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Florida Housing Market: Jacksonville Emerges as a Hotspot for Turnkey Rentals

February 9, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Florida Real Estate: Investors Tap Into Booming Rentals for $2,500+ Monthly Income

Thinking about how to make your money work harder for you? I'll tell you, the Florida housing market offers a fantastic opportunity to earn over $2,500 monthly with turnkey rentals. It's not just a possibility; it's a reality for many investors, and I'm here to break down why and how you can get started.

Florida Housing Market: Jacksonville Emerges as a Hotspot for Turnkey Rentals

Why Florida is Primed for Rental Income

Florida has always been a popular state for good reason. Think sunshine, beautiful beaches, and a growing economy. But from an investor's perspective, it’s the consistent demand for housing that really shines. People are moving to Florida for jobs, retirement, and a better quality of life, which means there are always renters looking for a place to call home. This sustained demand is a cornerstone for any successful rental property investment.

The Power of Turnkey Rentals

Now, let’s talk about “turnkey” rentals. If you're new to this, a turnkey rental property is essentially a ready-made investment. It's a property that's already renovated, often tenanted, and managed by a property management company. This means you can buy it and start collecting rent without the usual headaches of finding contractors, dealing with tenants, or handling day-to-day maintenance. For busy individuals like myself who want to invest without becoming a full-time landlord, turnkey is a game-changer. It significantly lowers the barrier to entry.

A Closer Look at Jacksonville: A Turnkey Gem

The Jacksonville market in Florida has some compelling opportunities, especially for those looking for substantial monthly returns. Let me walk you through a specific example that illustrates this potential.

Consider the property at Delmar Place in Jacksonville, Florida. This isn't just any property; it’s a blueprint for what a successful turnkey investment can look like.

Florida Real Estate: Invest in Turnkey Rentals

Here’s a breakdown of what makes it attractive:

  • Property Type: It’s a duplex, offering more rental potential from a single lot.
  • Size & Layout: Featuring 4 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms spread across 2,070 square feet, this is a spacious property likely to appeal to families or shared living situations.
  • Purchase Price: The asking price is $420,000.
  • Projected Rental Income: The estimated monthly rental income is impressive at $2,569. This figure alone highlights the potential to easily exceed your $2,500 monthly goal from a single unit.
  • Year Built: It's slated for completion in 2025, meaning it's a brand-new construction or recently renovated, minimizing immediate repair costs and appealing to modern renters.
  • Price Per Square Foot: At $203 per square foot, it offers a clear benchmark against other properties in the area.
  • Rent-to-Value Ratio: The 0.6% rent-to-value ratio is something to consider. While this number might seem low at first glance, it's important to understand what it represents. It's often calculated monthly, and in many established markets, ratios can hover around 0.5% to 1%. In newer constructions or rapidly appreciating areas, this ratio can be adjusted based on your specific financing and operational costs. The net cash flow is a more critical indicator for immediate returns.
  • Neighborhood Rating: The “B-” rating suggests a solid, perhaps up-and-coming or stable neighborhood, which is crucial for consistent occupancy and property value appreciation.
  • Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate): A 4.4% cap rate is a measure of the property's profitability relative to its price. While not exceptionally high, for a new build in a desirable location with solid cash flow, it's a respectable figure. Cap rates can vary significantly based on market conditions and the specific management strategy.
  • Cash Flow (Net Operating Income – NOI): This is where the real magic happens. The projected cash flow, or Net Operating Income (NOI), is $1,547 per month. This $1,547 is what's left after accounting for operating expenses like property taxes, insurance, and property management fees, but before mortgage payments. If you factor in potential mortgage payments, the actual cash in your pocket might be lower, but remember the total rental income is $2,569. Even with a mortgage, aiming for a net profit that contributes significantly to your $2,500+ monthly goal is very achievable.

My Take: Why This Example Resonates

From my experience, what's exciting about this Jacksonville property is that it’s not just about the headline rental income. It’s about the combination of factors: a new build, a desirable layout (4 beds/4 baths often means good rental potential for multiple tenants or larger families), and importantly, a strong projected cash flow.

The fact that it's a turnkey offering means that the heavy lifting of renovation or construction is done. It represents a tangible way to enter the market and start seeing returns relatively quickly.

It’s crucial to remember that the cash flow figure ($1,547 per month) here is the Net Operating Income (NOI). This means the property is already priced assuming management fees, property taxes, and insurance are covered. What you pocket monthly would be this NOI minus your mortgage payment.

However, the total rental income ($2,569) truly shows the income-generating power. If your mortgage payment is, say, $1,500 a month, you'd be pocketing $1,069 from NOI after mortgage, plus benefiting from potential property appreciation and tax advantages. If structured cleverly, especially with a larger down payment, achieving over $2,500 in total monthly profit (including equity build-up and appreciation) is a solid goal.

Keys to Success in Turnkey Investing

  1. Location, Location, Location: Even with turnkey, the neighborhood matters. Look for areas with good schools, low crime rates, and proximity to amenities and job centers. Jacksonville, with its growing population and diverse economy, ticks many of these boxes.
  2. Reputable Provider: Partner with a trusted turnkey provider and property management company. Their experience and track record are paramount. Ask for references and read reviews. I always recommend doing your own due diligence, even on a “turnkey” deal.
  3. Understand the Deal: Don't just look at the numbers provided. Understand the assumptions behind the projected income and expenses. What are the vacancy rate assumptions? What property management fees are included?
  4. Financing: Have your financing in order. Understand your loan options and down payment requirements. This will directly impact your monthly cash flow.
  5. Long-Term Vision: Real estate investing is often a marathon, not a sprint. While aiming for $2,500+ monthly is a great short-term target, consider the long-term appreciation and equity building.

Beyond the Numbers: The Personal Advantage

For me, investing in turnkey rentals in Florida provides peace of mind. It allows me to diversify my income streams without having to physically be there or constantly worry about maintenance calls. The Jacksonville example shows that with the right property and the right strategy, generating significant monthly income is well within reach. It opens the door to financial freedom and building wealth through real estate, even if you're not a seasoned house-flipper or landlord.

The Future Outlook

Florida's growth isn't showing signs of slowing down. With continued population influx and a strong job market, the demand for rental properties is expected to remain high. This makes investing in the Florida housing market a strategic move for anyone looking to earn over $2,500 monthly with turnkey rentals. The key is to find reliable partners and well-vetted properties like the one in Jacksonville, which offer a clear path to profitability.

Invest in Florida Turnkey Properties for Reliable Cash Flow

Florida’s thriving rental market continues to attract investors seeking steady monthly income and long-term appreciation. Turnkey properties offer the easiest way to generate passive cash flow without the day-to-day hassles of management.

Work with Norada Real Estate to access exclusive off-market inventory and invest in fully managed rental properties across high-demand Florida neighborhoods—so you can start earning from day one.

MORE INVENTORY AVAILABLE THAN LISTED ONLINE!

Speak with Our Investment Counselor Today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

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Recommended Read:

  • Jacksonville Housing Market: Trends and Forecast
  • 10 Best Real Estate Markets for Investors in 2025
  • When Will the Housing Market Crash in Florida?
  • Florida Housing Market Forecast for Next 2 Years: 2025-2026
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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market Tagged With: florida housing market, Florida Real Estate, Turnkey Rentals

Why Investors Are Buying New-Build Turnkey Rentals Across Multiple Markets

February 9, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Why Investors Are Buying New-Build Turnkey Rentals Across Multiple Markets

If you're looking for a smart way to invest in real estate these days, especially in 2026, you're probably noticing a big trend: investors are snapping up new-build turnkey rental properties in markets all over the country. The simple truth is, right now, buying a brand-new, move-in-ready rental property often makes more financial sense than buying an older, pre-owned one.

It feels like just yesterday we were all talking about how hard it was to find a decent house to buy at a reasonable price. For a while there, it seemed like every available home was being snatched up. Now, things have shifted, and in a way that's really opening doors for smart investors.

Why Investors Are Buying New-Build Turnkey Rentals Across Multiple Markets

The “Lock-In Effect” and Unexpected Opportunities

One of the biggest reasons behind this shift is what I like to call the “lock-in effect.” Think about it: many homeowners secured incredibly low mortgage rates during the pandemic. Now, selling their homes would mean trading that low rate for whatever the current, higher rates are. Most people aren't eager to do that, and who can blame them? This reluctance to sell has created a noticeable shortage of existing homes on the market.

But here's where it gets interesting for us as investors. Builders, facing this situation, have responded by ramping up new construction. They've got inventory to move, and to do that, they're offering incentives that are hard to pass up. This surplus of new homes, coupled with the scarcity of older ones, has flipped the script: in many areas, new construction is now more affordable than a comparable existing home.

Key Advantages Making New-Build Turnkeys So Appealing

Beyond just the price point, several factors make these new-build turnkey rentals a really attractive investment right now. I've seen this play out firsthand, and the benefits are clear.

1. Cost Efficiency and Builder Incentives: A Double Win

As I mentioned, in 2026, a lot of brand-new homes are coming in at lower prices than older ones. But builders aren't stopping there. They're actively trying to attract buyers, and that means offering sweet deals.

  • Rate Buydowns: This is huge. Builders are offering to “buy down” your interest rate. Basically, they're paying a portion of your initial mortgage interest, which significantly lowers your monthly payments for the first few years. This directly boosts your cash flow from the start, which is a critical factor in rental property success.
  • Low Down Payments: Some builders are even offering options with 0% or very low down payments (like 5%). This lowers the barrier to entry, allowing investors to put their capital to work in more properties or keep more cash on hand for other investments or unexpected expenses.

2. Lower Operational Headaches: Less Risk, More Reward

When you buy a new-build, you're getting something fresh. This translates to fewer immediate maintenance worries.

  • Brand New Everything: Roof, HVAC system, plumbing, appliances – it's all brand new. This means you're not likely to face a major repair bill anytime soon.
  • Warranties: New homes typically come with builder warranties that cover various components for several years. This provides an extra layer of protection and peace of mind.
  • Insurance: Newer homes often qualify for lower insurance premiums because they're built to current codes and have fewer risks associated with old electrical or plumbing systems.

3. Higher Rental Income Potential: Modern Appeal Pays Off

Tenants today often want modern features and conveniences. New builds are designed with current buyer and renter preferences in mind.

  • Smart Home Features: Things like smart locks, thermostats, and even integrated speakers are becoming standard and are highly attractive to renters.
  • Energy Efficiency: New homes are built with modern insulation and energy-efficient appliances, which can translate to lower utility bills for tenants and make the property more appealing.
  • Modern Layouts: Open-concept living spaces, modern kitchens with updated finishes, and updated bathrooms are in demand and allow investors to command premium rents compared to older, dated properties.

4. Immediate and Passive Cash Flow: Turnkey Means Just That

The “turnkey” aspect is a game-changer for many investors. It means the property is ready to go from day one.

  • Move-in Ready: You don't have to spend time and money on renovations or repairs before you can even list the property.
  • Professional Property Management: Many new-build communities are managed by professional property management companies. This is ideal for investors who want a truly passive income stream. They handle tenant screening, rent collection, maintenance requests, and all the day-to-day tasks, saving you immense time and effort.

Which Markets Are Seeing This Trend Most Strongly?

It's not just happening in one or two places; this movement is spread across various housing markets, each with its own unique flavor of opportunity. I've been watching these areas closely, and the data points to some recurring themes.

Birmingham, Alabama

This market has popped up as a top contender for 2026. What makes it stand out is its incredible affordability – home prices are a massive 48% below the national median. Combine that with strong job growth and the potential for high cash flow, and you've got a recipe for a great rental investment.

For example, a newly built home on Blue Jay Cir in Bessemer, Alabama, a suburb of Birmingham, built in 2023, lists at $282,000. It generates $1,885 in monthly rental income, with a healthy estimated cash flow of $1,500 and a 6.4% cap rate. That's solid.

Cape Coral & Port Charlotte, Florida

These areas are currently experiencing a buyer's market, meaning there's more inventory than buyers. This has led to discounts, with some prices dropping up to 10% compared to the previous year. The expectation is that the market will stabilize later in 2026, making now a prime time to buy at a discount before that happens.

A look at Aldridge Ave in Port Charlotte, Florida, shows a new construction property (2025) listed at $339,900, with potential rental income of $2,195. With an A+ neighborhood rating, a 5.8% cap rate, and estimated cash flow of $1,643, it's a prime example of the opportunities here.

Dallas & San Antonio, Texas

The job market in these Texas cities is booming, especially in the tech and healthcare sectors. This growth is fueling massive demand for housing, particularly for the “Build-to-Rent” (BTR) communities that are popping up. These communities are perfect for remote workers and young families looking for a more traditional home feel with the flexibility of renting.

Cleveland & Indianapolis

These Midwestern cities remain popular for turnkey buyers because they consistently offer favorable price-to-rent ratios. This means that for every dollar spent on the property, you get a good return in rent, ensuring steady monthly cash flow even when the economy goes through ups and downs.

An analysis of a property on S Keystone Ave in Indianapolis, Indiana, though an older build (1948), highlights the potential for cash flow in this market. Priced at $168,000, it brings in $1,325 monthly, yielding a strong 7.5% cap rate and $1,053 in monthly cash flow. Granted, it's not new-build, but it shows the underlying strength of the rental market that also supports new builds.

Charlotte & Nashville

High population growth is the story here. As more people move to these vibrant cities, the demand for housing drastically outstrips the supply. This makes them prime locations for smaller multifamily developments (think 6-10 units). Builders can move quickly on these projects, getting them to the rental phase faster and capitalizing on demand.

Comparing New Builds to Existing Homes: A Deeper Look

It's easy to get caught up in the excitement, but let's take a moment to really compare what you get with a new-build turnkey versus an older property.

Feature New-Build Turnkey Rental Existing Home Rental
Initial Cost Often more competitive due to builder incentives & market shifts Can vary wildly, but often higher for comparable condition
Maintenance Minimal for years; covered by warranties Frequent and potentially costly; unpredictable
Updates & Features Modern, energy-efficient, smart home ready May require significant renovation to be competitive
Tenant Appeal High; modern features are attractive Varies; can be lower if dated or needs repairs
Management Often professionally managed from the start Typically requires self-management or hiring a separate company
Risk Lower operational risk, predictable expenses Higher risk of unexpected repairs and costs
Cash Flow Impact Boosted by lower initial expenses & higher potential rent Can be squeezed by ongoing maintenance costs and lower rent potential

Let's look at another example, a townhouse on Simba Lane in Murfreesboro, Tennessee (near Nashville), built in 2025. It's priced at $370,000, with potential rent of $2,250. This yields a 5.6% cap rate and $1,736 in monthly cash flow. While the cap rate is slightly lower than some older properties, the predictability and reduced risk are significant advantages for an investor focused on long-term, stable returns.

Consider a large, older home in Cleveland, Ohio, at W 117th St. Priced at $169,900, it has a very attractive 8.3% cap rate and $1,173 monthly cash flow. However, it was built in 1952. While it might be a great deal upfront, the potential for deferred maintenance and higher operating costs down the line is a factor that needs careful consideration compared to the new construction.

My Take on the Future

From what I'm seeing, this trend of buying new-build turnkey rentals isn't a flash in the pan. The underlying market dynamics – the low-interest-rate lock-in effect, the continued housing shortage for existing homes, and builders' willingness to offer attractive deals – are likely to persist for some time.

For investors, this presents a unique window of opportunity. It’s a chance to acquire modern, hassle-free rental properties in growing markets that can generate consistent income with lower initial risk and fewer headaches. While I always advise due diligence and careful market research, the current environment strongly favors this type of investment strategy.

🏡 Which Turnkey rENTAL Would YOU Purchase?

Saint Louis, MO
🏠 Property: Lewis Place
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 5 Bed • 3 Bath • 3006 sqft
💰 Price: $275,000 | Rent: $2,500
📊 Cap Rate: 8.8% | NOI: $2,020
📅 Year Built: 1895
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $92
🏙️ Neighborhood: C+

VS

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Aldridge Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1548 sqft
💰 Price: $339,900 | Rent: $2,195
📊 Cap Rate: 5.8% | NOI: $1,643
📅 Year Built: 2025
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

Two contrasting investments: historic St. Louis charm with high cap rate vs modern Florida build with stability. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Speak to a Norada Investment Counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Contact Us Now 

Want Stronger Returns? Invest Where the Market’s Growing

Turnkey rental properties in fast-growing housing markets offer a powerful way to generate passive income with minimal hassle.

Work with Norada Real Estate to find stable, cash-flowing markets beyond the bubble zones—so you can build wealth without the risks of ultra-competitive areas.

🔥 HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Also Read:

  • Top Real Estate Investment Markets to Watch in 2026
  • Top 10 Most Popular Housing Markets of 2025 for Homebuyers
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2026: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029
  • Housing Market Predictions for 2026 Show a Modest Price Rise of 1.2%
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026 for Buyers, Sellers, and Renters
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • Rise of AI-Powered Hyperlocal Real Estate Marketing in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025

Filed Under: Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Investment Propeties, Real Estate Investing, Rental Properties, Turnkey Properties

Do Turnkey Rental Properties Qualify for a 1031 Exchange?

February 9, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Do Turnkey Rental Properties Qualify for a 1031 Exchange?

Are you a real estate investor looking for ways to grow your wealth and defer those pesky capital gains taxes? If you've been eyeing the convenience of turnkey rental properties, you're probably wondering if they can fit into your 1031 exchange strategy. The short answer is yes, turnkey rental properties absolutely qualify for a 1031 exchange, provided they meet the IRS’s strict investment and like-kind property requirements. This can be a powerful combination for investors seeking both ease of operation and significant tax advantages.

Do Turnkey Rental Properties Qualify for a 1031 Exchange?

I've seen firsthand how the world of real estate investing can feel like navigating a complex maze. You finally find a strategy that makes sense, and then you start wondering about the specifics. That's exactly where the question of turnkey properties and 1031 exchanges comes in. It's a common query, and for good reason. Turnkey properties offer a streamlined path to ownership, and the 1031 exchange offers a way to keep your investment capital working for you. Blending the two can be a masterstroke if done correctly.

Let's dive deep into what makes this combination work, the crucial rules you need to follow, and some of the common pitfalls I’ve seen investors stumble into.

What Exactly is a 1031 Exchange and Why Turnkey Properties Fit In

At its core, a 1031 exchange, named after Section 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code, allows you to defer paying capital gains taxes when you sell an investment property, as long as you reinvest the proceeds into a new, “like-kind” investment property within specific timeframes. This is a huge deal for investors who want to grow their portfolios without constantly cashing out and paying taxes along the way.

Now, why do turnkey properties fit so well into this picture?

  • “Like-Kind” Real Estate: The IRS is pretty broad in its definition of “like-kind” when it comes to real property. This means you can exchange almost any type of investment real estate for another. So, that single-family rental home you own can be exchanged for a duplex, a small apartment building, or yes, a turnkey rental property. The key is that both properties must be held for investment purposes.
  • Investment Intent is Paramount: This is the absolute bedrock of any 1031 exchange. The property you sell and the property you buy must be held for productive use in a trade, business, or for investment. This is why properties you plan to “fix and flip” immediately don't qualify – their primary purpose is resale, not long-term investment. Turnkey properties, by their very nature, are set up and marketed as investment assets, making this criteria straightforward to meet.
  • No Personal Use Allowed (Generally): You can't use your 1031 exchange to acquire a vacation home or your personal residence. If you do decide to eventually live in your replacement property, the IRS has strict rules: you generally need to have rented it out at fair market value for at least 14 days a year and limit your personal use to the greater of 14 days or 10% of the rental days for at least two years. This is a critical point for everyone considering this strategy.

The Time Crunch: How Turnkey Properties Ease the 1031 Exchange Pressure

One of the biggest headaches with a 1031 exchange is the incredibly tight timeline. You’re on a clock, and missing a deadline can mean losing out on the tax deferral. This is where turnkey properties often shine.

  • The 45-Day Identification Period: From the moment you sell your old investment property, you have exactly 45 days to identify up to three potential replacement properties in writing.
  • The 180-Day Purchase Period: You then have 180 days from the sale of your old property (or the due date of your tax return if it's later) to close on one or more of the identified replacement properties.

So, how does this relate to turnkey?

  • Ready Inventory: Turnkey companies often have a selection of properties already renovated, inspected, and ready to go. This means when you sell your old property, you're not starting from scratch. You can often move through the identification and purchase process much faster because suitable properties are readily available.
  • Immediate Cash Flow: Many turnkey properties come with a tenant already in place and a professional property management company handling the day-to-day. This means your new investment starts generating income right away, which is a huge plus when you're trying to demonstrate that the property is actively being held for investment and helping you meet those tight exchange deadlines.

Key Benefits of Combining Turnkey and 1031 Exchange

When I look at the synergy between these two strategies, I see several compelling advantages for investors:

  • Streamlined Acquisition: Turnkey providers handle the heavy lifting of finding, renovating, and often securing tenants for a property. This significantly reduces the time and effort you, as an investor, need to put in, especially when you're facing those strict 1031 deadlines.
  • Reduced Risk of “Holding” Costs: Because turnkey properties are typically already occupied and generating income, you avoid the costs and potential vacancies associated with buying a property that needs work or is sitting empty.
  • Professional Management Built-In: Most reputable turnkey operations include professional property management. This is invaluable for out-of-state investors or those who simply don't want to deal with tenant calls, maintenance requests, and rent collection, especially while navigating the complexities of a 1031 exchange.
  • Easier Due Diligence: While you still need to perform your own due diligence, turnkey providers often come with pre-existing inspections and condition reports. This can speed up your evaluation process to ensure the property meets your investment criteria and is suitable for exchange.

Crucial Financial Hurdles for a Successful Exchange

To truly defer those capital gains taxes, you can't just buy any property with your proceeds. The IRS has specific financial requirements:

  • Equal or Greater Value: The market value of your replacement turnkey property must be equal to or greater than the market value of the property you sold. If it's less, the difference is considered taxable “boot.”
  • Reinvest All Proceeds: You must reinvest all the cash proceeds from the sale of your old property. Any cash you take out for personal use or to put into your bank account is deemed “boot” and will be taxed.
  • The Qualified Intermediary (QI) is Non-Negotiable: You absolutely cannot touch the money from the sale of your original property. This money must be held by a Qualified Intermediary (also known as an exchange accommodator or facilitator) from the moment your old property closes until you close on your new turnkey property. They act as a neutral third party.

Common Pitfalls to Avoid: My Observations from the Field

Even with the advantage of turnkey properties, I've seen investors make mistakes that can jeopardize their entire 1031 exchange. It often boils down to not understanding the strictness of the IRS rules or underestimating the planning required.

Timing and Identification Failures

This is where most people trip up.

  • Missing the 45-Day Window: I can't stress this enough: that deadline is ironclad. There are no extensions, even if your potential turnkey property falls through on day 40. The identification must be in writing.
  • Identifying Only One Property: This is a risky game. If that one identified turnkey property suddenly becomes unavailable or has a major issue discovered during due diligence after your identification period, your exchange fails. I always advise identifying up to three potential properties to give yourself a safety net.
  • Delayed Due Diligence: Don't wait until after you've identified a turnkey property to do your serious inspections or verify tenant leases. You need to have a solid understanding of the property's condition and financial performance before you submit your identification.

Procedural and Structural Errors

These are the technical glitches that can sink an exchange.

  • Constructive Receipt of Funds: This means getting your hands on the money, even for a moment. You must have your Qualified Intermediary lined up and ready to hold the funds before the sale of your old property closes.
  • Entity Mismatch: The legal entity that owns the property you're selling must be the exact same legal entity that buys the new turnkey property. Selling as an individual and buying through a newly formed LLC might not work unless that LLC is a disregarded entity for tax purposes.
  • Missing Contract Language: Your purchase agreements for both the sale of your old property and the purchase of your new turnkey property must include specific language acknowledging the 1031 exchange. Your QI will provide the proper wording.

Financial Compliance Mistakes

It's not just about having enough money; it's about how you use it.

  • Buying “Down” in Value: If your new turnkey property is worth less than the one you sold, the difference is taxable boot.
  • Decreasing Debt (Mortgage Boot): If you pay off a mortgage on your old property and have a smaller mortgage on your new turnkey property, the difference counts as taxable boot unless you offset it with additional cash. So, if you had a $100,000 mortgage on the old one and only a $50,000 mortgage on the new one, and you don't put in an extra $50,000 cash, that $50,000 is taxable.
  • Ineligible Personal Property: Turnkey properties might come furnished. If personal property (like furniture or appliances) isn't clearly separated from the real estate value in your purchase contract, the IRS could view that portion as taxable.

Intent and Usage Pitfalls

Your intentions and how you use the property matter.

  • Flipping Intent: If you buy a turnkey property with the explicit goal of selling it quickly, the IRS may argue it wasn't “held for investment.” Your actions and documentation should clearly show long-term investment intent.
  • Premature Personal Use: As I mentioned earlier, using your replacement property as your primary residence or a frequent vacation spot too soon after acquisition can lead to the exchange being retroactively disqualified.

State-Specific Rules: A Closer Look

While federal law governs the 1031 exchange, individual states can have their own layers of complexity. It's crucial to be aware of these, especially if you're crossing state lines.

  • Clawback Provisions: Some states, like California, Massachusetts, Montana, and Oregon, have “clawback” rules. This means even if you successfully defer taxes by moving your investment to another state, the original state may still claim its share of the deferred gain if you eventually cash out without another 1031 exchange. California, in particular, requires annual reporting for out-of-state replacement property.
  • Mandatory State Withholding: Many states require a portion of the gross sale price to be withheld at closing to ensure state taxes are paid, especially for non-residents. This can significantly tie up your capital needed for the replacement property unless you file for an exemption. States like California, Oregon, and New York have specific withholding requirements.
  • State-Specific Conformity: While most states now recognize 1031 exchanges, it's good to be aware of their alignment with federal rules. For instance, Pennsylvania recently conformed to federal Section 1031 rules for personal income tax.
  • No-Tax States: States like Texas, Florida, and Washington do not have state-level capital gains taxes, so these withholding or clawback issues are not present.

Final Thoughts: A Powerful Tool When Used Wisely

Turnkey rental properties offer a fantastic opportunity for investors to acquire income-producing assets with reduced upfront management burdens. When combined with a 1031 exchange, they can be an incredibly powerful tool for wealth building and tax deferral. However, success hinges on meticulous planning, strict adherence to IRS timelines and rules, and a clear understanding of both federal and any applicable state-specific regulations.

Turnkey Rentals: Your Fast Track to Passive Income

Norada Real Estate helps investors secure turnkey properties in high‑growth markets—delivering immediate cash flow and long‑term wealth opportunities for buyers ready to capitalize on 2026 trends.

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Filed Under: Real Estate, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: 1031 Exchange, Real Estate Investing, Rental Properties, Turnkey Rentals

Mortgage Rates Today, February 9: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 6 Basis Points

February 9, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, February 12: 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Remains Stable

If you're thinking about refinancing your home, or even buying a new one, the numbers are telling us something important today, February 9, 2026. The widely followed 30-year fixed refinance rate has nudged up by 6 basis points to 6.61%, according to Zillow's latest data. While this isn't a dramatic jump, it’s a clear signal that borrowing costs are seeing a bit of upward movement, and it’s worth paying attention to.  For a homeowner looking to tap into equity or simply secure a better rate, every fraction of a percent matters.

The good news, however, is that the 15-year fixed refinance rate is holding steady, offering a more budget-friendly and faster payoff option for those who qualify.

Mortgage Rates Today, February 9, 2026: 30-Year Refi Rate Creeps Up 6 Basis Points

Today's Refinance Rates at a Glance

Let’s break down the numbers as of February 9, 2026:

  • 30-year fixed refinance rate: 6.61% (This is the one that saw the recent increase.)
  • 15-year fixed refinance rate: 5.68% (Holding strong and steady.)
  • 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) refinance rate: 7.19% (This option is currently pricier than fixed rates.)

Understanding the Market Context

You might be wondering why these rates move. It’s a complex mix of economic signals, but the 30-year fixed rate is always the one most people watch. At 6.61%, it’s still in a zone that many homeowners might find acceptable, especially when compared to rates seen in recent years past, but the climb means those looking to refinance might want to act sooner rather than later if they see this as a peak.

The 15-year fixed refinance rate at 5.68% is a really attractive option if you can handle a higher monthly payment. The benefit is you'll own your home free and clear much sooner and save a substantial amount on interest over the life of the loan. Its stability right now is a welcome relief in a market that’s showing signs of upward pressure elsewhere.

Then there’s the 5-year ARM. At 7.19%, it’s currently out-priced by both fixed-rate options. For a while, ARMs were making a comeback as rates hovered around 7%, but today, the math just doesn't add up for most people looking for a good deal. Unless you have a very specific plan for moving or refinancing again before the adjustment period, the higher initial rate and the uncertainty of future increases make it a riskier bet.

The True Cost of Refinancing: Beyond the Rate

It's crucial to remember that the interest rate isn't the only cost you'll face when refinancing. My experience tells me people often underestimate closing costs. Typically, you're looking at expenses ranging from 2% to 6% of your new loan amount. For a $300,000 mortgage, that could mean anywhere from $6,000 to a hefty $18,000 in fees. This is money you need to have readily available or factor into your decision.

Here’s a glimpse at some of the common fees you'll encounter:

Fee Type Typical Cost (percentage of loan or flat fee) Notes
Loan Origination Fee 0.5% – 1.5% of loan amount Covers the lender's administrative costs. Often negotiable.
Application Fee Up to $500 Some lenders waive this, or it's rolled into other fees.
Underwriting/Processing Fee $300 – $900 For the lender's work in approving your loan.
Discount Points Typically 1% of loan amount per point Optional fees to lower your long-term interest rate.
Third-Party Fees Varies significantly Includes appraisal, title insurance, survey, attorney fees, etc.

When I discuss refinancing with clients, I always emphasize shopping around. Lenders have different fee structures, and what one charges for origination, another might waive. It's like buying a car; you wouldn't go to just one dealership, right? The same principle applies to mortgages.

Who Benefits and Who Might Wait?

So, what does this slight tick-up in rates mean for you?

  • Homeowners Looking to Refinance: The 6.61% on the 30-year fixed might be a call to action. If you’ve been on the fence, and your financial situation is solid, acting now could be smart to lock in at this level before any further increases. However, don't ignore that solid 5.68% on the 15-year. If that fits your budget, it's a fantastic opportunity to get out of debt faster.
  • First-Time Homebuyers: For those looking to purchase, the rates are still stable enough to allow for predictable budgeting. While rates above 6% mean higher monthly payments than we saw during the ultra-low periods, they’re not at crisis levels. Buyers still have a chance to secure a fixed-rate loan and know what their principal and interest payments will be for decades.
  • Real Estate Investors: With the 5-year ARM sitting at 7.19%, it's less attractive for investors who often rely on flexibility or short-term holding strategies. The predictability of fixed rates, even at 6.61%, is likely more appealing for long-term investment planning right now.

Deeper Dive: What's Driving These Numbers?

It's not just random fluctuations. The mortgage market is heavily influenced by broader economic conditions, and that includes the Federal Reserve's actions and inflation.

  • A Refinance Boom (of sorts): The Mortgage Bankers Association noted a significant jump in refinancing activity, with their index surging by 117% compared to early 2025. This surge is largely driven by homeowners who took out loans when rates were higher than 7% just last year or the year before. They're now seizing the opportunity to refinance into lower rates, even if today's rates are a bit higher than last week's.
  • Federal Reserve's Stance: The Federal Reserve made a decision to keep the federal funds rate steady in its January 2026 meeting, leaving it between 3.5% and 3.75%. The general consensus among experts is that the Fed will likely keep rates on hold for most of 2026. However, a small group of analysts are watching inflation closely and believe there might be one or two small rate cuts later in the year if inflation data cooperates. This caution from the Fed translates to a degree of stability in the mortgage market, but it also means we're unlikely to see a dramatic drop in rates anytime soon.
  • The Shadow of Negative Equity: A concerning trend highlighted is that nearly 1.1 million borrowers found themselves in negative equity (owing more on their mortgage than their home is worth) by the end of 2025. This is the highest number we've seen since 2018. This problem is particularly pronounced in southern housing markets and affects FHA and VA loans taken out since 2022. This situation can make refinancing difficult, as lenders often require homeowners to have positive equity.

Looking Ahead: The 2026 Outlook

What should we expect for the rest of 2026? Most housing economists are predicting relative stability. They anticipate that **30-year fixed mortgage rates will likely hover in the 6% to 6.5% range for the remainder of the year. There are some more optimistic predictions, like those from Morgan Stanley, suggesting rates could potentially dip to 5.50%-5.75% by mid-2026 if Treasury yields continue to fall. However, the more conservative forecasts from major players like Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to an average 30-year rate of around 6.1% for the entire year.

From my perspective, this suggests that while we might see some minor fluctuations – like the 6 basis point rise we’re seeing today – the overall trend for 2026 points towards a relatively stable, albeit higher, interest rate environment compared to the historical lows of recent years. This means homeowners and buyers need to be strategic and understand their options.

🏡 2 Renovated Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Dorion St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 4 Bath • 2086 sqft
💰 Price: $412,400 | Rent: $3,190
📊 Cap Rate: 6.2% | NOI: $2,124
📅 Year Built: 2023
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $198
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

and

Kansas City, MO
🏠 Property: E 110th Terrace
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1002 sqft
💰 Price: $220,000 | Rent: $1,700
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $1,273
📅 Year Built: 1957
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A-

Florida’s modern build with strong cash flow vs Missouri’s affordable rental with higher cap rate. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Speak to Our Investment Counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties 

Invest Smart — Build Long-Term Wealth Through Turnkey Real Estate in 2026

Market forecasts suggest steady demand, making turnkey real estate one of the most reliable paths to passive income and wealth creation.

Norada Real Estate helps investors capitalize on these trends with turnkey rental properties designed for appreciation and consistent cash flow—so you can grow wealth securely while others wait for clarity in the market.

🔥 HOT 2026 INVESTMENT LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥
Send Us An Email or Request a Call Back

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Recommended Read:

  • 30-Year Fixed Refinance Rate Trends – February 8, 2026
  • Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights
  • Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026?
  • When You Refinance a Mortgage Do the 30 Years Start Over?
  • Should You Refinance as Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Level in Over a Year?
  • Half of Recent Home Buyers Got Mortgage Rates Below 5%
  • Mortgage Rates Need to Drop by 2% Before Buying Spree Begins
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again: Future Outlook
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today, Refinance Rates

Today’s Mortgage Rates, Feb 8: Rate Rise Slightly But Remain Near Long-Term Lows

February 8, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Today’s Mortgage Rates, February 12, 2026: Steady Near 6% But for How Long?

As of today, February 8, 2026, the popular 30-year fixed mortgage rate has seen a slight uptick, now sitting at 5.99%. While this might sound like a small change, understanding these shifts is key to making smart financial decisions in today's housing market.

While the headlines often focus on whether rates are going up or down by a fraction, what truly matters is the context. Are these rates good for you personally? What factors are really driving these changes, and what does it mean for your long-term goals? That’s what I want to dive into with you today, going beyond just the digits to give you a clearer picture.

Today's Mortgage Rates, Feb 8: Rate Rise Slightly But Remain Near Long-Term Lows

A Snapshot of Today's Rates (February 8, 2026)

Let's break down what Zillow is reporting for primary home purchase loans. It's important to remember these are national averages, and your individual rate could be different based on your credit score, down payment, and other factors.

Loan Type Current Rate
30-Year Fixed 5.99%
20-Year Fixed 5.96%
15-Year Fixed 5.42%
10-Year Fixed 5.57%
30-Year Fixed FHA 6.12%
30-Year Fixed VA 5.50%
7-Year ARM 5.99%
5-Year ARM 6.03%

Decoding the Weekly Shifts: What's Moving and Why?

Looking at the past week, we see a bit of a tug-of-war between the two most common fixed-rate mortgage types:

  • 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage: A Tiny Climb
    The 5.99% rate we're seeing today is about 0.03% (or 3 basis points) higher than last week. Now, I know what you might be thinking – “Is this the start of a big spike?” From my perspective, this is more like a gentle nudge than a dramatic surge. This term remains the undisputed champion for most homebuyers, and frankly, for good reason. The predictable monthly payments are a huge comfort, especially when you're planning your budget for years to come. Experts are highlighting that despite this slight increase, these rates are still wonderfully close to three-year lows. Plus, with February being a quieter month for Federal Reserve meetings, we might not see huge swings, giving buyers a bit of breathing room.
  • 15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage: A Small Step Down
    On the flip side, the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage has dipped slightly, now hovering around 5.42%. This is great news for those who can handle a higher monthly payment. Why? Because while your monthly outlay will be more, you'll pay off your loan significantly faster and, most importantly, save a ton of money on interest over the life of the loan. I’ve seen countless clients who opted for the 15-year and ended up debt-free years ahead of schedule, feeling a massive sense of financial freedom. The fact that it's held steady below 5.5% for a couple of weeks is a real opportunity.
  • 5/1 Adjustable-Rate Mortgage (ARM): A Curious Case
    This week, the 5/1 Adjustable-Rate Mortgage is a bit of an anomaly. Rates are either flat or have seen a minuscule increase, landing between 5.93% and 6.03%. What's really interesting is how narrow the gap is between ARMs and the 30-year fixed. Usually, ARMs offer a much juicier introductory rate to entice borrowers. Right now, the incentive isn't as strong. Unless you're absolutely certain you'll sell your home or refinance before the initial five-year period is up, a fixed-rate mortgage might actually offer better value and predictability. It’s a good reminder to look at your own life plans when choosing a loan.

Behind the Scenes: What's Influencing Today's Rates?

It’s easy to just look at the numbers, but as someone who studies this market closely, I know there’s a lot more going on under the surface.

  • The Fed's Steady Hand: The Federal Reserve took a pause on cutting interest rates in January 2026, following three cuts late last year. They're carefully watching how these moves affect inflation, which is slowly but surely inching towards their 2% target. This cautious approach means they're not likely to make drastic changes overnight, which can contribute to the relative stability we're seeing.
  • Economic Signals – The Jobs Report: Keep an eye on the upcoming January jobs report, which is due mid-February. If it comes in weaker than expected, it could signal to the Fed that the economy needs a bit more help. This might mean they could resume rate cuts sooner, potentially pulling mortgage rates down further. It's a classic “watch and wait” scenario.
  • Government Support: There are whispers of a potential government initiative involving a mortgage bond purchase worth a significant amount. Actions like these can help narrow the gap between the interest rates on government bonds and mortgage rates, which can, in turn, put downward pressure on what borrowers like you have to pay. It's a way for policymakers to try and keep housing affordable.

Looking Ahead: What Do the Experts Predict?

When I think about the future of mortgage rates, I always consider the opinions of major housing authorities like Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association. Their forecasts give us a good sense of where things might be headed.

For the immediate future, through the first quarter of 2026, the general consensus is that the 30-year fixed rate will remain “sticky,” averaging around 6.10%. This suggests that the slight increase we saw this week isn't the beginning of a dramatic trend upwards.

However, some analysts are looking further out. If the economy continues to cool down, we could see a gradual movement towards 5.75% by mid-2026. This is where having a good understanding of your own financial timeline and goals becomes absolutely crucial. Are you planning to buy now, or can you wait a few months? Every situation is unique.

My Take: What Matters Most to You?

As a longtime observer of the mortgage market, I can tell you this: while the national averages are important, they’re not the whole story. What truly matters is understanding how these rates impact your ability to afford the home you want.

  • Your Credit Score: This is still king. A higher credit score means lenders see you as less of a risk, often leading to a better interest rate.
  • Your Down Payment: A larger down payment reduces the loan amount and can also qualify you for better rates.
  • Your Loan Type Choice: As we've discussed, the 15-year versus the 30-year has a massive impact on your total interest paid. ARMs can be a good option for some, but require careful consideration of your future plans.
  • Your Local Market: Rates can sometimes vary slightly by region, and home prices are definitely a local affair.

Today, February 8, 2026, presents a market where rates are relatively stable, hovering near long-term lows. The slight increase in the 30-year fixed rate isn't a cause for panic, but it’s a good reminder to act if you've found your dream home. For those looking to save on interest over time, the dip in the 15-year fixed rate is an attractive opportunity.

🏡 Two Profitable Rental Properties With Strong Investor Appeal

Cibolo, TX
🏠 Property: Columbia Dr
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1758 sqft
💰 Price: $245,000 | Rent: $1,795
📊 Cap Rate: 5.2% | NOI: $1,052
📅 Year Built: 2007
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $140
🏙️ Neighborhood: A

VS

Akron, OH
🏠 Property: Whitney Ave
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 1.5 Bath • 1056 sqft
💰 Price: $135,000 | Rent: $1,225
📊 Cap Rate: 9.4% | NOI: $1,063
📅 Year Built: 1923
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $128
🏙️ Neighborhood: C+

Texas’s A‑rated rental with stability vs Ohio’s affordable property with higher cap rate. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Speak to Our Investment Counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties 

Build Passive Income & Wealth with Turnkey Rentals in 2026

Mortgage rates remain high in 2026, but rental properties continue to deliver strong cash flow and appreciation. Savvy investors know that turnkey real estate is the path to passive income and long‑term wealth.

Norada Real Estate helps you secure turnkey rental properties designed for immediate cash flow and appreciation—so you can invest smartly regardless of interest rate trends.

🔥 HOT 2026 INVESTMENT LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥
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Contact Us

Also Read:

  • Mortgage Rates Predictions Backed by 7 Leading Experts: 2025–2026
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for the Next 3 Years: 2026, 2027, 2028
  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecast for the Next 5 Years
  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years: 2025-2029
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again in the Future?
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions: Why 2% and 3% Rates are Out of Reach
  • How Lower Mortgage Rates Can Save You Thousands?
  • How to Get a Low Mortgage Interest Rate?
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 4% Again?

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: Current Mortgage Rates, mortgage, mortgage rates, Today’s Mortgage Rates

Does the 1% Rule Say It’s Time to Refinance Your Mortgage in 2026?

February 8, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Does the 1% Rule Say It’s Time to Refinance Your Mortgage in 2026?

For many homeowners who purchased a house in the last couple of years, February 2026 is indeed signaling it's a prime time to explore refinancing your mortgage, especially if you’re relying on the common “1% Rule” as your guide. This simple guideline suggests that if you can shave a full percentage point off your interest rate, it's usually a smart financial move, and right now, that looks very promising for a significant number of people.

I've been following the mortgage market for years, and one thing I've learned is that timing can make a huge difference in your finances. When rates were climbing in 2024 and early 2025, many of us might have felt a bit stuck with our loan terms. But seeing those rates start to tick down now, it’s time to get serious about whether a refinance makes sense for you.

Does the 1% Rule Say It’s Time to Refinance Your Mortgage in 2026?

Understanding the 1% Rule and Why It Matters Now

Let's break down this “1% Rule” because it's a straightforward way to figure out if refinancing could save you money. The idea is simple: if you can lower your current mortgage interest rate by at least 1 percentage point, it’s typically worth looking into refinancing. This rule is a great starting point because it helps you quickly assess potential savings.

Think about it this way: every little bit you save on your monthly mortgage payment adds up. Over the life of a 30-year loan, even a small reduction in your interest rate can mean saving tens of thousands of dollars. My personal experience has shown me that people often get so used to their current payments that they don't even consider refinancing unless there’s a dramatic shift in rates. But the 1% Rule is designed to catch those significant, yet sometimes overlooked, savings opportunities.

Key Refinancing Insights for 2026

The mortgage market has seen some interesting shifts. Let’s look at where we are and how it plays into the 1% Rule.

  • Historical Rate Trends:
    • In 2024, average 30-year fixed mortgage rates were around 6.90%.
    • By 2025, rates had dipped slightly to an average of 6.66%.
    • As of February 2026, these rates have fallen further to an average of 6.11%.

This downward trend is exactly what the 1% Rule is designed to capitalize on.

Historical 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates (2024-2026)

Does the 1% Rule Trigger for You?

Whether this rule applies to you really depends on when you secured your original loan. It's not a one-size-fits-all situation.

  • Purchased in 2024 or Early 2025: If you bought a home during this period, you likely locked in a rate that was near the peak, maybe around 6.90% to 7.00%. With current average rates at approximately 6.11% in early February 2026, many of you are either already at, or very close to, a full percentage point drop. This means now is a very strong contender for a refinancing opportunity.
  • Purchased in Late 2025: For those who bought in late 2025, rates averaged around 6.66%. If you refinance now at 6.11%, you're looking at a reduction of about 0.50%. While this is a good saving, especially on a large loan, it doesn't strictly meet the 1% rule. However, as we'll discuss, it might still be worth considering.
  • Pandemic-era Owners (Rates Below 5%): If you were fortunate enough to secure a mortgage during the super-low rate environment of the pandemic (think rates below 4% or 5%), the current market at 6.11% is still significantly higher. For you, refinancing right now would likely mean paying more in interest, so it's probably not the best move.

Beyond the 1% Rule: The Break-Even Analysis

While the 1% Rule is a fantastic starting point, I always encourage people to look a bit deeper. The real bottom line is the break-even point. This refers to how long it will take for the money you save each month to cover the costs associated with refinancing.

Refinancing isn't free. There are closing costs, which can typically range from 2% to 6% of your loan amount.

Here's a simplified way to think about it:

  1. Calculate your monthly savings: (Your current interest rate – New interest rate) * Your remaining loan balance / 12 = Monthly Interest Savings.
  2. Calculate your closing costs: Let's say your closing costs are $6,000.
  3. Find your break-even point: Closing Costs / Monthly Savings = Number of months to recoup costs.

If you plan to stay in your home for longer than your break-even period, refinancing is almost always a good idea. Even if the rate drop is less than 1%, if your monthly savings are substantial enough to cover closing costs in, say, 18-24 months, and you plan to live there for 5-10 years, it's a smart financial decision.

The Impact of Large Loan Balances

It’s also crucial to consider the size of your loan. For homeowners who have a large loan balance, even a drop of less than a full percentage point can result in significant monthly savings.

Let's say you have a remaining loan balance of $400,000 and your rate drops by 0.50% (from 6.66% to 6.11%):

  • Estimated Monthly Savings on Principal & Interest: Roughly $200 (this is a simplified estimate, actual savings may vary).

If your closing costs were around $5,000, your break-even point would be about 25 months ($5,000 / $200). For many, this is well within a reasonable timeframe to recoup costs and start enjoying long-term savings. This is where the 1% Rule can sometimes be too rigid for certain homeowners.

Future Rate Outlook

What about the future? Mortgage rates are influenced by many factors, including inflation and the Federal Reserve's policies.

  • Optimistic Outlook: Some experts are predicting that rates could potentially dip into the 5.5% range by mid-2026 if inflation continues to cool down. This would be a major drop and make refinancing incredibly attractive for a much wider group of homeowners.
  • Stable Outlook: Others believe rates might stabilize around 6% for the rest of 2026. Even at 6%, if your current rate is 7% or higher, you’re still looking at substantial savings.

My personal take is that while predictions are helpful, it's best to focus on where rates are now and what that means for your specific situation. Planning for a future drop is smart, but don't miss out on savings that are available today.

Making the Decision

So, does the 1% Rule say it's time to refinance in 2026?

  • For those who bought in 2024 and early 2025: Yes, it very likely does. You're in the prime position to hit that 1% savings mark.
  • For those who bought in late 2025: It depends. While you might not hit the strict 1% rule, a 0.50% drop could still be very beneficial, especially with a larger loan balance. Carefully review your closing costs and calculate your break-even point.
  • For pandemic-era homeowners with ultra-low rates: Probably not right now. Your current rate is likely still much better than what's available.

My advice is always to get personalized quotes from a few different lenders. Compare their rates, fees, and closing costs. Then, do your own break-even analysis. The 1% rule is a helpful benchmark, but your personal financial goals and how long you plan to stay in your home are the ultimate deciding factors. It's about making a smart, informed choice that benefits your financial future.

Build Wealth With Smart Real Estate Moves

The 1% refinance rule is back in focus for 2026, but real estate investors know that cash flow and appreciation often outweigh short‑term rate changes. Turnkey rentals remain a proven path to passive income regardless of mortgage shifts.

Norada Real Estate helps investors secure turnkey properties designed for immediate ROI and long‑term growth—so your portfolio thrives whether you refinance or stay the course.

🔥 HOT 2026 INVESTMENT LISTINGS JUST ADDED! 🔥
Speak with an Investment Counselor Today (No Obligation):
(800) 611-3060
Or Request a Callback / Fill Out the Form Online

Contact Us

🏡 2 Renovated Properties Available for Investors

Port Charlotte, FL
🏠 Property: Dorion St
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 4 Bed • 4 Bath • 2086 sqft
💰 Price: $412,400 | Rent: $3,190
📊 Cap Rate: 6.2% | NOI: $2,124
📅 Year Built: 2023
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $198
🏙️ Neighborhood: A+

and

Kansas City, MO
🏠 Property: E 110th Terrace
🛏️ Beds/Baths: 3 Bed • 2 Bath • 1002 sqft
💰 Price: $220,000 | Rent: $1,700
📊 Cap Rate: 6.9% | NOI: $1,273
📅 Year Built: 1957
📐 Price/Sq Ft: $220
🏙️ Neighborhood: A-

Florida’s modern build with strong cash flow vs Missouri’s affordable rental with higher cap rate. Which fits YOUR investment strategy?

We have much more inventory available than what you see on our website – Let us know about your requirement.

📈 Choose Your Winner & Contact Us Today!

Speak to Our Investment Counselor (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

View All Properties 

Recommended Read:

  • Best Time to Refinance Your Mortgage: Expert Insights
  • Should You Refinance Your Mortgage Now or Wait Until 2026?
  • When You Refinance a Mortgage Do the 30 Years Start Over?
  • Should You Refinance as Mortgage Rates Reach Lowest Level in Over a Year?
  • Half of Recent Home Buyers Got Mortgage Rates Below 5%
  • Mortgage Rates Need to Drop by 2% Before Buying Spree Begins
  • Will Mortgage Rates Ever Be 3% Again: Future Outlook
  • Mortgage Rates Predictions for Next 2 Years
  • Mortgage Rate Predictions for Next 5 Years

Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today, Refinance Rates

5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers and Investors in 2026

February 8, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers and Investors in 2026

As we move through 2026, the five hottest real estate markets for buyers and investors continue to attract significant attention thanks to their unique characteristics and strong growth potential. Cities such as Dallas, Miami, Houston, Tampa–St. Petersburg, and Nashville remain at the forefront, driven by factors like sustained population growth, economic resilience, and accessible housing options.

While the analysis was originally highlighted in the Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2025 report published by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) and the Urban Land Institute (ULI), the fundamentals behind these markets have not shifted dramatically. These cities are still regarded as prime investment destinations in 2026, offering compelling opportunities for both local and out‑of‑state investors. Now, let’s break down why these markets continue to shine.

5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers and Investors

Key Takeaways

  • Rapid Population Growth: Cities like Dallas and Houston are experiencing significant influxes of residents.
  • Economic Opportunities: Strong job markets in Dallas and Miami are attractive to investors.
  • Affordability: Compared to coastal cities, these markets offer more affordable housing options.
  • Climate and Environmental Considerations: Markets like Miami and Tampa-St. Petersburg come with insurance risks that should be considered by investors.
  • Projected Price Appreciation: Sought-after neighborhoods in these cities show potential for property value increases.

Market Overview Table (Realtor.com)

City Median Home Price Median Monthly Rent Population Growth (2022-2023) Job Sector Influence
Dallas, TX $434,500 $1,475 Largest in the U.S. Finance and Corporate HQs
Miami, FL $535,000 $1,227 Steady Consumer Demand Tourism and Tech
Houston, TX $369,450 $1,375 +140,000 (2022-2023) Health and Green Energy
Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL $399,999 $1,720 Post-COVID Population Surge Hospitality and Services
Nashville, TN $542,447 $1,578 +86 People per Day (2023) Music and Entertainment

Dallas, TX: A Growing Powerhouse

Dallas stands at the forefront of the hottest real estate markets for 2025. The city’s growth is largely attributed to its robust economy and population increase. Supported by a significant concentration of Fortune 500 companies, including a $500 million Goldman Sachs facility, Dallas is transforming into a hotspot for potential residents and investors alike.

The median home price in Dallas is $434,500, while renters can expect to pay around $1,475 monthly. This attractive pricing structure, combined with the city’s job-centric moves and affordable lifestyle options, solidifies Dallas's place as a reliable market for real estate investments.

Key Highlights:

  • Economic Growth: The area has a business-friendly climate with a strong financial presence.
  • Diverse Opportunities: The job market attracts a mix of professionals, boosting housing demand.

Miami, FL: Attractive Rental Yields

Miami is another major contender on our list of top real estate markets. Known for its sunny beaches and cultural diversity, the city offers an appealing rental income potential with average yields between 5% and 7%. The median home price in Miami is approximately $535,000, and the median rent is about $1,227.

However, the market does come with its set of challenges. High insurance premiums due to climate risks can be a concern for investors. Nevertheless, the lack of state income tax continues to attract investment in real estate.

Investor Consideration:

  • Despite potential environmental challenges, properties in less flood-prone areas may yield better long-term profits.

Houston, TX: An Affordable Alternative

Houston showcases itself as a formidable competitor in the real estate market. With a median home price of $369,450, and a median monthly rent of $1,375, this city offers an attractive entry point for investors compared to other major cities.

The rapid influx of nearly 140,000 new residents in one year illustrates a booming job market influenced by thriving health care, technology, and green energy sectors. The absence of formal zoning laws offers additional flexibility for new developments, boosting Houston's position as a desirable market for investment.

Key Points:

  • Houston remains appealing for families due to its lower cost of living and job opportunities.
  • Increased startup activity adds to the local economy's vibrancy.

Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL: Job Growth and Market Resilience

The Tampa-St. Petersburg market has rebounded sharply post-pandemic, with an increasing number of people relocating to the area. The current median home price is $399,999, with rentals averaging around $1,720 per month. An anticipated job growth rate of 2.3 times the national average indicates sustained demand for housing.

Investors are particularly attracted to this market due to its low vacancy rates and supportive tourism sector. However, similar to Miami, climate-related risks demand prudent investment choices regarding property location and insurance coverage.

Market Insights:

  • Warm weather and beaches attract seasonal residents.
  • Those willing to navigate regulatory hurdles in short-term rentals can achieve significant ROI.

Nashville, TN: A Cultural and Economic Hotspot

Nashville, often called “Music City,” has solidified its reputation as one of the best places for real estate investment, even as it drops to fifth on this year's list. The city continues to grow at a remarkable rate of 86 new residents daily in 2023.

With a median home price of $542,447 and a median rent of $1,578, Nashville remains competitive among its peers. While real estate prices have surged, the overall business landscape maintains a favorable environment for investment. Nashville’s vibrant culture and entertainment scene draw new residents, enhancing housing demand.

Critical Factors:

  • The corporate tax structure remains attractive for businesses.
  • Continued population growth is expected to sustain housing needs.

Conclusion of Market Insights

All these hottest real estate markets reflect a combination of economic stability, population diversity, and investment potential. Cities like Dallas, Miami, Houston, Tampa-St. Petersburg, and Nashville provide fertile ground for those looking to enter or expand in the real estate sector.

As we delve deeper into these markets, it becomes clear that understanding local dynamics and broader trends will be essential for maximizing investment returns. Dallas, with its corporate strength, Miami with its rental prospects, Houston’s affordability, Tampa-St. Petersburg’s job growth, and Nashville’s cultural appeal all present unique opportunities for real estate investors in the coming year.

5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Investors

Dallas, Miami, Houston, Tampa–St. Petersburg, and Nashville stand out as prime real estate markets. These cities combine affordability, strong rental demand, and appreciation potential—making them ideal for buyers and investors.

Norada Real Estate helps investors secure turnkey properties in these high‑growth markets—delivering immediate cash flow and long‑term wealth opportunities for those ready to act now.

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Filed Under: Growth Markets, Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Hottest Housing Markets, Hottest Real Estate Markets, Housing Market, investment opportunities, real estate

Mortgage Rates Today, February 8: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 4 Basis Points

February 8, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Mortgage Rates Today, February 9: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 6 Basis Points

Today, February 8, 2026, the average rate for a 30-year fixed refinance has inched up to 6.62%, according to data from Zillow. This modest increase of 4 basis points compared to last week signals a slight tightening in borrowing costs, though the market remains active for those looking to optimize their home loans.

These small fluctuations can mean a lot to someone trying to figure out if now is the right time to swap out their mortgage. While the frenzy of those massive refinance booms we saw in years past might be a distant memory, that doesn’t mean there aren’t significant opportunities out there. For many, especially those who locked in higher rates during the past couple of years, today’s rates still present a compelling case to explore refinancing.

Mortgage Rates Today, February 8: 30-Year Refinance Rate Rises by 4 Basis Points

Let’s break down what this means for you.

Today's Refinance Snapshot

Here’s a quick look at the average rates as of February 8, 2026:

Loan Type Average Rate Day-Over-Day Change (Basis Points) Week-Over-Week Change (Basis Points)
30-Year Fixed Refi 6.62% +4 (vs. yesterday) +4 (vs. last week)
15-Year Fixed Refi 5.62% -3 (vs. yesterday) -3 (vs. last week)
5-Year ARM Refi 7.15% +2 (vs. yesterday) +2 (vs. last week)

As you can see, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The most popular 30-year fixed refinance rate is up slightly, but the 15-year fixed rate has actually dipped, which is fantastic news for certain borrowers. The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) is also seeing a small uptick, making it less appealing for those seeking the lowest initial payments.

Digging Deeper into the Numbers

The Steadfast 30-Year Fixed Refinance

The 30-year fixed refinance rate at 6.62% is the one most people keep an eye on. It’s the benchmark for many, and this 4 basis point increase from last week to yesterday’s 6.56% might make some homeowners feel a sense of urgency. My take? While it’s always wise to be aware of upward trends, this is still a far cry from the rates we were dealing with just a year or two ago. It means that if you’ve been on the fence about refinancing, and your current rate is significantly higher, now might still be a good window to act. Waiting too long could mean missing out on potential savings if rates continue to climb.

The Sweet Spot: 15-Year Fixed Refinance

This is where I see a real opportunity for some homeowners. The fact that the 15-year fixed refinance rate dropped by 3 basis points to 5.62% is noteworthy. Why? Because this loan type allows you to pay off your mortgage much faster and, crucially, save a substantial amount on interest over the life of the loan. Of course, this comes with a higher monthly payment. So, if your financial situation is stable and you’re looking to build equity more aggressively and slash your long-term debt, this rate is very attractive.

The Less Appealing ARM

The 5-year ARM moving up by 2 basis points to 7.15% further solidifies the current preference for fixed-rate mortgages. ARMs are designed to offer a lower initial interest rate, but the current environment where fixed rates are relatively stable (and the 15-year is even dropping) makes the upfront appeal of ARMs less compelling. The risk of rates jumping significantly after the initial fixed period, combined with the already higher starting point, makes this option less of a go-to for most people right now.

So, Who Should Be Thinking About Refinancing Today?

I always advise clients to look beyond the headline rate and consider their personal financial situation. Here’s who I think should seriously consider refinancing their mortgage right now:

  • The “One Percentage Point” Rule Followers: This is a simple but effective guideline. If your current mortgage rate is at least 1% higher than today's average rates, you are likely leaving money on the table. For example, if you have a mortgage at 7.62% or higher, refinancing to 6.62% could lead to significant monthly savings.
  • Recent Buyers (Late 2023/2024): If you purchased a home when rates were hovering in the 7% or 8% range, you are prime candidates for a refinance. Even a small drop in rates can translate into hundreds of dollars saved each month.
  • Homeowners with Increased Equity: Has your home value appreciated significantly since you purchased it? If you now have 20% or more equity, you might be able to refinance and get rid of Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI). This added cost can be a nice chunk of change to eliminate from your monthly expenses.
  • FHA-to-Conventional Refinancers: If you currently have an FHA loan and have built up at least 20% equity, you can often refinance into a conventional loan. The big perk here is ditching the permanent mortgage insurance premiums associated with FHA loans, which can be a substantial monthly saving.

What’s Driving These Rates? A Peek at the Bigger Picture

It’s important to remember that mortgage rates don’t exist in a vacuum. They are influenced by a whole host of economic factors, and central banks play a crucial role.

The Federal Reserve has held its key interest rates steady at its initial meeting of 2026. This has generally contributed to the relative stability we've seen in mortgage rates. Forecasters, like the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) and Fannie Mae, are generally predicting that rates will hover in the 6.0% to 6.4% range for much of 2026. This suggests that while we might see some minor ups and downs, we're unlikely to see a dramatic plunge back to the ultra-low rates of the pandemic era any time soon.

This projected stability is important for planning. For those who managed to secure mortgage rates below 5% during the pandemic – the so-called “lock-in effect” – refinancing isn't likely to be on the table unless rates take a significant dive. But for everyone else, especially those who bought more recently at higher rates, current conditions are worth exploring.

The Bottom Line for February 8, 2026

As of Sunday, February 8, 2026, the 30-year fixed refinance rate stands at 6.62%, showing a slight increase from both yesterday and last week. On the brighter side, the 15-year fixed refinance rate has dipped to a more attractive 5.62%, presenting a great opportunity for accelerated debt repayment. The 5-year ARM has nudged up to 7.15%, making fixed-rate options generally more appealing.

This market is dynamic. While the headline rate for the 30-year may be up slightly, the movement in other loan types creates distinct opportunities. My advice: don't get caught up in just one number. Assess your personal financial journey, understand your current mortgage terms, and see if refinancing aligns with your goals for saving money and building long-term wealth.

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Market forecasts suggest steady demand, making turnkey real estate one of the most reliable paths to passive income and wealth creation.

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Filed Under: Financing, Mortgage Tagged With: mortgage rates, Mortgage Rates Today, Refinance Rates

Best Places to Invest in Real Estate for Passive Retirement Income

February 8, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

10 Best Places for Retirees to Invest in Real Estate in 2025 and 2026

If you are like most people approaching retirement, you have probably spent years stressing over 401(k) statements and worrying about inflation eroding your hard-earned savings. Real estate investment offers a powerful antidote to that stress, providing tangible income and a hedge against rising costs, but timing and location are everything.

Where Should Retirees Invest in Real Estate?

The best places for retirees to invest in real estate are those that strike the right balance—offering low state taxes (like Florida and Texas), affordable median home prices under $350,000, and strong rental demand from senior populations. These markets provide both a comfortable lifestyle and a dependable income stream.

I’ve spent the last two decades watching markets shift, and what works for a young flipper in a major metro often fails for a retiree needing stable cash flow and low maintenance. Retirement investing isn't about chasing the highest appreciation; it’s about resilience and predictability.

We are looking for places where 10,000 Baby Boomers retiring daily are moving, driving up demand for rentals and maintaining property values without the volatile swings seen in major coastal cities.

In this comprehensive guide, I will take you beyond the raw numbers. We’ll dive into why Pittsburgh is a superior investment to most Sunbelt spots right now, how tax policies can add thousands back into your pocket every year, and what to look out for regarding insurance and climate risks. Let's explore the places where your nest egg can truly start working for you.

Before we jump into specific locations, we need to talk strategy. A retiree has a completely different set of priorities than a younger investor. When I talk to clients nearing or already in retirement, their three main concerns are liquidity, passive income, and minimizing taxes.

Retirees Need Cash Flow Over Capital Gains

For younger investors, it’s all about appreciation—buying a property for $300,000 and hoping it hits $500,000 in five years. But retirees typically need steady cash flow to supplement Social Security and pension income. This means we prioritize markets with low entry costs and strong rental yields, even if annual appreciation is a modest 3% or 4%.

When I look at markets like Boise, Idaho, which boasts an incredible 11.3% appreciation, I see high entry costs ($540,000 median) that require a huge amount of capital upfront. While great for wealth building, it’s not ideal for someone who needs that money liquid or generating immediate passive income. Conversely, a place like Pittsburgh, with a $250,000 median, allows you to potentially buy two properties for the price of one in Boise, doubling your rental income stream right away.

Retirees Should Also Benefit from the Tax Shield Effect

Taxes are perhaps the single biggest factor that separates a good retirement location from a great investment location. States without income tax (like Florida, Texas, and Washington) allow you to keep every penny of your IRA distributions, pensions, and capital gains.

  • No State Income Tax: This is a huge win for retirees, as it immediately shields income that other states would chip away at.
  • Social Security Exemptions: Many states, like South Carolina and Virginia, exempt Social Security benefits from state tax, even if they have a standard income tax.
  • Homestead Exemptions: Look for robust property tax exemptions for seniors, which can substantially lower your carrying costs if you plan to live in the home.

The Healthcare Multiplier

For retirees, the quality and proximity of healthcare are non-negotiable. This isn't just about personal comfort; it is a major investment factor. Top-tier hospitals like UPMC in Pittsburgh or AdventHealth in Palm Coast attract high-quality medical professionals, who in turn need rental housing. This creates a secondary, stable rental market (doctors, nurses, administrative staff) that acts as a strong buffer if the retiree rental demand ever slows down. An area with a Healthcare Rating of 9.0 or higher is nearly always a safer long-term real estate play.

The Current Market Reality: Stabilizing but Still Strong

The real estate frenzy of the last few years has calmed down. As of mid-2025, mortgage rates hovering around 6.5–7% have cooled off bidding wars, leading to increased inventory (up 20–40% nationally). This is excellent news for retirees who prefer to buy with less pressure. The markets we are discussing show modest, sustainable appreciation (averaging 3.5%), signaling stability rather than speculation.

Here is a quick overview of how our top 10 destinations stack up on key metrics for investors:

City Median Home Price (2025) YoY Appreciation Key Tax Perk Investment Sweet Spot
Palm Coast, FL $360,000 +3.0% No state income tax Turnkey, low-risk coastal rental.
Pittsburgh, PA $250,000 +4.8% Low flat income tax Highest affordability, medical demand.
San Antonio, TX $259,000 -2.3% (Stabilizing) No state income tax Highest cash flow yields.
Greenville, SC $500,000 +1.0% SS income exempt Premium lifestyle, regional growth.
Boise, ID $540,000 +11.3% Flat 5.8% income tax Highest appreciation potential.
Raleigh, NC $438,000 +0.6% Dropping income tax Education and tech-driven stability.
St. George, UT $560,000 +6.2% Flat 4.85% income tax Active lifestyle, high quality of life.
Virginia Beach, VA $405,000 +6.6% SS income exempt Military/tourism rental demand.
The Villages, FL $360,000 +5.9% No state income tax Niche 55+ guaranteed rental market.
Tucson, AZ $315,000 -3.1% (Rebounding) Low flat income tax Affordable Sunbelt entry point.

Best Places to Invest in Real Estate for Passive Retirement Income

Best Places in the U.S. for Retirees to Invest in Real Estate

1. Palm Coast, FL: Coastal Resilience and Tax Benefits

I often recommend Palm Coast because it provides the classic Florida appeal (beaches, golfing, mild weather) without the crushing price tags of Miami or Naples. At a median price of $360,000, it’s accessible. This market is driven almost entirely by retirees, making long-term rentals highly secure.

  • The Investment Edge: The vacancy rate here is exceptionally low at 1.4%. When a rental property turns over, it is often leased again almost immediately, minimizing carrying costs. The no state income tax policy means investors living here keep more of their profits, and the 3% appreciation projection shows steady growth without overheating.
  • The Lifestyle: It's quiet, secure (1.7% low crime), and focused on the outdoors, appealing perfectly to the active senior demographic you want renting your property.

2. Pittsburgh, PA: The Affordability Champion

If you want immediate cash flow, stop looking at the Sunbelt for a moment and focus on the Steel City. With a stunningly low $250,000 median home price, Pittsburgh provides the greatest entry-level opportunity on this entire list.

  • The Investment Edge: The appreciation rate is strong at +4.8%, and the cost of living index is only 92 (meaning it is 8% cheaper than the national average). But the real hidden gem is the medical economy. The massive presence of UPMC attracts a constant influx of medical professionals and supporting staff, guaranteeing high occupancy and a reliable rental yield of around 6.2%.
  • Personal Opinion: While the winters are challenging, the low upfront capital requirement and superior healthcare rating (9.0) make this one of the most reliable long-term holds for a cash-flow investor who doesn't mind managing tenants.

3. San Antonio, TX: Maximizing Rental Yields

San Antonio is proof that you can still find value in Texas, despite the massive influx of people to Austin and Dallas. While the median price of $259,000 shows a slight dip (-2.3%) as the market corrects, this is a phenomenal time to buy before the predicted rebound.

  • The Investment Edge: This area is characterized by low taxes and a COL index of 89. Crucially, San Antonio’s rental yields are driven by military bases and a high senior population, often leading to yields closer to 6.5%. For an investor who wants quick cash returns on a low initial investment, San Antonio is hard to beat.
  • Risk Mitigation: The summer heat is intense, which means you must factor in high AC costs and prioritize property maintenance (especially roof and HVAC systems) when budgeting for ownership.

4. Greenville, SC: Premium Southeast Living

Greenville is a dynamic, high-growth area, and its $500,000 median price reflects that premium status. It might seem expensive compared to Pittsburgh, but for retirees who want a vibrant, walkable downtown and excellent access to nature, this is the spot.

  • The Investment Edge: South Carolina exempts Social Security benefits from state income tax. The market is supported by sophisticated infrastructure and a fantastic healthcare scene (8.8 rating). While the 1% appreciation forecast is modest, this market provides high-quality properties that attract high-quality long-term tenants.
  • Advanced Insight: The inventory has risen sharply (up 40%), softening prices slightly. This signals an opportunity to negotiate a better deal in a city that still has massive long-term regional potential.

5. Boise, ID: Chasing Growth in the Mountain West

Boise is the outlier on this list. It is expensive ($540,000 median) and has a COL index above the national average (102). However, if your investment goal is maximizing capital appreciation, Boise’s 11.3% YoY growth is nearly unmatched among retiree-friendly areas.

  • The Investment Edge: The growth is structural, fueled by the tech industry moving in and the city’s high quality of life (hiking, river access). The vacancy rate is extremely low (0.7% in nearby Meridian), meaning every property is in high demand.
  • Who is This For? This market is best suited for the retiree who is selling a high-priced primary home (e.g., in California) and wants to move that capital into a high-growth market using a 1031 exchange to defer capital gains tax.

6. Raleigh, NC: Stability in the Research Triangle

Raleigh offers the best combination of big-city amenities and Southern charm, anchored by the massive Research Triangle Park. Its $438,000 median price is relatively stable, reflecting a highly educated and stable tenant base.

  • The Investment Edge: North Carolina’s flat income tax rate is actively dropping, making it increasingly attractive from a tax perspective. The housing market here is tight (2.8 months of supply), supporting rents and low vacancy.
  • The Trade-off: With only 0.6% appreciation projected, Raleigh is a stability play. You are buying security—a market unlikely to crash due to the constant churn of students and tech workers—rather than explosive growth.

7. St. George, UT: Desert Oasis for the Ultra-Active

Set near Zion National Park, St. George is perfect for the adventurous retiree. While the $560,000 median is the highest on our list, the lifestyle and extraordinary healthcare rating (9.2) justify the price for many.

  • The Investment Edge: The 6.2% appreciation demonstrates sustained demand, largely from people seeking the active lifestyle and the stunning natural beauty. The Intermountain Healthcare system is world-class, making this a magnet for health-conscious seniors.
  • The Warning: Water scarcity is a long-term risk that every investor in Southern Utah must consider. While property values are strong now, future infrastructure costs related to water could affect property taxes.

8. Virginia Beach, VA: Reliable Seaside Demand

Virginia Beach provides stability driven by two powerful economic engines: the Atlantic coast tourism industry and the large military presence.

  • The Investment Edge: With a solid $405,000 median and 6.6% recent growth, this market is resilient. Virginia exempts Social Security benefits from state taxes. The yields are strong (around 5.8%) because demand is high for both short-term tourist rentals and long-term military/senior housing.
  • The Risk Factor: Like all coastal markets, sea-level rise and increasing flood insurance premiums are critical factors that must be budgeted for. Always purchase comprehensive flood insurance, even if not required by your mortgage lender.

9. The Villages, FL: The Niche Investment Dream

The Villages isn’t just a retirement community; it’s a retirement ecosystem. With over 60% of the population being 55+, this area is purpose-built for seniors, leading to an investment opportunity unlike any other.

  • The Investment Edge: The Villages offers arguably the most secure rental market in the country for 55+ housing. Demand is massive, yielding around 6%, and the area boasts a spectacular healthcare rating (9.5). The $360,000 median price is identical to Palm Coast, but the appreciation rate is stronger at 5.9%.
  • Expert Warning: Because this entire community operates under specific age restrictions, the pool of potential buyers if you decide to sell is limited to those over 55. This can sometimes affect liquidity compared to a general market.

10. Tucson, AZ: Sunbelt Value with Desert Charm

Tucson offers a much more affordable entry point into the Sunbelt than Phoenix or Scottsdale. At a median of $315,000, it’s a bargain for a city with such beautiful natural surroundings (the Saguaro trails).

  • The Investment Edge: While it experienced a correction (-3.1%), the market is already rebounding (projected +3% growth). The low flat 2.5% income tax and yields around 6.2% make it attractive for cash flow. Tucson is becoming a favorite among retirees seeking an authentic, less crowded, and more affordable Southwestern experience.
  • My Take: If you missed the bus on Phoenix five years ago, Tucson is the next best choice, provided you select properties close to Banner Health facilities to capture both retiree and medical staff rentals.

Investment Strategies for Low-Stress Ownership

A successful real estate investment shouldn't add stress to your retirement. Based on these 10 locations, here are the simplified strategies I recommend for senior investors:

Strategy 1: The Affordable Cash-Flow Play

  • Target: Pittsburgh, PA, and San Antonio, TX.
  • Goal: Buy two properties for $250,000 each. Put 20% down ($50,000 per property) and leverage the remaining loan.
  • Benefit: Even with a 6.5% interest rate, the high rental yields in these markets should cover the mortgage, insurance, and maintenance, leaving you with a small, reliable monthly cash profit and two rapidly appreciating assets.

Strategy 2: The High-Equity Tax Deferral (1031 Exchange)

  • Target: Boise, ID, and St. George, UT.
  • Goal: Sell a highly appreciated primary residence or rental property and immediately roll the proceeds into a high-growth market like Boise.
  • Benefit: You defer the massive capital gains taxes you would normally pay, allowing your entire equity to continue growing at an accelerated rate (like Boise’s 11.3% potential).

Strategy 3: The Turnkey 55+ Niche

  • Target: The Villages, FL, and Palm Coast, FL.
  • Goal: Purchase properties specifically within or near active senior communities.
  • Benefit: These properties are often lower maintenance (HOAs handle exterior work), and the tenant base is inherently stable, resulting in fewer vacancies and maintenance issues—a true definition of passive income.

Final Thoughts: Secure Your Future with Targeted Real Estate

Real estate should be the bedrock of a retiree’s investment portfolio. It provides stability that the stock market often cannot, and it offers tangible income that combats inflation. The markets listed above represent the best balance as of 2025: they offer strong local economies, superior healthcare access (which attracts high-quality tenants), and favorable tax treatment that preserves your retirement savings.

Whether you choose the affordability of Pittsburgh or the high growth of Boise, the key is always to partner with a local expert who understands the unique dynamics of the senior rental market. Don't chase trends; chase security and sustainability.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Best Places for Retirees to Invest in Real Estate, Real Estate Investing

Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Has the Stronger Housing Market for Investors?

February 8, 2026 by Marco Santarelli

Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Has the Stronger Housing Market for Investors?

For years, investors chasing tech money have looked at two Sun Belt superstars: Austin, Texas, and Raleigh, North Carolina. Both cities have rocketed up the rankings for population growth, job creation, and overall “cool factor.” But if you’re putting your hard-earned capital into property, you need to know which city gives you the better investment.

Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Has the Stronger Housing Market for Investors?

We aren't looking for the better place to live—we are looking for the strongest financial returns. So, let’s answer the million-dollar question right upfront: Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Offers Stronger Real Estate Returns?

The short answer, based on current affordability and market maturity, is that Raleigh, NC, currently offers a more sustainable and less volatile path to long-term returns, while Austin, TX, remains the higher-risk, higher-reward play that requires far more precise timing.

I’ve been tracking the incredible shifts in these competitive markets for over a decade, and what I’ve seen recently suggests that the rules have changed. Austin’s massive run-up has created hurdles, while Raleigh’s measured, diversified growth keeps making it an investor darling. Let’s dive deep into the specific dynamics that make these two cities fundamentally different when it comes to stacking up profit.

The Tale of Two Texas Towns (and the Other One in NC)

When we look at both metros, we are analyzing two distinct styles of economic development. Austin is the flashy newcomer; Raleigh is the quiet anchor.

Feature Austin, TX (The Rocket) Raleigh, NC (The Anchor)
Primary Growth Driver Corporate relocations (Tesla, Samsung, Oracle), Venture Capital (VC) funding. Research Triangle Park (RTP), Universities (UNC, Duke, NC State), Biotech/Pharma.
Market Maturity Highly mature, high prices, rapidly compressed yields. Maturing rapidly, but still maintains a significant affordability gap advantage over Austin.
Population Growth Rate Explosive (Historically among the fastest in the US). Very strong and steady.
State Tax Structure No state income tax. High property taxes. State income tax. Lower property taxes (generally).
Investment Profile Appreciation heavy (Capital Gains). Balanced (Appreciation + Cash Flow potential).

The Beast Under the Bridge: The Austin Model

When I think about investing in Austin, I think about momentum. For a long time, Austin couldn't lose. The city became the premier destination for tech workers fleeing California, driving prices up at an absolutely staggering rate.

The Volatility Factor

In real estate, growth often comes with a bill, and for Austin, that bill is volatility. We saw median prices soar by 40% in a single year during the peak pandemic boom. This level of rapid appreciation is thrilling, but it dramatically increases the risk of market correction—which is exactly what we saw when interest rates climbed.

My personal analysis of Austin's growth trajectory is that it mirrors markets that rely heavily on a constant injection of VC money and “big fish” corporate moves. When the tech sector hiccups or national interest rates rise, the brakes slam harder here than almost anywhere else.

The Property Tax Headache

One major fundamental difference that impacts long-term investment returns in Austin is the property tax situation. Texas prides itself on having no state income tax, but they make up for it aggressively at the local level.

If you are a buy-and-hold investor aiming for cash flow, those constantly rising property valuations mean your tax burden rises annually, often eating away at your net operating income (NOI). In markets like Dallas or Houston, you have higher rent-to-value ratios to absorb this, but in prime Austin, yield compression is severe. Many investors are simply betting on massive appreciation, effectively turning their rental property into an asset where the income is just enough to cover the massive operating costs. That is a dangerous, appreciation-only strategy.

The Steady Hand: The Raleigh/Research Triangle Model

Now let’s look east to Raleigh, the anchor of the Research Triangle Park (RTP), which includes Durham and Chapel Hill. Raleigh is not a new contender, but it didn't get the same blinding media spotlight as Austin, and that’s a good thing for investors.

The Power of Diversification

The key to Raleigh’s resilience is its foundation. Where Austin relies heavily on IT and venture-backed startups, Raleigh’s economy is built upon three pillars:

  1. Academia: The triangle is anchored by three major research universities (UNC, Duke, NC State) that generate a constant, highly educated talent pipeline.
  2. Government: As the state capital, Raleigh has a stable base of state and federal jobs that act as a buffer during recessions.
  3. Biotech and Pharma: The RTP is one of the world's leading centers for life sciences. These companies—think major, stable employers like Pfizer and Merck—are less susceptible to the immediate cyclical downturns that plague the pure tech sector.

When the 2022 market slowdown hit, Raleigh felt the cooling effects, but its descent was far more gentle and controlled than Austin’s sharp drop. Why? Because the job market didn't panic. The pharmaceutical companies still needed scientists, and the universities still needed staff. This translates directly into more stable housing demand.

The Affordability Advantage for Investors

This is the big one. Even after years of growth, Raleigh remains significantly more affordable than Austin, particularly when you look at median home price versus median rent.

In my professional opinion, the stronger the rent-to-value ratio, the stronger the long-term investment.

While Austin’s median prices pushed into the mid-six figures long ago, Raleigh has maintained better entry points. This means:

  • Lower initial capital outlay.
  • Better potential for positive cash flow from day one (or at least much sooner).
  • A wider tenant pool, as housing remains accessible to mid-level income earners, not just highly paid tech execs.

The Critical Factors: Where Investors Need to Look Beyond Price

To truly decide which market offers stronger returns, we have to look past the superficial trends and examine the regulatory and construction environment. This is where real expertise comes in.

1. The Inventory Battle (Permitting and Supply)

When a city has incredible demand, the smart response is to build, build, build. But Austin has had a massive supply problem, worsened by local permitting delays that made it difficult for housing supply to catch up with demand. Developers, driven by high prices, eventually rushed in.

Expert Insight: Austin has experienced a significant surge in multi-family and single-family permitting. While this is necessary, rapid, large-scale supply hitting the market during a slowdown leads to oversupply issues and potential pressure on rental rates. It’s a boom-and-bust cycle.

Raleigh, while also experiencing a construction boom, has maintained a more balanced development pace. This slower pace, while sometimes frustrating for renters, is beneficial for property owners because it prevents catastrophic supply gluts that kill rental price growth.

2. Taxation and Regulation: The State Matters

A common mistake new investors make is ignoring the regulatory differences between states.

Factor Texas (Austin) North Carolina (Raleigh) Impact on Returns
Income Tax 0% State Income Tax Progressive State Income Tax TX sounds better, but NC's slightly higher state taxes often fund better infrastructure, lowering city operational costs.
Property Tax High Rates (Often 2%+) Moderate Rates (Generally below 1.2%) NC wins here for cash flow investors. Lower annual operating expenses directly boost NOI.
Landlord/Tenant Law Generally Landlord-friendly Moderate, Moving toward balance Both states are relatively fair, but local ordinances (like short-term rental rules) must be watched closely.

My opinion is clear: for the long-term rental investor prioritizing cash flow stability, North Carolina’s lower property tax burden provides a foundational competitive advantage over Austin’s structure.

3. Demographic Flow and Wage Divergence

Both cities attract highly skilled workers, but Raleigh is becoming increasingly attractive to companies due to wage arbitrage. Tech companies realize they can hire excellent engineers in Raleigh for 15-20% less than they would pay in Austin (or 30-40% less than in Silicon Valley). This allows businesses to expand aggressively without crippling payroll costs, ensuring the job machine keeps churning out new residents needing housing. This constant, slightly less expensive talent flow creates a highly stable rental demand base.

The Rubber Meets the Road: A Cash Flow Comparison

To make this tangible, let’s run a simple side-by-side calculation focusing on the cost of ownership, assuming two similar properties purchased as rentals in desirable sub-markets of each metro area. This example highlights the massive impact of property taxes on your Net Operating Income (NOI).

We will focus purely on the property tax and price differences, which are the main differentiators in annual cash flow for buy-and-hold investors.

Investment Metric Austin, TX (Approximate) Raleigh, NC (Approximate) Key Result for Investors
Purchase Price $550,000 $425,000 Raleigh requires $125k less capital.
Estimated Rent $2,800 / month $2,400 / month Austin rent is higher, but so is the price.
Effective Property Tax Rate 2.1% 1.1% This is the crucial difference.
Annual Property Tax Burden $11,550 $4,675 The silent killer of cash flow in Austin.
Annual Tax Difference N/A Saves $6,875 Raleigh investor pockets nearly $7k more annually before factoring in mortgage.
Monthly Tax Cost $962.50 $389.58 The Raleigh tax is nearly $600/month less.

Note: These figures are approximations used for comparative illustration and do not include mortgage, insurance, or maintenance costs.

What this calculation tells me, as an expert investor, is critical: Even though the Austin property rents for $400 more per month, the Raleigh investor’s annual property tax savings ($6,875) virtually wipes out that rental premium. The Raleigh property starts off with a vastly superior operational cost structure, making positive cash flow much easier to achieve and maintain, especially in the first few years.

The Rental Income Reality Check

The strongest returns are not just about sale price appreciation; they are about the total return—combining cash flow (rental income) and appreciation.

Austin's Compressed Yields

Due to the aggressive price increase, Austin’s cap rates (the ratio of Net Operating Income to property value) have plummeted. If you buy an expensive property but your rent barely covers the mortgage, insurance, and those heavy Texas property taxes, your yield is compressed, maybe even negative. You are effectively betting your entire return on the hope that someone will buy the property for even more money in five years.

Raleigh’s Cash Flow Potential

While Raleigh’s cap rates have also tightened, they are generally healthier than Austin’s, especially in secondary markets around RTP like Cary, Apex, or Durham. An investor in Raleigh has a much higher likelihood of achieving a small but reliable positive cash flow, providing a critical safety net against market dips.

I always advise investors to look for markets where you can be right two ways: through appreciation AND through cash flow. Raleigh provides a better opportunity to execute this dual strategy.

Investment Strategies for Each Market

Because these cities operate on different risk levels, your strategy needs to adapt:

Austin Strategy (High-Risk/High-Reward)

  • Target: Highly specialized niche properties (e.g., luxury rentals near Tesla Giga Factory, short-term rentals near downtown).
  • Focus: Capital preservation and appreciation, not immediate cash flow.
  • Best Play: Land speculation and new development in rapidly expanding submarkets (e.g., Leander, Georgetown) before they fully mature. Requires deep pockets and high risk tolerance.
  • Keywords to Track: Austin luxury housing supply, Central Texas commercial permitting, VC funding rounds.

Raleigh Strategy (Sustainable Growth)

  • Target: Single-family homes in established commuter corridors (e.g., close to I-40 access points) or townhomes near university campuses.
  • Focus: Balanced strategy—steady appreciation supplemented by reliable cash flow.
  • Best Play: Buying properties that appeal to the stable, highly educated workforce employed by RTP. This is the ultimate defensive position for real estate investing.
  • Keywords to Track: Raleigh-Durham biotech job growth, Wake County property tax rates, RTP employee headcount.

My Final Verdict on Returns

When comparing Austin vs. Raleigh: Which Tech Hub Offers Stronger Real Estate Returns, we must recognize that “stronger” doesn't just mean “highest peak.” It means the most consistent, resilient, and repeatable return profile.

Austin is like buying volatile tech stock; the gains can be huge, but the drops are sharp, and your entry point has to be perfect. Raleigh is like a blue-chip stock—steady, reliable, paying a decent dividend (cash flow) while slowly and surely increasing in value.

For the investor who values predictable cash flow, lower operating expenses, and resilient demand driven by diversified institutional anchors, Raleigh, NC, provides the stronger, more secure foundation for long-term real estate returns. Austin still has momentum, but its affordability crisis and tax structure mean the margin for error is razor-thin. Raleigh wins on fundamentals.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Austin, Housing Market, Raleigh, Real Estate Investing

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