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Housing Market: Should You Buy a Turnkey Property or Fixer-Upper?

January 23, 2023 by Marco Santarelli

Should You Buy a Turnkey Property

The current housing market means you’ll likely pay top dollar for a home that’s considered turnkey — immediately ready for you to move in. Plus, the competition is steep. Perhaps those two reasons are why 52% of American homebuyers are looking for a starter home or a fixer-upper rather than a forever home, according to TD Bank‘s First-Time Homebuyer Pulse, which polled buyers planning to purchase in 2022. If you’re struggling with whether to keep combing the housing market for a move-in-ready home that fits your budget or to take your chances with a fixer-upper, here’s the expert insight you need.

Pros of Buying a Fixer-Upper

Buying a fixer-upper can provide you with advantages that a turnkey home doesn’t offer. Consider the following.

Cheaper Taxes

“Fixer-uppers can be a great way to get a deal on a property and save money on taxes,” said Jeremy Luebke, founder of WeLoveLand. “In many cases, fixer-uppers are sold for less than the market value because the seller is motivated to move the property quickly. This can be a great opportunity for bargain hunters. Additionally, fixer-uppers often come with significant tax breaks. The government offers tax breaks for people who rehabilitate or redevelop properties, so if you’re planning to do major work on your fixer-upper, you may be eligible for some significant tax deductions.”

Flip Potential

“The big advantage to taking the risk on a fixer-upper is the equity you build while improving the value of the property,” said Doug Greene, owner of Signature Properties. “This is the flip potential that exists, while in a turnkey home you are essentially buying the property at full price (i.e., market value).”

Potential for Creativity

“An advantage of purchasing a fixer-upper is the opportunity to put money into the features of your house that are most important to you,” said John Riedl of Easy Cash Offer Florida. “Do you want a modern kitchen? What about a luxurious soaking tub? If you are purchasing a property that is move-in ready, you can find yourself subject to the taste and interests of the past owner.”

Riedl also pointed out that fixer-uppers give you a lot of control over the renovation process by selecting paint colors, floor materials, contractors, and anything else you desire.

Cons of Buying a Fixer-Upper

Time, money and effort are all required when it comes to getting a fixer-upper where you want it to be. Here’s more on the potential disadvantages of going this route.

Renovation Costs

“The cost of labor and materials is near its highest price ever, and if you are hiring contractors to perform work on your home, unless you have a crew on standby, it could be months before the work is done,” said Tony Grech real estate investor and lending expert with Luxury Mortgage. “Just like there is a shortage of home inventory that has driven prices up, there is a shortage of qualified tradespeople as well as a shortage in raw materials due to supply chain issues that stretch back to the beginning of COVID. So you save $20,000 or $30,000 on the price of the home, but it costs you $60,000 to perform the work that you want.”

Effort

Beyond the costs in labor and materials, renovating a home comes with some other headaches and risks,” said Brian Davis, real estate investor and founder at Spark Rental. “You have to navigate the treacherous waters of permits, which involves not just filing fees and dealing with the permit office, but also hassling with inspectors.”

Ryan Fitzgerald, owner of UpHomes also said that renovating a fixer-upper requires a lot of effort. “Renovations are time-consuming and stressful so make sure you’re up for the challenge if you decide to get a fixer-upper,” he cautioned. “If you don’t want to deal with the construction, managing contractors, and living in a home that isn’t finished, a fixer-upper may not be the best choice for you.”

Live Richer Podcast: First-Time Homebuying During Inflation: Is It Worth It?

Pros of Buying a Turnkey Home

While a home that’s ready to move in will likely cost much more than a fixer-upper, there are some definite advantages that are worth considering.

No Renovation Costs

“When you purchase a turnkey home, the price you see is the price you pay,” said Luebke. “There are no additional costs for things like landscape or certain home upgrades. This can be a big advantage when budgeting for your new home. You know exactly how much money you need to bring to the table, and there are no unpleasant surprises down the road.”

Minimal Effort Required

If you’re looking to move in and start enjoying your new home as soon as possible, turnkey home is a perfect choice. “Turnkey homes require much lower effort because you can move right in and start enjoying the home after you unpack,” said Ryan Fitzgerald, owner of UpHomes.

Cons of Buying a Turnkey Home

However, buying a turnkey home also comes with a few drawbacks. It’s up to you to decide if they are worth it.

More Expensive Taxes Upfront

While you can get a lower property tax rate by buying a cheaper fixer-upper, that’s likely not the case with a turnkey home.

“If you opt for a turnkey home, the municipality will have likely already caught up to the new assessed value by the time you move in,” said Greene. “It’s usually the sale of the property that triggers a property reassessment in the system.”

Flip Potential Is Nonexistent

“Buying turnkey is certainly the way to go if you have no desire to make repairs to a home and want it move-in ready,” said Jeff Shipwash, CEO of Shipwash Properties LLC. “Unfortunately, in today’s market, turnkey properties are at a premium. This means you will more than likely have strong competition and will be paying top dollar for it. This results in buying with little to no equity to spare.”

And without any equity to spare, there is no flip potential.

Limited Opportunities for Creativity or Customization

“The home might not be exactly what you want,” said Luebke. “Since the home has already been built, you may be limited in terms of customizations or changes that you can make. The home might come equipped with most, if not all, of the features and amenities that you desire, but there is always the chance that something will not be quite to your liking. This can be frustrating if you have specific ideas about how you want your new home to look and function.”

>>This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com.<<

Filed Under: General Real Estate, Getting Started, Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Investing, Turnkey Investment Property, turnkey property

Absorption Rate and Months of Inventory in Real Estate

December 6, 2022 by Marco Santarelli

Absorption rates and months of inventory in real estate. What are they, and why are they significant? This information is useful since it represents the liquidity of a market. As a real estate investor, you can help maximize your profits by knowing the liquidity of a given real estate market. By knowing the liquidity of a market, you will better understand that market and therefore be able to take advantage of the various buying strategies afforded by it.

One of the measurements frequently used to gauge the liquidity of a given market is the absorption rate. This is basically the rate at which a specific segment of a real estate market sells in a given time frame. These segments are usually categorized by price range but may also be categorized by property type. The absorption rate can assist sellers to determine the optimal price for a property. The absorption rate is useful information for buyers as well because it indicates the extent to which a seller may be willing to lower their asking price or make other concessions.

Absorption Rate Formula

The easiest way to understand absorption is to put it in more tangible terms and measure it in “Months of Inventory”. In other words, we take the number of active listings and divide it by the total number of sold transactions within the same month to give us the months of inventory.

To calculate the months of inventory for any given market:

  • Find the total number of active listings on the market last month.
  • Find the total number of sold transactions for last month.
  • Divide the number of active listings by the number of sales to determine the number of months of inventory remaining.

Supply-DemandAs a general rule, 5 to 6 months of inventory is considered to be a normal or balanced market. Over 6 months of inventory and we have a buyer’s market. If it is less than 5 months and we have a seller’s market. The smaller the available inventory, the tighter the market is. Keep in mind that these are simply guidelines and will differ from market to market.

For example, let’s say there were 8,000 active listings last month and 1,000 closed transactions. That leaves us 8 months of inventory remaining on the market and also tells us that we are in a buyer’s market.

If you are in the market looking to buy, calculating the months of inventory can give you an indication of how negotiable sellers might be. A large number, say 12 months or more, would mean that sellers have a high level of competition and will probably be more flexible on their sales price and terms.

On the other hand, if you are a seller trying to sell your property, the months of inventory will give you an indication of the level of competition you will face. Selling in a buyer’s market will require you to put some serious thought into your pricing strategy and any incentives you may want to offer.

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market Tagged With: Housing Market, housing supply, Investment Properties, Investment Property, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Investment, Real Estate Market

Investors Are Buying a Record Share of Homes in 2022

December 6, 2022 by Marco Santarelli

Investor Share of Home Sales 2022

Real estate is getting increasingly popular among investor groups in 2022. Investors bought more properties last year since home prices grew quickly and there were fewer homes for sale. They are eyeing growing prices because rental payments are also soaring, which encourages investors who want to rent out the houses they purchase. Many individuals who cannot locate a home to purchase are compelled to rent as a result of the housing supply constraint. In addition, investors who “flip” properties stand to make a substantial return as housing values increase.”

In the fourth quarter of the previous year, real estate investors acquired 18.4% of U.S. houses, according to Redfin. It was 12.6% a year ago and 17.4% in the third quarter. Although investor market share touched a record in the fourth quarter, the number of properties acquired by investors fell 9.1% from the third-quarter peak. In the fourth quarter, investors acquired 80,293 properties, up 43.9% year-over-year. Third-quarter investor house acquisitions were 75.3% cash. So, how are investors performing this year? Here's the summary of the latest Realtor.com® Investor Report for 2022.

Note: In their research, Realtor.com® analyzed deed data from January 2000 to April 2022 in 263 metro regions with more than 100 investor transactions in the year ending April 2022. They only considered single-family residences, condominiums, townhomes, and rowhomes, excluding multi-family buildings. They try to capture buy-and-hold investor purchases, excluding flippers. Some flipping activity is likely included as it is not always clear up-front whether an investor purchase is intended for a flip or buy-and-hold.

Investors Bought a Record-High Share of Houses in Spring 2022

Investor buyer trends 2022
Source: Realtor.com®

Realtor.com® defines an investor as a buyer or seller that was/is an absentee owner and that has a name that includes the following: LLP, LP, LLC, GP, or TRUST. According to their spring 2022 report, the investor proportion of house sales has declined significantly from its all-time peak in February 2022 but is about double its 2014/2015 level. After dropping in the early months of the pandemic, investors' proportion of house purchases has increased over the past two years, exceeding non-investors' growth and reaching a new high of 9.7 percent in February 2022.

Nonetheless, investor purchases have declined substantially in tandem with non-investor purchases since February 2022, bringing their entire buy percentage to 9.5%. However, the current proportion of investment purchasers is approximately double the proportion at the same stage in 2014/2015. In April, investors bought 9.5% of properties sold, up 2.8% from the same period last year but down from February's 9.7% peak.

After months of surpassing non-investor purchasers, investor behavior has paralleled non-investor behavior since February. 2021 investor house purchases surged 64% over 2020 when the COVID-19 outbreak hurt investor activity. 2021 purchasing was up 39% from 2019 before the epidemic. While investor purchases were down in January and February, they were up 31% in April and 64% over the same period in 2019, while total sales were down 8% and up just 7%.

Investors' percentage in house purchases is near record highs. In April, investors bought 9.5% of properties, down from 9.7% in February but up by 2.8% year-over-year. This high percentage is driven by both investor purchases and non-investor purchasers, who bought 11% fewer properties in April than a year earlier. The investor proportion of house purchases is almost double what it was in April 2015 (4.8%), but its growth pace has slowed compared to February after 19 straight months of increase.

Their data shows investor purchases under a corporate name. Cash purchases are overrepresented in the statistics because small investor activity under individual names isn't included. Pre-pandemic standards for investors buying properties with cash have changed. In September 2021, 78 percent of investors bought with cash, comparable to 2009 to 2015.

Larger investors with greater equity may have increased demand. Another is greater iBuying activity during this time. Since September, investors' cash purchases have fallen while mortgage purchases have risen. With borrowing rates so high, this pattern may alter in the coming months.

Larger Investors Grew Their Share of Purchases in 2021 to 35%

Despite the fact that smaller investors continue to acquire the highest proportion of properties among the group of investors we've found, bigger investors have overtaken smaller investors in terms of activity increase over the past year. Smaller investors, defined as those who have acquired 10 or fewer properties since their data collection began in 2001, accounted for 64 percent of investor-purchased homes in July 2020, just after the commencement of the COVID-19 epidemic.

Nevertheless, as housing demand surged and rents climbed over the last year, bigger investors, defined as those who have acquired more than 50 properties since 2001, raised their proportion of investment purchases from 18 percent in July 2020 to 42 percent in August 2021. Since August, demand from bigger investors has decreased to 32 percent in April, but their sales share has stabilized above historical norms, grabbing market share from both small and medium-sized investors.

Large home investor sale increase is attributable to Opendoor, Offerpad, and Zillow iBuyer activity (prior to their exit from iBuying). iBuyer's significant investor stake was 30% in 2021. In 2022's first four months, it was 22%. Large investor purchases fell from 32% to 27% in April when iBuyer data was removed. Among non-iBuyer big investors, demand peaked in August and has subsequently decelerated.

While investors are buying a record number of properties, the margin between their buying and selling has shrunk since August. August 2021 saw investors buying 14,000 more properties than selling. By 2022, the margin was 2,300 dwellings. While investor purchasing surpassed selling in March and April, investor selling is up 24 percent from April 2018 and 28 percent from April 2019.

real estate investor contribution 2022
Source: Realtor.com®

Charlotte Saw Greatest Growth in Investor Interest

Southern metros saw the most investment activity last year, followed by the West. Larger investors raised their purchases more than medium or smaller investors in the South and West. Investors bought 20% of Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia properties in the year ending April 2022. Branson, MO (19.5%), Birmingham-Hoover, AL (18.9%), Summit Park, UT (18.6%), and Memphis, TN (18.5%) had the highest investment activity.

Three of the top five metros where investors bought the most homes were in the South, which experienced the most investor interest and the most increase over the last year. In eight of the top 10 metros, investors paid less than the median price in April 2022. Summit Park, UT, and Branson, MO were outliers. In these eight metros, investors bought properties for 16% less. The median investor purchase price was $295,000 in April, 15% less than the median selling price overall and 10% less than the median investor house sold. In all 10 areas, investors bought more houses than they sold in April, vying with purchasers for limited inventory.

Metro Average Investor Purchase Shares and Change in Shares

Region Average of 12 Months End April 2021 Average of 12 Months End April 2022 Average of yy percentage point change
Midwest 5.9% 7.6% 1.7%
Northeast 4.3% 5.7% 1.4%
South 6.6% 9.5% 3.0%
West 4.6% 6.8% 2.1%
Overall Average 5.7% 8.1% 2.3%

Not all major investor markets showed increased interest in the last year. Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC (+0.7%), Jacksonville, FL (+10.2%), and Birmingham-Hoover, AL (+8.8%) witnessed the most investor market share growth. Eight of the top 10 metros with the biggest growth in investor purchases over the past year are very cheap South metros with median list prices as or more reasonable than the typical home nationally.

The average April 2022 listing price in the top 10 metros where investors are rising was $372,000, compared to $450,000 nationally. Investors bought cheaper properties in all 10 markets. They bought properties 13 percent lower than April's median price. Except for Danville, VA, investors acquired more properties in April than they sold.


Source: https://www.realtor.com/research/investor-report-april-2022/

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Investing Tagged With: Housing Market, Investor Home Sales, Real Estate Investing, real estate investors

Is It a Buyers’ or Sellers’ Market in 2022?

December 6, 2022 by Marco Santarelli

Is It a Buyers or Sellers Market

Buyers and sellers are bewildered by inconsistent housing market predictions, news, and statistics. Positives include record monthly price rises and never-before-seen low inventories, which bodes well for future values. Existing-home sales, while down from early-year highs is nonetheless solid. Housing metrics are still good. In the minus column, the 40% run-up in prices since the pandemic's inception and a rapid, near-doubling of mortgage rates from last autumn to near 6 percent as of now are increasing worries that house ownership has become so expensive for a big section of America that demand may collapse.

If increasing prices and rates cause purchasers to flee in droves, only a drastic price drop may bring them back. The superhot appreciation we've witnessed through May is expected to cool drastically for the remainder of the year. This move represents a significant departure from a trend of year-over-year growth that grew larger by the month. However, a pause in increases does not imply a reduction in prices. On the contrary, the fundamentals indicate that prices will continue to rise through the end of 2022 and into the next year.

The fundamentals predict values will rise until 2023. As usual, the outlook is uneven. In many metros, appreciation by 2022 will be behind what promises to be stubbornly high inflation, meaning high-priced homeowners will see their first “real” decreases in a decade or more. Ed Pinto, director of the American Enterprise Institute's Housing Center, predicts a shift from a booming to a modest sellers' market. Pinto offers a caveat. A further rise in mortgage rates or a protracted recession that boosts unemployment might lower dollar pricing.

It’s Still a Sellers’ Market in 2022

You may be wondering what this implies for your intentions to sell your property since there is increasing chatter about the real estate market cooling off from its peak frenzy during the pandemic. If you're considering a relocation, you should be aware that the market is still far from typical. Even though the supply of homes for sale has increased this year, there is still a lack of properties on the market. As a result, current market circumstances continue to favor sellers and buyers continue to struggle with rising home prices, mortgage rates, and inflation.

Total housing inventory registered at the end of June was 1,260,000 units, an increase of 9.6% from May and a 2.4% rise from the previous year (1.23 million). Unsold inventory sits at a 3.0-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 2.6 months in May and 2.5 months in June 2021. Months’ supply measures the speed of the market by calculating the number of months it would take for inventory to deplete at the current pace of sales.

Specifically, it is calculated as the ratio of active residential listings relative to the number of sales. The ratio is adjusted seasonally to remove variability during the year so markets can be tracked every month. A balanced market typically equates to 6-7 months of supply; while a buyer’s market equates to 7 months of supply and above, and a seller’s market equates to 6 months of supply and under.

It is a seller's market because the amount of available inventory of houses does not meet the current buyer demand. In a seller's market, real estate prices increase. The median existing-home price for all housing types in June was $416,000, up 13.4% from June 2021 ($366,900), as prices increased in all regions. This marks 124 consecutive months of year-over-year increases, the longest-running streak on record.

A buyer's market would exist only when there are more properties for sale than there are buyers in the market. When this occurs, buyers have the upper hand in negotiations since sellers are more eager to negotiate to sell their homes. That is not the market situation in 2022.

In a seller's market, the reverse is true. Too few properties are available relative to the number of buyers on the market, giving the seller all of the leverage. In this circumstance, purchasers will do everything possible to compete for the restricted quantity of available properties.
A market is neutral or balanced when the supply and demand are in equilibrium and there are sufficient properties to fulfill buyer demand at the present sales rate.

For the past two years, we’ve been in a red-hot sellers’ market because inventory has been near record lows. The blue section of this graph highlights just how far below a neutral market inventory still is today.

It is a Sellers Market in 2022
Credits: Keeping Current Matters

According to the above inventory graph, it is still a seller's market in 2022. The US housing market has only transitioned from a very hot sellers' market to a moderate sellers' market. Even if the market is cooling, the situation is still favorable to property sellers. While buyer demand is decreasing owing to increasing mortgage rates, houses priced correctly continue to sell quickly. For sellers, this indicates that the window of opportunity to list their home for sale has not closed. In conclusion, the current housing market continues to benefit sellers.

Is It a Buyers or Sellers Market 2022?


References

  • https://www.nar.realtor/research-and-statistics/housing-statistics
  • https://www.realtor.com/research/tag/months-supply/
  • https://www.keepingcurrentmatters.com/2022/08/04/why-its-still-a-sellers-market/
  • https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-predictions/

Filed Under: Housing Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Real Estate Market, Real Estate Market Trends

National Economic Outlook (September 2013)

September 9, 2013 by Marco Santarelli

The rate of annual job growth in August, 1.7 percent, was basically the same as in previous months. We had better get used to the idea that this is the new normal, because there probably won't be much help from the lagging government and construction sectors.

Budget difficulties will prevent any meaningful increase in government spending, even though local and state revenues are now in better shape. The recession revealed the extent of unfunded pension liabilities for public employees, which will absorb any extra dollars.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Economy, Housing Market Tagged With: Economy, Housing Market, Real Estate Economics, Real Estate Investing, Real Estate Market, US economy

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