauge whether it's a good time to lock in a rate.

Also, consider your personal financial goals. If you're on the fence about refinancing, even a small increase could nudge you to act sooner rather than later.

My Take: Don't Panic, But Pay Attention

As someone who's been following the mortgage market for a while (and, let's be honest, has a mortgage of my own!), I can tell you that it's crucial to stay informed but also avoid getting caught up in day-to-day fluctuations. Focus on the bigger picture:

  • Assess your needs: What are you hoping to achieve by refinancing? Lower payments? Shorter loan term? Debt consolidation?
  • Shop around: Don't settle for the first offer you receive. Get quotes from multiple lenders to compare rates and fees. Online quote comparison tools can come in handy.
  • Consult with a professional: Talk to a mortgage broker or financial advisor to get personalized advice based on your financial situation.

The Bottom Line

While the Mortgage Refinance Rates Today Jump by 7 Basis Points – June 28, 2025, it's one piece of a larger puzzle. Stay informed, assess your needs, and make a decision that aligns with your long-term financial goals. Don't let daily fluctuations scare you, but don't ignore them either. Do your research, and you'll be well-equipped to navigate the refinance market.

Maximize Your Mortgage Decisions in 2025

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Buying a Home Will Be More Affordable Than Renting in 2025

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Is owning a home just a pipe dream these days? With prices seemingly sky-high and interest rates doing a little dance, it sure can feel that way. But hold on a minute – contrary to what you might think, owning a home is actually more affordable than renting in 2025 in a surprising number of places across the United States. Yes, you read that right. Even though the upfront cost of buying can feel like climbing Mount Everest, once you’re in, your monthly housing costs might actually be less than what your neighbor is shelling out for rent. Let's dive into why this is the case, and what it means for you.

Buying a Home Will Be More Affordable Than Renting in 2025

The Surprising Numbers: Homeownership vs. Renting in 2025

I know, I know, it sounds a bit crazy. For years, the narrative has been about how renting is the only option for many, especially younger folks trying to get their financial footing. And in some super-expensive cities, that still holds true. But according to a recent report from ATTOM, a property data company, the tide is turning in many areas.

Their 2025 Rental Affordability Report crunched the numbers and found that in nearly 60% of counties across the US, the major costs of owning a typical single-family home eat up a smaller chunk of average wages than renting a three-bedroom apartment. Think about that for a second. In more than half of the places they looked at, it’s easier on your wallet each month to be a homeowner than a renter.

Now, before you start packing boxes and browsing Zillow, let’s be real. This isn't a simple open-and-shut case. Both owning and renting are putting a serious squeeze on people's budgets. We're talking about housing costs – whether rent or mortgage – gobbling up anywhere from 25% to a whopping 60% of people's paychecks in many areas. That's a big chunk! But the surprising takeaway is that, in a lot of places, the owning chunk is smaller.

Why is Owning Becoming More Affordable Than Renting?

You might be scratching your head right now. Homes are expensive, right? And haven’t prices been going up? Yes, and yes. But the story is a bit more nuanced than just sticker prices.

Here’s what’s happening:

  • Home prices are rising, but so are rents, and sometimes even faster: While home prices have definitely gone up, especially in recent years, rents have been on a rocket ship in many cities. The ATTOM report actually found that in about two-thirds of the counties they studied, home prices either rose faster or declined less than rents over the past year. This means that the cost of renting is catching up, and in some cases, surpassing the cost of owning.
  • Fixed Mortgages vs. Variable Rents: This is a big one that often gets overlooked. When you buy a home with a fixed-rate mortgage, your principal and interest payment stays pretty much the same for the life of the loan. Sure, property taxes and insurance can change, but your biggest housing expense is locked in. Rent, on the other hand, is at the mercy of the market and your landlord. It can go up every year, and often does! In an environment where rents are climbing, that fixed mortgage payment starts to look really appealing.
  • Wages are (slightly) keeping pace in some areas: While it's definitely not uniform across the board, wages have been growing in some parts of the country. In fact, the report mentioned that in almost three-quarters of the areas they analyzed, wages grew faster than rents. This helps to offset some of the rising housing costs, making both renting and owning a bit more manageable in those locations, but ownership is pulling ahead.

Regional Differences: Where Owning Wins (and Where Renting Still Reigns)

Now, let's zoom out and look at the map. This affordability picture isn't the same everywhere. Where you live makes a huge difference.

  • Midwest and South: The Sweet Spots for Homeownership: If you're looking for a place where owning is significantly more affordable than renting, head towards the Midwest or the South. The report highlights that in about 80% of counties in the Midwest and 60% in the South, owning a home is the more financially sound choice. Places like Detroit, Birmingham, and Pittsburgh are standing out as surprisingly affordable for homebuyers.
  • Northeast: A Mixed Bag: The Northeast is a bit more of a mixed bag. In about half of the counties in this region, owning is still more affordable. However, there are definitely pockets of high-cost areas where renting might be less of a strain, at least monthly.
  • West Coast: Renting Still Has the Edge: The West Coast, especially California, is where renting often remains the more financially viable option. In about 80% of western markets, renting a home is easier on your wallet. Think about cities like Oakland, Honolulu, and San Jose – these are places where the housing market is notoriously expensive, and even with rising rents, the sheer cost of homeownership can be overwhelming for many.

To give you some concrete examples from the report:

  • Places where owning is WAY more affordable than renting:
    • Suffolk County, NY (Long Island): Homeownership costs eat up about 59% of average wages, while rent is a staggering 159%!
    • Atlantic County, NJ (Atlantic City): 48% for owning vs. 111% for renting.
    • Collier County, FL (Naples): 79% for owning vs. 127% for renting.
  • Places where renting is still more affordable:
    • Alameda County, CA (Oakland): Rent is 48% of wages, while owning is a hefty 87%.
    • Honolulu County, HI: 64% for renting vs. 103% for owning.
    • San Mateo County, CA: 31% for renting vs. 69% for owning.

It's pretty clear when you look at these numbers that your location plays a massive role in whether owning or renting makes more financial sense.

The Catch: The Down Payment Hurdle and Other Ownership Costs

Okay, so owning might be more affordable monthly in many places. But let's not forget the elephant in the room: the down payment. Rob Barber, CEO at ATTOM, put it perfectly: “Homeownership is somewhat more attainable for those who can gather the necessary resources to cover down payments that often surpass $200,000.”

That’s a HUGE “if.” Saving up a down payment, especially a traditional 20% down payment, is a monumental task for most people, especially in today's economy. This is often the biggest barrier to entry for homeownership, regardless of monthly affordability.

And it's not just the down payment. Homeownership comes with a whole host of other costs that renters don't have to worry about:

  • Property Taxes: These can vary widely depending on location and can add a significant chunk to your monthly housing expenses.
  • Homeowner's Insurance: You need to protect your investment, and insurance is a must.
  • Maintenance and Repairs: Leaky faucet? Broken appliance? That's all on you as a homeowner. Unexpected repairs can pop up at any time and can be costly.
  • Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): If you put down less than 20%, you'll likely have to pay PMI, which adds to your monthly payment.

Renters, on the other hand, have more predictable monthly housing costs. Their landlord is typically responsible for repairs and maintenance. This predictability can be a big advantage for budgeting and financial planning.

Beyond the Numbers: Why Owning Can Still Be a Smart Move

Even with the down payment hurdle and extra costs, I still believe that for many people, owning a home is a worthwhile goal. It’s not just about the monthly payment comparison. It’s about building long-term wealth and security.

Here's why I'm still a believer in the dream of homeownership:

  • Building Equity: When you pay rent, that money is gone. It's helping your landlord build their wealth, not yours. When you make mortgage payments, you're building equity in an asset that, historically, tends to appreciate over time. That equity can be a powerful tool for your future financial security.
  • Inflation Hedge: As prices rise, your fixed mortgage payment becomes a smaller and smaller percentage of your income over time (assuming your income also rises, hopefully!). Rent, on the other hand, is likely to keep pace with inflation, if not outpace it.
  • Stability and Control: As a homeowner, you have more control over your housing situation. You can renovate, decorate, and put down roots in your community. You're not at the mercy of a landlord deciding to raise your rent or sell the property.
  • Potential Tax Benefits: Depending on your situation and location, you may be able to deduct mortgage interest and property taxes, which can lower your overall tax burden.

Of course, homeownership isn't for everyone. It comes with responsibilities and risks. It's less flexible than renting if you need to move quickly. And in some markets, it's just not financially feasible right now.

My Takeaway: Do Your Homework and Look at the Big Picture

So, is owning a home more affordable than renting in 2025? The answer, surprisingly, is yes in many parts of the country. But it's not a simple yes or no. It depends heavily on where you live, your financial situation, and your long-term goals.

If you're thinking about buying a home, don't just assume it's out of reach because of headlines about high prices. Do your research. Look at the local market data. Talk to a financial advisor and a mortgage lender. Compare the monthly costs of owning versus renting in your area.

And most importantly, think about the big picture. Homeownership is a long-term investment. It's about more than just the monthly payment. It’s about building wealth, creating stability, and having a place to call your own. And in 2025, in many corners of America, that dream might just be more attainable than you think.

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US Dollar Plummets to 3-Year Low: What It Means for Your Wallet

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The US Dollar, long a cornerstone of global financial stability, has recently fallen to its lowest level in three years, sparking widespread concern and discussion. As of June 27, 2025, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped to around 97, a level not seen since March 2022, representing a decline of over 10% this year alone.

This significant event has captured the attention of investors, policymakers, and consumers, raising questions about its causes and consequences. Let's explore the reasons behind the dollar’s decline, its implications for Americans and the global economy, and what the future might hold for the world’s reserve currency.

US Dollar Plummets to Three-Year Low: Causes of the Decline

The US Dollar’s fall is driven by a combination of economic, political, and market factors:

Economic Uncertainty and Tariffs

President Donald Trump’s economic policies, including the “Liberation Day” tariffs and the proposed “Big, Beautiful Bill,” have introduced significant uncertainty. These measures, aimed at protecting US industries, have raised fears of trade wars and economic slowdowns. An X post from @nexta_tv noted, “Due to U.S. tariffs, investors are losing trust in the currency as a ‘safe haven’ and are effectively pulling out” X Post. The “Big, Beautiful Bill” could add over $2.5 trillion to the federal debt, further eroding investor confidence (TIME).

Federal Reserve Independence Concerns

Speculation about changes in Federal Reserve leadership has significantly impacted the dollar. Reports indicate that President Trump is considering announcing a new Federal Reserve Chair before Jerome Powell’s term ends in May 2026. The prospect of a dovish chair who might cut interest rates has led to a decline in US bond yields, weakening the dollar. Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, stated, “This could undermine Powell’s final months as chair. The consensus is that Trump will pick a dovish chair, who is likely to cut interest rates. This triggered a decline in U.S. bond yields, which has weighed on the dollar” (MarketWatch).

Global Economic Shifts

The perception of the US as a safe haven for investments is waning. Investors are diversifying away from US assets, reflecting a broader shift in global economic power. Bilge Erten, an economist at Northeastern University, observed, “The US is no longer seen as a safe haven for investments. The dollar’s decline reflects a broader shift in global economic power” (TIME). This shift is evident in the dollar’s performance against other currencies, with the euro reaching its strongest level since September 2021 and the dollar hitting a decade-and-a-half low against the Swiss franc (Reuters).

Market Dynamics

The dollar has weakened against major currencies, including the euro, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen. The US Dollar Index fell to 97, with the euro up 0.33% at $1.1697 and the British pound trading above $1.3750 for the first time since 2021. An X post from @Investingcom reported, “U.S. DOLLAR INDEX FALLS TO THREE-YEAR LOW OF 97.68” X Post.

Currency Pair Performance Details
USD/EUR Down 0.33% Euro at $1.1697, strongest since September 2021
USD/CHF Decade-and-a-half low Swiss franc at 0.80030
USD/JPY Down 0.57% Japanese yen at 144.415
USD/GBP Weakened British pound above $1.3750, first time since 2021

Implications of the Dollar’s Fall

The dollar’s decline has significant consequences for both the US and the global economy:

For Americans

A weaker dollar increases the cost of imported goods and international travel, potentially raising the cost of living. TIME reported, “Americans’ wallets could be set to take a hit as the U.S. dollar has tumbled to a three-year low amid concerns about the stability and strength of the US economy.” However, it also makes US exports more competitive, benefiting domestic businesses. For example, industries like manufacturing and agriculture could see increased demand for their products abroad.

For the Global Economy

A weaker dollar can lead to higher inflation in countries reliant on US imports, as goods become more expensive. It also affects the value of dollar-denominated assets held by foreign investors, potentially prompting capital flight from the US. Additionally, the cost of servicing US debt held by foreign entities rises, complicating fiscal management.

For Financial Markets

The dollar’s decline has contributed to record highs in stock markets, as a weaker currency boosts corporate earnings when repatriated. However, it also introduces volatility, particularly for investors holding dollar-denominated assets. Michael Metcalfe from State Street noted, “The dollar is in a structural decline. Investors are the most negative on the dollar since the COVID pandemic.”

Expert Opinions and Market Reactions

The financial community has been vocal about the dollar’s decline:

  • Bilge Erten, Northeastern University: “The US is no longer seen as a safe haven for investments. The dollar’s decline reflects a broader shift in global economic power” (TIME).
  • Michael Metcalfe, State Street: “The dollar is in a structural decline. Investors are the most negative on the dollar since the COVID pandemic” (Reuters).
  • Kathleen Brooks, XTB: “The talk of an early Fed Chair nomination has undermined Powell’s final months as chair. The market expects a dovish replacement, which has triggered a decline in US bond yields and weighed on the dollar” (MarketWatch).

On X, the topic is trending, with users expressing concern and analyzing implications. For instance, @Han_Akamatsu posted, “The dollar is taking a serious hit right now… The Fed is cornered right now. Can’t hike, can’t cut. The world is rejecting the U.S. debt, and the dollar is…” X Post. Another post from @MarioNawfal stated, “U.S. DOLLAR HITS 3-YEAR LOW AS TRUMP RATTLES THE FED — AND MARKETS PANIC” X Post.

Historical Context

The US Dollar has experienced fluctuations in the past. It spiked in value around 2015, deteriorated during the COVID-19 pandemic, and rose again in subsequent years. Historically, the dollar was notably high in 2002 and 1985 before experiencing sharp declines. The current drop, if sustained, could mark the largest first-half-year decline since the early 1970s, when currencies began free-floating.

Future Outlook

The future of the US Dollar is uncertain and depends on several factors:

  • Federal Reserve Decisions: The outcome of the Fed Chair nomination and subsequent monetary policy will be critical. A dovish chair could lead to further rate cuts, potentially weakening the dollar further.
  • US Economic Policies: The impact of tariffs and fiscal policies, such as the “Big, Beautiful Bill,” will influence investor confidence and economic stability.
  • Global Economic Trends: Continued diversification away from US assets could sustain downward pressure on the dollar.

The coming months will provide more clarity, but for now, the dollar’s decline highlights the interconnectedness of global economies and the fragility of financial stability.

Bottom Line:

The US Dollar’s fall to a three-year low is a complex issue driven by economic policies, Federal Reserve uncertainties, and global economic shifts. While it poses challenges for Americans through higher costs, it also offers opportunities for exporters. Globally, the decline could reshape investment patterns and economic relationships. As policymakers, businesses, and investors navigate this evolving landscape, the dollar’s trajectory will remain a critical focus for the global economy.

Protect Your Wealth as the Dollar Weakens

With the U.S. Dollar hitting a three‑year low, savvy investors are turning to tangible assets that hold value.

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Current ARM Mortgage Rates Are Down From Last Week – June 28, 2025

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Are you thinking about buying a home or refinancing in June 2025? One of the most important things to consider is interest rates for mortgages. As of June 28, 2025, the national average 5-year ARM (Adjustable-Rate Mortgage) rate is 7.49%. This is down 7 basis points from the previous week. But is an ARM right for you? Let's dive into the details.

Current ARM Mortgage Rates for June 28, 2025: What You Need to Know

What is an ARM? Briefly Explained

Before we delve deeper, let's quickly define what an ARM mortgage is. An ARM is a type of mortgage where the interest rate is fixed for an initial period, and then it adjusts periodically based on market conditions. The “5-year ARM” means the rate is fixed for the first five years and can then change annually.

A Snapshot of June 28, 2025 Mortgage Rates

Here's a summary of the mortgage rates as of the latest update provided by Zillow on Saturday, June 28, 2025.

  • 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage: 6.73% (down 18 basis points from the previous week)
  • 15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage: 5.74% (down 1 basis point from the previous week)
  • 5-Year ARM: 7.49% (down 7 basis points from the previous week)

It's worth noting that mortgage rates can fluctuate daily, so it's advisable to monitor them closely if you are planning to take out a mortgage soon.

A Detailed Look at ARM Rates

Let's zoom in on ARM mortgage rates in various buckets.

Conforming Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
7-year ARM 7.29% down 0.15% 7.80% down 0.01%
5-year ARM 7.49% up 0.29% 7.97% up 0.17%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%

Jumbo Loans

PROGRAM RATE 1W CHANGE APR 1W CHANGE
7-year ARM 7.42% down 0.10% 8.00% down 0.06%
5-year ARM 7.31% down 0.41% 7.83% down 0.26%
3-year ARM — 0.00% — 0.00%

ARM vs. Fixed-Rate Mortgages: Which is Right for You?

The big question: should you go with an ARM or a fixed-rate mortgage? Here's how I usually advise people to think about it:

  • Fixed-Rate Mortgages: These offer stability and predictability. Your interest rate remains the same for the life of the loan, making it easier to budget. This is a safer pick, especially if you plan to stay in your home for longer.
  • ARMs: These can be attractive because they often start with lower interest rates than fixed-rate mortgages. This means lower monthly payments in the initial years. However, the rate can adjust (go up or down) after the initial fixed period, introducing uncertainty. ARMs might be a good option if you:
    • Plan to move or refinance before the rate adjusts.
    • Believe that interest rates will decrease in the future.
    • Can comfortably afford higher payments if the rate increases.

Here's a quick comparison table:

Feature Fixed-Rate Mortgage Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM)
Interest Rate Fixed for the life of the loan Adjusts after initial fixed period
Monthly Payment Predictable and consistent Can change after the initial fixed period
Risk Lower risk, predictable costs Potentially higher risk due to rate adjustments
Best For Long-term homeowners, risk-averse buyers Short-term homeowners, rate decrease believers

Factors Influencing ARM Rates

Several factors impact ARM rates. Understanding these can help you make more informed decisions.

  • The Prime Rate: This is the interest rate that banks charge their best customers. ARM rates are often tied to the prime rate, so when the prime rate goes up or down, ARM rates tend to follow.
  • The Federal Reserve (The Fed): The Fed sets the federal funds rate, which influences borrowing costs across the economy, including mortgage rates.
  • Inflation: When inflation is high, interest rates tend to rise to compensate lenders for the decreased purchasing power of future payments.
  • Economic Growth: A strong economy often leads to higher interest rates as demand for borrowing increases.
  • Global Events: Major global events, such as economic crises or geopolitical instability, can impact financial markets and influence interest rates.

Expert Advice:

It's not enough to say interest rates are trending one way or the other. It also helps to consider the broader picture. Are jobs being added to the economy? Are average wages going up? What is the unemployment rate? Are US treasuries yielding a greater ROI than real estate? These are some of the more important things to consider when trying to assess the current and future state of mortgage rates.

Tips for Securing the Best ARM Rate

If you're leaning toward an ARM, here are some tips to increase your chances of getting a favorable rate:

  • Improve Your Credit Score: A higher credit score typically qualifies you for lower interest rates. Review your credit report and address any errors or outstanding debts.
  • Save for a Larger Down Payment: A larger down payment reduces the amount you need to borrow, which can result in a lower interest rate.
  • Shop Around: Don't settle for the first offer you receive. Compare rates from multiple lenders to find the best deal.
  • Negotiate: Don't be afraid to negotiate with lenders. They may be willing to offer a lower rate to earn your business.
  • Consider Rate Caps: ARM loans often have rate caps that limit how much the interest rate can increase during each adjustment period and over the life of the loan. Understanding these caps can help you manage potential risks.

Looking Ahead: What's Expected for Mortgage Rates?

Predicting future mortgage rates is challenging, but here's what to consider:

  • Economic Forecasts: Pay attention to economic forecasts from reputable sources, such as the Federal Reserve, major banks, and financial analysts. These forecasts often include predictions about economic growth, inflation, and interest rates.
  • Fed Policy: Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. Any changes to the federal funds rate can have a significant impact on mortgage rates.
  • Market Trends: Monitor trends in the bond market, as mortgage rates often track the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds.

Mortgage rates are constantly changing, and it's crucial to stay informed to make the best financial decisions. Whether you opt for a fixed-rate mortgage or an ARM, understanding the current market conditions, your financial situation, and your long-term goals is key.

Capitalize on ARM Rates Before They Rise Even Higher

With fluctuating adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), savvy investors are exploring flexible financing options to maximize returns.

Norada offers a curated selection of ready-to-rent properties in top markets, helping you capitalize on current mortgage trends and build long-term wealth.

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Connect with an investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

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Mortgage Rates Today June 28, 2025: Rates See Big Drop Across the Board

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As of June 28, 2025, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has decreased to 6.74%, down from 6.75% in the previous week. This decline represents a drop of 17 basis points from last week’s average of 6.91%. If you're considering taking out a mortgage or refinancing your current home loan, knowing these updated rates will help you make informed financial decisions.

Mortgage Rates Today June 28, 2025: Rates See Big Drop Across the Board

Key Takeaways

  • The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is now at 6.74%.
  • The 15-year fixed mortgage rate has fallen to 5.74%.
  • Refinancing rates have seen some changes, with the 30-year fixed refinance rate rising to 7.12%.
  • Understanding what influences these rates can help you when entering the market.

Current Mortgage Rates

Today's mortgage rates show a dynamic landscape of options for prospective homebuyers and current homeowners looking to refinance. Below is a summary of the current rates as reported by Zillow:

Mortgage Type Current Rate 1-Week Change APR 1-Week APR Change
30-Year Fixed Rate 6.74% Down 0.17% 7.19% Down 0.18%
20-Year Fixed Rate 6.37% Down 0.21% 6.81% Down 0.14%
15-Year Fixed Rate 5.74% Down 0.22% 6.03% Down 0.23%
10-Year Fixed Rate 5.78% Down 0.15% 6.04% Down 0.03%
7-Year ARM 7.29% Down 0.15% 7.80% Down 0.01%
5-Year ARM 7.50% Up 0.30% 7.93% Up 0.14%

Additionally, if you are interested in government-backed loans, consider the following rates:

Government Loan Type Current Rate 1-Week Change APR 1-Week APR Change
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA 7.50% Up 0.18% 8.55% Up 0.19%
30-Year Fixed Rate VA 6.25% Down 0.15% 6.46% Down 0.15%
15-Year Fixed Rate FHA 5.84% Up 0.25% 6.81% Up 0.24%
15-Year Fixed Rate VA 5.76% Down 0.16% 6.10% Down 0.15%

Refinance Rates

Current refinance rates are also pivotal for homeowners looking to lower their payments or change their loan terms. Here’s how today’s refinance rates break down:

Refinance Loan Type Current Rate 1-Week Change APR 1-Week APR Change
30-Year Fixed Refinance 7.12% Up 0.12% 7.19% Down 0.18%
20-Year Fixed Refinance 6.37% Down 0.21% 6.81% Down 0.14%
15-Year Fixed Refinance 5.84% No Change 6.03% Down 0.23%
10-Year Fixed Refinance 5.78% Down 0.15% 6.04% Down 0.03%
5-Year ARM Refinance 7.47% Down 0.29% 7.93% Up 0.14%

Note that the 30-year fixed refinance rate has increased slightly; this indicates it’s a vital time to evaluate your refinancing options.

Mortgage Payments Under Current Rates

If you're curious about what your mortgage payments will look like under the current rates, here’s a breakdown of monthly payments for different loan amounts using the 30-year fixed rate of 6.74%.

Monthly Payment on a $300,000 Mortgage For a $300,000 mortgage, your monthly payment will be approximately $1,948. This amount includes principal, interest, property tax, and homeowners insurance, typical of fixed monthly payments.

Monthly Payment on a $400,000 Mortgage If you're looking at a $400,000 mortgage, the monthly payment comes to about $2,597. It's essential to factor in that for larger loan amounts, many lenders may require a larger down payment or stricter qualification criteria.

Monthly Payment on a $500,000 Mortgage Finally, for those with a $500,000 mortgage, expect to pay around $3,247 per month. As your mortgage increases, the financial responsibility escalates, making it crucial to evaluate your overall financial health and budget before committing.

These figures help give a clear view of what to expect based on current rates, and they can significantly aid in budgeting for a home purchase or refinancing strategy.

Factors Influencing Mortgage Rates

Understanding the mortgage rate's fluctuations requires a grasp of the crucial influences behind them. Three main factors that significantly impact mortgage rates include:

  1. The Federal Reserve: The Fed plays a pivotal role in influencing mortgage rates through its monetary policy. When the Fed sets lower interest rates to stimulate the economy, lenders often follow suit by lowering mortgage rates, making borrowing cheaper for homebuyers. Conversely, if the Fed raises rates to combat inflation, mortgage rates typically rise as well.
  2. Inflation: Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money which can directly impact mortgage rates. When inflation is on the rise, lenders adjust mortgage rates upwards to maintain their margins and to compensate for the decreased value of money over time. Keeping inflation in check is critical for stabilizing mortgage rates.
  3. 10-Year Treasury Yield: This yield is often seen as a benchmark for long-term mortgage rates. When investors expect strong economic growth, they tend to sell Treasury bonds, which drives the yield higher. A rising yield usually leads to higher mortgage rates, as lenders demand more return on their loans.

Additionally, broader economic conditions and the demand for home loans significantly play a role. For example, if consumer confidence is strong and more people are likely to apply for loans, lenders might increase rates to balance demand, thereby controlling the risk of lending.

Expert Rate Predictions for 2025

Economic forecasts for mortgage rates are varied. For instance, housing economists and organizations like the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) and Fannie Mae have provided insight into future trends:

  • Fannie Mae predicts that mortgage rates may hover around 6.5% by the end of 2025. They expect that if inflation is under control, there’s potential for rates to lower, influenced by periodic adjustments from the Fed.
  • The MBA also suggests that rates might stabilize slightly lower than current levels by the end of the year. Key factors in these predictions include the overall health of the housing market and the economic recovery journey.
  • Some experts foresee a gradual decrease in rates based on signs of easing inflation and more favorable economic conditions, which typically lead to lower interest demands from banks.
  • Conversely, predictions are often clouded with uncertainty due to global events, inflation pressures, and changes in government policy. It’s prudent for potential buyers and refinancing homeowners to stay updated as predictions can change based on the latest economic indicators.

Overall, monitoring these forecasts provides essential context for potential homebuyers and those looking to refinance.

Buying and Refinancing Considerations

With fluctuations in mortgage rates, it’s crucial for homebuyers and those considering refinancing to keep informed about the best practices for navigating this environment. Key strategies include:

  • Getting Pre-Approved: This will provide you with an idea of what you can afford and can set you up for a smoother closing process. Pre-approval helps in identifying appropriate price ranges and strengthens your negotiating position with sellers.
  • Shopping Around for Lenders: Different lenders may offer various rates and terms. It is wise to compare multiple lenders to find the best deal available for your specific circumstances. Interest rates can vary significantly depending on the lender's pricing structure and risk assessment.
  • Considering Temporary Rate Buydowns: Some buyers are looking into temporary buydown options to lower their mortgage rates for the initial years of their loans. A buydown is where the seller pays for the interest rate to be temporarily reduced, allowing buyers to enjoy lower payments initially.
  • Understanding the “Lock-in” Effect: Many homeowners are reluctant to sell due to enjoying low rates on their existing mortgages. This creates a limited inventory in the housing market, driving competition and raising prices for new buyers.

Invest Smarter in a High-Rate Environment

With mortgage rates remaining elevated this year, it's more important than ever to focus on cash-flowing investment properties in strong rental markets.

Norada helps investors like you identify turnkey real estate deals that deliver predictable returns—even when borrowing costs are high.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Connect with a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

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