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Mortgage Rates Reset 2026: End of Ultra-Low Rates, 6% Becomes New Normal

January 17, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Reset 2026: End of Ultra-Low Rates, 6% Becomes New Normal

After years of historically low borrowing costs, the housing market is entering a new phase. Mortgage rates near 6%—once considered restrictive—are increasingly becoming the norm as inflation cools unevenly and policymakers resist a rapid return to aggressive rate cuts. The shift marks a clear break from the ultra-low-rate environment of 2020 and 2021, reshaping how buyers and homeowners think about affordability.

As the market enters 2026, economists and housing analysts are largely in agreement on one point: the era of sub-4% mortgage rates is effectively over. Instead, a range between roughly 5% and 6.5% is emerging as the baseline for the foreseeable future. As of now, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is hovering around 6.18%, underscoring a structural reset in borrowing costs that is forcing households to recalibrate expectations.

Mortgage Rates Reset 2026: End of Ultra-Low Rates, 6% Becomes New Normal

For years, fueled by an unprecedented global response to the pandemic, mortgage rates plunged to levels we'd frankly never seen before. I remember those days vividly, feeling like the housing market was on permanent “sale.” But those sub-3% rates of 2020 and 2021 were born out of crisis, a desperate attempt by the Federal Reserve to prop up a teetering economy. They were emergency measures, and expecting them to return without another seismic global event is, in my opinion, simply unrealistic. We're now in a different economic chapter, one that demands a more grounded perspective on interest rates.

Why the Party's Over: Unpacking the “Why” Behind Higher Rates

So, what exactly is keeping mortgage rates from dipping back into those dreamlike thirties? It's a blend of persistent economic forces that are unlikely to disappear overnight.

1. The Fed's Emergency Button is Off

You can't talk about mortgage rates without talking about the Federal Reserve. During the pandemic, they did everything they could to make borrowing cheap. They slashed the federal funds rate to basically zero and bought mountains of mortgage-backed securities. This flooded the market with money and drove rates down. But as I said, those were extreme times. Now, with the economy on firmer footing, that emergency toolkit is firmly shut. Those ultra-low rates were a historical anomaly, not a sustainable trend.

2. Inflation is Stubborn, and the Bond Market Knows It

This is a big one. Mortgage rates don't just magically appear; they're closely tied to something called the 10-year Treasury yield. Think of it as a bellwether for long-term borrowing costs. Even if the Fed fiddles with short-term rates, if investors expect inflation to stick around, they'll demand higher yields on those long-term bonds. And guess what? Inflation, while cooling from its peak, is still stubbornly above the Fed's 2% target. This “sticky” inflation means the Fed has to keep borrowing costs elevated to prevent prices from running wild again.

3. Uncle Sam's Big Pockets and a Resilient Economy

The government's spending habits also play a role. Our ever-growing federal deficit and national debt mean the government has to borrow more money. To entice investors to buy all that debt, they have to offer higher interest rates. It's simple supply and demand. On top of that, our economy has shown surprising resilience. The job market is still strong, and growth is steady. This signals to the Fed that they don't need to slash rates to goose the economy, allowing them to maintain their “higher-for-longer” stance.

The “New Normal”: What to Expect from 5-6% Mortgage Rates

So, what does this shift to a 5% to 6.5% mortgage rate environment mean for the housing market? From my perspective, it's not a doomsday scenario, but it is a move towards a more balanced and sustainable market.

Affordability: Better, But Still a Hurdle

Let's be honest, a 5% or 6% mortgage is still a significant chunk of change compared to the 2-3% rates some people got. However, it's a welcome improvement from the 7%+ peaks we saw in 2023 and early 2024. When you combine these somewhat lower rates with rising incomes, the monthly payment for a typical home becomes more manageable. In fact, for many, it's starting to fall back below that crucial 30% affordability threshold. This is a big deal for bringing more people back into the homeownership game.

Demand is Stirring Responsibly

This moderation in rates is expected to unlock a lot of pent-up buyer demand. Think about all those people who were priced out or waiting on the sidelines. A drop to around 6% could, according to some estimates, allow millions of qualified buyers to finally achieve homeownership. It’s not the frantic, bidding-war madness we saw before, but a more calculated return of serious buyers.

Price Growth: Cooling Off, Not Crashing

Don't expect home prices to plummet. The days of the extreme, double-digit annual appreciation seem to be behind us, thankfully. Instead, we're looking at more modest, historically normal price growth. Figures around 2-3% annually, as projected by sites like Realtor.com, are much more sustainable and allow incomes to catch up.

Inventory: A Gradual Welcome Mat

The number of homes available for sale is expected to tick up. This is good news for buyers, meaning more options and less of that frenzied competition. However, we're likely to remain below pre-pandemic levels. The “lock-in effect,” where homeowners with super-low rates are reluctant to sell and get a new, higher-rate mortgage, will continue to keep some inventory off the market.

Sales Volume: A Steady Upward Climb

Existing home sales hit some pretty low points in recent years. With some rate relief and a more balanced market, we're forecast to see a gradual increase in sales activity. Projections suggest the total number of homes sold could surpass 5 million in 2026 as more buyers find their comfort zone.

Here's a quick look at what the experts are saying about future mortgage rates:

Period Expected Rate Range
Late 2025 6.2% – 6.5%
Early 2026 6.0% – 6.4%
Late 2026 5.5% – 6.0%

Source: Various housing organizations and expert forecasts as of late 2025

My Take: Embracing the New Reality

From where I sit, this shift is a positive move towards a healthier housing market. The era of ultra-low rates was exciting, but it wasn't sustainable. A mortgage rate in the 5-6% range is still a significant borrowing cost, but it's a more realistic one for the current economic climate. It forces buyers to be more diligent in their search and sellers to be pragmatic about their pricing.

For buyers, this means revisiting your budget, understanding your true borrowing capacity at these rates, and being prepared for slightly longer closing times and more negotiation. For sellers, it means adjusting expectations and pricing your home competitively from the get-go. While the days of effortless multiple offers might be fewer, a well-priced home in a good location will still sell.

Ultimately, the “new normal” of 5-6% mortgage rates signifies a return to more traditional market dynamics. It's a market that rewards smart financial planning, patience, and a realistic understanding of the economic forces at play. It's time to ditch the rearview mirror and focus on navigating this evolved housing landscape with informed optimism.

Invest in Fully Managed Rentals for Smarter Wealth Building

With mortgage rates dipping to their lowest levels in months, savvy investors are seizing the opportunity to lock in financing.

By securing favorable terms now, you can also maximize immediate cash flow while positioning yourself for stronger long‑term returns.

Norada Real Estate helps you seize this rare opportunity with turnkey rental properties in strong markets—so you can build passive income while borrowing costs remain historically low.

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Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Interest Rate, mortgage, Mortgage Rate Trends, mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today

Mortgage Rates Today, Jan 17: 30-Year Refinance Rate Remains Stable Near 6.5%

January 17, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Jan 21: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 17 Basis Points

Mortgage rates today, Jan 17, show the 30-year fixed refinance rate remaining stable. According to Zillow's latest data, the national average for this popular rate settled at 6.52% on Saturday, January 17, 2026. This minor uptick of just one basis point from last week’s 6.51% suggests a period of calm in the mortgage market, offering a bit of breathing room for homeowners to assess their options.

Mortgage Rates Today, Jan 17: 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Remains Stable Near 6.5%

What's Happening with Refinance Rates Right Now?

It feels like we've been on a rollercoaster with interest rates for a while now. Just when you think things are settling, they shift. So, when I see a rate like the 30-year fixed staying put, it’s a good moment to pause and think. For many homeowners, especially those who secured their original mortgage when rates were significantly higher (think above 7% towards the end of 2024 and early 2025), this stability is really encouraging. It means the opportunity to potentially lower your monthly payments, or even shorten your loan term, is still very much alive.

It's not just the 30-year fixed that's holding steady. The 15-year fixed refinance rate is also keeping its cool at 5.50%, and the 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) refinance rate remains unchanged at 7.19%.

Current National Refinance Rates (as of January 17, 2026)

Here's a quick look at what Zillow is reporting for national averages:

Loan Type Current Rate Change vs. Last Week
30-Year Fixed 6.52% +0.01% (1 basis point)
15-Year Fixed 5.50% No change
5-Year ARM 7.19% No change

Diving Deeper: Weekly Trend Comparison

To really get a sense of the movement, let's compare it to last week:

Loan Type Jan 10, 2026 Jan 17, 2026 Movement
30-Year Fixed 6.51% 6.52% ↑ Up 1 bps
15-Year Fixed 5.50% 5.50% — Stable
5-Year ARM 7.19% 7.19% — Stable

Notice how minimal the change is? This isn't a dramatic swing; it's more of a gentle nudge. From my experience in the market, this kind of steadiness is often a sign that lenders are feeling reasonably confident about the immediate future, and they're not making big bets on rates plummeting or soaring.

What Does This Stability Mean for You?

This period of calm is fantastic news for homeowners looking to refinance. Let's break down what each of these stable rates signifies:

  • The 30-Year Fixed at 6.52%: This is the classic refinancing option for a reason. Its stability at this level means you can plan. If you're looking to reduce your monthly payment significantly compared to a rate above 7%, this rate is definitely worth exploring. It offers predictability over the long haul, which is a huge comfort in any financial decision.
  • The 15-Year Fixed at 5.50%: This rate continues to be a star for those who want to pay off their mortgage faster and save a substantial amount on interest over the life of the loan. Yes, your monthly payments will likely be higher than with a 30-year loan, but the long-term savings are often well worth it. It's a powerful tool for building equity quickly.
  • The 5-Year ARM at 7.19%: ARMs are a different beast. They typically start with a lower interest rate than fixed mortgages, but that rate can change (adjust) after the initial fixed period. A 7.19% starting rate for an ARM is not low in absolute terms, but it might appeal to borrowers who:
    • Plan to sell the home or refinance again before the fixed period ends.
    • Believe interest rates will drop significantly in the next five years, allowing them to refinance into a lower fixed rate later.
    • Are comfortable with the potential for future payment increases.

It's crucial to do your homework with ARMs and understand all the potential risks and benefits.

Looking Back: A Surge in Refinance Activity

It’s important to remember that this current stability follows a period of significant change. Just the week prior, a drop in rates triggered a noticeable surge in refinance applications. Reports indicated a 40% jump in refinance applications in the past week, with overall demand sitting at an impressive 128% higher than the same time last year.

This “refinance window” is golden for homeowners who are currently paying more than 7% on their mortgages. For many, this means being able to lock in a lower rate and save money.

The “Lock-In” Effect: Not Everyone Benefits

Now, here’s a critical point that often gets overlooked: while there’s a lot of talk about refinancing, a large chunk of homeowners are still benefiting from historically low rates secured a few years ago. It's estimated that about 70% of homeowners have rates below 5%. For these individuals, refinancing at today's rates (or even slightly lower ones) likely wouldn't make financial sense. They are, as the saying goes, “locked in” to great deals. This phenomenon significantly impacts the overall demand for refinancing and shapes the market’s dynamics.

My Take on the 2026 Outlook

As I look ahead in my crystal ball (or, more accurately, analyze economic forecasts), the general consensus is that we probably won't see a dramatic, sustained downward trend in mortgage rates throughout 2026.

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), a reputable source, is predicting that the 30-year fixed rate will hover around 6.4% for the remainder of 2026. This suggests a future that aligns with the current stability we're seeing.

Why this forecast? It largely comes down to the Federal Reserve. While they made some important rate cuts in late 2025, they've signaled a more cautious, gradual approach for 2026. This measured pace means that mortgage rates are unlikely to experience another steep dive. Instead, expect them to remain in a relatively consistent range, with minor fluctuations as economic conditions evolve.

The Bottom Line for Homeowners

So, what’s the final word on mortgage rates today, Jan 17? It’s a message of calm and consistency. The market has found a temporary equilibrium, especially for the popular 30-year fixed refinance rate. While it nudged up a bit, it’s still hovering in a place that could be very beneficial for those with higher existing rates.

This stability provides a crucial opportunity. It’s the perfect time to:

  • Run the numbers: See if refinancing will genuinely save you money.
  • Shop around: Different lenders offer different rates and fees. Don't settle for the first quote.
  • Consult a professional: A mortgage broker or loan officer can help you understand your specific situation and the best options available.

The housing market is always evolving, but for now, it seems borrowers can exhale a little and make informed decisions without the immediate pressure of rapidly changing rates.

🏡 2 Renovated Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Dorion St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 4 Bath • 2086 sqft
💰 Price: $412,400 | Rent: $3,190
📊 Cap Rate: 6.2% | NOI: $2,124
📅 Year Built: 2023
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $198
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

and

Kansas City, MO
🏠 Property: E 110th Terrace
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1002 sqft
💰 Price: $220,000 | Rent: $1,700
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $1,273
📅 Year Built: 1957
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A-

Florida’s modern build with strong cash flow vs Missouri’s affordable rental with higher cap rate. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties 

Invest Smart — Build Long-Term Wealth Through Turnkey Real Estate in 2026

Market forecasts suggest steady demand, making turnkey real estate one of the most reliable paths to passive income and wealth creation.

Norada Real Estate helps investors capitalize on these trends with turnkey rental properties designed for appreciation and consistent cash flow—so you can grow wealth securely while others wait for clarity in the market.

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Recommended Read:

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – January 15, 2026
  • Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights
  • Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026? 
  • When You Refinance a Mortgage Do the 30 Years Start Over?
  • Should You Refinance as Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Level in Over a Year?
  • Half of Recent Home Buyers Got Mortgage Rates Below 5%
  • Mortgage Rates Need to Drop by 2% Before Buying Spree Begins
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again: Future Outlook
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today, Refinance Rates

Why Investors Are Buying New-Build Turnkey Rentals Across Multiple Markets

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Why Investors Are Buying New-Build Turnkey Rentals Across Multiple Markets

If you're looking for a smart way to invest in real estate these days, especially in 2026, you're probably noticing a big trend: investors are snapping up new-build turnkey rental properties in markets all over the country. The simple truth is, right now, buying a brand-new, move-in-ready rental property often makes more financial sense than buying an older, pre-owned one.

It feels like just yesterday we were all talking about how hard it was to find a decent house to buy at a reasonable price. For a while there, it seemed like every available home was being snatched up. Now, things have shifted, and in a way that's really opening doors for smart investors.

Why Investors Are Buying New-Build Turnkey Rentals Across Multiple Markets

The “Lock-In Effect” and Unexpected Opportunities

One of the biggest reasons behind this shift is what I like to call the “lock-in effect.” Think about it: many homeowners secured incredibly low mortgage rates during the pandemic. Now, selling their homes would mean trading that low rate for whatever the current, higher rates are. Most people aren't eager to do that, and who can blame them? This reluctance to sell has created a noticeable shortage of existing homes on the market.

But here's where it gets interesting for us as investors. Builders, facing this situation, have responded by ramping up new construction. They've got inventory to move, and to do that, they're offering incentives that are hard to pass up. This surplus of new homes, coupled with the scarcity of older ones, has flipped the script: in many areas, new construction is now more affordable than a comparable existing home.

Key Advantages Making New-Build Turnkeys So Appealing

Beyond just the price point, several factors make these new-build turnkey rentals a really attractive investment right now. I've seen this play out firsthand, and the benefits are clear.

1. Cost Efficiency and Builder Incentives: A Double Win

As I mentioned, in 2026, a lot of brand-new homes are coming in at lower prices than older ones. But builders aren't stopping there. They're actively trying to attract buyers, and that means offering sweet deals.

  • Rate Buydowns: This is huge. Builders are offering to “buy down” your interest rate. Basically, they're paying a portion of your initial mortgage interest, which significantly lowers your monthly payments for the first few years. This directly boosts your cash flow from the start, which is a critical factor in rental property success.
  • Low Down Payments: Some builders are even offering options with 0% or very low down payments (like 5%). This lowers the barrier to entry, allowing investors to put their capital to work in more properties or keep more cash on hand for other investments or unexpected expenses.

2. Lower Operational Headaches: Less Risk, More Reward

When you buy a new-build, you're getting something fresh. This translates to fewer immediate maintenance worries.

  • Brand New Everything: Roof, HVAC system, plumbing, appliances – it's all brand new. This means you're not likely to face a major repair bill anytime soon.
  • Warranties: New homes typically come with builder warranties that cover various components for several years. This provides an extra layer of protection and peace of mind.
  • Insurance: Newer homes often qualify for lower insurance premiums because they're built to current codes and have fewer risks associated with old electrical or plumbing systems.

3. Higher Rental Income Potential: Modern Appeal Pays Off

Tenants today often want modern features and conveniences. New builds are designed with current buyer and renter preferences in mind.

  • Smart Home Features: Things like smart locks, thermostats, and even integrated speakers are becoming standard and are highly attractive to renters.
  • Energy Efficiency: New homes are built with modern insulation and energy-efficient appliances, which can translate to lower utility bills for tenants and make the property more appealing.
  • Modern Layouts: Open-concept living spaces, modern kitchens with updated finishes, and updated bathrooms are in demand and allow investors to command premium rents compared to older, dated properties.

4. Immediate and Passive Cash Flow: Turnkey Means Just That

The “turnkey” aspect is a game-changer for many investors. It means the property is ready to go from day one.

  • Move-in Ready: You don't have to spend time and money on renovations or repairs before you can even list the property.
  • Professional Property Management: Many new-build communities are managed by professional property management companies. This is ideal for investors who want a truly passive income stream. They handle tenant screening, rent collection, maintenance requests, and all the day-to-day tasks, saving you immense time and effort.

Which Markets Are Seeing This Trend Most Strongly?

It's not just happening in one or two places; this movement is spread across various housing markets, each with its own unique flavor of opportunity. I've been watching these areas closely, and the data points to some recurring themes.

Birmingham, Alabama

This market has popped up as a top contender for 2026. What makes it stand out is its incredible affordability – home prices are a massive 48% below the national median. Combine that with strong job growth and the potential for high cash flow, and you've got a recipe for a great rental investment.

For example, a newly built home on Blue Jay Cir in Bessemer, Alabama, a suburb of Birmingham, built in 2023, lists at $282,000. It generates $1,885 in monthly rental income, with a healthy estimated cash flow of $1,500 and a 6.4% cap rate. That's solid.

Cape Coral & Port Charlotte, Florida

These areas are currently experiencing a buyer's market, meaning there's more inventory than buyers. This has led to discounts, with some prices dropping up to 10% compared to the previous year. The expectation is that the market will stabilize later in 2026, making now a prime time to buy at a discount before that happens.

A look at Aldridge Ave in Port Charlotte, Florida, shows a new construction property (2025) listed at $339,900, with potential rental income of $2,195. With an A+ neighborhood rating, a 5.8% cap rate, and estimated cash flow of $1,643, it's a prime example of the opportunities here.

Dallas & San Antonio, Texas

The job market in these Texas cities is booming, especially in the tech and healthcare sectors. This growth is fueling massive demand for housing, particularly for the “Build-to-Rent” (BTR) communities that are popping up. These communities are perfect for remote workers and young families looking for a more traditional home feel with the flexibility of renting.

Cleveland & Indianapolis

These Midwestern cities remain popular for turnkey buyers because they consistently offer favorable price-to-rent ratios. This means that for every dollar spent on the property, you get a good return in rent, ensuring steady monthly cash flow even when the economy goes through ups and downs.

An analysis of a property on S Keystone Ave in Indianapolis, Indiana, though an older build (1948), highlights the potential for cash flow in this market. Priced at $168,000, it brings in $1,325 monthly, yielding a strong 7.5% cap rate and $1,053 in monthly cash flow. Granted, it's not new-build, but it shows the underlying strength of the rental market that also supports new builds.

Charlotte & Nashville

High population growth is the story here. As more people move to these vibrant cities, the demand for housing drastically outstrips the supply. This makes them prime locations for smaller multifamily developments (think 6-10 units). Builders can move quickly on these projects, getting them to the rental phase faster and capitalizing on demand.

Comparing New Builds to Existing Homes: A Deeper Look

It's easy to get caught up in the excitement, but let's take a moment to really compare what you get with a new-build turnkey versus an older property.

Feature New-Build Turnkey Rental Existing Home Rental
Initial Cost Often more competitive due to builder incentives & market shifts Can vary wildly, but often higher for comparable condition
Maintenance Minimal for years; covered by warranties Frequent and potentially costly; unpredictable
Updates & Features Modern, energy-efficient, smart home ready May require significant renovation to be competitive
Tenant Appeal High; modern features are attractive Varies; can be lower if dated or needs repairs
Management Often professionally managed from the start Typically requires self-management or hiring a separate company
Risk Lower operational risk, predictable expenses Higher risk of unexpected repairs and costs
Cash Flow Impact Boosted by lower initial expenses & higher potential rent Can be squeezed by ongoing maintenance costs and lower rent potential

Let's look at another example, a townhouse on Simba Lane in Murfreesboro, Tennessee (near Nashville), built in 2025. It's priced at $370,000, with potential rent of $2,250. This yields a 5.6% cap rate and $1,736 in monthly cash flow. While the cap rate is slightly lower than some older properties, the predictability and reduced risk are significant advantages for an investor focused on long-term, stable returns.

Consider a large, older home in Cleveland, Ohio, at W 117th St. Priced at $169,900, it has a very attractive 8.3% cap rate and $1,173 monthly cash flow. However, it was built in 1952. While it might be a great deal upfront, the potential for deferred maintenance and higher operating costs down the line is a factor that needs careful consideration compared to the new construction.

My Take on the Future

From what I'm seeing, this trend of buying new-build turnkey rentals isn't a flash in the pan. The underlying market dynamics – the low-interest-rate lock-in effect, the continued housing shortage for existing homes, and builders' willingness to offer attractive deals – are likely to persist for some time.

For investors, this presents a unique window of opportunity. It’s a chance to acquire modern, hassle-free rental properties in growing markets that can generate consistent income with lower initial risk and fewer headaches. While I always advise due diligence and careful market research, the current environment strongly favors this type of investment strategy.

🏡 Which Turnkey rENTAL Would YOU Purchase?

Saint Louis, MO
🏠 Property: Lewis Place
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 5 Bed • 3 Bath • 3006 sqft
💰 Price: $275,000 | Rent: $2,500
📊 Cap Rate: 8.8% | NOI: $2,020
📅 Year Built: 1895
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $92
🏙️ Neighborhood: C+

VS

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Aldridge Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1548 sqft
💰 Price: $339,900 | Rent: $2,195
📊 Cap Rate: 5.8% | NOI: $1,643
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

Two contrasting investments: historic St. Louis charm with high cap rate vs modern Florida build with stability. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Contact Us Now 

Want Stronger Returns? Invest Where the Market’s Growing

Turnkey rental properties in fast-growing housing markets offer a powerful way to generate passive income with minimal hassle.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find stable, cash-flowing markets beyond the bubble zones—so you can build wealth without the risks of ultra-competitive areas.

🔥 HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Top Real Estate Investment Markets to Watch in 2026
  • Top 10 Most Popular Housing Markets of 2025 for Homebuyers
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2026: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029
  • Housing Market Predictions for 2026 Show a Modest Price Rise of 1.2%
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026 for Buyers, Sellers, and Renters
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Investment Propeties, Real Estate Investing, Rental Properties, Turnkey Properties

Today’s Mortgage Rates, Jan 16: Big Drop Means Huge Savings for Homebuyers

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates, January 21: 30-Year Fixed Rate Jumps by 11 Basis Points

If you're thinking about buying a home or refinancing, now is a fantastic time to be looking. Today, January 16, 2026, mortgage rates have seen a significant drop, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate now sitting at 6.06%. This is a welcome change from this time last year when rates were hovering over 7%, marking a substantial decrease of 98 basis points. This downward trend has already sent a positive ripple through the market, evidenced by a considerable uptick in mortgage applications.

These kinds of drops are what many potential homeowners have been waiting for. It's not just a minor blip; it's a tangible shift that can make a real difference in monthly payments and overall affordability. It’s always smart to shop around for lenders, but the current environment makes that especially rewarding.

Today’s Mortgage Rates, Jan 16: Big Drop Means Huge Savings for Homebuyers

Key Takeaways:

  • Rates are significantly lower year-over-year, especially for 30-year fixed mortgages.
  • Market activity is up, showing buyer and refinancer confidence.
  • Policy decisions and economic outlook are the primary drivers.
  • Various loan types offer different benefits and risks, so understand your options.
  • Comparing lenders is essential to secure the best possible rate.

Let's dive a bit deeper into these figures, drawing from Freddie Mac's latest weekly data and Zillow's up-to-the-minute information.

According to Freddie Mac, as of the week ending January 15, 2026:

  • 30-year fixed mortgage rate: Averaging 6.06%. This is down from 6.16% last week and a stark contrast to the 7.04% average a year ago.
  • 15-year fixed mortgage rate: Currently at 5.38%, down from 5.46% last week and significantly lower than 6.27% a year ago.
  • 5/1 ARM (Adjustable-Rate Mortgage) for refinance: Coming in at 6.33%.

Zillow provides an even more granular look at current rates, which can vary slightly but offer a valuable snapshot. Keep in mind these are national averages and often rounded.

Current Mortgage Rates (Purchase):

Loan Type Average Rate
30-year fixed 5.86%
20-year fixed 5.82%
15-year fixed 5.33%
5/1 ARM 6.11%
7/1 ARM 6.14%
30-year VA 5.46%
15-year VA 5.09%
5/1 VA 5.16%

Current Mortgage Refinance Rates:

Loan Type Average Rate
30-year fixed 6.05%
20-year fixed 5.92%
15-year fixed 5.47%
5/1 ARM 6.39%
7/1 ARM 6.29%
30-year VA 5.41%
15-year VA 5.08%
5/1 VA 5.12%
30-year FHA 5.83%

Why the Drop? Unpacking the Influences

It's not by accident that we're seeing these lower rates. Several factors are at play. A significant driver was President Trump's recent announcement that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would buy an additional $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities. This move is designed to inject liquidity into the market and, crucially, help lower interest rates. When these government-sponsored enterprises buy more mortgage-backed securities, it increases demand for them, which in turn tends to push down the yields investors receive – and those yields are closely tied to mortgage rates.

Also, we are seeing the impact of broader economic signals. Inflation appears to be under control, and there's a general sense that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes from previous periods are having their desired effect. This creates a favorable environment for declining mortgage rates, as the central bank is less likely to feel the need to keep borrowing costs artificially high.

The Market's Reaction: A Surge in Activity

The housing market, being quite sensitive to interest rate changes, has definitely noticed. The data shows a clear and immediate response:

  • Purchase mortgage applications jumped by 16%. This means more people are actively looking to buy homes.
  • Refinance applications soared by a massive 40%. This indicates that a lot of homeowners are seeing the benefit of locking in a lower rate on their existing mortgage.

From my perspective, this surge in refinancing is particularly interesting. It tells me that many homeowners are recognizing the opportunity to save money on their biggest monthly expense. Whether it's to lower their payments, shorten their loan term, or tap into some equity, the current rate environment makes refinancing a very attractive proposition.

Looking Ahead: Forecasts for the Remainder of 2026

Forecasting mortgage rates is always a bit like predicting the weather – there are many variables, and opinions can differ. However, the general sentiment among experts right now is cautiously optimistic.

Some economists predict that rates will likely remain in the low-6% range for at least the first half of 2026. This is due to a few reasons: continued efforts to manage inflation without causing a recession, and the fact that the Federal Reserve might be taking a more measured approach to any further rate adjustments.

Others are more bullish, suggesting we could even see rates dip below 6% by the end of the year. This scenario would likely depend on a few key things:

  • Sustained low inflation: If inflation continues to cool down without signs of re-acceleration, the Fed has more room to consider rate cuts.
  • Economic growth: A steady, but not overheated, economy provides a stable backdrop for lower rates. If the economy falters significantly, that could also put downward pressure on rates.
  • Global economic stability: International events and economic performance can also influence U.S. markets and interest rates.

It’s a balancing act. While the recent policy moves are helping, the Fed will still be watching economic data very closely to ensure price stability.

Spotlight on Key Loan Types

15-Year Fixed Mortgages:
As mentioned, the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage has mirrored the downward trend, currently averaging 5.38% (Freddie Mac data). This is a substantially lower rate than last year's 6.27%. A 15-year mortgage typically comes with a lower interest rate than a 30-year loan because the lender's money is at risk for a shorter period. While the monthly payments are higher, borrowers pay significantly less interest over the life of the loan. This could be an excellent option for those who can comfortably afford the higher payments and want to pay off their home sooner.

Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs):
ARMs introduce a fascinating dynamic. While they tend to fluctuate more daily, the introductory rates on many ARMs are currently lower than those on most fixed-rate loans. For instance, the 5/1 ARM is listed at 5.41% (Freddie Mac data) in the refinance category.

Here's how ARMs work: You get a fixed interest rate for an initial period (like 5 or 7 years in a 5/1 or 7/1 ARM), and then the rate adjusts periodically based on market conditions. This can be a strategic choice for borrowers who:

  • Plan to sell their home or refinance before the fixed-rate period ends.
  • Anticipate their income to increase significantly in the future, making them comfortable with potentially higher payments later on.
  • Believe interest rates will likely fall in the future, making their adjusted payments more favorable.

However, it's crucial to understand the risks. If interest rates rise, your monthly payments will also increase, potentially making your mortgage more expensive than a fixed-rate loan.

Comparing Rates: Your Path to the Best Deal

It's always said, but it bears repeating: rates are subject to change. The numbers we're looking at today are a snapshot. What you'll actually be offered can depend on your credit score, loan-to-value ratio, and the specific lender.

This is why shopping around and comparing offers from multiple lenders is incredibly important. Don't just go with the first bank you talk to. Reach out to different mortgage brokers, credit unions, and online lenders. A small difference in the interest rate can add up to thousands of dollars saved over the life of your loan.

This is a promising time for those looking to enter or re-enter the housing market. Take advantage of these favorable conditions – do your research, get pre-approved, and get ready to make your homeownership dreams a reality.

🏡 Two Amazing Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Aldridge Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1548 sqft
💰 Price: $339,900 | Rent: $2,195
📊 Cap Rate: 5.8% | NOI: $1,643
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

and

Punta Gorda, FL
🏠 Property: Oceanic Rd
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 6 Bed • 4 Bath • 3032 sqft
💰 Price: $639,900 | Rent: $4,895
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $3,685
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $212
🏙️ Neighborhood: B+

Florida’s A+ affordable rental vs Punta Gorda’s larger high‑yield property. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060


View All Properties 

Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
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  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Current Mortgage Rates, mortgage, mortgage rates, Today’s Mortgage Rates

Plumas Leads California’s Housing Market as 22 Counties Post Double-Digit Sales Growth

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Plumas Leads California’s Housing Market as 22 Counties Post Double-Digit Sales Growth

The California housing market wrapped up 2025 with a surprising surge in activity, showcasing impressive sales growth in numerous counties, with Plumas County leading the charge with a phenomenal 133.3% increase in sales. This strong finish indicates a market that, despite some cooling in prices, is showing robust resilience and offering new opportunities for both buyers and sellers across the state.

December's numbers from the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) were certainly a breath of fresh air. After a year that felt like a bit of a rollercoaster, seeing sales climb month-over-month and year-over-year for four straight months was a really positive sign. It tells me that people are still actively looking for homes and finding ways to make it happen.

What's really exciting is the widespread nature of this growth. It wasn't just one or two hot spots; the data reveals that 22 counties experienced double-digit increases in home sales in December compared to the previous year. This isn't just a small uptick; it's a significant jump that suggests a broad-based recovery and renewed interest in homeownership, even in areas that might not always grab headlines.

Plumas Leads California’s Housing Market as 22 Counties Post Double-Digit Sales Growth

A Closer Look at the Numbers: December 2025 in Focus

Let's break down what these figures actually mean. On a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, the sale of existing, single-family homes hit 288,200 units in December. This is a slight bump up from November (0.3%) and a more noticeable increase of 2.0% compared to December of the previous year. It might not sound like a massive leap, but when you consider the total volume and the consistent upward trend, it paints a picture of a market gaining momentum.

For the entire year of 2025, sales were up 0.9% compared to 2024, and the median home price saw a modest 1.2% increase. While this might seem small, remember that these are statewide averages. The real story, as we'll see, is in the local variations.

Plumas County: The Unlikely Superstar

The star of the show, without a doubt, is Plumas County way up north. A jaw-dropping 133.3% increase in sales is almost unheard of! This kind of surge suggests a few things might be at play. Perhaps there was pent-up demand, or maybe recent interest in more remote or affordable living has finally hit this beautiful, but less populated, region. It's also possible that a few larger developments or a significant number of smaller transactions came through in December, skewing the numbers dramatically. Whatever the reason, it’s a remarkable comeback and really highlights how diverse the California market can be.

Following Plumas, we saw Mono County with an impressive 100% sales growth, and Lassen County with a strong 44.4% increase. These counties, also in the less densely populated northern part of the state, are showing that opportunity isn't confined to the major metropolitan areas.

A Tale of Two Regions: Far North and Central Coast Shine

Looking at broader regions, the Far North truly stood out, with a remarkable 23.5% year-over-year sales increase. This aligns with the individual county data and suggests a strong trend in those more rural and mountainous areas. The Central Coast wasn't far behind, reporting an 11.5% rise in sales. These regions are often celebrated for their natural beauty and quality of life, and it appears more people are seeking that out.

It's interesting to contrast this with other major regions:

  • Central Valley: Saw a healthy 5.5% sales increase.
  • San Francisco Bay Area: Posted a more modest 2.0% annual sales gain.
  • Southern California: Experienced a 1.7% increase.

These figures, while lower than the Far North and Central Coast, still indicate growth, which is positive news for those areas. The slight dip in year-over-year pending home sales by 0.2% might seem concerning, but on a month-to-month basis, it fell sharply by 21.5%. C.A.R. attributes this to seasonal slowdowns exacerbated by fluctuating mortgage rates and economic uncertainty. This is a typical pattern for December, so while it's something to watch, it doesn't necessarily signal a market downturn.

What About Prices? A Slight Cool-Down

While sales are up, the statewide median home price actually saw a slight dip in December, down 0.4% from November and 1.2% from December of the prior year, settling at $850,680. This is a story of cooling competition, which can actually be a good thing for affordability. It means that bidding wars might be less intense, and buyers can potentially negotiate more favorable terms.

This price moderation, especially when combined with falling mortgage rates (averaging 6.19% in December, down significantly from 6.72% a year prior), could be the key to unlocking the market for more hesitant buyers. As C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine noted, “Housing affordability showed some improvement in the fourth quarter, and the combination of lower mortgage rates and a growing supply of homes should encourage more prospective buyers to enter the market this year.” I couldn't agree more. Lower interest rates make a huge difference in the monthly payment, and when you couple that with potentially more room to negotiate on price, it creates a more appealing environment.

Regional Price Trends: A Mixed Bag

Even within the price data, we see regional differences:

  • Far North: Median prices were up 2.8% year-over-year.
  • Southern California: Saw a 0.6% increase.
  • Central Coast: Experienced a slight 0.2% uptick.
  • Central Valley: Prices were down 1.4%.
  • San Francisco Bay Area: Median prices remained unchanged.

It's fascinating to see how these trends diverge. The areas with the most significant sales growth, like the Far North, are also showing price appreciation, suggesting healthy demand meeting a market that's still finding its footing in terms of supply.

County-Level Price Movers and Shakers

At the county level, the price picture is even more nuanced. Mono County again makes an appearance with a 27.1% price jump, followed by Imperial County (21.5%) and Lassen County (18.1%). These are often more affordable areas, and an increase in median price can reflect a shift in buyer preference or a greater number of higher-priced homes selling.

On the flip side, some counties saw noticeable price drops:

  • Trinity: Steepest drop at -23.0%.
  • Glenn: -18.6%.
  • Siskiyou: -15.5%.

These kinds of declines can present opportunities for buyers looking for a bargain, but it's always crucial to understand the local factors driving these changes. Sometimes it's simply a fluctuation in the types of homes sold, and other times it points to broader economic shifts affecting the area.

Inventory and Days on Market: A More Balanced Picture

The data on housing inventory and days on market also offers valuable insights. The Unsold Inventory Index was at 2.7 months in December. While down from November, it was flat compared to the previous year. What this means is that while the supply of homes isn't overwhelming, it's also not critically low.

However, it's important to note that total active listings increased from a year ago for the 23rd consecutive month. This is a sign of a healthier supply, even if the rate of growth is slowing. This sustained increase in inventory, coupled with slightly longer selling times (36 days in December, up from 31 in December 2024), suggests a market that is moving away from the frenzied conditions of recent years towards a more balanced environment.

The Sales-Price-to-List-Price ratio of 97.9% in December (down from 98.7% in December 2024) further supports this. It means homes are selling for just below asking price on average, indicating that sellers might need to be more realistic with their pricing strategies. From my perspective, this is a positive development for the market's long-term health. A balanced market, where neither buyers nor sellers have an overwhelming advantage, is generally more sustainable.

What Does This Mean for the Future?

The strong finish to 2025 in California's housing market, with its widespread sales growth and more balanced conditions, sets a hopeful tone for 2026. The combination of easing price pressures, lower mortgage rates, and a steady supply of homes is creating a more inviting atmosphere for potential buyers. While economic uncertainties will always be a factor, the underlying trends suggest a market that is poised for continued, albeit modest, progress.

For those considering buying or selling, paying close attention to county-level and regional data is absolutely key. The broad statewide or even regional averages can mask significant local market dynamics. Understanding the specific conditions in your target area will be crucial for making informed decisions.

I'm particularly encouraged by the activity in the Far North and Central Coast. These areas, often overlooked in broader analyses, are clearly showing robust demand and offering unique lifestyle advantages. It’s a reminder that California’s housing market is far from monolithic.

The fact that Plumas County has taken such a commanding lead in sales growth is a story in itself. It speaks to the potential that exists in less traditional real estate hubs and the ever-evolving preferences of homebuyers. As we move deeper into 2026, I'll be watching to see if these trends continue and if other counties can replicate this remarkable surge in activity.

🏡 Investor Alert: Two Cleveland Rental Properties With Strong Cash Flow

Cleveland, OH
🏠 Property: W 117th St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 2 Bath • 4800 sqft
💰 Price: $169,900 | Rent: $1,660
📊 Cap Rate: 8.3% | NOI: $1,173
📅 Year Built: 1952
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $36
🏙️ Neighborhood: B-

VS

Cleveland, OH
🏠 Property: Wetzel Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 1 Bath • 1131 sqft
💰 Price: $170,000 | Rent: $1,500
📊 Cap Rate: 7.8% | NOI: $1,107
📅 Year Built: 1953
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $151
🏙️ Neighborhood: B

Two Cleveland rentals: one massive property with unbeatable price per sq ft vs a smaller home with solid neighborhood rating. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060


View All Properties

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Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: california, Housing Market, Plumas

Why Real Estate Investors Are Flocking to Cleveland for Rental Properties in 2026

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Why Real Estate Investors Are Flocking to Cleveland for Rental Properties in 2026

For real estate investors frustrated by sky-high home prices and shrinking returns in coastal and Sun Belt markets, Cleveland, Ohio, is quietly emerging as a standout opportunity. While many cities now require six-figure down payments just to break even, Cleveland’s rental market continues to offer something increasingly rare in 2026: affordable entry prices, steady tenant demand, and the potential for real cash flow.

Cleveland offers an irresistible blend of affordability, strong rental yields, and a robust, evolving economy, making it a top-tier destination for real estate investors seeking consistent passive income and long-term stability. This isn’t just a hunch; it’s a calculated observation based on tangible market drivers that are positioning the city as a prime location for savvy real estate investment.

Why Real Estate Investors Are Flocking to Cleveland for Rental Properties in 2026

The shift is happening as investors rethink their strategies in a higher-rate environment. With mortgage rates settling into a new normal and appreciation-driven bets becoming riskier, more investors are turning toward markets that prioritize income over speculation. Cleveland checks those boxes. Lower acquisition costs, strong blue-collar and healthcare employment, and consistent rental demand are positioning the city as one of Ohio’s most attractive markets for buy-and-hold real estate investing. So, if you're an investor scouting for your next big opportunity, let me tell you, your compass should be pointing directly at Cleveland.

The Irresistible Pull: Key Drivers for Cleveland's Rental Market

Let's dive into why so many investors, myself included, are turning their attention to this vibrant Ohio city. It boils down to a few core reasons that create a powerful investment environment.

1. Affordable Entry Points – Your Dollar Goes Further Here

One of the biggest concerns for any investor entering a new market is the initial cost. In too many cities, home prices have skyrocketed, making it nearly impossible to buy multiple properties or achieve decent cash flow without a colossal down payment. This isn't the case in Cleveland. The city's median home prices remain significantly lower than the national average. What this means for you, the investor, is a much lower barrier to entry. You can acquire quality properties at a fraction of the cost you'd find in those expensive coastal markets. I've often seen investors diversify their portfolios much faster here, which is a smart move for spreading risk and maximizing potential returns. It’s a market where you don't need millions to start building substantial wealth.

2. Strong Rental Yields and Rock-Solid Cash Flow

For me, as an investor focused on consistent income, Cleveland's rental yields are incredibly attractive. The secret sauce here is the gap between those low property prices and stable, steadily rising rents. This combination means you can often find gross rental yields exceeding 10-12%, with net yields comfortably sitting at 8-10% or even higher. When I analyze a potential investment, cash flow is king, and Cleveland reigns supreme in this regard. This market is a dream for investors who prioritize generating consistent passive income month after month. You're not just hoping for future appreciation; you're getting paid right now.

3. A Robust and Diverse Economic Engine

Any good investment needs a strong foundation, and Cleveland's economy provides just that. It's not reliant on a single industry, which gives me a lot of confidence. The city is anchored by major, recession-resilient institutions like the world-renowned Cleveland Clinic and University Hospitals. These aren't just local businesses; they are global players that attract a steady influx of doctors, researchers, medical staff, and students. Add to that Fortune 500 powerhouses such as Sherwin-Williams, and you have a consistent source of well-paid professionals who need quality housing. This diversified economic base ensures a steady stream of renters, which, for us, means less vacancy risk and more reliable income.

4. Unwavering Rental Demand

I've seen markets where everyone wants to own, leading to declining rental demand. Cleveland is different. The homeownership rate here is lower than the national average (around 40.9% compared to 65.7% nationally). This, coupled with an increasing influx of new residents – including remote workers discovering Cleveland's affordability and quality of life – creates a high and consistent demand for rental housing. When demand is high, occupancy rates stay up, and vacancy risks stay low. It’s simple supply and demand, and in Cleveland, demand for rentals is strong.

5. Landlord-Friendly Environment – Peace of Mind for Investors

This often gets overlooked, but it's a huge deal for anyone managing rental properties. Ohio's legal framework is generally considered favorable for landlords. We don't have to contend with rent caps, which can significantly hinder profitability in other states. Furthermore, the processes for eviction, should they become necessary, are streamlined compared to much more tenant-centric markets. This “landlord-friendly” atmosphere gives me, and many other investors, a greater sense of security and predictability, which is essential for stable operations and accurate financial forecasting.

6. Neighborhood Revitalization – A City on the Rise

What truly excites me about Cleveland are the palpable signs of revitalization everywhere. Areas like Ohio City, Tremont, and Downtown Cleveland are undergoing impressive urban renewal and development projects. These aren't just cosmetic changes; they’re transforming the city into a more vibrant, attractive place to live, work, and play. When neighborhoods improve, property values naturally follow, and tenant demand for housing in those areas goes up. It’s wonderful to invest in a city that’s actively investing in itself.

Cash Flow vs. Appreciation: Why Cleveland Favors Income Investors

When I talk to new investors, I always emphasize understanding their goals. Are they chasing rapid appreciation, or are they focused on consistent monthly income? While some markets offer explosive appreciation (often at the cost of high entry prices and slim cash flow), Cleveland's primary draw, in my experience, is its exceptional cash flow. This makes it an ideal market for what I call income investors.

The beauty of Cleveland is that you don't necessarily have to choose one over the other. You can often secure properties that deliver strong monthly cash flow and still benefit from steady, organic appreciation driven by the city's economic growth and revitalization efforts. It’s a balanced play, but the emphasis is definitely on putting money in your pocket every month, which, for many, is the truest measure of a good investment.

What Types of Rental Properties Perform Best in Cleveland – The Turnkey Advantage

Based on my observations and what my network suggests, the sweet spot for rental properties in Cleveland often lies in turnkey, renovated homes with tenants already in place. Why? Because it solves many of the headaches often associated with real estate investing:

  • Immediate Cash Flow: No waiting for renovations or finding tenants.
  • Reduced Risk: The property is already generating income, and a tenant is established.
  • Less Hassle: Renovations are often completed by the seller, saving you time and stress.

Let's look at some examples, using the kind of properties that truly shine in this market. While these specific listings might be gone, they illustrate the type of opportunity prevalent here:

Property Type Beds Baths Purchase Price Rental Income Cap Rate Cash Flow (NOI monthly) Neighborhood Grade
Single-Family Home 4 2 $169,900 $1,660 8.3% $1,173 B-
Duplex 4 2 $190,000 $2,000 9.8% $1,550 C+
Duplex 5 2 $240,000 $2,050 8.0% $1,609 B-
Single-Family Home 2 1 $125,000 $1,200 9.2% $961 C+

Please note: “Cap rate” is a measure of profitability, indicating the potential rate of return on the investment.

You can see from these examples that properties well under $250,000 are capable of generating strong rental income and impressive cash flow. A duplex, for instance, offers two income streams, which can provide even greater stability and higher overall returns, as seen in the $1,550 and $1,609 cash flow figures above. This is the kind of consistent performance that makes Cleveland so compelling.

🏡 Two Cleveland Rental Properties With Strong Cash Flow

Cleveland, OH
🏠 Property: W 117th St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 2 Bath • 4800 sqft
💰 Price: $169,900 | Rent: $1,660
📊 Cap Rate: 8.3% | NOI: $1,173
📅 Year Built: 1952
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $36
🏙️ Neighborhood: B-

VS

Cleveland, OH
🏠 Property: Wetzel Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 1 Bath • 1131 sqft
💰 Price: $170,000 | Rent: $1,500
📊 Cap Rate: 7.8% | NOI: $1,107
📅 Year Built: 1953
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $151
🏙️ Neighborhood: B

Two Cleveland rentals: one massive property with unbeatable price per sq ft vs a smaller home with solid neighborhood rating. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties

 

Common Mistakes Out-of-State Investors Make (and How to Avoid Them)

As someone who has guided many investors into new markets, I've seen some common pitfalls, especially for those investing from afar. While Cleveland is a fantastic market, it’s not without its nuances.

  1. Not Building a Local Team: This is, in my opinion, the biggest mistake. You must have trusted eyes and ears on the ground. This means a reliable local real estate agent, a top-notch property manager, and skilled contractors. Don’t try to manage a property from across the country alone; it’s a recipe for disaster.
  2. Skipping Due Diligence: Just because something is “turnkey” doesn't mean you skip your own inspections and financial verification. Always get a professional inspection, and verify all income and expense figures.
  3. Ignoring Neighborhood Specifics: Not all areas of Cleveland are created equal. Some neighborhoods are rapidly appreciating and have high demand, while others might be slower or more challenging. A good local agent can guide you through these nuances. I always tell my clients, do your homework on the street level, not just the city level.
  4. Underestimating Ongoing Costs: Factor in property taxes, insurance, potential repairs, and vacancy rates into your calculations. While Cleveland offers great cash flow, a buffer for unexpected costs is always wise.

By avoiding these missteps and approaching your investment strategically, you'll be well-positioned to take advantage of everything Cleveland has to offer.

Final Thoughts: Cleveland's Bright Future for Rental Investors

As we look towards 2026 and beyond, I firmly believe that Cleveland will continue to be a top-tier city for real estate investors. Its unique combination of affordability, robust economy, strong demand, and a landlord-friendly atmosphere creates an environment ripe for consistent income and long-term growth. If you’re seeking a market where your investment can truly work for you, where you can acquire quality assets without breaking the bank, and where monthly cash flow is not just a hope but a reality, then Cleveland deserves your serious consideration. It's not just a comeback story; it's a future forward investment opportunity.

Want Better Cash Flow? Invest in High-Demand Housing Markets

Turnkey rental properties in fast-growing housing markets, such as Cleveland, offer a powerful way to generate passive income with minimal hassle.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find such stable, cash-flowing markets beyond the bubble zones—so you can build wealth without the risks of ultra-competitive areas.

🔥 HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Want to Know More?

Explore these related articles for even more insights:

  • Cleveland Housing Market: Trends and Forecast
  • Why Smart Investors Are Buying Cleveland Turnkey Real Estate?
  • 7 Housing Markets Set for Major Correction Over the Next 12 Months
  • 10 Best Cities in Ohio for Real Estate Investment in 2025
  • Jacksonville Housing Market: Trends and Forecast 2025-2026
  • Florida Housing Market Trends: 4 Cities Turn Buyer-Friendly
  • Florida Housing Market: Jacksonville Emerges as a Hotspot for Turnkey Rentals

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Cleveland, Housing Market

Housing Market Recap: Record Prices and Sluggish Sales Define Last Year

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Market Recap: Record Prices and Sluggish Sales Define Last Year

Let's get straight to it: last year was a challenging year for the housing market, with home prices reaching new highs while the number of homes being sold took a noticeable dip. It felt like a year where owning a piece of the American dream became a more distant goal for many, myself included as someone who's been watching these trends closely. While December showed some glimmers of hope, the overarching story of 2025 was one of affordability struggles and tight inventory.

Housing Market Recap: Record Prices and Sluggish Sales Define Last Year

As you navigated the news, you likely saw headlines about soaring prices. It wasn't just a feeling; it was a reality. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) reported that the median existing-home price climbed to a record-breaking $405,400 in December. That’s a 0.4% increase from the previous year, marking a persistent trend of rising prices that has been ongoing for 30 consecutive months. Think about that – nearly two and a half years of steady price hikes. It’s enough to make anyone watching their budget feel a bit squeezed.

The Big Picture: A Slump in Sales Amidst Price Peaks

The most striking aspect of 2025 was this strange tug-of-war between rising prices and falling sales. It’s a recipe that often leaves potential buyers frustrated and sellers wondering if now is the right time to list. According to the NAR’s report, while December saw a 5.1% jump in existing-home sales compared to the month before, bringing the annual rate to 4.35 million, the year-over-year increase was a more modest 1.4%. This means that while things picked up at the very end of the year, the overall volume of sales throughout 2025 was still relatively sluggish compared to previous periods.

Personally, I see this as a direct consequence of affordability taking a hit. When prices keep going up and incomes don't quite keep pace, more and more people get priced out of the market. It’s a tough pill to swallow for aspiring homeowners who have diligently saved for a down payment and are ready to take that next step.

Why Were Sales So Sluggish? Let’s Dig Deeper

So, what exactly drove this slump in sales? Several factors seemed to be at play:

  • Record High Prices: As mentioned, $405,400 was the median price in December. This meant that even with a slight improvement in mortgage rates, the sheer cost of entry remained a significant barrier for many.
  • Low Inventory: This is perhaps the biggest villain of the story. NAR reported that unsold inventory in December stood at a mere 1.18 million units. This is a significant 18.1% decrease from November and only a marginal 3.5% increase from December 2024. What does this mean in practical terms? It translates to a supply of only 3.3 months of unsold homes. Ideally, a healthy housing market has about 4-6 months of supply, giving buyers more choices and a bit more room to negotiate. When inventory is this low, bidding wars become more common, and prices can be pushed even higher.
  • Homeowners Hesitant to Sell: A lot of current homeowners are sitting on historically low mortgage rates from previous years. Why would they sell their current home, which they might have a 3% or 4% mortgage on, to buy a new one with a much higher rate and a dauntingly high price tag? This reluctance to list their homes further tightens the already limited supply. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun touched on this, noting that “With fewer sellers feeling eager to move, homeowners are taking their time deciding when to list or delist their homes.” From my perspective, this “lock-in effect” is a huge contributor to the inventory crunch we’re seeing.

A Look at the Numbers: What the NAR Report Tells Us

The NAR report provides a detailed breakdown, and it’s worth looking at some of the key figures:

Metric December 2025 (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate) Month-over-Month Change Year-over-Year Change
Existing-Home Sales 4.35 million +5.1% +1.4%
Unsold Inventory 1.18 million units -18.1% +3.5%
Months' Supply of Inventory 3.3 months -0.9 months +0.1 months
Median Existing-Home Price $405,400 N/A +0.4%

As you can see, the sales numbers are improving month-over-month, which is definitely a positive sign. However, the inventory remains critically low, and prices, though only slightly up year-over-year, are still at record levels.

Regional Differences: Not All Markets Experienced the Same Pain

While the national picture was challenging, different regions experienced these trends to varying degrees.

  • The South saw a robust 6.9% increase in sales month-over-month, with an annual rate of 2.02 million. They also boasted a slight 3.6% increase in sales year-over-year, but interestingly, the median price in the South decreased by 0.3% to $360,200. This might indicate areas where demand is strong but prices are beginning to moderate slightly.
  • The West also showed strong month-over-month growth in sales (6.6%), reaching an annual rate of 810,000. Year-over-year sales were unchanged, but the median price saw a 1.4% dip to $605,600. This is still a very high median price, but the slight decrease might offer a sliver of relief.
  • The Northeast saw a 2.0% increase in sales month-over-month, but a 1.9% decrease year-over-year. Prices here remained high, with a median of $496,700, up 3.7% from the previous year.
  • The Midwest experienced a 2.0% increase in sales month-over-month, with sales holding steady year-over-year. This region offered the most affordable median price at $306,000, up 3.1% from last year.

A Ray of Hope: Lower Mortgage Rates and Price Growth Slowdown

Despite the overall gloom, there were some encouraging signs, particularly towards the end of the year. Mortgage rates continued to trend downwards, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hitting 6.19% in December, down from 6.24% in November and a noticeable drop from 6.72% a year ago. This is a significant factor that can influence affordability.

Lawrence Yun also pointed out that in the fourth quarter, “conditions began improving, with lower mortgage rates and slower home price growth.” This moderation in price increases, even if slight, could be the beginning of a much-needed stabilization for the market.

What Does This Mean for You?

If you're a buyer, 2025 was a year that tested your patience and your budget. The good news is that the slight uptick in sales and the easing of mortgage rates in December suggest that things might slowly start to shift. However, with inventory still tight, it’s crucial to be prepared, pre-approved for a mortgage, and ready to act when the right property comes along.

For sellers, while prices remain high, the slump in sales might mean being more strategic with your pricing and marketing. Understanding buyer demand in your specific area is key.

Looking ahead, it’s clear that the housing market is in a period of adjustment. While 2025 presented significant hurdles, the late-year improvements offer a hopeful outlook, and I’ll be watching closely to see if this momentum continues into 2026.

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Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Aldridge Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1548 sqft
💰 Price: $339,900 | Rent: $2,195
📊 Cap Rate: 5.8% | NOI: $1,643
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

VS

Punta Gorda, FL
🏠 Property: Oceanic Rd
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 6 Bed • 4 Bath • 3032 sqft
💰 Price: $639,900 | Rent: $4,895
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $3,685
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $212
🏙️ Neighborhood: B+

Florida’s A+ affordable rental vs Punta Gorda’s larger high‑yield property. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties

Also Read:

  • Top 10 Most Popular Housing Markets of 2025 for Homebuyers
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2026: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029
  • Housing Market Predictions for 2026 Show a Modest Price Rise of 1.2%
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026 for Buyers, Sellers, and Renters
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Hottest Housing Markets, Housing Market, Housing Market Forecast 2026

The Harsh Reality of the Housing Market: Record Prices, Weak Sales

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

The Harsh Reality of the Housing Market: Record Prices, Weak Sales

2025 was a brutal year for the housing market, a period defined by the painful sting of record-high home prices clashing with the disheartening slump in sales. For anyone trying to buy a home, or even just trying to understand where the market was heading, it felt like an uphill battle where the finish line kept moving further away. While the very tail end of the year offered a flicker of improvement, the overwhelming narrative of 2025 was one of affordability nightmares and incredibly scarce choices for buyers.

The Harsh Reality of the Housing Market: Record Prices, Weak Sales

Think about it: you’ve diligently saved, crunched your numbers, and perhaps even started looking for your perfect home. Then you see the prices. The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) confirmed what many already suspected – the median existing-home price soared to a staggering $405,400 by December. That's a 0.4% jump from the year before, marking the 30th consecutive month of year-over-year price increases. Thirty months. That's two and a half years of prices relentlessly climbing, making that dream home feel more like a luxury good than an attainable goal for vast swathes of people.

The Conundrum: Prices Skyrocket, Sales Stagnate

The most eye-opening aspect of 2025 was this frustrating paradox: houses were more expensive than ever, yet fewer of them were changing hands. NAR's report paints a clear picture. While December did see a 5.1% surge in existing-home sales from November, bringing the seasonally adjusted annual rate to 4.35 million, the overall year-over-year growth was a mere 1.4%. This means that while the very last month of the year brought a welcome bounce, the preceding months were characterized by a significant slowdown in transaction volume.

From where I stand, this isn't just a number on a chart; it's a tangible barrier for real people. When prices keep climbing and wages simply aren't keeping up, the gulf between aspiration and reality widens. It’s a tough pill to swallow for those who have faithfully put aside money for a down payment, only to find that their savings are constantly being outpaced by the escalating cost of entry.

Unpacking the Sales Slump: What Drove the Stagnation?

So, what were the core reasons behind this sluggish sales performance? Several key players seemed to be working against the market's fluidity:

  • Unrelenting Price Growth: The $405,400 median price in December was a testament to this. Even with a slight easing in mortgage rates, the sheer upfront cost of buying a home remained an almost insurmountable hurdle for countless potential buyers.
  • The Dreaded Inventory Drought: This was, without a doubt, the biggest showstopper. NAR reported that as of December, there were only 1.18 million unsold homes on the market. This represents a dramatic 18.1% drop from November and a minuscule 3.5% increase from December 2024. In essence, we were left with a supply of just 3.3 months. A healthy market typically hovers around 4-6 months of supply, giving buyers more breathing room and negotiation power. When inventory is this scarce, bidding wars become inevitable, and prices get driven even higher.
  • The Great Homeowner Lockdown: A significant portion of current homeowners are sitting pretty with mortgage rates secured at historically low percentages from years past. Why would they willingly give up their incredibly favorable financing to buy a new home with a much steeper interest rate and a sky-high price tag? This “lock-in effect,” as it’s often called, is a major culprit in the persistent inventory crunch. As NAR's Chief Economist Lawrence Yun put it, “With fewer sellers feeling eager to move, homeowners are taking their time deciding when to list or delist their homes.” It makes perfect sense from a financial perspective, but it has a chilling effect on the market's ability to offer new homes to buyers.

NAR's Data: A Clear Picture of the Struggle

Let’s break down the numbers reported by the National Association of REALTORS® to see the stark reality:

Metric December 2025 (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate) Month-over-Month Change Year-over-Year Change
Existing-Home Sales 4.35 million +5.1% +1.4%
Unsold Inventory 1.18 million units -18.1% +3.5%
Months' Supply of Inventory 3.3 months -0.9 months +0.1 months
Median Existing-Home Price $405,400 N/A +0.4%

The month-over-month sales increase is a positive sign, no doubt. However, the fact that inventory remains so critically low, and prices, despite the slight year-over-year uptick, are still at peak levels, shows the deep-seated challenges the market faced throughout 2025.

Regional Tremors: A Patchy Performance Across the Country

The impact of these market forces wasn't uniform. Different parts of the country experienced these pressures in varying ways:

  • The South showed some resilience with a significant 6.9% month-over-month jump in sales, reaching an annual rate of 2.02 million. They also managed a 3.6% year-over-year sales increase. Notably, the median price in the South actually dipped slightly by 0.3% to $360,200. This might be a sign that in some Southern markets, demand is strong enough to absorb inventory, leading to a slight price moderation.
  • The West mirrored this strength with a 6.6% month-over-month increase in sales, hitting an annual rate of 810,000. Year-over-year sales held steady, but the median price did see a 1.4% decline to $605,600. While still astronomically high, this slight decrease offers a hint of potential relief in some of the nation's priciest markets.
  • The Northeast saw a 2.0% month-over-month sales increase, but a 1.9% year-over-year decrease. Prices remained formidable, with a median of $496,700, up a substantial 3.7% from the previous year.
  • The Midwest offered the most affordable entry point, with a 2.0% month-over-month sales increase and unchanged year-over-year sales. The median price here was $306,000, up 3.1% annually.

A Glimmer in the Dark: Mortgage Rate Relief and Price Moderation

Amidst the grim statistics, there were indeed some positive developments, especially as 2025 drew to a close. Mortgage rates showed a welcome downward trend. By December, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped to 6.19%, a decrease from 6.24% in November and a more significant drop from the 6.72% seen a year prior. This reduction, even if modest, can make a tangible difference in monthly payments.

Moreover, Lawrence Yun's observation about “slower home price growth” in the fourth quarter is crucial. This slowing down, even if prices are still high, signals a potential shift away from the aggressive price hikes of previous periods. It’s the first sign of potential stabilization.

What Does This Bleak Picture Mean for You?

If you were a hopeful homebuyer in 2025, you likely experienced firsthand the frustration of bidding wars, limited options, and the constant pressure of rising prices. The good news, however, is that the slight upticks in sales and the easing of mortgage rates in December hint that the market might be slowly recalibrating. But with inventory still incredibly tight, the key takeaway remains: be as prepared as humanly possible. Get pre-approved, understand your budget inside and out, and be ready to make a decisive move when the right property pops up.

For sellers, while prices might still be elevated, the slowdown in sales suggests a need for strategic pricing and effective marketing. Understanding the local market dynamics is more critical than ever.

The housing market in 2025 was undeniably tough, a period of significant challenges. However, the late-year developments offer a cautious optimism that things might be shifting. I, for one, will be watching with keen interest to see if this emerging momentum carries forward into 2026.

🏡 2 Rental Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Aldridge Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1548 sqft
💰 Price: $339,900 | Rent: $2,195
📊 Cap Rate: 5.8% | NOI: $1,643
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

VS

Punta Gorda, FL
🏠 Property: Oceanic Rd
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 6 Bed • 4 Bath • 3032 sqft
💰 Price: $639,900 | Rent: $4,895
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $3,685
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $212
🏙️ Neighborhood: B+

Florida’s A+ affordable rental vs Punta Gorda’s larger high‑yield property. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties

Also Read:

  • Top 10 Most Popular Housing Markets of 2025 for Homebuyers
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2026: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029
  • Housing Market Predictions for 2026 Show a Modest Price Rise of 1.2%
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026 for Buyers, Sellers, and Renters
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, home sales, Housing Market

Mortgage Rates Today Jan 16: 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Rises by 11 Basis Points

January 16, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Jan 21: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 17 Basis Points

On January 16, 2026, the national average for a 30-year fixed refinance rate has increased to 6.62%, a movement of 11 basis points from the previous week, signaling a slight uptick for those looking to adjust their current home loans. This update from Zillow tells us that while opportunities for savings are still present, the margin is narrowing, and timing is everything in today's mortgage market.

Mortgage Rates Today Jan 16: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 11 Basis Points

What’s Happening with Refinance Rates Right Now?

Let’s break down what Zillow reported for Monday, January 16, 2026:

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: This is the big story, moving from 6.51% last week to 6.62%. That’s a climb of 11 basis points. Think of basis points as tiny steps; 100 basis points make up one full percentage point. So, this is a noticeable, but not dramatic, step up.
  • 15-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: This option also saw a small increase, going from 5.50% to 5.54%. That’s a jump of 4 basis points. While it’s still a great rate for those looking to pay off their home faster, it’s creeping up too.
  • 5-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) Refinance Rate: Here’s a bit of a bright spot. This type of loan, which starts with a fixed rate for five years before adjusting, actually went down slightly. It dropped from 7.20% to 7.15%, a decrease of 5 basis points.

Here's a quick look at the numbers in a table:

Current National Refinance Rates (as of January 16, 2026)

Loan Type Current Rate Change vs. Last Week
30-Year Fixed 6.62% +0.11% (11 bps)
15-Year Fixed 5.54% +0.04% (4 bps)
5-Year ARM 7.15% -0.05% (5 bps)

And comparing this week to last:

Weekly Trend Comparison

Loan Type Jan 8, 2026 Jan 16, 2026 Movement
30-Year Fixed 6.51% 6.62% ↑ Up 11 bps
15-Year Fixed 5.50% 5.54% ↑ Up 4 bps
5-Year ARM 7.20% 7.15% ↓ Down 5 bps

What Does This Mean for You?

  • For the 30-Year Fixed: The rise to 6.62% might make some homeowners think twice before hitting that refinance button. However, when I look back at rates from last year, this is still a pretty good spot to be in. It’s just not as good as it was a week ago.
  • For the 15-Year Fixed: At 5.54%, this is still a fantastic option if you want to cut down the time you’re paying off your mortgage and save a lot on interest over the years. The small increase here doesn't change its appeal much.
  • For the 5-Year ARM: The slight dip to 7.15% could be interesting for people who are comfortable with their rate changing down the line. This is especially true if you think you might move or refinance again within those first five years. ARMs can offer a lower initial rate, which might be appealing, but it comes with the risk of future increases.

Why Are Rates Moving Like This?

It's not just a random fluctuation. There are bigger forces at play. The mortgage market is sensitive to economic news and government actions.

I’ve been watching the refinance market closely, and it’s been buzzing lately. Refinance applications have shot up by 40% just in the past week! Compared to this time last year, they're up by a whopping 128%. This means that about 60% of all home loan applications right now are for refinancing.

Who’s doing all this refinancing? A lot of it is homeowners who took out their mortgages in 2024 and 2025, when interest rates were stubbornly staying above 7%. They’re jumping at the chance to get a better deal now that rates have dipped, even with this recent bump.

A significant event that likely influenced the market was President Trump's order on January 8, 2026. He directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). This was an effort to help lower mortgage rates, which hadn't fallen as much as hoped despite the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in 2025.

Looking ahead, most experts I follow believe mortgage rates will likely stay in the low 6% range throughout 2026. Some, like Fannie Mae, even predict rates could get down to around 5.9% by the end of the year.

On top of that, with home values still strong, many homeowners are looking at their equity. If you’re one of the lucky ones who got a mortgage below 5% a while back, you might be considering a cash-out refinance or a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) to tap into that built-up value.

My Take on the Current Situation

What I see happening is a market trying to find its balance. Fixed rates are showing a bit of upward pressure, while the adjustable-rate options are offering a small discount. For anyone thinking about refinancing, it’s a classic trade-off: do you go for the security and predictability of a fixed rate, even if it’s a hair more expensive than last week, or do you consider an ARM for a potential short-term saving with future uncertainty?

My advice, as always, is to keep a close eye on these weekly changes. Don’t just look at the headline rate. Compare offers from different lenders. Sometimes, a difference of just a tenth of a percent can save you thousands of dollars over the life of your loan. Make sure you understand all the fees involved, too. What might look like a great rate on the surface could have hidden costs.

It’s an exciting time to be a homeowner with equity, but it requires a smart approach to borrowing.

🏡 2 Renovated Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Dorion St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 4 Bath • 2086 sqft
💰 Price: $412,400 | Rent: $3,190
📊 Cap Rate: 6.2% | NOI: $2,124
📅 Year Built: 2023
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $198
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

and

Kansas City, MO
🏠 Property: E 110th Terrace
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1002 sqft
💰 Price: $220,000 | Rent: $1,700
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $1,273
📅 Year Built: 1957
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A-

Florida’s modern build with strong cash flow vs Missouri’s affordable rental with higher cap rate. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties 

Invest Smart — Build Long-Term Wealth Through Turnkey Real Estate in 2026

Market forecasts suggest steady demand, making turnkey real estate one of the most reliable paths to passive income and wealth creation.

Norada Real Estate helps investors capitalize on these trends with turnkey rental properties designed for appreciation and consistent cash flow—so you can grow wealth securely while others wait for clarity in the market.

🔥 HOT 2026 INVESTMENT LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥
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Recommended Read:

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – January 15, 2026
  • Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights
  • Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026? 
  • When You Refinance a Mortgage Do the 30 Years Start Over?
  • Should You Refinance as Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Level in Over a Year?
  • Half of Recent Home Buyers Got Mortgage Rates Below 5%
  • Mortgage Rates Need to Drop by 2% Before Buying Spree Begins
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again: Future Outlook
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today, Refinance Rates

Mortgage Rates Today Jan 15: 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Rises by 4 Basis Points

January 15, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, Jan 21: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 17 Basis Points

So, you're curious about what's happening with mortgage rates today, January 15th, 2026? Well, the 30-year fixed refinance rate has seen a slight increase, climbing by 2 basis points today to 6.55%. While this is a minor move from yesterday, it's important to note that this rate is up 4 basis points from where it stood at this time last week. For many homeowners looking to save money on their mortgage, even these small shifts deserve attention.

Mortgage Rates Today Jan 15: 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Rises by 4 Basis

What the Latest Numbers Tell Us

Loan Type Average Rate Change vs. Yesterday Change vs. Last Week
30-Year Fixed Refinance 6.55% +0.02% (2 basis points) +0.04% (4 basis points)
15-Year Fixed Refinance 5.51% +0.01% (1 basis point) +0.01% (1 basis point)
5-Year ARM Refinance 7.25% +0.02% (2 basis points) +0.02% (2 basis points)

According to Zillow's latest data, it's a mixed bag out there, but with a general upward trend compared to last week.

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: This is the key rate for many homeowners. It's now at 6.55%, a touch higher than yesterday's 6.53%. Crucially, this reflects an increase of 4 basis points from last week's average of 6.51%.
  • 15-Year Fixed Refinance Rate: This shorter-term loan is often favored by those looking to pay off their home faster and significantly reduce their total interest paid. It has edged up by 1 basis point from 5.50% to 5.51%.
  • 5-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM) Refinance Rate: These rates are also experiencing a slight uptick, increasing by 2 basis points from 7.23% to 7.25%. ARMs can be appealing for their initial lower rates, but the current trend, coupled with their inherent variability, means fixed-rate mortgages remain the preference for many seeking predictability.

Digging Deeper: Why This Matters to You

I've been closely observing the mortgage market, and it’s vital to look beyond the immediate daily numbers. The 4 basis point rise in the 30-year fixed refinance rate from last week is a notable indication of shifting conditions. For a $300,000 mortgage, this 0.04% increase translates to approximately $12 more per month. While not a drastic jump, it’s a signal that the window for securing the lowest possible rates might be narrowing slightly.

The modest increases across all loan types today are worth noting. The 15-year fixed refinance rate now at 5.51% still offers a compelling option for those able to manage the higher monthly payments, promising substantial interest savings over time. The 5-year ARM at 7.25% reinforces the inherent uncertainty of variable rates, especially in a market where fixed rates, though slightly higher than last week, still provide greater long-term financial security.

The “Refinance Window” is Open, But When to Jump?

Many homeowners who took out mortgages at rates exceeding 7% in late 2024 and 2025 are actively exploring refinancing. The current market does present an opportunity for them to reduce their monthly expenses. The substantial increase in refinance applications observed earlier in January 2026, and the year-over-year surge, indicates a high level of activity. Refinancing currently represents a significant portion of all mortgage applications, underscoring its importance in the current financial landscape.

What's Influencing These Rates?

The recent announcement from President Trump regarding the purchase of $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) was a significant attempt to stimulate the market and lower borrowing costs. This injected liquidity aimed to make mortgages more accessible and affordable. The subsequent slight uptick in rates, while perhaps counterintuitive, can be influenced by a multitude of factors, including economic indicators and the ongoing dynamics of the MBS market itself.

Looking ahead, forecasts from organizations like the Mortgage Bankers Association and Fannie Mae predict the 30-year fixed rate to generally range between 5.9% and 6.4% for the remainder of 2026. This suggests a period of relative stability, with minor fluctuations expected.

Thinking About Your Home Equity?

For homeowners who secured mortgages at exceptionally low rates (often below 5%), refinancing their primary mortgage may not be the most advantageous move. In such cases, exploring options to leverage existing home equity becomes a more attractive strategy. Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs) or home equity loans can provide access to funds for various needs, such as home improvements or debt consolidation, without impacting their highly favorable primary mortgage rate.

The Bottom Line for Homeowners

As of January 15, 2026, the mortgage refinance market is characterized by a general upward movement in rates, particularly for the prominent 30-year fixed refinance rate, which has seen a 4 basis point increase from last week. While today's marginal rise is small, the weekly trend warrants attention. This reinforces the importance of staying informed and making timely decisions if you have a refinancing goal.

For those with higher-interest mortgages, the current environment still offers a valuable opportunity to lower monthly payments. The ongoing high volume of refinance applications and the outlook for continued relative stability suggest that now is a prudent time to explore your options. Carefully consider the long-term advantages of a 15-year mortgage if it aligns with your financial capacity, and remember that even small rate changes can accumulate significant savings or costs over the lifespan of a loan. Diligent research and informed action are key to securing the best financial outcome for your future.

🏡 2 Renovated Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Dorion St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 4 Bath • 2086 sqft
💰 Price: $412,400 | Rent: $3,190
📊 Cap Rate: 6.2% | NOI: $2,124
📅 Year Built: 2023
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $198
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

and

Kansas City, MO
🏠 Property: E 110th Terrace
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1002 sqft
💰 Price: $220,000 | Rent: $1,700
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $1,273
📅 Year Built: 1957
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A-

Florida’s modern build with strong cash flow vs Missouri’s affordable rental with higher cap rate. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties 

Invest Smart — Build Long-Term Wealth Through Turnkey Real Estate in 2026

Market forecasts suggest steady demand, making turnkey real estate one of the most reliable paths to passive income and wealth creation.

Norada Real Estate helps investors capitalize on these trends with turnkey rental properties designed for appreciation and consistent cash flow—so you can grow wealth securely while others wait for clarity in the market.

🔥 HOT 2026 INVESTMENT LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥
Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):
(800) 611-3060

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Recommended Read:

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – January 14, 2026
  • Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights
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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today, Refinance Rates

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Blog Posts

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Drops Sharply by 98 Basis Points
    January 21, 2026Marco Santarelli
  • Today’s Mortgage Rates, January 21: 30-Year Fixed Rate Jumps by 11 Basis Points
    January 21, 2026Marco Santarelli
  • 10 Resilient Housing Markets Winning Against National Slowdown
    January 21, 2026Marco Santarelli

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Norada Real Estate Investments 30251 Golden Lantern, Suite E-261 Laguna Niguel, CA 92677

(949) 218-6668
(800) 611-3060
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